Minnesota Energy Industry

Energy Industry Jobs Q3 2000 Q3 2001 Q3 2002 Q3 2003 Q3 2004 Q3 2005 Q3 2006 Q3 2007 Q3 2008 Q3 2009 Q3 2010 Q3 2011 Q3 Q3 Q3 Q3 Q3 2016 Minnesota Energy Consortium April 13, 2017 Cameron Macht DEED Labor Market Information Office Regional Analysis & Outreach www.mn.gov/deed/data/ 320-441-6596 cameron.macht@state.mn.us Minnesota Energy Industry Minnesota has 336 energy establishments providing 13,345 jobs and $332 million in quarterly payroll Electric Power Generation, Transmission & Distribution has 276 establishments and 11,752 jobs, $296 million Natural Gas Dist. Minnesota Energy Industry Employment Trends, 2000-2016 15,000 has 60 firms and Energy Industry Total, All Industries 2,835,325 1,593 jobs, and 14,000 13,787 $35.5 million 13,339 13,345 Energy industry 13,000 is holding steady, 2,618,824 12,496 but gained jobs 12,000 during the Great 2,562,456 11,000 Recession 2,900,000 2,800,000 2,700,000 2,600,000 2,500,000 Total, All Industry Jobs Source: DEED Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages 1

Minnesota Energy Industry Electric Power Distribution is the largest sector Fossil Fuel Electric Power Generation is largest, but declining Job gains in Hydroelectric, Natural Gas, and Biomass Minnesota Energy Industry Jobs, Q3 2016 Hydroelectric Power Generation Fossil Fuel Electric Power Generation Wind Electric Power Generation Biomass Electric Power Generation Other Electric Power Generation Electric Bulk Power Transmission and Control Electric Power Distribution Natural Gas Distribution 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 477 168 177 252 308 2,160 1,593 6,632 Source: DEED Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages Minnesota Energy Industry Job Change -10.0% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% Hydroelectric Power Generation 0.8% 30.0% Fossil Fuel Electric Power Generation -2.8% -4.5% Wind Electric Power Generation -5.1% 0.0% Biomass Electric Power Generation Other Electric Power Generation 6.0% 0.0% 1.6% 1.6% Electric Bulk Power Transmission and -5.8% Control 0.0% Electric Power Distribution -1.3% -0.5% -2016 Natural Gas Distribution -4.3% 6.9% 2011-2016 Source: DEED Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages Minnesota Energy Industry The Twin Cities has about 40% of statewide energy industry employment (62% of total, all industries) Central Minnesota has 19.2% (9.9% of total) Northeast Minnesota has 12.2% (5.2% of total) Electric Power Generation, Transmission, and Distribution Industry Jobs by Region, Q3 2016 Natural Gas Distribution Industry Jobs by Region, Q3 2016 861 1,368 2,494 Central Minnesota Northeast Minnesota 76 140 76 60 Central Minnesota Northeast Minnesota Northwest Minnesota Northwest Minnesota 1,632 Twin Cities Metro Twin Cities Metro 4,165 1,237 Southeast Minnesota Southwest Minnesota 1,271 Southeast Minnesota Southwest Minnesota 2

Minnesota Energy Industry Power Generation & Supply is projected to decline -0.6% from to 2024, a loss of about 70 jobs Natural Gas Distribution is projected to drop -10.4% Jobs may be shifting: According to the CEWD report, Fossil Fuels, Natural Gas Dist., and Hydroelectric will decline, while Nuclear Power Generation and Electric Power Distribution will see big gains Minnesota Energy Industry Projections, -2024 Utilities Power Generation & Supply Natural Gas Distribution 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 1,562 1,399 11,159 11,090 12,866 12,589 Estimated Employment Projected Employment 2024 Source: DEED Employment Outlook Occupations in Demand 3

Occupations in Demand Energy Industry has many high-paying occupations! Average annual wages were $100,724 in Electric Power Generation, Transmission & Distribution 84% higher than the total of all industries! Natural Gas Distribution = $89,232 (63% higher) 12 of the top 20 occupations in demand can be gained with a high school diploma or less Some are high-paying, some are relatively low-paying 4 require vocational training or associate s degree 4 require bachelor s degrees or higher 4 of the top 6 highest-earning jobs need a bachelor s degree Occupations in Demand Growth is projected for a couple occupations: Industrial Machinery Mechanics, Electricians, Management Analysts 4

The State of the State Seven years after the end of the recession, Minnesota s economy continues to improve and, by many measures, ranks among the best in the country Some challenges are on the horizon, however The State of the State Tight market conditions suggested by our high participation and employment rates may explain why our job growth has been lagging the nation and some other states over the last two years Have we started to experience the constraints imposed by a shortage of additional workers well ahead of many other states? Will this constraint only tighten further and lead to even slower job growth in the coming years? With nation-leading participation, do we have less room to maneuver through the coming worker shortage than other states? 5

Available Labor Force (Workers) 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2016 Labor Force Constraints Minnesota's Available Labor Force, 1976-2016 3,500,000 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,852,392 1,915,837 1,971,338 2,046,334 2,104,799 2,122,137 2,153,900 2,175,118 2,202,695 2,228,245 2,241,061 2,280,673 2,307,357 2,351,967 2,398,898 2,427,605 2,468,394 2,516,374 2,556,436 2,604,290 2,652,526 2,679,233 2,711,783 2,756,144 2,812,947 2,845,202 2,859,601 2,874,663 2,880,427 2,879,759 2,887,831 2,906,389 2,925,088 2,941,976 2,938,795 2,946,278 2,946,355 2,955,266 2,961,331 2,975,533 3,001,131 1,000,000 Source: DEED Local Area Unemployment Statistics Labor Force Constraints From 1976 to 2001, Minnesota gained 993,000 workers Average of about 40,000 new workers per year From 2001 to 2016, Minnesota gained about 156,000 new workers Average of about 10,400 workers per year From to 2030, Minnesota is projected to gain 62,275 workers Average of about 4,000 workers per year This includes a big decline in 45-64 year old workers But a huge increase in workers aged 65 years and over! 6

Labor Force Constraints Increased racial diversity will be a key component of growth State Demographic Center projects that the minority population will grow +37.3%, compared to +4.1% for whites (primarily due to aging) Employment Disparities Minnesota has significant employment disparities in all minority groups; but it s getting better Closing these gaps is crucial! Participation rates are lower and unemployment rates are also higher for: Younger workers Workers with disabilities People with lower educational attainment The challenges we face over the next 15 years are so great we ll need to tackle them with a multi-pronged approach to attract and retain workers of all demographic characteristics 7

Job Vacancies How many jobseekers are there for every job vacancy? 1.1 jobseekers for every 1 job vacancy (Qtr. 4 2016) Job vacancies in Minnesota support the picture of a strong labor market with extensive job opportunity Both and 2016 results showed the most unfilled jobs since 2001, averaging about 97,500 openings By 4 th quarter, the ratio of job seekers to job vacancies statewide had dropped to 1-to-1 This ratio has fallen from 8.2 unemployed workers for each job vacancy during the 2009 recession http://mn.gov/deed/jvs Workforce Demographics The concentration of 35-54 year old workers has dropped from 70% in 2001 to 52% in 2016 55 & over increased from 12.5% to 27.7% in 2016 35 & younger rose from 17.8% to 20.5% in 2016 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2016 Minnesota Energy Industry Workforce Demographics, 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 17.8% 17.2% 17.0% 16.7% 16.6% 16.9% 18.1% 19.4% 19.8% 19.3% 19.9% 19.9% 20.1% 20.5% 69.7% 69.3% 67.8% 66.6% 65.4% 63.7% 61.1% 59.4% 57.9% 57.0% 55.8% 54.6% 53.7% 52.5% 52.0% 51.8% 12.5% 13.5% 15.2% 16.6% 18.1% 19.4% 20.9% 21.2% 22.3% 23.7% 24.3% 25.5% 26.6% 27.8% 27.9% 27.7% Under 35 35-54 55 & over 8

Workforce Demographics The concentration of 35-54 year old workers has dropped from 70% in 2001 to 52% in 2016 The industry has very low turnover rates, so the workforce has been aging Turnover Rate by Industry, Minnesota, Agriculture, Forestry, Fish & Hunt Mining, Quarrying, & Oil & Gas Extraction UTILITIES Construction Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Transportation & Warehousing Information Finance & Insurance Real Estate & Rental & Leasing Professional, Scientific, & Technical Services Management of Companies Admin. Support & Waste Mgmt. Services Educational Services Health Care & Social Assistance Arts, Entertainment, & Recreation Accommodation & Food Services Other Services Public Administration 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 6.7% 4.3% 5.4% 6.2% 11.8% 8.6% 7.5% 6.7% 8.0% 8.1% 7.8% 18.5% 8.4% 8.1% 15.7% 16.0% 10.1% 5.4% Source: DEED Quarterly Workforce Indicators Workforce Demographics The concentration of 35-54 year old workers has dropped from 70% in 2001 to 52% in 2016 55 & over increased from 12.5% to 27.7% in 2016 35 & younger rose from 17.8% to 20.5% in 2016 Turnover Minnesota Rate Energy by Industry, Minnesota, Workforce Demographics, Minnesota Energy Industry Workforce Demographics, 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Agriculture, 14-24 Forestry, 25-34 Fish & Hunt 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-99 2001 0% 17.8% 20% 40% 69.7% 60% 80% 12.5% 100% Mining, Quarrying, & Oil & Gas Extraction 6.7% 2002 17.2% 2001 3.9% 13.9% UTILITIES 33.1% 69.3% 4.3% 36.6% 13.5% 11.8% 0.7% 2003 17.0% 2002 3.7% 13.5% Construction 31.6% 67.8% 37.7% 15.2% 12.7% 0.8% 2004 16.7% Manufacturing 66.6% 5.4% 16.6% 2003 3.7% 13.3% 29.7% 38.2% 14.3% 0.9% 2005 16.6% Wholesale Trade 65.4% 6.2% 18.1% 2004 3.4% 13.4% 2006 16.9% Retail 28.1% Trade 38.5% 15.6% 1.0% 63.7% 11.8% 19.4% 2005 3.2% 13.4% Transportation & Warehousing 26.5% 38.9% 8.6% 17.1% 0.9% 2007 18.1% 61.1% 20.9% 2006 3.4% 13.5% 25.0% Information 38.7% 7.5% 18.4% 1.0% 2008 19.4% 2007 3.8% 14.3% Finance & 24.0% Insurance 59.4% 37.0% 6.7% 21.2% 19.7% 1.2% 2009 19.8% 2008 3.9% Real 15.5% Estate & Rental 22.6% & Leasing 2010 Professional, 19.3% 2009 Scientific, & Technical Services 3.7% 16.1% 22.0% 57.9% 57.0% 36.8% 8.0% 8.1% 35.9% 22.3% 20.0% 23.7% 21.0% 1.3% 1.3% 2011 19.9% Management of Companies 55.8% 7.8% 2010 24.3% 2.9% 16.4% 21.2% 35.7% 22.2% 1.5% Admin. Support 19.9% & Waste Mgmt. Services 54.6% 25.5% 18.5% 2011 3.0% 16.9% Educational 21.1% Services 34.7% 8.4% 22.8% 1.6% 3.0% 53.7% 26.6% Health 16.9% Care & Social 21.1% Assistance 33.6% 8.1% 23.7% 1.8% 2.3% Arts, 17.4% Entertainment, & 21.4% Recreation 2.5% Accommodation 20.1% 17.2% & Food 22.2% Services 52.5% 52.0% 32.3% 30.3% 27.8% 24.7% 15.7% 25.5% 27.9% 16.0% 2.0% 2.3% 2016 2.4% 20.5% 17.7% Other 22.5% Services 51.8% 29.5% 10.1% 25.4% 27.7% 2.4% 2016 2.2% 18.3% Public Administration 22.8% 5.4% 29.0% 25.4% 2.3% Under 35 35-54 Source: DEED 55 & Quarterly over Workforce Indicators Source: DEED Quarterly Workforce Indicators 9

Workforce Demographics The concentration of 35-54 year old workers has dropped from 70% in 2001 to 52% in 2016 The industry is primarily male (71.1%), but is changing over time Turnover Minnesota Rate Energy by Industry, Minnesota, Workforce Demographics, Minnesota Minnesota Energy Industry Energy Workforce Industry Workforce Demographics, Demographics, Male 0.0% 5.0% Female 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 0% Agriculture, 14-24 10% 20% Forestry, 25-34 30% 40% Fish & Hunt 35-44 50% 45-54 60% 70% 55-64 80% 90% 65-99 100% 2001 0% 17.8% 20% 40% 69.7% 60% 80% 12.5% 100% 2001 Mining, Quarrying, & Oil & Gas Extraction 75.9% 6.7% 24.1% 2002 17.2% 69.3% 13.5% 2001 2002 3.9% 13.9% UTILITIES 33.1% 75.8% 4.3% 36.6% 24.2% 11.8% 0.7% 2003 17.0% 67.8% 15.2% 2002 Construction 2003 3.7% 13.5% 31.6% 76.5% 37.7% 23.5% 12.7% 0.8% 2004 16.7% Manufacturing 66.6% 5.4% 16.6% 2003 2004 3.7% 13.3% 29.7% 2005 16.6% Wholesale Trade 76.7% 38.2% 65.4% 6.2% 23.3% 14.3% 0.9% 18.1% 2004 2006 2005 3.4% 13.4% 16.9% Retail 28.1% Trade 38.5% 15.6% 1.0% 77.0% 63.7% 11.8% 23.0% 19.4% 2005 3.2% 13.4% Transportation & Warehousing 26.5% 38.9% 8.6% 17.1% 0.9% 2007 2006 18.1% 76.0% 61.1% 24.0% 20.9% 2006 3.4% 13.5% 25.0% Information 38.7% 7.5% 18.4% 1.0% 2008 2007 19.4% 73.3% 59.4% 26.7% 21.2% 2007 3.8% 14.3% Finance & 24.0% Insurance 37.0% 6.7% 19.7% 1.2% 2009 2008 19.8% Real Estate & Rental & Leasing 75.4% 57.9% 24.6% 8.0% 22.3% 2008 3.9% 15.5% 22.6% 36.8% 20.0% 1.3% 2010 2009 Professional, 19.3% Scientific, & Technical Services 75.2% 57.0% 8.1% 24.8% 23.7% 2009 3.7% 16.1% 22.0% 35.9% 21.0% 1.3% 2011 2010 19.9% Management of Companies 76.4% 55.8% 7.8% 24.3% 23.6% 2010 2.9% 16.4% 21.2% 35.7% 22.2% 1.5% 2011 Admin. Support 19.9% & Waste Mgmt. Services 54.6% 25.5% 18.5% 2011 3.0% 16.9% Educational 21.1% 76.4% Services 34.7% 8.4% 22.8% 23.6% 1.6% 3.0% 53.7% 26.6% Health 16.9% Care & Social 21.1% 76.2% Assistance 33.6% 8.1% 23.7% 23.8% 1.8% 2.3% 52.5% 27.8% Arts, 17.4% Entertainment, & 21.4% Recreation 75.4% 32.3% 24.7% 24.6% 15.7% 2.0% 2.5% Accommodation 20.1% 17.2% & Food 22.2% Services 71.5% 52.0% 30.3% 25.5% 28.5% 27.9% 16.0% 2.3% 2016 2.4% 20.5% 17.7% Other 22.5% Services 71.5% 51.8% 29.5% 10.1% 25.4% 28.5% 27.7% 2.4% Public Administration 5.4% 20162.2% 18.3% 22.8% 71.1% 29.0% 28.9% 25.4% 2.3% Under 35 35-54 Source: Source: DEED 55 & Quarterly over Workforce Indicators Source: DEED Quarterly DEED Quarterly Workforce Workforce Indicators Indicators Workforce Demographics The concentration of 35-54 year old workers has dropped from 70% in 2001 to 52% in 2016 The industry is primarily white (95.8%), and hasn t been changing much Turnover Minnesota Rate Energy by Industry, Minnesota, Workforce Demographics, Minnesota Minnesota Energy Industry Energy Workforce Industry Workforce Demographics, Demographics, Male 0.0% 5.0% Female 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 0% White Agriculture, 14-24 10% Alone 20% Forestry, 25-34 30% 40% Fish & Hunt 35-44 50% 45-54 60% Black or 70% African 55-64 American 80% 90% Alone 65-99 100% 2001 0% 17.8% American 20% Indian or Alaska Native 40% Alone 69.7% 60% Asian Alone 80% 12.5% 100% 2001 Mining, Quarrying, & Oil & Gas Extraction 6.7% 2002 17.2% Two or More Race Groups 75.9% 69.3% Hispanic or Latino 24.1% 13.5% 2001 2002 3.9% 13.9% UTILITIES 33.1% 4.3% 36.6% 11.8% 0.7% 2003 92% 17.0% 93% 94% 75.8% Construction 95% 67.8% 96% 97% 98% 24.2% 99% 15.2% 100% 2002 2003 3.7% 13.5% 31.6% 76.5% 37.7% 23.5% 12.7% 0.8% 2004 16.7% Manufacturing 66.6% 5.4% 16.6% 2003 2001 3.7% 13.3% 96.2% 29.7% 1.8% 38.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 14.3% 1.0% 2004 2005 16.6% Wholesale Trade 76.7% 65.4% 6.2% 23.3% 0.9% 2002 96.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 18.1% 0.9% 2004 2006 2005 3.4% 13.4% 16.9% Retail 28.1% Trade 38.5% 15.6% 1.0% 2003 96.5% 77.0% 63.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.7% 11.8% 0.6% 23.0% 19.4% 1.0% 2005 3.2% 13.4% Transportation & Warehousing 26.5% 38.9% 8.6% 17.1% 0.9% 2007 2006 2004 18.1% 96.4% 76.0% 61.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 24.0% 20.9% 1.0% 2006 3.4% 13.5% 25.0% Information 38.7% 7.5% 18.4% 1.0% 2008 2007 2005 96.5% 19.4% 73.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% Finance & Insurance 59.4% 26.7% 1.0% 21.2% 2007 20063.8% 14.3% 96.4% 24.0% 1.7% 37.0% 6.7% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 19.7% 1.1% 1.2% 2009 2008 19.8% Real Estate & Rental & Leasing 75.4% 57.9% 24.6% 8.0% 22.3% 2008 20073.9% 15.5% 96.4% 22.6% 1.8% 36.8% 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 20.0% 0.9% 1.3% 2010 2009 Professional, 19.3% Scientific, & Technical Services 57.0% 8.1% 23.7% 2009 20083.7% 16.1% 96.4% 75.2% 22.0% 1.8% 35.9% 0.4% 0.8% 0.6% 24.8% 21.0% 1.1% 1.3% 2011 2010 19.9% Management of Companies 76.4% 55.8% 7.8% 2010 2009 24.3% 23.6% 2.9% 16.4% 96.5% 21.2% 1.7% 35.7% 0.4% 0.8% 0.6% 22.2% 1.1% 1.5% 2011 2010 Admin. Support 19.9% & Waste 96.4% Mgmt. Services 54.6% 25.5% 18.5% 2011 3.0% 16.9% Educational 21.1% 76.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.9% 0.6% Services 34.7% 8.4% 22.8% 23.6% 1.1% 1.6% 2011 3.0% 96.4% 53.7% 26.6% Health 16.9% Care & Social 21.1% 76.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.9% 0.6% Assistance 33.6% 8.1% 23.7% 23.8% 1.1% 1.8% 96.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.9% 0.7% 1.1% 2.3% 52.5% 27.8% Arts, 17.4% Entertainment, & 21.4% Recreation 75.4% 32.3% 24.7% 24.6% 96.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.9% 0.7% 15.7% 1.1% 2.0% 2.5% Accommodation 20.1% 17.2% & Food 22.2% Services 71.5% 52.0% 30.3% 25.5% 28.5% 27.9% 96.1% 1.7% 0.4% 1.0% 0.7% 16.0% 1.1% 2.3% 2016 2.4% 20.5% 17.7% 96.1% Other 22.5% Services 71.5% 51.8% 1.7% 29.5% 0.4% 1.0% 10.1% 0.8% 25.4% 28.5% 27.7% 1.1% 2.4% Public Administration 5.4% 20162.2% 18.3% 95.8% 22.8% 71.1% 1.8% 29.0% 0.5% 1.2% 0.8% 28.9% 25.4% 1.2% 2.3% Under 35 35-54 Source: DEED 55 & Quarterly over Source: Workforce Indicators Source: DEED DEED Quarterly Quarterly Workforce Workforce Indicators Indicators 10

Graduate Employment Outcomes Minnesota colleges are graduating many workers Average of 490 graduates from Electrical and Power Transmission Installers 365 Certificates; 124 Associate s Degrees Average of 527 grads from 2009-; Average of 431 grads from - 329 graduates from Electrical, Electronics & Communications Engineering 191 Bachelor s Degrees; 138 Graduate Degrees 102 graduates from Electrical Engineering Technologies 12 Certificates; 79 Associate s 11 graduates from Electrical/Electronics Maintenance & Repair Technology 11 Certificates Manufacturing and Construction are getting most of the graduates! Thank you! QUESTIONS? Cameron Macht Regional Analysis & Outreach Manager 320-441-6596 cameron.macht@state.mn.us Labor Market Information Office http://mn.gov/deed/data/ 11