Pendulum in KY Senate Race Swings Ever-So-Slightly To McConnell -- With Or Without Libertarian Patterson on the Ballot: Kentucky icon Mitch McConnell leads Democratic challenger Alison Lundergan Grimes by a nominal 2 points today, both in a head-to-head contest that excludes Libertarian David Patterson, and in a 3-way contest that explicitly includes Patterson. In a 2-person race, it's McConnell 47%, Grimes 45%. In a 3-person race, it's McConnell 41%, Grimes 39%, Patterson 7%. This latest Bluegrass Poll, conducted for the Louisville Courier-Journal, the Lexington Herald-Leader, WHAS-TV and WKYT-TV, the 3rd Bluegrass Poll of 2014, is the most favorable yet to the U.S. Senate Minority Leader. A survey in February showed Grimes ahead by 4 points. A survey in May showed Grimes ahead by a nominal 1 point. Neither of the previous 2 polls explicitly mentioned the Libertarian candidate. It is not fair to say, from these numbers, that Patterson hurts one candidate more than the other. But it is fair to say that Patterson throws a wrench into the mix: with his name included in the poll question, the number of undecided voters increases from 8% to 13%. Beyond the number who say they are undecided, 1 in 4 voters say they might change their mind before the 11/04/14 election. McConnell's favorability is up, from 29% ten weeks ago to 36% today. In fact, McConnell's favorability today is exactly the same as Grimes's, 36%. The difference is: McConnell's unfavorability today is 10 percentage points higher than Grimes, 43% to 33%. As a point of reference, President Barack Obama's favorability number in Kentucky is 28% today. 3 key issues highlight how Kentucky sees the candidates: Voters by a narrow margin say that McConnell will do a better job balancing the state's coal interests with the need for cleaner air. Voters by a narrow margin say that Grimes will do a better at creating jobs. Voters split evenly on which candidate will keep Medicare stable. Kentucky by 48% to 40% says that Republicans would do a better job than Democrats controlling the U.S. Senate. Whether McConnell is re-elected to a 6th term will go a long way toward determining which party does have control of the Senate in the next Congress. Cell-phone respondents and home-phone respondents included in this survey: SurveyUSA interviewed 800 state of Kentucky adults 07/18/14 through 07/23/14. Of the adults, 714 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 604 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/04/14 election for U.S. Senate. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (73% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (27% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. 1 If the election for U.S. Senate were held today, and the only two names on the ballot were... Republican Mitch McConnell and Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes... who would you vote for? 604 Likely Voters Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4.1% Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Made U Might C Republi Democr Indepen McConnell 47% 49% 46% 49% 42% 45% 54% 45% 49% 48% 27% 51% 42% 82% 20% 33% Lundergan Grimes 45% 43% 47% 44% 44% 50% 40% 44% 45% 44% 64% 48% 37% 13% 74% 50% Undecided 8% 8% 8% 6% 13% 5% 6% 11% 5% 8% 9% 1% 21% 5% 6% 17% Composition of Likely Voters 100% 48% 52% 16% 29% 29% 26% 45% 55% 92% 5% 70% 25% 41% 42% 18% - Page 1
1 If the election for U.S. Senate were held today, and the only two names on the ballot were... Republican Mitch McConnell and Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes... who would you vote for? 604 Likely Voters Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4.1% McConnell 47% 75% 34% 18% 53% 45% 46% 44% 52% 43% 42% 49% 49% 46% 44% 54% Lundergan Grimes 45% 17% 58% 75% 39% 47% 46% 48% 43% 47% 45% 45% 44% 47% 47% 39% Undecided 8% 8% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 9% 6% 10% 14% 6% 7% 7% 9% 7% Composition of Likely Voters 100% 39% 41% 18% 23% 36% 41% 38% 40% 22% 27% 73% 22% 27% 34% 17% 2 What if Libertarian David Patterson enters the race? Who would you vote for? 604 Likely Voters Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4.1% Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Made U Might C Republi Democr Indepen McConnell 41% 43% 39% 37% 37% 39% 49% 37% 44% 42% 17% 49% 25% 73% 17% 23% Lundergan Grimes 39% 39% 39% 36% 35% 45% 38% 35% 42% 37% 68% 46% 21% 9% 66% 42% Patterson 7% 7% 7% 12% 9% 5% 4% 10% 5% 7% 8% 3% 18% 8% 4% 14% Undecided 13% 11% 15% 15% 19% 11% 8% 18% 10% 14% 7% 2% 35% 10% 13% 21% Composition of Likely Voters 100% 48% 52% 16% 29% 29% 26% 45% 55% 92% 5% 70% 25% 41% 42% 18% 2 What if Libertarian David Patterson enters the race? Who would you vote for? 604 Likely Voters Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4.1% McConnell 41% 68% 28% 12% 45% 39% 40% 34% 46% 38% 31% 44% 41% 38% 39% 49% Lundergan Grimes 39% 13% 49% 72% 31% 40% 42% 41% 36% 42% 35% 40% 44% 40% 40% 28% Patterson 7% 7% 9% 6% 7% 10% 6% 9% 7% 5% 8% 7% 3% 10% 7% 9% Undecided 13% 12% 14% 11% 17% 12% 13% 16% 10% 15% 25% 9% 12% 13% 15% 14% Composition of Likely Voters 100% 39% 41% 18% 23% 36% 41% 38% 40% 22% 27% 73% 22% 27% 34% 17% - Page 2
3 Is your mind made up? Or might you change your mind between now and November? 604 Likely Voters Mind Is Made Up 70% 73% 67% 59% 57% 75% 85% 58% 80% 69% 77% 100% 0% 70% 75% 56% Might Change Your Mind 25% 24% 26% 37% 35% 19% 13% 36% 16% 26% 14% 0% 100% 25% 19% 42% Not Sure 5% 4% 7% 4% 8% 6% 2% 6% 4% 5% 9% 0% 0% 5% 6% 2% Composition of Likely Voters 100% 48% 52% 16% 29% 29% 26% 45% 55% 92% 5% 70% 25% 41% 42% 18% 3 Is your mind made up? Or might you change your mind between now and November? 604 Likely Voters Mind Is Made Up 70% 70% 65% 81% 67% 68% 73% 64% 73% 72% 49% 78% 76% 69% 67% 69% Might Change Your Mind 25% 25% 30% 14% 24% 26% 25% 29% 23% 22% 43% 18% 18% 27% 27% 27% Not Sure 5% 5% 5% 5% 9% 7% 2% 7% 4% 5% 8% 4% 6% 4% 6% 4% Composition of Likely Voters 100% 39% 41% 18% 23% 36% 41% 38% 40% 22% 27% 73% 22% 27% 34% 17% 4 Is your opinion of Mitch McConnell... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other? Favorable 36% 33% 39% 35% 32% 34% 45% 33% 39% 36% 27% 43% 31% 65% 16% 21% Unfavorable 43% 45% 42% 41% 40% 49% 42% 41% 46% 44% 46% 47% 43% 19% 67% 43% Neutral 18% 21% 16% 19% 26% 15% 11% 23% 13% 18% 19% 10% 25% 15% 14% 32% No Opinion 2% 1% 3% 5% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 8% 1% 2% 1% 3% 4% - Page 3
4 Is your opinion of Mitch McConnell... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other? Favorable 36% 56% 30% 14% 40% 35% 35% 33% 39% 34% 32% 38% 37% 32% 35% 43% Unfavorable 43% 24% 51% 69% 36% 45% 47% 43% 44% 47% 45% 43% 39% 47% 46% 39% Neutral 18% 20% 17% 14% 19% 19% 17% 20% 16% 18% 21% 17% 22% 17% 18% 16% No Opinion 2% 1% 2% 4% 5% 1% 1% 4% 1% 0% 1% 3% 2% 4% 1% 2% 5 Is your opinion of Alison Lundergan Grimes... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other? Favorable 36% 35% 37% 36% 34% 40% 34% 35% 38% 35% 57% 44% 28% 13% 61% 33% Unfavorable 33% 37% 28% 26% 27% 38% 39% 27% 38% 34% 19% 38% 25% 55% 14% 25% Neutral 24% 22% 26% 30% 29% 19% 18% 30% 18% 24% 16% 14% 40% 24% 19% 33% No Opinion 7% 6% 8% 8% 9% 3% 9% 9% 6% 7% 8% 4% 7% 8% 6% 9% 5 Is your opinion of Alison Lundergan Grimes... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other? Favorable 36% 14% 47% 63% 28% 36% 42% 37% 35% 39% 36% 37% 37% 38% 37% 31% Unfavorable 33% 57% 21% 11% 34% 31% 33% 28% 35% 35% 25% 36% 37% 30% 30% 35% Neutral 24% 21% 28% 19% 25% 26% 21% 24% 24% 24% 34% 20% 19% 26% 24% 26% No Opinion 7% 9% 4% 7% 13% 7% 4% 11% 6% 2% 6% 8% 6% 6% 8% 8% - Page 4
6 Is your opinion of Barack Obama... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other? Favorable 28% 25% 30% 24% 26% 31% 29% 25% 30% 25% 66% 34% 13% 6% 50% 25% Unfavorable 55% 59% 51% 53% 55% 55% 56% 54% 55% 57% 30% 53% 61% 83% 30% 49% Neutral 15% 13% 16% 22% 15% 12% 11% 18% 12% 15% 3% 11% 21% 8% 17% 23% No Opinion 3% 2% 4% 2% 4% 2% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 4% 3% 2% 4% 6 Is your opinion of Barack Obama... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other? Favorable 28% 7% 34% 59% 22% 28% 32% 28% 27% 30% 25% 29% 27% 34% 29% 16% Unfavorable 55% 85% 43% 22% 58% 58% 49% 53% 57% 52% 53% 56% 56% 47% 53% 69% Neutral 15% 7% 21% 15% 14% 12% 17% 14% 15% 15% 20% 13% 13% 16% 17% 10% No Opinion 3% 1% 2% 4% 6% 2% 2% 5% 1% 3% 2% 3% 4% 3% 1% 4% 7 Control of the U.S. Senate will be determined in the November election. Which party would do a better job if it was in control of the Senate? Republicans or Democrats? Republicans 48% 50% 46% 52% 43% 42% 57% 46% 49% 49% 23% 49% 50% 89% 17% 29% Democrats 40% 39% 41% 33% 40% 46% 39% 37% 43% 39% 62% 46% 31% 6% 75% 38% Not Sure 12% 11% 13% 15% 18% 12% 4% 17% 8% 12% 15% 5% 20% 5% 8% 34% - Page 5
7 Control of the U.S. Senate will be determined in the November election. Which party would do a better job if it was in control of the Senate? Republicans or Democrats? Republicans 48% 82% 32% 14% 49% 47% 47% 44% 50% 48% 43% 50% 46% 43% 47% 59% Democrats 40% 12% 49% 75% 39% 37% 44% 41% 38% 45% 37% 41% 38% 44% 42% 31% Not Sure 12% 6% 19% 10% 12% 16% 8% 15% 12% 7% 20% 9% 16% 13% 11% 10% 8 Do Mitch McConnell and Alison Lundergan Grimes have an obligation to debate each other during the campaign? Or not? Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.6% Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Made U Might C Republi Democr Indepen Do 66% 71% 61% 71% 72% 66% 54% 72% 60% 65% 66% 65% 75% 64% 67% 68% Do Not 20% 16% 23% 15% 14% 22% 28% 14% 25% 20% 16% 24% 13% 22% 19% 18% Not Sure 15% 13% 16% 14% 14% 12% 18% 14% 15% 14% 19% 11% 12% 15% 14% 14% 8 Do Mitch McConnell and Alison Lundergan Grimes have an obligation to debate each other during the campaign? Or not? Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.6% Do 66% 61% 72% 66% 63% 66% 68% 62% 67% 72% 71% 63% 63% 68% 65% 67% Do Not 20% 26% 16% 16% 19% 18% 22% 17% 20% 23% 11% 23% 21% 18% 20% 20% Not Sure 15% 13% 12% 18% 19% 16% 10% 20% 13% 5% 18% 13% 16% 14% 14% 13% - Page 6
9 Coal is an issue in the U.S. Senate race. Which candidate do you trust more to strike the right balance between protecting jobs in the coal industry and protecting the environment from pollution caused by coal-fired power plants? Republican Mitch McConnell or Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes... McConnell 43% 47% 40% 43% 37% 43% 51% 39% 47% 44% 26% 48% 39% 76% 20% 26% Lundergan Grimes 39% 37% 41% 37% 37% 46% 36% 37% 41% 38% 57% 45% 34% 12% 65% 40% Undecided 18% 17% 18% 20% 26% 12% 13% 24% 12% 18% 17% 7% 27% 12% 15% 34% 9 Coal is an issue in the U.S. Senate race. Which candidate do you trust more to strike the right balance between protecting jobs in the coal industry and protecting the environment from pollution caused by coal-fired power plants? Republican Mitch McConnell or Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes... McConnell 43% 71% 29% 18% 46% 42% 42% 39% 46% 44% 34% 47% 45% 37% 42% 52% Lundergan Grimes 39% 14% 52% 65% 34% 39% 44% 41% 37% 41% 36% 41% 36% 44% 40% 34% Undecided 18% 15% 19% 17% 20% 20% 14% 20% 17% 16% 31% 12% 19% 20% 17% 14% 10 Healthcare is also an issue. Which candidate do you trust more to keep the Medicare system financially stable and affordable for seniors? McConnell 42% 45% 40% 43% 35% 40% 52% 38% 46% 43% 23% 49% 34% 72% 19% 29% Lundergan Grimes 42% 40% 43% 40% 42% 46% 37% 41% 42% 41% 50% 47% 36% 13% 69% 42% Undecided 16% 15% 18% 18% 23% 13% 11% 21% 12% 16% 27% 4% 31% 15% 12% 29% - Page 7
10 Healthcare is also an issue. Which candidate do you trust more to keep the Medicare system financially stable and affordable for seniors? McConnell 42% 69% 32% 15% 43% 40% 43% 35% 46% 45% 32% 46% 44% 40% 40% 47% Lundergan Grimes 42% 15% 53% 73% 35% 41% 47% 43% 41% 43% 41% 42% 40% 48% 42% 35% Undecided 16% 16% 16% 12% 22% 19% 10% 22% 13% 11% 26% 12% 16% 13% 18% 19% 11 Which candidate do you trust more to create jobs? McConnell 37% 40% 34% 38% 29% 38% 45% 32% 41% 37% 25% 46% 31% 63% 18% 24% Lundergan Grimes 41% 40% 42% 43% 39% 46% 37% 41% 42% 41% 59% 46% 33% 17% 67% 38% Undecided 22% 20% 23% 19% 32% 16% 18% 27% 17% 22% 16% 8% 36% 21% 14% 38% 11 Which candidate do you trust more to create jobs? McConnell 37% 61% 27% 12% 39% 32% 40% 29% 44% 37% 30% 40% 40% 34% 36% 40% Lundergan Grimes 41% 16% 52% 70% 36% 45% 41% 45% 38% 45% 40% 42% 39% 45% 44% 34% Undecided 22% 23% 21% 18% 25% 22% 19% 26% 19% 18% 30% 18% 21% 21% 21% 26% - Page 8
12 Are you more likely to vote for a candidate who wants to change the law to make it more difficult for women to get an abortion? Or would you favor a candidate who backs the law as it is now? Candidate Who Wants To Change T 39% 41% 38% 41% 40% 35% 43% 40% 39% 40% 30% 38% 43% 56% 28% 31% Candidate Who Backs The Law 43% 44% 42% 37% 41% 49% 42% 40% 46% 43% 39% 48% 40% 27% 56% 47% Not Sure 18% 15% 20% 22% 19% 17% 14% 20% 16% 17% 31% 14% 17% 17% 16% 22% 12 Are you more likely to vote for a candidate who wants to change the law to make it more difficult for women to get an abortion? Or would you favor a candidate who backs the law as it is now? Candidate Who Wants To Change T 39% 61% 27% 22% 51% 36% 36% 43% 34% 40% 38% 40% 34% 33% 44% 47% Candidate Who Backs The Law 43% 22% 52% 67% 33% 43% 49% 34% 49% 51% 37% 45% 47% 47% 40% 37% Not Sure 18% 17% 22% 11% 16% 21% 15% 23% 17% 8% 25% 15% 20% 20% 16% 16% 13 The Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that corporations who object for religious reasons do not have to include contraception as a health-care benefit. Do you agree with this Supreme Court ruling? Or disagree? Agree 46% 55% 38% 49% 42% 47% 45% 45% 46% 46% 43% 45% 48% 65% 26% 47% Disagree 40% 34% 45% 39% 43% 42% 36% 41% 39% 41% 27% 44% 40% 21% 59% 39% Not Sure 14% 11% 17% 12% 15% 11% 19% 14% 15% 13% 29% 10% 12% 14% 15% 14% - Page 9
13 The Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that corporations who object for religious reasons do not have to include contraception as a health-care benefit. Do you agree with this Supreme Court ruling? Or disagree? Agree 46% 72% 37% 16% 45% 44% 47% 40% 49% 50% 46% 45% 42% 42% 48% 51% Disagree 40% 17% 48% 70% 33% 42% 43% 39% 41% 42% 42% 39% 41% 41% 42% 34% Not Sure 14% 12% 14% 14% 22% 14% 9% 21% 10% 8% 12% 15% 17% 17% 10% 15% 14 Do you favor or oppose allowing gays and lesbians to marry in Kentucky? Favor 37% 35% 39% 49% 40% 38% 25% 43% 32% 38% 32% 38% 40% 21% 48% 50% Oppose 50% 50% 50% 39% 45% 50% 65% 43% 57% 50% 51% 51% 48% 69% 41% 31% Not Sure 12% 15% 10% 12% 15% 11% 10% 14% 11% 12% 16% 11% 12% 10% 11% 19% 14 Do you favor or oppose allowing gays and lesbians to marry in Kentucky? Favor 37% 16% 45% 67% 27% 38% 44% 36% 39% 40% 50% 33% 30% 46% 40% 28% Oppose 50% 77% 38% 21% 62% 46% 47% 50% 50% 49% 37% 56% 53% 43% 47% 64% Not Sure 12% 7% 17% 12% 11% 16% 9% 14% 11% 11% 13% 12% 18% 10% 13% 7% - Page 10
15 What is the most important issue facing the United States? The economy and jobs? Immigration reform? Foreign policy? Healthcare? Energy? Taxes and spending? Social issues? Or something else? Economy And Jobs 56% 54% 57% 61% 58% 53% 53% 59% 53% 55% 73% 55% 59% 52% 60% 56% Immigration 10% 11% 10% 10% 9% 11% 12% 9% 12% 10% 6% 11% 9% 15% 9% 5% Foreign Policy 4% 4% 5% 1% 4% 4% 8% 3% 6% 5% 3% 5% 4% 5% 5% 1% Healthcare 9% 8% 10% 10% 8% 10% 8% 9% 9% 9% 8% 10% 5% 10% 9% 7% Energy 2% 2% 1% 2% 3% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 0% 3% 2% Taxes And Spending 9% 12% 7% 7% 9% 12% 9% 8% 10% 10% 3% 10% 11% 8% 7% 17% Social Issues 3% 2% 3% 4% 3% 3% 1% 3% 2% 3% 0% 3% 2% 3% 2% 3% Other 3% 4% 3% 2% 4% 4% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 6% 3% 3% 5% Not Sure 3% 2% 4% 4% 2% 2% 5% 3% 3% 3% 4% 1% 3% 4% 2% 3% 15 What is the most important issue facing the United States? The economy and jobs? Immigration reform? Foreign policy? Healthcare? Energy? Taxes and spending? Social issues? Or something else? Economy And Jobs 56% 50% 59% 59% 59% 56% 54% 60% 52% 54% 61% 54% 54% 53% 56% 63% Immigration 10% 15% 8% 6% 13% 11% 8% 9% 14% 6% 9% 11% 11% 9% 12% 8% Foreign Policy 4% 5% 5% 3% 1% 6% 4% 3% 5% 5% 1% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% Healthcare 9% 7% 10% 10% 8% 7% 11% 9% 10% 8% 9% 9% 7% 10% 11% 7% Energy 2% 1% 2% 4% 0% 2% 3% 1% 2% 3% 1% 2% 1% 0% 3% 3% Taxes And Spending 9% 13% 10% 4% 8% 8% 12% 7% 9% 16% 9% 9% 9% 15% 8% 5% Social Issues 3% 3% 1% 4% 1% 4% 2% 2% 3% 1% 3% 3% 6% 2% 1% 3% Other 3% 3% 3% 4% 2% 4% 4% 4% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 2% 6% Not Sure 3% 3% 2% 5% 6% 3% 1% 4% 1% 4% 4% 3% 4% 2% 4% 2% - Page 11
16 Turning your attention to the 2015 election for Governor of Kentucky, several candidates have expressed a desire to run. First, Is your opinion of Attorney General Jack Conway... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other? Favorable 22% 22% 22% 22% 21% 22% 23% 21% 23% 23% 11% 26% 22% 14% 29% 23% Unfavorable 17% 23% 12% 15% 13% 20% 21% 14% 21% 17% 19% 20% 17% 24% 11% 15% Neutral 38% 36% 40% 39% 40% 37% 36% 40% 37% 39% 37% 37% 39% 37% 38% 42% No Opinion 23% 19% 26% 25% 26% 21% 19% 25% 20% 22% 33% 17% 22% 25% 22% 20% 16 Turning your attention to the 2015 election for Governor of Kentucky, several candidates have expressed a desire to run. First, Is your opinion of Attorney General Jack Conway... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other? Favorable 22% 11% 26% 37% 17% 22% 26% 18% 25% 26% 23% 22% 19% 30% 19% 20% Unfavorable 17% 27% 14% 5% 15% 14% 22% 12% 19% 25% 13% 19% 17% 20% 16% 15% Neutral 38% 37% 42% 33% 41% 41% 33% 42% 36% 34% 37% 39% 40% 30% 41% 42% No Opinion 23% 25% 19% 25% 26% 24% 19% 29% 20% 15% 27% 21% 25% 20% 24% 23% 17 Is your opinion of former Louisville metro council member Hal Heiner... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other? Favorable 11% 13% 9% 15% 7% 11% 13% 10% 12% 11% 15% 14% 11% 17% 7% 9% Unfavorable 12% 17% 8% 13% 13% 11% 11% 13% 11% 12% 9% 14% 12% 8% 16% 13% Neutral 40% 39% 41% 34% 38% 42% 45% 37% 43% 41% 36% 38% 40% 40% 37% 48% No Opinion 37% 31% 42% 38% 41% 37% 30% 40% 34% 37% 40% 34% 38% 36% 41% 29% - Page 12
17 Is your opinion of former Louisville metro council member Hal Heiner... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other? Favorable 11% 16% 9% 8% 8% 8% 16% 8% 15% 11% 13% 10% 5% 23% 10% 4% Unfavorable 12% 9% 14% 14% 9% 13% 14% 10% 12% 17% 11% 12% 9% 18% 11% 9% Neutral 40% 41% 40% 37% 50% 41% 33% 46% 35% 37% 39% 41% 47% 33% 39% 44% No Opinion 37% 34% 37% 41% 34% 38% 37% 37% 38% 35% 37% 37% 40% 26% 40% 42% 18 Is your opinion of agriculture commissioner James Comer... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other? Favorable 15% 18% 13% 12% 13% 17% 19% 13% 18% 14% 25% 18% 14% 18% 14% 14% Unfavorable 8% 11% 6% 13% 7% 6% 9% 9% 7% 8% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 6% Neutral 39% 38% 39% 39% 37% 40% 39% 38% 40% 39% 26% 37% 42% 37% 36% 48% No Opinion 38% 34% 41% 35% 43% 37% 34% 40% 35% 38% 42% 36% 35% 36% 41% 32% 18 Is your opinion of agriculture commissioner James Comer... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other? Favorable 15% 17% 15% 13% 19% 12% 16% 16% 15% 15% 11% 17% 17% 13% 17% 14% Unfavorable 8% 10% 7% 8% 6% 9% 9% 8% 7% 10% 10% 7% 10% 8% 7% 9% Neutral 39% 36% 42% 38% 40% 39% 37% 40% 38% 37% 42% 37% 38% 42% 36% 40% No Opinion 38% 36% 37% 41% 35% 40% 37% 36% 40% 38% 37% 38% 35% 37% 40% 37% - Page 13
: Lexington Herald-Leader, Louisville Courier-Journal, WHAS-TV Louisville, WKYT-TV Lexington Statement of Methodology: About the Poll: This poll was conducted by telephone in the voice of a professional announcer. Respondent households were selected at random, using Random Digit Dialed (RDD) sample provided by Survey Sampling, of Fairfield CT. respondents heard the questions asked identically. The pollster's report includes the geography that was surveyed; the date(s) interviews were conducted, the number of respondents who answered each question and the theoretical margin of sampling error for each question. Where necessary, respondents were weighted using the most recent US Census estimates for age, gender, ethnic origin and region, to align the sample to the population. In theory, one can say with 95% certainty that the results would not vary by more than the stated margin of sampling error, in one direction or the other, had the entire universe of respondents with home telephones been interviewed with complete accuracy. There are other possible sources of error in all surveys that may be more serious than sampling error. These include: the difficulty of interviewing respondents who do not have a home telephone; the refusal by some with home telephones to be interviewed; the order in which questions are asked; the wording of questions; the way and extent to which data are weighted; and the manner in which specialized populations, such as likely voters, are determined. It is difficult to quantify the errors that may result from these and other factors. Research methodology, questionnaire design and fieldwork for this survey were completed by SurveyUSA of Clifton, NJ. This statement conforms to the principles of disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls. - Page 14