COMMODITY RESEARCH Kunal Kame COMMODITY DAILY 17 TH APRIL 2018

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Transcription:

COMMODITY RESEARCH Kunal Kame COMMODITY DAILY 17 TH APRIL 2018

In Yesterday s Session Bullion moved higher as US Dollar weaken in Monday s session after Friday s US led missile strike on Syria, Russia did not respond promptly. US military strikes were made in response to a suspected chemical-weapon attack on civilians in Damascus and were the largest intervention yet by Western countries against Syrian President Bashar al-assad. This middle-east issues has pulled focus away from fears over a U.S.-China trade spat, which had gripped global financial markets in recent weeks. Gold in COMEX has risen from Friday s low of $1332 to yesterday s high of $1350 levels. In MCX gold opened on positive note and tested intraday high of 31355 levels before closing with gain of 0.60% at 31285 levels. Silver was also holding above 39000 levels while attending high of 39300 levels. Expect precious metals to remain positive and dip in price should be used to create long position. Crude was down by 1% as fears waned about escalating tensions in the Middle East following air strikes on Syria over the weekend. Down trend was also supported by rising drilling activity in US. WTI in NYMEX is down by 1.20% at $66.58 levels. Crude in MCX opened on negative note and attended low of 4327 levels. Some more correction up to 4300 is possible, but this dip should be used to create long position. NG was trading positively by almost a percent at 181 levels. These current levels are short term supply zone. Intraday rise in price should be used to initiate short position. All Base Metals were trading positively by an average 2% in Monday s session. Aluminium again out performed others and was leading the rally with gain of 4.85%. In LME, Aluminium prices touched a new six-year high on supply concerns after Rio Tinto said on Friday it would declare force majeure on some of its customer contracts following U.S. sanctions on its partner Rusal. Lead climb up by 3% and tested high of 156.35 while settling down at 154.60 levels. Nickel also moved up and attend intraday high of 939 level but ended day bit lower at 927. Overall expect metals to remain in sideways trend with negative bias. Technical Levels for METALS METALS S1 S2 S3 R1 R2 R3 TREND GOLD 30940 31080 31260 31380 31600 31880 Bullish SILVER 38400 38630 38900 39240 39480 39480 Bullish CRUDE 4289 4337 4377 4410 4455 4489 Bullish NG 172 175 178 181 183 185 Bearish COPPER 438 442 445 448 451 455 Bearish NICKEL 905 914 922 930 935 944 Bullish LEAD 147 150 152 154.40 157 159 Bearish ZINC 197 200 203 207 209 212 Bearish

Technical Levels for Currency CURRENCY S1 S2 S3 R1 R2 R3 Trend USDINR 64.94 64.17 65.34 65.68 65.87 65.95 BULLISH EURINR 80.71 80.83 80.91 81.15 81.27 81.44 BULLISH GBPINR 93.17 93.51 93.70 93.86 93.98 94.15 BULLISH JPYINR 60.57 60.80 61.10 61.23 61.68 62.00 BULLISH Todays Event Time IST KEY EVENT (US) EXPCD PREV IMPACT 06:00 PM Building Permits m/m 1.33M 1.30M Bullion 06:00 PM Housing Starts 1.27M 1.24M Bullion 06:45 PM Capacity Utilization Rate 77.9% 78.1% Base Metals 06:45 PM Industrial Production m/m 0.3% 1.1% Base Metals

How to these Technical Levels S1, S2 & S3 are Support Levels. R1, R2, R3 are Resistance Levels. If Expected Trend is Bullish Try to take long position around support Levels And Exit around Resistance Levels. If Expected Trend is Bearish Try to take Short position around Resistance Levels. And Exit around Support Levels. Created by: Inventure Research Contact : Commodity Research Desk, Inventure Growth & Securities Ltd,201,Viraj Tower, Near Landmark Building, Western Express Highway, Andheri (East),Mumbai -400 069 Tele: 91-22-8879606284 Extension :690, Fax: 91-22-40751535. E-mail: commresearch@inventuregrowth.com, website : http://www.inventuregrowth.com/ Notice: This document is prepared by Mr. Kunal Kame. Research for Inventure Group for private circulation exclusively for their clients. Disclosure: We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees, including persons involved in the preparation or issuance of this material may; (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company/companies mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company / companies discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company / companies or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The same persons may have acted upon the information contained here in. Disclaimer: This document has been furnished to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. The material is based upon technical reading of the Graph. Though utmost care is taken by the writer of this document, and it should be relied upon as such. Mr. Kunal Kame of Inventure Growth & Securities Ltd. or any person connected with any of these entities accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. Opinions expressed herein the report are our own and are based on Technical Research as of the date appearing in this document only. Reports based on Technical Analysis centers on studying charts of a stock's price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report based on a company's fundamentals. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward- looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that may not exactly adhere to the recommendations expressed herein. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and /or redistributed without company s prior written consent. In so far as this report includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable, although its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed.