EU Market Situation for Poultry Committee for the Common Organisation of the Agricultural Markets 22 March 218
-.2% -.8% -1.1% -2.4% -2.9% -3.3% -4.2% -4.5% 5.1% 4.6% 4.5% 3.8% 3.3% 2.7% 2.4% 1.5% 1.1% 1.%.8%.8%.5%.3%.8% 7.3% 6.3% 11.8% 11.2% P R O D U C T I O N 17% Change in Poultry Meat Production in % 217/216 (up to December) 12% 7% 2% -3% Source= Eurostat -8% LV DK SI LT CY IE PT RO PL FI UK CZ AT ES EL HR BE SE NL DE FR BG IT SK MT HU EU
P R O D U C T I O N NEW PARAMETERS Chicks hatched for fattening (1 pieces) 215 216 217 218 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
P R O D U C T I O N NEW PARAMETERS Production forecast of broiler (In tonnes) 216 217 218 1 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
P R O D U C T I O N NEW PARAMETERS Parameter National Average Live weight (kg) at Slaughter National Average Carcass yield (%) New parameters for the calculation of the estimated production of broilers BE BG CZ DK DE EE GR ES FR HR IE IT CY LV LT LU HU MT NL AT PL PT RO SI SK FI SE UK 2.4 2.1 1.9 2.1 2.11 2.39 2.4 2.66 2.2 1.99 2.4 2.6 2.64 2.1 2.44 2.4 2.33 2.55 2.23 1.83 2.44 1.85 2.2 2.2 2.12 2.34 1.91 2.23 68% 73.% 74.% 75.% 7.% 71.% 75.% 7.2% 67.% 69.4% 71.7% 7.1% 77.% 74.4% 75.1% 68% 7.1% 74.% 66.% 75.% 69.9% 72.4% 7.5% 72.5% 72.5% 75.% 69.% National Average Mortality (%) 2.% 4.3% 4.% 2.5% 3.- 3.5% (l.w) 4.% (h.w.) 2,5% - 3,% 6.% 5.2% 4.2% 3.7% 2.9% 5.% 3.2% 3.3% 5.% 2.% 4.2% 6.5% 3.5% 4.2% 4.2% 2.6% 2.5% 3.9% 3.5% 3.5% 4.8% National Average Period of rearing (days) 4. 51* 35. 35. 3-38 37-4 45. 43.5 37.7 35. 36.9 35/46 47.4 37.1 4. 4. 41.5 45. 41. 35. 42. 37.8 41. 37.7 38.5 37. 42.
P R O D U C T I O N Euro US Dollar exchange rate 1.6 16/3/218: 1 EUR = 1.23 USD 1.4 1.2 1. Exchange rate: Spot, ECB reference - U.S. Dollar/Euro.8 1/99 1/ 1/1 1/2 1/3 1/4 1/5 1/6 1/7 1/8 1/9 1/1 1/11 1/12 1/13 1/14 1/15 1/16 1/17 1/18
P R O D U C T I O N 26. 24. 22. 2. 18. Euro Argentine Peso and Brazilian Real exchange rate 16/3/218: 1 EUR = 25.4 ARS = 4.5 BRL Exchange rate: ARG Peso/Euro, Spot, ECB reference and local market quotes Exchange rate: BRA Real/Euro, Spot, ECB reference 16. 14. 12. 1. 8. 6. 4. 2..
$ / tonne C e r e a l P r i c e s World cereal prices ($/t) 3 28 26 24 22 2 18 16 Wheat - US SRW Gulf $ 216 Wheat - FR Cl. 1 Rouen $ 28 Wheat - Black Sea Milling $ 28 Barley-FR Dlvd Rouen feed $ 27 Maize - FR Bordeaux $ 195 Maize - US 3YC Gulf $ 19 14
Daily traded volume (1 contracts of 136 tonnes) Daily traded volume (1 contracts of 136 tonnes) C e r e a l P r i c e s US CME SRW wheat futures 4 Daily volume 26 2 Last 14 days 22 35 3 MAY 218 (R) SEP 218 (R) MAY 219 (R) 24 22 15 21 25 2 21 2 2 $/t 1 $/t 15 18 19 1 16 5 184 18 5 14 Chicago (CME) SRW futures 7/15 1/16 7/16 1/17 7/17 1/18 12 Chicago (CME) SRW futures 3/3/18 7/3/18 11/3/18 15/3/18 172 17
Daily traded volume (1 contracts of 127 tonnes) Daily traded volume (1 contracts of 127 tonnes) C e r e a l P r i c e s CME maize futures 1 12 96 8 Daily volume MAY 218 (R) SEP 218 (R) MAY 219 (R) 25 225 2 6 45 Last 14 days 17 165 163 64 175 $/t 3 16 $/t 48 32 15 15 156 155 16 125 Chicago (CME) Maize futures 12/14 6/15 12/15 6/16 12/16 6/17 12/17 1 Chicago (CME) Maize futures 3/3/18 7/3/18 11/3/18 15/3/18 151 15
Daily traded volume (1 contracts of 136 t) Daily traded volume (1 contracts of 136 t) C e r e a l P r i c e s CME soya futures 9 8 7 6 Daily volume MAY 218 (R) JUL 218 (R) AUG 218 (R) MAY 219 (R) 4 39 38 37 3 2 Last 14 days 4 395 5 4 36 35 34 $/t 39 39 39 386 385 $/t 3 2 33 32 1 381 38 1 Chicago (CME) soybeans futures 11/14 5/15 11/15 5/16 11/16 5/17 11/17 31 3 Chicago (CME) soybeans futures 3/3/18 1/3/18 375
May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18 $/ton C e r e a l P r i c e s Soyameal world quotations $/ton 6 55 Brazil Paranagua US Gulf Argentina Up River 41. 432. 449. 5 Source: IGC 45 4 35 3 25
Prices / 1 kg P R I C E S E V O L U T I O N S I N C E EU W E E K P R I C E S 11 last WEEK last MONTH last YEAR BROILER 184.38 /1 kg carcase weight -.6% +.8% + 3.%
uro/ 1kg P R I C E S E U E V O L U T I O N B R O I L E R Evolution of the weekly EU average price for Broiler Latest price ==> 184.38 EUR/1 kg 25 Evolution compared same period last year (Week 11) : + 3.% 195 185 175 165 Avg. 213-17 217 218 Source: MSs notifications (Commission Implementing Regulation (EC) 217/1185)
In uro/1 kg P R I C E S E U E V O L U T I O N B R O I L E R Broiler prices in EU, USA and Brazil 23 21 184.38 155.79 79.72 19 17 15 13 11 9 7 5 Sources : EU = weighted average of MS prices - Broiler 65% US = weekly USDA prices - Fresh chicken grade A,Chicago BR = average of prices in main producing states - (Aveworld.com.br) EU US BR
T R A D E E U I M P O R T S B r o i l e r P r o d u c t s Imports of Poultry meat from selected origins 214 215 216 217 Jan-janv 18 Compared tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-janv 17 Thailand 251 185 29.7% 274 524 31.4% 29 39 32.2% 265 738 32.9% 26 988 38.6% + 14% Brazil 57 355 6.% 51 327 57.3% 54 796 56.% 41 465 49.7% 24 862 35.6% - 46% Ukraine 19 958 2.4% 42 513 4.9% 48 83 5.3% 8 83 9.9% 8 694 12.4% +++ Chile 25 815 3.1% 22 232 2.5% 28 88 3.2% 24 973 3.1% 4 584 6.6% + 26% China 19 761 2.3% 18 43 2.1% 16 946 1.9% 19 23 2.4% 1 938 2.8% + 14% Turkey 16.% 441.% 173.% 1 479 2.1% +++ Argentina 1 996 1.3% 8 529 1.% 6 463.7% 6 3.8% 834 1.2% + 9% Switzerland 4 37.5% 2 424.3% 2 548.3% 2 752.3% 242.3% + 65% Others 6 351.8% 4 984.6% 3 656.4% 6 616.8% 242.3% #N/A Extra-EU 845 743 874 937 92 51 87 33 69 862 % change + 3.5% + 3.1% - 1.5% - 9.7%
TONNES cw Millions EUR T R A D E E U I M P O R T S B r o i l e r EU Poultry meat Imports EU IMPORTS of Poultry Meat (TONNES cwe) EU IMPORTS of Poultry Meat (Millions EUR) 8 345 77 48 1 527 199 69 862 9 8 7 23 2 179 25 2 44 39 46 249 8 694 24 862 6 5 4 3 85 97 54 15 1 28 758 23 752 26 988 2 1 98 83 88 5 Jan-janv 16 Jan-janv 17 Jan-janv 18 Jan-janv 16 Jan-janv 17 Jan-janv 18 Thailand Brazil Ukraine Chile China Other origins Thailand Brazil Ukraine Chile China Other origins
T R A D E E U E X P O R T S B r o i l e r P r o d u c t s Exports of Poultry Meat to Selected Destinations 214 215 216 217 Jan-janv 18 Compared tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-janv 17 Ukraine 8 84 5.3% 9 85 6.1% 114 891 7.1% 163 57 9.8% 15 975 12.3% + 54% Ghana 56 9 3.8% 68 283 4.6% 77 18 4.8% 135 298 8.1% 11 726 9.1% + 27% Philippines 57 641 3.8% 1 719 6.8% 126 733 7.8% 128 245 7.7% 11 63 9.% + 115% Hong Kong 136 177 9.1% 1 944 6.8% 123 771 7.7% 148 272 8.9% 11 63 8.6% - 29% Benin 163 844 1.9% 138 414 9.3% 116 858 7.2% 16 557 6.4% 9 255 7.2% + 2% Saudi Arabia 123 574 8.2% 142 496 9.6% 121 645 7.5% 98 797 5.9% 7 322 5.7% - 29% Vietnam 19 884 1.3% 27 128 1.8% 36 18 2.2% 53 544 3.2% 5 323 4.1% + 35% South Africa 23 412 13.5% 213 577 14.3% 271 92 16.8% 76 18 4.6% 5 154 4.% - 43% For.JRep.Mac 33 53 2.2% 31 44 2.1% 31 384 1.9% 34 2 2.% 2 883 2.2% + 35% Switzerland 31 511 2.1% 3 857 2.1% 31 921 2.% 31 48 1.9% 2 732 2.1% + 6% Russia 68 363 4.5% 1 223.1% 1 19.1% 993.1% 53.% - 32% Other Destinations 529 9 35.2% 543 975 36.5% 564 117 34.9% 686 657 41.3% 46 268 35.8% Extra-EU 1 53 984 1 489 871 1 616 72 1 663 29 129 356 % change -.9% + 8.5% + 2.9% + 9.%
TONNES cw Millions EUR T R A D E E U E X P O R T S B r o i l e r EU Poultry meat Export EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (TONNES cwe) 129 356 14 115 73 118 697 12 69 733 1 67 869 69 1 8 9 255 6 7 98 9 82 11 63 8 6 15 65 11 63 4 2 5 81 9 233 12 426 1 34 15 975 13 99 5 39 11 726 Jan-janv 16 Jan-janv 17 Jan-janv 18 EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (Millions EUR) 18 15 155 16 139 14 12 14 18 1 16 8 6 7 9 4 5 22 16 12 5 4 6 2 4 6 9 7 7 Jan-janv 16 Jan-janv 17 Jan-janv 18 Ukraine Ghana Philippines Hong Kong Benin Other destinations * Ukraine Ghana Philippines Hong Kong Benin Other destinations * * countries trading less than 155 ('Millions EUR)
in 1 Tonnes cwe T R A D E B A L A N C E EU Poultry meat Trade Balance 1 617 1 663 IMPORTS EXPORTS 1 54 1 54 1 49 1 431 1 428 1 275 1 265 1 8 1 6 1 4 1 11 1 116 1 153 1 114 1 2 1 17 676 1 63 1 46 997 997 982 1 16 891 858867 876 821 794 614 616 48 857 855 87 846 875 92 87 1 8 6 32 277 292 31 371 4 1997 1998 1999 2 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 Janjanv 18 129 7 2
T R A D E B A L A N C E EU Poultry meat trade balance (in 1 euros) 2 241 2 234 1 853 IMPORTS 2 66 2 97 2 89 2 19 EXPORTS 2 55 2 342 2 121 2 161 1 954 2 25 1 995 in Millions Euros 2 5 2 1 5 1 5 179 155 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 Jan-janv 18
Weekly epidemic curve for HPAI H5 outbreaks in poultry reported via ADNS (1/1/216-19/3/218) 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
HPAI in poultry, captive birds and wild birds 1/1/216-19/3/218 (MS affected in 217 in red, 218 outbreaks in blue) Member State Wild birds Poultry Captive birds GERMANY 1261 92 15 FRANCE 72 486 3 ITALY 24 83 (3) NETHERLANDS 189 1(2) 11 (1) BELGIUM 4 2 13 LUXEMBOURG 4 UNITED KINGDOM 133 13 IRELAND 13 DENMARK 78 1 1 GREECE 12 6 SPAIN 3 1 PORTUGAL 1 AUSTRIA 21 2 1 FINLAND 14 1 SWEDEN 4 4 2 CYPRUS 1 CZECH REPUBLIC 49 38 1 HUNGARY 196 24 5 POLAND 33 65 SLOVENIA 273 BULGARIA 2 76 (1) 2 LITHUANIA 13 ROMANIA 143 45 2 SLOVAKIA 252 9 2 CROATIA 48 11
EUROPA SITE MARKETS Where to find data: http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/markets/index_en. htm Click on link: Poultry Click on link: Presentations and prices (righthand side under: in this chapter) Choose the item (link) you want Poultry dashboard http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/dashboards/poultry -meat-dashboard_en.pdf