Merck FY/Q Financial Summary for Investors and Analysts

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Transcription:

Merck FY/Q4 2016 Financial Summary for Investors and Analysts A successful year: Healthcare solid commercial performance and first pipeline filings Life Science above-market growth amid seamless integration Performance Materials four pillar strategy supports profitability and innovation Organic growth across all regions and profitability expansion Delivery of targets: Net sales 15 bn, EBITDA pre 4.49 bn, EPS pre 6.21 Strong operating cash flow of 2.5 bn allows for significant deleveraging Overview Financials Q4 2016 Overview EBITDA pre increase driven by Sigma, end of Rebif commission expenses and higher royalties, offsetting higher R&D EPS pre up due to EBITDA pre increase and improved financial result Strong operating cash flow from EBITDA pre progression and improved working capital management in Q4 Net financial debt reduction reflects strong focus on deleveraging FY 2016 working capital increase due to higher business activity and FX Q4 2016 Cash Flow Statement D&A increases due to Sigma, LY contains evofosfamide impairment Changes in provisions last year mainly reflect provision build-up for evofosfamide Investing cash flow reflects capex and Biocontrol; LY contains Sigma purchase Capex higher due to HQ, Sigma and investments in China Financing cash flow reflects repayment of debt; commercial paper issuance LY YE 2016 Balance Sheet Ongoing amortization of Sigma-related intangible assets Significant reduction of financial debt Decline in interest rates drives increase in pension provisions Net equity increase reflects net income and FX Page 1 of 8

Q4 2016 Business Overview Healthcare Solid organic growth and pick-up of pipeline investments Net sales deviation YoY: organic +4.2%, FX -1.0%, portfolio -1.5% Rebif stable, volume erosion in EU due to competition is outweighed by U.S. pricing and higher U.S. year-end demand due to pharmacy stocking Moderate organic decline of Erbitux driven by mandatory EU price cuts and competition offsetting volume growth in China and Brazil Fertility portfolio remains strong, especially in U.S. and China, despite softer Gonal-f sales Marketing & selling reflect end of commission expenses for Rebif (U.S.) partially offset by year-end investments in launch preparations R&D spend pick-up reflects progress of key pipeline projects (avelumab, TGF-beta, BTK-i); low base last year Lower EBITDA pre and margin due to higher R&D costs Life Science Record sales quarter amid tough comparables Net sales deviation YoY: organic +3.7%, FX +0.3%, portfolio +28.8% Process Solutions growth driven by single-use products and services business, however some customer orders delayed Good demand from EU and U.S. pharma for biomonitoring yields solid organic growth of Applied Solutions Research Solutions shows slight organic growth growth in Europe and Asia is almost offset by lower demand in the U.S. Absolute costs higher due to Sigma and investments in Process Solutions field force Strong profitability reflects Sigma, business mix & synergy ramp-up Performance Materials Resilient profitability despite tougher LC environment Net sales deviation YoY: organic -5.9%, FX +1.4%, portfolio +1.5% 2016 display industry destocking still muting Liquid Crystals amid first signs of a normalization of market shares Innovative UB-FFS technology with record quarter, SA-VA launch in H2 2017 Strong growth of Integrated Circuit Materials driven by all major material classes, esp. strong dielectrics demand for complex structures Solid growth of Pigments & Functionals due to demand for automotive coating pigments and highly differentiated functional materials Resiliently strong profitability reflects leading market position in four highmargin businesses Page 2 of 8

2017 guidance Merck Group: Net sales: Slight to moderate organic growth EBITDA pre: About stable * o EPITDA growth drivers: Organic net sales growth with all three businesses contributing Sigma-Aldrich incremental cost and revenue synergies of ~+ 80m YoY Rebif U.S. price increase as of January 2017 Avonex royalty income for additional 6 months in 2017 Swap of royalty & license income stream with net benefit of mid to high double-digit m o EPITDA growth burdens: R&D costs increase 2017 in Healthcare: ongoing progress of pipeline and Vertex in-licensing Healthcare margins negatively impacted by product mix Fertility growth less fueled by favorable competitive situation in U.S. Elimination of 2016 one-time effects (disposal gain Q2, reversal R&D termination provisions) ~- 90m YoY Outlook by business sector: Healthcare Net sales: o Slight organic growth o o Ongoing organic Rebif decline Other franchises growing; Glucophage repatriation in China supportive EBITDA pre: o YoY % decline in the high single digits o Higher R&D investments, mix effects and 2016 positive one-time effects mitigated by higher royalty income Life Science Net sales: o Organic growth slightly above market; driven by Process Solutions o First contribution from top-line synergies EBITDA pre: o % YoY growth in the high single digits to low teens o Sigma synergies and organic growth contributing * Defined as low positive or low negative % variation Page 3 of 8

Performance Materials Net sales: o Slight organic growth o Volume increases in all businesses o Continuation of slight LC market share normalization cannot be ruled out EBITDA pre: o Slight increase YoY Additional financial guidance Corporate & Other EBITDA pre ~ - 350-380 m Interest result ~ - 250-260 m Effective tax rate ~23% to 25% Capex on PPE ~ 850 900 m Hedging / USD assumption 2017 hedge ratio ~50% at EUR/USD ~1.11 to 1.12 2017 Ø EUR/USD assumption ~1.06 1.10 Page 4 of 8

Merck Group Q4 Group Healthcare Life Science Performance Materials Corporate/Others m Q4 2015 Q4 2016 % YoY Q4 2015 Q4 2016 % YoY Q4 2015 Q4 2016 % YoY Q4 2015 Q4 2016 % YoY Q4 2015 Q4 2016 % YoY Net sales 3.464 3.830 11% 1.737 1.766 2% 1.085 1.441 33% 642 623-3% % organic 2% 4% 4% -6% % FX 0% -1% 0% 1% % portfolio 9% -2% 29% 1% EBIT 298 405 36% 213 279 31% 34 70 >100% 193 210 9% -142-154 9% Depreciation and amortization 505 548 8% 310 198-36% 126 282 >100% 64 59-7% 6 9 50% EBITDA 803 953 19% 522 478-9% 161 352 >100% 257 269 5% -136-146 7% Exceptionals in EBITDA 130 121-7% 1 20 >100% 111 67-40% 6 9 51% 12 26 >100% EBITDA pre 933 1.075 15% 524 497-5% 271 419 55% 263 278 6% -124-119 -4% Net financial debt* 12.654 11.513-9% * as per 31 December Merck Group FY Group Healthcare Life Science Performance Materials Corporate/Others m FY 2015 FY 2016 % YoY FY 2015 FY 2016 % YoY FY 2015 FY 2016 % YoY FY 2015 FY 2016 % YoY FY 2015 FY 2016 % YoY Sales 12.845 15.024 17% 6.934 6.855-1% 3.355 5.658 69% 2.556 2.511-2% % organic 3% 5% 6% -5% % FX -3% -5% -1% 0% % portfolio 16% -1% 63% 3% EBIT 1.843 2.481 35% 1.097 1.593 45% 301 556 85% 878 823-6% -432-492 14% Depreciation and amortization 1.511 1.934 28% 874 831-5% 373 822 >100% 242 254 5% 21 27 27% EBITDA 3.354 4.415 32% 1.970 2.425 23% 674 1.378 >100% 1.120 1.077-4% -411-465 13% Exceptionals in EBITDA 276 75-73% 31-297 n.m. 182 274 51% 12 29 >100% 51 69 35% EBITDA pre 3.630 4.490 24% 2.002 2.128 6% 856 1.652 93% 1.132 1.106-2% -360-396 10% Net financial debt* 12.654 11.513-9% * as per 31 December Page 5 of 8

Merck Group P&L Group Q4 2015 Q4 2016 % YoY Net sales 3.464 3.830 11% Cost of sales -1.149-1.328 16% thereof: intangibles amortization -43-44 3% Gross profit 2.314 2.502 8% Marketing and selling expenses -1.106-1.224 11% thereof: intangibles amortization -222-265 20% Administration -217-234 8% Other operating income/expenses -298-92 -69% Research and development -395-547 38% EBIT 298 405 36% Depreciation and amortization 505 548 8% EBITDA 803 953 19% Exceptionals in EBITDA 130 121-7% EBITDA pre 933 1.075 15% Financial result -134-70 -48% Profit before tax 164 335 >100% Income tax -42-70 66% Income tax rate 26% 21% Profit after tax discontinued operations 6 0 n.m. Profit after tax 127 265 >100% Non-controlling interests -2 4 n.m. Net income 126 269 >100% Number of theoretical shares in million 434,8 434,8 EPS in 0,29 0,62 >100% EPS pre in 1,13 1,43 26% Page 6 of 8

Healthcare P&L Healthcare Q4 2015 Q4 2016 % YoY Net sales 1.737 1.766 2% Cost of sales -334-367 10% thereof: intangibles amortization 0 0 n.m. Gross profit 1.402 1.399 0% Marketing and selling expenses -728-709 -3% thereof: intangibles amortization -143-140 -2% Administration -64-68 5% Other operating income/expenses -115 75 n.m. Research and development -283-418 48% EBIT 213 279 31% Depreciation and amortization 310 198-36% EBITDA 522 478-9% Exceptionals in EBITDA 1 20 >100% EBITDA pre 524 497-5% Life Science P&L Life Science Q4 2015 Q4 2016 % YoY Net sales 1.085 1.441 33% Cost of sales -518-679 31% thereof: intangibles amortization -13-15 9% Gross profit 567 762 34% Marketing and selling expenses -324-458 42% thereof: intangibles amortization -73-126 72% Administration -63-71 14% Other operating income/expenses -88-92 5% Research and development -59-70 19% EBIT 34 70 >100% Depreciation and amortization 126 282 >100% EBITDA 161 352 >100% Exceptionals in EBITDA 111 67-40% EBITDA pre 271 419 55% Page 7 of 8

Performance Materials P&L Performance Materials Q4 2015 Q4 2016 % YoY Net sales 642 623-3% Cost of sales -297-281 -5% thereof: intangibles amortization -29-29 0% Gross profit 345 342-1% Marketing and selling expenses -54-57 6% thereof: intangibles amortization -6 0 n.m. Administration -15-16 3% Other operating income/expenses -30-2 -92% Research and development -52-56 8% EBIT 193 210 9% Depreciation and amortization 64 59-7% EBITDA 257 269 5% Exceptionals in EBITDA 6 9 51% EBITDA pre 263 278 6% Page 8 of 8