Country Briefing: India
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1 Country Briefing: India April 27, 21 Dr. Edward Yardeni Debbie Johnson Please visit our sites at www. blog. thinking outside the box
2 Table Of Contents Table Of Contents Real GDP 1-2 Purchasing Managers Indexes 3 Industrial Production Merchandise Trade Financial Indicators 6 Monetary Policy & Inflation 7- Reserves 9 April 27, 21 / Country Briefing: India www.
3 Real GDP Figure 1. INDIA: REAL GDP (billions of rupees) Total (329.6) Q Source: Central Statistical Organization of India. 1 Figure 2. INDIA REAL GDP Total (7.2) Q Source: Central Statistical Organization of India. Page 1 / April 27, 21 / Country Briefing: India www.
4 Figure 3. INDIA REAL GDP Real GDP Private Consumption (.6) Q Gross Fixed Capital Formation (12.) Exports of Goods & Services (2.) Government Consumption (6.1) Imports of Goods & Services (.7) Q Q Q Q Source: Central Statistical Organization of India. -2 Page 2 / April 27, 21 / Country Briefing: India www.
5 6 Figure. Purchasing Managers Indexes INDIA: COMPOSITE OF MANUFACTURING & NONMANUFACTURING PMIs (+=expansion, sa) Source: HSBC/kit. 9 Figure. INDIA: MANUFACTURING & NONMANUFACTURING PMIs (+=expansion, sa) 9 Manufacturing (1.) Nonmanufacturing (.3) Source: HSBC/kit. Page 3 / April 27, 21 / Country Briefing: India www.
6 Industrial Production 1 Figure 6. INDIA: INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION (April 211-ch 212=1, nsa) Feb Total 1 Manufacturing Source: Central Statistical Organization of India. 3 Figure 7. INDIA INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION 3 2 Total (7.1) Manufacturing (.7) 2 1 Feb Source: Central Statistical Organization of India. -1 Page / April 27, 21 / Country Briefing: India www.
7 Figure. INDIA: MERCHANDISE EXPORTS & IMPORTS (billion US dollars, nsa) Merchandise Trade 3 Imports Exports Source: Ministry of Commerce and Industry. Figure 9. INDIA: MERCHANDISE TRADE BALANCE (billion US dollars, nsa) Source: Ministry of Commerce and Industry. -2 Page / April 27, 21 / Country Briefing: India www.
8 3 Figure 1. INDIA: FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATE (Rupees/US$, inverted scale) Financial Indicators day moving average Source: Wall Street Journal. / Figure 11. INDIA: MSCI SHARE PRICE INDEX (in dollars) day moving average. Source: Morgan Stanley Capital International and Haver Analytics. / Page 6 / April 27, 21 / Country Briefing: India www.
9 11 1 Figure 12. INDIA: REPO INTEREST RATE (percent) Monetary Policy & Inflation Apr Source: Reserve Bank of India Figure 13. INDIA: WHOLESALE PRICE INDEX Source: Ministry of Commerce and Industry Page 7 / April 27, 21 / Country Briefing: India www.
10 1 Figure 1. INDIA CONSUMER PRICE INDEX* Monetary Policy & Inflation * Official data start in Q For the purpose of empirical analysis, backcasted data prior to 211 were generated by the RBI but these backcasted data should not be seen as official price indexes. Source: Ministry of Commerce and Industry. 1 Figure 1. INDIA: CONSUMER PRICE INDEX* CPI (.3) Wholesale Price Index (2.) * Official data start in Q For the purpose of empirical analysis, backcasted data prior to 211 were generated by the RBI but these backcasted data should not be seen as official price indexes. Source: Ministry of Commerce and Industry. Page / April 27, 21 / Country Briefing: India www.
11 Figure 16. INDIA: TOTAL RESERVES MINUS GOLD (billion dollars, nsa) Reserves Source: Reserve Bank of India Figure 17. INDIA: TOTAL RESERVES MINUS GOLD Source: Reserve Bank of India -1 Page 9 / April 27, 21 / Country Briefing: India www.
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