and UVI-Institute for Leadership and Organizational Effectiveness (ILOE)

Transcription

1 and UVI-Institute for Leadership and Organizational Effectiveness (ILOE) US Virgin Islands General Election Poll

2 Methodology The poll was conducted September 29 October 1, % of the sample is online interviews, 15% is live phone calls, is interactive voice response (automated) phone calls. 10 of the sample responded they are registered to vote. 79% of the sample responded they are certain to vote in the general election, 13% responded likely, and 7% responded 50/50 chance. The territory wide results include 800 respondents and has a 3.46% margin of error. The individual district results include 400 respondents and has a 4.9% margin of error. The results are weighted by district based on historic election turnout trends.

3 Demographics () PARTY: Democratic 54%, No party/independent 25%, Republican 6%, Independent Citizens Movement 6%, Not sure 9% GENDER: Female 52%, Male 48% AGE: %, %, %, 65 and over 29%, Can t say REGION: 5, 49%

4 Demographics () PARTY: Democratic 57%, No party/independent 24%, Republican 5%, Independent Citizens Movement 5%, Not sure 9% GENDER: Female 52%, Male 48% AGE: %, %, %, 65 and over 29%, Can t say

5 Demographics () PARTY: Democratic 52%, No party/independent 26%, Republican 7%, Independent Citizens Movement 7%, Not sure 8% GENDER: Female 52%, Male 48% AGE: %, %, %, 65 and over 29%, Can t say

6 Governor Ballot Test (St. Thomas/St. John) Albert Bryan 29% Kenneth E. Mapp 13% Soraya Diase Coffelt Adlah "Foncie" Donastorg 7% 8% Warren Mosler 4% Moleto A. Smith Janette Millin Young 2% 2% Undecided 35% 3 4

7 Governor Ballot Test () Kenneth E. Mapp 32% Albert Bryan 17% Warren Mosler Adlah "Foncie" Donastorg 5% Soraya Diase Coffelt 3% Janette Millin Young Moleto A. Smith Undecided 32% 3 4

8 Governor Ballot Test () Kenneth E. Mapp 23% Albert Bryan 23% Warren Mosler 7% Adlah "Foncie" Donastorg 6% Soraya Diase Coffelt 5% Janette Millin Young Moleto A. Smith Undecided 33% 3 4

9 Kenneth E. Mapp Image % 3 23% % 19% 16% 24% 8% un un un un % 18% 24% 24% un un

10 Albert Bryan Image % 35% % 15% 39% 5% 6% 8% un un un un 4 37% 3 26% 2 7% un un

11 Warren Mosler Image % % 3 7% 17% 9% 15% 3 12% 19% un un un un % 3 9% 18% 9% 17% un un

12 5 Adlah Foncie Donastorg Image % % 15% 7% 13% 13% 18% un un un un % 3 7% 14% 16% 19% un un

13 Soraya Diase Coffelt Image % 9% 42% % 19% 9% 15% 5 un un un un % 3 24% 9% 12% un un

14 Janette Millin Young Image % % % 3 6% 14% 12% 5% 12% 1 16% un un un un % 18% un 13% 14% un 5

15 Moleto A. Smith Image % % % 18% un un 3 13% 12% un un % 1 1 3% un un

16 Senator At-Large Ballot Test Steven D. Payne Sr. 22% Angel L. Bolques Jr. 14% Sherry-Ann Francis 1 Undecided 54% Steven D. Payne Sr. 24% Angel L. Bolques Jr. 16% Sherry-Ann Francis 12% Undecided 49% Steven D. Payne Sr. Angel L. Bolques Jr. Sherry-Ann Francis Undecided 12% 1 19% 59%

17 Governor Mapp Free Tuition % 23% Approve Disapprove 72% 1 17% Approve Disapprove % 14% Approve Disapprove

18 Governor Mapp Hurricane Recovery Efforts % 24% 22% 28% 13% 4 Strongly approve approve disapprove Strongly disapprove 3 25% 26% 17% 13% 4 36% Strongly approve approve disapprove Strongly disapprove 3 27% 12% 12% 13% Strongly approve approve disapprove Strongly disapprove

19 Governor Mapp Economy % % 14% Approve Disapprove 37% 38% % 24% Approve Disapprove 3 25% Approve Disapprove

20 32 nd Legislature Approval Rating 7 64% % 28% Approve Disapprove 6 28% % 1 Approve Disapprove 13% Approve Disapprove

21 Most Important Issue in Voting for Legislature % 17% 15% 15% 1 4% 4 38% % 16% 15% 15% 12% 5% 3 15% 13% 9% 6%

22 District Senate District Donna Frett-Gregory Janelle K. Sarauw Athneil "Bobby" Thomas Myron D. Jackson Marvin A. Blyden Dwayne M. DeGraff Stedmann Hodge, Jr. Jean A. Forde Carla Joseph Alma Francis Heyliger Stephen "Smokey" Frett Irvin Pudna Mason, Sr. Dolores Todmann Bruce Flamon Wilma Marsh Monsanto George Trager Margaret Price Gustave R. Dowling Undecided 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% < < < 6% 6% 8% 9% 37% 3 4

23 District Senate Allison DeGazon Alicia Barnes Javon James Kurt Vialet Novelle E. Francis, Jr. Oakland Benta Kenneth "Kenny" Gittens Genevieve Whitaker Daren "Bogle" Stevens Lilliana Belardo-O'Neal Malik Stridiron Emmett Hansen Robert Moorhead Michael J. Springer Jr. Patricia James Carew Felix Norman Jn Baptiste Omar Hashim Henry Abraham Ortiz Troy Mason Undecided 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% < < < < 8% 7% 6% District 14% 5% 15% 25% 3 35% 32%