The Three Cities in Toronto 1970 to 2005

Transcription

1 The Three Cities in Toronto 1970 to 2005 A 2006 Census Update J. David Hulchanski A 2006 Census update of the maps, charts and data in: J.D. Hulchanski, The Three Cities within Toronto: Income Polarization among Toronto's Neighbourhoods, , University of Toronto, CUCS Research Bulletin #41, Available at Based on research carried out for the Neighbourhood Change Community University Research Alliance funded by the Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada. Partners: St. Christopher House & Cities Centre, University of Toronto. Research Team: Larry S. Bourne; Rick Eagan, Maureen Fair, J. David Hulchanski, David Ley, Richard Maaranen, Robert A. Murdie, Damaris Rose, R. Alan Walks. April 2010

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7 The Three Cities in Toronto: Selected Characteristics grouped on the basis of 35-year Individual Income trends, 1970 to 2005, by census tract City #1 City #2 City #3 Income Increased 20% or more since 1970 Income Increased or decreased less than 20% since 1970 Income Decreased 20% or more since 1970 City of Toronto OVERVIEW 1. Number and % of census tracts in Toronto (based on census 2001 geography. Toronto total of 527 includes tracts not classified due to lack of published data.) 2. Land area, square kilometres and % of Toronto s land area 100 / 19% 208 / 39% 206 / 39% 527 / 100% 102 / 16% 238 / 38% 278 / 44% 632 / 100% 3. Total dwellings (thousands) and % of Toronto, / 19% 373 / 39% 369 / 39% 934 / 100% 4. Total dwellings (thousands) and % of Toronto, / 20% 386 / 41% 372 / 39% 943 / 100% 5. Dwelling density (dwellings per sq km), ,852 1,622 1,338 1,492 2,481 / 6. Population in 2001 (thousands) and % of Toronto 419 / 17% 950 / 38% 1,080 / 44% 100% 2,503 / 7. Population in 2006 (thousands) and % of Toronto 428 / 17% 947 / 38% 1,067 / 43% 100% 8. Population density (persons per sq km), ,196 3,979 3,838 3,960 AGE PROFILE 9. Less than 15 years, 1971 / % / 15% 26% / 15% 33% / 19% 27% / 16% years, 1971 / % / 11% 18% / 12% 17% / 14% 18% / 13% years, 1971 / % / 41% 35% / 40% 37% / 38% 35% / 40% years, 1971 / % / 19% 13% / 17% 9% / 16% 13% / 17% years and over, 1971 / % / 14% 8% / 15% 4% / 14% 8% / 14% MARITAL STATUS (population 15 and over) 14. Single (never legally married), 1971 / % / 40% 44% / 38% 32% / 34% 44% / 37% 15. Legally Married (and not separated), 1971 / % / 44% 38% / 45% 56% / 50% 37% / 47% 16. Separated, but still legally married, 1971 / % / 3% 5% / 3% 4% / 4% 5% / 3% 17. Divorced, 1971 / % / 7% 3% / 7% 2% / 6% 3% / 7% 18. Widowed, 1971 / % / 5% 11% / 7% 6% / 6% 11% / 6% Page 7 of 12

8 FAMILIES & HOUSEHOLDS 19. Persons per household, 1971 / 2006 Note: one household equals one dwelling in the census 3.0 / / / / One person households, 1971 / % / 34% 13% / 29% 8% / 21% 14% / 28% 21. Households with six or more persons, 1971 / % / 2% 11% / 3% 12% / 7% 10% / 4% 22. Family households (% of households), 1971 / % / 60% 79% / 66% 87% / 75% 79% / 65% 23. Non-family households (% of households), 1971 / % / 40% 21% / 34% 13% / 25% 21% / 35% 24. Multi-family households (% of households), 1971 / % / 1% 4% / 3% 3% / 6% 3% / 3% 25. Single parent families (% of families), 1971 / % / 14% 10% / 20% 8% / 23% 10% / 20% 26. Couple families (% of families), 1971 / % / 86% 90% / 80% 92% / 77% 90% / 80% 27. Couple families with children at home (% of families), % 45% 49% 47% 28. Couple families without children at home (% of families), % 35% 28% 33% HOUSING AGE, CONDITION & STRUCTURAL TYPE 29. Dwellings built before 1946 as of % 25% 3% 18% 30. Dwellings built before 1971 as of % 69% 48% 58% 31. Dwellings built after 1971 as of % 31% 52% 42% 32. Dwellings built 2001 to 2006 as of % 5% 3% 6% 33. Dwellings in need of regular maintenance only, 1996 / % / 65% 63% / 64% 66% / 67% 65% / 66% 34. Dwellings in need of minor repairs, 1996 / % / 28% 27% / 29% 24% / 26% 26% / 27% 35. Dwellings in need of major repairs, 1996 / % / 7% 9% / 8% 9% / 8% 9% / 7% 36. Single detached housing, 1971 / % / 31% 42% / 31% 39% / 22% 40% / 27% 37. Apartment housing, 1971 / % / 57% 39% / 57% 43% / 63% 40% / 60% 38. Other housing structural types e.g., row housing, 1971 / % / 12% 19% / 12% 18% / 15% 20% / 13% 39. High-rise apartments (five or more storeys), % 30% 50% 40% HOUSING TENURE & AFFORDABILITY 40. Home owners, 1971 / % / 64% 57% / 60% 54% / 53% 51% / 54% 41. Owner-occupied condos (% of total dwellings), 1981 / Note: not available for rented condos in the census 2% / 14% 2% / 10% 11% / 17% 6% / 14% 42. Average property value of owner-occupied dwellings, 1971 / 2006 (constant 2006 dollars) $202,400 / $699,700 $169,100 / $382,900 $198,700 / $310,200 $180,800 / $413, Owner households spending more than 30% of income on housing, 1981 / 2006 (% of owners) 17% / 21% 17% / 27% 15% / 32% 17% / 28% 44. Renters, 1971 / % / 36% 43% / 40% 46% / 47% 49% / 46% 45. Average monthly rent, 1971 / 2006 (constant 2006 dollars) 46. Renter households spending more than 30% of income on housing 1981 / 2006 (% of renters) $830 / $1,120 $790 / $940 $840 / $900 $790 / $930 31% / 41% 30% / 45% 27% / 47% 28% / 47% 47. Social housing units 1999 (thousands) and % of total dwellings, / 6% 33 / 9% 41 / 11% 91 / 10% Page 8 of 12

9 IMMIGRANTS, VISIBLE MINORITIES & LANGUAGE 48. Immigrant population 1971 / % / 28% 38% / 45% 31% / 61% 37% / 50% 49. Non-immigrant population, 1971 / % / 72% 62% / 55% 69% / 39% 63% / 50% 50. Recent Immigrants 1971 (arrived between ) 10% 13% 10% 12% 51. Recent Immigrants 2006 (arrived between ) 4% 8% 15% 11% 52. White population (not a visible minority), 1996 / % / 82% 70% / 65% 46% / 34% 63% / 57% 53. Visible minority population, 1996 / % / 18% 30% / 35% 54% / 66% 37% / 43% 54. Black population, 1996 / % / 2% 6% / 6% 12% / 12% 8% / 8% 55. Chinese population, 1996 / % / 7% 8% / 9% 13% / 15% 9% / 11% 56. South Asian population, 1996 / % / 2% 5% / 6% 15% / 20% 8% / 12% 57. Other visible minorities, 1996 / 2006 (Filipino, Latin American, Korean, Arab & others) 58. Ethnic Diversity 2006, number of distinct ethnic groups living in each area and % of Toronto s 222 ethnic groups Note: 1. Includes multiple ethnic origins 2. the census does not identify every possible ethnic group separately, only 222 groups 59. Population not able to conduct a conversation in English or French, 1981 / Language spoken most often at home is neither English nor French, 1996 / % / 7% 11% / 11% 14% / 19% 12% / 12% 201 / 91% 214 / 96% 221 / 99.5% 222 / 100% 3% / 2% 5% / 5% 3% / 7% 4% / 5% 13% / 11% 29% / 29% 36% / 42% 29% / 31% EDUCATION 61. Persons 20 years or over with a university degree, 1971 / Persons 25 years or over with a university certificate, diploma or degree, Note: the education data changed in the census between 2001 and 2006 from persons age 20 and over to age 25 and over. 63. Persons 20 years or over without a school certificate, diploma or degree, Persons 25 years or over without a school certificate, diploma or degree, % / 49% 6% / 24% 7% / 20% 8% / 27% 61% 35% 31% 39% 8% 15% 17% 14% 7% 20% 21% 18% 65. Persons 25 years or over with a doctorate degree (PhD), 2006, total population and % 8,880 / 3% 8,320 / 1% 5,020 / 0.6% 23,100 / 1% EMPLOYMENT 66. White collar professional occupations, 1971 / 2006 (management, business, teaching, health, government and other related but excluding secretarial/clerical workers) 67. Blue collar occupations, 1971 / 2006 (manufacturing, construction, transportation, utilities) 68. Arts, literary, recreation occupations, 1971 / 2006 (artists, actors, musicians, writers, athletes and related) 69. Sales & service occupations, 1971 / 2006 (retail, food, hospitality and related) 25% / 58% 14% / 40% 19% / 31% 17% / 40% 18% / 5% 31% / 16% 27% / 24% 28% / 17% 3% / 10% 1% / 6% 1% / 2% 2% / 5% 21% / 17% 20% / 23% 20% / 24% 20% / 22% Page 9 of 12

10 70. Other occupations, 1971 / 2006 (primary industry, secretarial/clerical, occupations not stated) 33% / 10% 34% / 15% 33% / 19% 33% / 16% 71. Unemployment rate, 15 years and over, 1971 / % / 5% 8% / 7% 6% / 9% 7% / 8% 72. Youth unemployment rate, years, % 15% 18% 17% 73. Self-employed, 15 years and over, 1971 / % / 20% 4% / 12% 4% / 8% 5% / 12% AVERAGE INDIVIDUAL INCOME (persons 15 and over, before tax, from all sources) average individual income $88,400 $35,700 $26,900 $40, as a % of the CMA average of $40,700 Note: CMA is the Census Metropolitan Area 217% 88% 66% 99% 76. Change 1970 to 2005, as a % of the CMA average +99% -3% -37% -3% 77. Change 2000 to 2005, as a % of the CMA average +29% 0% -4% +3% 78. Taxation rate on individuals, 2005 (difference between before & after tax) 30% 18% 13% 20% average individual income after tax $62,000 $29,500 $23,200 $32, median individual income after tax $34,900 $23,900 $19,300 $22,500 AVERAGE HOUSEHOLD INCOME (persons 15 and over, before tax, from all sources) average household income $172,900 $71,500 $59,200 $80, as a % of the CMA average of $87, % 81% 67% 91% 83. Change 1970 to 2005, as a % of the CMA average +75% -11% -37% -8% 84. Change 2000 to 2005, as a % of the CMA average +28% -2% -5% +1% 85. Taxation rate on households (difference between before & after tax) 30% 18% 14% 21% average household income after tax $119,600 $58,900 $51,100 $63, median household income after tax $70,900 $49,000 $43,800 $46,200 HOUSEHOLDS BY INCOME RANGE (constant 2000 dollars, before tax, custom inflation-adjusted data) ($20,000 in 2000 = $22,190 in 2005; $100,000 in 2000 = $110,951) 88. Households with income $20,000 or less, 1970 / % / 14% 15% / 18% 9% / 21% 15% / 19% 89. Households with income $20,001 to $99,999, 1970 / % / 49% 78% / 64% 83% / 68% 76% / 63% 90. Households with income $100,000 or more, 1970 / % / 37% 7% / 18% 8% / 11% 9% / 18% PREVALENCE OF LOW-INCOME PERSONS (low-income cut-offs defined by Statistics Canada) 91. Persons in households below the LICO, before tax, % 22% 30% 25% 92. Persons in households below the LICO, after tax, % 18% 23% 19% Page 10 of 12

11 SOURCES OF INCOME (economic family units) 93. Employment (wages & salaries only), % of total family income in Government transfer payments (e.g. welfare, CPP), % of total family income in Other sources (e.g. investments, non-government pensions), % of total family income in 2005 MOBILITY STATUS (residential turnover) 83% 79% 76% 79% 3% 11% 15% 9% 14% 10% 9% 12% 96. Persons who moved in the previous five years, 1971 / % / 44% 53% / 42% 55% / 47% 54% / 45% 97. Persons who lived at the same address five years ago, 1971 / % / 56% 47% / 58% 45% / 53% 46% / 55% 98. Persons who moved within the past year, % 15% 16% 16% 99. Persons who lived at the same address one year ago, % 85% 84% 84% TRAVEL & PLACE OF WORK (place of work data excludes jobs with no fixed address) 100. Total jobs by place of work, 2001 / 2006 (thousands) 354 / / / Jobs in the area per 100 persons of working age living in the area (15-64 years), ,327 / 1, Jobs in the manufacturing industry by place of work (thousands) and % of Toronto, Jobs in the finance, insurance and real estate industry by place of work (thousands) and % of Toronto, / 8% 46 / 33% 78 / 55% / 27% 95 / 52% 28 / 15% Travel to work by car as driver or passenger, 2001 / % / 54% 56% / 55% 63% / 61% 59% / 56% 105. Travel to work by public transit, 2001 / % / 30% 34% / 35% 33% / 34% 33% / 34% 106. Persons working inside City of Toronto, % 67% 63% 66% 107. Persons working outside City of Toronto, % 14% 20% 16% 108. Persons working at home, % 7% 4% 7% 109. Persons working outside Canada, % 0.5% 0.5% 1% 110. Persons with no fixed workplace address, % 12% 11% 10% 111. Number and % of Toronto Transit subway stations within the area or on the edge of the area (within 300 metres), / 59% 50 / 74% 19 / 28% 68 / 100% CRIME & SAFETY 112. Total homicides 2005 to July 1, 2009, number & % of Toronto 35 / 10% 110 / 32% 183 / 54% 113. Homicide by shooting 2005 to July 1, 2009, number & % in each area 339 / 100% 22 / 63% 50 / 45% 102 / 56% 179 / 53% 114. Homicide rate 2005 to July 1, 2009, per 100,000 people Homicide victims by gender 2005 to July, 1, 2009, male % and female % 86% / 14% 74% / 26% 79% / 21% 78% / 22% 116. Average age of homicide victims 2005 to July 1, years 33 years 29 years 31 years Page 11 of 12

12 117. Homicide victims 20 years or younger, 2005 to July 1, 2009, number and % in each area 118. Total marijuana grow-ops broken-up by police, , number and % of Toronto 6 / 17% 24 / 22% 56 / 31% 89 / 26% 19 / 4% 155 / 32% 310 / 63% Marijuana grow-op rate per 10,000 dwellings, Notes: 1. This is a 2006 Census update of Table 1 in: J.D. Hulchanski, The Three Cities within Toronto: Income Polarization among Toronto s Neighbourhoods, , CUCS Research Bulletin #41, Available at 2. Figures reported for 1971, 1981, 1996, 2001 and 2006 are aggregations of census tract data using 2001 census tract boundaries as a base. Where 2001 census tracts were part of larger census tracts in 1971, 1981 or 1996 equal proportions/averages/ratios from these larger tracts were assigned to each subdivided tract based on the 2001 census tract boundaries. No adjustment was necessary for the 2001 census data. For census tracts that were subdivided between 2001 and 2006, the 2006 data were aggregated back to the 2001 census tract boundaries. Data are most accurate for census tracts that were never subdivided in the period. These tracts are located primarily in the older central part of Toronto. Holding the boundaries constant over time this way allows us to trace the history of specific census tracts as they are delineated in A separate analysis of the three cities in Toronto was conducted with the original 1971 census tract boundaries held constant for 1981, 1991, 1996, 2001 and 2006 income data and the results were found to be very similar. 3. City of Toronto totals may not correspond precisely with other sources due to differences in data sources and computational methodology. Also, percentages within columns or across rows that should add up to 100% may be slightly under or over 100% due to rounding error. 4. All historical income data in the Census are before tax. Statistics Canada only started reporting before and after tax incomes in Census Sources: 1. Statistics Canada, Profile Series, Basic Cross-Tabulations, Topic-Based Tabulations Census 1971 to Statistics Canada, Custom Tabulations: E0985, E0982, E Social Housing Data - City of Toronto, Social Development, Finance and Administration. 4. Crime Data - University of Toronto Map Library with permission from the Toronto Star Data analysis: Richard Maaranen, Data Analyst, Cities Centre, University of Toronto. For further information, contact: J. David Hulchanski, PhD Professor & Associate Director for Research, Cities Centre, University of Toronto david.hulchanski@utoronto.ca Page 12 of 12