Advance Trading, Inc. Supply/Demand Summary
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1 Corn Advance Trading, Inc. Supply/Demand Summary Planted Acres % Harvested 91.8% 92.2% 91.7% 91.7% 91.8% 91.8% Harvested Acres Yield (BU/AC) Begin Stocks 1,731 1,737 2,293 2, ,140 2,140 0 Production 13,602 15,148 14,604 14, ,626 14,626 0 Imports (5) TOTAL SUPPLY 15,401 16,942 16,934 16, ,816 16,811 (5) Exports 1,901 2,294 2,438 2, ,450 2,450 0 Feed Use 5,114 5,470 5,298 5, ,500 5,500 0 Food/Ind./Seed 6,648 6,885 7,058 7, ,130 7,080 (50) Ethanol for Fuel 5,224 5,432 5,605 5, ,650 5,600 (50) TOTAL USAGE 13,664 14,649 14,793 14, ,080 15,030 (50) END STOCKS 1,737 2,293 2,140 2, ,736 1, Stocks to Use 12.7% 15.7% 14.5% 14.5% 11.5% 11.8% U.S. Farm Price $3.61 $3.36 $3.36 $3.36 $ $4.00 $ $3.95 Soybeans Planted Acres % Harvested 98.8% 99.2% 99.3% 99.3% 99.1% 99.1% Harvested Acres Yield (BU/AC) Begin Stocks Production 3,926 4,296 4,411 4, ,600 4,600 0 Imports TOTAL SUPPLY 4,140 4,515 4,734 4, ,063 5,063 0 Crush 1,886 1,901 2,055 2, ,080 2,080 0 Exports 1,942 2,166 2,129 2, ,900 1,900 0 Seed Residual TOTAL USAGE 3,944 4,214 4,296 4, ,107 4,107 0 END STOCKS Stocks to Use 5.0% 7.2% 10.2% 10.2% 23.3% 23.3% U.S. Farm Price $8.95 $9.47 $9.33 $9.33 $ $ 9.60 $ $ 9.35
2 Soybean Oil (Million Pounds) Begin Stocks 1,855 1,687 1,711 1, ,990 1,990 0 Production 21,950 22,123 23,767 23, ,025 24,025 0 Imports TOTAL SUPPLY 24,092 24,129 25,814 25, ,315 26,315 0 Domestic Disap. 20,162 19,862 21,376 21, ,200 22,200 0 Biodiesel 5,670 6,200 7,150 7,134 (16) 7,800 7,800 0 Food,Feed&Other 14,492 13,662 14,226 14, ,400 14,400 0 Exports 2,243 2,556 2,447 2, ,200 2,200 0 TOTAL USAGE 22,405 22,418 23,824 23, ,400 24,400 0 END STOCKS 1,687 1,711 1,990 1, ,915 1,915 0 Stocks to Use 7.5% 7.6% 10.0% 8.4% 7.8% 7.8% Average Price $29.86 $32.48 $30.04 $30.04 $ $32.00 $ $32.00 Soybean Meal (Thousand Short Tons) Begin Stocks Production 44,672 44,787 49,216 49, ,147 49,147 0 Imports TOTAL SUPPLY 45,336 45,400 50,112 50, ,050 50,050 0 Domestic Disap. 33,118 33,420 34,733 34, ,850 35,850 0 Exports 11,954 11,580 14,826 14, ,750 13,750 0 TOTAL USAGE 45,072 45,000 49,559 49, ,600 49,600 0 END STOCKS Average Price $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $330.00
3 Sorghum Planted Acres % Harvested 92.9% 92.5% 89.3% 89.3% 87.9% 87.9% Harvested Acres Yield (BU/AC) Begin Stocks Production Imports TOTAL SUPPLY Feed/Residual FSI (15) Exports TOTAL USAGE END STOCKS Stocks to Use 6.3% 6.8% 9.6% 9.6% 10.8% 10.8% U.S. Farm Price $3.31 $2.79 $3.22 $3.22 $ $3.80 $ $3.75 All Wheat Planted Acres % Harvested 86.0% 87.6% 81.5% 81.5% 82.8% 82.8% Harvested Acres Yield (BU/AC) Begin Stocks ,181 1, ,099 1,099 0 Production 2,062 2,309 1,740 1, ,884 1,884 0 Imports TOTAL SUPPLY 2,927 3,402 3,078 3, ,123 3,123 0 Food Seed Feed/Residual Exports 778 1, ,025 1,000 (25) TOTAL USAGE 1,951 2,222 1,979 1, ,174 2,149 (25) END STOCKS 976 1,181 1,099 1, Stocks to Use 50.0% 53.2% 55.5% 55.5% 43.7% 45.3% U.S. Farm Price $4.89 $3.89 $4.72 $4.72 $ $5.30 $ $5.25
4 Wheat by Class Hard Red Winter Begin Stocks Production 830 1, TOTAL SUPPLY 1,130 1,533 1,346 1, ,246 1,248 2 Domestic Use Exports (40) TOTAL USAGE (40) END STOCKS Stocks to Use 65.1% 62.5% 75.9% 75.9% 52.0% 60.0% Hard Red Spring Begin Stocks Production TOTAL SUPPLY Domestic Use Exports TOTAL USAGE END STOCKS (5) Stocks to Use 48.9% 41.2% 37.0% 37.0% 44.1% 42.9% Soft Red Winter Begin Stocks Production TOTAL SUPPLY (2) Domestic Use Exports TOTAL USAGE END STOCKS (12) Stocks to Use 41.9% 67.2% 67.0% 67.0% 51.2% 46.2%
5 Cotton Planted Acres % Harvested 94.1% 94.4% 88.0% 88.0% 73.9% 73.9% Harvested Acres Yield (Pounds/AC) Begin Stocks Production Imports TOTAL SUPPLY Domestic Use Exports TOTAL USAGE Unaccounted END STOCKS Stocks to Use 30.2% 15.1% 20.5% 22.5% 23.5% 24.0% U.S. Farm Price This material is a solicitation to enter into a derivatives transaction. The information and data contained herein have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but Advance Trading Inc. ("Advance") does not warrant their accuracy or completeness. Recommendations and opinions contained herein reflect the judgment of Advance as of the date hereof, are subject to change, and are based on certain assumptions, only some of which are noted herein. Different assumptions could yield substantially different results. You are cautioned that there is no universally accepted method for analyzing financial instruments. Advance does not guarantee any results and there is no guarantee as to the liquidity of the instruments involved in our analysis. Advance, its affiliates, and its and their officers, directors, and employees may sell or purchase, for their own account or for customers, positions in futures, options or other instruments which may be similar or different from the positions referred to herein. As a matter of policy, Advance does not give tax, accounting, regulatory or legal advice to clients. Clients therefore should consult their own advisors regarding the tax, accounting and legal implications of the recommended strategies before transactions are affected. Trading commodity futures and options involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Information
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