Chart Collection for Morning Briefing
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1 Chart Collection for Morning Briefing April 4, 218 Dr. Edward Yardeni Mali Quintana Please visit our sites at www. blog. thinking outside the box
2 1 Figure 1. WORLD EXPORTS VOLUME & US REAL MERCHANDISE EXPORTS + IMPORTS US Real Exports + Imports (trillion dollars, saar) World Exports: Volume (2=1, sa) Source: CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy and Bureau of Economic Analysis Figure 2. MEASURES OF WORLD TRADE GROWTH (yearly percent change) World Trade Measures World Exports (Volume) (=4.7) US Real Merchandise Exports + Imports (=3.) Source: CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy and Bureau of Economic Analysis Page 3 / April 4, 218 / Chart Collection for Morning Briefing www.
3 3 Figure 3. CHINA: IMPORTS PLUS EXPORTS (trillion yuan, saar) 3 3 Feb Source: China Customs and Haver Analytics. 7 Figure 4. CHINA: IMPORTS PLUS EXPORTS (yearly percent change) 7 2 Feb Source: China Customs and Haver Analytics. - Page 4 / April 4, 218 / Chart Collection for Morning Briefing www.
4 8 Figure. PURCHASING MANAGERS INDEXES: MANUFACTURING* (sa) Manufacturing PMI Global (3.4) Advanced Economies (.9) Emerging Economies (1.3) * An index above indicates an increase in manufacturing activity. An index below indicates a decrease in manufacturing activity. Source: kit and Haver Analytics Figure 6. PURCHASING MANAGERS INDEXES: MANUFACTURING* US (=9.3) UK (=.1) Eurozone (=.6) Japan (=3.1) * An index above indicates an increase in manufacturing activity. An index below indicates a decrease in manufacturing activity. Source: Institute for Supply Management, CIPS, kit, and Haver Analytics. Page / April 4, 218 / Chart Collection for Morning Briefing www.
5 Figure 7. PURCHASING MANAGERS INDEXES: MANUFACTURING* BRICs China (=1.) India (=1.) Brazil (=3.4) Russia (=.6) * An index above indicates an increase in manufacturing activity. An index below indicates a decrease in manufacturing activity. Source: HSBC, kit, and Haver Analytics. 13 Figure 8. ISM MANUFACTURING & WORLD TRADE ISM Manufacturing: New Exports Orders + Imports (sa) (118.4) -1 8 World Exports (Volume) (yearly percent change) (4.7) Source: Institute of Supply Management and CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy. -3 Page 6 / April 4, 218 / Chart Collection for Morning Briefing www.
6 2 23 Figure 9. REAL MERCHANDISE EXPORTS & IMPORTS (billions of 29 dollars, saar) Imports Exports Source: Census Bureau Figure 1. ALL COUNTRY WORLD MSCI REVENUES PER SHARE (in local currency) (analysts average forecasts, ratio scale) / Consensus Forecasts Annual estimates Forward revenues* * Time-weighted average of consensus estimates for current year and next year. Monthly through December 2, then weekly. Page 7 / April 4, 218 / Chart Collection for Morning Briefing www.
7 1 Figure 11. ALL COUNTRY WORLD MSCI INDEX NET REVENUE REVISIONS* NERI 4.78 Feb * Three-month moving average of the number of forward earnings estimates up less number of estimates down, expressed as a percentage of the total number of forward earnings estimates Figure 12. MSCI FORWARD REVENUES PER SHARE*: US vs. ALL COUNTRY WORLD EX US (analysts average forecasts) US MSCI (dollars) 3/ All Country World Ex US MSCI (local currency) * Time-weighted average of the consensus earnings estimates for current and next year. Monthly through December 2, weekly thereafter. Page 8 / April 4, 218 / Chart Collection for Morning Briefing www.
8 2 Figure 13. UNITED STATES MSCI INDEX NET REVENUE REVISIONS* NERI 1.1 Feb * Three-month moving average of the number of forward earnings estimates up less number of estimates down, expressed as a percentage of the total number of forward earnings estimates. 1 Figure 14. ALL COUNTRY WORLD EX-US MSCI INDEX NET REVENUE REVISIONS* NERI 2.44 Feb * Three-month moving average of the number of forward earnings estimates up less number of estimates down, expressed as a percentage of the total number of forward earnings estimates. Page 9 / April 4, 218 / Chart Collection for Morning Briefing www.
9 29 2 Figure 1. S&P STOCK PRICE INDEXES (daily, ratio scale) 4/ S&P Large Cap S&P 4 Mid Cap S&P 6 Small Cap 13 9 Election Outline Cut 9 I II III IV I II III IV I II Source: Standard & Poor s Figure 16. FORWARD P/E RATIOS FOR S&P STOCK PRICE INDEXES* (daily) / Wins S&P LargeCap (1.9) S&P 4 MidCap (16.) S&P 6 SmallCap (16.9) Outline Cut I II III IV I II III IV I II * Daily stock price index divided by -week forward consensus expected operating earnings per share. Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S and Standard & Poor s. 14 Page 1 / April 4, 218 / Chart Collection for Morning Briefing www.
10 18 16 Figure 17. S&P /4/6 FORWARD EARNINGS (dollars per share, ratio scale) 3/ Wins Outline Cut Forward Earnings* S&P LargeCap (161.99) S&P 4 MidCap (114.9) S&P 6 SmallCap (.2) I II III IV I II III IV I II * Time-weighted average of consensus estimates for current year and next year. 3 Page 11 / April 4, 218 / Chart Collection for Morning Briefing www.
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