Tejas Networks Limited

Transcription

1 IPO Note Other Telecom Services June 13, 2017 Tejas Networks Limited Tejas Networks Ltd (TNL) is an optical and data networking products company. It designs, develops and sells products to telecommunications & internet service providers, utility companies, defense companies and government entities in India and over 60 countries. TNL derives 63% of its revenues from domestic markets, while rest comes from international markets. As of May 15, 2017, the company had 313 employees in its R&D team and had filled 333 patents applications across the globe, out of which 56 patents have been granted. Rise in optical network capex expected: Less than 20% of cell towers in India are connected with fibre, as compared to 70-80% in developed countries. In our view, the optical network capex in India is likely to grow at 14% CAGR over FY Further, evaluation of high speed internet technologies would require existing telcos to upgrade network capacities for higher data traffic domestically as well as globally. Government s push for Digital India to further strengthen business: We believe that government s push for Digital India through projects such as the National Optical Fibre Network (BharatNet, where 250,000 gram panchayats would be connected through optical fibres), and Smart Cities will provide better growth opportunities for business. In addition, policies such as Make in India and Preferential Market Access Policy would further benefit TNL s business prospects. Favorably placed to capture the industry growth: We believe that TNL would benefit from the industry growth owing to - (1) Leadership position in the fast growing Indian optical equipment market (2nd, 15% market share); (2) Strong professional team with significant industry experience; (3) High product reliability, as it delivered <15 min down time a year since 2008; (4) Expanding exports into markets with similar economic pattern as India i.e. South East Asia, Latin America, Africa, etc. (5) Less competition owing to high entry barriers related to huge initial investment in R&D; and (6) An end-to-end portfolio of optical networking products for access, metro and longhaul networks. Strong operating leverage with asset light business: Going forward, we expect TNL to benefit from operating leverage, as the company has achieved necessary scale required in R&D. Further, company is adopting an asset light strategy by outsourcing most of its manufacturing to reputed electronics manufacturing services companies. Therefore, Its ROE has improved from 8% in FY2016 to 12.9% for FY2017, and we believe it will strengthen going ahead. Outlook and Valuation: TNL has reported strong revenue CAGR of 24.2% CAGR over FY and PAT of `64cr in FY2017 (loss of `79cr in FY2013). The RoE improved from 8% in FY2016 to 12.9% in FY2017, primarily owing to ongoing capex on Optical Network by Telcos, strong operating leverage with asset light business and strong professional team with significant industry experience. At the upper end of the price band, the pre-issue P/E works out to be 29.3x its 2017 earnings, 3.7x of FY2017 Book Value. Moreover, the company s debt free balance sheet post IPO coupled with the government s push for digital India would support the growth momentum. Thus, we recommend a SUBSCRIBE on the issue. SUBSCRIBE Issue Open: June 14, 2017 Issue Close: June 16, 2017 Issue Details Face Value: `10 Present Eq. Paid up Capital: `74cr Offer for Sale: **1.27cr Shares Fresh issue: `450 cr Post Eq. Paid up Capital: `91.52cr Issue size (amount): *`755cr -**776 cr Price Band: ` Lot Size: 55 shares and in multiple thereafter Post-issue implied mkt. cap: *`2239cr - **`2301cr Instituional Investor Pre-Issue: 100% *Calculated on lower price band ** Calculated on upper price band Book Building QIBs Non-Institutional Retail 75% of issue 15% of issue 10% of issue Post Issue Shareholding Pattern Instituitional Investor 66% Others 34% Key Financials Y/E March (` cr) FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 Net Sales % chg 14.6 (8.6) Net Profit 3 (18) % chg EBITDA (%) EPS (Rs) 0.4 (2.5) P/E (x) 667 (104) P/BV (x) RoE (%) 0.9 (5.4) RoCE (%) EV/Sales (x) EV/EBITDA (x) ; Valuation ratios based on pre-issue outstanding shares and at upper end of the price band Jaikishan J Parmar , Extn: 6810 Jaikishan.parmar@angelbroking.com Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report 1

2 Company background Tejas Network Ltd is an India based optical and data networking products company with customers in over 60 countries. TNL designs, develops and sells high performance and cost competitive products to telecommunication service providers, internet service providers, utility companies, defence companies and government entities (collectively, Communication Service Providers ). The products are used to build high-speed communication networks that carry voice, data and video traffic from fixed line, mobile and broadband networks over optical fibre. The products use programmable software-defined hardware architecture with a common software code-base that delivers an app-like ease of development and upgradation of new features and technology standards. Currently, India is the largest geographic segment (in terms of revenue) and we believe TNL is well positioned to take advantage of the growth opportunities arising out of Digital India and Make-in-India programs of the Indian Government. For the year ended March 31, 2016, TNL was the second largest optical networking products company in terms of market share in India, with a market share of 15% in the overall optical networking market. (Source: Ovum Market Share Spreadsheet: 1Q16 ON Subregional EMEA and AP, published in June 2016). Exhibit 1: Tejas Network products get used at,rhp June 13,

3 The current product portfolio targets access networks (i.e. the outer perimeter of a telecommunications network, which connects to the end consumers), metro networks (i.e. networks that aggregate and distribute traffic collected from access networks within a large city or region) and long-haul networks (i.e. networks that interconnect metro networks using high bandwidth transmission). As of April 30, 2017, TNL had filed 333 patent applications, with 203 filings in India, 89 filings in the United States and 6 filings in Europe, out of which 56 patents have been granted and the company has also filed 35 patent applications under the Patent Co-operation Treaty. Exhibit 2: Geographical Segmentation of revenue (%) Exhibit 3: Customer Segment of revenue (%) FY India America Other India - PSU India - PVT International June 13,

4 Issue details The company is raising `450cr through a fresh issue of equity shares in the price band of ` The fresh issue will constitute ~19.55% of the post-issue paidup equity share capital of the company, assuming the issue is subscribed at the upper end of the price band. The company is offering 1.27cr shares that are being sold by certain exiting investors and management. Investors selling shares in the IPO include Cascade Capital Management Mauritius, India Industrial Growth Fund (Frontline Strategy), Intel Capital and Sandstone Capital. Exhibit 4: Pre and Post-IPO shareholding pattern No. of shares (Pre-issue) (%)No. of shares (Post-issue) (%) Institutional Investors 7,20,38, % 5,93,26, % Public/DII/FII 0 0% 3,02,21, % 7,20,38, % 8,95,47, % Source: RHP, Angel Research; Note: Calculated on upper price band Objects of the offer More than 65% of the proceeds will go towards working capital (`303cr), a part of it will be spent on capital expenditure and towards payment of salaries and wages of Research & Development team (`45cr). The remaining will be set aside for general purposes (`102cr). Key Management Personnel Sanjay Nayak: Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer Mr. Nayak has been with TNL since the company s inception. He has spent his career in the area of Information Communication Technology and Electronics Manufacturing. He is the co-chairman of the Telecom Equipment and Services Export Promotion Council. Prior to joining TNL, he was the managing director of Synopsys (India) Private Limited. Balakrishnan V.: He is the Non-Executive, Independent Director and Chairman of the Company. He has been a Director of TNL since November 9, Mr. Balakrishna has served as the group s Chief Financial Officer and member of the board of directors of Infosys Limited. Kumar N. Sivarajan: Chief Technology officer Mr. Sivarajan has been associated with TNL since year He holds a PHD from California Institute of Technology. June 13,

5 Investment Rationale Rise in Optical Network capex expected The Indian network operators have under invested in optical fiber transmission as compared to their peers in China and the United States. This under investment is due to the initial focus on voice offering services and challenges in getting laying optical fiber in the crowded cities. Less than 20% of cell towers in India are connected with fibre as compared to 70-80% in developed countries (according to Delloite). In our view, Indian optical capex is likely to grow at 14% CAGR over FY Further, considering factors such as evaluation of high speed internet technologies, proliferation of powerful networking devices & Smartphone s, growth in enterprise cloud services & data, and games & HD videos would require existing telcos to upgrade network capacities for higher data traffic domestically as well as globally. Exhibit 5: Proportion of network sites around the world in % 45-55% 50-60% <20% India South Africa SEA Benchmark Developed Country, Delloite Exhibit 6: Growth in optical capex from FY Exhibit 7: Increased use of Smartphones drives data India 14% China 6% LATM& Caribben 5% Asia-Oceania 5% Global 4% North america 3% MEA 3% EMEA 2% Big 5 EU 2% RoAo 2% Japan 0% -2% 3% 8% 13% 18% Mobile broadband subscription in india (mn Users),Ovum June 13,

6 Government s push for Digital India to further strengthen business We believe that government s push for Digital India through projects such as the National Optical Fibre Network (BharatNet, where 250,000 gram panchayats would be connected through optical fibres), and Smart Cities will provide better growth opportunities for business. In addition, policies such as Make in India and Preferential Market Access Policy would further benefit TNL s business prospects. Exhibit 8: Government schemes supporting Make in India & Digital India Make In India Preferential Market Access (PMA): In government procurement for domestic products Fiscal Incentives : Supports domestic manufacturing in the form of Capital Subsidy, Tejas is approved under M-SIPS(2) Anti-Dumping Duties: On imports of SDH transmission equipment from China & Israel Merchandise exports from India scheme: For enhancing India s export competitiveness Karnataka (State) ESDM Policy: Providing research and development grant Digital India National Optical Fiber Network (BharatNet): Connecting 250,000 gram panchayats (villages) using GPON (FTTX) technology Smart Cities: Robust IT connectivity and digitalization for 100 Right-of-Way: New rules to ease right of way for faster optical fibre and mobile tower infrastructure rollouts Favorably placed to capture the industry growth: We believe that TNL would benefit from the industry growth owing to - (1) Leadership position in the fast growing Indian optical equipment market (2nd, 15% market share); (2) Strong professional team with significant industry experience; (3) High product reliability, as it delivered <15 min down time a year since 2008; (4) Expanding exports into markets with similar economic pattern as India i.e. South East Asia, Latin America, Africa, etc. (5) Less competition owing to high entry barriers related to huge initial investment in R&D; and (6) An end-to-end portfolio of optical networking products for access, metro and long-haul networks. June 13,

7 Strong operating leverage with asset light business: Going forward, we expect TNL to benefit from operating leverage, as the company has achieved necessary scale required in R&D. Further, company is adopting an asset light strategy by outsourcing most of its manufacturing to reputed electronics manufacturing services companies. Therefore, Its ROE has improved from 8% in FY2016 to 12.9% for FY2017, and we believe it will strengthen going ahead. Exhibit 9: Improving EBITDA margin & ROE FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY EBITDA (%) ROE (%) Financial performance track record TNL is consistently reporting improved numbers on the fronts of revenue, EBITDA and return ratios. The revenues have grown from `369cr in FY2013 to `878cr in FY2016, showing a 4 year CAGR of 24.2%. For FY2017, the company reported PAT of `63cr (after considering onetime expenses of `30cr) from loss of `79cr in FY2013. EBITDA margins have improved from 12% in FY2013 to 19.8% in FY2017, largely owing to better operating leverage. The company has made basic investments in R&D and professional man power in order to achieve the necessary scale. Hence, except cost of material, which is linked to revenue, majority of the operating costs are almost fixed. Therefore, we believe that the company would continue to report higher EBITDA margins and return ratios going ahead. From a loss making company in FY2013 it has been able to report RoE of 12.9% in FY2017, which is commendable. June 13,

8 Exhibit 10: Historical revenue Trend FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 Exhibit 11: Historical EBITDA trend % 22.4% % 18.0% 19.8% FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 EBITDA EBITDA Margin 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% Outlook and Valuation: TNL has reported strong revenue CAGR of 24.2% CAGR over FY and PAT of 64cr in FY2017 (loss of `79cr in FY2013). The RoE improved from 8% in FY2016 to 12.9% in FY2017, primarily owing to ongoing capex on Optical Network by Telcos, strong operating leverage with asset light business and strong professional team with significant industry experience. At the upper end of the price band, the pre-issue P/E works out to be 29.3x its 2017 earnings, 3.7x of FY2017 Book Value. Moreover, the company s debt free balance sheet post IPO coupled with the government s push for digital India would support the growth momentum. Thus, we recommend a SUBSCRIBE on the issue. Key risks Client concentration In FY2017, the company has generated 58% of the revenue from 5 customers however, any customer back out could severely impact revenue growth. Outstanding legal & Tax proceedings Total number of Tax proceedings against TNL is 40 and the amount involved is `159cr. The amount involved in civil cases is `19cr. Unfavorable verdict could disturb the financial condition of the company. Fluctuations in currency exchange rates As of Fiscal Years 2015, 2016 and 2017, US Dollar-denominated revenues represented 57.66%, 30.23% and 33.65% of total revenues respectively. Hence, any adverse or volatile movement in Currency could impact the financials of the company. June 13,

9 Consolidated Income Statement Y/E March (` cr) FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 Total operating income % chg (8.6) Total Expenditure License fees Personnel Others Expenses EBITDA % chg (145.9) (27.8) (% of Net Sales) Depreciation& Amortisation EBIT (4) % chg - - (49.0) (% of Net Sales) (1.0) Interest & other Charges Other Income (% of PBT) (31.7) (51.1) Extraordinary Items Share in profit of Associates Recurring PBT (30) 3 (18) % chg Tax PAT (reported) (30) 3 (18) % chg (% of Net Sales) (8.2) 0.7 (4.6) Basic & Fully Diluted EPS (Rs) (11.0) 0.4 (2.5) % chg June 13,

10 Consolidated Balance Sheet Y/E March (` cr) FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 SOURCES OF FUNDS Equity Share Capital Reserves& Surplus Shareholders Funds Total Loans Total Liabilities APPLICATION OF FUNDS Net Block Capital Work-in-Progress Investments Current Assets Inventories Sundry Debtors Cash Loans & Advances Other Assets Current liabilities Net Current Assets Other Non Current Asset Total Assets Note Net block includes Intangible Asset June 13,

11 Consolidated Cash Flow Statement Y/E March (` cr) FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 Profit before tax (79) 3 (18) Depreciation Change in Working Capital 2 (84) (14) 1 (95) Interest / Dividend (Net) (4) Direct taxes paid 0.2 (3) (2) (2) (6) Others Cash Flow from Operations (Inc.)/ Dec. in Fixed Assets (23) (56) (39) (46) (51) (Inc.)/ Dec. in Investments 23 (18) 10 (5) (90) Cash Flow from Investing (0) (74) (29) (50) (141) Issue of Equity Inc./(Dec.) in loans 5 61 (16) 9 (5) Others (36) (46) (23) (49) 46 Cash Flow from Financing 8 15 (40) (41) 40 Inc./(Dec.) in Cash 34 (32) 8 36 (18) Opening Cash balances Closing Cash balances Key Ratios Y/E March FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 Valuation Ratio (x) P/E (on FDEPS) (23.4) (103.6) P/CEPS (74.2) P/BV EV/Sales EV/EBITDA EV / Total Assets Per Share Data (Rs) EPS (Basic) (11.0) 0.4 (2.5) EPS (fully diluted) (11.0) 0.4 (2.5) Cash EPS (3.5) Book Value Returns (%) ROCE (0.7) Angel ROIC (Pre-tax) (0.8) ROE (24.6) 0.9 (5.4) Turnover ratios (x) Inventory / Sales (days) Receivables (days) Payables (days) ** Working capital cycle Source: Note: Valuation ratios based on pre-issue outstanding shares and at upper end of the price band **(ex-cash) (days) June 13,

12 Research Team Tel: Website: DISCLAIMER Angel Broking Private Limited (hereinafter referred to as Angel ) is a registered Member of National Stock Exchange of India Limited, Bombay Stock Exchange Limited and Metropolitan Stock Exchange Limited. It is also registered as a Depository Participant with CDSL and Portfolio Manager with SEBI. It also has registration with AMFI as a Mutual Fund Distributor. Angel Broking Private Limited is a registered entity with SEBI for Research Analyst in terms of SEBI (Research Analyst) Regulations, 2014 vide registration number INH Angel or its associates has not been debarred/ suspended by SEBI or any other regulatory authority for accessing /dealing in securities Market. Angel or its associates/analyst has not received any compensation / managed or co-managed public offering of securities of the company covered by Analyst during the past twelve months. This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals. Investors are advised to refer the Fundamental and Technical Research Reports available on our website to evaluate the contrary view, if any. The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking Pvt. Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Angel Broking Pvt. Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Angel Broking Pvt. Limited endeavors to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly. Neither Angel Broking Pvt. Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in connection with the use of this information. Disclosure of Interest Statement Company Name 1. Financial interest of research analyst or Angel or his Associate or his relative No 2. Ownership of 1% or more of the stock by research analyst or Angel or associates or relatives No 3. Served as an officer, director or employee of the company covered under Research No 4. Broking relationship with company covered under Research No Ratings (Based on expected returns Buy (> 15%) Accumulate (5% to 15%) Neutral (-5 to 5%) over 12 months investment period): Reduce (-5% to -15%) Sell (< -15) June 13,