The process towards Brexit: Theresa May s 10 deals to strike
|
|
- Scot Mason
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 The process towards Brexit: Theresa May s 10 deals to strike Adrian Gahan Managing Director, Sancroft 23 November
2 Deal 1: A deal within the Conservative Party Imperialists (Davis & Fox) Exaggerated sense of unilateral British power Economic liberals (but only understand trade in goods) Sovereignty, not immigration Insufficient attention/understanding of politics in continental Europe Nationalists (May & Timothy) Economic nationalism- Govt picking winners (Nissan) Political populism smash UKIP and Labour Immigration controls before trade ALBINOs (Hammond & Clark) A Little Brexit in Name Only Wish to avoid WTO cliff edge 2
3 Deal 2: A deal with Parliament Bluff called by High Court judgment Govt now needs to bring Brexit strategy to Parliament Reluctance is not about negotiating tactics Govt currently does not have a Brexit strategy Parliament will not block Article 50 3
4 Deal 3: Article 50 The Divorce Settlement Article 50: By end of March 2017 Two year deadline unlikely to be extended (2019 EU elections & 2020 EU budget) Will only cover the basics: - EU/UK citizen reciprocal rights - budget contributions - EU institutions in UK, staff, pensions - No formal talks on long term deal until out 4
5 Deal 4: Future UK/EU economic relationship Expect ratification (if ever?...) Source: Deutsche Bank, July
6 Deal 5: Interim UK/EU Deal ( ?) Likely 8-10 years between exiting EU & new trade agreement What do we do for the 2020s? WTO terms? Or temporary cover with an interim deal? To be negotiated simultaneously with Article 50 How much of single market will UK continue to have access to post March 2019? Budget contributions? CAP/CFP? ECJ rulings? Free movement restrictions? This is where you should be focusing your attention 6
7 Deal 6: WTO Deal UK already a member of WTO, but unable to submit own schedule until UK portions agreed with EU First agree with EU MS on UK schedule (tariffs/quotas/subsidies) Then need approval of 162 members. Each theoretically has a veto No trade deals until schedule agreed timeline & process as yet unclear 7
8 Deal 7: Bilateral Trade Deals 53 trade deals we currently enjoy via EU Cannot sign any deals until exited EU Countries willing to strike UK deal while EU trade relationship unclear? Will then take 8-10 year negotiations per deal. First UK bilateral trade deals early 2030 s? 8
9 Deal 8: Co-operation on CFSP/J&HA UK in strong bargaining position stronger since Trump win Deals 9 & 10: Scotland and Northern Ireland Economic & social relationship between NI & RoI Brexit in breach of Belfast Agreement? Second Scottish independence referendum? 9
10 Summary: Ten deals to strike 1. A deal within the Conservative Party 2. A deal with Parliament 3. Divorce settlement (Article 50) 4. Future UK/EU economic relationship 5. Interim UK/EU deal 6. WTO deal 7. Bilateral trade deals 8. UK/EU agreement CFSP/J&HA 9. Deal with Scotland 10. Deal with Northern Ireland 10
11 Points to remember 1. The Govt does not have a plan. So you need to present them with one. 2. Do not allow them to use you for spin 3. Beware the cliff edge in Push for the principle of an interim deal 5. Push for what you want to see for your sector in that interim deal 6. New trade deals are not going to bail you out until the 2030s, if ever. 7. Any trade deal struck before then will be political theatre beware cosmetic trade deals secured simply to get runs on the board 11
12 The winners & losers of globalisation Explaining Brexit and Trump in one graph Source: Branko Milanovic,
13 Adrian Gahan Managing Director Sancroft 46 Queen Anne s Gate London SW1H 9AP adrian.gahan@sancroft.com Tel:
The Impact of Brexit: What Treasurers Need to Know
Treasury and Trade Solutions The Impact of Brexit: What Treasurers Need to Know 22 March 2017 Citi s Footprint in the European Economic Area (EEA) Citi has a strong, diversified footprint in the UK and
More information13. A practical approach to Brexit november 2017
13. A practical approach to Brexit #kunskapsdagar Välkommen! Agenda Overview and update on negotiations Where are we now? Human Resources Issues Indirect Tax Implications VAT and Customs Duty Direct Tax
More informationBrexit. Triggering Article 50: what now?
Brexit Triggering Article 50: what now? www.freshfields.com/brexit 29 March 2017 Triggering Article 50: what now? The UK Prime Minister, Theresa May, has today formally triggered the process of the UK
More informationDon t count your chickens
Economic and Financial Analysis 26 July 2017 26 July 2017 Article Don t count your chickens Leading Brexiteers have been sent off by Mrs May to drum up support for trade deals but headlines have been hijacked
More informationBrexit: Potential Transitional Arrangements. By Con Lucey
Brexit: Potential Transitional Arrangements By Con Lucey Brexit: Potential Transitional Arrangements Institute of International and European Affairs, Dublin By Con Lucey Introduction A transitional arrangement
More informationRBK & AIB Backing the Midlands Corporate Sector. Welcome & Introduction
RBK & AIB Backing the Midlands Corporate Sector Welcome & Introduction Gerard Corcoran Head of AIB Meath, Westmeath & Longford Retail & Business Banking T: (046) 903 7850 E: Gerard.j.Corcoran@aib.ie Dermot
More informationTHE TWO-YEAR PERIOD FOR NEGOTIATING BREXIT CAN, AND SHOULD, BE EXTENDED. John Bruton Distinguished Fellow. Center for Transatlantic Relations
THE TWO-YEAR PERIOD FOR NEGOTIATING BREXIT CAN, AND SHOULD, BE EXTENDED John Bruton Distinguished Fellow Johns Hopkins University SAIS I am delighted to be invited to speak at this important launch. I
More informationUK Employment Law Update March 2015
Webinar UK Employment Law Update March 2015 Paul Callegari, Partner Emma Thomas, Senior Associate Copyright 2014 by K&L Gates LLP. All rights reserved. Presenters Paul Callegari Partner London T +44 (0)20
More informationBREXIT HELPING YOU FIND YOUR WAY ONE STEP AT A TIME
BREXIT HELPING YOU FIND YOUR WAY ONE STEP AT A TIME HELPING YOU FIND YOUR WAY ONE STEP AT A TIME BREXIT 01 INTRODUCTION THE UK S VOTE ON 23 JUNE 2016 TO LEAVE THE EU HAS SENT SHOCKWAVES AROUND THE GLOBAL
More informationYour Right to Know: The Case against Chequers and the Draft Withdrawal Agreement in plain English
Your Right to Know: The Case against Chequers and the Draft Withdrawal Agreement in plain English 18 November 2018 Summary: The case against the proposed Withdrawal Agreement on 1 page 1. We would hand
More informationYour Right to Know: The Case against Chequers and the Draft Withdrawal Agreement in. plain English
Your Right to Know: The Case against Chequers and the Draft Withdrawal Agreement in plain English 18 November 2018 1 Summary: The case against the proposed Withdrawal Agreement 1. We would hand over 39
More informationA legal view on Brexit
A legal view on Brexit James Bateson Global Head of Financial Institutions Norton Rose Fulbright LLP 25 April 2017 Agenda Withdrawal timeline Article 50 Impact on legal landscape Geo-political factors
More informationThe Irrelevance of Brexit for the European financial market
W. Georg Ringe Copenhagen Business School University of Oxford, Faculty of Law The for the European financial market NCMF seminar, Helsinki, 12 October 2016 (1) Introduction Starting point: Brexit referendum
More informationIP rights post-brexit
IP rights post-brexit March 2018 A year since Article 50 was triggered and with just over a year until exit day, clarity on IP issues is emerging for the first time: In this briefing Key IP Brexit issues
More informationEU Referendum. Why are we doing this? State of play and key issues IFoA activities Discussion / Q&A
EU Referendum Why are we doing this? State of play and key issues IFoA activities Discussion / Q&A Alan Watson, Actuary and Consultant, Aon Hewitt Tim Werkhoven, Policy Manager, IFoA Society of Actuaries
More informationUnweighted Bases Effective Weighted Sample
Table 24 In your opinion, which party is best able to negotiate Brexit? BMG UK Poll - OCTOBER 2016 Page 223 Gender Age Total Male Female 18 to 24 25 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65+ Unweighted Bases
More informationThe Sun Scottish Independence
The Sun Scottish Independence Methodology Note: ComRes interviewed 1,005 adults online on the th March 01. Data were weighted to be demographically representative of all GB adults by region, gender and
More informationSome impacts for fund managers of Brexit
Some impacts for fund managers of Brexit November 2015-1 - Europe Economics is registered in England No. 3477100. Registered offices at Chancery House, 53-64 Chancery Lane, London WC2A 1QU. Whilst every
More information1. Context i/ Scottish parliament support to look at differentiation:
Scotland, Brexit and Differentiation This note summarises oral evidence given by Kirsty Hughes, Senior Fellow, Friends of Europe to the European Parliament Constitutional Affairs Committee, 9 th February
More informationMPs Winter Survey Key Influencer Tracking February 2017
1 MPs Winter Survey 01 Key Influencer Tracking Report prepared for The UK in a Changing Europe and the Mile End Institute, Queen Mary University of London February 017 Methodology The referendum The Brexit
More informationFour principles for the UK's Brexit trade negotiations
PAPERBREXIT09 Four principles for the UK's Brexit trade negotiations Thomas Sampson #CEPBREXIT CEP BREXIT ANALYSIS No. 9 Four principles for the UK s Brexit trade negotiations Leaving the customs union
More informationNYSBA Paris Brexit - Legal and Constitutional Ramifications
NYSBA Paris Brexit - Legal and Constitutional Ramifications Michael Dean Partner Maclay Murray & Spens LLP Scotland and London Michael.dean@mms.co.uk Why the referendum? Conservative Prime Minister s party
More informationBrexit implications for shipping. INTERTANKO European Panel. Luisa Puccio and Rhiannon Ducas ADS Insight Bergen, 18 September 2018
Brexit implications for shipping INTERTANKO European Panel Luisa Puccio and Rhiannon Ducas ADS Insight Bergen, 18 September 2018 Brexit Key Dates Article 50 29 March YOU ARE HERE! UK Leaves EU 29 March
More informationBREXIT; WHAT WILL HAPPEN WHEN?
BREXIT; WHAT WILL HAPPEN WHEN? A brief outline of likely consequences and impact for Norwegian corporations 19 October 2016 AGORA INDUSTRI FORUM Partner Kjetil Haare Johansen, DLA Piper Norway www.dlapiper.com
More informationPost-EU referendum expert panel
Post-EU referendum expert panel Panellists Jon McLeod Chairman, UK Corporate, Financial and Public Affairs Laurent Chokoualé Datou Chairman, EU Public Affairs Conor Magowan Director of Public Affairs,
More informationPOST-ELECTION ECONOMIC UPDATE. Public
POST-ELECTION ECONOMIC UPDATE Created by: Andrew McPhillips Public THE INTERNATIONAL ENVIRONMENT IS LESS POSITIVE THAN SIX MONTHS AGO Growth has slowed in the major economies of China and the US. The Eurozone
More informationRolling Brexit Briefing
Rolling Brexit Briefing February 2018 edition Introduction Our rolling Brexit briefing is now structured in two parts: Part one, the Brexit update, serves both as a single reference document on all key
More informationMAKING A SUCCESS OF BREXIT FOR THE WHOLE ECONOMY BEN DIGBY INTERNATIONAL DIRECTOR, CBI
MAKING A SUCCESS OF BREXIT FOR THE WHOLE ECONOMY BEN DIGBY INTERNATIONAL DIRECTOR, CBI The CBI s consultation process across the country CBI s business parliament 13 councils 850 companies 85% outside
More informationUK LEGAL FUTURE - TRANSITIONAL ARRANGEMENTS HOUSE OF COMMONS 13 MARCH 2017 THE EU ROLL-OVER. Anneli Howard, Barrister, Monckton Chambers
UK LEGAL FUTURE - TRANSITIONAL ARRANGEMENTS Need for transitional arrangements HOUSE OF COMMONS 13 MARCH 2017 THE EU ROLL-OVER Anneli Howard, Barrister, Monckton Chambers The White Paper states that it
More informationBREXIT Update Possible impacts on the Irish Beef Industry
1 BREXIT Update Possible impacts on the Irish Beef Industry Dr Kevin Hanrahan, Trevor Donnellan and Dr Fiona Thorne Teagasc Rural Economy Development Programme 2 Tegasc National Beef Conference 2017 Planning
More informationBrexit Quick Brief #2. An orderly exit from the EU
Brexit Quick Brief #2 1 An orderly exit from the EU s are a series of short papers intended to inform readers about key commercial, regulatory and political considerations around Brexit. While they are
More information#PlanB Accessing the European market Brexit from an infrastructure provider perspective London. 12 June 2018
#PlanB Accessing the European market Brexit from an infrastructure provider perspective London 12 June 2018 1 The EU and the UK are strongly interlinked THE EU IS THE UK S MAJOR TRADE PARTNER In 2016,
More informationN Gage Trade Report Quarter
N Gage Trade Report Quarter 2-2016 TRADE REPORT Q1 PAGE 1 Abstract The Foreign Trade Quarterly report acts as a monitor of foreign trade being a fundamentally important aspect that directly impacts Egypt
More informationTax pledges in the 2015 election manifestos
Tax Services Tax pledges in the 2015 election manifestos With Thursday s general election still too close to call, a hung Parliament is widely expected and it is not clear which parties would be in a position
More informationThe Irish Economic Update
The Irish Economic Update Strong Growth Continues in 217 October 217 Oliver Mangan Chief Economist AIB 1 Strong recovery by Irish economy since 213 Irish economy boomed from 1993 to 27 with GDP up by over
More informationAlternate forms of Brexit and their implications for the United Kingdom, the European Union and the United States
Alternate forms of Brexit and their implications for the United Kingdom, the European Union and the United States Summary Charles P. Ries, Marco Hafner, Troy D. Smith, Frances G. Burwell, Daniel Egel,
More informationDismantling the Skies That Bind: Institutional Impacts of Brexit in Aviation Markets and Networks
Dismantling the Skies That Bind: Institutional Impacts of Brexit in Aviation Markets and Networks Maximilian Bauernfeind Austrian Ministry for Transport, Innovation and Technology Jagoda Egeland International
More informationTHE UNITED KINGDOM S DEPARTURE FROM THE EU: THE LATEST DEVELOPMENTS 15 SEPTEMBER 2016
Scottish Parliament Information Centre logo THE UNITED KINGDOM S DEPARTURE FROM THE EU: THE LATEST DEVELOPMENTS 15 SEPTEMBER 2016 This is the first in a regular series of updates produced by SPICe setting
More informationNEWS BREXIT NEXT STEPS FOLLOWING THE TRIGGERING OF ARTICLE 50. Background. Brexit the timeline for withdrawal
MARCH 2017 BREXIT NEXT STEPS FOLLOWING THE TRIGGERING OF ARTICLE 50 Background On 29, the UK notified the European Council of its intention to withdraw from the EU, pursuant to Article 50 of the Treaty
More informationBrexit, phase 2. Catherine Stephan. Phase 1: a minimal agreement on withdrawal terms
Brexit, phase 2 Catherine Stephan The European Council found that Brexit talks between the UK and the European Commission had advanced sufficiently to launch a new phase of negotiations. The definitive
More informationOutcome of EU Referendum-an overview
Outcome of EU Referendum-an overview Robert Windsor Policy and Compliance Manager EU Referendum-the basics EU Referendum held on 23 rd June 2016 Remain 48% Leave 52% Turnout 71.8% Only 3 areas voted to
More informationRequirements. for the Brexit transition phase and free trade agreement. 19 March 2018
Requirements for the Brexit transition phase and free trade agreement 19 March 2018 Bundesverband deutscher Banken e. V. Burgstraße 28 10178 Berlin Telefon: +49 30 1663-0 Telefax: +49 30 1663-1399 www.bankenverband.de
More informationSummary of political parties donations and borrowing for quarter four 2016 (October to December)
Summary of political parties donations and borrowing for quarter four 2016 (October to December) The Electoral Commission is the independent body which oversees elections and regulates political finance
More informationThe Irish Economic Update
The Irish Economic Update Continuing Robust Growth February 218 Oliver Mangan Chief Economist AIB 1 Strong recovery by Irish economy since 213 Irish economy boomed from 1993 to 27 with GDP up by over 25%
More informationAct or react? Navigating your business through political uncertainty. The better the question. The better the answer. The better the world works.
Act or react? Navigating your business through political uncertainty The better the question. The better the answer. The better the world works. For further information contact: Mats Persson Head of International
More informationBrexit and the insurance industry
Contents What we know What we don t know Regulatory implications Passporting Prudential regulation and reporting Transfers of business Risk management actions Contacts Brexit and the insurance industry
More informationThe decision to leave the EU: economic consequences for the UK
The decision to leave the EU: economic consequences for the UK 5 th December 2016 Simon Kirby (NIESR), London and ESRC Centre for Macroeconomics Outline of the talk The outcome of the vote Brexit means
More informationNEWS BREXIT NEXT STEPS FOLLOWING THE TRIGGERING OF ARTICLE 50. Background. Brexit the timeline for withdrawal
MARCH 2017 BREXIT NEXT STEPS FOLLOWING THE TRIGGERING OF ARTICLE 50 Background On 29, the UK notified the European Council of its intention to withdraw from the EU, pursuant to Article 50 of the Treaty
More informationCountry Insight Snapshot United Kingdom November 2017
Country Insight Snapshot United Kingdom Written 03 OVERVIEW O V E R A L L C O U N T R Y R I S K R A T I N G : D B 2 d Low risk: Low degree of uncertainty associated with expected returns. However, country-wide
More informationThe Irish Economic Update
The Irish Economic Update Continuing Robust Growth January 218 Oliver Mangan Chief Economist AIB 1 Strong recovery by Irish economy since 213 Irish economy boomed from 1993 to 27 with GDP up by over 25%
More informationBrexit and Your Business
Brexit and Your Business www.debevoise.com www.debevoise.com As the UK prepares to leave the European Union, we outline the possible next steps by the UK Government and how to assess the impact that Brexit
More informationBrexit: Seven big questions looming in 2018
Economic and Financial Analysis 13 December 2017 Global Economics 13 December 2017 Article Brexit: Seven big questions looming in 2018 The announcement of 'sufficient progress' removes a big layer of uncertainty
More informationBrexit What now for the cleared derivatives markets?
September 2016 Brexit What now for the cleared derivatives markets? Simon Puleston Jones, Head of Europe Brexit The markets reaction Reactions to Brexit Reactions to Brexit Reactions to Brexit Reactions
More informationDANSKE HAVNE OG BREXIT
DANSKE HAVNE OG BREXIT COMPOSITION OF THE HOUSE OF COMMONS Conservatives 329 MPs Labour 229 MPs SNP 54 MPs Other 29 MPs Liberal Democrats 9 MPs Working Government majority: 16 MPs 2 TRADE AND GDP OF THE
More informationForex and Interest Rate Outlook AIB Treasury Economic Research Unit
Forex and Interest Rate Outlook 29th June 2017 Global economic activity is strengthening but inflation stays subdued Fed continues to tighten, but market very much doubts its guidance on future rate hikes.
More informationWith "victories" like this
CIO Flash With "victories" like this Theresa May has survived a leadership challenge. For markets, alas, this changes very little. When it comes to amateur dramatics, the Westminster parliament is hard
More informationCountry Insight Snapshot United Kingdom April 2018
Country Insight Snapshot United Kingdom Written 30 March 2018 OVERVIEW O V E R A L L C O U N T R Y R I S K R A T I N G : D B 2 d Low risk: Low degree of uncertainty associated with expected returns. However,
More informationThe Outlook for Scotland s Economy in a post-brexit (and Trump!) world
The Outlook for Scotland s Economy in a post-brexit (and Trump!) world Professor Graeme Roy Director Fraser of Allander Institute November: 2016 Recent Developments Some short-term economic considerations
More informationNow the Hard Part: The Landscape post Brexit and the U.S. Elections
Now the Hard Part: The Landscape post Brexit and the U.S. Elections Dr Christian Büche, Frankfurt Daniel F. C. Crowley, Washington, DC Sean P. Donovan-Smith, London and Brussels Copyright 2016 by K&L Gates
More informationissue one: 13 september 2016 Keeping you informed Hard or Soft Brexit?
issue one: 13 september 2016 brexit tracker Keeping you informed in this edition: McCann FitzGerald is committed to keeping our clients, both Irish and overseas, up to date in relation to the legal and
More informationShort Term Politics v s Long Term Returns: What s Driving What?
Short Term Politics v s Long Term Returns: What s Driving What? Mark Blyth Eastman Professor of Political Economy The Watson Institute for International and Public Affairs, Brown University, USA. The Problem
More informationBrexit and competition law
Brexit and competition law Kluwer Competition Law Blog May 20, 2016 Assimakis Komninos (White & Case) Please refer to this post as: Assimakis Komninos, Brexit and competition law, Kluwer Competition Law
More informationInformation Guide. Latest revision: October 2017 Cardiff EDC
Information Guide The EU Referendum, 23 June 2016 The United Kingdom and the European Union: A guide to information sources Part 2 After the Referendum Ian Thomson Director, Cardiff EDC Latest revision:
More informationThe (Dis)United Kingdom? Ed Poole Cardiff University, Wales
The (Dis)United Kingdom? Ed Poole Cardiff University, Wales Overview Regional economic and industrial disparities in the UK How have the nations of the UK traditionally been funded? Scottish Independence
More informationHouse of Lords London SW1A 0PW. Tel: Fax: European Union Committee
European Union Committee House of Lords London SW1A 0PW Tel: 020 7219 5864 Fax: 020 7219 6715 euclords@parliament.uk www.parliament.uk/lords Rt Hon Dominic Raab MP Secretary of State for Exiting the European
More informationTaxing times Indirect tax forum
www.pwc.co.uk Indirect tax forum 5 Agenda 13.30 Registration 14.00 Welcome and update on hot topics Martin Blanche, 14.20 Workshop session 1 15.00 Tea break 15.20 Workshop session 2 16.00 Guest speaker
More informationBREXIT: BREXIT: CHARTING A NEW COURSE
BREXIT: BREXIT: CHARTING A NEW COURSE FEBRUARY 2017 FOREWORD When we began analysing in depth the possibility of Britain exiting the EU (Brexit), 18 months prior to the June 2016 referendum, the business
More informationAdvantageBC. September 19, Don Campbell
AdvantageBC September 19, 2017 Don Campbell CETA: What is the Agreement? Gold Standard Economic Partnership Agreement between Canada and European Union Most Comprehensive agreement ever negotiated model
More informationDraft Brexit deal: Implications for business
Draft Brexit deal: Implications for business KPMG summary and analysis Friday 23 November 2018 1 Overview On 14 November the UK Government and the European Commission published a 585 page Draft Agreement
More informationCan the UK Negotiate a New Kind of Free Trade Arrangement? By John Temple Lang 28 July 2017
Can the UK Negotiate a New Kind of Free Trade Arrangement? By John Temple Lang 28 July 2017 Can the UK Negotiate a New Kind of Free Trade Arrangement? By John Temple Lang This paper considers the possible
More informationFund Management Diary
Fund Management Diary Meeting held on 28 June 2016 Brexit - The Hail Mary Pass Prior to the Brexit vote when David Cameron was interviewed on Radio 4 and asked if he would resign if an Out vote occurred
More informationThe Economic Context for Budget 2019
The Economic Context for Budget 219 1 October 218 Oliver Mangan Chief Economist AIB Steady global growth forecast but GDP (Vol Change) 217 218(f) 219(f) 22(f) World 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 Advanced Economies 2.3
More informationBREXIT The Potential Implications. A joint IoD Ireland and IoD UK members survey
BREXIT The Potential Implications A joint IoD Ireland and IoD UK members survey SUMMARY This research report is a summary of the key findings delivered from a survey which was undertaken by the Institute
More informationEcon 340. Outline: Current Tensions in the International Economy NAFTA NAFTA NAFTA NAFTA. Lecture 1 Current Tensions in the International Economy
Econ 340 Lecture 1 Current Tensions in the Lecture 1: Overview 2 NAFTA What is it? North American Free Trade Agreement Does many things but most important: Zero tariffs on most trade between US, Canada,
More informationThe Costs and Benefits of Leaving the EU: Trade Effects
The Costs and Benefits of Leaving the EU: Trade Effects Swati Dhingra 1 Hanwei Huang 1 Gianmarco Ottaviano 1 João Paulo Pessoa 2 Thomas Sampson 1 John Van Reenen 3 1 LSE/CEP 2 EESP-FGV/CEP 3 MIT/CEP 20
More informationThis week s update focuses on an update on the negotiations of the withdrawal agreement including publication of the latest draft withdrawal text.
ǀ This regular paper produced by SPICe sets out developments in the UK s negotiations to leave the European Union, the process for which has now formally begun following the Prime Minister s triggering
More informationBrexit - What we know now - Industry Impacts
Brexit - What we know now - Industry Impacts Joe Burke, Sector Manager - Beef & Livestock June 2017 AIDAN COTTER BORD BIA Growing the success of Irish food 28 JANUARY & horticulture 2009 CHIEF EXECUTIVE
More informationBrexit: cliff-edge risks in international capital markets By Paul Richards
Brexit: cliff-edge risks in international capital markets By Paul Richards Summary The UK is proposing to leave the EU Single Market in financial services when it leaves the EU. Cliffedge risks will arise
More informationIP and the Consequences of Brexit
IP and the Consequences of Brexit ECTA, Brussels, September 14, 2016 Professor Spyros Maniatis Head, Centre for Commercial Law Studies Queen Mary University of London BREXIT means BREXIT but what does
More informationWhy we are Better Together as part of the United Kingdom
Why we are Better Together as part of the United Kingdom www.bettertogether.net Proud to be Scottish inside the United Kingdom (with England, Wales and Northern Ireland) Better Together is a campaign that
More informationBrexit update: Theresa May s biggest test yet?
Economic and Financial Analysis Article Global Economics Brexit update: Theresa May s biggest test yet? The UK Prime Minister faces a series of challenging parliamentary votes on her plan to leave the
More informationBREXIT SCENARIOS: IMPLICATIONS FOR ENERGY AND CLIMATE CHANGE QUARTER 2 UPDATE
BRIEFING PAPER June 21 st 2017 BREXIT SCENARIOS: IMPLICATIONS FOR ENERGY AND CLIMATE CHANGE QUARTER 2 UPDATE SHANE TOMLINSON Executive Summary Political events over the last three months, especially the
More informationState aid in the UK post-brexit - a familiar regime or a step into the unknown?
State aid in the UK post-brexit - a familiar regime or a step into the unknown? June 2018 Introduction The prohibition on State aid (that is, broadly, financial or other assistance provided by public authorities
More informationANDREW MARR SHOW 12 TH MARCH 2017 REBECCA LONG-BAILEY
1 ANDREW MARR SHOW 12 TH MARCH 2017 REBECCA LONG-BAILEY AM: Can I ask first of all about this row in Scotland. Do you think it will be fine to have a second Scottish referendum? RLB: Well, I think Jeremy
More informationAndrew Goodwin Lead UK Economist, Oxford Economics
Andrew Goodwin Lead UK Economist, Oxford Economics Brexit and the UK outlook Andrew Goodwin Lead UK Economist 3 rd November 2017 The post-referendum sterling slump has been central to the UK story in 2017
More informationThe economic implications for Scotland and RUK from leaving the EU: A CGE simulation
The economic implications for Scotland and RUK from leaving the EU: A CGE simulation Gioele Figus, Katerina Lisenkova, Peter McGregor, Graeme Roy and Kim Swales AMOS Computable General Equilibrium models
More informationBRODIES BREXIT GUIDE. FINANCIAL SERVICES AND BREXIT
BRODIES BREXIT GUIDE. FINANCIAL SERVICES AND BREXIT What might Brexit mean for financial services? On 29 March 2017 the UK s Article 50 Notice was delivered to the European Council in Brussels, triggering
More informationPLAN A+ Creating a prosperous post-brexit U.K. Executive Summary. Shanker A. Singham Radomir Tylecote
PLAN A+ Creating a prosperous post-brexit U.K. Executive Summary Shanker A. Singham Radomir Tylecote 1 Executive Summary Delivering the Brexit Prize The opportunity before the UK as a result of Brexit
More informationEconomics Update. Andrew Smith. February
Economics Update Andrew Smith February 2017 Twitter: @AndrewSmithEcon World economy reflating? Annual growth forecasts (%) 2013 2014 2015 2016 (e) 2017 (f) 2018 (f) US 2.2 2.4 2.6 1.6 2.3 2.5 Japan 1.6
More informationBrexit: The Trade Policy Outlook. L Alan Winters University of Sussex Director of UK Trade Policy Observatory
Brexit: The Trade Policy Outlook L Alan Winters University of Sussex Director of UK Trade Policy Observatory Why not just liberalise completely? Brexit concerns more than just border measures But even
More informationThe Daily Mail - Topical Poll Survey Summary Document. State of the parties - UK CON 38 LAB 41 LD 10 GRE 2 UKIP 4 SNP 3 AP 3
The Daily Mail - Topical Poll Survey Summary Document Client Survation on behalf of Daily Mail Sample size: 1013 interviews conducted online Fieldwork dates & times: 10th - 11th January 2019 (50% of sample
More informationJohn Temple Lang Solicitor: Adjunct Professor, Trinity College Dublin: Senior Visiting Research Fellow, Oxford
Can the UK Negotiate a New Kind of Free Trade Arrangement? John Temple Lang Solicitor: Adjunct Professor, Trinity College Dublin: Senior Visiting Research Fellow, Oxford Introduction In the UK referendum
More informationBrexit Update. AgriFood industry. Walking the tightrope a European view on Brexit
Brexit Update AgriFood industry Walking the tightrope a European view on Brexit Walking the tightrope a European view on Brexit With one year to go until the UK leaves the European Union (EU), the finer
More informationBREXIT: THE FUTURE OF THE CITY OF LONDON A PERSPECTIVE FROM THE ASSET MANAGEMENT SECTOR MARCO BOLDINI
BREXIT: THE FUTURE OF THE CITY OF LONDON A PERSPECTIVE FROM THE ASSET MANAGEMENT SECTOR MARCO BOLDINI BACKGROUND Increased political, regulatory and legal uncertainty for the UK markets UK set to leave
More informationIMPLICATIONS OF BREXIT FOR THE UK AND EU MEAT SECTORS
IMPLICATIONS OF BREXIT FOR THE UK AND EU MEAT SECTORS Presentation to AHDB Meat Export Conference 2017 June 29, 2017 Warwick, UK Alan Matthews Professor Emeritus of European Agricultural Policy Trinity
More informationDavid Smith. David Smith. Sunday Times September Copyright 2011 CIL Ltd. All rights reserved.
David Smith David Smith Sunday Times September 2011 Copyright 2011 CIL Ltd. All rights reserved. New dawn or false dawn? What s the economic and business outlook? Seven years after the worst storm in a
More informationHOW WOULD BREXIT AFFECT RETAIL?
HOW WOULD BREXIT AFFECT RETAIL? March 2016 HOW WOULD BREXIT AFFECT RETAIL? March 2016 CONTENTS 04 FOREWORD 05 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 06 READY RECKONER 07 TRADE If the UK left the EU, could we trade more freely?
More informationEnvironmental and climate change laws divergence or more of the same?
Brexit Law your business, the EU and the way ahead Environmental and climate change laws divergence or more of the same? July 2016 The United Kingdom s referendum vote to leave the European Union on 23
More informationBrexit and the Fisheries Bill the Government Perspective. Jo Anderson Fisheries Bill and Engagement
Brexit and the Fisheries Bill the Government Perspective Jo Anderson Fisheries Bill and Engagement Today s presentation Will cover how the legislative framework will enable us to deliver more sustainable
More informationKEY INTERNATIONAL LAW IMPLICATIONS OF THE COMMISSION S PROPOSAL TO AMEND THE GAS DIRECTIVE
8 March 2018 Brussels KEY INTERNATIONAL LAW IMPLICATIONS OF THE COMMISSION S PROPOSAL TO AMEND THE GAS DIRECTIVE Ana Stanič E&A Law English Solicitor Advocate Honorary Lecturer at University of Dundee
More information