LOGISTICS ASSISTANCE REPRESENTATIVES
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1 CECOM Directorate of Safety Risk Management Risk Management CECOM LOGISTICS ASSISTANCE REPRESENTATIVES Training
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3 Risk Management Why Safety? Battle and Non-battle Casualties Army W.W.II Korea Vietnam DS/S Accident 56% 44% 54% 75% Friendly 1% 1% 1% 5% Fire Enemy 43% 55% 45% 20% Action
4 The Army s Key to Reducing Accidents... Risk Management
5 RISK MANAGEMENT The Army s doctrinal process for identifying & controlling hazards. Identifies hazards that create unnecessary risks, and the controls which allow the commander to accomplish the mission. Hazards that cannot be eliminated or controlled through application of industry standards require formal risk acceptance. Assess Hazards Make Decisions Identify Hazards FIVE STEP PROCESS Supervise Implement Controls
6 RISK MANAGEMENT Definitions Risk Management - A process to identify, evaluate, select and implement actions to reduce risk. Risk - An expression of loss in terms of probability and severity. Hazard - A condition that is a prerequisite for an accident. Residual risk - Remaining risk after corrective action has been implemented. Risk Assessment - An evaluation of risk should a hazard result in an accident vs. benefits from accepting the risk.
7 RISK MANAGEMENT Five Step Process Risk Assessment o Identify Hazards - Potential exists, mission impact o Assess Hazards - Probability & Severity, identify options o Make Risk Decisions - Describe risk, controls o Implement Controls - SOP/training/standards, briefings etc... o Supervise - Reevaluate, lessons learned
8 RISK MANAGEMENT Risk Risk is defined as a probability that a situation will produce harm under specified conditions. Risk is a combination of : 1. Probability that an adverse event will occur. 2. The severity of the adverse event. Risk encompasses impacts on health, safety & equipment and arises from: 1. The existence of a hazard. 2. Exposure to the hazard.
9 Risk Management DECISION AUTHORITY MATRIX for RISK ACCEPTANCE H A Z A R D P R O B A B I L I T Y HAZARD FREQUENT PROBABLE OCCASIONAL REMOTE IMPROBABLE SEVERITY A B C D E MEDIUM CATASTROPHIC CRITICAL MARGINAL NEGLIGIBLE HIGH RISK MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM RISK LOW RISK High Risk - Significantly degrades mission capabilities. Medium Risk - Degrades mission capabilities. Low Risk - Little or no impact on accomplishing mission.
10 Definitions Hazard Probability A. FREQUENT Individual Soldier - Occurs often in career/equipment All Soldiers - Continuously experienced B. Likely Individual Soldier - Occurs several times in career/equipment All Soldiers - Occurs frequently C. Occasional Individual Soldier - Occurs sometime in career/equipment All Soldiers - Occurs sporadically or several times D. Remote Individual Soldier - Possible to occur in career/equipment All Soldiers - Remote chance but expected sometime Hazard Severity 1. CATASTROPHIC - Death or permanent total disability, systemloss, major property damage. 2. CRITICAL - Permanent partial & temp disability, major system damage 3. MARGINAL- Minor injury, lost workday, compensable, minor system damage 4. NEGLIGIBLE - First aid or minor supportive medical treatment, minor system impairment E. Unlikely Individual Soldier - Assume will not occur in career/equipment All Soldiers - Possible, but improbable, very rarely
11 RISK MANAGEMENT Decision-Making Principles o Clearly articulated. o Includes users & technical expert views. o Examines system interaction. o Implemented effectively, expeditiously & flexibly. o Shows impact on risks of concern. o Can be revised. AVOID: PARALYSIS BY ANALYSIS
12 RISK MANAGEMENT Risk Decision Options o Accept risk. o Accept risk with modified control measures. o Require more information. o Reject risk. o Elevate decision to higher authority.
13 RISK MANAGEMENT Implement Controls MOST EFFECTIVE o Engineer Changes - Minimizes risk. o Safety Devices - Requires engineering change. o Warnings - Requires engineering change. o Procedures - Do not eliminate the hazard. LEAST EFFECTIVE o Training - Use in combination.
14 RISK MANAGEMENT Supervision Why supervision? o Verify the controls were effective. o Identify needed modifications. o New information becomes available. o Lessons Learned.
15 Risk Management Traditional Approach vs Common Sense Random hazard assessment More omission Uninformed decision Reactive Compliance based Risk Management Methodical Systematic Less omission Informed decision Proactive Involvement and empowerment
16 = Less Accidents! 4th ID reduced accident by 50% during Vietnam using Risk Management!
17 Risk Management The Doha Catastrophe 2 Dead 58 Injuries 4 Tanks Destroyed 7 FAASV Destroyed 6 M109A3 Howitzers 27 Trucks 450 Tons of ammunition $50 Million Worst accident in Army history
18 Risk Management Gambling vs. Risk Management Gambler: Performs without regard to risk. The gambler is only guessing! Risk Manager: Weighs risk with mission, establishes controls, can reasonably predict the outcome.
19 RISK MANAGEMENT Integration Risk RISK MANAGEMENT Task Person Materiel Environment Task Person Materiel Environment Task Person Materiel Environment Task Person Materiel Environment Task Person Materiel Environment MISSION PLANNING DEVELOPMENT & TESTING OPERATIONS TERMINATION
20 SYSTEM APPROACH Task Persons Environment Materiel
21 RISK MANAGEMENT Principles o Integrate into mission planning, preparation and execution. o Accept no unnecessary risk. o Make risk decisions at proper level. Benefits o Enhance training o Training realism o Combat effectiveness o Reduces Accidents
22 Risk Management CECOM Can Assist in Making an Informed Risk Decision By Providing: Technical Guidance Categorizing Risk Identifying Alternatives
23 RISK MANAGEMENT The LARs Role The CECOM LAR provides the decision maker the technical guidance necessary for him to make an informed Risk Decision and plays a key role in the supervision process.
24 RISK MANAGEMENT Review o Five step Process for identifying and controlling hazards. o Accept no unnecessary risk. o Risk decision made at proper level. o Significant benefits. o Fully integrated into system. o LAR role to present technical guidance and assistance.
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