Embargoed Until 6:00AM, Sunday, December 9, 2007

Transcription

1 Embargoed Until 6:00AM, Sunday, December 9, 2007 MSNBC - McCLATCHY NEW HAMPSHIRE DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY POLL RESULTS 400 likely Democratic primary voters were interviewed by telephone December 3-6, 2007 by Mason- Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. The margin for error is plus or minus 5%. STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION: QUESTION: I am going to read a list of names. The first (next) name is. Do you recognize that name? (IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of? RECOGNIZE RECOGNIZE RECOGNIZE DON'T FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NEUTRAL RECOGNIZE Barack Obama 74% 4% 21% 1% Bill Clinton 74% 9% 16% 1% Hillary Clinton 67% 14% 18% 1% John Edwards 62% 11% 26% 1% Bill Richardson 45% 13% 35% 7% Joe Biden 45% 13% 34% 8% Dennis Kucinich 34% 23% 34% 9% Chris Dodd 31% 19% 43% 7% Mason-Dixon Polling & Research 1

2 QUESTION: If the 2008 New Hampshire Democratic primary were held today, which one of the following candidates would get your vote: (ORDER ROTATED) SEX AGE UNION? STATE MEN WOMEN < YES NO Hillary Clinton 30% 32% 29% 26% 32% 29% 30% Barrack Obama 27% 33% 23% 41% 18% 18% 29% John Edwards 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 17% 8% Bill Richardson 7% 6% 8% 6% 8% 6% 7% Joe Biden 3% 4% 2% 3% 3% 4% 3% Dennis Kucinich 3% 4% 2% 3% 3% - 4% Chris Dodd 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% Mike Gravel Undecided (NOT READ) 19% 10% 25% 10% 25% 24% 18% STATE PARTY REG DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT Hillary Clinton 30% 33% 22% Barrack Obama 27% 24% 34% John Edwards 10% 11% 7% Bill Richardson 7% 6% 11% Joe Biden 3% 3% 4% Dennis Kucinich 3% 2% 5% Chris Dodd 1% 1% - Mike Gravel Undecided (NOT READ) 19% 20% 17% Mason-Dixon Polling & Research 2

3 QUESTION: If after the Iowa caucuses the leading candidates in the New Hampshire Democratic primary are Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, would you vote for Clinton or Obama? STATE EDWARDS OTHER CLINTON 38% 54% 7% OBAMA 34% 35% 10% NOT SURE 28% 11% 83% SEX AGE PARTY STATE MEN WOMEN < DEMS INDS CLINTON 38% 39% 37% 33% 41% 40% 33% OBAMA 34% 39% 31% 45% 27% 30% 46% NOT SURE 28% 22% 32% 22% 32% 30% 21% QUESTION: If after the Iowa caucuses the leading candidates in the New Hampshire Democratic primary are Hillary Clinton and John Edwards, would you vote for Clinton or Edwards? STATE OBAMA OTHER CLINTON 44% 22% 26% EDWARDS 31% 50% 22% NOT SURE 25% 28% 52% SEX AGE PARTY STATE MEN WOMEN < DEMS INDS CLINTON 44% 40% 47% 41% 46% 47% 36% EDWARDS 31% 33% 30% 34% 29% 28% 39% NOT SURE 25% 27% 23% 25% 25% 25% 25% Mason-Dixon Polling & Research 3

4 QUESTION: Which ONE of the following qualities are you most looking for in deciding which candidate to support? Someone who: (ORDER ROTATED) 28% - cares about the issues I care about 25% is honest and trustworthy 24% - represents change and a new approach 13% - has the right experience 6% - has the best chance to win in November 3% Other/Not Sure (NOT READ) CHANGE ISSUES EXPERIENCE WINNER HONEST CLINTON 24% 31% 50% 12% 24% OBAMA 52% 19% 4% 8% 33% EDWARDS 7% 12% 4% 24% 8% RICHARDSON - 10% 15% - 8% BIDEN - - 6% 4% 5% KUCINICH % DODD % GRAVEL - - 2% - - UNDECIDED 17% 28% 19% 52% 17% Mason-Dixon Polling & Research 4

5 QUESTION: Which ONE of the following issues do you feel is MOST important: (ORDER ROTATED) Iraq 35% Health care 28% The Economy & Jobs 18% The Environment, Energy & Climate Change 13% Social Security 2% National Security or Terrorism 2% Other/Not Sure(NOT READ) 4% IRAQ ECONOMY HEALTH CARE ENVIRONMENT CLINTON 28% 26% 29% 21% OBAMA 20% 26% 31% 32% EDWARDS 7% 16% 11% 11% RICHARDSON 13% 5% 6% 12% BIDEN 3% 5% 3% - KUCINICH - - 2% 6% DODD 2% GRAVEL UNDECIDED 27% 22% 18% 18% Mason-Dixon Polling & Research 5

6 QUESTION: What do you feel the U.S. should do in Iraq? Should it: 3% maintain the current number of troops and current operations 14% - keep some troops there to maintain security & stability 51% slowly withdraw all troops from the country 30% immediately withdraw all troops from the country 2% - Not Sure (NOT READ) CURRENT/MAINTAIN SLOW IMMEDIATE CLINTON 41% 26% 26% OBAMA 19% 25% 37% EDWARDS 8% 13% 5% RICHARDSON 9% 3% 12% BIDEN 4% - 4% KUCINICH - 2% 3% DODD - 1% - GRAVEL UNDECIDED 19% 30% 13% QUESTION: Which Democratic presidential candidates do you feel has run the most negative campaign? (NOT READ) Hillary Clinton 13% John Edwards 8% Barack Obama 4% Bill Richardson 1% Chris Dodd 1% Dennis Kucinich 1% Mike Gravel 1% Joe Biden - None/Not Sure (DO NOT READ) 71% QUESTION: Overall, do you feel the nation s economy is on the right track or the wrong track? RIGHT TRACK 7% WRONG TRACK 83% NOT SURE (NOT READ) 10% Mason-Dixon Polling & Research 6

7 DEMOGRAPHICS: SEX: AGE: Men 40% Women 60% <50 38% % UNION HOUSEHOLD? Yes 18% No 82% PARTY REGISTRATION: Democrat 74% Independent 26% Mason-Dixon Polling & Research 7