Investment Update Global Real Estate Fund Quarterly Update Q4 2016

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Investment Update Global Real Estate Fund Quarterly Update Q4 2016"

Transcription

1 The Global Real Estate Fund quarterly update provides an overview of the market; fund performance, positioning and portfolio changes; and the fund manager s outlook for the months ahead. Economic Overview The global economy proved to be resilient despite elevated uncertainty as a result of geo-political surprises. A cyclical recovery is underway with improvement in global activity materialising quicker than anticipated. Market fears of deflation are fading with inflation beginning to accelerate quickly in most economies, but concerns remain about underlying inflation in Japan and the Eurozone. The UK economy showed a slight softening in economic activity in December but overall the economy appears to be holding up. Production staged something of a rebound while services activity remained robust. In the initial aftermath of the EU referendum, the Bank of England opted to provide proactive policy stimulus to support growth, but in November the BoE switched to a more neutral stance on the back of a resilient growth backdrop and a weaker sterling exchange rate. The European economy continued to grow at a modest pace in Q and data was solid at the end of Unemployment was at its lowest level in seven years and most business surveys were well into expansionary territory as Q4 drew to a close. Manufacturing activity has been supported by a slightly better global economic environment and the relative depreciation of the euro as US and Eurozone monetary policy continue to diverge. Whilst there are signs of rising inflation and consistent economic growth, monetary policy remains highly accommodative across Europe. The US economy ended the year with a strong showing in consumer spending supported by solid job growth translating into increased household wealth and rising confidence. Business equipment and intellectual capital spending improved, with industrial equipment a strong contributor. The Fed funds rate was increased in December and the prospect of higher rates in the US has attracted capital flows into the US dollar as investors seek higher returns. Weaker Asian currencies benefitted export-oriented economies in the region. Following stronger economic growth in Q3 2016, the economy of Japan provided further encouragement on the back of stronger retail sales and export performance. The lack of wage growth remains a concern. The Australian economy experienced a sharp slowdown in Q3 on the back of the cooling housing market. Household consumption growth slowed, business investment contracted and unemployment edged up. Real Estate Market Global real estate returns have started to soften as the rate of yield compression begins to slow across a number of key jurisdictions, whilst others such as the UK have experienced outward yield movement across a number of sectors in recent quarters. Notwithstanding this real estate fundamentals remain healthy and construction has been more muted during this cycle with has resulted in vacancy rates falling to a historic low. In the UK, the industrial sector performed best, underpinned by strong fundamentals. Central London, on the other hand, remains vulnerable to any change in the passporting regime that allows UK based firms to sell their financial services across other member states. As a result of subdued activity following the vote outcome in the UK, quarterly investment volumes were below the long term average in the final two quarters of the year. Overseas investors continue to be a key player in the UK market although their share of overall activity reduced from half of all activity in Occupier fundamentals on the European continent continued to improve. Take up in the key office markets are above the long term average, but demand continues to be driven by relocations, consolidation and cost control. There are signs of stronger net absorption in some markets and with take up eroding existing supply, office vacancy rates have trended down to the lowest levels in almost 10 years. Prime office rents increased significantly in select markets and incentives are falling. Investment appetite remains strong across the continent, but particularly for real estate in core markets. The US market is tight across all property types and new construction is starting to become a factor across more markets. Lenders are already beginning to tighten lending standards and developers continue to be more cautious this cycle. Rents are past peak levels in many markets, so there should be increasing pushback from tenants, but with vacancies expected to stay below long-term averages, US commercial real estate still has less downside, and more upside, than prior cycles. In aggregate, the U.S. market is historically tight and banks are already tightening lending standards, which should help extend the length of the cycle, giving landlords additional time to generate returns. The Asia Pacific real estate markets remain bifurcated. In Australia, Sydney and Melbourne continue to perform well on healthy fundamentals and the prospect of further yield compression. The Perth occupational market, on the other hand, remains weak. Tokyo offices have performed well on modest rental growth and some yield compression and there is evidence that much of the space which is to be delivered to the core markets in 2018 has already been pre-leased. The Singapore office market is bottoming and may exhibit attractive fundamentals again in the second half of Chart 1: The return of inflation? Jan 12 Jan 13 Jan 14 Jan 15 Jan 16 Australia Japan Eurozone US UK Source: Thomson Reuters Datastream as at 31 December 2016 Chart 2: Prime office rental growth YTD Q Stockholm London: M25 West Berlin Paris: La Défense Paris: WBD Barcelona Sydney Dublin Madrid Melbourne Hong Kong Tokyo Paris: CBD Paris: Central Stuttgart Dusseldorf Budapest Amsterdam Seoul Munich Frankfurt Prague Brisbane Perth Singapore Source: SLI, PMA_3Q 2016

2 Fund Positioning Top 10 assets (Direct only) Fund % Top 10 tenants (Direct only) % Contracted Rent 44 Esplanade, Jersey 8.0 Ogier 13.5 WTC Almeda House,Barcelona 8.0 Revlon 7.2 Galeria Gniezno,Poland 7.4 Dutch Heart Foundation & 5 Custom House Plaza, Dublin 6.9 Citco St Georges Terrace, Perth 6.6 Maxol Ltd St Kilda Rd,Melbourne, 6.6 Ansvar Insurance St Georges Terrace,Perth 4.8 Castorama 2.3 Fleming Court, Dublin 4.5 Mobelix 2.3 Retail Park Hana, Czech Republic 4.0 Carrefour 2.1 ExtraVerde, The Hague 3.4 Electro World 2.0 Top Ten direct assets at 31 December 2016 Top 10 direct tenants at 31 December 2016 Fund Facts Fund size Average lot size (direct) Average lease length Number of direct properties 14 Number of tenancies m 19.95m 5.7 years Distribution yield 2.74%* Standing void 17.14% *Yields are historic based on the preceding 12 months distributions as a percentage of the midmarket unit/share price at date shown. Yields will vary, do not include any preliminary charges, and investors may be subject to tax on distributions. % Contracted Rent Less than 5 years 60.0 Between 5 and 10 years 21.0 Between 10 and 15 years 5.0 More than 15 years 14.0 Cumulative performance % growth 3mths 6mths 1 yr 3 yrs 5 yrs Global Real Estate Fund Source: Standard Life Investments to 31 December 2016 Fund performance is quoted net of institutional fees (GBP). Sector allocation Offices 20.1 Retail % Geographical breakdown Australia Ireland United States Poland Czech Republic Spain United Kingdom Japan Netherlands India Sweden France Germany %

3 Investment Update Portfolio activity Properties in Focus Acquisitions and asset management Asset Dispoal Ginza 1 Chome, Tokyo We made no direct real estate acquisitions during the quarter. Following the recent sale of the Ginza building in Tokyo, we targeted further transactions in the Eurozone and the Fund bid on a number of German industrial and office buildings throughout. However these markets are fiercely competitive and we were consistently outbid by debt backed buyers. Whilst we will continue to look for investment opportunities in the Eurozone we are also beginning to evaluate new markets which are at an earlier phase of the property cycle. Following the completion of the refurbishment of 55 St George s Terrace, Perth, there are signs that the leasing campaign is beginning to gain traction and we currently have a number of proposals out to tenants. We are currently undertaking an options analysis at 182 St George s Terrace on remodelling the ground floor area in order to improve amenities within the building. In Dublin, we have a few small suites coming back in our Office asset at Fleming Court however, there remains strong interest in the space with vacancy rates for quality office accommodation in Dublin currently at low single digits. We are also hopeful of shortly finalising the terms for the remaining space in our Office asset in Barcelona to Revlon who are an existing tenant. During the quarter, we used a proportion of the Ginza proceeds to increase the Fund s listed real estate exposure, focusing particularly on the US and Europe. This investment increased the Fund s listed exposure to circa 16%. At the end of the quarter the approximate split between the regions in the listed portfolio was USA 66%, Europe 21% and Asia 13%. The US REIT market is benefitting from the reflationary environment and an improvement in its growth prospects as it expects some form of tax or economic reform. We remain overweight Europe on the listed side in a few stock specific names as we continue to see stronger rental markets in our most favoured countries. Given the political climate in the USA and Europe we continue to closely monitor our strategy within these jurisdictions. Performance overview The Fund s net institutional share class returned +0.0% during the fourth quarter of 2016 with the appreciation of Sterling against the Fund s underlying basket of currencies erasing the positive returns derived from the direct portfolio. The Q4 return took H returns to +5.5% and 1 year returns to +16.2%. With the exception of the two Perth Office assets, the underlying direct portfolio continues to perform well, albeit the rate of capital appreciation has moderated somewhat in recent months across certain markets where the cycle enters its latter phases Modern grade A office accommodation comprising 38,590 sq ft spread over 13 floors that was acquired in Purchased in conjunction with our local partner, Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank, to mitigate local market risks from investment in new market. Successful asset management initiatives meant that business plan objectives were achieved ahead of planned time schedule. Asset was fully let on disposal and performance was maximised through a combination of sharp yield compression and positive rental value growth. Strong asset levels returns of 64% on purchase price (in sterling terms) have significantly contributed to overall Fund performance. Sale proceeds have been partly recycled into listed real estate and the fund is currently targeting further direct acquisitions.

4 Forecasts Total returns are moderating across all markets as the yield cycle matures, but the outlook for rental growth remains positive. On a global weighted view, we anticipate the global real estate market delivering low single digit returns on an annualised basis over the next three years with returns being driven mainly by the elevated income component. In the UK, we have upgraded our forecasts and have moved the expected timeline for further declines in values into 2018 in line with the anticipated economic profile. Our view on sectors hasn t changed in that we continue to expect Central London to be the most vulnerable sector and industrials the most resilient in the current environment. In the low return/low yielding world we anticipate going forward, real estate yields continue to look respectable. Direct property in Europe continues to look attractive in a global context with modest capital value appreciation forecast to continue in Given that Europe is moving into a more mature position in the cycle, the strongest phase of capital appreciation is now behind us and yield compression will have a lesser impact on values. Rental growth expectations, supported by indexation from rising CPI, should support values over the next one to two years. Stronger signs of economic growth in early 2017 have led to a slight upgrade in rental market expectations for this year. In the US, the forecast for apartments has been lowered due to the oversupply of luxury CBD units beginning to impact rental growth. Conversely, historically low vacancies in logistics continue to provide landlords leverage, yielding raised expectations for industrial. Office and retail continue to see less demand than previous cycles, but also much less supply, which should allow the vacancies in those property types to continue receding. Some inflationary pressures are emerging in Asia Pacific, putting upward pressure on government bond yields, which in turn is pushing real estate yields up. Income has been the main driver of performance for some time already and the subdued development cycle and healthy tenant demand continue to drive rents up. The average total return forecasted for the next three years remains in low single digits, but Australian markets are high single-digits. Global TR Ranking 3yr return Very Heavy Heavy Neutral Light Very Light Hungary Australia India Portugal Netherlands Spain South Korea Germany Sweden France Denmark Ireland Czech Republic Italy Finland Belgium United States Poland UK Japan China Singapore Hong Kong Canada Latin America Offices Outlook The outlook for real estate remains positive despite political uncertainty. Tenant demand is expected to be sustained and low new supply to drive rental growth. Real estate yields continue to look fair value globally, relative to the yield on other assets, but upward pressure is evident in select markets. Despite the uncertainty associated with the political wrangling, UK real estate continues to provide an elevated yield compared to other assets. Furthermore, lending to the sector is at a lower level than in 2007/2008 unlike in the Financial Crisis and liquidity remains reasonable. In the environment where the economic fundamentals are expected to soften further and with uncertainty remaining above normal levels, we expect lower returns from property than has been the case over the last few years. The outlook for European real estate returns remains anchored by two key elements: the modest cyclical recovery underpinned by domestic demand and the accommodative monetary policy environment. Income growth is becoming a more prevalent driver of total returns, with rental growth returning to a wider range of markets. While attractive risk-adjusted returns are forecast in core markets such as France, Germany and the Nordics, the recovering markets of Hungary, Spain and the Netherlands are expected to produce some of the strongest absolute returns. U.S. commercial real estate is likely to see increased demand for office and industrial space due to Trumponomics. Mexico will likely see less demand as a result of these new policies. Canada may also be adversely impacted, although negative impacts are likely to be smaller and mostly offset by the economic boost Canada would get from a stronger America. If the administration is successful in producing more goods in the U.S. and importing less, the industrial sector may see less demand for distribution centres near the ports and increased demand in the country s heartland. Not all gains will go to Middle America, however, as loosening financial regulations should be a boon for traditional financial hubs like New York. The structural change in the Tokyo office market has played out and we expect 2017 to be another strong year for Tokyo offices, followed by a period of weaker performance. Vacancy is expected to rise on the back of higher volumes of new supply, putting downward pressure on rent. No further yield compression is expected. Real estate fundamentals in Australia remain attractive despite the cooling economy. Limited, if any, yield compression is expected in the core markets on the back of relatively high real estate yields and a comfortable yield margin. Performance continues to be driven by both yield compression and rental growth.

5 Important Information This document is intended for use by individuals who are familiar with investment terminology. To help you understand this fund and for a full explanation of specific risks and the overall risk profile of this fund and the shareclasses within it, please refer to the Key Investor Information Documents and Prospectus which are available on our website Standard Life Investments has not considered the suitability of investment against your individual needs and risk tolerance. If you are in any doubt as to whether this fund is suitable for you, you should seek advice. An adviser is likely to charge for advice. We are unable to provide investment advice. Information and opinions contained in this document have been compiled or arrived at by Standard Life Investments. Standard Life Investments accept no liability for any loss arising from the use hereof nor make any representation as to their accuracy or completeness. Any underlying research or analysis has been procured by Standard Life Investments for its own purposes and may have been acted on by Standard Life Investments or an associate for its or their own purposes. Standard Life Investments is the trading name of the Standard Life Investments group of companies which includes Standard Life Investments (Mutual Funds) Limited. Issued by Standard Life Investments (Mutual Funds) Limited. Registered in Scotland Number SC Further Information Web: *Any data contained herein which is attributed to a third party ( Third Party Data ) is the property of (a) third party supplier(s) (the Owner ) and is licensed for use by Standard Life**. Third Party Data may not be copied or distributed. Third Party Data is provided as is and is not warranted to be accurate, complete or timely. To the extent permitted by applicable law, none of the Owner, Standard Life** or any other third party (including any third party involved in providing and/or compiling Third Party Data) shall have any liability for Third Party Data or for any use made of Third Party Data. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Neither the Owner nor any other third party sponsors, endorses or promotes the fund or product to which Third Party Data relates. **Standard Life means the relevant member of the Standard Life group, being Standard Life plc together with its subsidiaries, subsidiary undertakings and associated companies (whether direct or indirect) from time to time. FTSE, FT-SE, Footsie, [ FTSE4Good and techmark] are trade marks jointly owned by the London Stock Exchange Plc and The Financial Times Limited and are used by FTSE International Limited ( FTSE ) under licence. [ All-World, All- Share and All-Small are trade marks of FTSE.] The Fund is not in any way sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by FTSE International Limited ( FTSE ), by the London Stock Exchange Plc (the Exchange ), Euronext N.V. ( Euronext ), The Financial Times Limited ( FT ), European Public Real Estate Association ( EPRA ) or the National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts ( NAREIT ) (together the Licensor Parties ) and none of the Licensor Parties make any warranty or representation whatsoever, expressly or impliedly, either as to the results to be obtained from the use of the FTSE EPRA NAREIT Developed Index (the Index ) and/or the figure at which the said Index stands at any particular time on any particular day or otherwise. The Index is compiled and calculated by FTSE. However, none of the Licensor Parties shall be liable (whether in negligence or otherwise) to any person for any error in the Index and none of the Licensor Parties shall be under any obligation to advise any person of any error therein. FTSE is a trade mark of the Exchange and the FT, NAREIT is a trade mark of the National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts and EPRA is a trade mark of EPRA and all are used by FTSE under licence. Standard Life Investments Limited is registered in Scotland (SC123321) at 1 George Street, Edinburgh EH2 2LL. Standard Life Investments Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Calls may be monitored and/or recorded to protect both you and us and help with our training Standard Life, images reproduced under licence

Investment Update Global Real Estate Fund Quarterly Update March 2016

Investment Update Global Real Estate Fund Quarterly Update March 2016 The Global Real Estate Fund quarterly update provides an overview of the market; fund performance, positioning and portfolio changes; and the fund manager s outlook for the months ahead. Economic Overview

More information

Investment Update Global Real Estate Fund Quarterly Update Q2 2017

Investment Update Global Real Estate Fund Quarterly Update Q2 2017 The Global Real Estate Fund quarterly update provides an overview of the market; fund performance, positioning and portfolio changes; and the fund manager s outlook for the months ahead. Economic Overview

More information

Investment Update UK Institutional Funds April 2018

Investment Update UK Institutional Funds April 2018 Investment Update UK Institutional Funds April 2018 This communication is intended for investment professionals only and must not be relied on by anyone else. After some deceleration in global activity

More information

Investment Update Retail Pension November 2018

Investment Update Retail Pension November 2018 Investment Update Retail Pension November 2018 This communication is intended for investment professionals only and must not be relied on by anyone else. Investment Indices - Annual growth up to 01/11/2018

More information

Investment Update Global Real Estate Fund Quarterly Update Q4 2017

Investment Update Global Real Estate Fund Quarterly Update Q4 2017 The Global Real Estate Fund quarterly update provides an overview of the market; fund performance, positioning and portfolio changes; and the fund manager s outlook for the months ahead. Economic Overview

More information

Nov. IA Global Equity Income Sector. 30 November Fund Information * Composition by Country. Top Ten Holdings. OEIC Fund. Equity Fund.

Nov. IA Global Equity Income Sector. 30 November Fund Information * Composition by Country. Top Ten Holdings. OEIC Fund. Equity Fund. Nov 2018 Global Equity Income Fund 30 November 2018 The fund aims to provide income and some capital growth over the longer term by investing predominantly in the shares of companies listed on global stock

More information

Feb. IA Global Equity Income Sector. 28 February Fund Information * Composition by Country. Top Ten Holdings. OEIC Fund. Equity Fund.

Feb. IA Global Equity Income Sector. 28 February Fund Information * Composition by Country. Top Ten Holdings. OEIC Fund. Equity Fund. Feb 2019 Global Equity Income Fund 28 February 2019 The fund aims to provide income and some capital growth over the longer term by investing predominantly in the shares of companies listed on global stock

More information

Quarterly Range Report

Quarterly Range Report Quarterly Range Report MyFolio Market Range - Q3 2018 OEIC Ret MyFolio Market Ratings MyFolio is a flexible solution consisting of 25 multi-asset funds of funds, split into five ranges (three growth and

More information

Insolvency forecasts. Economic Research August 2017

Insolvency forecasts. Economic Research August 2017 Insolvency forecasts Economic Research August 2017 Summary We present our new insolvency forecasting model which offers a broader scope of macroeconomic developments to better predict insolvency developments.

More information

Stand-alone Risk Exposure %

Stand-alone Risk Exposure % - Nov 2017 Global Absolute Return Fund 30 November 2017 The Standard Life Investments Global Absolute Return Fund aims to provide positive investment returns in all market conditions over the medium to

More information

Quarterly Range Report

Quarterly Range Report Quarterly Range Report MyFolio Managed Range - Q2 2018 OEIC Platform 1 MyFolio Managed Ratings MyFolio is a flexible solution consisting of 25 multi-asset, fund-of-funds, split into five ranges (three

More information

European Investment Bulletin

European Investment Bulletin European Investment Bulletin Spring 2009 Prime yield decompression per sector (yoy) Rents in decline in line with business sentiment 200 CBD offices Warehouses Shopping Centres European average prime office

More information

Stand-alone Risk Exposure % Closed 0.8

Stand-alone Risk Exposure % Closed 0.8 Dec 2016 Global Absolute Return Fund 31 December 2016 The Standard Life Investments Global Absolute Return Fund aims to provide positive investment returns in all market conditions over the medium to long

More information

Quarterly Range Report

Quarterly Range Report Quarterly Range Report Active Plus Range - Q3 2018 Pension Insured Funds S4 Retail Active Plus There are five Active Plus Pension Funds, ranging from lower through to higher risk (I to V). Each fund invests

More information

Summary. Economic Update 1 / 7 December 2017

Summary. Economic Update 1 / 7 December 2017 Economic Update Economic Update 1 / 7 Summary 2 Global Strengthening of the pickup in global growth, with GDP expected to increase 2.9% in 2017 and 3.1% in 2018. 3 Eurozone The eurozone recovery is upholding

More information

Quarterly Range Report

Quarterly Range Report Quarterly Range Report MyFolio Market Range - Q1 2019 Pension Insured Funds S4 Retail MyFolio Market MyFolio is a flexible solution consisting of 25 multi-asset funds of funds, split into five ranges (three

More information

European Market Outlook The Risks & the Opportunities Guy-young LAMÉ Associate Director Research Europe, Invesco Real Estate

European Market Outlook The Risks & the Opportunities Guy-young LAMÉ Associate Director Research Europe, Invesco Real Estate European Market Outlook The Risks & the Opportunities Guy-young LAMÉ Associate Director Research Europe, Invesco Real Estate This presentation is issued by Invesco Real Estate for Professional Clients

More information

European Commercial March European Investment. SPOTLIGHT Savills Research. Alternative Sectors Yield Compression Korean Investment

European Commercial March European Investment. SPOTLIGHT Savills Research. Alternative Sectors Yield Compression Korean Investment SPOTLIGHT Savills Research European Commercial March 2019 European Investment Alternative Sectors Yield Compression Korean Investment Poland, Portugal and Luxembourg were among the most active markets

More information

Stand-alone Risk. Contribution to Returns % Weighting (risk based %) Exposure % Market Returns Strategies

Stand-alone Risk. Contribution to Returns % Weighting (risk based %) Exposure % Market Returns Strategies Nov 2018 Global Absolute Return Fund 30 November 2018 The Standard Life Investments Global Absolute Return Fund aims to provide positive investment returns in all market conditions over the medium to long

More information

Stand-alone Risk Exposure % Closed Closed Closed

Stand-alone Risk Exposure % Closed Closed Closed Jan 2019 Global Absolute Return Fund 31 January 2019 The Standard Life Investments Global Absolute Return Fund aims to provide positive investment returns in all market conditions over the medium to long

More information

Global Absolute Return Strategies Fund

Global Absolute Return Strategies Fund Q2 2017 Global Absolute Return Fund 30 June 2017 The Standard Life Investments Global Absolute Return Fund aims to provide positive investment returns in all market conditions over the medium to long term.

More information

2017 Mid-Year Commercial Real Estate Outlook for Asia Pacific

2017 Mid-Year Commercial Real Estate Outlook for Asia Pacific 2017 Mid-Year Commercial Real Estate Outlook for Asia Pacific REAL ASSETS REAL ESTATE INVESTING TEAM INVESTMENT INSIGHT 2017 The global macroeconomic landscape continues its shift away from highly accommodative

More information

Investment Report. Corporate Investment Proposition Passive Plus Funds Report. Standard Life

Investment Report. Corporate Investment Proposition Passive Plus Funds Report. Standard Life Investment Report Standard Life Corporate Investment Proposition Q1 2017 Corporate Investment Proposition 1 Our Corporate Investment Proposition is made up of a family of carefully constructed risk-based

More information

Absolute Return Global Bond Strategies Fund

Absolute Return Global Bond Strategies Fund Nov 2017 Absolute Return Global Bond Strategies Fund 30 November 2017 The fund aims to provide positive investment returns in the form of income and capital growth in all market conditions over the medium

More information

Outlook 2015: Europe & Germany

Outlook 2015: Europe & Germany Part of the M&G Group Outlook 215: Europe & Germany Research presentation 27 th November 214 European Economic Fundamentals Update & Outlook 2 Economic recovery broadening GDP growth by country Q3 214

More information

Global Absolute Return Strategies Fund

Global Absolute Return Strategies Fund Q3 2018 Global Absolute Return Fund 30 September 2018 The Standard Life Investments Global Absolute Return Fund aims to provide positive investment returns in all market conditions over the medium to long

More information

Real estate market outlook Asia Pacific

Real estate market outlook Asia Pacific December 2014 Real estate market outlook Asia Pacific Part of the M&G Group Executive summary Economic outlook remains firm Leasing fundamentals improving in most Asia Pacific markets Accommodative monetary

More information

Stand-alone Risk Exposure %

Stand-alone Risk Exposure % Feb 2018 Global Absolute Return Fund 28 February 2018 The Standard Life Investments Global Absolute Return Fund aims to provide positive investment returns in all market conditions over the medium to long

More information

Investment Update SLI UK Real Estate Fund Quarterly Update Q3 2017

Investment Update SLI UK Real Estate Fund Quarterly Update Q3 2017 The SLI UK Real Estate Fund quarterly update provides an overview of the market; fund performance, positioning and portfolio changes; and the fund manager s outlook for the months ahead. Economic Overview

More information

Strong performance for real estate assets

Strong performance for real estate assets Strong performance for real estate assets Annualized returns, United States, 212 Percent 2 18 16 14 1 year 1 year 12 1 8 6 4 2 REITs Equities Real property Govt bonds CPI T-bills Sources: CBRE, NCREIF.

More information

MyFolio Multi-Manager Income V Fund

MyFolio Multi-Manager Income V Fund Q1 2017 MyFolio Multi-Manager Income V Fund 31 March 2017 The fund aims to provide an income-focused return with some capital appreciation over the longer term, investing mainly in a range of collective

More information

The Global Focused Strategies (GFS) Fund Guide

The Global Focused Strategies (GFS) Fund Guide The Global Focused Strategies (GFS) Fund Guide A smoother investment journey October 2016 Standard Life Investments has not considered the suitability of investment against your individual needs and risk

More information

European Quarterly Outlook JULY 2011

European Quarterly Outlook JULY 2011 European Quarterly Outlook JULY 2011 EUROPE Executive Summary Key Themes Economic growth is improving steadily and interest rates are rising, although concerns about the outlook persist. Forecasts could

More information

February 2019 Asia Real Estate Market Outlook

February 2019 Asia Real Estate Market Outlook REALESTATE February 19 Asia Real Estate Market Outlook For Investment Professionals only Notice to investors in Australia. M&G Investment Management Limited (MAGIM) and M&G Alternatives Investment Management

More information

Market Perspective. Prudential Real Estate Investors. European Quarterly October 2007

Market Perspective. Prudential Real Estate Investors. European Quarterly October 2007 Prudential Real Estate Investors European Quarterly October 2007 Market Perspective Executive Summary While the business cycle is maturing, forward-looking indicators have been declining but are still

More information

Global Investment Outlook & Strategy

Global Investment Outlook & Strategy PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook & Strategy John Praveen, PhD Chief Investment Strategist FOR MORE INFORMATION CONTACT: Mayura Hooper Phone: 973-367-7930 Email:

More information

Global Property Market Outlook

Global Property Market Outlook Global Property Market Outlook Q3 2017 Paris Executive Summary The outlook for the global economy remains positive with output expected to pick-up in 2017 along with inflation. These trends should support

More information

Global Macroeconomic Monthly Review

Global Macroeconomic Monthly Review Global Macroeconomic Monthly Review August 14 th, 2018 Arie Tal, Research Economist Capital Markets Division, Economics Department 1 Please see disclaimer on the last page of this report Key Issues Global

More information

Stand-alone Risk Exposure %

Stand-alone Risk Exposure % Mar 2018 Global Absolute Return Fund 31 March 2018 The Standard Life Investments Global Absolute Return Fund aims to provide positive investment returns in all market conditions over the medium to long

More information

Market volatility to continue

Market volatility to continue How much more? Renewed speculation that financial institutions may report increased US subprime-related losses has sent equity markets tumbling. How much more bad news can investors expect going forward?

More information

OUTLOOK 2014/2015. BMO Asset Management Inc.

OUTLOOK 2014/2015. BMO Asset Management Inc. OUTLOOK 2014/2015 BMO Asset Management Inc. We would like to take this opportunity to provide our capital markets outlook for the remainder of 2014 and the first half of 2015 and our recommended asset

More information

Absolute Return Global Bond Strategies Fund

Absolute Return Global Bond Strategies Fund Apr 2018 Absolute Return Global Bond Strategies Fund 30 April 2018 The fund aims to provide positive investment returns in the form of income and capital growth in all market conditions over the medium

More information

Summary. Economic Update 1 / 7 May Global Global GDP growth is forecast to accelerate to 2.9% in 2017 and maintain at 3.0% in 2018.

Summary. Economic Update 1 / 7 May Global Global GDP growth is forecast to accelerate to 2.9% in 2017 and maintain at 3.0% in 2018. Economic Update Economic Update 1 / 7 Summary 2 Global Global GDP growth is forecast to accelerate to 2.9% in 2017 and maintain at 3.0% in 2018. 3 Eurozone The eurozone s recovery appears to strengthen

More information

Absolute Return Global Bond Strategies Fund

Absolute Return Global Bond Strategies Fund Jan 2019 Absolute Return Global Bond Strategies Fund 31 January 2019 The fund aims to provide positive investment returns in the form of income and capital growth in all market conditions over the medium

More information

Eurozone. Economic Watch FEBRUARY 2017

Eurozone. Economic Watch FEBRUARY 2017 Eurozone Economic Watch FEBRUARY 2017 EUROZONE WATCH FEBRUARY 2017 Eurozone: A slight upward revision to our GDP growth projections The recovery proceeded at a steady and solid pace in, resulting in an

More information

European Real Estate Market Outlook

European Real Estate Market Outlook For professional investors only, in Switzerland for Qualified investors only not for use by retail investors or advisers an Real Estate Market Outlook Q4 2018 02 an real estate market outlook Our overall

More information

Stand-alone Risk Exposure %

Stand-alone Risk Exposure % Dec 2017 Global Absolute Return Fund 31 December 2017 The Standard Life Investments Global Absolute Return Fund aims to provide positive investment returns in all market conditions over the medium to long

More information

European Quarterly Outlook

European Quarterly Outlook European Quarterly Outlook JANUARY 2012 Prudential Real Estate Investors 8 Campus Drive Parsippany, NJ 07054 USA 973.683.1745 Phone 973.734.1319 Fax www.prei.com REF: # PFIA-8QTNTF Executive Summary Macro

More information

PROPERTY EU EUROPEAN LOGISTICS INVESTMENT BRIEFING

PROPERTY EU EUROPEAN LOGISTICS INVESTMENT BRIEFING PROPERTY EU EUROPEAN LOGISTICS INVESTMENT BRIEFING RICHARD HOLBERTON, SENIOR DIRECTOR, EMEA RESEARCH, CBRE FEBRUARY 19 TH 2015 AGENDA Economy Market Activity Forecasts Issues ECONOMY 2014 Some Alarms and

More information

Eurozone. EY Eurozone Forecast September 2014

Eurozone. EY Eurozone Forecast September 2014 Eurozone EY Eurozone Forecast September 2014 Austria Belgium Cyprus Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Ireland Italy Latvia Luxembourg Malta Netherlands Portugal Slovakia Slovenia Spain Outlook for

More information

Investment Report. Corporate Investment Proposition Passive Plus Funds Report. Standard Life

Investment Report. Corporate Investment Proposition Passive Plus Funds Report. Standard Life Investment Report Standard Life Corporate Investment Proposition Q3 2016 Corporate Investment Proposition 1 Our Corporate Investment Proposition is made up of a family of carefully constructed risk-based

More information

Investment Report. Standard Life Corporate Investment Proposition MyFolio Managed Pension Funds Report Q2 2018

Investment Report. Standard Life Corporate Investment Proposition MyFolio Managed Pension Funds Report Q2 2018 Investment Report Standard Life Corporate Investment Proposition Q2 2018 Corporate Investment Proposition Our Corporate Investment Proposition is made up of a family of carefully constructed risk-based

More information

Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy October 2009

Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy October 2009 Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy October 2009 By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com

More information

Global Investment Outlook & Strategy

Global Investment Outlook & Strategy PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook & Strategy February 2017 Global Stock Market Rally likely to Continue with Solid Q4 Earnings & Stronger 2017 Earnings, ECB

More information

Financial Market Outlook: Stock Rally Continues with Faster & Stronger GDP Rebound, Earnings Recovery & Liquidity

Financial Market Outlook: Stock Rally Continues with Faster & Stronger GDP Rebound, Earnings Recovery & Liquidity For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com Financial Market Outlook & Strategy: Further Stock Gains with Macro Sweet Spot & Earnings Recovery.

More information

Savills plc. Results for the six months ended 30 th June August 2017

Savills plc. Results for the six months ended 30 th June August 2017 Savills plc Results for the six months ended 30 th June 2017 10 August 2017 Disclaimer: Forward-looking statements These slides contain certain forward-looking statements including the Group s financial

More information

INTERIM MANAGEMENT STATEMENT QUARTER ENDED 31 MARCH 2012

INTERIM MANAGEMENT STATEMENT QUARTER ENDED 31 MARCH 2012 INTERIM MANAGEMENT STATEMENT QUARTER ENDED 31 MARCH 2012 12 April 2012 Financial summary Growth in net fees for the quarter ended 31 March 2012 (Q3) (versus the same period last year) Actual Growth LFL*

More information

CBRE RESEARCH R E A L E S TAT E M A R K E T O U T LO O K

CBRE RESEARCH R E A L E S TAT E M A R K E T O U T LO O K R E A L E S TAT E M A R K E T O U T LO O K TABLE OF CONTENT PAGE 05 PAGE 07 Softer growth ahead PAGE 13 PAGE 20 Workplace efficiency will be key Creating the total retail experience 2 TABLE OF CONTENT

More information

Real Estate Investment Beyond(?) the Global Credit Crisis

Real Estate Investment Beyond(?) the Global Credit Crisis Real Estate Investment Beyond(?) the Global Credit Crisis James Valente (james.valente@ipd.com) Director, North America November 29 th 2011 2011 ipd.com Overview Variation in regional trends Global investment

More information

Stand-alone Risk Exposure % Closed

Stand-alone Risk Exposure % Closed May 2018 Global Absolute Return Fund 31 May 2018 The fund aims to provide positive investment returns in all market conditions over the medium to long term. The fund is actively managed, with a wide investment

More information

Global PMI. Solid Q2 growth masks widening growth differentials. July 7 th IHS Markit. All Rights Reserved.

Global PMI. Solid Q2 growth masks widening growth differentials. July 7 th IHS Markit. All Rights Reserved. Global PMI Solid Q2 growth masks widening growth differentials July 7 th 2017 2 Widening developed and emerging world growth trends The global economy enjoyed further steady growth in June, according to

More information

MyFolio Multi-Manager Income IV Fund

MyFolio Multi-Manager Income IV Fund Q1 2017 MyFolio Multi-Manager Income IV Fund 31 March 2017 The fund aims to provide an income-focused return with some capital appreciation over the longer term, investing mainly in a range of collective

More information

ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey Netherlands

ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey Netherlands ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey Netherlands 1 218 The ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey for the first quarter 218 was conducted by interviewing a representative sample of 754 employers in

More information

KBC INVESTMENT STRATEGY PRESENTATION. Defensive August 2017

KBC INVESTMENT STRATEGY PRESENTATION. Defensive August 2017 KBC INVESTMENT STRATEGY PRESENTATION August 2017 Investment climate Key rate trends and outlook 2,0 2,0 1,5 VS EMU 1,5 0,5 0,5 0,0 0,0-0,5-0,5 - - 07-2012 07-2013 07-2014 07-2015 07-2016 07-2017 07-2018

More information

Breakdown of Unitholdings of PGF as at 31 January 2018

Breakdown of Unitholdings of PGF as at 31 January 2018 Fund Information Fund Name Public Growth Fund () Fund Category Equity Fund Investment Objective To achieve long-term capital appreciation with income considered incidental. Fund Performance Benchmark The

More information

OVERVIEW. The EU recovery is firming. Table 1: Overview - the winter 2014 forecast Real GDP. Unemployment rate. Inflation. Winter 2014 Winter 2014

OVERVIEW. The EU recovery is firming. Table 1: Overview - the winter 2014 forecast Real GDP. Unemployment rate. Inflation. Winter 2014 Winter 2014 OVERVIEW The EU recovery is firming Europe's economic recovery, which began in the second quarter of 2013, is expected to continue spreading across countries and gaining strength while at the same time

More information

Eurozone Economic Watch Higher growth forecasts for January 2018

Eurozone Economic Watch Higher growth forecasts for January 2018 Eurozone Economic Watch Higher growth forecasts for 2018-19 January 2018 Eurozone Economic Watch January 2018 Eurozone: Higher growth forecasts for 2018-19 Our MICA-BBVA model estimates a broadly stable

More information

Explore the themes and thinking behind our decisions.

Explore the themes and thinking behind our decisions. ASSET ALLOCATION COMMITTEE VIEWPOINTS First Quarter 2017 These views are informed by a subjective assessment of the relative attractiveness of asset classes and subclasses over a 6- to 18-month horizon.

More information

ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey Finland

ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey Finland ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey Finland 4 217 The ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey for the fourth quarter 217 was conducted by interviewing a representative sample of 625 employers in Finland.

More information

Absolute Return Global Bond Strategies Fund

Absolute Return Global Bond Strategies Fund Feb 2019 Absolute Return Global Bond Strategies Fund 28 February 2019 The fund aims to provide positive investment returns in the form of income and capital growth in all market conditions over the medium

More information

Impact of higher interest rates on UK commercial property

Impact of higher interest rates on UK commercial property For Investment Professionals only July 2018 Impact of higher interest rates on UK commercial property Gradual transition towards a comparatively lower new normal for interest rates Relationship between

More information

Global. Real Estate Outlook. Jeremy Kelly Global Research. David Green-Morgan Global Capital Markets Research

Global. Real Estate Outlook. Jeremy Kelly Global Research. David Green-Morgan Global Capital Markets Research Global Real Estate Outlook Jeremy Kelly Global Research David Green-Morgan Global Capital Markets Research Ben Breslau Director of Research, Americas 7 th February 2013 Global Real Estate Outlook Road

More information

Economic activity gathers pace

Economic activity gathers pace Produced by the Economic Research Unit October 2014 A quarterly analysis of trends in the Irish economy Economic activity gathers pace Positive data flow Recovery broadening out GDP growth revised up to

More information

Atradius Country Report. Main Western European Markets - May 2018

Atradius Country Report. Main Western European Markets - May 2018 Atradius Country Report Main Western European Markets - May 8 Contents Austria Belgium Denmark 7 France 9 Germany Ireland Italy The Netherlands 7 Spain 9 Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom Print all Austria

More information

FTSE EPRA Nareit Developed Investment Focus Indices

FTSE EPRA Nareit Developed Investment Focus Indices FTSE Russell Factsheet Investment Focus Data as at: 31 December 2018 Indices FEATURES bmktitle1 The FTSE EPRA Nareit Global Real Estate Index Series is designed to represent general trends in eligible

More information

Will Rising Interest Rates Pummel Your Portfolio?

Will Rising Interest Rates Pummel Your Portfolio? Will Rising Interest Rates Pummel Your Portfolio? ULI Fall Meeting Chicago - November 2013 Dr. Richard Barkham, MRICS Global Research Director, Grosvenor Group Eileen Marrinan, CRE Director of Research,

More information

INTERIM MANAGEMENT STATEMENT QUARTER ENDED 31 MARCH April 2013

INTERIM MANAGEMENT STATEMENT QUARTER ENDED 31 MARCH April 2013 - INTERIM MANAGEMENT STATEMENT QUARTER ENDED 31 MARCH 2013 11 April 2013 Financial summary Growth in net fees for the quarter ended 31 March 2013 (Q3 FY13) (versus the same period last year) Growth Actual

More information

Quarterly market summary

Quarterly market summary Quarterly market summary 1st Quarter 2017 Economic overview Data appears to signal that economic activity is picking up around the world, with many forecasts for growth being revised upwards. This has

More information

Quarterly Range Report

Quarterly Range Report Quarterly Range Report MyFolio Multi-Manager Income Range - Q1 2018 Pension Insured Funds S4 Retail MyFolio Multi-Manager Income MyFolio is a flexible solution consisting of 25 multi-asset, fund-of-funds,

More information

FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Developed Investment Focus Indices

FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Developed Investment Focus Indices FTSE Russell Factsheet Investment Focus Indices FEATURES Data as at: 31 July 2018 bmktitle1 The FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Global Real Estate Index Series is designed to represent general trends in eligible real

More information

The Office Property Handbook 4.0 Investment & Financing Keys Spain 2019

The Office Property Handbook 4.0 Investment & Financing Keys Spain 2019 The Office Property Handbook 4.0 Investment & Financing Keys Spain 2019 February 2019 Financial Advisory I Real Estate 1 of 19 The spanish economy keeps growing and remains stable but a lower pace than

More information

Interest Rates, Cap Rates, and the Real Estate Cycle

Interest Rates, Cap Rates, and the Real Estate Cycle Interest Rates, Cap Rates, and the Real Estate Cycle Stephen Hester, Chief Executive We are real estate investors and create value by actively managing, financing and developing prime commercial property

More information

GLOBAL REAL ESTATE SECURITIES Market Commentary Q4 2016

GLOBAL REAL ESTATE SECURITIES Market Commentary Q4 2016 GLOBAL REAL ESTATE SECURITIES Market Commentary Q4 2016 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY GLOBAL REAL ESTATE STOCKS WERE MODESTLY POSITIVE IN 2016 Real estate stocks finished the year with mid-single digit total return

More information

UK Economic Outlook July 2017

UK Economic Outlook July 2017 www.pwc.co.uk/economics Contents 1 2 3 4 Global outlook UK economic trends and prospects UK housing market outlook Nowcasting current GDP growth PwC 2 Global growth in 2017 should be slightly stronger

More information

Quarterly market summary

Quarterly market summary Quarterly market summary 3rd Quarter 2017 Economic overview Economic data released during the quarter seemed to signal a continuation of synchronised global recovery in almost all regions. This is being

More information

IPD Global Quarterly Property Fund Index 4Q 2013 results report March 2014

IPD Global Quarterly Property Fund Index 4Q 2013 results report March 2014 IPD Global Quarterly Property Fund Index 4Q 2013 results report March 2014 Sponsored by RESEARCH Introduction The IPD Global Quarterly Property Fund Index results improved in the fourth quarter of 2013

More information

Eurozone. EY Eurozone Forecast March 2014

Eurozone. EY Eurozone Forecast March 2014 Eurozone EY Eurozone Forecast March 2014 Austria Belgium Cyprus Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Ireland Italy Latvia Luxembourg Malta Netherlands Portugal Slovakia Slovenia Spain Outlook for Germany

More information

IPD Global Annual Property Index launch 15 April 2013

IPD Global Annual Property Index launch 15 April 2013 IPD Global Annual Property Index launch 1 April 213 213 Investment Property Databank Ltd. All rights reserved. ipd.com 1 IPD Global Annual Property Index launch Presenters and panel members Presenters

More information

ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey Netherlands

ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey Netherlands ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey Netherlands 4 218 The ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey for the fourth quarter 218 was conducted by interviewing a representative sample of 75 employers in

More information

FTSE All-World High Dividend Yield

FTSE All-World High Dividend Yield FTSE Russell Factsheet High Dividend Index Data as at: 31 August 2018 bmktitle1 The High Dividend Index comprises stocks that are characterized by higherthan-average dividend yields, and is based on the

More information

Real estate to enjoy longer low interest rate regime

Real estate to enjoy longer low interest rate regime FORESIGHT Real estate to enjoy longer low interest rate regime European Fair Value Index Q 015 9//016 Contents Overview Drivers of Fair Value Index 3 Market in Focus: Warsaw Retail 3 Cushman & Wakefield

More information

REAL ESTATE. October 2018 Europe Real Estate Market Outlook. For Investment Professionals only

REAL ESTATE. October 2018 Europe Real Estate Market Outlook. For Investment Professionals only REAL ESTATE October 2018 Europe Real Estate Market Outlook For Investment Professionals only Executive summary Economic growth softens, but macro tailwinds still strong Majority of European markets now

More information

Autumn 2017 OUR VIEW ON OFFICES AND LABS

Autumn 2017 OUR VIEW ON OFFICES AND LABS Autumn 2017 OUR VIEW ON OFFICES AND LABS Introduction Knowledge is power is a quote most commonly attributed to Sir Francis Bacon but the principal is even more important in today s economy Strong demand

More information

GLOBAL REAL ESTATE SECURITIES Market Commentary Q1 2017

GLOBAL REAL ESTATE SECURITIES Market Commentary Q1 2017 GLOBAL REAL ESTATE SECURITIES Market Commentary Q1 2017 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY GLOBAL REAL ESTATE STOCKS WERE POSITIVE DURING Q1 2017 Real estate stocks moved higher during the first quarter as economic releases

More information

Asia Pacific Business Overview. Rob Blain President, Asia Pacific

Asia Pacific Business Overview. Rob Blain President, Asia Pacific Asia Pacific Business Overview Rob Blain President, Asia Pacific 2010 Asia Pacific Corporate Stats Total Transaction Value $20.9 billion Property Sales (# of Transactions) 6,425 Property Sales (Transaction

More information

GLOBAL PERSPECTIVES ON RISK & RETURN

GLOBAL PERSPECTIVES ON RISK & RETURN GLOBAL PERSPECTIVES ON RISK & RETURN Considerations for effective investment strategy Simon Fairchild, Executive Director, MSCI 29 November 216 216 MSCI Inc. All rights reserved. Please refer to the disclaimer

More information

THE AFRICA OPPORTUNITY

THE AFRICA OPPORTUNITY PETER WELBORN THE AFRICA OPPORTUNITY API CONFERENCE 2016 Africa: the growth 1continent AFRICA S POPULATION GROWTH Africa has the fastest population growth of any global region. Africa s population has

More information

ECONOMIC PROSPECTS FOR HONG KONG IN Win Lin Chou, ACE Centre for Business and Economic Research, Hong Kong

ECONOMIC PROSPECTS FOR HONG KONG IN Win Lin Chou, ACE Centre for Business and Economic Research, Hong Kong ECONOMIC PROSPECTS FOR HONG KONG IN 2014-15 Win Lin Chou, ACE Centre for Business and Economic Research, Hong Kong I. The Current Trends Real gross domestic product (GDP) in Hong Kong slowed to 1.8 percent

More information

January Standard Life Ireland MyFolio Market funds Combined updates and commentary

January Standard Life Ireland MyFolio Market funds Combined updates and commentary January 2018 Standard Life Ireland MyFolio Market funds Combined updates and commentary Standard Life Ireland MyFolio Market I Fund update January 2018 Performance Cumulative return Annualised return Fund

More information

ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey New Zealand

ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey New Zealand ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey New Zealand 3 18 New Zealand Employment Outlook The ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey for the third quarter 18 was conducted by interviewing a representative

More information