Market trends June 2017:Tadawul closes near 2-year high
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- Diane Osborne
- 6 years ago
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1 Food & Bev Banks HC Equip & Svc Cons Dura & App Transport Cap Goods Individual Portfolio investors Corporates Strategic Partners Mutual Funds GRE's Key gainers during June 2017 rally St o ck 1 mo nt h ret urn NCB 29.0% M a'aden 27.6% Samba 16.1% SABB 15.5% SEC 1 Bupa Arabia 14.7% Banque Saudi Fransi 14.2% Almarai 13.7% Savola 13.1% ANB 12.7% Jabal Omar 12.3% Saudi Telecom Co 11.0% Al Rajhi Bank 9.9% Tadawul 8.2 % Market ownership: Gainers/ losers since Aug % 4.0% 2.0% -2.0% -4.0% -6.0% -4.3% -1.5% -0.9% 3.1% 5.1% Major sectoral gainers/ losers in last 3 months* 35% 25% 15% 5% -5% -15% -25% 27.3% 15.4% *Note: Above data is until end of July 3, 2017 Mazen Al-Sudairi, Head of Research Tel , alsudairim@alrajhi-capital.com Nivedan Reddy Patlolla, CFA Senior Research Analyst patlollan@alrajhi-capital.com % change in sector index level -9.9% -11.7% -20.6% June 2017:Tadawul closes near 2-year high Tadawul s 7% spurt in the last two trading sessions of June 2017 was accompanied by a significant rise in traded value (SAR18bn in two days) which helped the average daily traded value (ADTV) for the month to rise to SAR3.6bn. The holy month of Ramadan, which fell in June 2017 this year, generally witnesses lower ADTV vs. the previous three months. However, the late spurt in Tadawul helped reverse this trend in The significant buying activity followed the twin developments of (a) MSCI placing Saudi stocks on the watch-list for a potential inclusion in the MSCI EM Index, likely in 2019, if most of the conditions (including feedback from QFIs) are met, and (b) the royal decree to appoint HRH Mohammed Bin Salman as the Crown Prince of the Kingdom, which stoked investor interest due to higher visibility on the implementation of the flagship transformation programs of the Kingdom i.e. NTP 2020 and Vision Following are the key takeaways from the market trends in June 2017: (a) Saudi MFs lead buying activity: The pattern of buying activity evoked a sense of Déjà vu driven as it was by mutual funds, something similar to that witnessed during the October/ November 2016 rally when Tadawul gained 24% in two months driven by mutual funds buying. To be precise, the October/ November 2016 rally was driven by Private funds, a subset of mutual funds. The SAR9bn net buying by mutual funds for the week ended 22 June, 2017 (source: Tadawul), much above the average of SAR1-2bn weekly net buying by public mutual funds, points to the return of Private funds. We await the release of CMA s quarterly bulletin to confirm the same. The Saudi MFs market ownership now stands at 5.7%, representing a YTD gain of 43bps. GREs (Government Related Entities), the investor segment with highest market ownership at 40.8% currently, continues to outpace other investor segments in terms of gain in market ownership. GREs gained 138bps market ownership in YTD, most of it in the last two months. We have previously mentioned that GREs, despite their passive strategy (no significant buying in the market) continue to gain market ownership riding on the price rise of key holdings (e.g. SABIC, Ma aden, NCB, SEC). (b) QFI ownership continues to gain traction: Unlike the switch from swaps, which has driven higher QFI ownership in the previous few months, the increase in June 2017 QFI ownership appears to be led by fresh buying by the QFIs, as the swap ownership remained flat. This is positive in our view and like we have said previously, QFI ownership may start inching up as MSCI has already placed Saudi stocks on the watch-list for potential MSCI EM inclusion. (c) Key takeaways from market positioning: The sectors with high interest (both price increase and higher than average traded value) in the last 3 months were Banks, consumer sectors i.e. Retailing, Food, Healthcare, and defensive sectors i.e. Utilities and Telecom services. Conversely, witnessing low interest were Materials (Petchem and Cement), Insurance, Capital Goods, Transport and Diversified Financials. Please see penultimate page for additional important disclosures. Al Rajhi Capital (Al Rajhi) is a foreign broker-dealer unregistered in the USA. Al Rajhi research is prepared by research analysts who are not registered in the USA. Al Rajhi research is distributed in the USA pursuant to Rule 15a-6 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 solely by Rosenblatt Securities, an SEC registered and FINRA-member broker-dealer.
2 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Key trends Spurt in June helps Tadawul close near 2-year high We mentioned in the previous reports that the Tadawul trading volumes during Jan-May 2017 have been ~35-40% lower vs. last year. However, despite majority of the holy month of Ramadan falling in June 2017, when trading volumes are generally lower compared to previous 3 months, Tadawul s average daily traded value (ADTV) was SAR3.6bn in June 2017, higher than that of the previous 3 months, aided by a significant rise in traded value i.e. SAR18bn in the last two trading days of June The significant buying activity followed the twin developments of (a) MSCI placing Saudi stocks on the watch-list for a potential inclusion in the MSCI EM Index, likely in 2019, if most of the conditions (including feedback from QFIs) are met, and (b) the royal decree to appoint HRH Mohammed Bin Salman as the Crown Prince of the Kingdom, which stoked investor interest due to higher visibility on the implementation of the flagship transformation programs of the Kingdom i.e. NTP 2020 and Vision TASI gained 8% in June 2017 to close at 7,425, with most of the gains coming in the last two trading days of the month. Overall, YTD Tadawul traded value is 37% lower compared to the same period last year and 41% lower than the long term average (last 6 years). Figure 1 TASI average daily trading value, soft for much of 2017, improves in June Avg daily traded value (SAR bn) REITs traded value settling at lower levels As we outlined in our previous two reports on market trends, the REIT traded volumes have been highly volatile. The traded value listed REITs comprised as high as 20% of the total Tadawul traded value on some trading days. On 15 trading days in YTD 2017, the traded value of REITs accounted for 10%+ of TASI traded value. This is despite the fact that the combined market cap of all the listed REIT funds stands at just ~SAR2bn vs. ~SAR1,760bn market cap of TASI. However, the volatility is now showing signs of normalizing with the REIT traded value not exceeding 10% of TASI traded value since the 2 nd week of May 2017 (see chart 5). The volatility of REIT funds traded value further normalized in June 2017 with average REIT funds traded value of just 2.8% of TASI traded value. Note: Following the publication of REIT regulations by the CMA in October 2016, Riyad REIT and AlJazira Mawten REIT were listed on Tadawul on November 13, 2016 and Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 2
3 Aug-15 Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 3-Sep-15 3-Oct-15 3-Nov-15 3-Dec-15 3-Jan-16 3-Feb-16 3-Mar-16 3-Apr-16 3-May-16 3-Jun-16 3-Jul-16 3-Aug-16 3-Sep-16 3-Oct-16 3-Nov-16 3-Dec-16 3-Jan-17 3-Feb-17 3-Mar-17 3-Apr-17 3-May-17 3-Jun-17 1-Jan-17 8-Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan-17 1-Feb-17 6-Feb-17 9-Feb Feb Feb Feb Feb-17 2-Mar-17 7-Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar-17 2-Apr-17 5-Apr Apr Apr Apr Apr Apr-17 1-May-17 4-May-17 9-May May May May May May-17 4-Jun-17 7-Jun Jun Jun Jun-17 2-Jul-17 February 15, 2017 respectively. Newer funds, Jadwa AlHaramain REIT and Taleem REIT, got listed on April 30, 2017 and May 30, 2017 respectively. Figure 2 After stabilising in May 2017, volatility of REIT trading volumes appear to have further subsided in June 2017, despite 4th REIT fund being launched at the end of May TASI traded value (SAR bn) REIT traded value as % of TASI traded value - RHS Figure 3 Saudi MFs make their presence felt in June 2017 with high trading volumes/ gain in market ownership Saudi MFs lead net buying, strong GRE ownership gains continue Saudi MFs lead buying activity: Saudi MFs were the leading net buyers in June 2017, having bought net SAR9.3bn, with most of it in the last two trading days when TASI gained a solid 7%. However, the pattern of buying activity evoked a sense of Déjà vu driven as it was mainly by mutual funds, something similar to that witnessed during the October/ November 2016 rally when Tadawul gained 24% in two months driven by mutual funds buying. To be precise, the October/ November 2016 rally was driven by Private funds, a subset of mutual funds. The SAR9bn net buying by mutual funds for the week ended 22 June, 2017, much above the average of SAR1-2bn weekly net buying by public mutual funds, points to the return of Private funds. We await the release of CMA s quarterly bulletin to confirm the same. The Saudi MFs market ownership now stands at 5.7%, representing YTD gain of 43bps and monthly gains of 10bps. Figure 4 Saudi Individuals continue to cede market ownership, majorly led by IPIs % 33.0% % 4.5% 32.0% 31.0% 19.5% 19.0% 18.5% 18.0% % 3.5% 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% % 28.0% 27.0% 17.5% 17.0% 16.5% 16.0% 15.5% 1 Saudi MFs monthly net buying (SAR bn) Ownership % - RHS Saudi Individuals ownership IPI ownership - RHS Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 3
4 Aug-15 Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 H H H H H Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Strong GRE ownership gains continue: GREs (Government Related Entities), the investor segment with highest market ownership at 40.8% currently, continue to outpace other investor segments in terms of gain in market ownership. GREs gained 138bps market ownership in YTD, most of it in the last two months. We have previously mentioned that GREs, despite their passive strategy (no significant buying in the market) continue to gain market ownership riding on the price rise of key holdings (e.g. SABIC, Ma aden, NCB, SEC). Figure 5 GRE stocks outperformance Company Govt holding Relative performance vs. TASI 1 month 1 Year 3 Year Saudi Basic Industries Corp 75.7% -3.5% 12.6% 11.8% Saudi Telecom Co 83.8% 2.8% 4.6% 31.9% Saudi Electricity Co 81.2% 6.9% 17.7% 86.3% National Commercial Bank 64.3% 20.8% 24.3% NA n Mining Co 65.4% 19.4% 28.2% 90.1% Samba Financial Group 49.7% 7.9% 14.1% 31.6% Riyad Bank 47.7% -1.1% -12.7% -16.4% n Fertilizer Co 44.7% -10.3% -6.9% -26.8% Yanbu National Petrochemical Co 50.5% -11.8% 16.9% 0.3% National Shipping Co of 42.6% -3.1% -18.7% 35.2% Market ownership gainers/ losers: While GREs gained 710 bps market ownership over the last 3 years (from 33.7% in June 2013 to 40.8% in June 2017), Saudi MFs gained 240bps market ownership in just the last one year (from 3.2% in May 2016 to 5.6% in May 2017). Most of the gains of Saudi MFs happened in October December 2016 (200 bps gain in this period). Most of the gains of GREs/ Saudi MFs are at the expense of Saudi Individuals (mainly from IPI segment). Figure 6 Institutions continue to gain market ownership Figure 7 mainly driven by GREs in the long term 66.0% % 63.0% 62.0% 32.5% 66.0% +620 bps 33.0% 32.0% 31.0% % 39.0% 37.0% % 36.6% 33.7% 40.8% +710bps 61.0% -520bps 29.0% 31.0% % 59.8% 27.4% 28.0% 27.0% 29.0% 27.0% -930 bps 27.4% Saudi Institutions market ownership Saudi Individuals market ownership - RHS GRE (part of Saudi Institutions) market ownership Saudi Individuals market ownership Source: Tadawul Source: CMA, Tadawul Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 4
5 Materials Banks Insurance RE Mgmt & Dev Cap Goods Food & Bev Consumer Svc Tel Svc Energy Retail Media Transport Healthcare Comm & Prof Svc Food & Stapl Ret REITs Utilities Cons Dura Diversified Fin Phar, Bio & LS 1-Aug-15 1-Sep-15 1-Oct-15 1-Nov-15 1-Dec-15 1-Jan-16 1-Feb-16 1-Mar-16 1-Apr-16 1-May-16 1-Jun-16 1-Jul-16 1-Aug-16 1-Sep-16 1-Oct-16 1-Nov-16 1-Dec-16 1-Jan-17 1-Feb-17 1-Mar-17 1-Apr-17 1-May-17 1-Jun-17 1-Aug-15 1-Sep-15 1-Oct-15 1-Nov-15 1-Dec-15 1-Jan-16 1-Feb-16 1-Mar-16 1-Apr-16 1-May-16 1-Jun-16 1-Jul-16 1-Aug-16 1-Sep-16 1-Oct-16 1-Nov-16 1-Dec-16 1-Jan-17 1-Feb-17 1-Mar-17 1-Apr-17 1-May-17 1-Jun-17 QFI ownership gains traction Unlike the switch from swaps, which has driven higher QFI ownership in the previous few months, the increase in June 2017 QFI ownership appears to be led by fresh buying by the QFIs, as the swap ownership remained flat. This is positive in our view and like we have said previously, QFI ownership may start inching up as MSCI has already placed Saudi stocks on the watch-list for potential MSCI EM inclusion. Figure 8 QFI ownership continues to rise in June Figure 9 despite flat SWAP ownership, suggesting net QFI buying % 0.32% 0.27% 0.22% 0.17% 0.12% 0.07% 0.02% (0.50) (1.00) (1.50) (2.00) (2.50) 1.20% 1.10% 1.00% 0.90% 0.80% 0.70% (0.50) -0.03% (3.00) 0.60% QFI net buying (SAR bn) QFI ownership - RHS SWAP net buying (SAR bn) SWAP ownership - RHS What is the market thinking? In this report, we tried to pick broad trends in the market using trading volumes and price action of various sectors: By traded value, Real Estate, Banks & REITs sectors witnessed heightened investor interest in the last 3 months, while Insurance, Materials (Petchem + Cement) and Capital Goods sectors witnessed lower investor interest. By price level, apart from defensives (Food & Beverages, Utilities and Telecom services), Banks also witnessed price appreciation, while REITs (which significantly appreciated over the previous few months) witnessed price corrections. In the following charts, we outline the sectors which witnessed higher investor interest over the last 3 months. If the sector s current contribution to Tadawul s traded value is higher/ lower vs. its historical average, it potentially indicates higher/ lower investor interest respectively in the sector. Figure 10 Major sectors: Traded value vs. historical average Figure 11 Other sectors: Traded value vs. historical average % 6.0% % % 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 0.5% 1.0% Sector traded value/ Tadawul (Historical) Sector traded value/ Tadawul (last 3 months) - RHS Sector traded value/ Tadawul (Historical) Sector traded value/ Tadawul (last 3 months) - RHS Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 5
6 Food & Bev Banks Retail Tel Svc Utilities HC Equip & Svc Materials RE Mgmt & Dev Media Food & Stapl Ret Insurance Energy Phar, Bio & LS Consumer Svc Comm & Prof Svc Diversified Fin REITs Cons Dura & App Transport Cap Goods Figure 12 Changes in price levels (April - June 2017) % % 13.9% 12.0% 9.7% 1 4.7% 2.7% 2.3% 0.8% 0.4% % -2.4% -2.4% -3.7% -4.7% -7.6% -7.8% -9.9% -11.7% % -3 Change in index level - last 3 months (%) Note: Sectors which are currently witnessing heightened investor interest (or vice versa) are determined by comparing the sector s contribution to Tadawul traded value over April June 2017 vs. historical average (last 2 years). Further, sectors which are currently in-favour or out-of-favour are determined based on price change (levels of sectoral indices). Key takeaways from market positioning Sectors with high investor interest (both price increase and traded value) were Banks and consumer sector/ defensives (Food & Beverages, Retailing, Telecom, Healthcare and Utilities). REITs, which have gained significantly in the past few months, witnessed price correction. The market positioning in the last 3 months implies that investors focused on (a) sectorial rotation, with profit taking in sectors which already had significant rally (e.g. REITs), (b) investments continuing in defensive sectors, and (c) fresh buying in the heavyweight Banking sector. Petrochemicals, the heavyweight sector of Tadawul, witnessed no significant price action, as crude oil prices remained volatile. Leading TASI stocks gain the most in June 2017: As mentioned in the previous section of the report, the stocks that gained the most in June 2017 were the leading TASI stocks. For instance, majority of the 8% TASI rally in June 2017 was driven by a handful of the stocks. Of the 176 listed companies on the Tadawul, only 21 companies managed to beat TASI in June 2017, pointing to high concentration of stocks which perform during swift market rallies such as those of October/ November 2016 and June In the following table, we attribute fundamental reasons for the significant price action of some stocks over April 2017 June 2017 period: Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 6
7 Figure 13 Stocks with significant price action Company 3M price perf (%) Comments NCB 41 Valuation catching up to other leading banks. Almarai 37 Fawaz Al Hokair 31 Q results were marginally ahead of consensus estimates, however, this does not justify the increase in stock price. The stock is overvalued in our opinion, and we maintain underweight rating on the stock. Strong Q4FY17 results and expectations of gross margins sustaining at 20%+ led to appreciation in the stock price. Samba Financial 23 Lower Loan to Deposit ratio leaves a lot of room for further ramp up. Savola 22 Savola stock has risen tracking the significant price appreciation of its key associate, Almarai (Savola holds 37.5% of Almarai). National Medical Care (12) Pricing revisions with a major government client as well as weak Q1 results. Easter Province Cement (13) Shaker (18) NIC (20) Sipchem (21) Medgulf (28) Source: Al Rajhi Capital Sales volume declined 24% y-o-y in the last 3 months (vs. sector average of -17.5%). Also, the continuous halting on Bahrain exports is likely to impact 2017 earnings. Stock declined sharply post the unexpected loss in Q1 2017, led by weak revenue which was also much lower than expectations. The stock declined significantly post announcement of weak Q1 financials. Additional clarity on its business segments highlighted that estimated earnings in 2017 are likely to be much lower than prior consensus estimates. Sentiments on Methanol, one of Sipchem s key products, have turned bearish and has been one of the major factors driving the stock lower. Announcement of shutdown of its VAM plant also implies lower than expected earnings in MedGulf plunged after Q results, when it posted SAR93mn loss vs. profit a year-earlier. The company cited a jump in provisions for doubtful debts and lower net underwriting income. Combining the traded value and price data points, the following heat map shows sectors allocated to various quadrants on the traded value and price axes. Generally, sectors with both higher than average traded value and price increase are considered to have bullish bias. Vice versa i.e. lower than average traded value and price decline is generally considered to have a bearish bias. Figure 14 Sectoral heat map: Traded value and price action in last 3 months Lower than average volume Higher than average volume Price Decline Insurance Pharma & Bio Consumer Services Comm & Professional srvcs Diversified Financials Consumer Durables Transport Capital Goods Energy REITs Price Increase Materials Real Estate Mgmt & Dev Media Food & Staples Retail Telecom services Utilities Banks Retailing Healthcare Food & Beverages Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 7
8 Appendix Figure 15 Investor categories as classified by Tadawul Naitonality Investor category Definition Individuals Retail Retail investors are Saudi individuals, excluding IPIs (see below) and HNWIs High Net Worth Investors (HNWIs) HNWIs are Saudi individuals who have had an average portfolio size of SAR 1m (and above) for the preceding 12 months, excluding IPIs IPIs are Saudi individuals who have had an average portfolio size of SAR 50m (and above) for the preceding 12 Saudi Individual Professional Investors (IPIs) months and a portfolio turnover ratio of not more than 4 times annually Saudi individual investment account in which the manager (Authorized Person) makes the buy/sell decisions for Individual DPMs its client without referring to the account owner (based on to the agreed terms between them) Institutions Corporates Saudi company with a commercial registration permitting its investment in the stock market Mutual Funds A mutual fund managed by an Authorized Person and licensed by the CMA Government Related Entities (GREs) A Government entity or a supranational authority recognized by the CMA Saudi institutional investment account in which the manager (Authorized Person) makes the buy/sell decisions for Institutional DPMs its client without referring to the account owner (based on to the agreed terms between them) GCC Individuals GCC natural person Institutions GCC legal person with a commercial registration certificate (corporate or mutual fund), in addition to GCC government entities Foreign Source: Tadawul GCC DPMs SWAP Holders Foreign Residents QFIs Foreign DPMs Strategic Partners GCC investment account (institutional or individual) in which the manager (Authorized Person) makes the buy/sell decisions for its client without referring to the account owner (based on to the agreed terms between them) Authorized Person with the permission to enter into SWAP agreements to transfer the economic benefits of its ownership of shares in Saudi companies listed on the Saudi Stock Exchange to its non-resident foreign clients Foreign investors domiciled in the Kingdom with a valid residency permit (Iqama) (excluding GCC nationals) Qualified Foreign Institutional investors registered with the CMA in accordance with the QFI Rules, to invest in shares listed on the Saudi Stock Exchange Foreign resident investment account in which the manager (Authorized Person) makes the buy/sell decisions for its client without referring to the account owner (based on to the agreed terms between them) Foreign investors considered founders and partners of Saudi listed companies Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 8
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"Neutral": We expect the share price to settle at a level between 10% below the current share price and 10% above the current share price on a 12 month time horizon. "Underweight": Our target price is more than 10% below the current share price, and we expect the share price to reach the target on a 12 month time horizon. "Target price": We estimate target value per share for every stock we cover. This is normally based on widely accepted methods appropriate to the stock or sector under consideration, e.g. DCF (discounted cash flow) or SoTP (sum of the parts) analysis. Please note that the achievement of any price target may be impeded by general market and economic trends and other external factors, or if a company s profits or operating performance exceed or fall short of our expectations. Contact us Mazen AlSudairi Head of Research Tel : alsudairim@alrajhi-capital.com Al Rajhi Capital Research Department Head Office, King Fahad Road P.O. Box 5561, Riyadh Kingdom of research@alrajhi-capital.com Al Rajhi Capital is licensed by the n Capital Market Authority, License No /37. Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 10
Market trends: August 2017 TASI in recovery mode
Media Banks Food & Stapl Ret HC Equip & Svc Transport Cap Goods Aug-15 Oct-15 Dec-15 Feb-16 Apr-16 Jun-16 Aug-16 Oct-16 Dec-16 Feb-17 Apr-17 Jun-17 Aug-17 Individual Portfolio investors Corporates Strategic
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RSI10 ALMARAI AB: Saudi Arabia Rating Target price Current price NEUTRAL SAR55.05 (-4.59% upside) SAR57.66 Key themes & implications Almarai reported a positive top-line in Q1 2016, showing resilience
More informationFigure 1 SAFCO Q1 results Q Q Q (SAR mn) Operating profit % 375.6% 347. Operating margin 47% 8% 30% 40%
Vol mn RSI10 SAFCO Petrochemicals Industrial SAFCO AB: Saudi Arabia US$7.22bn 40% US$5.60mn Market cap Free float Avg. daily volume Target price 62.00-2.6% over current Current price 63.70 as at 8/5/2018
More informationSAFCO Q3: Margin beat as Urea price increases
Vol mn RSI10 Petrochemicals Industrial AB: Saudi Arabia US$9.01bn 40% US$8.28mn Market cap Free float Avg. daily volume Target price 85.00 +4.8% over current Current price 81.10 as at 30/10/2018 Underweight
More informationFigure 1 Q results summary. Net profit 5,235 3, % 50% 5,879. Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital
Vol mn RSI10 Saudi Basic Industries Corp Petrochemicals Industrial SABIC AB: Saudi Arabia US$94.95bn 21% US$153.7mn Market cap Free float Avg. daily volume Target price 114.00-0.4% downside Current price
More informationAdvanced Petrochemicals Co Upgrade to OW. Raise TP to SAR61/share
Vol mn RSI10 Petrochemicals Industrial APPC AB: Saudi Arabia US$2.891bn 9% US$2.792mn Market cap Free float Avg. daily volume Target price 61.00 10.7% over current Current price 55.10 as at 5/7/2018 Neutral
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Strategy report Saudi Arabia January 18, 2010 Key themes The Govt. has recently unveiled Fiscal Balance Program, which outlines a roadmap to balance the budget by 2019 in a baseline scenario. The key components
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Vol mn RSI10 Petrochemicals Industrial AB: Saudi Arabia US$7.20bn 40% US$2.257mn Market cap Free float Avg. daily volume Target price 59.00-7% over current Current price 63.10 as at 25/7/2017 Underweight
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Research Department ARC Research Team Tel 966 11 211 9370, research@alrajhi-capital.com Saudi Arabian economy Saudi Arabian Economy The IMF executive board maintained the Kingdom s real GDP growth outlook
More informationTable 1 Key macro indicators. Source: SAMA, * Provisional
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Research Department ARC Research Team Tel 966 11 211 9370, research@alrajhi-capital.com Saudi Arabian Economy - Liquidity easing Saudi Arabian economy Liquidity improving owing to the government initiatives
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Vol mn RSI10 Saudi Arabian Mining Co- Mining Industrial MAADEN AB: Saudi Arabia 29 May 2018 US$17.47bn 35% US$6.79mn Market cap Free float Avg. daily volume Target price 47.60-15.5% over current Current
More informationSaudi Basic Industries Corp After an upbeat Q3, expect good performance in Q4; Raise TP to SAR103/sh.
Vol mn RSI10 Petrochemicals Industrial SABIC AB: Saudi Arabia US$78.87bn 21% US$83.39mn Market cap Free float Avg. daily volume Target price 103.00 +2.6% over current Current price 100.40 as at 11/6/2017
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Q3 earnings performance by sector Q3 2017 Q3 201 % Chg Banks,373,5.7% Petrochemicals,50,561.0% Telecom 2,3 2,660.% Real estate (213) 472 NM Food/agri 1,76-4.% Insurance 756 351-53.5% Healthcare/Pharma
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Saudi Arabian Economy Economic Research Research Department ARC Research Team, Tel. +966 1 211 9370, devassyp@alrajhi-capital.com Saudi economy continues to improve The recent data released by SAMA indicates
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Saudi Arabian Economy Economic Research Research Department ARC Research Team Tel. +966 11 211 937, research@alrajhi-capital.com Saudi Arabia: Preliminary Govt. estimates for 219 budget point to expansionary
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Saudi Arabian Economy Economic Research Research Department ARC ResearchTeam, Tel. +966 1 211 9370, devassyp@alrajhi-capital.com IMF hikes Saudi Arabia s 2018 growth forecast The IMF raised Saudi Arabia
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Saudi Arabia January 18, 2010 Theme The report contains key takeaways from results of the three listed Saudi telecom companies as well as our latest target prices What do we think? Stock Rating Price Target
More informationMa aden Equity infusion will strengthen balance sheet
RSI10 Ma aden MAADEN AB: Saudi Arabia Rating Target price Current price OVERWEIGHT SAR42.0 (19.4% upside) SAR35.17 Research Department ARC Research Team Tel 966 11 211 9332, gopij@alrajhi-capital.com Key
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Quarterly results preview Q2 2016 Key theme With Q2 approaching an end, we present revenue and bottom-line estimates for companies under our coverage in various sectors. Research Department Equity Research
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Saudi Arabian Economy Research Department ARC Research Team, Tel. +966 11 211 9370, devassyp@alrajhi-capital.com Saudi Arabian economy continued to expand in Q3 Saudi Arabian economy has continued to expand
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Global perspective Economic Research Research Department ARC Research Team Tel: 966 11 211 9370, devassyp@alrajhi-capital.com Global economic data improves, but outlook remains uncertain Medium-term risks
More informationYansab Better than expected results
YANSAB AB: Saudi Arabia US$6.91bn 39.8% US$23.37mn Market cap Free float Avg. daily volume RSI10 Vol th Target price n/a n/a Consensus price 56.00 21.5% over current Current price 46.10 as at 9/2/2011
More informationSABIC Overall strong performance
SABIC AB: Saudi Arabia US$80.80bn 22.6% US$124.7mn Market cap Free float Avg. daily volume RSI10 Vol th Target price 126.0 24.75% over current Consensus price 125.6 24.4% over current Current price 101.0
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Research Department ARC Research Team Tel. +966 11 211 9449, alsudairim@alrajhi-capital.com Saudi Arabian Economy Saudi economy: Reforms on track The Government announced an increase in gasoline prices
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More informationPetro Rabigh Shutdown marred Q2 results
PETROR AB: Saudi Arabia US$5.07bn 17.4% US$11.19mn Market cap Free float Avg. daily volume RSI10 Vol th Target price n/a n/a Consensus price 32.18 48.3% over current Current price 21.70 as at 17/8/2011
More informationSipchem Petrochemicals Industrial SIPCHEM AB: Saudi Arabia 07 August 2014
RSI10 Sipchem SIPCHEM AB: Saudi Arabia Rating Target price Current price NEUTRAL SAR40.98 (7.6% upside) SAR38.10 Sector rating Company risk rating Key themes & implications Outperform Low Sipchem recently
More informationNational Industrialization Co. Diversified Operations Industrial NIC AB: Saudi Arabia 25 May 2014
RSI10 National Industrialization Co. NIC AB: Saudi Arabia 25 May 2014 Rating Target price Current price OVERWEIGHT SAR37.30 (18.7% upside) SAR31.40 Key themes & implications Sluggish petrochemical prices
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RSI10 Construction and Materials Industrial SCERCO AB: Saudi Arabia Rating NEUTRAL Target price SAR116. 0 (4.5% upside) Current SAR111.3 price Key themes & implications Company is one of the leading ceramic
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Vol mn RSI10 Zain KSA ZAINKSA AB: Saudi Arabia US$5.41bn 48.3% US$142.1mn Market cap Free float Avg. daily volume Target price 15.90 9.68% over current Consensus price 16.10 11.0% over current Current
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More informationDividend strategy Cement & Petrochemicals still lead
All Sectors - All Industries TASI Closing 9,467.0 YTD performance (%) 13.6 YTD avg. daily Turnover (SAR bn) 9.1 Key themes We are positive about TASI s dividend yield over the near-term. We expect sectors
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Vol th RSI10 Zain KSA ZAINKSA AB: Saudi Arabia US$2.464bn 48.3% US$16.50mn Market cap Free float Avg. daily volume Target price 7.30 12.31% over current Consensus price 7.62 17.2% over current Current
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More informationMobily high growth phase continues
Vol mn RSI10 Etihad Etisalat Company EEC AB: Saudi Arabia US$11.15bn 55.3% US$10.10mn Market cap Free float Avg. daily volume Target price 70.03 17.2% over current Consensus price 71.21 19.2% over current
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Kb/d mn tonnes Jul15 Aug15 Sep15 Oct15 Nov15 Dec15 Jan16 Feb16 Mar16 Apr16 May16 Jun16 Jul16 Aug16 Sep16 Oct16 Nov16 Dec16 Jan17 Feb17 Mar17 Apr17 May17 Jun17 Jul17 Aug17 Sep17 Oct17 Nov17 Dec17 Jan18
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More informationZAIN KSA. Promising turnaround story OVERWEIGHT UPSIDE +16.3%
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Jun-07 Oct-07 Feb-08 Jun-08 Oct-08 Feb-09 Jun-09 Oct-09 Feb-10 Jun-10 Oct-10 Feb-11 Jun-11 Feb-12 Jun-12 Oct-12 Feb-13 Oct-13 Feb-14 Jun-14 Jadwa Saudi Equity 30 June 2014 NAV: 310.1983 SAR AUM: 279.08
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