Jobs and Skills. Glasgow Region. comprising East Dunbartonshire, East Renfrewshire and Glasgow City. March 2018

Transcription

1 Jobs and Skills Glasgow Region comprising East Dunbartonshire, East Renfrewshire and Glasgow City March 2018

2 Sectoral Breakdown of Business Base, (2016) Source: UK Business Counts Glasgow Region East Dunbartonshire East Renfrewshire Glasgow City Scotland Agriculture, forestry & fishing 1% 2% 2% 0.2% 10% Production 5% 5% 4% 5% 6% Construction 10% 13% 11% 9% 11% Motor trades 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% Wholesale 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% Retail 10% 7% 8% 11% 8% Transport & storage 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% Accommodation & food services 8% 5% 5% 10% 8% Information & communication 8% 8% 9% 9% 6% Financial & insurance 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% Property 5% 4% 5% 5% 3% Professional, scientific & technical 20% 24% 23% 19% 19% Business administration & support services 7% 7% 8% 7% 7% Public administration & defence 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Education 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Health 5% 5% 5% 6% 4% Arts, entertainment, recreation & other services 9% 9% 9% 9% 7% Total 22,880 2,975 2,605 17, ,905

3 Proportions of businesses by size band, 2016 % of businesses by size band East Dunbartonshire East Renfrewshire Glasgow City Glasgow Scotland % 91% 84% 86% 88% % 8% 13% 11% 10% % 1% 2% 2% 2% % 0% 1% 1% 0% Source: UK Business Counts

4 Deprivation in Glasgow Region by SIMD (2016), Deciles Source: Scottish Government, See SIMD interactive map here:

5 Population projections, change by age band Total East Dunbartonshire 4% -10% -3% -17% 14% 95% 6% East Renfrewshire 14% 9% 4% -10% 21% 89% 13% Glasgow City 4% -12% 4% 6% 42% 54% 7% Glasgow Region 5% -10% 3% 0% 34% 66% 7% Scotland 1% -8% -2% -6% 27% 85% 7% Source: National Records of Scotland.

6 School Leaver Destinations, 2009/10 and 2015/16 Destination Glasgow Region East Dunbartonshire East Renfrewshire Glasgow City Higher education (%) 2009/10 37% 52% 58% 27% 2015/16 42% 57% 61% 31% Change 4% 6% 3% 4% Further education (%) 2009/10 22% 17% 14% 25% 2015/16 20% 14% 13% 24% Change -2% -3% -2% -1% Employment (%) 2009/10 21% 21% 19% 21% 2015/16 25% 23% 19% 27% Change 4% 2% 1% 6% Unemployment (%) * 2009/10 14% 8% 7% 19% 2015/16 9% 4% 5% 11% Change -6% -4% -2% -7% Source: Scottish Government School Leavers Destination Dataset Unemployment Seeking and Unemployment Not Seeking.

7 '000s Total Employment Projections (jobs), Total employment (jobs) Source: Oxford Economics

8 Glasgow Region Occupational Structure, 2000 and 2017 (people, 000s) Managers, directors & senior officials Professional occ Ass. Professional & tech. occ Admin. & secretarial occ Skilled trades '000s Caring, leisure & other service Sales & customer service 50.4 Process, plant & Elementary occ. machine operatives Total Source: Oxford Economics

9 Total employment (people, 000s) by occupation, 2017 and 2027 Managers, directors & senior officials 45.1 Professional occupations Associate professional & technical occupations 87.4 Administrative & secretarial occupations Skilled trades occupations Caring, leisure & other service occupations Sales & customer service occupations Process, plant & machine operatives 20.5 Elementary occupations 54.3 Source: Oxford Economics. Note: Data labels for 2027 only

10 Expansion demand, replacement demand and total requirement (people, 000s), Glasgow Region, Occupation Expansion Demand Replacement Demand Total Requirement Managers, directors & senior officials Professional occupations Associate professional & technical occupations Administrative & secretarial occupations Skilled trades occupations Caring, leisure & other service occupations Sales & customer service occupations Process, plant & machine operatives Elementary occupations Total Source: Oxford Economics Forecast data.

11 Total employment (jobs) by industrial sector, 2017 and 2027 Human health and social work Admin. and support services Wholesale and retail trade Professional, scientific and technical Education Accommodation and food services Construction Public admin. and defence Financial and insurance activities Manufacturing Information and communication Transport and storage Other service activities Arts, entertainment and recreation Real estate activities Water supply, sewerage, waste Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning Agriculture, forestry and fishing Mining and quarrying Source: Oxford Economics. Note: Data labels for 2027 only

12 Expansion demand replacement demand and total requirement (jobs, 000s), Glasgow Region, Sector Expansion Demand Replacement Demand Total Requirement Agriculture, forestry and fishing Mining and quarrying Manufacturing Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning Water supply, sewerage, waste management Construction Wholesale and retail trade Transport and storage Accommodation and food services Information and communication Financial and insurance activities Real estate activities Professional, scientific and technical Admin. and support services Public admin. and defence Education Human health and social work Arts, entertainment and recreation Other service activities Total Source: Oxford Economics

13 Total employment (jobs, 000s) by key sector, 2017 and 2027 Health and social care 85.5 Financial and business services 66.1 Construction Tourism Creative industries Engineering ICT/digital Food and drink Energy Life sciences Chemical sciences Source: Oxford Economics. Note: Data labels for 2027 only

14 Expansion demand replacement demand and total requirement (jobs, 000s), Glasgow Region, Key Sector Expansion Demand Replacement Demand Total Requirement Chemical sciences Creative industries Construction Energy Engineering Food and drink Financial and business services Health and social care ICT/digital Life sciences Tourism Total Source: Oxford Economics

15 Total Employment by qualification (people, 000s), Glasgow Region, 2017 and 2027 SCQF SCQF SCQF 6 SCQF SCQF No qualifications 58.6 Source: Oxford Economics. Note: Data labels for 2027 only

16 Total Requirement by qualification (people, 000s), Glasgow Region, Qualification Expansion Demand Replacement Demand Total Requirement SCQF SCQF SCQF SCQF SCQF No Qualifications Total Source: Oxford Economics.

17 Paul Zealey