NATO OPERATIONS UPDATE ISAF/AFGHANISTAN
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1 OPERATIONS UPDATE ISAF/AFGHANISTAN COL T. SUGHRUE JFCBS SITCEN DIRECTOR OVERALL CLASSIFICATION 1
2 AGENDA: Operation OMID 1390 Insurgents Campaign Elements Transition
3 Insurgent 2011 Objectives 3
4 Weekly Enemy Initiated Attacks Current Week Current 12 Week Average Last Year 12 Week Average As of: 27 May 2011
5 ISAF 2011 Campaign 5
6 Weekly Cache Finds As of: 27 May
7 90 Day Roll-up 1637 Operations 504 Insurgent leaders killed/captured 2483 Insurgents captured 581 Insurgents killed Special Operations As 26 Feb May 2011 OEF SOF Ops CFSOCC-A Ops ISAF SOF Ops As of: 26 May
8 Building the Afghan National Security Forces 8
9 ANSF Recommended Growth K 172K 195K? 208K Today Incentive Growth Infantry Centric Unbalanced Force Balance With Key Enablers Key Capabilities added for Transition Over-Strength to Thicken the Force Police 122K 134K 157K? 170K Grow & Thicken Grow & Build Enablers Grow & Build Institutional Capacity Training & School Account 281K?? Today /ISAF
10 Afghan Local Police Status Tashkils Approval 77 Site Validation Comp 40 Site Validation Pending 37 MoI In-Processing 29 IG Assessments Tashkil Increase Requests Requested # ,479 Members/77 MoI Approved Sites Identified by IJC/CFSOCC-A As of: 26 May 2011
11 Reintegration Overview # Status 34 Reintegration Cases 43 Reintegration Opportunites 1,737 Formal Reintegrees Over 1,541 in Negociatiation 69 Total Reintegration Events JOWZJAN BALKH KUNDUZ TAKHAR BADAKHSHAN SAMANGAN BADGHIS FARYAB SAR-E PUL BAMYAN BAGHLAN NURISTAN HERAT GHOR WARDAK KABUL NANGARHAR DAYKUNDI GHAZNI KHOST FARAH URUZGAN PAKTIKA ZABUL NIMROZ Provincial Peace Committees 27 Established HELMAND KANDAHAR 7 Emerging Insurgent Commander in Badghis Receives a Koran from the Provincial Governor During a Reintegration Ceremony As of: 25 May
12 Threats in Tranche 1 Areas 1 Mazar-e Sharif City District Increase Decrease 7 Panjshayr Province Increase Decrease 2 Herat City District Increase Decrease 6 Mehtar Lam City District Increase Decrease 4 Bamyan Province Increase Decrease 3 Lashkar Gah City District Increase Decrease 5 Kabul Province (-Sarobi) Increase Decrease 20 to 25 percent on the population Legend Tranche 1 Areas Important to INS Indications and warnings of INS threat Increase Decrease Change since last report: As of REL TO AUSTRALIA/NEW ZEALAND 12
13 The Transition Process Phase 3 Stabilization Tranche 1 Tranche 2 Tranche 3 Tranche 4 Tranche 5 Tranche 6 Phase 4 Transition Phase 5 Redeployment Conditions for beginning the Transition process: ANSF are capable of shouldering additional security tasks with less assistance from ISAF Security is at a level that allows the population to pursue routine daily activities Local governance is sufficiently developed so that security will not be undermined as ISAF assistance is reduced ISAF is postured properly to thin out as ANSF capabilities increase and threat levels diminish
14 The Transition Process Phase 3 Stabilization Tranche 1 Tranche 2 Tranche 3 Tranche 4 Tranche 5 Tranche 6 Phase 4 Transition Phase 5 Redeployment ISAF Joint Command Commander ISAF & Senior Civilian Representative The Assessment Process Joint Afghan Inteqal Board North Atlantic Council Government of the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan
15 The Transition Process Phase 3 Stabilization Tranche 1 Tranche 2 Tranche 3 Tranche 4 Tranche 5 Tranche 6 Phase 4 Transition Phase 5 Redeployment Pre-Implementation Partnered (ISAF Lead) Transition Implementation Stages Stage 1 Mentored (ANSF Lead) Stage 2 Tactical Overwatch Stage 3 Operational Overwatch Stage 4 Strategic Overwatch
16 The Transition Process Phase 3 Stabilization Tranche 1 Tranche 2 Tranche 3 Tranche 4 Tranche 5 Tranche 6 Phase 4 Transition Phase 5 Redeployment Conditions-based process Bottom up, not top down Thin-out, don t hand-off Retain HQ, even as units thin out Reinvest some of the transition dividend Transition institutions and functions, as well as geographic areas Ensure Transition will be irreversible
17 Combatting the Insider Threat 17
18 Questions
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