BBI2353 Commercial Bank Management Prepared by Dr Khairul Anuar

Transcription

1 1 BBI2353 Commercial Bank Management Prepared by Dr Khairul Anuar L3: Liquidity and Reserves Management: Strategies and Policies

2 Key Topics Sources of Demand for and Supply of Liquidity Why Financial Firms Have Liquidity Problems Liquidity Management Strategies Estimating Liquidity Needs The Impact of Market Discipline Legal Reserves and Money Management

3 Introduction One of the most important tasks the management of any financial institution faces is ensuring adequate liquidity at all times A financial firm is considered to be liquid if it has ready access to immediately spendable funds at reasonable cost at precisely the time those funds are needed This suggests that a liquid financial firm either has The right amount of immediately spendable funds on hand when they are required They can raise liquid funds in timely fashion by borrowing or selling assets Lack of adequate liquidity can be one of the first signs that a financial institution is in trouble A financial firm can be closed if it cannot raise sufficient liquidity even though, technically, it may still be solvent

4 The Demand for and Supply of Liquidity Demands for Liquidity Customer deposit withdrawals Credit requests from quality loan customers Repayment of nondeposit borrowings Operating expenses and taxes Payment of stockholder dividends Supplies of Liquid Funds Incoming customer deposits Revenues from the sale of nondeposit services Customer loan repayments Sales of bank assets Borrowings from the money market

5 The Demand for and Supply of Liquidity (continued) These various sources of liquidity demand and supply come together to determine each financial firm s net liquidity position at any moment in time That net liquidity position (L) at time t is Liquidity Deficit is L t < 0 and Liquidity Surplus is L t > 0

6 The Demand for and Supply of Liquidity (continued) The essence of liquidity management problems for financial institutions 1. Rarely are demands for liquidity equal to the supply of liquidity at any particular moment in time The financial firm must continually deal with either a liquidity deficit or a liquidity surplus. 2. There is a trade-off between liquidity and profitability The more resources are tied up in readiness to meet demands for liquidity, the lower is that financial firm s expected profitability (other factors held constant)

7 Why Financial Firms Often Face Significant Liquidity Problems Imbalances between maturity dates of their assets and liabilities High proportion of liabilities (especially demand deposits and money market borrowings) are subject to immediate repayment Sensitivity to changes in interest rates May affect customer demand for deposits May affect customer demand for loans Central role in the payment process, reputation and public confidence in the system

8 Strategies for Liquidity Managers Think about what is a liquid asset? Liquid assets have a ready market, stable price and are reversible Identify strategies for liquidity management Asset Liquidity Management or Asset Conversion Strategy This strategy calls for storing liquidity in the form of liquid assets (Tbills, fed funds loans, CDs, etc.) and selling them when liquidity is needed Borrowed Liquidity or Liability Management Strategy This strategy calls for the bank to purchase or borrow from the money market to cover all of its liquidity needs Balanced Liquidity Strategy The combined use of liquid asset holdings (Asset Management) and borrowed liquidity (Liability Management) to meet liquidity needs

9 Strategies for Liquidity Managers (continued) Guidelines for Liquidity Managers Keep track of all fund-using and fund-raising departments Know in advance withdrawals by the biggest credit or deposit customers Priorities and objectives for liquidity management should be clear Liquidity needs must be evaluated on a continuing basis

10 Estimating Liquidity Needs Sources and Uses of Funds Approach Structure of Funds Approach Liquidity Indicator Approach The Ultimate Standard for Assessing Liquidity Needs: Signals from the Marketplace

11 11-11 Estimating Liquidity Needs (continued) Sources and Uses of Funds Approach Loans and deposits must be forecast for a given liquidity planning period The estimated change in loans and deposits must be calculated for the same planning period The liquidity manager must estimate the bank s net liquid funds by comparing the estimated change in loans to the estimated change in deposits

12 Estimating Liquidity Needs (continued) Sources and Uses of Funds Approach

13 Estimating Liquidity Needs (continued) Sources and Uses of Funds Approach

14 Estimating Liquidity Needs (continued) Sources and Uses of Funds Approach

15 Estimating Liquidity Needs (continued) Structure of Funds Approach A Bank s Deposits and Other Sources of Funds Divided Into Categories. For Example: Hot Money Liabilities (volatile liabilities) Vulnerable Funds Stable Funds (core deposits or core liabilities) Liquidity Manager Set Aside Liquid Funds According to Some Operating Rule

16 Estimating Liquidity Needs (continued) Structure of Funds Approach For example, the manager may decide to set up A 95 percent liquid reserve behind all hot money funds (less any required legal reserves held behind hot money deposits) 30 percent in liquid reserves for vulnerable deposit and nondeposit liabilities 15 percent or less in liquid reserves for stable (core) funds sources

17 Estimating Liquidity Needs (continued) Structure of Funds Approach Combining both loan and deposit liquidity requirements, this institution s total liquidity requirement would be

18 Estimating Liquidity Needs (continued) Structure of Funds Approach Many financial firms like to calculate their expected liquidity requirement, based on the probabilities they assign to different possible outcomes

19 Estimating Liquidity Needs (continued) Liquidity Indicator Approach 1. Cash position indicator 2. Liquid securities indicator 3. Net federal funds and repurchase agreements position 4. Capacity ratio 5. Pledged securities ratio 6. Hot money ratio 7. Deposit brokerage index 8. Core deposit ratio 9. Deposit composition ratio 10. Loan commitments ratio

20 11-20 Estimating Liquidity Needs (continued) The Ultimate Standard for Assessing Liquidity Needs: Signals from the Marketplace Liquidity managers should closely monitor the following market signals: 1. Public confidence 2. Stock price behavior 3. Risk premiums on CDs and other borrowings 4. Loss sales of assets 5. Meeting commitments to credit customers 6. Borrowings from the central bank

21 11-21 Legal Reserves and Money Position Management Legal Reserves Those assets that law and central bank regulation say must be held during a particular time period The current system of accounting for legal reserves is called lagged reserve accounting (LRA) The daily average amount of deposits and other reservable liabilities are computed using information gathered over a two-week period stretching from a Tuesday through a Monday two weeks later This interval of time is known as the reserve computation period The daily average amount of vault cash each depository institution holds is also figured over the same two-week computation period

22 11-22 EXHIBIT 11 1 Federal Reserve Rules for Calculating a Weekly Reporting Depository Institution s Required Legal Reserves

23 11-23 Legal Reserves and Money Position Management (continued) Legal Reserves Only two kinds of assets can be used for this purpose 1. Cash in the vault 2. Deposits held in a reserve account with the regional Fed The reserve requirement in 2010 was 3 percent of the end-of-the-day daily average amount held over a two-week period, from $10.7 million up to $58.8 million The first $10.7 million have zero legal reserves The $58.8 million figure is known as the reserve tranche and changes every year based on deposit growth Transaction deposits over $58.8 million held by the same depository institution carried a 10 percent legal reserve requirement This annual legal reserve adjustment is designed to offset inflation

24 11-24 Legal Reserves and Money Position Management (continued) Calculating Required Reserves The largest depository institutions must hold the largest percentage of legal reserves Each reservable liability item is multiplied by the stipulated reserve requirement percentage to derive each depository s total legal reserve requirement

25 11-25 Legal Reserves and Money Position Management (continued) Calculating Required Reserves The largest depository institutions must hold the largest percentage of legal reserves Each reservable liability item is multiplied by the stipulated reserve requirement percentage to derive each depository s total legal reserve requirement

26 11-26 Legal Reserves and Money Position Management (continued) Clearing Balances In addition to holding a legal reserve account at the central bank, many depository institutions also hold a clearing balance with the Fed to cover any checks or other debit items drawn against them For example, suppose a bank had a clearing balance averaging $1 million during a particular two-week maintenance period and the Federal funds interest rate over this same period averaged 5.50 percent Then it would earn a Federal Reserve credit of Assuming a 360-day year for ease of computation, this bank could apply up to $2, to offset any fees charged to the bank for its use of Federal Reserve services

27 11-27 Legal Reserves and Money Position Management (continued) Factors Influencing the Money Position

28 11-28 Legal Reserves and Money Position Management (continued) Sweep Accounts Volume of legal reserves held at the Fed has declined in recent years largely due to sweep accounts A contractual account between a bank and a customer that permits the bank to move funds out of a customer s checking account overnight in order to generate higher returns for the customer and lower reserve requirements for the bank Retail Sweep Business Sweep The sweeps market is likely to change in form and importance due to the recent passage of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act of 2009

29 11-29 Legal Reserves and Money Position Management (continued) Other Factors to Influence Legal Reserves Use of Fed Funds Market The cheapest source But very volatile Managers rely on the Fed funds target rate (the most volatile on the settlement date) Other Options Sell liquid securities Draw upon excess correspondent balances Enter into repurchase agreements for temporary borrowings Sell new time deposits Borrow in the Eurocurrency market

30 11-30 EXHIBIT 11 2 Movements in the Effective Federal Funds Rate, Its Target (the Intended Federal Funds) Rate, and the Discount (Primary Credit) Rate for Depository Institutions Seeking Credit from the Federal Reserve Banks

31 Factors in Choosing among the Different Sources of Reserves In choosing which source of reserves to draw upon to cover a legal reserve deficit, managers must carefully consider several aspects of their institution s need for liquid funds: 1. Immediacy of need 2. Duration of need 3. Access to the market for liquid funds 4. Relative costs and risks of alternative sources of funds 5. The interest rate outlook 6. Outlook for central bank monetary policy 7. Rules and regulations applicable to a liquidity source

32 11-32 Central Bank Reserve Requirements around the Globe Not all central banks impose legal reserve requirements on the depository institutions they regulate For example, the Bank of England has not established official reserve requirements for its banks There is a trend among central banks around the globe to eliminate, suspend, or at least make less use of the reserve requirement tool, in part because it is so difficult to control A notable exception is the European Central Bank (ECB) Even if central banks imposed no reserve requirements, managers of depository institutions would still have a demand for cash reserves All depository institutions at one time or another need immediately available funds to handle customer withdrawals, meet new loan demand, and satisfy other emergency cash needs

33 11-33 Quick Quiz What are the principal sources of liquidity demand for a financial firm? What are the principal sources from which the supply of liquidity comes? Why do financial firms face significant liquidity management problems? What are the principal differences among asset liquidity management, liability management, and balanced liquidity management? How does the sources and uses of funds approach help a manager estimate a financial institution s need for liquidity? How can the discipline of the marketplace be used as a guide for making liquidity management decisions? What are sweep accounts? Why have they led to a significant decline in the total legal reserves held at the Federal Reserve banks by depository institutions operating in the United States? What impact has recent financial reform legislation had on raising short-term cash?