Cherokee County Board of Education, AL

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1 CREDIT OPINION Cherokee County Board of Education, AL New Issue - Moody's Upgrades Cherokee County BOE, AL's GOLT to A1 from A2; Assigns A1 Sales Tax Rating New Issue Summary Rating Rationale Moody's Investors Service has upgraded Cherokee County Board of Education, AL's GOLT rating to A1 from A2. Concurrently, Moody's has assigned an A1 to the $4.7 million Special Tax School Warrants (Ad Valorem Tax) Series 2016-B as well as the $4.615 million Special Tax School Warrants (Sales Tax) Series 2016-A bonds. A stable outlook is assigned. Contacts Jessica Raab Associate Analyst jessica.raab@moodys.com Christopher Coviello VP-Senior Analyst christopher.coviello@moodys.com The A1 on the GOLT reflects the board s moderately sized tax base, significantly improved financial position, and manageable debt and pensions. The rating also reflects the permanently instituted one cent sales tax which will aid in providing consistent and stable revenue going forward. The A1 sales tax rating reflects strong coverage levels on a positive trend due to strong economic performance in the county. The rating also incorporates weaker legal provisions. Credit Strengths Broad basis of pledged sales tax Stable rural economy Improved fund balance and cash position Credit Challenges Inability to raise rates Weaker legal provisions Below average wealth levels Rating Outlook The stable outlook reflects the expectation that revenues will continue to remain strong, reserves will remain at least at current levels, and the tax base will remain stable. Factors that Could Lead to an Upgrade Tax base expansion and diversification Improvement in the district s wealth levels consistent with higher rating categories

2 Factors that Could Lead to a Downgrade Decline in the tax base Deterioration in reserves Decline in coverage on the sales tax bonds Key Indicators Exhibit 1 Source: Moody's Investors Service Detailed Rating Considerations Economy and Tax Base: Rural Stable Tax Base with Moderate Concentration Cherokee County School District s $1.45 billion tax base has remained fairly stable and is expected to continue on the same trend going forward. Located near the eastern border of the state, about 25 miles northeast of Gadsden (A2), the board serves all of Cherokee County. The county is largely rural, and the economy is driven by the government, manufacturing, and retail sectors. The top ten taxpayers represent about 22.1% of the base, reflecting some concentration in the manufacturing industry. The top taxpayer is KTH Leesburg Products, LLC, an automotive component manufacturer, making up 8% of the district s base. Officials report no significant ongoing development, either residential or commercial, within the county and anticipate a flat tax base moving forward. The socioeconomic profile of the board is below average. Wealth indicators as provided by the American Community Survey are estimated at 77.9% of the US for per capita income and 69.3% of the US for median family income. Unemployment within the county is average at 4.9% as of July 2016 relative to 5.8% for the state and 5.1% for the US. Enrollment increased slightly in 2015 to 3,973 students. Management projects enrollment to remain between 3,900 and 4,000 students over the next five years. Financial Operations and Reserves: Strong Financial Performance Expected to Continue The board s reserves will remain satisfactory over the near term due to conservative budgeting and the permanent implementation of a one cent sales tax in The board has had surpluses in four out of the last six years. As of fiscal 2015, the audited General Fund balance was $6.6 million or 20.5% of revenues which represents a 22.2% increase over the last 5 years. Like all Alabama school districts, due to the recognition of state funding on October 1st and the accrual of teachers salaries through September 30th, the fiscal This publication does not announce a credit rating action. For any credit ratings referenced in this publication, please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on for the most updated credit rating action information and rating history. 2

3 year s total General Fund balance is understated due to the accounting convention. On a budgetary basis, the General Fund balance is $8.9 million or a solid 26.5% of revenues. Officials anticipate another surplus in A significant development in 2015 was the permanent institution of the one cent sales tax. Voters approved the one cent sales tax on an ongoing basis. This will provide the district with an additional source of revenue. The sales tax bonds are secured by two sales tax revenue streams, the General Sales Tax and the Local Sales Tax. The General Sales Tax is levied at a basic rate of 1% of gross receipts with certain activities taxed at a slightly lower rate. This tax has been levied since The Local Sales Tax is levied at 1%, except for the sale of automobiles, boats, farm equipment and machines used in mining which are taxed at ¼%. The board receives 50% of the revenues from this tax revenues were $2.6 million and 2016 unaudited revenues remained stable at $2.6 million. MADS coverage of the 2016 series and the un-refunded portion of the 2007 bonds is $441,738, which leads to 5.89 times coverage in 2015 and 5.87 times coverage in 2016 according to unaudited results. LIQUIDITY The board has solid liquidity with $9.1 million in cash in 2015 or 28.3% of revenue. This is a 28% increase over the last 5 years. Debt and Pensions: Manageable Debt Burden with Plans to Issue Bonds in the Near Term The debt burden is expected to remain manageable even with the plans to issue about $10 million for a new elementary school. The current issues will refund a majority of the district s 2008 bonds which are secured by the countywide 13 mill ad valorem tax and the 2007 bonds which are secured by the sales tax. In addition, the board has about $1.8 million outstanding from its portion of two series issued by the Alabama Public School and College Authority. The Alabama Board of Education withholds funds from the board's allocable share of Public School Capital Outlay funds to cover the board's share of this debt. The board does have plans to issue approximately $10 million for a new elementary school, potentially as early as next year. Debt service should remain manageable even after this issuance. Debt service made up about 19% of the budget in 2015, an increase from the previous year which was about 10%. Total fixed costs, which includes, debt service as well as pension and OPEB contributions was an elevated, 27% of expenditures in DEBT STRUCTURE All the board's debt is fixed rate and amortizes over the long term. The legal security on the sales tax bonds is somewhat weak with no debt service reserve fund. Both series have a preferred claim on the revenue with a trend of very strong coverage. DEBT-RELATED DERIVATIVES The board is not party to any swap agreements. PENSIONS AND OPEB The Board's pension liability from its participation in the Teachers' Retirement System of Alabama, a cost sharing multi-employer plan, is above average but manageable. The Board made the required contribution of $2.4 million in fiscal year 2015 representing 7.3% of General Fund revenues. The board's adjusted net pension liability (ANPL) based on its pro-rata share of county school board pension costs, under Moody's methodology for adjusting reported pension data, is $72.9 million as of 2015, or an above average 2.5 times operating revenues. Moody's ANPL reflects certain adjustments we make to improve comparability of reported pension liabilities. The adjustments are not intended to replace the board's reported liability information but to improve comparability with other rated entities. Management and Governance Management has a history of budgeting conservatively, particularly when budgeting the projected sales tax revenue. We expect this trend to continue. Alabama school districts have an institutional framework score of Aa, or strong. Major revenue streams for schools include state aid, sales tax receipts and property taxes that in combination are moderately predictable. The state has not cut funding for school districts since Revenue-raising flexibility is moderate as property tax rates are constitutionally capped and districts generally need referendum and in some cases, state legislative approval to increase property tax rates. Expenditures are highly predictable as they primarily consist of personnel costs. Schools have a high ability to reduce these costs due to a lack of unions and a modest fixed cost burden. 3

4 Legal Security The 2016 Series A Warrants are secured by the board's sales taxes and the 2016 Series B Warrants are secured by a limited 13 mill ad valorem pledge. Use of Proceeds The proceeds will be used to partially refund the board's 2007 sales tax bonds and the 2008 ad valorem bonds. The expected net present value savings are $519,646 or 12.7% (sales tax bonds) and $346,989 or 8.2% (ad valorem bonds) of refunded principal. Obligor Profile The board serves Cherokee County, AL, located along the eastern border of the state. Enrollment is just under 4,000 students. Methodology The principal methodology used in the General Obligation rating was US Local Government General Obligation Debt published in January The principal methodology used in the Special Tax rating was US Public Finance Special Tax Methodology published in January Please see the Rating Methodologies page on for a copy of these methodologies. Ratings Exhibit 2 Cherokee County Board of Education, AL Issue Rating Special Tax School Warrants (Ad Valorem Tax) Series 2016-B Rating Type Sale Amount Expected Sale Date Rating Description Special Tax School Warrants (Sales Tax) Series 2016-A Rating Type Sale Amount Expected Sale Date Rating Description A1 Underlying LT $4,700,000 11/15/2016 General Obligation Limited Tax A1 Underlying LT $4,615,000 11/15/2016 Special Tax: Sales Source: Moody's Investors Service 4

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