SUMMARY OUTPUT. Regression Statistics Multiple R R Square Adjusted R Standard E Observation 5
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1 SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple R R Square Adjusted R Standard E Observation 5 ANOVA df SS MS F ignificance F Regression Residual Total Coefficientstandard Erro t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0% Intercept X Variable
2 %
3 Monthly Change % STOCK PORTFOLIO ANALYSIS Transaction Sources & Uses Sources (Initial Capital - Jun ) Interest Rate Uses Anount % Interest Rate Margin Loan 50, % 7.00% Stocks $ 88, % Equity 50, % Cash $ 11, % 1.50% Total 100, % Total $ 100, % SUMMARY Portfolio Return Analysis 3-Jun-13 1-Jul-13 1-Aug-13 2-Sep-13 1-Oct Oct-13 2-Dec-13 Summary Equity Cash Flow $ (50,000) $ (27) $ 1,593 $ 2,815 $ (3) $ (97) $ 64,608 Summary Portfolio Value (incl. Cash) $ 100,000 $ 99,473 $ 105,065 $ 108,080 $ 110,477 $ 114,280 Portflio Appreciation/(Depreciation) - P % 5.622% 2.869% 2.218% 3.443% Cummulative Appreciaiton % 5.095% 7.964% % % S&P 500 (Market - M) 0.091% 2.180% 3.111% 1.293% 3.745% Portfolio Returns/Analysis S&P Return/Analysis HPR (Unlevered) - Risky Portfolio 13.34% HPR (Levered) 37.78% Average Monthly Returns (N-1) 2.72% Average Monthly Returns (n-1) 2.08% Standard Deviation 2.22% Standard Deviation 1.45% Portfolio Vs S&P 500 P M P x M M^2 (Y - Avg Y) (X - Avg X) Months Portfolio S&P Beta (Slope) = Regression Statistics Regression Statistics Multiple R R Square Adjusted R Squar Standard Error Observations 1 ANOVA df SS MS F Regression Residual Total Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0% Intercept X Variable X Variable CASH FLOW ANALYSIS IRR per month 3-Jun-13 1-Jul-13 1-Aug-13 2-Sep-13 1-Oct Oct-13 2-Dec-13 Beginning Cash 50,000 11,500 11,473 13,065 15,880 15,877 15,780 Plus Dividends 0 $ 250 $ 120 $ 390 $ 269 $ 175 $ - Buy / Sell Stock $ (88,500) $ - $ 1,750 $ 2,700 $ - $ - $ 99,100 Less Debt (Principal) $ 50,000 $ (50,000) Less Debt (Interest Payments) $ (292) $ (292) $ (292) $ (292) $ (292) $ (292) Interest Income $ 14 $ 14 $ 16 $ 20 $ 20 $ 20 Plus Cash $ (11,500) $ 15,780 Total Cash Flow 5.71% $ (50,000) $ (27) $ 1,593 $ 2,815 $ (3) $ (97) $ 64,608 Cash Deposit $ 11,500 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ (15,780) Ending Cash 11,500 11,473 13,065 15,880 15,877 15,780 64,608 Cash % of Total Value 11.5% 11.5% 12.4% 14.7% 14.4% 13.8% 100.0% 3
4 Stock Prices ABC Chemicals BCD Industrial CDE Publishing DEF Hospitality EFG TV/Cable FGH Techonlogy GHI Service HIK Retail IKL Pharmaceutical KLM Healthcare LMN Hospitality MNO TV/Cable NOP Techonlogy OPQ Retail PQR Chemicals S&P Index 1, , , , , , Number of Shares Own ABC Chemicals BCD Industrial CDE Publishing DEF Hospitality EFG TV/Cable FGH Techonlogy GHI Service HIK Retail IKL Pharmaceutical KLM Healthcare LMN Hospitality MNO TV/Cable NOP Techonlogy OPQ Retail PQR Chemicals Bought./ Sold - Shares ABC Chemicals BCD Industrial CDE Publishing DEF Hospitality EFG TV/Cable FGH Techonlogy GHI Service HIK Retail IKL Pharmaceutical KLM Healthcare LMN Hospitality MNO TV/Cable NOP Techonlogy OPQ Retail PQR Chemicals
5 Bought./ Sold - Shares ABC Chemicals $ - $ - $ 6,750 $ - $ - $ - $ 6,400 2 BCD Industrial $ - $ - $ 3,600 $ - $ - $ - $ 3,600 3 CDE Publishing $ - $ - $ 2,000 $ - $ - $ - $ 5,400 4 DEF Hospitality $ - $ - $ - $ 4,900 $ - $ - $ 10,800 5 EFG TV/Cable $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 13,000 6 FGH Techonlogy $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 6,000 $ - $ 2,500 7 GHI Service $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 10,800 8 HIK Retail $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 12,500 9 IKL Pharmaceutical $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 6, KLM Healthcare $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 6, LMN Hospitality $ - $ - $ (3,200) $ - $ - $ - $ 4, MNO TV/Cable $ - $ - $ (1,900) $ - $ - $ - $ 1, NOP Techonlogy $ - $ - $ (5,500) $ - $ - $ - $ 6, OPQ Retail $ - $ - $ - $ (2,200) $ - $ - $ 2, PQR Chemicals $ - $ - $ - $ - $ (6,000) $ - $ 6,900 Total $ - $ - $ 1,750 $ 2,700 $ - $ - $ 99,100 Total Value ABC Chemicals $ 11,500 $ 12,000 $ 4,500 $ 5,000 $ 5,200 $ 5,600 $ - 2 BCD Industrial $ 6,000 $ 5,000 $ 2,400 $ 2,400 $ 3,000 $ 3,600 $ - 3 CDE Publishing $ 7,200 $ 7,600 $ 6,000 $ 5,700 $ 6,600 $ 6,000 $ - 4 DEF Hospitality $ 12,000 $ 12,600 $ 14,400 $ 9,800 $ 10,200 $ 11,000 $ - 5 EFG TV/Cable $ 10,400 $ 12,000 $ 12,000 $ 12,000 $ 12,400 $ 12,800 $ - 6 FGH Techonlogy $ 12,400 $ 8,000 $ 10,000 $ 10,400 $ 2,000 $ 2,200 $ - 7 GHI Service $ 9,000 $ 9,600 $ 10,200 $ 10,800 $ 11,400 $ 11,400 $ - 8 HIK Retail $ 8,000 $ 9,500 $ 10,500 $ 11,000 $ 11,500 $ 12,000 $ - 9 IKL Pharmaceutical $ 4,500 $ 3,900 $ 3,600 $ 4,200 $ 4,500 $ 5,400 $ - 10 KLM Healthcare $ 7,500 $ 7,800 $ 7,800 $ 7,800 $ 7,800 $ 7,800 $ - 11 LMN Hospitality $ - $ - $ 3,200 $ 3,500 $ 4,200 $ 4,400 $ - 12 MNO TV/Cable $ - $ - $ 1,900 $ 1,800 $ 1,800 $ 1,600 $ - 13 NOP Techonlogy $ - $ - $ 5,500 $ 5,600 $ 5,800 $ 5,900 $ - 14 OPQ Retail $ - $ - $ - $ 2,200 $ 2,200 $ 2,200 $ - 15 PQR Chemicals $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 6,000 $ 6,600 $ - Total Value $ 88,500 $ 88,000 $ 92,000 $ 92,200 $ 94,600 $ 98,500 $ - Cash $ 11,500 $ 11,473 $ 13,065 $ 15,880 $ 15,877 $ 15,780 $ 64,608 Total Value $ 100,000 $ 99,473 $ 105,065 $ 108,080 $ 110,477 $ 114,280 $ 64,608 Dividends Paid per Share ABC Chemicals $ 0.20 $ BCD Industrial $ 0.30 $ CDE Publishing 4 DEF Hospitality $ EFG TV/Cable $ FGH Techonlogy 7 GHI Service $ HIK Retail $ IKL Pharmaceutical $ KLM Healthcare $ LMN Hospitality 12 MNO TV/Cable 13 NOP Techonlogy 14 OPQ Retail 15 PQR Chemicals 5
6 Total Cash Dividends ABC Chemicals $ 100 $ - $ - $ - $ 40 $ - 2 BCD Industrial $ 150 $ - $ - $ - $ 60 $ - 3 CDE Publishing $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - 4 DEF Hospitality $ - $ 120 $ - $ - $ - $ - 5 EFG TV/Cable $ - $ - $ 150 $ - $ - $ - 6 FGH Techonlogy $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - 7 GHI Service $ - $ - $ 240 $ - $ - $ - 8 HIK Retail $ - $ - $ - $ 200 $ - $ - 9 IKL Pharmaceutical $ - $ - $ - $ 69 $ - $ - 10 KLM Healthcare $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 75 $ - 11 LMN Hospitality $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - 12 MNO TV/Cable $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - 13 NOP Techonlogy $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - 14 OPQ Retail $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - 15 PQR Chemicals $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - Total $ 250 $ 120 $ 390 $ 269 $ 175 $ - Diversification Factors Industry Concetration 3-Jun-13 1-Jul-13 1-Aug-13 2-Sep-13 1-Oct Oct-13 Chemicals 13.0% 13.6% 4.9% 5.4% 11.8% 12.4% Healthcare 8.5% 8.9% 8.5% 8.5% 8.2% 7.9% Hospitality 13.6% 14.3% 19.1% 14.4% 15.2% 15.6% Industrial 6.8% 5.7% 2.6% 2.6% 3.2% 3.7% Pharmaceutical 5.1% 4.4% 3.9% 4.6% 4.8% 5.5% Publishing 8.1% 8.6% 6.5% 6.2% 7.0% 6.1% Retail 9.0% 10.8% 11.4% 14.3% 14.5% 14.4% Service 10.2% 10.9% 11.1% 11.7% 12.1% 11.6% Techonlogy 14.0% 9.1% 16.8% 17.4% 8.2% 8.2% TV/Cable 11.8% 13.6% 15.1% 15.0% 15.0% 14.6% Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Total $ 88,500 $ 88,000 $ 92,000 $ 92,200 $ 94,600 $ 98,500 $ - Company Concetration ABC 13.0% 13.6% 4.9% 5.4% 5.5% 5.7% BCD 6.8% 5.7% 2.6% 2.6% 3.2% 3.7% CDE 8.1% 8.6% 6.5% 6.2% 7.0% 6.1% DEF 13.6% 14.3% 15.7% 10.6% 10.8% 11.2% EFG 11.8% 13.6% 13.0% 13.0% 13.1% 13.0% FGH 14.0% 9.1% 10.9% 11.3% 2.1% 2.2% GHI 10.2% 10.9% 11.1% 11.7% 12.1% 11.6% HIK 9.0% 10.8% 11.4% 11.9% 12.2% 12.2% IKL 5.1% 4.4% 3.9% 4.6% 4.8% 5.5% KLM 8.5% 8.9% 8.5% 8.5% 8.2% 7.9% LMN 0.0% 0.0% 3.5% 3.8% 4.4% 4.5% MNO 0.0% 0.0% 2.1% 2.0% 1.9% 1.6% NOP 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% 6.1% 6.1% 6.0% OPQ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.4% 2.3% 2.2% PQR 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 6.3% 6.7% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 6
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