Copyright 2018 Ticker Target, LLC

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Copyright 2018 Ticker Target, LLC"

Transcription

1 February 16th, 2018 Premium Package by Bert Hochfeld Miguel Toro 1

2 Daily Post 2

3 December 13th, 2017 In Addition to the Portfolio We have added $12,500 of Twilio shares to the high-growth portfolio. This represents approximately a 6.4% position. Our price per share was $24.80, the closing price on 12/11, and we bought 504 shares. We funded the purchase from our cash balance. Twilio is the leading vendor of software to embed communications solutions including voice, video, and text within applications. Most of its sales are to developers although it has most recently started to sell enterprise license agreements. The shares have been under substantial pressure since last spring when the company disclosed that its largest single customer, Uber had decided to build its own communications infrastructure. At that point, Uber had been a 17% customer and the company s reported growth tumbled. That said, however, the component of Twilio s business outside of Uber and its other large, non-contractual customer, Facebook (WhatsApp), has been achieving 60%+ growth and the company is adding 3000 new customers/quarter. The company will lap the high point of its revenue from Uber in the next 6 months, after which its optics should substantially improve. At the moment, the company is forecast to grow by just 24% in 2018 but will probably handily exceed that level. At this point, the shares are not valued for the strong growth the company is achieving. They are trading at just more than 4X revenue, far below what might be expected for a business that dominates the high growth space of communications applications. Expectations have compressed dramatically since this company went public. At some point in the next couple of quarters, we anticipate that investors will look beyond the transition from Uber and reflect on the very rapid growth the company is achieving in the balance of its potential market. The company has been able to achieve a very effective selling motion and the items that have weighed on gross profit include FX and particularly the lower gross margins the company has on communications sales in international markets should begin to abate. The shares have been substantially derisked by the lasts share price pullback since the start of November. At this point we think the risk/reward factors are substantially in our favor. Copyright Ticker Target, LLC 3

4 Bert's Portfolio Commentaries 4 Copyright Ticker Target, LLC

5 Bert s Portfolio Commentary - Week of January 26th, 2018 The stock market s never-ending rally rolled on last week, and our portfolios continued to rise as well. At this point, the reasons for the rally are a combination of the goldilocks economy coupled with increasing realization that the tax cut and the falling dollar are going to be driving earnings along with higher unit volumes. This holds true in the IT world, where strong capex numbers imply accelerating growth for most businesses. I certainly expect the rally to come to a pause at some point, but so far there are simply no immediate signs of that happening. Our high-growth portfolio rose by 1.9% this week, trailing the results of the IGV which was up 2.4% and the S&P index which rose by 2.2%. The portfolio had companies with significant share price appreciation such as Ubiquiti, Alteryx and Commvault. Commvault reacted to a better than feared earnings report that featured strong guidance for the impending fiscal year. Ubiquiti is essentially in a cat-up mode having been under-valued for a significant period as investors reset their expectations as to what the company s unique business model can achieve. Alteryx, up over 8%, is probably reflecting investor speculation regarding a potential merger. I simply have no way of validating if that speculation has any basis in fact. Alteryx shares are now up by 56% in 5 months; it would be hard to imagine they will continue to appreciate at that cadence going forward but as the position is only 9.5% of the portfolio, we are going to maintain our stake and hope that the speculation is borne out. Our relative performance last week was hobbled by the 8% decline in Nutanix shares. The decline was a function of a JP Morgan downgrade. We simply do not think that the downgrade was based on any substantive considerations and was poorly framed. It is our belief that Nutanix remains one of the premier emerging growth names with the pivot to software a significant positive and the stronger sales management team also likely to help results. In addition to Nutanix, the portfolio performance was retarded by the 6.5% fall in Impinj shares. Impinj is a small position for us and is so because it is basically a speculation on the success that the company will have in developing new and expanded use cases. Last week, in the wake of the official opening of the Amazon Go store, it has been speculated that Impinj technology was not part of what Amazon has chosen. We are not sure if that is accurate, we are not sure if it matters significantly and we think at this juncture, with the stock at new lows, and short interest at new highs, it is in a great position to provide strong returns. Despite the underperformance this past week, the high growth portfolio, up 33% in the past 5 months, is still substantially outperforming both the S&P and IGV indexes. Again, we caution subscribers that it is unlikely that any portfolio can maintain that cadence of return for an extended period. While the over-valuation that some commentators are fond of writing about is belied by the strong operational performance of most IT vendors, portfolio appreciation at a 75% rate, completely unleveraged, is not likely. Our income/stability portfolio without the negative results of either Impinj or Nutanix, rose by 2.4% last week, matching the performance of the IGV and slight exceeding the performance of the Dow. The portfolio, as had been indicated, added Infosys and deleted Symantec last week. Strong performance was achieved by Microsoft, Oracle, Fidelity National and Hewlett Packard enterprise. NetApp, was the weakest name last week, not too surprising in the wake of 67% appreciation over the past 5 months. As indicated the portfolio reduced the NetApp position by 33% last week to rebalance portfolio weighting. At this point, our income/stability portfolio is up by a bit more than 21% over the past 5 months, again a rate that will be difficult to sustain over the balance of the year. 5

6 Bert s Portfolio Commentary - Week of February 16th, 2018 Last week s action in the stock market was almost a mirror image of the prior week. Most of the losses that had been sustained in the first week of February were erased, although the averages have not quite returned to previous high ground. Sometimes, trying to find reasons for volatility is a case of trying to get an explanation to fit a fact on the ground. There wasn t much in the way of macro data this past week that was different than macro data received the first week in February. As it happens, inflation at the consumer level came in at expected levels-but that meant that year on year inflation ticked up to 2.1%, the highest in a couple of years. Offsetting that metric was an unanticipated decline in retail sales actually going back to December. Further, the production index unexpectedly fell as well. And offsetting those signs of weakness were signs of strength in the Philly Fed index as well as a jump in housing starts. All in all, the economy is still showing signs of moderate growth with some labor market tightness, but no substantial signs of a material rise in inflationary expectations. The recent dampening of energy prices will probably work through the inflation chain. Overall, business is good, and inflation is still not an overwhelming problem. Many tech companies reported last week, and the almost universal theme was that business was a bit better than anticipated and the outlook for the current quarter was stronger still. If readers are looking for reasons for stocks to be at record highs, simply put, the earnings and growth prospects for most companies are also at record highs and growth has been so fast that in many cases valuation has not increased. Overall, our high growth portfolio increased by almost 9% in value last week, noticeably beating the returns of the IGV index and doubling the returns of the S&P for the period. Over the past 6 months, our high-growth portfolio has increased by 27% compared to a gain of 16% for the IGV and 11% for the S&P. We are pleased with that kind of performance, although as we have said in the past it is not possible to consistently maintain that kind of differentiated performance, or indeed to maintain performance at that level over any extended period. Last week our portfolio saw a 35% gain in Twilio. Twilio is the leading provider of messaging technology for developers who incorporate its products within apps that are used in a wide variety of communications applications. The company reported results that substantially exceeded the consensus and gave guidance far above consensus expectations. That said, the shares remain significantly undervalued compared to growth that is likely to exceed 30% this year and into the future. Shares of Alteryx advanced 15% last week, making back some of the losses of the previous week. Alteryx will report its quarterly results this coming Wednesday and we hope to see substantial over-attainment. Our newest purchase, Pega jumped 10% last week, again reversing declines of the prior week. Pega will likely report at the end of February and has the opportunity to achieve healthy growth well beyond the consensus. Our income/stability portfolio rose a more modest 4.3% last week, below the return of the IGV and just slightly above the return of the Dow. While all of the names in the portfolio increased, both Infosys and NetApp showed very modest appreciation constraining overall portfolio results. Cisco reported earnings last week that beat consensus expectations and spoke to the improving climate for overall IT spending. With higher guidance, the shares jumped by 12%. Dassault Systemie, the leading provider of PLM software jumped over 10% last week, both because of its prior earnings release but reflecting strong positive trends in the economy. Our income stability, up about 14% over the past 6 months is within hailing distance of the returns of both IGV and the Dow. Given the constraints of portfolio construction, we are reasonably satisfied with the returns of that portfolio as there are simply a lack of names that have a dividend and can be included within the sector. 6

7 Bert s Portfolio Commentary - Week of February 16,

8 High Growth Portfolio Relative Performance 8 Copyright Ticker Target, LLC

9 High Growth Portfolio February 16th, 2018 Company Symbol Year # of Shares Per Share (2/9) Per Share (2/16) Total $ Invested Weekly Weekly Value % Wk Current Market Value Portfolio Weight Index % G/ L Cognizant CTSH 8/25/ $ % $ % On At Numbers of Share $ G / L on Transaction Horton Works HDP 8/19/ $ / $ $ NetApp NTAP 8/25/ $ % $ % Nimble NMBL 9/30/ /13 $ $14, $ Gigamon GIMO 8/25/ /27/17 $ $ 16,447 $ Nuance NUAN 8/19/ /30 $ $ $59.86 Opentext OTEX 8/25/ $ % $ % Rackspace RAX 8/19/16 8/26 $ $11,340 $ Shopify SHOP 8/19/16 5/10 $ $ $ Square SQ 8/25/17 10/31 $ $ $ SilverSpring SSNI 8/25/17 9/25/17 $ $ $ Teradata TDC 8/25/ $ % $ % / $ PEGA PEGA 2/10/ $ % $ % Red Hat RHT 8/25/ $ % $ % Veeva VEEV 8/25/ $ % $ % Nutanix NTNX 8/25/ $ % $ % /24 $ $ Commvault CVLT 8/25/ $ % $ % Alteryx AYX 9/27/ $ % $ % Ubiquiti UBNT 11/18/ $ % $ % Twilio TWLO 12/8/ $ % $ % Impinj PI 2/1 $ $ $ Subtotal $ $ % $ % Cash $ Total $ $ Ishares IGV 8/ $ % $ SPDR S&P SPY 8/ $ % $

10 Income/Stability Relative Performance 10 Copyright Ticker Target, LLC

11 February 16th, 2017 Income/Stability Portfolio Company Symbo l Year # of Shares Per Share (2/9) Per Share (2/16) Total $ Invested Weekly Weekly Value % Wk Current Market Value Portfolio Weight Cisco CSCO 8/ $ % $ % Fidelity Nat'l. FIS 8/ $ % $ % Index % G/L Posti on On At Numbers of Share $ Amount Symantec SYMC 0.00% Jan Hewlett Ent. HPE 8/ $ % $ % Jack Henry JKHY 12/ ,371 OpenText OTEX 8/ $ % $ % Pega PEGA 8/ % 11/ SAP SAP 8/ $ % $ % Dassault Syst. DASTY 8/ $ % $ % Microsoft MSFT 8/ $ % $ % Oracle ORCL 12/ $ % $ % Infosys INFY 1/ $ % $ % NetApp NTAP 8/ $ % $ % / Subtotal $ % $ % 114.4% Cash $ G L Total $ Ishares IGV 8/ $ % $ Dow Jones DIA 8/ $ % $

Copyright 2018 Ticker Target, LLC

Copyright 2018 Ticker Target, LLC March 10th, 2018 Premium Package by Bert Hochfeld Miguel Toro 1 Daily Post 2 December 13th, 2017 In Addition to the Portfolio We have added $12,500 of Twilio shares to the high-growth portfolio. This represents

More information

3Q 2012 Earnings Highlights

3Q 2012 Earnings Highlights Market-Moving U.S. Earnings Releases IBM Corp. (IBM) October 16, 2012 Caterpillar (CAT) October 22, 2012 Boeing (BA) October 24, 2012 Amazon.com (AMZN) October 25, 2012 Apple (AAPL) October 25, 2012 Priceline.com

More information

TEC Sector Recommendation Report (Fall 2012)

TEC Sector Recommendation Report (Fall 2012) TEC Sector Recommendation Report (Fall 2012) Date: 10/30/2012 Analyst: Matt Leid Sector: TEC Review Period: 10/11/2012-10/24/2012 Section (A) Sector Performance Review Below we can see that, a few days

More information

SaaS Software Cloud Update May 2018

SaaS Software Cloud Update May 2018 Equity Research SaaS Software Cloud Update 2018 Public Markets and M&A Activity The Navidar SaaS Software Cloud Index advanced +9.3% in April and +26.5% so far in 2018, compared with the NASDAQ s +5.3%

More information

CIF Sector Update Report (Spring 2015)

CIF Sector Update Report (Spring 2015) CIF Sector Update Report (Spring 2015) Sector: Technology Analysts: Jake Riddell and Bryan Mickelson Presentation Date: April 17, 2015 Review Period: Start: January 9, 2015 End: April 13, 2015 Section

More information

Investors Observer Workshop. Wednesday, April 19, noon ET

Investors Observer Workshop. Wednesday, April 19, noon ET Investors Observer Workshop Wednesday, April 19, noon ET Debby Clowney Workshop Coach: Debby Clowney Our goal today is to provide a workshop where we discuss how to translate the Trade Idea Generator s

More information

By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist of Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC.*

By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist of Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC.* By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist of Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC.* For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com

More information

Sycamore Market Analysis

Sycamore Market Analysis Sycamore Market Analysis September 30, 2015 The third quarter came to an end with big gains for stocks. The rally did not quite reverse the effect of selling on Monday though with the S&P 500 still down

More information

CIF Sector Recommendation Report (Fall 2012)

CIF Sector Recommendation Report (Fall 2012) CIF Sector Recommendation Report (Fall 2012) Date: March 20, 2013 Analyst: Lillian Mojica Sector: Financial Review Period: March 1 st - 15 th Section (A) Sector Performance Review FIN Ticker Current Beg.

More information

Pioneer Disciplined Growth Fund

Pioneer Disciplined Growth Fund Pioneer Disciplined Growth Fund COMMENTARY Performance Analysis & Commentary September 2018 Fund Ticker Symbols: PINDX (Class A); INYDX (Class Y) us.amundipioneer.com Third Quarter Review The Fund s Class

More information

Key takeaways. What it may mean for investors FIRST A NALYSIS NEWS OR EVENTS T HAT MAY AFFECT Y OUR INVESTMENTS. Global Investment Strategy Team

Key takeaways. What it may mean for investors FIRST A NALYSIS NEWS OR EVENTS T HAT MAY AFFECT Y OUR INVESTMENTS. Global Investment Strategy Team FIRST A NALYSIS NEWS OR EVENTS T HAT MAY AFFECT Y OUR INVESTMENTS Global Investment Strategy Team February 5, 2018 Market Sell-off What Investors Need to Know Now Key takeaways» A swift climb in the 10-year

More information

When is it Time to Leave the Party?

When is it Time to Leave the Party? Issue #13 / Summer 2018 When is it Time to Leave the Party? In this edition of the High Level Investment Report, I thought I would focus on Investment Psychology in markets nearing peak returns, and some

More information

CIF Sector Recommendation Report (Spring 2013)

CIF Sector Recommendation Report (Spring 2013) Date: 3/6/13 Analyst: Taylor Woodruff CIF Sector Recommendation Report (Spring 2013) Sector: Technology Review Period: 2.15.13 3.1.13 Section (A) Sector Performance Review TEC Ticker Current Beg. Stop-loss

More information

The Predictive Accuracy Score PAS. A new method to grade the predictive power of PRVit scores and enhance alpha

The Predictive Accuracy Score PAS. A new method to grade the predictive power of PRVit scores and enhance alpha The Predictive Accuracy Score PAS A new method to grade the predictive power of PRVit scores and enhance alpha Notice COPYRIGHT 2011 EVA DIMENSIONS LLC. NO PART MAY BE TRANSMITTED, QUOTED OR COPIED WITHOUT

More information

2016 S E M I - A N N U A L L E A D E R S S U R V E Y

2016 S E M I - A N N U A L L E A D E R S S U R V E Y S E M I - A N N U A L LEADERS SURVEY M&A Leaders Survey Morrison & Foerster / 451 Research A reversion to the mean? Survey results point to a more normalized tech M&A market After two straight forecasts

More information

Chart 2: Oil prices are down considerably. This suggests that inflation is slowing.

Chart 2: Oil prices are down considerably. This suggests that inflation is slowing. November 12th, 2018 1 This is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell a particular security. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns.

More information

Market Outlook By Mark Connolly, Principal, New Castle Investment Advisors, LLC. Prepared January 15, 2018

Market Outlook By Mark Connolly, Principal, New Castle Investment Advisors, LLC. Prepared January 15, 2018 Prepared January 15, 2018 Market Outlook 2018 By Mark Connolly, Principal, New Castle Investment Advisors, LLC Last year s stock market performance was nothing less than spectacular. The Dow Jones Industrial

More information

CIF Sector Recommendation Report (Spring 2013)

CIF Sector Recommendation Report (Spring 2013) Date: 4/5/13 Analyst: Austin Frazier CIF Sector Recommendation Report (Spring 2013) Sector: Technology XLK Review Period: March 18th- 29th Section (A) Sector Performance Review XLK Ticker Current Beg.

More information

Fastener Distributor Index April 2017

Fastener Distributor Index April 2017 Fastener Distributor Index April 2017 Written by R.W. Baird analyst David J. Manthey, CFA 5/5/17 Key Takeaway: The seasonally-adjusted FDI for April 2017 was 50.2, remaining in expansionary territory but

More information

Large Cap Growth Strategy

Large Cap Growth Strategy Fourth Quarter 2018 Large Cap Growth Strategy Key Takeaways Peter Bourbeau Managing Director, Portfolio Manager Slowing global growth and signs of weakness among the market leaders of the last several

More information

CIF Sector Recommendation Report (Fall 2012)

CIF Sector Recommendation Report (Fall 2012) Date: 4/24/13 Analyst: Kyle Temple CIF Sector Recommendation Report (Fall 2012) Sector Technology Review Period 4/8-4/19 Section (A) Sector Performance Review Cougar Investment Fund Sector Review Spreadsheet

More information

Microsoft Corporation

Microsoft Corporation Grade Earnings Last Earnings Release 10/27/2017 Last Qtr. Actual vs. Est. $0.84 / $0.71 Next Release 10/31/2017 $0.72 Year Ending 06/30/2017 $2.96 Quick Facts Dividend Yield 1.86% 52 Wk High $85.58 52

More information

Economic Risk Factor Update: July 2017

Economic Risk Factor Update: July 2017 Economic Risk Factor Update: July 2017 July 12, 2017 by Brad McMillan of Commonwealth Financial Network The data for June was generally positive, with a rebound in job growth and a surprise increase in

More information

CIF Sector Recommendation Report (Fall 2012)

CIF Sector Recommendation Report (Fall 2012) Date: 4/22/13 Analyst: Matthew Landen CIF Sector Recommendation Report (Fall 2012) Sector: Financials Review Period: 4/4/13 4/17/13 Section (A) Sector Performance Review The financial sector has outperformed

More information

DAILY CHART OF S&P 500 INDEX

DAILY CHART OF S&P 500 INDEX NOVEMBER 19, 2017 support@thememgroup meminvestmentresearch.com DAILY CHART OF S&P 500 INDEX The S&P 500 remains in a near-term uptrend after last week s modest 0.13% decline as losses in Energy stocks

More information

Financial Market Outlook: Stock Rally Continues with Faster & Stronger GDP Rebound, Earnings Recovery & Liquidity

Financial Market Outlook: Stock Rally Continues with Faster & Stronger GDP Rebound, Earnings Recovery & Liquidity For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com Financial Market Outlook & Strategy: Further Stock Gains with Macro Sweet Spot & Earnings Recovery.

More information

( The Gleason Report Performance of the TGR Timing Models with the Dow Stocks January 2015

(  The Gleason Report Performance of the TGR Timing Models with the Dow Stocks January 2015 (www.gleasonreport.com) The Gleason Report Performance of the TGR Timing Models with the Dow Stocks January 2015 The Gleason Report (TGR) market timing system uses many years of data to create a customized

More information

The Stock Market's Final Four

The Stock Market's Final Four The Stock Market's Final Four April 2, 2019 by John Lynch of LPL Financial The NCAA Final Four is set. On the men s side, Auburn, Michigan State, Texas Tech, and Virginia are headed to Minneapolis to determine

More information

electalts Wisely Managed Absolute Return Portfolios INVERSE ETFS AND VOLATILITY DRAG

electalts Wisely Managed Absolute Return Portfolios INVERSE ETFS AND VOLATILITY DRAG electalts Wisely Managed Absolute Return Portfolios INVERSE ETFS AND VOLATILITY DRAG There are times when some investors would like to be able to profit from a decline in the market or market segment.

More information

Commentary from New Century Advisors January 2019

Commentary from New Century Advisors January 2019 NCA MARKET NOTES Residual Inflation Sensitivity Oil Services Not Participating in the Production Boom Looming Fed Pause and Key Investment Themes INFLATION CORNER: Residual Inflation Seasonality While

More information

Figure 1 Weekly Calendar. Note: BMO = Before Market Opens, AMC = After Market Closes

Figure 1 Weekly Calendar. Note: BMO = Before Market Opens, AMC = After Market Closes 00 EPIC INSIGHTS Vol. 2, No. 9 A PUBLICATION of EPIC ADVISORS, LLC March 2, 2009 THE WEEK AHEAD Over the past three weeks, an eerily familiar pattern has developed. Markets expect reported economic data

More information

VANGUARD DIVIDEND APPREC ETF (VIG)

VANGUARD DIVIDEND APPREC ETF (VIG) VANGUARD DIVIDEND APPREC ETF (VIG) $112.45 USD Risk: Med Zacks ETF Rank 3 - Hold Fund Type Issuer Benchmark Index Large Cap ETFs VANGUARD NASDAQ US DIVIDEND ACHIEVERS SELECT INDX VIG Sector Weights Date

More information

VANGUARD INFORMATION TECH ETF (VGT)

VANGUARD INFORMATION TECH ETF (VGT) VANGUARD INFORMATION TECH ETF (VGT) $166.30 USD Risk: Med Zacks ETF Rank 2 - Buy Fund Type Issuer Benchmark Index Technology ETFs VANGUARD MSCI US INVESTABLE MRKT INFO TECH 25/50 VGT Sector Weights Date

More information

There will likely be a dispersion of returns among the FAANG stocks, given different valuations and where they are in the earnings cycle.

There will likely be a dispersion of returns among the FAANG stocks, given different valuations and where they are in the earnings cycle. Key Takeaways Technology stocks could remain volatile for some time amid the potential for slower earnings growth at some companies and greater regulatory scrutiny. There will likely be a dispersion of

More information

DIVIDEND STRATEGY SERIES:

DIVIDEND STRATEGY SERIES: DIVIDEND STRATEGY SERIES: The Power of Dividend Investing Q1 2019 60 State Street Boston, MA 02109 info@oshares.com // THE POWER OF DIVIDEND INVESTING Dividends 04 The Most Powerful Force in the Universe?

More information

Market Observations as of Sept 22, 2017

Market Observations as of Sept 22, 2017 Market Observations as of Sept 22, 2017 By Carl Jorgensen - For Objective Traders - For educational purposes only. Not Financial Advice. We saw a mixed market this week, similar to the prior few weeks,

More information

High Probability ETF Trading For All

High Probability ETF Trading For All High Probability ETF Trading For All Version 2.7 Strategy Report Chris White, August 2012 Includes results to end of July 2012 Contents Disclaimer... 2 Summary... 3 The High Probability ETF Trading book

More information

Market Observations - as of Sep 28, 2018

Market Observations - as of Sep 28, 2018 Market Observations - as of Sep 28, 2018 By Carl Jorgensen - For Objective Traders - For educational purposes only. Not Financial Advice. The month week, month and quarter ended with not much change in

More information

How does recent market action impact our strategy?

How does recent market action impact our strategy? October 15 th, 2014 INVESTMENT STRATEGY NOTES Nick Majendie, CA Director, Wealth Management ScotiaMcLeod Senior Portfolio Manager, with responsibility for advising the Anchor How does recent market action

More information

Are Investors Buying into the Equity Story?

Are Investors Buying into the Equity Story? Are Investors Buying into the Equity Story? January 15, 2013 by Chris Maxey, Ryan Davis of Fortigent Stocks Climb in Quiet Week Stocks inched higher last week amid limited economic data and the start of

More information

THIRD CHART I. profit. aberrational. and away from the. a significant. 20% this year. October 15, 2018 Page 1 of 9.

THIRD CHART I. profit. aberrational. and away from the. a significant. 20% this year. October 15, 2018 Page 1 of 9. Page 1 of 9 THIRD QUARTERR REVIEW & OUTLOOK: THE U.S.. ECONOMY REVERTING BACK TO A NORMAL CYCLE AS INTEREST RATES MOVE HIGHER EXPECT MORE VOLATILITY CHART I Source: Strategas The U.S. stock market (Chart

More information

The Hartford Disciplined Equity Fund

The Hartford Disciplined Equity Fund The Hartford Mutual Funds FUNDCOMMENTARY First Quarter 2011 Fund Symbols: A: HAIAX Portfolio Management: Mammen Chally, CFA Objective: The Fund seeks growth of capital. Sub-Advised by: Wellington Management

More information

POLEN FOCUS GROWTH STRATEGY

POLEN FOCUS GROWTH STRATEGY PORTFOLIO MANAGER COMMENTARY Third Quarter 2017 POLEN FOCUS GROWTH STRATEGY Key Takeaways During the third quarter of 2017, the Polen Focus Growth Composite Portfolio (the Portfolio ) returned 4.04% gross

More information

Contents. Introduction 2. Bonanza Creek Energy, Inc. (BCEI) 3. BP plc (BP) 4. Funko (FNKO) 5. Liberty Media Formula One Group (FWONA) 6

Contents. Introduction 2. Bonanza Creek Energy, Inc. (BCEI) 3. BP plc (BP) 4. Funko (FNKO) 5. Liberty Media Formula One Group (FWONA) 6 $99 VALUE Contents Introduction 2 Bonanza Creek Energy, Inc. (BCEI) 3 BP plc (BP) 4 Funko (FNKO) 5 Liberty Media Formula One Group (FWONA) 6 Interactive Corp (IAC) 7 J. Jill (JILL) 8 NetApp (NTAP) 9 Note

More information

CIF Sector Recommendation Report (Spring 2013)

CIF Sector Recommendation Report (Spring 2013) Date: 4/10/13 Analyst: Corey Malone CIF Sector Recommendation Report (Spring 2013) Sector: XLF Review Period: 3/21/13-4/4/13 Section (A) Sector Performance Review Sector Review Spreadsheet One- Month Stock

More information

WHAT S HAPPENING IN THE STOCK MARKETS

WHAT S HAPPENING IN THE STOCK MARKETS WHAT S HAPPENING IN THE STOCK MARKETS For those who have been investing for a while now, the reaction may be, Oh no, here we go again. After a long period of increases, stock markets have been tumbling.

More information

Risk of Policy Error Clearly Rising Some Key Charts and Index Levels

Risk of Policy Error Clearly Rising Some Key Charts and Index Levels Risk of Policy Error Clearly Rising Some Key Charts and Index Levels 4 th March 2018 What a difference a few weeks make. At the end of January, financial markets were melting up, commentators were salivating

More information

Investment Research Team Update

Investment Research Team Update Economic & Market Commentary Market Update February 2015 February was a great month for global stocks! The S&P 500 ( large cap stocks) was up 5.7% and small stocks (Russell 2000) gained 5.9%. The jobs

More information

Market Observations - as of May 11, 2018

Market Observations - as of May 11, 2018 Market Observations - as of May 11, 2018 By Carl Jorgensen - For Objective Traders - For educational purposes only. Not Financial Advice. After about four weeks of very little net change in the major indexes

More information

Zacks Earning Trends

Zacks Earning Trends October 2, 2014 Zacks Earning Trends Sheraz Mian SMian@Zacks.com Will Earnings Season Stop Market Bleeding? Global growth worries have started weighing on stock prices lately, prompting some to claim that

More information

The Investors Newsletter

The Investors Newsletter I N S I D E T H I S I S S U E 1 Perspectives 2 Summary of Indexes 3 Fundamentals & Indicators 4 Index Chart & Analysis economic reports from the past quarter are not indicating the push into higher prices

More information

PERSPECTIVE ON MARKET VOLATILITY

PERSPECTIVE ON MARKET VOLATILITY LPL RESEARCH WEEKLY MARKET COMMENTARY October 15 2018 PERSPECTIVE ON MARKET VOLATILITY John Lynch Chief Investment Strategist, LPL Financial Ryan Detrick, CMT Senior Market Strategist, LPL Financial Jeffrey

More information

Schroder Asian Income Monthly Fund Update

Schroder Asian Income Monthly Fund Update Monthly Fund Update Fund Performance As at 30 April 2016, in SGD 1 month Year to date 1 Year 3 Years (p.a.) Since launch* (p.a.) Fund (Bid-Bid) (%) Fund (Offer-Bid) (%) 0.9 1.9-2.3 2.3 8.0-4.1-3.2-7.2

More information

By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist of Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC.*

By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist of Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC.* By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist of Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC.* For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com

More information

Altegris/AACA Real Estate Long Short Fund RAAAX RAAIX RAANX

Altegris/AACA Real Estate Long Short Fund RAAAX RAAIX RAANX MARKET + PORTFOLIO COMMENTARY Q1.2014 Altegris/AACA Real Estate Long Short Fund RAAAX RAAIX RAANX Market Commentary This quarter, real estate stocks (as measured by the Dow Jones US Real Estate Total Return

More information

Financial Market Outlook: Stocks Rebounding from July Correction, Further Gains Likely. Bond Yields Range Bound

Financial Market Outlook: Stocks Rebounding from July Correction, Further Gains Likely. Bond Yields Range Bound For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com Financial Market Outlook & Strategy: Stocks Rebounding from July Correction, Further Gains Likely. Bond

More information

for the week ending February 2, 2018

for the week ending February 2, 2018 for the week ending February 2, 2018 Market Focus: US Markets recorded its worst week in two years, some of the affects were due to a sharp rise in Treasury yields and underperforming tech and healthcare

More information

MELT-UP OR MELT-DOWN?

MELT-UP OR MELT-DOWN? LPL RESEARCH WEEKLY MARKET COMMENTARY February 5 2018 MELT-UP OR MELT-DOWN? John Lynch Chief Investment Strategist, LPL Financial Jeffrey Buchbinder, CFA Equity Strategist, LPL Financial KEY TAKEAWAYS

More information

FIVE KEYS TO EMERGING MARKET OUTLOOK John Lynch Chief Investment Strategist, LPL Financial Jeffrey Buchbinder, CFA Equity Strategist, LPL Financial

FIVE KEYS TO EMERGING MARKET OUTLOOK John Lynch Chief Investment Strategist, LPL Financial Jeffrey Buchbinder, CFA Equity Strategist, LPL Financial LPL RESEARCH WEEKLY MARKET COMMENTARY KEY TAKEAWAYS We favor emerging market and U.S. equities for tactical asset allocations based primarily on our outlooks for global economic growth and earnings. We

More information

High Probability ETF Trading For All

High Probability ETF Trading For All High Probability ETF Trading For All Version 2.10 Strategy Report Chris White, March 2014 Includes full year results 01/01/2009 to 12/31/13 And Last 3 months results (01/12/13 to 02/28/14) Contents Disclaimer...

More information

John Hancock Multifactor Technology ETF

John Hancock Multifactor Technology ETF 800Q1 John Hancock Multifactor Technology ETF Quarterly portfolio holdings 7/31/17 Fund s investments As of 7-31-17 (unaudited) Common stocks 99.9% $49,399,348 (Cost $40,315,019) Consumer discretionary

More information

Financial Market Outlook: Further Stock Gain on Faster GDP Rebound and Earnings Recovery. Year-end Target Raised

Financial Market Outlook: Further Stock Gain on Faster GDP Rebound and Earnings Recovery. Year-end Target Raised For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com Financial Market Outlook & Strategy: FurtherStock Gains Likely, Year-end Target Raised. Bond Under Pressure

More information

Appendix A: Futures and Exchange Traded Products (ETPs) and Tracking Failures

Appendix A: Futures and Exchange Traded Products (ETPs) and Tracking Failures Appendix A: Futures and Exchange Traded Products (ETPs) and Tracking Failures A.1 ETPs Secured with Futures Earlier in the semester when you were introduced to ETPs 1 we reviewed a classification of funds

More information

Investor Relations/ [IRO Name] [Fourth Quarter 201X] Activities

Investor Relations/ [IRO Name] [Fourth Quarter 201X] Activities Investor Relations/ [IRO Name] [Fourth Quarter 201X] Activities PERFORMANCE COMMENTARY: MONTH OPEN LOW HIGH CLOSE AVG. VOL. October $39.51 $37.12 $41.64 $37.32 550,186 November $37.55 $37.48 $41.07 $38.37

More information

Stocks Laboring to Move Higher

Stocks Laboring to Move Higher Stocks Laboring to Move Higher August 31, 2018 by Liz Ann Sonders, Jeffrey Kleintop & Brad Sorensen of Charles Schwab Key Points U.S. stocks indexes finally moved to new record highs but not exactly in

More information

Equity Market Review and Outlook

Equity Market Review and Outlook REVIEW AND OUTLOOK Q3 2016 Equity Market Review and Outlook By Richard Skaggs, CFA, VP, Senior Equity Strategist KEY TAKEAWAYS Stocks rallied handily in the third quarter, led by global markets. The Fed

More information

BQP Software Bits. Last Week s Market News and Analysis. Document: March 2, 2015

BQP Software Bits. Last Week s Market News and Analysis. Document: March 2, 2015 BQP Software Bits Document: 14343 March 2, 2015 BQP Software Bits is a periodical aimed at keeping technology investors on top of recent industry, company, and market events within the Software sector.

More information

Monthly Market Risk Update: March 2019

Monthly Market Risk Update: March 2019 Monthly Market Risk Update: March 2019 March 14, 2019 by Brad McMillan of Commonwealth Financial Network Market risks come in three flavors: recession risk, economic shock risk, and risks within the market

More information

j2 Global: Don t Overlook This Impressive Growth and Dividend Income Stock

j2 Global: Don t Overlook This Impressive Growth and Dividend Income Stock j2 Global: Don t Overlook This Impressive Growth and Dividend Income Stock March 3, 2017 by Chuck Carnevale of F.A.S.T. Graphs j2 Global (JCOM) was founded in 1995 and went public in 1999. During their

More information

August 2017 Market Update

August 2017 Market Update Market Update (8/2017) Allianz Investment Management LLC August 2017 Market Update Key Points Upbeat GDP data from the second quarter along with another solid labor market report has begun to overshadow

More information

INVESTMENT STRATEGY. Volatility Returns. us.cibc.com/private-wealth

INVESTMENT STRATEGY. Volatility Returns. us.cibc.com/private-wealth INVESTMENT FINANCIAL STRARTEGY MARKETS VOLATILITY MONITOR RETURNS INVESTMENT STRATEGY Volatility Returns 1 The S&P 500 has dropped over six consecutive trading sessions and is now 7% below the all-time

More information

Cummins Inc. Nice Second-Quarter EPS Beat but Not Immune to Second-Half Slowdown. Equity Research Global Industrial Infrastructure Capital Goods

Cummins Inc. Nice Second-Quarter EPS Beat but Not Immune to Second-Half Slowdown. Equity Research Global Industrial Infrastructure Capital Goods Equity Research Global Industrial Infrastructure Capital Goods August 02, 2016 Cummins Inc. Nice Second-Quarter EPS Beat but Not Immune to Second-Half Slowdown Summary/Quick take. Cummins reported a solid

More information

In the Middle Lies Opportunity: The Case for Mid Caps

In the Middle Lies Opportunity: The Case for Mid Caps In the Middle Lies Opportunity: The Case for Mid Caps Despite their attractive risk and return characteristics, U.S. mid cap stocks are frequently overlooked by equity investors; that may be hurting their

More information

Fastener Distributor Index March 2017

Fastener Distributor Index March 2017 Fastener Distributor Index March 2017 Written by R.W. Baird analyst David J. Manthey, CFA 4/5/17 Key Takeaway: The seasonally adjusted FDI for March 2017 was 60.0, increasing from February s 57.0 reading

More information

MONTHLY NEWSLETTER MARCH 2018

MONTHLY NEWSLETTER MARCH 2018 MONTHLY NEWSLETTER MARCH 2018 Welcome to "The Advisor" March Newsletter. In this issue we will touch on the potential for rising interest rates and how it may impact you for retirement. Also, the volatility

More information

The Technical Portfolio

The Technical Portfolio Volume 18 Monthly Return Comparison Regular Portfolio +2.73% Aggressive Portfolio +2.68% S&P 500 +1.69% Dow Jones Industrial Average -0.13% Nasdaq Composite +2.89% Russell 2000-1.00% March 17, 2019 The

More information

SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) $276.18 USD Risk: Med Zacks ETF Rank 2 - Buy Fund Type Issuer Benchmark Index Large Cap ETFs STATE STREET GLOBAL ADVISORS S&P 500 INDEX SPY Sector Weights Date of Inception 01/29/1993

More information

CORPORATE BEIGE BOOK:

CORPORATE BEIGE BOOK: LPL RESEARCH WEEKLY MARKET COMMENTARY IBG FINANCIAL ADVISORS KEY TAKEAWAYS Our analysis of fourth quarter 216 earnings conference call transcripts indicates sentiment among corporate executives continued

More information

Thursday s Daily Stock Report (Unedited)

Thursday s Daily Stock Report (Unedited) Edition: 1139 29 September 2016 Thursday s Daily Stock Report (Unedited) Energy stocks started supporting market Dear Members, On Wednesday market recovered sharply after OPEC decided to cut 20% production

More information

October 12, Dow 23,000 Target Achieved What Next? By Scott P. Noyes, CFA CFP

October 12, Dow 23,000 Target Achieved What Next? By Scott P. Noyes, CFA CFP October 12, 2017 Dow 23,000 Target Achieved What Next? By Scott P. Noyes, CFA CFP It is time to celebrate as the Dow approaches a multi-year target of 23,000. On October 5 th, the Dow reached 22,775, effectively

More information

NVIT Investor Destinations Funds

NVIT Investor Destinations Funds NVIT Investor Destinations Funds Nationwide VIT Quarterly Asset class: Allocation Share class Class II Strategy Overview The NVIT Investor Destinations Funds (NVIT ID Funds) consist of seven risk-based

More information

Some Thoughts on Roller Coaster Investing

Some Thoughts on Roller Coaster Investing Some Thoughts on Roller Coaster Investing Take a look at this roller coaster stock price chart. The stock crashed by 63% in just 118 days between late 2008 and early 2009. Then, after a rise over the next

More information

[Please refer to Appendix. Wells Fargo & Company (WFC) Q2 Initial Thoughts: Revenue Trends Modestly Below Expectations RESEARCH UPDATE

[Please refer to Appendix. Wells Fargo & Company (WFC) Q2 Initial Thoughts: Revenue Trends Modestly Below Expectations RESEARCH UPDATE July 15, 2016 Baird Equity Research US Banks Wells Fargo & Company (WFC) Q2 Initial Thoughts: Revenue Trends Modestly Below Expectations WFC reported Q216 EPS of $1.01 (Baird $1.02, consensus $1.01). Non-core

More information

Alphabet Inc. GOOGL - NASDAQ Neutral -1

Alphabet Inc. GOOGL - NASDAQ Neutral -1 COMPANY UPDATE / TARGET CHANGE ESTIMATE CHANGE Key Metrics GOOGL - NASDAQ - as of 5/1/17 $932.82 Price Target $1,000.00 52-Week Range $672.66 - $935.82 Diluted Shares Outstanding (mil) 702.0 Market Cap.

More information

Note Important Disclosures on Pages 6-7 Note Analyst Certification on Page 6

Note Important Disclosures on Pages 6-7 Note Analyst Certification on Page 6 COMPANY UPDATE / ESTIMATE CHANGE Key Metrics GOOGL - NASDAQ - as 4/23/18 $1,073.81 Price Target $1,100 52-Week Range $866.11 - $1,198.00 Diluted Shares Outstanding (mil) 703.5 Market Cap. ($mil) 1-Mo.

More information

Beyond The realm Of possibilities

Beyond The realm Of possibilities Beyond The realm Of possibilities 2013 2nd Quarter Report Table of Contents - Outlook of U.S. Real Estate 3-16 - Products Performance Review 17-20 - Performance: DFSP Series 21-24 - Market Outlook 25-28

More information

A Look at the Regional and National Economies

A Look at the Regional and National Economies Seattle Society of Financial Analysts (SSFA) The Ranier Club, Seattle, Washington For delivery May 4, 2000, at approximately 1:30 pm Pacific Daylight Time (4:30 pm Eastern) by Robert T. Parry, President,

More information

Q Fixed Income Survey: Expectations for Rising Rates, Volatility and Emerging Markets

Q Fixed Income Survey: Expectations for Rising Rates, Volatility and Emerging Markets Q1 2018 Fixed Income Survey: Expectations for Rising Rates, Volatility and Emerging Markets April 4, 2018 by Adam Smears of Russell Investments The dichotomy between views from interest rate managers and

More information

DON T SELL IN MAY COMMENTARY THE WORST SIX MONTHS OF THE YEAR KEY TAKEAWAYS LPL RESEARCH WEEKLY MARKET SELL IN MAY. May

DON T SELL IN MAY COMMENTARY THE WORST SIX MONTHS OF THE YEAR KEY TAKEAWAYS LPL RESEARCH WEEKLY MARKET SELL IN MAY. May LPL RESEARCH WEEKLY MARKET COMMENTARY May 7 2018 DON T SELL IN MAY John Lynch Chief Investment Strategist, LPL Financial Ryan Detrick, CMT Senior Market Strategist, LPL Financial KEY TAKEAWAYS The May

More information

Gateway Active Index-Option Overwrite Composite Commentary

Gateway Active Index-Option Overwrite Composite Commentary Overwrite Composite Commentary EQUITY MARKETS The S&P 500 Index gained 3.09% for the second quarter of, bringing its year-to-date return to 9.34%. The equity market posted positive returns each month of

More information

Fastener Distributor Index December 2017

Fastener Distributor Index December 2017 Fastener Distributor Index December 2017 Written by R.W. Baird analyst David J. Manthey, CFA 1/9/18 Key Takeaway: The seasonally adjusted FDI for December 2017 was 57.6 up modestly vs. November s 56.9

More information

AIG 2017 SEMI-ANNUAL REPORT. SunAmerica Specialty Series High Watermark Fund High Watermark Fund

AIG 2017 SEMI-ANNUAL REPORT. SunAmerica Specialty Series High Watermark Fund High Watermark Fund 2017 SEMI-ANNUAL REPORT SunAmerica Specialty Series High Watermark Fund 2020 High Watermark Fund AIG Commodity Strategy Fund ESG Dividend Fund Focused Alpha Large-Cap Fund Focused Multi-Cap Growth Fund

More information

PhaseTrader Indicators

PhaseTrader Indicators PhaseTrader Indicators PhaseTrader Tools for TradeStation Radar PhaseTrader is a Trademark of Derivative Concepts, LLC. Copyright 2018 Derivative Concepts Homepage: https://phasetraderindicator.com Registration:

More information

MANAGED FUTURES INDEX

MANAGED FUTURES INDEX MANAGED FUTURES INDEX COMMENTARY + STRATEGY FACTS SEPTEMBER 2018 CUMULATIVE PERFORMANCE ( SINCE JANUARY 2007* ) 140.00% 120.00% 100.00% 80.00% 60.00% 40.00% 20.00% 0.00% AMFERI BARCLAY BTOP50 CTA INDEX

More information

J.P. Morgan Structured Investments

J.P. Morgan Structured Investments Payment at Maturity North America Structured Investments 4yr ETF Efficiente DS 5 CD Overview J.P. Morgan ETF Efficiente DS 5 (the ) is an addition to the JPMorgan Efficiente index family. JPMorgan ETF

More information

Chart 1: Dow Jones Industrial Average. Chart 2: Dow Jones Transportation Average

Chart 1: Dow Jones Industrial Average. Chart 2: Dow Jones Transportation Average December 17th, 2018 1 You are probably going to hear a lot about Dow Theory in the coming days and weeks. Just like the death crosses that have been occurring in several broad market indices, Dow Theory

More information

Year in review Summary

Year in review Summary Summary Canadian equities declined in 2018 and underperformed their global peers in Canadian dollar terms. U.S. equities also corrected as the risk of slowing pace of economic expansion, higher interest

More information

Total Wealth Weekly. November 19, The 1970 s Crash Gives Us a Warning

Total Wealth Weekly. November 19, The 1970 s Crash Gives Us a Warning Total Wealth Weekly November 19, 2017 The 1970 s Crash Gives Us a Warning Welcome to Total Wealth Weekly for Sunday, November 19. We just finished up the new edition of the newsletter. You ll receive it

More information

June of us, and how many, will zig when others are zagging. We

June of us, and how many, will zig when others are zagging. We 3/1 3/14 3/28 4/8 5/17 6/24 7/8 7/21 8/3 8/16 8/29 9/12 9/23 10/6 10/19 11/1 11/14 11/28 12/9 12/22 1/6 1/20 2/2 2/15 3/1 3/14 3/27 4/7 5/17 6/26 4/3 4/5 4/7 4/11 4/13 4/18 4/20 4/24 4/26 4/28 5/2 5/8

More information

STRONG WEEK AHEAD OF BIG WEEKEND

STRONG WEEK AHEAD OF BIG WEEKEND LPL RESEARCH WEEKLY MARKET COMMENTARY December 3 2018 STRONG WEEK AHEAD OF BIG WEEKEND John Lynch Chief Investment Strategist, LPL Financial Jeffrey Buchbinder, CFA Equity Strategist, LPL Financial KEY

More information