3Q 2018 Earnings Presentation November 5, 2018 CRZO

Transcription

1 3Q 2018 Earnings Presentation November 5, 2018

2 Forward Looking Statements / Note Regarding Reserves This presentation contains statements concerning the Company s intentions, expectations, projections, assessments of risks, estimations, beliefs, plans or predictions for the future, objectives, goals, strategies, future events or performance and underlying assumptions and other statements that are not historical facts. These statements are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of The forward-looking statements in this presentation include, but are not limited to, statements relating to the Company s business and financial outlook, cost and risk profile of oil and gas exploration and development activities, quality and risk profile of Company s assets, liquidity and the ability to finance exploration and development activities, including accessibility of borrowings under the Company s revolving credit facility, commodity price risk management activities and the impact of our average realized prices, growth strategies, ability to explore for and develop oil and gas resources successfully and economically, estimates and forecasts of the timing, number, profitability and other results of wells we expect to drill and other exploration activities, drilling inventory, downspacing, infill drilling and completion optimization results, estimates regarding timing and levels of production or reserves, estimated ultimate recovery, the Company s capital expenditure plan and allocation by area, cost reductions and savings, efficiency of capital, the price of oil and gas at which projects break-even, future market conditions in the oil and gas industry, ability to make, integrate and develop acquisitions and realize any expected benefits or effects of completed acquisitions, midstream arrangements and agreements, gas marketing strategy, lease terms, expected working or net revenue interests, the ability to adhere to our drilling schedule, acquisition of acreage, including number, timing and size of projects, planned evaluation of prospects, probability of prospects having oil and gas, working capital requirements, liquids weighting, rates of return, net present value, 2018 exploration and development plans, any other statements regarding future operations, financial results, business plans and cash needs and all other statements that are not historical facts. Statements in this presentation regarding availability under our revolving credit facility are based solely on the current borrowing base commitment amount and amounts outstanding on such date. The amounts we are able to borrow under the revolving credit facility are subject to, and may be less due to, compliance with financial covenants and other provisions of the credit agreement governing our revolving credit facility. You generally can identify forward-looking statements by the words anticipate, believe, budgeted, continue, could, estimate, expect, forecast, goal, intend, may, objective, plan, potential, predict, projection, possible, scheduled, guidance, should, or other similar words. Such statements rely on assumptions and involve risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond our control, including, but not limited to, those relating to a worldwide economic downturn, availability of financing, the Company s dependence on its exploratory drilling activities, the volatility of and changes in oil and gas prices, the need to replace reserves depleted by production, operating risks of oil and gas operations, the Company s dependence on key personnel, factors that affect the Company s ability to manage its growth and achieve its business strategy, results, delays and uncertainties that may be encountered in drilling, development or production, interpretations and impact of oil and gas reserve estimation and disclosure requirements, activities and approvals of our partners and parties with whom we have alliances, technological changes, capital requirements, the timing and amount of borrowing base determinations (including determinations by lenders) and availability under our revolving credit facility, evaluations of us by lenders under our revolving credit facility, other actions by lenders, the potential impact of government regulations, including current and proposed legislation and regulations related to hydraulic fracturing, oil and natural gas drilling, air emissions and climate change, regulatory determinations, litigation, competition, the uncertainty of reserve information and future net revenue estimates, acquisition risks, availability of equipment and crews, actions by midstream and other industry participants, weather, our ability to obtain permits and licenses, the results of audits and assessments, the failure to obtain certain bank and lease consents, the existence and resolution of title defects, new taxes and impact fees, delays, costs and difficulties relating to our joint ventures, actions by joint venture parties, results of exploration activities, the availability and completion of land acquisitions, cost of oilfield services and equipment, completion and connection of wells, and other factors detailed in the Risk Factors and other sections of the Company s Annual Report on Form -K for the year ended December 31, 2017 and other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission ( SEC ). Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual outcomes may vary materially from those indicated. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of the particular statement or, if not stated, the date printed on the cover of the presentation. When used in this presentation, the word current and similar expressions refer to the date printed on the cover of the presentation. Each forward-looking statement is expressly qualified by this cautionary statement and the Company undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. All subsequent written and oral forward-looking statements attributable to us or persons acting on our behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by reference to these risks and uncertainties. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. The information contained in this presentation does not purport to be all-inclusive or to contain all information that potential investors may require. 2 We may use certain terms such as Resource Potential that the SEC s guidelines strictly prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC. Our Probable (2P) and Possible (3P) reserves do not meet SEC rules and guidelines (including those relating to pricing) for such reserves. These terms include reserves with substantially less certainty, and no discount or other adjustment is included in the presentation of such reserve numbers. U.S. investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in our Form -K for the year ended December 31, 2017, File No , and in our other filings with the SEC, available from us at 500 Dallas, Suite 2300, Houston, Texas, These forms can also be obtained from the SEC by calling SEC-0330.

3 3 3Q Overview Adjusted EPS Adjusted EBITDA Adjusted EBITDA Margin $0.94 Exceeds consensus of $0.79 $209MM Exceeds consensus of $193MM $35/Boe Driven by high-margin Eagle Ford Total Production Oil Production Total Operating Expenses 64.6MBoe/d Exceeds high end of guidance 40.8MBbls/d Up 8% sequentially $11/Boe Down 2% sequentially

4 4 Executing on Corporate Initiatives Strategic Elected to shift capital from the Delaware Basin to the Eagle Ford Shale through mid-2019 to capitalize on the superior rates of return Reduced leverage below 2.0x at the end of the third quarter from 2.5x at the end of the prior quarter Continued to work toward a free cash flow positive inflection point during 2019 Operational Completed rig shift to the Eagle Ford Shale and have begun drilling two additional large-scale multipads in the play Added more scale in the Phantom area of the Delaware Basin through an attractively-priced bolt-on acquisition Continued to deliver strong well results from Delaware Basin acreage

5 2018 Development Plan Synergistic Development of High-quality Assets $800 - $825 MM Capital Budget ~90% Drilling & Completion 4Q18 Program Highlights Focus on high-return oily plays 4-rig development program in the Eagle Ford Shale 2-rig development program in the Delaware Basin Frac holiday planned for November/December Positions the Company for high-margin production growth in 2019 Eagle Ford D&C Delaware Basin D&C Pipeline & Infra. Area 2018 Pro Forma Production Growth Free Cash Flow 2 (Millions) Delaware Basin: Longer-term Growth Engine Eagle Ford: High Return / FCF Positive >0% ~($1) 5-% >$ Production growth pro forma for A&D activity. 2 Free cash flow calculated at the field level at strip prices as of /25/18.

6 Net Daily Prod. (MBoe/d) Net Daily Prod. (MBbl/d) Strong Track Record of Growth Total Production Crude Oil Production 70 18% CAGR 45 19% CAGR FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E 0 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E Eagle Ford Delaware Basin DJ Basin Appalachia / Other 6 Note: 2018 production based on midpoint of the guidance range provided on November 5, 2018.

7 No. of Wells Eagle Ford Shale Operations Summary Margin ($/Boe) MBoe/d 3Q Highlights Historical Production 16-well multipad development in the Brown Trust project area continues to meet expectations Began drilling two additional large-scale multipad projects Increased production by 5% versus the prior quarter Increased operating margin by 5% versus prior quarter Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 Oil NGL Gas D&C Activity Operating Margin 35 $70 $70 30 $60 $ $50 $40 $30 $20 $50 $40 $30 $20 WTI Oil Price 5 $ $ 0 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 $- 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 $0 7 Net Wells Drilled Net Wells Completed Operating Margin Total LOE Production/Ad Val Tax Average WTI Oil

8 No. of wells Delaware Basin Operations Summary Margin ($/Boe) MBoe/d 3Q Highlights Historical Production Increased production by 29% versus the prior quarter Reduced unit operating expenses by 6% versus the prior quarter Reported strong well results on both Phantom and Ford West acreage positions 5 Began operations on initial multi-layer cube development test 0 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 Oil NGL Gas D&C Activity Operating Margin $70 $ $60 $50 $40 $30 $20 $ $60 $50 $40 $30 $20 $ WTI Oil Price 0 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 $- 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 $0 8 Net Wells Drilled Net Wells Completed Operating Margin Total LOE Production/Ad Val Tax Average WTI Oil

9 9 Delaware Basin Strong Results from Wolfcamp A and B Ford West Area Phantom Area Culberson Reeves Reeves Ward 4 Wolfcamp A Wolfcamp B Wolfcamp A Wolfcamp B # Well Name Zone Lateral Length (ft.) 30-Day Rate* (Boe/d) 60-Day Rate* (Boe/d) 1 Mustang State Unit 20H WCA 6,150 1,433 (54% oil) 1,358 (53% oil) 2 Lovelace State Unit B912 11H WCB 6,950 1,811 (47% oil)** 3 Davis 2728 Unit H WCA,000 2,072 (53% oil) 2,0 (52% oil) 4 Sandhu State 14 12H WCA,000 1,676 (40% oil) 1,578 (41% oil) *Two-stream production **Recent 7-day rate

10 $/Boe $/Boe MBoe/d Financial Summary 3Q Highlights Revenue Drivers Exposure to premium-priced LLS market continued to drive strong crude oil netbacks Total production increased by 13% sequentially and was 3% above the high-end of the guidance range EBITDA margin expanded to >$35/Boe 0 $ Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 $55 $50 $45 $40 $35 $/Boe Production Unhedged Realized Price LOE Breakdown Adjusted EBITDA Margin $ $8.51 $50 $6.81 $6.77 $6.90 $40 $5 $30 $20 $ $32.07 $29.57 $34.45 $35.14 $0 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 SWD Workover Expense Repairs/Maintenance Equipment Chemicals Transport and Processing All Other Categories $0 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 Adjusted EBITDA Margin Cash G&A Production/Ad Val Tax LOE

11 $MM Net Debt / Adjusted EBITDA Balance Sheet Flexibility Sustaining Leverage Below 2x Historical Leverage Metrics 1 4.5x 4.0x 3.5x 3.0x 2.5x 2.0x 1.5x 1.0x 0.5x 0.0x Debt Maturities $1,200 $1,000 $800 $600 $400 $200 $0 7.5% Notes Sept Revolver May % Notes 2023 April Targeting Leverage Below 2.0x Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q % Notes July Revolving Credit Facility $1.1 billion borrowing base commitment with interest rate of LIBOR %-2.25% Consortium of 20 banks led by Wells Fargo Restrictive covenants Total Net Debt < 4.0x Adj. EBITDA 7.50% Senior Unsecured Notes (due 2020) $130 million outstanding Called for redemption on November 19 No liquidity or performance-based covenants 6.25% Senior Unsecured Notes (due 2023) $650 million outstanding Currently callable No liquidity or performance-based covenants 8.25% Senior Unsecured Notes (due 2025) $250 million outstanding Callable on July 15, 2020 No liquidity or performance-based covenants Corporate Credit Rating B1 (Positive) / B As calculated by bank covenant. 2 Balance as of 9/30/18. Subject to springing maturity date of June 2020 if 7.5% Notes have not been refinanced prior to such time.

12 Guidance Summary Highlights Increasing production guidance range to 60,200-60,500 Boe/d from 58,700-60,0 Boe/d previously Exposure of Eagle Ford production to premium seaborne markets expected to result in continued strong oil price realizations Maintaining capex guidance range of $800-$825 million as fourth quarter completion activity is expected to be down due to a planned frac holiday Production Volumes: Actual Guidance 3Q Q 2018 FY 2018 Total (Boe/d) 64,627 67,700-68,700 60,200-60,500 Crude Oil % 63% 63% 64% - 65% NGLs % 18% 17% 17% Natural Gas % 19% 20% 18% - 19% Unhedged Price Realizations: Crude Oil (% of NYMEX oil) 97.5% 99.0% - 1.0% N/A NGLs (% of NYMEX oil) 46.1% 38.0% % N/A Natural Gas (% of NYMEX gas) 77.3% 75.0% % N/A Cash Paid for Derivative Settlements, net ($MM) Costs and Expenses: ($26.3) ($36.5) - ($32.5) N/A Lease Operating ($/Boe) $6.90 $ $7.50 $ $7.40 Production Taxes (% of Total Rev.) 4.78% 4.75% % 4.75% % Ad Valorem Taxes (% of Total Rev.) 0.85% 0.50% % 0.85% % Cash G&A ($MM) $.0 $.6 - $11.1 $ $53.5 DD&A ($/Boe) $13.47 $ $14.50 $ $14.00 Interest Expense, net ($MM) $15.4 $ $15.8 N/A Capital Expenditures: Drilling and Completions ($MM) $241.1 N/A $ $825.0 Capitalized Interest ($MM) $8.5 $8.5 - $9.0 N/A 12

13 Non-GAAP Reconciliation Reconciliation of Net Income Attributable to Common Shareholders (GAAP) to Adjusted Net Income Attributable to Common Shareholders (Non-GAAP) In thousands 3Q 2018 Per diluted Share Net Income Attributable to Common Shareholders (GAAP) $76,118 $0.85 Income tax expense Loss on derivatives, net 55, Cash paid for derivative settlements, net (26,262) (0.29) Non-cash general and administrative, net 3, Non-recurring and other income, net (1,091) (0.01) Adjusted income before income taxes 8, Adjusted income tax expense 1 (24,132) (0.28) Adjusted Net Income Attributable to Common Shareholders (Non-GAAP) $84,084 $ Adjusted income tax expense is calculated by applying the Company s estimated annual effective income tax rate applicable to the adjusted income before income taxes which was 22.3% for the three months ending September 30,

14 Non-GAAP Reconciliation Reconciliation of Net Income Attributable to Common Shareholders (GAAP) to Adjusted EBITDA (Non-GAAP) to Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities (GAAP) 3Q Q Q Q Q 2018 (In thousands, except per Boe amounts) Net Income (Loss) Attributable to Common Shareholders (GAAP) $5,574 ($23,434) $14,743 $30,095 $76,118 Dividends on preferred stock 2,249 5,532 4,863 4,474 4,457 Accretion on preferred stock Loss on redemption of preferred stock , Income tax expense -- 4, Depreciation, depletion and amortization 67,564 81,571 64,467 72,430 80,8 Interest expense, net 20,673 18,520 15,517 15,599 15,406 Loss on derivatives, net 24,377 86,7 29,596 67,714 55,388 Cash received (paid) for derivative settlements, net 6, (14,365) (24,083) (26,262) Non-cash general and administrative, net 5,494 6,194 3,518 7,206 3,183 Loss on extinguishment of debt -- 4,170 8, Non-recurring and other (income) expense, net ,193 4,264 (1,091) Adjusted EBITDA (Non-GAAP) $132,849 $184,128 $136,413 $178,922 $208,958 Cash interest expense, net (19,786) (17,824) (14,855) (14,998) (14,791) Dividends on preferred stock (2,249) (5,532) (4,863) (4,474) (4,457) Changes in components of working capital and other (9,372) (18,388) 22,029 (22,302) (290) Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities (GAAP) $1,442 $142,384 $138,724 $137,148 $189,420 Adjusted EBITDA (Non-GAAP) $132,849 $184,128 $136,413 $178,922 $208,958 Total barrels of oil equivalent 5,080 5,742 4,613 5,193 5,946 Adjusted EBITDA Margin ($ per Boe) (Non-GAAP) $26.15 $32.07 $29.57 $34.45 $