An Empirical Research on Behavior of Participation in the New Rural Old - Age Insurance System An Aspect of Confidence Analysis

Transcription

1 Vol. 35 No. 4 July Population Research Logistic An Empirical Research on Behavior of Participation in the New Rural Old - Age Insurance System An Aspect of Confidence Analysis Wu Yufeng Abstract Based on the 2010 survey data of 1595 villagers this article analyzes the influence of confidence on villagers' participation in the new rural old - age insurance system.the results of factor analysis show that the confidence can be divided into village - confidence and relatives - confidence. The results of logistic analysis find that the village - confidence is good for the villagers' participation in the system though the mechanism of both internet communication and government propaganda while the relatives - confidence makes no good for participation in the system.such findings fill the gap of lack of research on noneconomic factors on participation in the new rural old - age insurance system by providing a theoretical explanation on this issue. Keywords Village - confidence Relatives - confidence The New Rural Old - age Insurance System Authors Wu Yufeng is PhD Candidate of Social Security the Department of Sociology Huazhong University of Science and Technology. wyf03001@ sohu.com

2 % % 2 1 Bergelsdijk 2001 Knack& Philip Keefer 1997 Knack& Paul zack 2001 Grootaert Guiso et al Guiso et al Pasini &Georgarakos 2009 Biagio 1999 Guiso et al a b

3 Zand 1972 Szulanski

4 ~ 8 16 ~ % 33. 2% % 31 ~ % 41 ~ 50 51% 51 ~ 59 8% 75% % % 75% Likert % 2. 4

5 Table 1 Results Of Factor Analysis of Trust % Table 2 2 Channels of Information Access % Alpha = Logistic

6 4 99 Logistic Table 3 3 Measurements and Definitions of Variables = 0= = 0 = 1 = 0 = = = = = = = = = = = 10 = 1 = 0 = 1 = 0 = 1 = 0 = 1= 0 = 4 = 3 = 2 = 1 = 4 = 3 = 2 = 1 = 1= 0 = 1= 0 = 1 = 2 = 3 = 4 = 1 = 2 = 3 =

7 % 4 Logistic Table 4 The Logistic Regression Analysis of Trust and Farmers Participation B Exp B B Exp B B Exp B B Exp B *** * *** *** ** * *** *** *** *** ** ** ** ** * * ** * ** ** * *** *** *** *** ** ** *** *** *** *** *** * P 0. 1 **P ***P % % 41. 8% %

8 % 1 ~ Logistic The Logistic Regression Analysis of Trust and Farmers Participation Eliminating those Who are Forced To Pay B Exp B B Exp B B Exp B B Exp B *** ** * *** *** *** * *** *** *** *** *** a a a a *** *** *** *** a % % % %

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