Names: Date: Hour: You may want to cross off the amounts that show up in the cases you choose on the provided list to help with your probabilities.
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1 Names: Date: Deal or No Deal Hour: As you play the game, answer the questions according to the information we receive after you choose your cases. Write the probabilities as a fraction and as a percentage for each probability question. You may want to cross off the amounts that show up in the cases you choose on the provided list to help with your probabilities. **If you select Deal from the banker at any time, you will keep playing the game until the end.** Your suitcase: Number: 1. What is the probability of your suitcase having the $1 million dollars? After you open 6 cases: Dollar Amounts: 2. What is the probability that the next case you choose will contain an amount of at least 6 figures ($100,000 or more)? 3. What is the probability that the next case you choose will contain an amount smaller than $25,000? 4. What is the probability that the next case you choose will contain an amount greater than the
2 After you open 5 more cases: Dollar Amounts: 5. What is the probability that the next case you choose will contain an amount of at least 6 figures ($100,000 or more)? 6. What is the probability that the next case you choose will contain an amount smaller than $25,000? 7. What is the probability that the next case you choose will contain an amount greater than the After you open 4 cases: Dollar Amounts: 8. What is the probability that the next case you choose will contain an amount of $500,000 or more? 9. What is the probability that the next case you chose will contain an amount of less than $100,000? 10. What is the probability that the next case you choose will contain an amount greater than the 11. Based on the probability from above, why did you tell the banker Deal or No Deal?
3 After you open 3 cases: Dollar Amounts: 12. What is the probability that the next case you choose will contain an amount of at least 6 figures? 13. What is the probability that the next case you choose will NOT contain an amount of at least 6 figures? 14. What is the probability that the next case you choose will contain an amount greater than the After you open 2 cases: Dollar Amounts: 15. What is the probability that you will NOT pick a case containing $200,000 or more? 16. What is the probability that you will pick a case containing $200,000 or more? 17. What is the probability that the next case you choose will contain an amount greater than the
4 18. Based on the probability from above, why did you tell the banker Deal or No Deal? After you open 1 case: Dollar Amount: 19. What is the probability that the next case you choose will contain an amount of at least 6 figures? 20. What is the probability that the next case you choose will NOT contain an amount of at least 6 figures? 21. What is the probability that the next case you choose will contain an amount greater than the After you open 1 case: Dollar Amount: 22. What is the probability that the next case you choose will NOT have an amount of at least 6 figures? 23. What is the probability that the next case you choose will contain an amount of at least 6 figures? 24. What is the probability that the next case you choose will contain an amount greater than the
5 After you open 1 case: Dollar Amount: 25. What is the probability that the next case you choose will contain an amount of at least 5 figures? 26. What is the probability that the next case you choose will NOT contain an amount of at least 5 figures? 27. What is the probability that the next case you choose will contain an amount greater than the After you open 1 case: Dollar Amount: 28. What is the probability that the next case you choose will contain an amount of less than $1000? 29. What is the probability that the next case you choose will contain an amount of more than $50,000? Banker Offer $ 30. What is the probability that the next case you choose will contain an amount greater than the
6 33. Construct a convincing argument, using probability, to justify why you chose that specific offer to Deal or why you chose No Deal for the entire game.
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