Reinsurance Optimisation

Transcription

1 Reinsurance Optimisation GIPC Reinsurance Working Party Steven Girvan, Will Gardner GIPC Reinsurance Working Party Steven Girvan, Will Gardner, Karl Marshall, Alison Drill, James Basman, Ty Birkett, Corinne Glasby, Evelyn Chow, Kyung Won and Stephen Lum This presentation has been prepared for the Actuaries Institute 0 General Insurance Seminar. The Institute Council wishes it to be understood that opinions put forward herein are not necessarily those of the Institute and the Council is not responsible for those opinions.

2 What does Reinsurance Optimisation look like? On the one hand.. Insurance Companies buy reinsurance for the same reasons. Reinsurance Optimisation On the other hand.. Insurance Companies have vastly different reinsurance programs.. From what perspective? Reduce exposure Smooth earnings Supplement capital Create surplus capital Coverage Structure Quality Price

3 Factors that define the Reinsurance Insurance and reinsurance markets Reinsurance market cycle Reinsurance pricing Soft v hard market Reinsurance product Innovation Global supply Prudential and legislative requirements Capital charges Prudential compliance Legislative compliance Environment Economic forces Economic cycles Claims cycles Social and community Superimposed inflation Utility of insurance Legislative changes Climate Weather patterns Urbanisation Catastrophe modelling Environmental degradation

4 External Environment Onion & PEST Macro Layer Broad macro forces influence overall strategy Political Forces 3 Economic Forces 3 3 Insurance Company 4 6 Stakeholder Layer Regulation and legislation are paramount Social Forces Technology Forces I ndustry Layer Directly influences reinsurance strategy

5 A Prudential view of Reinsurance Policyholders Capital Management Governance Framework Risk Management Risk Appetite

6 A Prudential view of Reinsurance Policyholders Maximum Event Retention ( MER ) Minimum Capital Requirements ( MCR ) Capital Management Governance Framework Risk Management Underwriting Risk Large Risks Market Risk Risk Uncertain accumulate Future Reserving Risk Risk Consequence Credit Risk Operation Risk Reduce profit volatility Support Strategy Tax advantage Balance the needs of policyholders and shareholders Risk Appetite

7 Aligning Risk Appetite and Reinsurance Reinsurance support MCR Design and scale of Reinsurance program Loss modelling, performed and verified Aligned KPIs Reinsurance program reviewed by actuarial Reinsurance specialists review wordings Strong monitoring regime Risk Capacity Risk Targets Risk Tolerances Risk Limits Board approval of MER Board approval of target solvency MCR ratio targets Target reinsurance Solvency targets cession ratios Reinsurance program design Earning volatility MCR targets Minimum reinsurer Solvency targets counter-party ratings Limits on original business aligned reinsurance capacity Minimum compliance standards for GPS 30 Insurance Group risk appetite Risk appetite link to strategy Reinsurance response

8 Three Lines of Defence Framework oversight Board & Executive Risk appetite Approve REMS 3 rd line nd line First line of defence Internal audit Group and divisional risk & compliance Core Reinsurance Business Units Claims Technical Pricing Finance Operations Test and verify Assurance on Risk and Compliance Design, interpret and develop reinsurance risk management framework Non core Loss modelling Capital modelling Risk & Compliance Peril monitoring IT and systems Shared Services Human Resources Outsourced Services Broking Service Dispute manage Reinsurance Management Framework and Process Alignment Risk Appetite and Monitoring Alignment Management Technical pricing Consultants Non core reinsurance functions are often outsourced

9 Reinsurance Framework Internal perspective Reinsurance Levers MCR Review MER Design Cession ratios KPIs Modelling Counter-party Solvency Compliance Best Practice REMS Gap Analysis Alignment Review Use Test

10 Reinsurance Analysis and Process Quantitative Gross analysis Pricing analysis Impact analysis Benchmarking Must understand nature and cost of losses being considered for reinsurance Expected ceded losses Expense loading Profit or cost of capital Structure optimisation Analysis of efficiency Capital implications Regulatory implications Structure, including limit and retention Price Ceded cost of capital Insurer data Assumption setting Simulation modelling Decision making Placement process Security Documentation Benchmarking Art as much as science Regulatory implications Contract wordings Against peers Negotiation important Risk appetite considerations REMS and RAS Against previous year(s) Incorporation of quantitative analysis critical Rating agencies Downgrade clauses Board reporting Technical analysis reports Against expectations Qualitative

11 Multiple stakeholders APRA Regulatory framework Actuaries Key role in quantitative elements RI manager Key role in qualitative elements RI broker Key support role across quantitative and qualitative elements Reinsurers Providers of capacity Business Key role across quantitative and qualitative elements Board Must understand both quantitative and qualitative elements

12 Optimisation : Capital Efficiency Risk / Return defined Return Net Alt Net Alt 4 Gross Net current structure Change in risk normally measured as change in capital, i.e. Capital required before reinsurance Less Capital required after reinsurance Net Alt Net Alt 3 Return normally measured as profit divided by change in capital Risk

13 Optimisation : Capital Efficiency Efficient Frontier Efficient Structures Net Alt Ceded Return on Capital Calculated as Ceded Profit Margin Return Net Alt 4 Gross Net current structure Net Alt 3 Net Alt Change in Capital Compared to the insurer s own internal Return on Capital If lower, then the reinsurance is accretive to the overall Return on Capital Or, the proposed structure is efficient Risk

14 Optimisation : Reinsurance Strategy Map Financial Perspective Productivity Reduce profit volatility Long term shareholder value Support Capital Growth Balance business objectives / reinsurance Client Perspective Long tem partner, risk and capital Customer Value Proposition Reinsurance program design and selection Reinsurance program and execution Internal Perspective Reinsurer Capital Focus Build Reinsurer relationships Build Reinsurance broker relationship Develop reinsurance risk levers Capital / Risk Underwriting and reserving risk Manage Reinsurance program risk Risk appetite aligned for reinsurance Operational Excellence Improve reinsurance placement process Comply with REMS Learning and Growth Perspective First Line Right people, right skills Organisation / Human / Information Capital Develop governance framework Quantitative and qualitative analysis

15 Optimisation 3:Reinsurance Mind Map

16 Thank you Any Questions?