Republic of Ecuador Senior Unsecured CDS. Credit Event Auction Summary
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1 Republic of Ecuador Senior Unsecured CDS Credit Event Auction Summary January 14, 2009
2 Credit Event Auction Summary - Republic of Ecuador Reference Data Republic of Ecuador Final Price Auction Date 14Jan09 RED 6 : PX85AV USP8055QDE90 RED 9 : PX85AVAA0 XS RED Preferred Index Constituents of *Markit CDX EM Div 1,2,3,4 XS Trade Information Warehouse (DTCC) Deliverable Obligations Gross Notional : $4,167,532,000 Contracts : 476 Net Notional : $489,973,000 Date as of: 1/9/2009 Auction Details Default Date 12/15/2008 Inside Market Quotation Amount $3 MM EDD 12/18/2008 Bid-Offer Spread 2% Auction Date 1/14/2009 Participating Bidders 12 Cash Settlement Date 1/23/2009 Adhering Parties 42 Event Failure to Pay Accrual Calculation Method Normal Inside Market Midpoint Net Open Interest Initial Bidding Results $ million to buy Inside Market Submissions IMM: Cap Amount: Dealer pays adjustment amount Bid Offer IMM Cap Adjustment Amount : Goldman Sachs & Co. pays $11250 Sum of Buy Physical Requests $ MM Sum of Sell Physical Requests $ MM Final Bidding Results Final Price : Offer Limit Orders Filled at Final Price of Dealer Submission Number Partially Filled Not filled * See Appendix V for details 1 of 7
3 Credit Event Auction Summary - Republic of Ecuador CDS Upfronts Ecuador (ECUA) Upfronts - SNRFOR - CR - USD - 5Y 80.00% 70.00% 60.00% Upfronts 50.00% 40.00% 30.00% 20.00% 10.00% 0.00% EDD - 90 Days EDD - 30 Days EDD - 9 Days EDD - 7 Days EDD - 5 Days EDD - 3 Days EDD - 1 Day * EDD stands for Event Determination Date Bond Prices % 80.00% Prices 60.00% 40.00% 20.00% 0.00% Auction day - 90 Days Auction day - 30 Days Auction day - 9 Days Auction day - 7 Days Auction day - 5 Days Auction day - 3 Days Auction day - 1 Day ECUA Dec15 ECUA 4 15Aug30 Stepup ECUA 12 15Nov12 2 of 7
4 Credit Event Auction Summary - Republic of Ecuador Appendix 3 of 7
5 APPENDIX I Credit Event Auction Summary - Republic of Ecuador Initial Bidding Results Inside Market Submissions Dealers Bid Offer ABN AMRO Bank N.V Barclays Bank PLC Citigroup Global Markets Inc Credit Suisse International Deutsche Bank Dresdner Bank AG Goldman Sachs & Co HSBC Bank USA, National Association J.P. Morgan Securities Inc Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner, & Smith Incorporated Morgan Stanley & Co. Incorporated UBS Securities LLC Physical settlement requests Dealers Type Size ABN AMRO Bank N.V. O 34 Citigroup Global Markets Inc. O 27 Deutsche Bank O 4 Goldman Sachs & Co. O 15 J.P. Morgan Securities Inc. O Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner, & Smith Incorporated O 0 Morgan Stanley & Co. Incorporated O UBS Securities LLC O Barclays Bank PLC B 20.5 Credit Suisse International B 2.83 Dresdner Bank AG B 200 HSBC Bank USA, National Association B 0 4 of 7
6 APPENDIX II Credit Event Auction Summary - Republic of Ecuador Final Bidding Results Limit Orders Dealer Offer Size Barclays Bank PLC ^ 30 Barclays Bank PLC ^ Barclays Bank PLC ^ 3.18 Citigroup Global Markets Inc ^ 15 ABN AMRO Bank N.V ABN AMRO Bank N.V Goldman Sachs & Co.** UBS Securities LLC** Citigroup Global Markets Inc.** Deutsche Bank J.P. Morgan Securities Inc.** 33 3 Barclays Bank PLC Goldman Sachs & Co UBS Securities LLC Credit Suisse International** Barclays Bank PLC** Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner, & Smith Incorporated** Deutsche Bank** UBS Securities LLC ABN AMRO Bank N.V HSBC Bank USA, National Association** 34 3 Dresdner Bank AG** 34 3 UBS Securities LLC 34 2 HSBC Bank USA, National Association 34 2 Deutsche Bank Deutsche Bank UBS Securities LLC ABN AMRO Bank N.V.** 35 3 UBS Securities LLC 35 2 HSBC Bank USA, National Association 35 3 Morgan Stanley & Co. Incorporated** 36 3 HSBC Bank USA, National Association 37 2 HSBC Bank USA, National Association 39 2 J.P. Morgan Securities Inc HSBC Bank USA, National Association 40 2 Deutsche Bank Dresdner Bank AG Dresdner Bank AG Dresdner Bank AG Morgan Stanley & Co. Incorporated 99 1 ** Limit Orders that were derived from inside markets. * Limit Orders that were filled. ^ Limit Orders that were partially filled. 5 of 7
7 APPENDIX III Credit Event Auction Summary - Republic of Ecuador CDS Upfronts Date CDS Upfront EDD - 90 Days 08/14/ % EDD - 60 Days 09/25/ % EDD - 30 Days 11/06/ % EDD - 10 Days 12/04/ % EDD - 9 Days 12/05/ % EDD - 8 Days 12/08/ % EDD - 7 Days 12/09/ % EDD - 6 Days 12/10/ % EDD - 5 Days 12/11/ % EDD - 4 Days 12/12/ % EDD - 3 Days 12/15/ % EDD - 2 Days 12/16/ % EDD - 1 Day 12/17/ % CDS Recovery Rate Date Auction day - 90 Days Auction day - 60 Days Auction day - 30 Days Auction day -10 Days Auction day - 9 Days Auction day - 8 Days Auction day - 7 Days Auction day - 6 Days Auction day - 5 Days Auction day - 4 Days Auction day - 3 Days Auction day - 2 Days Auction day - 1 Day Rec. Rate 9/8/ % 10/20/ % 12/1/ % 12/29/ % 12/30/ % 1/2/ % 1/5/ % 1/6/ % 1/7/ % 1/8/ % 1/9/ % 1/12/ % 1/13/ % APPENDIX IV Bond Details ISIN CUSIP Name Coupon Maturity Bond 1 USP8055QDE90 P8055QDE9 Republic of Ecuador /15/2015 Bond 2 XS P8055QAD4 Republic of Ecuador 4 8/15/2030 Bond 3 XS P8055QAC6 Republic of Ecuador 12 11/15/2012 Bond Prices Date Auction day - 90 Days Auction day - 60 Days Auction day - 30 Days Auction day -10 Days Auction day - 9 Days Auction day - 8 Days Auction day - 7 Days Auction day - 6 Days Auction day - 5 Days Auction day - 4 Days Auction day - 3 Days Auction day - 2 Days Auction day - 1 Day Prices USP8055QDE90 XS XS /8/ % 88.18% % 10/20/ % 49.00% 67.32% 12/1/ % 29.27% 31.48% 12/29/ % 25.00% 23.31% 12/30/ % 25.00% 22.98% 1/2/ % 25.23% 25.74% 1/5/ % 26.73% 28.17% 1/6/ % 29.90% 30.00% 1/7/ % 30.36% 30.30% 1/8/ % 30.33% 30.80% 1/9/ % 30.18% 30.06% 1/12/ % 30.47% 30.30% 1/13/ % 31.13% 31.50% 6 of 7
8 Credit Event Auction Summary - Republic of Ecuador APPENDIX V Indices Affected Old Index Name Dow Jones CDX.EM.DIVERSIFIED.1-V1 Dow Jones CDX.EM.DIVERSIFIED.2-V1 Dow Jones CDX.EM.DIVERSIFIED.3-V1 Dow Jones CDX.EM.DIVERSIFIED.4-V1 Old RED Code 2165EKAA7 2165EKAB5 2165EKAC3 2165EKAD1 New Index Name Dow Jones CDX.EM.DIVERSIFIED.1-V2 Dow Jones CDX.EM.DIVERSIFIED.2-V2 Dow Jones CDX.EM.DIVERSIFIED.3-V2 Dow Jones CDX.EM.DIVERSIFIED.4-V2 New RED Code 2165EKAI0 2165EKAJ8 2165EKAK5 2165EKAL3 7 of 7
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