Deal unpopular, still leads opponents
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- Stewart Moody
- 5 years ago
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1 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE February 20, 2013 INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen IF YOU HAVE BASIC METHODOLOGICAL QUESTIONS, PLEASE OR CONSULT THE FINAL PARAGRAPH OF THE PRESS RELEASE Deal unpopular, still leads opponents Raleigh, N.C. -PPP continues to find Nathan Deal with pretty mediocre approval numbers. Only 36% of voters approve of him to 41% who disapprove. That's nearly identical to the 37/40 spread we found for him in early December. Nevertheless Deal looks like a favorite for reelection. He would lead Jason Carter 46/38 and John Barrow and Kasim Reed 48/38 in hypothetical match ups. This may be a situation where Deal's unpopularity would let a strong Democratic candidate make the race competitive, but it would be hard for a challenger to actually get to 50%. Nathan Deal isn t very popular, said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. But the Republican lean of the state makes him a favorite for reelection anyway. Our newest look at Saxby Chambliss' approval numbers probably confirms that he made the right choice by deciding to retire. Only 47% of Republicans are happy with the job he's doing to 31% who disapprove. It's hard to fight off a serious primary challenge when your numbers are under 50% in your party. Chambliss' overall approval is 35/41. Georgians aren't real big on any of their politicians- Johnny Isakson comes in at 37/39 and Barack Obama's at /53 in the state. The Falcons aren't making much progress in the court of public opinion about their need for a new stadium. In December only 15% of voters thought they needed one and after scads of press coverage in the last couple months that's only gone up to 20%. There's only 17% support for any taxpayer funding for a new stadium with 69% of voters opposed to it. As mentioned above, Georgians don't like Barack Obama. They do like the NRA- it has a 46/38 favorability rating in the state. Nevertheless by a 51/40 margin voters in the state think Congress should pass stricter gun laws. And there's 49/44 support on the issue of an assault weapons ban in particular. This is the new reality in the post-newtown era- there are voters who don't like Obama and like the NRA and still think stronger gun laws and an assault weapons ban is necessary, even in red states. It's been over two months now and we're not seeing these numbers move. PPP surveyed 602 Georgia voters from February 15 th to 18th. The margin of error for the overall sample is +/-4.0%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political organization.
2 Georgia Survey Results Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5 Q6 Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama s job performance?...% Disapprove...53%... 2% Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Nathan Deal's job performance?...36% Disapprove...41%...22% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Kasim Reed?...32%...25%...43% If the candidates for Governor in 2014 were Republican Nathan Deal and Democrat John Barrow, who would you vote for? Nathan Deal...48% John Barrow...38%...14% If the candidates for Governor in 2014 were Republican Nathan Deal and Democrat Jason Carter, who would you vote for? Nathan Deal...46% Jason Carter...38%...16% If the candidates for Governor in 2014 were Republican Nathan Deal and Democrat Kasim Reed, who would you vote for? Nathan Deal...48% Kasim Reed...38%...14% Q7 Q8 Q9 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Saxby Chambliss job performance?...35% Disapprove...41%...24% Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Johnny Isakson's job performance?...37% Disapprove...39%...25% Do you think the Atlanta Falcons need a new stadium, or not? They need a new stadium...20% They do not...66%...14% Q10 Would you support or oppose public funding to help build a new stadium for the Falcons? Support...17%...69%...14% Q11 Would you support or oppose banning assault weapons? Support...49%...44%... 8% Q12 Would you support or oppose Congress passing stricter gun laws? Support...51%...40%... 9% Survey of 602 Georgia voters
3 Q13 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the National Rifle Association?...46%...38%...16% Q14 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Hillary Clinton?...49%...44%... 7% Q15 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Newt Gingrich?...39%...50%... 11% Q16 If the candidates for President in 2016 were Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Newt Gingrich, who would you vote for? Hillary Clinton...51% Newt Gingrich...44%... 5% Q17 If the candidates for President in 2016 were Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Marco Rubio, who would you vote for? Hillary Clinton...49% Marco Rubio...46%... 5% Q18 If the candidates for President in 2016 were Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Paul Ryan, who would you vote for? Hillary Clinton...50% Paul Ryan...%... 5% Q19 Would you describe yourself as very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat, or very? liberal...12% Somewhat liberal...19% Moderate...25% Somewhat...21%...22% Q20 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2. Woman...54%...46% Q21 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican, press 2. If you are an independent or identify with another party, press 3. Democrat...37% Republican...41% Independent/Other...22% Q22 If you are white, press 1. If American, press 2. If other, press % American...20% Other... 7% Q23 If you are years old, press 1. If, press 2. If, press 3. If you are older than, press %...22%...37% than...% Survey of 602 Georgia voters
4 Obama Approval % 90% 76% 56% 17% 9% Disapprove 53% 7% 21% 43% 81% 91% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 0% Deal Approval 36% 24% 16% 28% 46% 61% Disapprove 41% % % 48% 31% 22% 22% 32% 19% 23% 24% 17% Reed Favorability 32% 64% 47% 33% 22% 12% 25% 15% 16% 22% % 37% 43% 22% 36% % 49% 52% Deal/Barrow Nathan Deal 48% 22% 20% 39% 62% 83% John Barrow 38% 62% 69% 42% 24% 8% 14% 16% 11% 19% 14% 9%
5 Deal/Carter Nathan Deal 46% 20% 13% 37% 64% 82% Jason Carter 38% 66% 76% 42% 17% 8% 16% 14% 11% 21% 19% 11% Deal/Ree d Nathan Deal 48% 19% 14% 40% 66% 81% Kasim Reed 38% 69% 78% 42% 17% 5% 14% 12% 8% 18% 17% 14% Chambliss Approval 35% 23% 17% 36% % 48% Disapprove 41% 53% 58% 39% 27% 33% 24% 24% 25% 25% 28% 18% Isakson Approval 37% 26% 18% 32% % 58% Disapprove 39% 52% 51% 44% 26% 25% 25% 22% 31% 23% % 17%
6 Do Falcons Need New Stadium? They need a new stadium They do not 20% 38% 12% 24% 17% 15% 66% 57% 73% 60% 66% 73% 14% 5% 15% 16% 18% 12% Public Stadium Funding Support 17% 33% 17% 18% 15% 12% 69% 53% 68% 66% 72% 79% 14% 14% 16% 17% 13% 9% Assault Weapons Ban Support 49% 75% 74% 58% 30% 17% 44% 13% 20% 31% 63% 80% 8% 12% 6% 11% 7% 2% Stricter Gun Laws Support 51% 88% 73% 62% 34% 13% 40% 4% 19% 27% 59% 79% 9% 8% 8% 10% 8% 8%
7 NRA Favorability 46% 21% 16% 24% 75% 88% 38% 63% 66% 51% 13% 4% 16% 16% 17% 25% 12% 9% Hillary Favorability 49% 85% 78% 66% 20% 12% 44% 10% 17% 25% 68% 86% 7% 5% 5% 9% 12% 1% Newt Favorability 39% 11% 9% 23% % 76% 50% 76% 81% % 25% 12% 11% 13% 10% 11% 10% 13% Hillary/New t Hillary Clinton 51% 93% 81% 67% 18% 11% Newt Gingrich 44% 7% 15% 21% 77% 88% 5% - 4% 12% 4% 1%
8 Hillary/Rubio Hillary Clinton 49% 93% 81% 62% 17% 9% Marco Rubio 46% 7% 15% 26% 78% 88% 5% - 3% 12% 5% 3% Hillary/Ryan Hillary Clinton 50% 93% 81% 67% 18% 9% Paul Ryan % 7% 14% 22% 79% 87% 5% - 5% 12% 3% 4% Obama Approval Disapprove % 50% 39% 53% 48% 60% 2% 2% 1% Deal Approval 36% 36% 37% Disapprove 41% 39% 44% 22% 25% 19%
9 Reed Favorability Deal/Barrow 32% 36% 28% Nathan Deal 48% 46% 52% 25% 21% 30% John Barrow 38% 40% 36% 43% 44% 42% 14% 15% 13% Deal/Carter Nathan Deal Jason Carter 46% 42% 51% 38% 42% 34% 16% 17% 14% De al/re ed Nathan Deal 48% 42% 54% Kasim Reed 38% 41% 35% 14% 17% 11%
10 Chambliss Approval Isakson Approval 35% 39% 31% 37% 40% 33% Disapprove 41% 33% 50% Disapprove 39% 34% 44% 24% 28% 19% 25% 26% 23% Do Falcons Need New Stadium? They need a new stadium They do not 20% 18% 23% 66% % 67% 14% 17% 10% Public Stadium Funding Support 17% 15% 21% 69% 67% 71% 14% 18% 9%
11 Assault Weapons Ban Support 49% 57% 39% 44% 34% 55% 8% 9% 6% Stricter Gun Laws Support 51% 59% 41% 40% 32% 51% 9% 9% 8% NRA Favorability Hillary Favorability 46% 41% 52% 49% 57% 41% 38% 41% 33% 44% 36% 53% 16% 18% 14% 7% 7% 7%
12 New t Favorability Hillary/New t 39% 35% 43% Hillary Clinton 51% 58% 43% 50% 55% 44% New t Gingrich 44% 38% 52% 11% 9% 13% 5% 4% 5% Hillary/Rubio Hillary/Ryan Hillary Clinton 49% 54% 42% Hillary Clinton 50% 55% 44% Marco Rubio 46% 41% 52% Paul Ryan % 40% 50% 5% 5% 6% 5% 5% 6%
13 Democrat Republican Independent/Other Democrat Republican Independent/Other Obama Approval Deal Approval % 90% 6% 41% 36% 18% 56% 31% Disapprove 53% 8% 93% 56% Disapprove 41% 59% 25% 43% 2% 2% 1% 2% 22% 22% 20% 26% Reed Favorability Democrat Republican Independent/Other 32% 57% 11% 30% 25% 13% 38% 20% 43% 30% 51% 49% Democrat Republican Independent/Other Deal/Barrow Nathan Deal 48% 18% 79% 42% John Barrow 38% 68% 11% 37% 14% 14% 9% 21%
14 Democrat Republican Independent/Other Deal/Carter Nathan Deal 46% 12% 81% 40% Jason Carter 38% 73% 8% 36% 16% 15% 12% 24% Democrat Republican Independent/Other Deal/Reed Nathan Deal 48% 12% 81% % Kasim Reed 38% 78% 7% % 14% 10% 12% 26% Chambliss Approval Disapprove Democrat Republican Independent/Other 35% 22% 47% 38% 41% 50% 31% 41% 24% 28% 22% 21% Democrat Republican Independent/Other Isakson Approval 37% 20% 56% 30% Disapprove 39% 53% 23% 41% 25% 27% 21% %
15 Do Falcons Need New Stadium? They need a new stadium They do not Democrat Republican Independent/Other 20% 24% 18% 17% 66% 63% 69% 68% 14% 13% 13% 16% Democrat Republican Independent/Other Public Stadium Funding Support 17% 22% 15% 13% 69% 61% 76% 70% 14% 18% 9% 17% Democrat Republican Independent/Other Assault Weapons Ban Support 49% 79% 22% 42% 44% 14% 72% 47% 8% 7% 6% 11% Democrat Republican Independent/Other Stricter Gun Laws Support 51% 83% 18% 52% 40% 8% 72% 43% 9% 8% 11% 5%
16 Democrat Republican Independent/Other Democrat Republican Independent/Other NRA Favorability Hillary Favorability 46% 14% 81% 43% 49% 90% 10% % 38% 66% 7% 40% 44% 5% 85% 40% 16% 20% 12% 17% 7% 5% 5% 16% Newt Favorability Democrat Republican Independent/Other 39% 6% 73% 36% 50% 83% 17% 49% 11% 11% 10% 15% Democrat Republican Independent/Other Hillary/New t Hillary Clinton 51% 94% 7% 50% Newt Gingrich 44% 3% 90% 38% 5% 3% 3% 12%
17 Democrat Republican Independent/Other Hillary/Rubio Hillary Clinton 49% 93% 6% 42% Marco Rubio 46% 5% 91% 41% 5% 2% 3% 17% Democrat Republican Independent/Other Hillary/Ryan Hillary Clinton 50% 94% 7% % Paul Ryan % 4% 89% 40% 5% 2% 4% 15% Obama Approval Dis approve % 31% 90% 58% 53% 67% 9% 41% 2% 2% 1% 2% Deal Approval Dis approve 36% 43% 21% 13% 41% 37% 57% 47% 22% 20% 22% 40%
18 Reed Favorability Deal/Barrow 32% 24% 64% % Nathan Deal 48% 58% 23% 25% 25% % 11% 17% John Barrow 38% 33% 60% 26% 43% 47% 26% 54% 14% 9% 17% 50% Deal/Carter Nathan Deal Jason Carter 46% 58% 14% 18% 38% 31% % 36% 16% 11% 20% % Deal/Ree d Nathan Deal Kasim Reed 48% 60% 14% 17% 38% % 75% 34% 14% 12% 10% 49%
19 Chambliss Approval Isakson Approval 35% 41% 20% 19% 37% 43% 18% 28% Dis approve 41% 38% 48% 50% Dis approve 39% 37% % 32% 24% 21% 32% 32% 25% 20% 37% 40% Do Falcons Need New Stadium? They need a new stadium They do not 20% 16% 31% 25% 66% 72% 54% 47% 14% 12% 15% 28% Public Stadium Funding Support 17% 14% 28% 22% 69% 75% 52% 56% 14% 11% 20% 22%
20 Assault Weapons Ban Support 49% 42% 71% 47% 44% 53% 16% 30% 8% 4% 13% 22% Stricter Gun Laws Support 51% 41% 77% 77% 40% 51% 10% 15% 9% 7% 13% 8% NRA Favorability Hillary Favorability 46% 57% 13% 25% 49% 39% 86% 51% 38% 30% 63% 46% 44% 56% 7% 25% 16% 13% 24% % 7% 5% 7% 24%
21 New t Favorability Hillary/New t 39% 48% 11% 21% Hillary Clinton 51% 38% 90% 69% 50% 42% 76% 54% New t Gingrich 44% 57% 8% 19% 11% 9% 13% 25% 5% 5% 3% 12% Hillary/Rubio Hillary/Ryan Hillary Clinton 49% 37% 88% 51% Hillary Clinton 50% 38% 89% 60% Marco Rubio 46% 59% 9% 22% Paul Ryan % 57% 8% 22% 5% 4% 3% 27% 5% 5% 3% 19%
22 than than Obama Approval Deal Approval % 44% 40% 48% % 36% 26% 37% 36% 40% Dis approve 53% 56% 60% 51% 51% Dis approve 41% 56% 42% 40% 37% 2% - - 1% 4% 22% 19% 21% 23% 23% Reed Favorability than 32% 33% 33% 31% 33% 25% 30% 24% 28% 20% 43% 37% 43% 41% 48% Deal/Barrow Nathan Deal John Barrow than 48% 37% 55% 49% 47% 38% 41% 28% 40% 41% 14% 22% 16% 11% 12%
23 than than Deal/Carter De al/re ed Nathan Deal 46% 37% 51% % 48% Nathan Deal 48% 30% 54% 46% 52% Jason Carter 38% 37% 34% 42% 36% Kasim Reed 38% 41% 36% 41% 36% 16% 26% 15% 13% 15% 14% 30% 10% 13% 12% Chambliss Approval Dis approve than 35% 35% % 33% 42% 41% 48% 41% % 33% 24% 17% % 22% 25% Isakson Approval Dis approve than 37% 43% 25% 36% 43% 39% 26% 40% 46% 33% 25% 30% 35% 18% 24%
24 Do Falcons Need New Stadium? They need a new stadium They do not than 20% 39% 18% 19% 15% 66% 43% 71% 72% 64% 14% 17% 11% 8% 21% Public Stadium Funding Support than 17% 39% 14% 16% 13% 69% 48% 70% 74% 69% 14% 13% 16% 10% 18% than than Assault Weapons Ban Support 49% 43% 43% 50% 53% 44% 39% 52% 46% 37% 8% 17% 5% 4% 10% Stricter Gun Laws Support 51% 64% 43% 51% 52% 40% 23% 48% 46% 35% 9% 14% 9% 4% 13%
25 than than NRA Favorability Hillary Favorability 46% 41% 50% 48% 43% 49% 41% 43% 55% 51% 38% 27% 38% 40% 38% 44% 50% 52% 39% 41% 16% 32% 13% 12% 18% 7% 9% 5% 6% 8% than than New t Favorability Hillary/New t 39% 32% 36% 42% 39% Hillary Clinton 51% 50% 44% 54% 52% 50% 50% 55% 48% 49% New t Gingrich 44% % 50% 43% 42% 11% 18% 9% 10% 12% 5% 5% 6% 4% 6%
26 than than Hillary/Rubio Hillary/Ryan Hillary Clinton 49% % % 51% 49% Hillary Clinton 50% % 47% 52% 51% Marco Rubio 46% 41% 49% 46% 46% Paul Ryan % 41% 47% % 44% 5% 14% 6% 3% 5% 5% 14% 6% 3% 5%
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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE CONTACT: DEAN DEBNAM January 22, 2008 888-621-6988 / 919-880-4888 would win general election in North Carolina Raleigh, N.C. Republican John would win a general election match up
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