The Navigator Company Q2 /H Results Presentation

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Transcription:

The Navigator Company Q2 /H1 Results Presentation July 25 th

Participation Executive Directors: Diogo da Silveira António Redondo Fernando Araújo Nuno Santos João Paulo Oliveira IR -Joana Appleton 1

Q2/H1 results presentation Main highlights Market outlook Group performance Update on new projects 2

Q2/H1 highlights Q2 sales increase 12% vs Q1, with positive pulp and paper price evolution H1 turnover of 817 million (+0.5%) Overall decrease in volumes due to production stoppages, mainly in pulp Q2 : 115 million - strongest quarter ever, with EBITDA/Sales of 27% M2 program continues with total estimated impact at 9 million YoY Start-up of pulp expansion capacity in F. Foz New converting line in Cacia starting production Dividend payment of 200 million in June Net debt/ebitda of 1.7 Q2 ROCE of 17.9% (vs. 17.0%) 3 3

: Upward trend in pulp prices continues YTD price increase in BHKP in USD: +5.7% and in Euros: +8.8% YoY H1 average price increase in BHKP in USD: +39% and in Euros: +25% USD/ton PIX Europe /ton 1100 USD/ton BHKP EUR/ton BHKP 1100 1000 900 800 700 Av. 2016: 717 USD/ton (-16%) Av. : 817 USD/ton (+51%) Av. : 723 /ton (+33%) Av. YTw 26: 1029 USD/ton (+5.7%) Av. YTw 26: 851 /ton (+9.3%) 1000 900 800 700 600 500 Av. 2016: 673 /ton (-13%) 600 500 400 1 11 21 31 41 51 9 19 29 39 49 7 17 27 37 47 4 14 24 34 44 2 12 22 32 42 52 10 20 30 40 50 2013 2014 2015 2016 Week 4 400

Pulp market balanced during China effect could have additional positive impact e BHKP M tad SUPPLY DEMAND S/D? Conserv. Optim. e YoY 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 2.8 2.4 Capacity Increase 1.5 1.8 Capacity Adjustments 1.3 1.3 0.6 0.8 Demand * Growth 0.5 0.7 Subst. Effects: Waste Paper + Pollution Control Supply Downtimes Max Net Net Impact Impact Demand Balance China Effect 0.3 0.6 Source: RISI; Brian McClay; Hawkins Wright; Producers 5

UWF continues one of the best performing grade in P&W papers YTD May M ton YoY kton 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 48% Share UWF On P&W global demand (exc. NP) 34.7 16.6 8.8 4.2 4.5 2.2% Total 1.0% Uncoated Woodfree 4.5% Coated Woodfree 3.0% Uncoated Mechanical 1.5% Coated Mechanical Inc. SuperCalendered Source: PPPC; The Navigator Company 6

UWF Market conditions improving Pulp Price Record high of hardwood price Demand Cool down in the first months of due to some cutsize destocking; June rebound UWF Paper Balance S/D Producers are using available capacity to meet demand; H1 operating rate = 93%; June operating rate = 97% Price Level Paper prices have been increasing all over the world Order Book Strong order book for the Industry and Navigator 7

Improvement in paper price benchmark in Average benchmark price in H1 improved +6% YoY /ton 900 European Market Paper Price A4 B-Copy A4 B-copy 880 860 840 820 Av. YTw 26: 854 /ton (+5.0%) Last PIX (W28): 883 /ton 800 780 760 740 720 Av. 2016: 822 /ton (-3.5%) Av. : 819 /ton (+4.1%) 700 1 5 9 13172125293337414549 1 5 9 1317212529333741454953 4 8 1216202428323640444852 4 8 1216202428323640444852 4 8 1216202428323640444852 2014 2015 2016 Week Source: FOEX 8

Pulp and paper Different price trends Index FOEX PIX (Europe) /ton 900 BHKP (Eur/Ton) A4 B-copy (Eur/Ton) 800 A4 B Copy 700 600 BHKP 500 400 300 1 1121314151 9 19293949 7 17273747 5 15253545 3 13233343 1 1121314151 9 19293949 7 17273747 4 14243444 2 12223242521020304050 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 A4 B Copy: index for uncotaed woodfree paper (80 g/m 2 ) BHKP: index for bleached harwood kraft pulp (eucalyptus or birch) 9

Navigator paper performance in H1 UWF sales volume of 756 kton (-15.5 kton YoY) and product mix improvement: + Premium products share up to 55% (+7 pp YoY; +42 kton YoY) + Mill brands up to 68% (+8 pp YoY;+24 kton YoY) Navigator led 3 pulp price increases in Europe (January, March and July) and implemented several increases in International markets and in the US Average price increased +6% YoY in spite of FX negative impact (USD impacted ~30% of paper sales) 10

Pulp turnover impacted by reduction in volume Pulp sales in volume of 114 kton, 68ktonlessYoYdueto decreased availability of pulp: + Maintenance downtime at Setúbal pulp mill in Q1 + Stock build up and downtime at Figueira da Foz (for planned maintenance + pulp capacity increase project) Navigator s net price in H1 increased +27% YoY Improvement in the weight of Decor and Special paper sales in Europe, high contribution segments, from 52% to 80% YoY 11

Tissue business impacted by pulp price Global volume of tissue sold increased 2% YoY, while converted products grew by 17% Average sales price 7.6% higher YoY due to improvement in product mix (decreased weight of reels) and price increase Sales increased 9% to 40 million (vs. 37 million) Operating margin impacted by rise in pulp price Spain 35% (+8% YoY) Tissue Sales by market Other 8% (+287% YoY) Portugal 58% (-10% YoY) Tissue Sales by segment AH 33% (H1 : 26%) Reels 3% (H1 : 11%) AFH 64% (H1 : 52%) 12

EBITDA Performance in H1 - record level Positive impact of pulp and paper prices in EBITDA EBITDA M 49-21 -9 8 226 198 EBITDA R17 Price Effect Volume Effect Costs Pellets & Other EBITDA R18 Pellets & others: Pellets net impact - Bio assets - TG3 indemnity 13

M2 cost reduction and efficiency programme continues Estimated impact YoY on EBITDA in H1 of 9.2 million, mainly due to: + Fibre consumption: 1.1 million + Sea transport to Europe and overseas: 1.0 million + Paper machines' planning and production optimization: 1.0 million Savings in energy contracts renegotiation estimated at 14.1 million 14

Free Cash Flow at 153 million Free Cash Flow positively impacted by strong operating cash flow, cash from pellets sale and VAT reimbursement 185-77 105 153-32 -28 Operating Cash Flow CAPEX Clients Inventories Suppliers and Other Free Cash Flow Others includes: Cash from pellets business sale ( 68 million) VAT reimbursement ( 53 million) 15

Net debt at 740 million Net debt at similar levels as Q2, after 200 M of dividend payment and 77 M in capex 641 617 738 742 693 559 740 1,6 1,6 1,8 1,9 1,7 1,3 1,7 M Q4 2016 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Net debt Net debt/ebitda 16

New credit facilities and extension of maturity reduce cost of debt H1 Financial results H1 H1 Financial results decreased from - 8.3 to - 11.4 million: -8,3-11,4 Negative impact of 3.3 million, related to the difference between the nominal and present value of the outstanding amount regarding the sale of the pellet business Positive impact of currency hedging and exchange rate was offset by the negative impact of liquidity management Financial results negatively impacted by one off item 17

CAPEX of 77 million (vs. 35 million) CAPEX M 28,4 77,2 YoB Main Projects 36,5 2,9 9,4 Pulp Figueira Tissue Cacia Tissue Rodão Maintenance & other CAPEX 18

Outlook for Pulp: positive trend should continue in the near future Tissue: Paper: still high pressure on margins despite price improvement; Navigator will implement further price increases order book remains strong and new price increases are anticipated in Europe and the rest of the world Noforeseeablechangeinmarketconditionsforpulpandpaperinthenear future and main concerns remain consequences of increasing trade tensions and impact on exchange rate Q3 main challenges: normalization of volumes and start-up of tissue reel production at Cacia mill 19

Update on Cacia tissue project Project unfolding as planned: + Converting line starting in May + Reels production to start up in Q3 Successful book-building of new clients in Portugal, Spain, France and UK 20

Start-up of Pulp Expansion at F. Foz Optimization Project 3 Ecoefficiency: Total CAPEX of 81.5 million Main Goals: Increase the annual pulp production from 580,000 to 650,000 tad Increase the efficiency of pulp process Reduce wood and chemicals specific consumption Implementation of BAT (ex: O 2 delign) Environmental advantage for flue gas and liquid effluent emissions Collection and burning of diluted odorous gases Project completed and ramping-up 21

Quarterly Financials 2015 Quarterly figures YoY evolution Turnover (M ) EBITDA (M ) Net Earnings (M ) 420 397 427 385 432 108 102 104 111 115 61 50 62 53 66 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 EBITDA/Sales (%) ROCE (%) ROE (%) 26% 26% 25% 29% 27% 15% 13% 15% 17% 18% 21% 17% 21% 18% 23% Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 22

Disclaimer This presentation is intended to provide a general overview of The Navigator Company S.A. s business and does not purport to deal with all aspects and details regarding The Navigator Company S.A.. Accordingly, no representation, undertaking or warranty, expressed or implied, is given by The Navigator Company S.A. or any of its subsidiaries undertakings, affiliates, directors, officers, employees or advisors or any other person as to the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or opinions contained in this presentation or of the views given or implied or any other material discussion in connection with this presentation. This presentation has been prepared by The Navigator Company S.A. for information purposes only. The Navigator Company S.A. or any of its affiliates, directors, officers, employees or advisers or any other person shall not have any liability whatsoever (including in case of omission, negligence or otherwise) for any losses, errors or omissions howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith or with respect to their reliance upon the completeness and accuracy of any such information, as well as any damages resulting hereof. 23