Lazard Asset Management Factor Report NOV 8 October lived up to its notorious reputation as the global equity markets suffered through their worst month in over seven years as every developed market declined during the month. The combination of higher interest rates, a strong United States dollar, geopolitical uncertainties/scandals, slowing economic growth, and equity valuation concerns conspired to trigger the broad equity sell-off. Overwhelming the start of another favorable corporate earnings season, many markets reached correction statues (-%) before rebounding in the last few days of the month. Interest rates, especially in the United States, continue to move steadily higher with the -year Treasury reaching 3.6%, creating an attractive alternative to equities. Volatility spiked again approaching levels experienced in the earlier January/ February sell-off. Oil prices fell due to a weaker economic outlook and gold prices surged in the face of greater investor uncertainty. Sector performance reflected investor anxieties as energy, industrial, and materials stocks all posted losses of approximately %. Defensive segments including consumer staples and utilities held up relatively well during the sell-off. Small cap stocks also suffered significant losses, underperforming large cap stocks by nearly.5%. Emerging markets also sold off, but managed to modestly outperform developed markets in October, led by a 7% post-election rally in the Brazil bourse. From a factor perspective, risk was penalized as higher beta and more volatile stocks underperformed. Value factors were heavily favored in the month particularly in developed markets. Financial quality also provided positive discrimination in most markets with the exception of emerging markets where it was flat. measures, by contrast, underperformed across all the markets. Sentiment measures, particularly price momentum, were also broadly negative. Factor Returns¹ (%) Year 4 Value - - P/B P/E (trailing) Yield P/B P/E (trailing) Yield Year - - -4 - Hist EPS Proj EPS Hist Sales Hist EPS Proj EPS Hist Sales Global Developed United States Europe Japan Emerging Markets As of 3 October 8 RD65
Year Sentiment - Price Momentum 3 Mo. Analyst Price Momentum 3 Mo. Analyst - Year Quality - - Operating Margin ROE Leverage Operating Margin ROE Leverage Year 3 Risk -3 - -6 - Beta Volatility Size Beta Volatility Size Global Developed United States Europe Japan Emerging Markets Global Market Returns (%)² Month Year 5 Years Global -7.87-6.8 -.65 6.64 Large Cap -7.49-6.3 -. 6.7 Small Cap -9.98-9.7-3.64 6.8 Emerging Markets -7.6 -.6 -.57.66 United States -6.84-3.5 7.35.33 As of 3 October 8
3 Global Developed Factor Returns (%)¹ Month Year 5 Years Value P/B 3.5 -.4 -.74 -. P/E (trailing) 4..3 -.6.4 Yield 6.54.83 -.34.4 Hist. EPS -.87 -.6 -..3 Proj. EPS -3.8.7.3.9 Hist. Sales -.5.4.4 -.9 Sentiment Price Momentum -.75.6.3.34 3 Mo. Analyst Up/Down.66.83.4.38 Quality Operating Margin 4.88.5 -.6.3 ROE.3. -.3.8 Leverage -.37.38.4.3 Risk Beta -5.36 -.63 -.43 -.3 Volatility -9.8 -.45 -.3 -.54 Size 3.43.3.54.3 US Factor Returns (%)¹ Month Year 5 Years Value P/B 3.34 -.44 -.7 -.4 P/E (trailing) 5.7.78 -..46 Yield 5..3 -.44 -. Hist. EPS -.7 -.6 -.33.4 Proj. EPS -4.87.4.8 -.8 Hist. Sales -.37.84.8 -. Sentiment Price Momentum -.68...9 3 Mo. Analyst Up/Down -.65...7 Quality Operating Margin 6.7.4 -.58 -.6 ROE 4..75 -.8.4 Leverage -.5.74.87.3 Risk Beta -7.63-3.9 -.74 -.5 Volatility -9.47 -.4. -.48 Size 3.3.7 -..7 Europe Markets Factor Returns (%)¹ Month Year 5 Years Value P/B 3.53.34.4 -. P/E (trailing).73.97.74.85 Yield 5.37.93.34.3 Hist. EPS -.4 -.4.8.59 Proj. EPS -.98 -.86 -.4 -.4 Hist. Sales.48.3.3. Sentiment Price Momentum -.43.6.6.9 3 Mo. Analyst Up/Down.85.69.73.49 Quality Operating Margin 3.35.3.3.5 ROE.9..39.53 Leverage.6 -.5 -.4.9 Risk Beta -.64 -.8 -.6 -.7 Volatility -4. -. -.7 -.37 Size.46.4.4 -. As of 3 October 8
4 Japan Factor Returns (%)¹ Month Year 5 Years Value P/B.69.84 -.58. P/E (trailing).64.9 -.8.58 Yield 5.44.43.43.53 Hist. EPS -4.98 -.3 -.45. Proj. EPS -.7 -.65.49.7 Hist. Sales -.73 -.8 -.3 -.3 Sentiment Price Momentum -3.5 -.8 -.9 -.33 3 Mo. Analyst Up/Down.8 -.9 -.48 -.63 Quality Operating Margin.8 -.66.6 -.6 ROE -.94 -.75.5. Leverage -.8 -.56 -..9 Risk Beta -3.3 -.95 -.6 -.4 Volatility -8.48-3.6 -.6 -.33 Size.5.8.4 -.37 Emerging Markets Factor Returns (%)¹ Month Year 5 Years Value P/B.3.57.44. P/E (trailing) -.4.7.4.74 Yield.33.64.85.84 Hist. EPS -.9 -. -.4.3 Proj. EPS -.5 -.87 -.7.4 Hist. Sales -.8 -.7 -.9 -.8 Sentiment Price Momentum -.98 -.78.47. 3 Mo. Analyst Up/Down -.4.33.47.84 Quality Operating Margin -.8.87.74. ROE...49.48 Leverage -.59 -.6.8 -.8 Risk Beta.9 -.8 -.8. Volatility -3.6-4.3 -.53 -.9 Size.5.5.68 -.5 As of 3 October 8
Lazard Asset Management Notes Factor performance is based on a universe of developed market and emerging market stocks with a market capitalization of $mm or greater (approximately 6, companies). Factor returns reflect the return differential, computed monthly, for an equal weighted composite of stocks ranked in the top and bottom % (quintile) for each measure shown. For example, each month the aggregate return for stocks ranking in the bottom % in terms of operating margins is subtracted from the aggregate return for stocks ranking in the top %. The difference is the return displayed. The monthly differences are averaged for longer time periods. The calculation for P/B, P/E and leverage reflect the performance difference between the lowest quintile less the highest quintile. For all other measures, the difference reflects the difference between the highest quintile less the lowest quintile. P/B is calculated as current market price divided by book value. P/E is calculated as current market price divided year trailing earnings. Yield is calculated as most recent dividend by current market price. Historic EPS is calculated as a 5 year trailing earnings per share growth. Projected EPS growth is calculated as IBES analyst forecasted 3-5 year growth in earnings per share. Historic Sales is calculated on a 5 year trailing growth in sales revenue. Price momentum is calculated as the month change in USD price. 3 Mo. Analyst Up/Down is calculated as the change in the average EPS estimate over the past three months. Operating margin is calculated as net operating income divided by total revenue. ROE is calculated as the net income divided by shareholder s equity. Leverage is calculated as outstanding debt divided by shareholder s equity. Beta is calculated against local market indices for periods up to 36 months. Volatility is calculated on a trailing 7 day average of USD based price returns. Size is market capitalization as calculated according to MSCI. Market return data is as of 3 October 8 and is based on the following indices: Global S&P Global BMI; Large Cap S&P Global LargeMidCap; Small Cap S&P Global SmallCap; Emerging Markets S&P Emerging BMI; US S&P 5 Important Information Published on November 8. This document reflects the views of Lazard Asset Management LLC or its affiliates ( Lazard ) based upon information believed to be reliable as of the publication date. There is no guarantee that any forecast or opinion will be realized. This document is provided by Lazard Asset Management LLC or its affiliates ( Lazard ) for informational purposes only. Nothing herein constitutes investment advice or a recommendation relating to any security, commodity, derivative, investment management service or investment product. Investments in securities, derivatives and commodities involve risk, will fluctuate in price, and may result in losses. 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