ETFs 101: The Hows & Whys. Matt Hougan Moderator President Analytics & Publications ETF.com

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Transcription:

ETFs 101: The Hows & Whys Matt Hougan Moderator President Analytics & Publications ETF.com

ETF Assets: Up And To The Right Source: IndexUniverse as of 12/31/2013

Funds ETFs ($953) $104,067 2009 Flows Millions Source: Morningstar, IndexUniverse

Funds ETFs ($237,161) $122,452 2010 Flows Millions Source: Morningstar, IndexUniverse

Funds ETFs ($33,251) $119,052 2011 Flows Millions Source: Morningstar, IndexUniverse

Funds ETFs $196,459 $188,363 2012 Flows Millions Source: Morningstar, IndexUniverse

Funds ETFs $155,459 $188,357 2013 Flows Millions Source: Morningstar, IndexUniverse

Funds ETFs ($81,041) $772,291 Past Five Years Millions Source: Morningstar, IndexUniverse

Why ETFs?

How Much Are ETF Investors Saving? AUM ($, mm) Average ETF ER Average Mutual Fund ER U.S. Equity 931,688 0.52% 1.43% International Equity 406,477 0.56% 1.57%% Fixed Income 249,840 0.30% 1.06% Annual Fees As ETFs: $7.9 billion Annual Fees As Funds: $22.4 billion Source: Morningstar, IndexUniverse

Who s Got The Yachts Now? $14,482,380,500 Per Year (That s $39.7 million per day) Source: IndexUniverse as of 12/31/2013

And Low Costs Aren t The Only Benefit Lower Costs Tax Efficiency Intraday Trading Transparency Access To Anything

What Are The Hidden Risk?

How A Mutual Fund Works $10,000 $10,000 $10,000 $10,000

How A Mutual Fund Works $10,000 $10,000 $10,000 $10,000 100 @ $100 100 @ $100 100 @ $100 100 @ $100 $40,000

How A Mutual Fund Works 100 @ $200 $100 100 @ $200 $100 100 @ $200 $100 100 @ $200 $100 $40,000 $80,000

How A Mutual Fund Works 100 @ $200 100 @ $200 100 @ $200 100 @ $200 $20,000 $80,000 $60,000

How A Mutual Fund Works 100 @ $200 100 @ $200 $20,000 100 @ $200 50 @ $200 $10,000 $60,000 $70,000

How It Really Works $10,000 of XYZAB Please!

How It Really Works $10,000 of XYZAB Please! Broker

How It Really Works $10,000 of XYZAB Please! Broker $10,000 702 @ $14.23 Assets: $120,358,025.58 Shares: 8,458,025.58 Net Asset Value: $14.23

How An ETF Works 100 shares of SPY Please! Broker $9,723 100 @ $97.23

How An ETF Works ETFs, Inc.?

ETF Anatomy: Creation/Redemption Authorized Participant $2.5 million 100K ETFs, @ Inc. $25 MSFT AAPL CSCO CAT IBM

ETF Anatomy: Creation/Redemption Authorized Participant 100K @ $25 IBM ETFs, Inc. MSFT AAPL CAT CSCO

ETF Anatomy: Creation/Redemption Authorized Participant 50K @ $25 ETFs, Inc. MSFT CSCO AAPL IBM CAT

Why Be an AP? Authorized Participant $25.00 Fair Value $25.00 $25.00

Why Be an AP? Authorized Participant $25.10 Fair Value $25.00 $25.00

Why Be an AP? Sell! 100K @ $25.10 Authorized Participant $25.10 Fair Value $25.00 $25.00

Why Be an AP? IBM MSFT AAPL CAT CSCO Buy Holdings! Authorized Participant $25.10 Fair Value $25.00 $25.00

Why Be an AP? Authorized Participant Selling Pressure $25.01 Fair Value $25.01 $25.01 Buying Pressure

Why Be an AP? Bought: $25.00 Sold: $25.10 Margin: $.10 Authorized Participant Selling Pressure $25.01 Fair Value $25.01 $25.01 Buying Pressure

Why Be an AP? Buy! 100K @ $24.90 Authorized Participant Fair Value $25.00 $25.00 $24.90

Why Be an AP? IBM MSFT AAPL CAT CSCO Sell Holdings! Authorized Participant Fair Value $25.00 $25.00 $24.90

Why Be an AP? Bought: $24.90 Sold: $25.00 Margin: $.10 Authorized Participant Selling Pressure Buying Pressure Fair Value $24.99 $24.99

The Benefits and Risks of ETFs Are Not Accidental

Benefit 1: Intraday Trading Trade anytime the market s open

Benefit 1: Intraday Trading Why Do ETFs Represent 25% Of All Trading Volume, When CEFs Represent Less Than 1%? Creation/Redemption Keeps ETF Prices Fair

The Beauty of inav Source: Bloomberg as of 03/14/2012

Benefit 2: Lower Costs ETFs cost fund companies less. So ETFs cost investors less. Large Cap Equity ETFs: 0.44% Average Large Cap Equity Mutual Funds: 1.37% Average

Why Are ETFs Cheaper? Greed

Why Are ETFs Cheaper? Function

Why Are ETFs Cheaper? Distribution

Benefit 3: Tax Efficiency Active MF Passive MF ETF Large Cap Blend 1.92% 0.16% 0.00% Large Cap Value 2.01% 0.08% 0.00% Large Cap Growth 1.65% 0.04% 0.00% Mid Cap Blend 4.26% 1.25% 0.00% Small Cap Blend 3.54% 1.31% 0.00% Foreign Large Blend 2.50% 0.32% 0.00% Emerging Market 6.46% 0.02% 0.01% Source: Morningstar

Benefit 4: Transparency Daily Disclosure vs. Whenever we want

Benefit 5: Access 1499 ETFs 150+ new in 2013 900+ in Registration Source: IndexUniverse as of 12/31/2013

Benefit 5: Access by Asset Class U.S. Equity 404 International Equity 417 U.S. Fixed Income 157 International Fixed Income 56 Commodities 104 Currency 23 Leveraged 123 Inverse 135 Asset Allocation 35 Alternatives 44 Total: 1499 Source: IndexUniverse as of 12/31/2013

Issues With ETFs

Issue: Flash Crash Rydex S&P 500 Equal-Weight ETF (NYSEArca: RSP)

Issue: Commissions Every transaction has a cost, no matter how low* *Note new zero-cost commission ETF programs

Issue: Spreads Liquid Funds = Penny Spreads Illiquid Funds = > 4% Spreads

Issue: Fair Value Most ETFs trade close to NAV But all funds can get out of balance

Issue: Fair Value?

Issue: Tax Treatment Product Category Long-Term Max Rate Equities 20% Bonds 20% Commodity ETFs (Futures) 28%* Commodity ETNs 20% Commodity ETFs (Bullion-based) 28% Currency ETFs 38.6% Currency ETNs 38.6% Certain WisdomTree Currency ETFs 20%

Issue: ETF Choice 23% difference between highest and lowest

Issue: ETF Choice

ETF Issue: Complex ETFs

How Leveraged/Inverse Funds Work Day 1: Index Level: 100-200% ETF Level: 100 Day 2: Index up 10% Index Level: 110-200% ETF Level: 80 Day 3: Index down 10% Index Level: 99-200% ETF Level: 96

ETF Issue: Complex ETFS

The 9 BPS ETF Portfolio Asset Class Weight Fund Ticker ER U.S. Equity 40% Schwab U.S. Broad Equity SCHB 0.04% Developed Equity Emerging Markets Equity 30% Schwab International Equity SCHF 0.09% 5% Schwab Emerging Markets Equity SCHE 0.15% Fixed Income 15% Schwab U.S. Aggregate Bond SCHZ 0.05% REITs 5% Schwab U.S. REIT SCHH 0.07% Commodities 5% UBS E-TRACS DJ-UBS Commodity ETN DJCI 0.50% All-In Costs 0.09%

The 10 BPS ETF Portfolio Asset Class Weight Fund Ticker ER U.S. Equity 40% Vanguard Total Market VTI 0.05% Developed Equity Emerging Markets Equity 30% Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets VEA 0.10% 5% Vanguard Emerging Markets VWO 0.18% Fixed Income 15% Vanguard Total Market Bond BND 0.10% REITs 5% Vanguard REIT VNQ 0.10% Commodities 5% UBS E-TRACS DJ-UBS Commodity ETN DJCI 0.50% All-In Costs 0.10%

The 13 BPS ETF Portfolio Asset Class Weight Fund Ticker ER U.S. Equity 40% ishares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock ITOT 0.07% Developed Equity Emerging Markets Equity 30% ishares Core MSCI EAFE IEFA 0.14% 5% ishares Core Emerging Markets IEMG 0.18% Fixed Income 15% ishares Core Total U.S. Bond BND 0.08% REITs 5% ishares Cohen & Steers REIT ICF 0.35% Commodities 5% UBS E-TRACS DJ-UBS Commodity ETN DJCI 0.50% All-In Costs 0.10%

The 26 BPS ETF Portfolio Asset Class Weight Fund Ticker ER U.S. Equity 40% Schwab U.S. Broad Equity SCHB 0.04% Developed Equity Emerging Markets Equity 30% DB X-Trackers MSCI EAFE Hedged DBEF 0.35% 5% PowerShares S&P Emerging Markets Low Volatility EELV 0.29% Fixed Income 15% Pimco Total Return Bond BOND 0.55% REITs 5% Vanguard REIT VNQ 0.10% Commodities 5% PowerShares DB Commodity DBC 0.75% All-In Costs 0.09%

Thank You. Questions?

ETFs 101: The Hows & Whys Matt Hougan Moderator President Analytics & Publications ETF.com