FY 2017 Results Presentation. 16 January 2018

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Transcription:

FY 217 Results Presentation 16 January 218

2 Important Information Disclaimer The material in this presentation is general background information about the activities of Emirates NBD Bank PJSC (Emirates NBD), current at the date of this presentation, and believed by Emirates NBD to be accurate and true. It is information given in summary form and does not purport to be complete. Some of the information that is relied upon by Emirates NBD is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Emirates NBD (nor any of its directors, officers, employees, agents, affiliates or subsidiaries) does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of such information, and disclaims all liability or responsibility for any loss or damage caused by any act taken as a result of the information. The information in this presentation is not intended to be relied upon as advice or a recommendation to investors or potential investors and does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular investor. An investor should seek independent professional advice when deciding if an investment is appropriate. Due to rounding, numbers and percentages presented throughout this presentation may not add up precisely to the totals provided. Forward Looking Statements Certain matters discussed in this presentation about the future performance of Emirates NBD or members of its group (the Group), including without limitation, future revenues, earnings, strategies, prospects and all other statements that are not purely historical, constitute forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are based on current expectations or beliefs, as well as assumptions about future events, made from information currently available. Forward-looking statements often use words such as anticipate, target, expect, estimate, intend, plan, goal, seek, believe, will, may, should, would, could or other words of similar meaning. Undue reliance should not be placed on any such statements in making an investment decision, as forward-looking statements, by their nature, are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, as well as the Group s plans and objectives, to differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements. There are several factors which could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in forward-looking statements, such as changes in the global, political, economic, business, competitive, market and regulatory forces; future exchange and interest rates; changes in tax rates; and future business combinations or dispositions. Emirates NBD undertakes no obligation to revise or update any statement, including any forward-looking statement, contained within this presentation, regardless of whether those statements are affected as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

3 Emirates NBD delivered a strong set of results in 217 FY217 Key Metrics 218 Macro themes Profit Credit Quality Net profit FY 217 v. 217 Guidance AED 8.35 Bn +15% 218 Guidance NIM 2.47% 2.45 2.5% 2.55-2.65% Cost-to-income 31.3% 33% 33% NPL 6.2% Coverage 124.5% Improving trend + Regional Resilience of UAE economy underpinned by non-oil activity growth Higher growth in GCC economies Improving liquidity Global Emirates NBD s balance sheet positioned to benefit from rising interest rates Improved banking system liquidity to support private sector growth Capital * CET 1 16.4% Tier 1 19.7% CAR 22.% Geo-politics within GCC Strong dollar impact on Dubai tourism Potential Euro area volatility from implementation of Brexit and key government elections Liquidity AD ratio 93.1% 9-1% 9-1% - Introduction of VAT LCR ratio 146.% Assets Loan growth 5% * Based on Basel III capital regulations mid-single digit mid-single digit

4 FY 217 Financial Results Net profit of AED 8,346 Mn for FY 217 improved 15% y-o-y Net interest income improved 7% y-o-y due to 5% loan growth and helped by recent interest rate rises Non-interest income improved 1% y-o-y as higher foreign exchange and derivatives income offset lower gains from the sale of properties Costs improved 1% y-o-y as lower staff costs more than offset an increase in costs both on Marketing and IT relating to our planned investment in digital and technology refresh Provisions of AED 2,229 Mn improved 15% y-o-y as cost of risk continues to normalize on the back of improving asset quality metrics NPL ratio stable at 6.2% and coverage ratio strengthened to 124.5% Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) of 146.% and AD ratio of 93.1% demonstrates healthy liquidity position NIMs were stable y-o-y as the benefit from rate rises coupled with lower deposit and wholesale funding costs in 217 offset higher deposit costs experienced in 216 Key Performance Indicators AED Mn FY 217 FY 216 Better / (Worse) Net interest income 1,786 1,111 7% Non-interest income 4,669 4,637 1% Total income 15,455 14,748 5% Operating expenses (4,844) (4,888) 1% Pre-impairment operating profit 1,611 9,86 8% Impairment allowances (2,229) (2,68) 15% Operating profit 8,382 7,252 16% Share of profits from associates 72 135 (47%) Taxation charge (19) (148) 27% Net profit 8,346 7,239 15% Cost: income ratio (%) 31.3% 33.1% 1.8% Net interest margin (%) 2.47% 2.51% (.4%) AED Bn 31-Dec-17 31-Dec-16 % Total assets 47.4 448. 5% Loans 34.1 29.4 5% Deposits 326.5 31.8 5% AD ratio (%) 93.1% 93.4%.3% NPL ratio (%) 6.2% 6.4%.2%

5 Q4-17 Financial Results Net profit of AED 2,176 Mn for Q4-17 increased 17% y-o-y and declined 4% q-o-q Net interest income improved 14% y-o-y due to loan growth and helped by recent interest rate rises. Net interest income was flat q-o-q Non-interest income improved 24% y-o-y and 7% q-o-q due to higher income from bancassurance and the sale of investments Costs were higher by 4% q-o-q on an increase in Marketing and IT costs relating to our planned investment in digital and technology refresh Provisions of AED 537 Mn are higher 27% y-o-y and 24% q-o-q NPL ratio stable at 6.2% and coverage ratio strengthened to 124.5% Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) of 146.% and AD ratio of 93.1% demonstrates healthy liquidity position NIMs widened y-o-y helped by rate rises and improved funding costs and declined q-o-q due to competition for liquidity over year-end Key Performance Indicators AED Mn Q4-17 Q4-16 Better / (Worse) Q3-17 Better / (Worse) Net interest income 2,795 2,46 14% 2,86 (%) Non-interest income 1,241 1,3 24% 1,16 7% Total income 4,37 3,463 17% 3,965 2% Operating expenses (1,322) (1,194) (11%) (1,27) (4%) Pre-impairment operating profit 2,715 2,269 2% 2,696 1% Impairment allowances (537) (424) (27%) (431) (24%) Operating profit 2,178 1,845 18% 2,264 (4%) Share of profits from associates 18 49 (64%) 42 (57%) Taxation charge (2) (37) 46% (3) 34% Net profit 2,176 1,857 17% 2,276 (4%) Cost: income ratio (%) 32.7% 34.5% 1.7% 32.% (.7%) Net interest margin (%) 2.51% 2.29%.22% 2.56% (.5%) AED Bn 31-Dec-17 31-Dec-16 % 3-Sep-17 % Total assets 47.4 448. 5% 461.1 2% Loans 34.1 29.4 5% 34.1 % Deposits 326.5 31.8 5% 322.1 1% AD ratio (%) 93.1% 93.4%.3% 94.4% 1.3% NPL ratio (%) 6.2% 6.4%.2% 6.1% (%)

6 Net Interest Income Net Interest Margin (%) NIMs showed an improving trend in 217, as rate rises flowed through to the loan book and liquidity conditions improved 2.85 2.82 Q4-17 NIM of 2.51% improved 22 bps y-o-y Loan yields improved 2 bps y-o-y and held steady q-o-q helped by recent interest rate rises Funding costs adversely impacted margins in Q4 reflecting higher premium for liquidity over year end. Bank successfully prefunded expensive debt maturing in Q1-18 by issuing a $75 Mn 5-year senior bond in November 218 NIM guidance raised to 2.55-2.65% as we expect improvement in funding costs coupled with further benefit from anticipated rate rises Q415 2.62 2.62 Q116 2.58 2.55 Q216 2.54 2.44 Q316 2.51 2.29 2.33 2.49 2.41 2.56 2.46 2.51 2.47 Q416 Qtrly NIM YTD NIM Net Interest Margin Drivers (%) 2.56 Q4-17 vs. Q3-17 FY 216 vs. FY 216.. 2.51.2 (.3) (.5) 2.51 (.4) 2.47 Loan Yield Deposit Cost Treasury & Other Q4-16 Loan Yield Deposit Cost Treasury & Other Q4-17

7 Loan and Deposit Trends Gross loans grew 5% in 217 with growth mainly from corporate lending Corporate lending grew 7% in 217 due to growth in real estate, services and trade sectors Consumer lending grew 3% in 217 with growth in credit cards and mortgages Islamic financing contracted 3% in 217 due to a slowdown in new business as Emirates Islamic tightened underwriting standards Deposits grew 5% in 217 with higher growth in fixed deposits in Q4 reflecting competition for liquidity over year-end CASA deposits represent 55% of total deposits Trend in Gross Loans by Type (AED Bn) 285 29 29 3 3 31 33 35 35 35 34 35 46 48 51 54 54 53 52 52 53 51 1 Q3 15 Trend in Deposits by Type (AED Bn) 269 6 294 215 Q4 15 287 7 33 221 Q1 16 Corporate 291 6 31 225 Q2 16 298 7 314 226 Q3 16 Consumer 1 1 315 227 Islamic* 32 233 +5% 329 242 Treasury/Other 99 121 113 122 133 135 133 131 312 7 311 7 319 7 +5% 32 8 329 242 322 7 329 243 327 7 132 141 164 16 172 169 172 169 179 181 183 178 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Other Time CASA * Gross Islamic Financing Net of Deferred Income

8 Funding and Liquidity Advances to Deposit (AD) Ratio (%) Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) of 146.% and AD ratio of 93.1% demonstrates healthy liquidity position Liquid assets* of AED 71.9 Bn as at Q4-17 (17.5% of total liabilities) Debt & Sukuk term funding represent 11% of total liabilities In 217, AED 1.2 Bn of term-debt issued in 4 currencies with maturities out to 2 years Maturities of AED 5.9 billion in 218 allow the Group ability to consider public and private debt issues opportunistically 95.9 96.1 94.2 95. 94.4 92.8 93.4 92.5 93.1 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Target range AD Ratio Composition of Liabilities/Debt Issued (%) Maturity Profile of Debt Issued (AED Bn) Liabilities (AED 411 Bn) Debt/Sukuk (AED 45.3 Bn) Customer deposits 8% Banks 5% Others 4% Debt/Sukuk 11% EMTNs 8% Syn bank borrow. 2% Loan secur. % Sukuk 1% 5.9 13.3 7.2 Maturity Profile of Debt/Sukuk Issued AED 45.3 Bn 5.4 7.9 3.7.5.2.8.3.2 218 219 22 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 232 237 *Including cash and deposits with Central Banks but excluding interbank balances and liquid investment securities

9 Capital Adequacy In Q4-17, Tier 1 ratio improved by.7% to 19.5% and CAR increased by.7% to 21.9% Increase in Tier 1 capital from retained earning more than offsetting modest increase in risk weighted assets Under the Basel III framework: - Common Equity Tier 1 ratio is 16.4% - Tier 1 ratio is 19.7% - Total Capital ratio is 22.% Emirates NBD has been designated a Domestically Systemically Important Bank. Additional D-SIB buffer of.75% for 217 rising to 1.5% by 219 Capital Movements Basel II Capitalisation Basel II 21.2 18.7 54.4 6.5 2.2 17.8 53.4 6.4 2.7 18.3 55.3 6.4 21.2 18.8 57.6 6.5 47.8 47. 48.9 51.1 53. T2 T1 T1 % Risk Weighted Assets Basel II (AED Bn) 21.9 59.5 6.5 CAR % 19.5 AED Bn Tier 1 Tier 2 Total Capital as at 31-Dec-216 47.8 6.5 54.4 Net profits generated 8.4-8.4 FY 216 dividend paid (2.2) - (2.2) 256.2 25.7 5. 263.8 25.7 7.3 +6% 267.1 25.7 8.4 271.6 25.7 7.3 272. 26.4 7.8 Tier 1 Issuance/Repayment - - - Tier 2 Issuance/Repayment - - - 225.4 23.9 233. 238.6 237.8 Amortisation of Tier 2 - - - Interest on T1 securities (.6) - (.6) Other (.4) () (.4) Capital as at 31-Dec-217 53. 6.5 59.5 Operational Risk Market Risk Credit Risk

1 Non-Interest Income Core fee income improved 9% y-o-y driven by growth in foreign exchange and derivative income, bancassurance, credit card and trade finance income Non-interest income improved 1% y-o-y as higher core fee income offset lower gains from the sale of properties and investments Income from property declined 129% y-o-y due to a downward revaluation of illiquid inventory Investment securities & other income was 9% lower y-o-y due to lower income from dividend and investment securities sales Composition of Non Interest Income (AED Mn) AED Mn FY 217 FY 216 Trend in Core Gross Fee Income (AED Mn) Better / (Worse) Core gross fee income 5,325 4,889 9% Fees & commission expense (981) (886) (11%) Core fee income 4,344 4,3 9% Property income / (loss) (6) 21 (129%) Investment securities & other income 386 424 (9%) Total Non Interest Income 4,669 4,637 1% +23% 1,78 11 42 1,373 41 52 1,283 32 42 1,338 1,332 % 347 328 54 29 777 749 766 16 162 174 1 776 795 162 18 Forex, Rates & Other Brokerage & AM fees Fee Income Trade finance

11 Operating Costs and Efficiency FY 217 costs improved 1% y-o-y as lower staff costs more than offset an increase in costs both on Marketing and IT relating to our planned investment in digital and technology Costs increased 4% q-o-q in Q4-17 due to and an increase in IT and related staff costs as signaled earlier Costs expected to be within 218 guidance of 33% as we continue our digital investment and IT transformation Cost to Income Ratio (%) 34.5 33.1 32. 32.8 3.9 3.8 3.2 1 29.6 31.3 Target CI Ratio (YTD) CI Ratio Cost Composition (AED Mn) 1,194 1,116 1,136 1,27 1,322 +4% 737 89 1 269 738 732 1 86 91 9 91 22 222 765 797 93 98 18 88 314 329 Staff Cost Occupancy Cost Depr & Amort Other Cost

12 Credit Quality NPL ratio improved to 6.2% during 217 Impaired loans were steady at AED 2.3 Bn during 217 helped by AED 1,777 Mn of write backs & recoveries FY 217 cost of risk at 68 bps continued to moderate as net impairment charge of AED 2,229 Mn improved 15% y-o-y Coverage ratio strong at 124.5% Total portfolio impairment allowances amount to AED 7.6 Bn or 3.2% of credit RWA Impaired Loan & Coverage Ratios (%) 124.9 122.5 123.5 12.8 12 118.5 113.5 111.5 7.1 6.9 6.6 6.4 6.4 6.3 6.1 6.1 124.5 6.2 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 NPL ratio Coverage ratio Impaired Loans and Impairment Allowances (AED Bn) 21. 2.4 Impaired Loans 2 2.3 2 2.2 2 2.3 +1% 23.9 24.1 Impairment Allowances 24.3 24.3 24.7 24.9 25.2 25.3 +1% 14.3 14.1 13.8 14. 13.7 13.8 13.7 14. 18. 18.5 18.5 18.7 19.1 19.3 19.3 19.7.7 5.9.6 5.5.7 5.6.7 5.5.7 5.6.7 5.6.7 5.6.8 5.5.8 5. 4.8.8.8 5..8 4.8 4.7.8.8 4.7.9 4.9..9. 4.6 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Core Corporate Retail Islamic Other Debt Securities

Emirates Islamic Retail Banking & Wealth Management 13 Divisional Performance Revenues increased 11% y-o-y Net interest income grew 17% led by liabilities. Fee income grew 1% supported by wealth, FX and cards and accounts for 35% of total RBWM revenue Loan growth was flat as growth in credit cards and mortgages was offset by a decline in micro-sme balances RBWM continued to lead the market in digital and innovation with the launch of Liv., the UAE s first digital bank targeted at millennials; FaceBanking video banking service; and EVA, the region s first voicebased virtual chatbot The bank continues to optimize its distribution network with 583 ATMs and 95 branches as at 31-Dec-17 Balance Sheet Trends AED Bn -3% 38.7 216 % 141.6 Loans 38.8 137.1 217 Deposits Revenue Trends AED Mn 6,171 2,388 3,783 216 +11% NFI 6,833 2,419 4,414 217 NII EI achieved a record net profit of AED 72 million in 217, a six-fold improvement from 216 Financing receivables declined 7% to AED 34 billion in 217 due to a slowdown in new business as EI tightened underwriting standards Customer accounts grew 2% to AED 42 billion as EI focused on improving liability mix and cost of funding. CASA now represents 81% of EI s customer deposits As at 31-Dec-17, EI had 64 branches and an ATM & CDM network of 23 Balance Sheet Trends AED Bn -7% 41.1 36.3 +2% 41.8 33.8 Revenue Trends AED Mn 2,495 736 1,759-4% 2,392 765 1,627 216 217 Financing receivables Customer accounts 216 NFI 217 NII

Global Markets & Treasury Wholesale Banking 14 Divisional Performance (cont d) Wholesale Banking revenues increased 16% y-o-y Loans grew 7% in 217 due to growth in real estate, services and trade sectors. Deposits up 19% in 217 Net Interest Income grew 19% y-o-y driven by an improvement in margins and growth in lending activity Fee income grew 6% y-o-y mainly due to growth in loans and trade finance Focus in 217 was on enhancing customer service quality in key sectors, share of wallet, increased crosssell of Treasury and Investment Banking products and larger Cash Management and Trade Finance penetration Balance Sheet Trends AED Bn +19% +7% 211.5 227.1 1 118.9 216 217 Loans Deposits Revenue Trends AED Mn 4,298 1,26 3,92 216 +16% NFI 4,979 1,283 3,695 217 NII GM&T revenues increased 16% y-o-y Revenue growth helped by Balance Sheet positioning to take advantage of rate rises Revenue Trends AED Mn +16% Sales revenue from FX increased on higher volumes due to enhanced product capability and closer working relationship with Corporate & Institutional clients Raised AED 1.2 billion of term funding through private placements with maturities out to twenty years, a US$75m 5-year benchmark issue and a 1-year Australian dollar deal 38 464-83 782 528 254 216 NFI 217 NII

Investor Relations PO Box 777 Emirates NBD Head Office, 4th Floor Dubai, UAE Tel: +971 4 21 266 Email: IR@emiratesnbd.com