CONSUMER SURVEY. November 2016

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Transcription:

CONSUMER SURVEY November The Bank Indonesia Consumer Survey revealed that consumers remained optimistic in November, with the Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) reported at 115.9, albeit down slightly on the 116.8 reported the month earlier. Both component indexes, namely the Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) and Consumer Expectation Index (CEI), experienced declines of -0.4 and -1.4 points respectively. Nonetheless, respondents were more inclined to consume, with the average propensity to consume ratio observed to climb 1% touched the level of 72%. Respondents predicted milder inflationary pressures in February 2017, with the 3-month Price Expectations Index (PEI) falling 0.7 points to 164.9. Pressure on prices are expected to heighten notably on foodstuffs, while the slower rising prices are expected on healthcare and education. Respondents expected less propensity to save in the next six months (May 2017), while acknowledging readiness to take on more debt Consumer Confidence Index Consumers remained optimistic in November. The Bank Indonesia Consumer Survey revealed that consumers were less upbeat in November, but remained optimistic, with the CCI reported to drop -0.9 points to 115.9 as both component indexes experienced declines. Accordingly, the CECI and CEI fell -0.4 and -1.4 points respectively on the month earlier (Graph 1). Graph 1. Consumer Confidence Index Methodology The Consumer Survey has been conducted monthly since October 1999. Moreover, since January 2007 the Survey has involved 4,600 households as respondents (stratified random sampling) in 18 cities, namely Jakarta, Bandung, Semarang, Surabaya, Medan, Makassar, Bandar Lampung, Palembang, Banjarmasin, Padang, Pontianak, Samarinda, Manado, Denpasar, Mataram, Pangkal Pinang, Ambon and Banten. The index of each city is calculated using the balanced score method (net balance + 100), which indicates that a score of 100 is considered optimistic and an index of below 100 is pessimistic. Real Sector Statistics Division 1

Consumer Survey Respondents in eight cities reported CCI declines, most significantly in Surabaya (-8.0 points) and Samarinda (-6.5 points). Based on spending, however, those with monthly expenses of Rp1-2 million reported the largest CCI declines. Current Economic Condition Index Consumers were slightly less optimistic on the current economic conditions. Respondents were slightly less optimistic on the current economic conditions, reflecting a moderate dip in the CECI of -0.4 points to 102.8. Congruently, respondents expected declines in current incomes and job availability, with the corresponding indexes falling -2.1 and -1.2 points to 117.0 and 87.8. In contrast, respondents acknowledged better conditions for buying durable goods, as the index climbed 1.9 points, which prevented further CECI declines (Graph 2). Graph 2. Current Economic Condition Index by Components Respondents in nine cities confirmed CECI declines, particularly in Mataram (-7.2 points) and Surabaya (-6.4 points). Meanwhile, households spending Rp1-2 million per month reported the largest CECI declines (Table 4). Consumer Expectation Index Consumers were less optimistic on economic conditions in the next six months. Respondents were less optimistic on economic conditions in the next six month, citing future economic moderation and fewer government projects as the main drags, which was indicated by a decrease in the CEI of -1.4 points to 129.0 in November. Furthermore, respondents were less upbeat on future job availability and business conditions, with the corresponding indexes falling -4.0 and -1.2 points respectively, down to 110.5 and 135.0 raise the minimum wage drove optimism concerning incomes in the next six months, with the index increasing 0.9 points to 141.4 (Graph 3). Real Sector Statistics Division 2

Consumer Survey Graph 3. Component of Consumer Expectation Index by Components Regionally, respondents in seven cities reported a lower CEI, especially in Surabaya (-9.5 points) and Samarinda (-7.3 points), while those spending more than Rp5 million per month confirmed the largest CEI declines (Table 4). Price Expectations Index Consumers predicted inflationary pressures to ease in February 2017. Respondents predicted milder inflationary pressures in February 2017, with the 3-month PEI falling from 165.6 the month earlier to 164.9 (Graph 4). Respondents blamed pressure on prices are expected to heighten notably on foodstuffs, while slower rising prices are predicted on healthcare and education, with PEI amounted 170.4 and 136.3 respectively. Graph 4. Price Expectation Index for the next 3 months Real Sector Statistics Division 3

Consumer Survey Conversely, respondents expected inflationary pressures to accumulate in six months (May 2017) as demand spikes during the approach to the holy fasting month at the end of May 2017, thus elevating the 6-month PEI from 158.3 to 163.5 (Graph 5). Graph 5. Price Expectation Index for the next 6 months Consumer Financial Conditions Households were less inclined to save. The average propensity to consume ratio was observed to increase 1.0% to 72.0% in November, contrasting the savings-to-income ratio and debtto-income ratio that fell -0.8% and -0.1% respectively on the previous period to 16.5% and 11.5% (Graph 6). Graph 6. Distribution of Household Income Allocation Consumers predicted a smaller increase in the level of savings in the next six months than one month ago. In line with expected economic moderation, respondents also predicted a smaller increase in the level of savings in the next six months than one month Real Sector Statistics Division 4

Consumer Survey ago, indicated by a decrease in the 6-month savings expectation index of -1.0 points to 126.5. On the other hand, the 6-month debt expectation index recorded a 0.3-point gain on the month earlier to 162.4 (Graph 7), showing that consumers were preparing to take on more debt. Graph 7. Saving and Debt Expectation Index for The Next 6 Months Real Sector Statistics Division 5

Table 1. Consumer Confidence and Price Expectations (Index) Descriptions Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov (Nov-Oct) A. Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 120.6 120.1 116.5 120.2 120.2 116.9 107.4 112.8 111.3 109.9 112.6 97.5 99.3 103.7 107.5 112.6 110.0 109.8 109.0 112.1 113.7 114.2 113.3 110.0 116.8 115.9-0.9 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 113.3 114.1 110.2 109.7 110.3 107.5 98.9 102.6 100.3 98.8 101.2 87.8 87.5 92.6 94.0 99.9 98.7 96.6 94.7 96.5 99.9 101.2 97.2 96.0 103.2 102.8-0.4 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 128.0 126.1 122.8 130.7 130.2 126.2 115.9 122.9 122.4 120.9 124.0 107.2 111.2 114.8 121.0 125.4 121.3 123.1 123.2 127.7 127.6 127.1 129.5 124.0 130.4 129.0-1.4 Current Economic Condition Index - Current Incomes 129.1 128.1 123.8 124.5 124.5 124.8 118.2 120.9 120.5 114.6 121.6 108.1 106.7 109.3 112.3 117.7 120.0 115.5 110.9 114.8 116.2 119.5 117.4 116.5 119.1 117.0-2.1 - Employment Conditions 99.5 103.2 100.5 96.5 95.6 93.5 84.3 88.5 86.1 84.9 85.0 68.6 66.8 76.8 78.5 88.0 81.9 79.3 80.0 80.7 87.0 85.8 79.0 79.5 89.0 87.8-1.2 - Buying Durable Goods Conditions 111.2 110.9 106.4 108.2 110.8 104.2 94.3 98.5 94.3 97.0 97.1 86.7 88.9 91.7 91.2 93.8 94.2 95.0 93.2 94.0 96.3 98.3 95.3 92.1 101.6 103.5 1.9 Consumer Expectation Index - Current Incomes Expectation 135.4 135.5 133.2 143.4 144.1 141.9 135.1 139.5 138.7 137.7 143.4 128.8 131.0 133.1 139.6 143.0 141.1 138.6 137.7 141.3 138.4 139.2 142.0 138.9 140.5 141.4 0.9 - Employment Conditions Expectation 118.7 116.1 113.9 114.7 113.6 110.5 101.7 107.5 105.9 104.7 107.3 85.7 92.4 96.8 103.5 105.0 98.4 102.7 105.0 110.8 115.6 110.5 111.1 104.7 114.5 110.5-4.0 - Business Activities Expectation 129.9 126.6 121.3 133.9 132.7 126.2 111.1 121.9 122.5 120.4 121.3 106.9 110.2 114.4 120.0 128.1 124.3 128.1 126.9 130.9 128.7 131.7 135.3 128.3 136.2 135.0-1.2 B. Price Expectations Index - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 174.1 184.7 172.5 150.6 142.5 168.8 179.8 173.9 162.0 144.4 155.0 164.5 151.7 152.3 160.6 158.1 164.4 171.4 174.0 171.3 156.4 143.7 151.1 168.7 165.6 164.9-0.7 by group: - Foodstuff 171.7 184.2 172.8 153.0 146.4 171.2 180.7 175.2 163.3 145.3 156.1 166.7 155.1 154.5 162.1 156.4 168.2 177.8 179.9 173.8 158.0 144.9 157.6 173.6 168.7 170.4 1.7 - Food, beverage, cigarettes, and tobacco 165.9 179.4 170.4 148.8 144.7 167.6 173.8 167.2 157.1 142.2 150.2 158.3 149.5 149.7 155.8 157.6 164.5 171.9 173.0 166.4 156.4 145.3 154.6 171.2 164.4 165.4 1.0 - Housing, electricity, gas, and fuel 168.6 182.5 169.8 152.6 145.9 166.4 177.3 169.8 159.6 147.1 151.0 154.4 147.2 149.6 158.0 148.5 149.4 151.0 136.1 146.7 149.2 144.5 145.3 152.4 154.3 158.5 4.2 - Clothing 143.8 157.6 152.2 135.0 130.7 149.1 158.6 154.6 144.1 132.9 133.9 139.5 133.0 134.4 136.6 140.2 139.8 147.1 151.6 145.7 134.8 125.7 135.0 138.7 138.0 139.0 1.0 - Health 138.2 151.2 145.3 129.3 125.3 138.4 146.8 142.5 135.9 128.8 129.6 135.6 129.4 129.9 133.7 133.7 137.4 136.7 137.2 135.8 129.2 127.5 135.0 138.1 137.4 136.3-1.1 - Transportation, communication, and financial servic 158.6 174.7 167.2 146.4 135.9 158.0 171.9 163.3 153.6 142.8 144.0 150.9 143.4 142.9 149.6 142.5 148.2 149.5 143.3 140.1 139.6 137.4 138.2 142.7 142.7 142.8 0.1 - Education, recreation, and sports 146.1 155.6 150.8 136.1 130.9 144.7 153.9 153.1 147.3 138.0 140.7 147.0 138.1 139.7 146.1 146.6 148.7 150.0 150.0 150.2 146.1 144.6 144.1 148.7 147.7 146.5-1.2 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 177.6 183.5 173.5 171.3 162.7 167.8 173.8 171.3 172.9 162.1 163.6 162.8 157.4 160.5 173.8 169.2 170.7 164.2 157.7 164.9 162.1 155.2 158.9 161.7 158.3 163.5 5.2 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 177.2 183.2 178.4 169.4 169.1 173.2 177.0 177.0 175.9 171.1 171.4 168.1 164.0 169.0 176.2 168.3 173.3 171.5 165.4 168.1 165.5 164.1 165.0 174.0 170.3 167.1-3.2 Real Sector Statistics Division 6

Table 2. Respondent Figures (percentages) Descriptions Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Gender - Male 49.2 49.0 49.5 48.2 47.8 49.1 46.8 48.9 46.1 45.6 46.2 48.0 47.1 47.9 47.6 46.1 46.6 48.1 46.9 43.9 43.6 44.7 44.7 46.6 45.8 45.5 - Female 50.8 51.0 50.5 51.8 52.2 50.9 53.2 51.1 53.9 54.4 53.8 52.0 52.9 52.1 52.4 53.9 53.4 51.9 53.1 56.1 56.4 55.3 55.3 53.4 54.2 54.5 Household Expenses - Rp. 1 million - Rp. 2 million 27.5 29.1 25.2 23.6 24.0 25.6 26.8 25.6 22.9 25.3 22.7 22.6 24.3 25.1 25.4 24.9 24.2 23.8 22.9 23.2 22.6 22.8 23.1 23.8 26.1 23.4 - Rp. 2,1 million - Rp. 3 million 31.1 30.1 32.2 29.2 29.4 31.2 30.7 30.8 30.9 32.1 32.5 32.5 32.1 32.1 30.4 33.6 31.6 32.6 34.4 33.7 34.7 35.3 35.0 33.7 32.0 32.7 - Rp. 3,1 million - Rp. 4 million 23.8 22.0 23.5 23.0 22.9 21.6 19.5 21.5 22.9 20.4 21.3 22.6 21.4 20.9 21.4 21.3 21.6 21.6 22.0 22.7 23.6 21.9 22.5 23.6 21.3 22.8 - Rp. 4,1 million - Rp. 5 million 9.1 10.7 9.6 12.1 12.1 11.5 10.9 10.7 10.9 10.5 11.6 11.1 9.9 10.0 10.6 9.8 10.7 9.8 10.1 9.7 10.0 9.2 9.8 9.4 9.9 10.6 - Over than Rp. 5 million 8.5 8.1 9.4 12.2 11.6 10.1 12.0 11.4 12.4 11.7 11.9 11.2 12.3 11.9 12.2 10.4 11.8 12.3 10.6 10.7 9.1 10.8 9.6 9.4 10.7 10.6 Ages - 20-30 years 30.3 30.6 30.7 31.0 28.1 32.8 30.2 32.1 29.6 28.3 30.4 31.8 28.0 31.1 29.3 27.9 30.5 30.1 28.5 30.0 28.9 28.8 29.0 30.3 30.4 28.0-31-40 years 29.7 29.2 30.1 30.6 29.8 29.7 30.2 29.5 30.7 31.8 29.7 29.3 31.4 30.4 31.9 31.6 30.7 29.6 28.5 30.0 29.6 29.7 29.9 29.0 30.1 30.4-41-50 years 24.5 23.8 23.2 22.7 26.0 22.6 24.0 22.5 23.8 22.8 22.6 21.9 23.9 22.9 22.1 22.8 21.5 23.6 25.1 22.8 23.6 22.9 22.9 22.4 22.8 23.2-51-60 years 11.6 12.3 11.9 11.3 11.4 11.2 11.2 11.7 11.4 12.9 12.7 12.1 12.0 10.9 11.8 12.8 12.4 11.6 13.1 11.6 12.8 13.6 11.9 12.6 12.0 12.4-60 years above 3.9 4.1 4.0 4.3 4.7 3.7 4.3 4.2 4.5 4.2 4.6 5.0 4.7 4.7 4.9 4.9 4.9 5.1 4.8 5.5 5.1 5.1 6.3 5.7 4.6 5.9 Educational Level - High School 62.1 60.4 61.3 59.5 58.9 59.5 61.0 62.0 62.7 62.4 60.1 61.4 65.1 63.5 63.4 63.3 63.7 66.7 67.4 67.0 68.0 66.2 66.6 64.3 63.6 64.0 - Diploma 9.7 9.7 9.2 9.9 10.1 9.2 8.5 8.9 8.9 9.8 9.2 9.2 9.8 9.5 10.3 10.6 9.4 8.8 8.2 8.4 9.5 8.2 8.3 9.1 9.2 9.1 - University 26.4 28.1 27.4 28.0 28.7 29.2 27.8 26.7 26.5 25.2 28.0 27.6 22.2 24.4 23.7 23.3 24.3 22.0 22.1 22.6 20.2 22.6 23.0 24.2 25.1 24.6 - Graduate/Post Graduate 1.8 1.8 2.1 2.7 2.3 2.1 2.7 2.4 2.0 2.7 2.6 1.8 2.8 2.6 2.5 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.3 2.0 2.3 3.0 2.2 2.5 2.1 2.3 Real Sector Statistics Division 7

Table 3. CCI and CEI in 18 Cities Surveyed Descriptions Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Ags Sep Oct Nov (Nov-Oct) 1. DKI Jakarta - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 107.2 109.1 105.6 105.8 104.7 101.4 95.6 97.2 98.2 101.0 97.0 90.1 93.6 96.6 100.6 110.1 102.1 103.2 103.3 105.0 101.1 104.5 105.6 97.6 107.5 105.8-1.7 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 100.6 102.1 99.8 96.8 95.1 93.2 88.3 88.3 88.1 91.3 87.1 78.1 81.2 85.5 86.5 94.3 90.9 92.5 91.7 92.4 91.3 94.1 90.1 87.0 96.7 96.5-0.2 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 113.8 116.1 111.3 114.9 114.2 109.7 103.0 106.1 108.3 110.7 106.9 102.1 105.9 107.7 114.7 125.8 113.3 113.9 114.8 117.5 111.0 115.0 121.1 108.3 118.3 115.2-3.1 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 168.9 187.6 158.0 133.2 122.2 167.0 178.2 166.6 139.2 115.6 137.4 151.6 129.2 133.8 147.8 152.8 160.2 172.6 178.4 169.4 151.0 133.2 143.2 168.4 165.2 160.4-4.8 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 173.6 183.7 163.4 178.4 158.0 161.6 165.2 163.2 164.2 147.6 150.0 144.2 138.4 147.2 169.4 167.0 166.4 152.8 149.8 159.2 167.2 152.4 151.2 154.2 150.2 159.2 9.0 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 173.0 182.9 171.8 163.4 161.2 170.2 171.0 173.0 166.6 162.2 161.6 153.6 149.4 160.2 172.6 162.6 170.8 167.2 162.6 164.0 167.2 163.4 158.8 171.4 169.6 162.2-7.4 2. Bandung - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 109.8 105.6 101.8 126.9 125.1 119.3 108.2 111.2 106.8 107.1 103.1 82.6 87.8 88.4 94.4 101.6 100.1 95.8 98.8 106.4 109.1 114.0 115.7 117.9 117.8 120.6 2.8 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 95.8 98.4 90.7 108.8 106.2 97.9 91.6 94.3 88.8 89.6 87.7 65.8 64.8 69.3 71.6 79.3 81.0 74.0 79.1 83.7 85.4 88.0 90.1 94.4 95.9 98.3 2.4 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 123.9 112.8 112.9 145.0 144.0 140.8 124.9 128.1 124.9 124.6 118.6 99.3 110.8 107.4 117.3 123.8 119.1 117.6 118.6 129.2 132.7 140.0 141.2 141.3 139.7 142.9 3.2 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 185.6 184.7 190.0 111.4 127.7 149.0 163.3 157.0 176.3 153.3 152.0 149.0 140.7 149.3 150.0 135.3 141.0 149.7 135.7 165.0 148.0 134.3 135.7 155.3 151.3 151.3 0.0 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 189.7 178.7 183.7 123.4 139.3 149.3 163.3 159.0 168.7 159.7 159.3 155.7 148.7 158.3 164.0 148.3 160.3 160.7 149.3 165.0 155.7 144.3 155.7 156.3 162.0 158.7-3.3 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 183.7 174.3 186.0 140.3 158.3 156.7 160.0 164.7 174.7 171.3 166.7 156.7 155.7 166.3 169.3 156.7 155.0 165.3 156.7 166.7 166.0 158.0 163.0 174.0 171.3 162.7-8.6 3. Semarang - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 124.4 131.6 128.4 126.2 128.1 125.8 123.6 115.6 121.8 123.1 115.0 105.8 111.1 113.2 124.2 123.3 112.8 122.1 123.8 126.6 126.0 129.3 125.6 123.7 128.8 131.1 2.3 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 114.1 124.3 119.9 119.0 122.6 119.7 118.9 107.7 107.8 107.8 102.8 93.3 100.8 100.7 111.3 108.2 96.7 106.8 107.6 110.6 108.9 119.8 106.4 108.1 120.4 122.9 2.5 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 134.7 138.8 136.9 133.3 133.7 131.9 128.2 123.4 135.8 138.4 127.2 118.3 121.4 125.8 137.0 138.3 128.9 137.4 140.0 142.6 143.1 138.9 144.8 139.3 137.2 139.3 2.1 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 176.6 181.7 186.3 171.1 166.0 167.7 177.3 181.0 190.7 182.7 166.3 177.0 166.3 147.3 163.3 147.3 160.7 170.3 176.3 170.7 164.0 130.3 158.7 160.7 158.0 168.3 10.3 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 182.0 187.3 185.3 186.0 177.7 181.0 183.3 171.7 186.3 182.0 175.0 179.3 167.3 152.7 164.0 161.7 169.0 184.0 176.3 175.3 171.7 145.3 167.0 168.0 154.7 167.0 12.3 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 183.7 187.0 183.9 188.6 182.0 182.3 188.7 171.7 189.3 180.0 168.0 181.0 156.7 161.0 165.3 175.3 179.7 188.7 183.3 162.7 170.0 158.0 163.7 165.0 161.0 169.7 8.7 4. Surabaya - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 131.1 127.7 122.6 116.7 120.9 114.8 96.3 115.3 114.8 106.7 126.8 99.7 104.0 114.9 112.4 118.1 115.6 116.2 107.8 110.2 114.2 117.1 113.9 101.0 122.6 114.6-8.0 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 130.0 124.4 120.2 104.9 113.7 109.6 90.2 107.6 106.4 98.5 112.5 95.1 96.8 106.7 100.8 111.3 111.9 105.2 94.8 97.3 103.1 106.1 101.3 89.1 110.0 103.6-6.4 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 132.2 131.0 125.0 128.5 128.1 120.0 102.3 123.0 123.1 114.8 141.2 104.4 111.1 123.2 123.9 124.9 119.3 127.3 120.7 123.2 125.2 128.0 126.5 112.8 135.2 125.7-9.5 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 190.9 194.0 187.1 166.6 162.3 173.9 193.5 194.3 169.5 149.4 169.2 185.6 181.6 181.3 180.2 172.5 176.4 188.0 186.7 180.4 180.3 155.7 169.9 178.4 184.9 179.3-5.6 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 186.1 188.1 167.4 172.3 177.8 173.5 192.5 186.3 183.6 184.7 181.4 187.4 185.4 184.6 189.0 191.5 187.8 176.2 180.0 187.6 178.1 161.4 173.5 169.9 179.6 170.7-8.9 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 180.4 193.7 180.5 178.1 182.7 176.9 196.9 194.3 191.3 193.3 192.5 193.5 194.1 193.8 196.1 194.1 196.5 184.1 192.0 190.8 186.6 186.5 185.3 187.0 188.3 183.9-4.4 5. Medan - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 110.2 109.3 110.6 111.4 113.0 111.3 98.5 111.7 106.3 107.4 108.1 95.2 100.3 94.4 94.8 111.4 97.1 106.5 104.1 106.0 101.9 105.8 107.2 108.1 106.1 104.5-1.6 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 105.1 104.4 106.4 106.2 106.3 107.9 94.8 102.9 103.2 102.8 103.8 92.9 91.0 94.1 87.5 106.7 94.4 104.4 101.5 99.9 96.4 101.2 98.9 104.0 104.0 98.5-5.5 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 115.3 114.1 114.8 116.6 119.7 114.7 102.2 120.6 109.5 112.0 112.4 97.5 109.6 94.8 102.0 116.2 99.8 108.6 106.8 112.1 107.4 110.5 115.4 112.3 108.1 110.5 2.4 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 149.7 153.3 169.8 160.5 149.8 169.5 181.3 160.6 152.4 151.1 149.8 161.9 156.8 161.0 148.6 147.9 154.6 156.2 152.1 131.4 134.6 148.3 140.0 156.5 144.1 146.3 2.2 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 136.9 151.4 171.1 158.2 146.0 154.3 168.9 156.8 156.5 146.0 154.6 153.7 153.7 144.8 153.0 156.2 151.4 135.7 131.4 127.6 112.7 148.9 140.0 143.3 124.4 135.2 10.8 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 138.5 150.2 161.6 162.4 156.8 156.5 167.9 161.3 158.4 149.8 156.2 155.2 156.5 149.2 148.6 136.8 153.3 138.1 136.2 131.4 129.8 146.7 145.7 146.7 127.9 133.0 5.1 6. Palembang - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 127.4 126.9 124.8 118.0 118.3 123.6 126.2 133.0 112.4 109.0 122.4 104.7 89.0 106.6 105.4 109.6 122.2 119.0 123.3 121.1 129.8 104.8 107.1 108.9 108.4 111.4 3.0 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 115.1 115.2 114.8 117.4 115.9 122.2 123.2 128.6 103.0 97.4 112.2 97.6 74.2 94.0 93.1 92.7 109.3 107.7 102.7 105.1 118.6 91.9 92.2 97.4 86.8 98.6 11.8 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 139.7 138.7 134.8 118.6 120.7 125.0 129.1 137.4 121.8 120.6 132.7 111.8 103.8 119.2 117.8 126.6 135.0 130.3 143.9 137.0 141.1 117.7 122.0 120.3 130.1 124.2-5.9 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 171.0 171.2 178.0 176.7 150.3 153.3 174.3 170.2 183.7 175.7 176.7 190.7 171.0 169.7 180.3 176.3 183.0 180.0 193.7 180.7 170.3 176.0 165.3 175.3 171.7 182.0 10.3 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 177.3 172.0 175.3 154.3 154.8 155.0 176.3 176.0 180.6 174.0 177.3 188.0 169.7 180.0 193.3 172.7 183.3 185.0 170.0 176.7 171.7 178.0 176.7 182.3 175.7 175.0-0.7 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 180.7 181.7 180.3 165.0 159.0 162.0 166.6 178.0 180.3 177.0 181.7 188.0 173.7 188.7 197.3 181.0 189.0 189.0 164.0 176.7 172.3 180.0 183.0 192.3 184.3 190.0 5.7 Real Sector Statistics Division 8

Descriptions Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Ags Sep Oct Nov (Nov-Oct) 7. Banjarmasin - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 129.7 137.6 139.6 121.4 116.8 122.6 113.3 113.3 99.6 106.0 111.8 108.5 101.5 102.4 108.6 116.7 124.0 101.6 92.9 102.7 120.2 113.7 111.5 119.2 113.8 119.2 5.4 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 126.3 137.9 141.5 112.5 105.0 111.6 100.7 105.3 93.9 99.3 102.9 98.8 101.0 97.2 104.3 112.2 117.1 102.1 91.3 99.9 118.7 116.0 109.4 120.8 108.3 111.5 3.2 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 133.2 137.2 137.6 130.3 128.6 133.6 125.8 121.3 105.3 112.8 120.7 118.3 101.9 107.6 112.9 121.3 131.0 101.1 94.6 105.4 121.8 111.4 113.6 117.5 119.2 126.8 7.6 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 150.8 144.6 165.0 181.0 173.3 165.4 172.8 172.1 179.6 189.2 162.9 155.0 182.9 167.9 166.3 171.3 167.1 156.9 156.7 178.7 157.3 155.8 155.4 173.8 168.8 169.6 0.8 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 161.7 167.1 172.5 171.6 161.7 172.1 189.2 188.3 181.7 195.4 177.9 176.7 188.3 177.5 177.9 180.8 177.1 143.3 148.8 157.3 147.3 162.5 157.9 148.3 150.0 163.8 13.8 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 158.8 156.7 163.3 177.5 168.7 175.0 191.7 190.8 187.5 193.8 181.3 167.5 178.3 169.6 161.7 147.5 135.8 140.8 153.1 172.5 150.6 156.7 157.1 145.8 153.8 166.7 12.9 8. Bandar Lampung - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 133.6 135.2 127.7 127.5 133.8 115.9 111.1 104.8 110.5 124.1 122.0 112.3 93.4 96.7 115.8 124.7 125.8 123.8 116.5 113.9 105.8 113.7 110.8 114.6 118.6 120.6 2.0 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 120.7 123.5 118.0 113.3 121.0 110.5 100.7 91.2 97.5 111.5 106.0 98.5 74.0 80.3 94.8 107.8 112.0 110.2 101.5 93.3 90.3 99.5 99.0 108.3 104.0 105.2 1.2 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 146.5 146.8 137.3 141.7 146.5 121.3 121.5 118.3 123.5 136.7 138.0 126.2 112.8 113.0 136.8 141.5 139.5 137.3 131.5 134.5 121.3 127.8 122.5 120.8 133.2 136.0 2.8 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 187.0 197.0 190.5 181.5 152.0 172.5 196.0 196.0 195.0 164.0 176.0 181.5 163.5 162.5 168.0 166.0 182.5 184.0 188.0 196.5 128.0 143.5 149.5 150.5 160.0 159.0-1.0 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 190.5 198.0 195.5 172.0 178.5 189.0 194.0 198.5 196.5 155.5 182.0 184.0 157.0 160.0 176.5 178.5 190.5 194.5 161.5 178.0 149.5 151.5 144.0 163.5 168.5 168.5 0.0 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 189.0 198.5 197.0 186.0 187.0 188.5 197.0 197.5 200.0 172.9 191.5 189.5 172.5 161.5 174.0 187.5 193.5 189.5 178.5 182.5 174.0 181.5 166.5 183.5 176.0 178.0 2.0 9. Makassar - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 131.6 148.6 131.9 129.7 117.7 122.6 121.3 127.1 131.4 117.2 117.8 117.2 104.0 108.4 112.7 107.1 123.5 118.8 127.1 119.9 125.9 126.3 127.0 112.8 118.4 116.6-1.8 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 134.3 145.2 132.7 127.0 112.3 121.3 106.7 115.8 123.8 111.7 111.7 113.7 98.7 102.8 110.5 104.5 117.7 115.3 120.7 109.3 118.5 121.2 120.2 105.5 107.7 110.8 3.1 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 128.8 152.0 131.2 132.3 123.0 123.8 135.8 138.3 139.0 122.7 123.8 120.7 109.3 114.0 114.8 109.7 129.3 122.2 133.5 130.5 133.3 131.3 133.8 120.0 129.2 122.3-6.9 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 169.5 188.5 184.5 185.0 171.0 183.0 188.5 183.5 191.0 190.0 184.5 191.5 189.5 176.5 180.0 186.5 181.5 176.5 181.5 181.0 168.5 188.0 154.0 168.0 166.0 180.5 14.5 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 195.5 198.5 200.0 197.0 194.0 193.5 184.5 186.0 192.5 189.5 191.0 198.5 195.5 188.5 195.5 196.0 189.0 191.5 178.5 192.5 174.0 196.0 192.5 176.5 173.0 196.0 23.0 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 195.5 200.0 200.0 199.0 199.0 200.0 194.0 190.5 198.0 193.0 196.0 197.0 196.5 188.0 199.0 198.0 191.0 198.5 184.0 194.0 180.0 199.0 195.5 198.5 200.0 200.0 0.0 10. Samarinda - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 120.8 119.2 119.8 111.5 121.0 123.3 116.3 110.4 106.3 111.7 117.3 91.0 88.9 98.2 102.5 104.2 106.8 95.2 93.5 94.3 96.3 101.9 94.7 88.9 96.8 90.3-6.5 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 117.8 117.8 112.5 100.5 113.3 114.7 109.5 104.0 98.2 105.2 114.0 85.0 86.5 91.5 94.3 96.0 100.5 90.8 81.0 85.5 85.7 93.2 83.5 77.3 83.7 78.0-5.7 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 123.8 120.5 127.2 122.5 128.7 131.8 123.0 116.8 114.3 118.2 120.5 97.0 91.3 104.8 110.7 112.3 113.2 99.5 106.0 103.0 106.8 110.7 105.8 100.5 109.8 102.5-7.3 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 173.0 178.0 165.5 149.5 154.0 162.0 170.5 179.5 170.0 147.5 158.5 163.5 166.0 166.0 167.5 154.0 165.5 163.5 173.0 172.5 157.0 149.0 149.0 165.0 161.0 154.0-7.0 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 177.0 186.0 166.5 171.5 158.5 166.0 171.5 163.0 168.0 147.0 159.5 177.5 170.5 166.0 171.0 155.5 165.0 175.5 169.5 161.5 147.5 147.0 158.5 162.0 149.0 164.0 15.0 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 187.0 194.0 190.5 181.5 177.5 181.5 179.0 171.5 171.0 153.0 173.0 170.0 167.5 169.5 173.0 152.5 171.5 175.5 168.0 169.5 171.0 176.5 170.0 171.5 160.5 168.5 8.0 11. Denpasar - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 108.6 110.4 118.5 115.0 107.4 101.5 103.0 107.6 100.9 97.9 100.7 101.5 93.0 104.8 100.4 104.0 98.1 99.4 98.2 102.4 100.3 102.9 100.4 96.8 100.6 100.5-0.1 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 106.3 105.2 113.7 104.8 98.7 93.5 97.5 102.2 97.2 92.3 96.5 98.2 86.8 100.0 93.8 96.3 92.0 92.5 94.0 94.6 96.0 99.0 95.7 87.0 93.2 90.7-2.5 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 110.8 115.7 123.3 125.2 116.2 109.5 108.5 113.0 104.7 103.5 104.8 104.8 99.2 109.7 107.0 111.7 104.2 106.4 102.5 110.2 104.5 106.8 105.2 106.7 108.0 110.3 2.3 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 188.0 197.0 188.5 178.5 167.0 182.9 185.0 184.4 177.9 178.0 173.5 172.0 169.0 175.0 182.5 170.4 170.0 173.4 165.5 172.0 174.0 166.5 170.0 169.5 155.5 172.5 17.0 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 196.0 198.0 192.5 175.0 179.0 186.0 189.0 194.0 187.4 186.0 176.0 178.5 181.0 189.0 188.0 178.0 181.0 181.0 180.0 182.0 177.5 179.5 179.5 179.5 177.5 177.5 0.0 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 197.0 195.0 197.0 180.5 185.0 192.0 193.4 197.0 190.5 194.5 179.0 192.0 191.5 192.5 195.5 186.0 188.0 187.4 186.5 188.9 186.9 185.3 184.9 181.5 188.5 184.5-4.0 12. Padang - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 125.2 113.0 106.0 115.6 105.8 107.7 101.4 99.1 101.8 98.1 104.1 89.9 84.4 94.4 97.4 98.6 102.1 106.7 102.2 101.1 103.8 99.3 100.5 93.8 92.0 90.5-1.5 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 118.8 110.8 100.7 112.3 99.7 95.8 91.8 89.1 91.5 91.5 98.2 84.0 75.8 91.2 86.3 91.7 96.0 99.8 93.8 91.0 96.8 97.8 97.5 88.0 86.5 86.3-0.2 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 131.7 115.2 111.3 118.8 111.8 119.5 111.0 109.0 112.0 104.7 110.0 95.9 93.0 97.7 108.5 105.5 108.2 113.5 110.7 111.2 110.8 100.8 103.5 99.7 97.5 94.7-2.8 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 170.4 184.0 182.0 163.5 148.5 157.0 184.9 188.9 189.5 177.5 167.5 178.9 171.5 163.5 161.0 149.5 160.5 164.0 170.0 176.5 161.8 159.5 153.5 165.5 159.5 160.0 0.5 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 184.9 183.5 173.0 167.5 163.0 170.9 179.3 184.3 183.5 186.0 176.5 187.0 175.5 169.8 174.5 174.0 168.5 174.0 173.0 175.0 167.5 176.0 175.0 166.5 174.0 168.5-5.5 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 174.9 182.0 180.0 164.5 165.0 173.9 182.4 183.8 182.9 184.5 175.5 188.5 178.0 175.9 174.0 174.5 173.5 179.0 173.0 180.0 178.5 179.5 186.0 175.5 178.0 177.4-0.6 13. Pontianak - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 133.4 135.1 124.3 133.7 132.6 146.3 135.2 140.5 134.8 109.7 125.1 114.7 115.9 131.3 128.0 113.0 112.6 96.8 104.8 105.8 100.4 111.6 109.0 128.9 119.1 119.4 0.3 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 129.0 129.5 124.2 133.0 127.3 140.5 136.5 138.0 129.7 100.5 120.7 112.0 108.2 124.8 124.2 102.3 103.0 89.7 83.5 91.7 84.9 99.7 101.8 120.0 114.7 113.8-0.9 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 137.8 140.7 124.5 134.3 137.8 152.0 133.8 143.0 139.8 118.8 129.5 117.3 123.7 137.7 131.8 123.7 122.2 104.0 126.0 120.0 115.8 123.5 116.2 137.8 123.5 125.0 1.5 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 161.0 171.0 171.0 160.0 162.0 180.0 181.5 169.0 176.5 158.0 172.0 163.5 157.5 164.5 168.0 162.8 156.5 155.0 135.0 127.5 127.5 122.5 171.5 177.5 143.4 163.0 19.6 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 172.5 179.5 172.0 157.0 158.0 177.0 181.5 178.0 172.5 167.0 168.0 157.0 158.0 160.5 167.5 162.0 138.0 140.5 132.0 116.0 117.5 108.0 174.0 183.0 141.5 164.0 22.5 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 178.0 173.0 163.5 164.0 171.0 182.5 179.5 180.5 180.0 174.0 175.5 162.5 164.5 163.0 178.0 160.5 139.5 137.0 121.0 123.5 113.1 108.0 171.4 181.0 143.5 160.8 17.3 Real Sector Statistics Division 9

Descriptions Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Ags Sep Oct Nov (Nov-Oct) 14. Manado - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 141.0 137.1 135.6 138.9 130.2 138.3 113.6 115.7 110.9 108.3 135.6 137.8 128.8 133.4 140.3 134.7 132.3 134.2 119.2 139.2 139.3 115.4 117.6 118.7 113.3 117.3 4.0 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 148.8 153.7 152.0 155.8 135.0 142.5 114.8 117.5 122.7 115.8 151.3 149.8 142.2 146.5 156.5 150.3 143.3 150.7 119.2 125.5 128.3 103.5 106.2 113.0 109.3 115.8 6.5 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 133.2 120.5 119.2 122.0 125.3 134.2 112.3 113.8 99.2 100.7 119.8 125.8 115.3 120.3 124.0 119.0 121.2 117.7 119.2 152.8 150.2 127.2 129.0 124.3 117.2 118.8 1.6 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 200.0 183.5 176.5 183.5 169.5 190.5 164.5 194.5 183.5 189.0 196.5 195.5 199.0 197.0 193.5 190.5 172.0 152.5 151.5 164.0 188.5 127.5 157.5 187.0 192.0 186.0-6.0 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 200.0 200.0 199.0 195.0 172.5 188.0 168.5 179.0 194.5 188.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 197.0 196.5 200.0 153.5 167.5 175.5 167.0 168.5 183.5 175.5 177.0 1.5 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 200.0 200.0 199.0 196.5 182.5 191.5 164.5 180.0 197.0 193.5 200.0 199.5 200.0 200.0 198.5 197.0 199.5 200.0 158.0 160.5 181.0 160.5 165.0 184.9 176.8 180.0 3.2 15. Mataram - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 127.0 121.1 128.3 128.8 123.5 118.9 114.3 118.2 121.1 124.1 112.1 106.3 113.2 107.3 112.6 122.2 123.8 118.8 112.3 114.0 118.5 118.1 118.6 111.7 115.3 110.4-4.9 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 111.0 108.4 116.0 112.3 109.5 101.0 105.5 104.2 108.2 112.0 102.7 96.7 105.8 99.2 103.0 110.3 114.5 103.7 99.5 102.3 106.8 108.2 104.7 99.3 100.7 93.5-7.2 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 143.0 133.9 140.5 145.2 137.5 136.8 123.0 132.2 134.0 136.2 121.5 115.8 120.5 115.5 122.2 134.0 133.0 134.0 125.0 125.7 130.1 128.0 132.5 124.0 129.8 127.4-2.4 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 179.0 192.0 185.5 165.5 154.3 162.5 173.0 175.5 187.5 146.5 167.5 159.5 166.0 153.0 161.5 155.5 155.8 170.0 168.0 180.0 167.0 163.0 170.5 173.5 170.9 167.0-3.9 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 189.0 196.5 196.5 175.0 163.3 189.5 187.5 181.5 185.5 170.0 179.5 170.5 168.0 163.0 168.5 154.0 166.0 175.0 164.5 162.5 164.5 169.0 167.0 156.5 157.0 174.5 17.5 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 191.5 196.5 199.0 182.5 164.5 192.5 183.5 187.5 188.0 175.0 187.0 171.5 168.0 171.0 176.5 164.5 166.0 176.0 166.0 173.5 164.5 169.5 173.5 179.0 171.5 181.5 10.0 16. Pangkal Pinang - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 121.3 120.8 117.4 110.4 103.3 116.6 91.0 71.2 80.7 101.3 91.2 81.6 91.1 92.8 101.4 103.6 112.9 113.2 121.3 111.3 118.8 89.8 105.7 106.8 103.7 105.8 2.1 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 110.7 116.3 111.7 97.7 88.3 105.8 81.7 59.3 70.5 90.7 82.2 71.7 79.2 78.2 85.0 95.5 99.8 96.8 104.7 102.2 110.8 77.3 89.0 93.7 98.7 97.2-1.5 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 131.9 125.2 123.2 123.2 118.2 127.3 100.3 83.0 90.8 111.8 100.2 91.5 103.1 107.5 117.8 111.7 126.0 129.5 137.8 120.3 126.8 102.2 122.3 119.8 108.7 114.5 5.8 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 195.0 200.0 194.5 188.0 162.5 172.4 178.0 175.5 183.0 181.5 187.5 184.5 162.5 159.5 165.0 158.0 184.5 181.5 163.0 169.2 162.0 159.0 140.5 142.0 138.5 148.5 10.0 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 197.0 199.0 195.5 188.5 175.5 180.4 180.5 176.5 175.5 177.5 185.0 184.5 158.0 156.5 157.5 170.5 183.0 183.5 164.0 163.0 148.0 159.5 141.5 134.0 135.5 147.0 11.5 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 197.0 199.0 199.0 188.5 186.5 189.9 178.0 176.0 174.5 178.0 189.0 164.5 166.8 155.0 164.5 170.0 179.5 185.0 175.5 169.5 165.0 151.5 124.5 130.5 129.0 134.0 5.0 17. Ambon - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 131.8 124.2 120.5 120.6 117.9 112.0 110.0 118.9 116.0 107.7 118.5 111.4 100.2 110.8 109.2 115.1 105.8 104.5 114.8 108.3 114.7 104.3 101.3 114.3 119.8 127.0 7.2 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 129.3 119.2 113.8 112.3 102.8 99.3 99.0 109.2 108.0 97.5 113.7 106.8 97.3 109.2 104.3 95.4 92.5 80.7 93.5 89.0 103.3 98.3 89.7 105.2 104.2 105.7 1.5 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 134.2 129.2 127.2 128.8 133.0 124.7 121.0 128.7 124.0 117.8 123.3 116.0 103.0 112.5 114.0 134.8 119.0 128.3 136.2 127.5 126.0 110.3 112.8 123.5 135.5 148.3 12.8 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 180.5 178.0 174.0 156.5 162.0 164.3 157.0 171.5 166.0 160.5 179.5 184.0 180.0 164.0 169.0 178.1 192.0 185.0 190.0 196.5 197.5 175.5 190.0 192.0 194.0 192.0-2.0 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 166.5 173.5 172.5 168.0 157.5 163.5 157.5 162.5 176.5 167.5 176.5 180.0 182.0 185.5 171.0 181.1 194.0 177.0 188.0 195.5 198.5 183.5 186.5 195.5 194.0 190.5-3.5 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 173.5 166.5 168.3 179.0 171.5 175.0 157.0 167.5 178.5 163.0 174.0 187.0 177.5 200.0 181.5 191.5 195.5 174.0 189.5 195.5 199.0 190.0 187.5 196.0 198.0 196.5-1.5 18. Banten - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 124.5 113.1 112.1 126.5 124.6 118.2 111.3 122.6 117.2 119.3 111.0 105.7 112.9 109.5 114.8 114.4 125.0 116.2 124.4 132.7 143.1 110.1 108.3 114.6 120.7 123.8 3.1 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 114.5 101.8 103.0 112.7 110.2 107.5 101.0 108.8 104.8 110.0 99.3 91.3 103.5 92.2 99.2 102.3 99.3 84.3 98.7 98.8 127.2 93.7 80.0 85.2 87.3 89.7 2.4 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 134.5 124.3 121.2 140.3 139.0 128.8 121.5 136.3 129.5 128.5 122.7 120.0 122.3 126.8 130.5 126.6 150.8 148.0 150.2 166.5 159.0 126.5 136.5 144.0 154.0 157.8 3.8 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 189.0 196.0 191.0 175.0 174.4 191.5 192.0 195.0 188.0 168.5 175.5 180.5 172.0 169.5 189.5 172.5 180.4 182.5 193.0 195.0 162.0 147.0 166.0 185.5 186.0 182.0-4.0 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 184.5 193.0 186.5 171.0 177.0 188.0 185.0 188.0 181.0 174.0 174.0 176.0 177.0 175.5 186.5 167.5 177.5 181.9 162.5 169.0 148.5 141.0 156.5 179.9 177.5 166.5-11.0 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 190.0 191.5 186.5 182.0 185.5 178.0 187.0 180.5 179.5 174.0 181.5 182.5 180.5 180.0 182.0 171.9 172.5 173.0 155.5 170.5 133.7 125.5 153.5 177.5 169.0 157.0-12.0 Real Sector Statistics Division 10

Table 4. CCI, CECI and CEI Described by Respondents Expenditure Descriptions Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov (Nov-Oct) A. Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) - Rp. 1 million - Rp. 2 million 122.2 121.0 120.1 121.6 116.1 116.1 106.7 115.1 109.7 106.3 114.1 102.4 105.1 108.9 110.1 114.4 115.7 109.7 107.4 109.0 113.0 110.8 108.6 112.3 117.2 114.1-3.1 - Rp. 2,1 million - Rp. 3 million 121.3 121.9 118.7 117.5 117.3 118.3 108.0 108.3 105.8 109.5 113.6 102.7 97.8 104.8 108.2 111.6 108.6 110.9 111.0 111.9 115.8 110.2 110.5 107.8 113.1 114.2 1.1 - Rp. 3,1 million - Rp. 4 million 124.6 124.7 123.2 120.6 121.4 117.4 109.0 111.9 112.1 113.1 112.3 100.2 101.2 102.8 108.2 111.9 115.1 109.7 112.2 112.6 114.9 112.8 108.9 108.8 110.1 110.6 0.5 - Rp. 4,1 million - Rp. 5 million 127.1 122.4 116.2 120.9 118.5 117.9 112.6 118.2 113.7 110.2 115.9 100.6 100.7 107.0 110.9 113.8 115.2 112.0 107.9 113.2 112.5 109.6 116.0 106.6 111.7 113.0 1.3 - Over than Rp. 5 million 124.4 125.8 117.1 120.8 120.6 119.8 113.0 114.2 114.3 107.6 108.1 100.4 94.8 102.3 107.1 115.8 108.8 111.2 108.4 114.8 111.0 108.2 111.3 108.0 109.8 110.2 0.4 B. Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) - Rp. 1 million - Rp. 2 million 115.1 115.0 115.0 113.1 107.3 107.5 98.9 105.4 100.4 96.7 104.8 96.1 97.1 101.9 100.5 104.1 106.5 99.8 93.0 95.0 100.5 100.0 97.8 103.0 106.0 100.6-5.4 - Rp. 2,1 million - Rp. 3 million 114.8 116.6 113.9 110.3 108.9 110.8 99.9 100.0 96.5 101.3 104.9 95.3 88.9 97.2 99.6 102.0 98.7 98.4 98.0 97.1 105.4 99.9 96.6 96.2 100.9 103.1 2.2 - Rp. 3,1 million - Rp. 4 million 119.3 120.7 118.1 111.6 112.5 109.8 101.7 103.4 103.1 103.9 104.4 91.8 92.4 93.9 97.8 100.5 106.1 99.9 99.8 98.7 103.5 103.8 94.3 95.6 98.7 100.5 1.8 - Rp. 4,1 million - Rp. 5 million 121.6 118.7 113.0 114.4 109.7 109.9 108.4 110.3 107.3 100.6 109.4 93.2 93.3 99.6 99.2 104.9 105.6 103.2 96.9 102.4 102.7 100.3 102.6 98.2 102.5 102.6 0.1 - Over than Rp. 5 million 120.8 119.5 111.3 112.2 110.5 111.7 104.4 104.0 106.3 99.4 99.9 92.1 83.4 89.5 93.7 103.8 99.2 102.8 97.5 102.8 99.8 98.0 100.9 97.7 94.3 96.7 2.4 C. Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) - Rp. 1 million - Rp. 2 million 129.3 126.9 125.1 130.1 124.9 124.6 114.4 124.8 118.9 115.9 123.3 108.7 113.0 115.8 119.7 124.6 124.9 119.5 121.7 123.0 125.4 121.6 119.4 121.6 128.3 127.5-0.8 - Rp. 2,1 million - Rp. 3 million 127.8 127.1 123.5 124.7 125.7 125.7 116.0 116.5 115.1 117.6 122.3 110.1 106.6 112.4 116.8 121.1 118.5 123.4 123.9 126.6 126.2 120.4 124.4 119.3 125.2 125.3 0.1 - Rp. 3,1 million - Rp. 4 million 129.8 128.6 128.2 129.6 130.3 125.0 116.3 120.3 121.1 122.3 120.1 108.5 109.9 111.7 118.6 123.2 124.1 119.5 124.6 126.5 126.3 121.7 123.5 121.9 121.5 120.7-0.8 - Rp. 4,1 million - Rp. 5 million 132.5 126.1 119.3 127.3 127.3 125.8 116.8 126.0 120.1 119.7 122.4 108.0 108.0 114.4 122.5 122.7 124.7 120.7 118.9 123.9 122.2 118.9 129.4 115.0 120.9 123.3 2.4 - Over than Rp. 5 million 129.9 132.0 122.8 129.3 130.6 127.9 121.6 124.4 122.2 115.8 116.3 108.6 106.2 115.0 120.4 127.8 118.3 119.5 119.3 126.7 122.2 118.3 121.6 118.3 125.3 123.7-1.6 Real Sector Statistics Division 11

Table 5. Household Income Allocation Described by Respondents Expenditure DESCRIPTION Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov (Nov-Oct) Total IDR 1-2 million IDR 2-3 million IDR 3-4 million IDR 4-5 million > IDR 5 million - Consumption 68.9 69.1 69.2 65.8 65.5 66.6 65.6 67.7 67.1 67.2 66.3 68.5 68.2 68.4 69.0 68.6 69.1 69.5 68.8 69.6 70.4 69.1 70.9 70.4 71.0 72.0 1.0 - Loan Repayments 12.8 13.0 13.0 14.2 14.3 13.5 14.5 13.0 13.2 13.6 13.5 12.7 13.0 13.1 12.9 12.1 11.8 12.0 12.2 11.9 11.3 12.4 12.4 11.9 11.6 11.5-0.1 - Savings 18.3 17.9 17.7 20.0 20.2 19.9 19.9 19.3 19.7 19.2 20.3 18.8 18.7 18.5 18.1 19.3 19.1 18.5 19.0 18.4 18.3 18.5 16.7 17.8 17.3 16.5-0.8 - Consumption 70.6 71.3 71.6 69.3 68.2 65.2 67.6 70.9 69.3 68.2 66.6 69.5 69.7 70.8 72.4 70.4 71.8 73.0 71.2 71.9 72.6 71.4 75.7 74.6 73.0 75.7 2.7 - Loan Repayments 11.2 11.4 10.1 11.0 12.8 14.6 12.1 10.8 10.2 11.5 12.4 10.7 9.6 11.6 10.2 9.8 10.1 9.6 9.4 11.0 9.9 11.0 10.4 10.3 10.7 9.2-1.5 - Savings 18.2 17.2 18.2 19.7 19.0 20.2 20.3 18.3 20.5 20.4 21.0 19.7 20.7 17.6 17.5 19.8 18.2 17.4 19.3 17.1 17.4 17.6 13.9 15.0 16.3 15.1-1.2 - Consumption 70.7 71.5 70.9 68.2 65.2 63.2 65.9 68.7 68.7 68.5 67.5 69.1 68.0 68.9 69.8 70.0 70.3 69.7 69.3 71.1 71.4 70.4 71.1 71.0 72.4 72.0-0.4 - Loan Repayments 12.3 11.8 12.2 12.8 14.6 16.6 14.0 12.5 12.5 12.6 12.9 12.0 13.1 12.7 12.1 11.5 11.1 11.4 11.6 11.5 10.1 11.2 12.3 11.3 11.0 11.5 0.5 - Savings 17.0 16.7 16.9 19.0 20.2 20.2 20.1 18.8 18.9 18.8 19.6 18.9 19.0 18.4 18.0 18.5 18.6 18.9 19.1 17.4 18.5 18.4 16.6 17.7 16.7 16.4-0.3 - Consumption 66.5 67.4 68.8 65.2 63.2 60.0 66.3 66.5 66.3 66.1 66.1 68.8 68.6 67.3 68.8 67.9 68.6 69.2 68.0 67.4 69.2 68.2 70.0 68.9 69.3 70.2 0.9 - Loan Repayments 13.9 14.3 14.1 14.6 16.6 19.5 13.6 13.7 13.6 14.1 13.5 13.4 13.4 13.5 13.5 12.6 12.4 12.0 12.7 13.3 12.6 13.7 13.2 12.9 13.4 13.0-0.4 - Savings 19.6 18.4 17.2 20.2 20.2 20.5 20.2 19.8 20.1 19.8 20.4 17.9 17.9 19.2 17.6 19.5 19.0 18.9 19.3 19.3 18.2 18.1 16.8 18.2 17.3 16.9-0.4 - Consumption 64.5 65.2 65.1 63.2 60.0 64.5 64.1 64.0 62.9 64.9 63.2 65.0 65.4 65.0 66.9 66.7 65.9 66.4 62.8 67.9 66.7 67.3 66.7 65.4 66.1 68.1 2.0 - Loan Repayments 15.0 15.6 16.0 16.6 19.5 13.2 15.8 14.9 16.9 14.3 16.2 15.4 14.8 15.9 14.5 12.6 14.8 14.0 15.0 13.7 13.2 14.5 14.8 14.0 14.6 13.3-1.3 - Savings 20.5 19.2 18.9 20.2 20.5 22.4 20.1 21.1 20.2 20.8 20.6 19.6 19.7 19.1 18.6 20.7 19.3 19.5 22.2 18.5 20.1 18.2 18.5 20.6 19.3 18.6-0.7 - Consumption 61.5 62.4 61.3 60.0 64.5 64.7 58.7 60.5 58.7 60.6 61.8 63.0 64.7 63.0 64.1 59.1 61.5 62.2 62.7 60.7 61.9 61.0 65.2 63.0 65.8 65.5-0.3 - Loan Repayments 16.5 17.9 20.1 19.5 13.2 15.8 20.9 17.2 18.1 17.9 16.4 16.8 18.1 18.4 16.9 18.5 16.6 18.0 17.3 18.7 18.7 19.9 17.1 17.5 15.8 15.0-0.8 - Savings 22.1 19.7 18.6 20.5 22.4 19.5 20.3 22.2 23.1 21.4 21.7 20.2 17.2 18.5 19.0 22.4 21.8 19.9 20.0 20.6 19.4 19.2 17.8 19.5 18.4 19.5 1.1 Table 6. Saving and Debt Expectation Index for The Next 6 Months DESCRIPTIONS Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov (Nov-Oct) Saving Expectation Index for the next 6 months 136.6 137.6 131.4 137.3 134.4 136.9 127.5 129.0 126.9 123.6 129.7 121.3 120.7 126.8 129.2 132.8 131.8 130.5 122.8 126.2 123.3 123.4 128.3 123.0 127.5 126.5-1.0 Debt Expectation Index for the next 6 months 159.8 163.5 158.1 156.4 161.9 155.5 154.6 159.7 156.6 153.1 156.1 159.0 158.5 161.7 159.5 157.0 165.0 158.6 160.0 161.1 160.2 163.7 161.6 164.6 162.1 162.4 0.3 Real Sector Statistics Division 12