SCOR s success is based on a shareholder-centric approach Denis Kessler Chairman and CEO

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Transcription:

Bank of America Merrill Lynch September 26, 2018, London SCOR s success is based on a shareholder-centric approach Denis Kessler Chairman and CEO

Article in the September Reactions issue during the RVS in Monte-Carlo 2

3 BOAML Conference 2018 1 SCOR consistently creates superior shareholder value 2 In a positive environment for reinsurers, SCOR has unique qualities that create additional value for shareholders 3 Under current IFRS, SCOR considers that it has considerable unrecognised value that could be unlocked in the future 3

SCOR sticks to its core principles to deliver superior shareholder value Consistent strategy SCOR s execution of Vision in Action is on track and the Group successfully delivers on its targets quarter after quarter Superior risk management SCOR practices superior risk management, with the continued obsession to detect and monitor emerging and future risks while capturing business opportunities Strong diversification SCOR leverages a unique balance between Life and P&C underwriting risks to ensure a high diversification benefit delivers value Active capital management Go-to market approach Nimble organization SCOR maximizes value creation through an active capital management strategy SCOR benefits from strong local teams with expert knowledge of all markets in which they operate SCOR leverages an agile and flat organization to rapidly seize opportunities from market changes, with efficient decision processes and quick execution Investment in technology SCOR invests in technology to enhance operations and capture market opportunities 4

SCOR consistently generates strong profitability and attractive return to shareholders despite severe shocks An attractive RoE and dividend yield over the last 10 years EUR 2.6bn dividends paid since 2006 despite severe shocks 10-year average RoE 9%-10% 13.7% 1) 10-year average dividend yield 5.6% Financial crisis Floods in Australia, earthquake in New Zealand, Thai floods and Tsunami in Japan Hurricane Sandy Hurricanes Harvey, Irma, Maria and Mexican earthquakes 1.40 1.50 1.65 1.65 9.0% 10.2% 10.2% 8.5% 9.1% 11.7% 9.9% 10.6% 9.5% 10.1% 2) 1.00 1.10 1.10 1.20 1.30 108% 0.80 0.80 0.80 5.4% 6.1% 6.3% 6.0% 6.1% 5.5% 5.7% 4.7% 5.6% 4.5% 4.7% 37% 35% 45% 48% 48% 62% 53% 44% 51% 44% 51% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 RoE (%) Dividend Yield (%) Distribution rate (%) DPS 1) Normalized RoE for nat cat, reserve release and WTC subrogation 2) Normalised RoE for Q3 2017 nat cat 5

SCOR creates long term value for its shareholders with the total return with dividends reinvested of 266% over the past 10 years SCOR total return with dividends reinvested in EUR 3-Sep-2018 Total return: 59.10 +266% 3-Sep-2008 Share price: 16.14 Sep-08 Sep-10 Sep-12 Sep-14 Sep-16 Sep-18 Source: Factset as at September 3, 2018 6

SCOR leverages on its well-established solvency scale to ensure that excess capital is returned to shareholders SCOR s solvency stands marginally above the optimal range SCOR s EUR 200 million share buy-back is being executed The merger of the 3SEs could generate up to EUR 200m benefit ~221% Solvency ratio at the end of H1 2018 300% SR 220% SR 185% SR 150% SR 125% SR Over capitalised Sub-Optimal + TARGET OPTIMAL RANGE Comfort Sub-Optimal - Alert The share buy-back launched in July 2017 for up to EUR 200 million is based on robust underlying fundamentals Since its launch, 50% of the current share buy-back program has already been executed The current share buy-back program expires at the end of July 2019 SCOR seeks to optimize its legal entities structure under Solvency II by merging SCOR Global P&C SE and SCOR Global Life SE into SCOR SE The SE merger is on track and is expected to be completed by March 31, 2019 The potential benefit could reach up to EUR 200 million of solvency capital and a significant operational simplification 100% SR GROUP SCR 7

8 BOAML Conference 2018 1 SCOR consistently creates superior shareholder value 2 In a positive environment for reinsurers, SCOR has unique qualities that create additional value for shareholders 3 Under current IFRS, SCOR considers that it has considerable unrecognised value that could be unlocked in the future 8

SCOR is uniquely positioned to create additional value in the positive long-term trends that the (re)insurance industry offers Four positive dynamics are currently benefitting the reinsurance industry SCOR is ideally positioned to successfully take advantage from these trends Higher demand for risk cover Protection gap to be filled in both developed and emerging countries SCOR leverages its recognized Tier 1 franchise to pursue its profitable growth expansion 2018 P&C pricing improving SCOR builds from a strong base to capitalize on industry trends and maximize the advantage of being a large global (re)insurer Interest rates cycle reverting SCOR s invested assets portfolio is well positioned to fully benefit from the rising interest rates cycle Technologies transforming the (re)insurance ecosystem SCOR harnesses technological developments to optimize operations and surfs on the efficiency frontier 9

SCOR powers ahead by leveraging its 3-engine strategy to accelerate its profitable and disciplined growth Regaining position in U.S. P&C consistent with other markets Expanding Life footprint in APAC at a fast pace Improving contribution from invested assets portfolio U.S. Treaties and Specialties (Earned Premium in USD bn) 1) 0.6 0.6 CAGR 16% 0.7 1.0 1.1 Protection Solution (EUR in bn) Income yield development 3) 593 CAGR 29% 733 975 ~2.5% 2.3% ~2.3% 2.0% 2.1% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Steadily regaining a position in the U.S. (#10) consistent with SCOR s other markets (#4) SCOR Global P&C Combined ratio assumptions ~95% - 96% 2016 2017 2018E Since 2016, consistently improving business capability ratings and now ranked #1 as perceived by target clients 2) SCOR Global Life Technical margins assumptions ~6.8%-7.0% 2016 2017 H1 2018 2018E 2018e 2019E 2019e Since 2016, delivering a continuing increase in the income yield SCOR Global Investment RoIA assumptions In the upper part of 2.5%-3.2% range, under current market conditions Source: IR Day 2018 and 2017 1) Excluding Lloyd s, MGAs, and Alternative Solutions 2) NMG Consulting Asia Pacific Life & Health Reinsurance Study 2017 Business Capability Index - SCOR Target market 3) Under current market conditions 10

11 BOAML Conference 2018 1 SCOR consistently creates superior shareholder value 2 In a positive environment for reinsurers, SCOR has unique qualities that create additional value for shareholders 3 Under current IFRS, SCOR considers that it has considerable unrecognised value that could be unlocked in the future 11

The full economic value of SCOR and notably of its Life book is not properly recognized by current accounting standards IFRS 4 does not reflect SCOR s full economic value but this should be better reflected under IFRS 17 1 IFRS 4 does not recognize SCOR s full value 2 Most of the EUR 1.4bn unrecognized value is related to Life business 3 Solvency II conservatism as it is assessed by the industry: Risk margin not fully diversified Cost of capital should be significantly lower 4 SCOR s future new business is driven by the strength of the franchise 6 203 ~ 33 per share 1 389 ~ 7 per share 7 592 ~ 40 per share Illustration: Reduction of 200bps in the cost of capital additional value of ~ 1bn, i.e.~ 5 per share Illustration: Conservatively taking into account only 5 years and a constant 300m VNB 2) and applying a discount rate of 8% additional value of ~ 1.2bn, i.e.~ 6 per share H1 2018 IFRS Equity Solvency II adjustments 1) H1 2018 Solvency II Net Asset Value Solvency II conservatism Franchise value Full economic value Strategic value Value of in-force Value of future new business 1) Solvency II adjustments include revaluation of technical balances, risk margin, goodwill removal and others 2) Value of New Business 12

SCOR is ideally positioned to continue delivering superior shareholder value is on track to deliver on its Vision in Action strategic plan holds considerable unrecognized value is set to continue delivering a very attractive and sustainable return Sep-08 Sep-10 Sep-12 Sep-14 Sep-16 Sep-18 13

SCOR benefits from a best-in-class rating with all agencies giving a positive assessment of its current financial strength, capitalization and franchise Best-in-class rating Strong capitalization Strong franchise aa- 1) Stable outlook AA- Stable outlook SCOR s balance sheet strength is underpinned by its consolidated risk-adjusted capitalisation, [ ], which remained at the strongest level as at year-end 2017 Very strong business profile within the global reinsurance sector, very strong capitalisation and consistent operating results SCOR is a top tier global reinsurer, with excellent product and geographical diversification. The group s internationally recognised franchise, long-standing client relationships and technical expertise allow SCOR to effectively manage local and global reinsurance market cycles. Top-tier reinsurer with the ability to offer a wide variety of reinsurance products around the globe. ( ) It has grown materially recently through a combination of acquisitions and organic growth. Consequently, Fitch views the reinsurer as having a very strong business profile. Aa3 Stable outlook Consistently good profitability with a very low level of volatility, strong financial flexibility SCOR's market position and brand is viewed as very good. SCOR is one of the top five global reinsurers in terms of premiums written AA- Stable outlook Extremely strong capital adequacy [ ] Strong financial flexibility, indicated by access to a broad range of sources of capital and liquidity Very strong business risk profile, with a leading franchise in the U.S. Life reinsurance market and a strong market position in various significant markets around the world, in both Life and P&C reinsurance 1) Long-Term Issuer Credit Ratings (ICR) aa-, Financial Strength Rating (FSR) of A+ under AM BEST scale 14

Disclaimer SCOR does not communicate "profit forecasts" in the sense of Article 2 of (EC) Regulation n 809/2004 of the European Commission. Thus, any forward-looking statements contained in this communication should not be held as corresponding to such profit forecasts. Information in this communication may include "forward-looking statements", including but not limited to statements that are predictions of or indicate future events, trends, plans or objectives, based on certain assumptions and include any statement which does not directly relate to a historical fact or current fact. Forward-looking statements are typically identified by words or phrases such as, without limitation, "anticipate", "assume", "believe", "continue", "estimate", "expect", "foresee", "intend", "may increase" and "may fluctuate" and similar expressions or by future or conditional verbs such as, without limitations, "will", "should", "would" and "could." Undue reliance should not be placed on such statements, because, by their nature, they are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, which may cause actual results, on the one hand, to differ from any results expressed or implied by the present communication, on the other hand. Please refer to the 2017 reference document filed on February 23, 2018, under number D.18-0072 with the French Autorité des marchés financiers (AMF) posted on SCOR s website www.scor.com (the Document de Référence ), for a description of certain important factors, risks and uncertainties that may affect the business of the SCOR Group. As a result of the extreme and unprecedented volatility and disruption of the current global financial crisis, SCOR is exposed to significant financial, capital market and other risks, including movements in interest rates, credit spreads, equity prices, and currency movements, changes in rating agency policies or practices, and the lowering or loss of financial strength or other ratings. The Group s financial information is prepared on the basis of IFRS and interpretations issued and approved by the European Union. This financial information does not constitute a set of financial statements for an interim period as defined by IAS 34 Interim Financial Reporting. 15