PESSIMISTIC OPTIMISTIC CONSUMER SURVEY December 2016 Bank Indonesia Consumer Survey confirmed that consumer confidence in economy conditions persisted in December 2016. Accordingly, the Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) remained in optimistic territory (>100) at 115.4, despite reducing slightly from 115.9 reported the month earlier. On a quarterly basis, the average CCI recorded at 116.0, increased from 112.5 in Q3/2016, or higher than 103.5 in Q4/2016. Respondents expected inflationary pressures to decrease in March 2017, with the 3-month Price Expectations Index (PEI) down 2.1 points on the month earlier to 162.8. Decreasing the 3-month PEI is expected to affecting most on clothing as well as foodstuffs. Respondents predicted a smaller increase in the level of savings and position of debt for the next six months (June 2017) compared to last month. Consumer Confidence Index Consumer were more optimistic in Q4/2016 Bank Indonesia Consumer Survey confirmed that consumers remain upbeat on economic conditions in December 2016, despite a moderate dip recorded in the CCI from 115.9 to 115.4. Respondents blamed the slight drop (1.0 points) in the Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) to 128.0, contrasting the 0.1 points gain in the Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) to 102.9 (Graph 1). Graph 1. Consumer Confidence Index (Index, weighted average of 18 cities) 140.0 130.0 Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) Average CCI (quarterly) 120.0 110.0 112.5 115.9 116.0 115.4 100.0 90.0 80.0 Effect of fuel price reduction Effect of fuel subsidy reduction 106.7 103.5 Effect of fuel, gas, and electricity price reduction Effect of fuel price reduction 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2015 2016 Respondents in 10 cities reported a lower CCI in December 2016, most notably in Makassar (-13.9 points) and Ambon (-10.5 points), while those spending Rp2-3 milion per month reported the largest CCI decline. Methodology The Consumer Survey has been conducted monthly since October 1999. Moreover, since January 2007 the Survey has involved 4,600 households as respondents (stratified random sampling) in 18 cities, namely Jakarta, Bandung, Semarang, Surabaya, Medan, Makassar, Bandar Lampung, Palembang, Banjarmasin, Padang, Pontianak, Samarinda, Manado, Denpasar, Mataram, Pangkal Pinang, Ambon and Banten. The index of each city is calculated using the balanced score method (net balance + 100), which indicates that a score of 100 is considered optimistic and an index of below 100 is pessimistic. Real Sector Statistics Division 1
PESSIMISTIC OPTIMISTIC Consumer Survey On a quarterly basis, the average CCI stood at 116.0 in the fourth quarter of 2016, rise from 112.5 in Q3/2016, or higher than 103.5 Q4/2016. The increasing CCI is driven by all components (Graph 2). Graph 2. Quarterly Consumer Confidence Index by Components Current Economic Condition Index Consumers became upbeat on current economic conditions in December 2016. Respondents perceived more promising current economic conditions in December 2016 compared to the month earlier, indicated by a 0.1 points rise in the CECI to 102.9 during the reporting period. The gains were reflected in the current income index and the job availability index, rising by 0.9 points and 0.8 points touched the level of 117.9 and 88.6 respectively. In contrast, the conditions for buying durable goods index recorded decline 1.4 points in December 2016 (Graph 3). Graph 3. Current Economic Condition Index by Components (Index) 130 120 110 119.1 117.0 117.9 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 100 90 80 89.0 87.8 88.6 101.6 103.5 102.1 70 60 Current Incomes Job Availability Buying Durable Goods Conditions Real Sector Statistics Division 2
PESSIMISTIC OPTIMISTIC Consumer Survey Respondents in 9 cities were more optimistic on prevailing economic conditions, most significantly in Pontianak (17.2 points) and Banten (16.0 points). Described by households spending level, those spending Rp1-2 milion per month confirmed the largest CECI increases (Table 4). Consumer Expectation Index Looking forward, consumers were less optimistic on economic conditions in the next six months. Respondents were less optimistic on economic conditions in the next 6 months. Respondents cited a deceleration on future economic condition for the pessimism. Accordingly, the CEI was observed to decline 1.0 points on the month earlier to 128.0 in December 2016. All components contributed to the CEI decline. The business conditions index for the next six months recorded fell 2.7 points to 132.3, while the income expectation index decreased 0.2 points to 141.2 and the job availability index dropped 0.1 points to 110.4 (Graph 4). Graph 4. Component of Consumer Expectation Index by Components (Index) 150 140 130 120 110 100 140.5 141.4 141.2 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 136.2 135.0 132.3 114.5 110.5 110.4 90 80 Incomes Expectation Job Availability Expectation Business Condition Expectation Regionally, respondents in 8 cities confirmed a decline in the CEI during December 2016, particularly in Banten (-29,5 points) and Makassar (-11,6 points). According to the consumer spending level, households with spending Rp2-3 milion per month noted the sharpest CEI decline (Table 4). Price Expectations Index Consumers predicted inflationary pressures to ease in March 2017. Respondents expected inflationary pressures to ease in March 2017, with the 3-month Price Expectation Index (PEI) falling from 164.9 to 162.8 (Graph 5). Respondents expected inflationary pressures to diminish significantly on clothings as well as foodstuffs. Conversely, respondents predicted inflationary pressure to accumulate in the next six month (June 2017) afected by demand spike during holly fasting month and welcoming Eid ul Fitr. Hightening pressure on pricess is reflected by Real Sector Statistics Division 3
Consumer Survey an increase in the 6-month PEI from 163.5 on the month earlier to 171.6 (Graph 6). Graph 5. Price Expectation Index for the next 3 months 200 (Index, weighted average of 18 cities) ( % ) 8.0 190 6.0 180 4.0 170 165.6 164.9 2.0 160 162.8 0.0 150-2.0 140 1112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 2013 2015 2016 2017 Cumulative inflation in 3 months (right axis) Price Expectation Index 3 months ahead (left axis) -4.0 Graph 6. Price Expectation Index for the next 6 months (Index, weighted average of 18 cities) ( % ) 200 8.0 190 6.0 180 171.6 4.0 170 160 163.5 158.3 2.0 150 1112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 2013 2015 2016 2017 Cumulative inflation in 6 months (right axis) Price Expectation Index 6 months ahead (left axis) 0.0 Consumer Financial Conditions Congruous with the observed decrease in CCI, the average propensity to consume ratio was observed to decrease 2.2% to 69.8% in December 2016. In contrast, the debt to-income ratio and savings-to-income ratio fell 1.5% and 0.7% respectively on the previous period to 13.0% and 17.2% (Graph 7). Real Sector Statistics Division 4
Consumer Survey Graph 6. Distribution of Household Income Allocation (%) (%) 30 80 72.0 25 70 71.0 69.8 20 15 17.3 16.5 17.2 11.6 11.5 13.0 60 50 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2015 2016 Loan Repayments Savings Consumption (rhs) 40 Consumers predicted a smaller increase in the level of savings for the next six months compared to last month. Respondents predicted a smaller increase in the level of saving in the six months compared to last month, indicated by a decrease in the 6-month savings expectation index of 0.3 points to 126.2. On the other hand, the 6-month debt expectation also decrease 0.2 point to 162.2 (graph 8). Graph 7. Saving and Debt Expectation Index for The Next 6 Months (Index) 170 162.4 160 150 162.1 162.2 140 130 120 110 127.5 126.5 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 2015 2016 2017 126.2 Saving Expectation Index for the next 6 months Debt Expectation Index for the next 6 months Real Sector Statistics Division 5
Table 1. Consumer Confidence and Price Expectations (Index) Descriptions 2015 2016 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec (Dec-Nov) A. Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 120.1 116.5 120.2 120.2 116.9 107.4 112.8 111.3 109.9 112.6 97.5 99.3 103.7 107.5 112.6 110.0 109.8 109.0 112.1 113.7 114.2 113.3 110.0 116.8 115.9 115.4-0.5 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 114.1 110.2 109.7 110.3 107.5 98.9 102.6 100.3 98.8 101.2 87.8 87.5 92.6 94.0 99.9 98.7 96.6 94.7 96.5 99.9 101.2 97.2 96.0 103.2 102.8 102.9 0.1 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 126.1 122.8 130.7 130.2 126.2 115.9 122.9 122.4 120.9 124.0 107.2 111.2 114.8 121.0 125.4 121.3 123.1 123.2 127.7 127.6 127.1 129.5 124.0 130.4 129.0 128.0-1.0 Current Economic Condition Index - Current Incomes 128.1 123.8 124.5 124.5 124.8 118.2 120.9 120.5 114.6 121.6 108.1 106.7 109.3 112.3 117.7 120.0 115.5 110.9 114.8 116.2 119.5 117.4 116.5 119.1 117.0 117.9 0.9 - Employment Conditions 103.2 100.5 96.5 95.6 93.5 84.3 88.5 86.1 84.9 85.0 68.6 66.8 76.8 78.5 88.0 81.9 79.3 80.0 80.7 87.0 85.8 79.0 79.5 89.0 87.8 88.6 0.8 - Buying Durable Goods Conditions 110.9 106.4 108.2 110.8 104.2 94.3 98.5 94.3 97.0 97.1 86.7 88.9 91.7 91.2 93.8 94.2 95.0 93.2 94.0 96.3 98.3 95.3 92.1 101.6 103.5 102.1-1.4 Consumer Expectation Index - Current Incomes Expectation 135.5 133.2 143.4 144.1 141.9 135.1 139.5 138.7 137.7 143.4 128.8 131.0 133.1 139.6 143.0 141.1 138.6 137.7 141.3 138.4 139.2 142.0 138.9 140.5 141.4 141.2-0.2 - Employment Conditions Expectation 116.1 113.9 114.7 113.6 110.5 101.7 107.5 105.9 104.7 107.3 85.7 92.4 96.8 103.5 105.0 98.4 102.7 105.0 110.8 115.6 110.5 111.1 104.7 114.5 110.5 110.4-0.1 - Business Activities Expectation 126.6 121.3 133.9 132.7 126.2 111.1 121.9 122.5 120.4 121.3 106.9 110.2 114.4 120.0 128.1 124.3 128.1 126.9 130.9 128.7 131.7 135.3 128.3 136.2 135.0 132.3-2.7 B. Price Expectations Index - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 184.7 172.5 150.6 142.5 168.8 179.8 173.9 162.0 144.4 155.0 164.5 151.7 152.3 160.6 158.1 164.4 171.4 174.0 171.3 156.4 143.7 151.1 168.7 165.6 164.9 162.8-2.1 by group: - Foodstuff 184.2 172.8 153.0 146.4 171.2 180.7 175.2 163.3 145.3 156.1 166.7 155.1 154.5 162.1 156.4 168.2 177.8 179.9 173.8 158.0 144.9 157.6 173.6 168.7 170.4 169.4-1.0 - Food, beverage, cigarettes, and tobacco 179.4 170.4 148.8 144.7 167.6 173.8 167.2 157.1 142.2 150.2 158.3 149.5 149.7 155.8 157.6 164.5 171.9 173.0 166.4 156.4 145.3 154.6 171.2 164.4 165.4 165.3-0.1 - Housing, electricity, gas, and fuel 182.5 169.8 152.6 145.9 166.4 177.3 169.8 159.6 147.1 151.0 154.4 147.2 149.6 158.0 148.5 149.4 151.0 136.1 146.7 149.2 144.5 145.3 152.4 154.3 158.5 158.0-0.5 - Clothing 157.6 152.2 135.0 130.7 149.1 158.6 154.6 144.1 132.9 133.9 139.5 133.0 134.4 136.6 140.2 139.8 147.1 151.6 145.7 134.8 125.7 135.0 138.7 138.0 139.0 137.8-1.2 - Health 151.2 145.3 129.3 125.3 138.4 146.8 142.5 135.9 128.8 129.6 135.6 129.4 129.9 133.7 133.7 137.4 136.7 137.2 135.8 129.2 127.5 135.0 138.1 137.4 136.3 135.7-0.6 - Transportation, communication, and financial servic 174.7 167.2 146.4 135.9 158.0 171.9 163.3 153.6 142.8 144.0 150.9 143.4 142.9 149.6 142.5 148.2 149.5 143.3 140.1 139.6 137.4 138.2 142.7 142.7 142.8 142.2-0.6 - Education, recreation, and sports 155.6 150.8 136.1 130.9 144.7 153.9 153.1 147.3 138.0 140.7 147.0 138.1 139.7 146.1 146.6 148.7 150.0 150.0 150.2 146.1 144.6 144.1 148.7 147.7 146.5 146.0-0.5 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 183.5 173.5 171.3 162.7 167.8 173.8 171.3 172.9 162.1 163.6 162.8 157.4 160.5 173.8 169.2 170.7 164.2 157.7 164.9 162.1 155.2 158.9 161.7 158.3 163.5 171.6 8.1 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 183.2 178.4 169.4 169.1 173.2 177.0 177.0 175.9 171.1 171.4 168.1 164.0 169.0 176.2 168.3 173.3 171.5 165.4 168.1 165.5 164.1 165.0 174.0 170.3 167.1 169.0 1.9 Real Sector Statistics Division 6
Table 2. Respondent Figures (percentages) 2015 2016 Descriptions Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Gender - Male 49.0 49.5 48.2 47.8 49.1 46.8 48.9 46.1 45.6 46.2 48.0 47.1 47.9 47.6 46.1 46.6 48.1 46.9 43.9 43.6 44.7 44.7 46.6 45.8 45.5 45.1 - Female 51.0 50.5 51.8 52.2 50.9 53.2 51.1 53.9 54.4 53.8 52.0 52.9 52.1 52.4 53.9 53.4 51.9 53.1 56.1 56.4 55.3 55.3 53.4 54.2 54.5 54.9 Household Expenses - Rp. 1 million - Rp. 2 million 29.1 25.2 23.6 24.0 25.6 26.8 25.6 22.9 25.3 22.7 22.6 24.3 25.1 25.4 24.9 24.2 23.8 22.9 23.2 22.6 22.8 23.1 23.8 26.1 23.4 22.8 - Rp. 2,1 million - Rp. 3 million 30.1 32.2 29.2 29.4 31.2 30.7 30.8 30.9 32.1 32.5 32.5 32.1 32.1 30.4 33.6 31.6 32.6 34.4 33.7 34.7 35.3 35.0 33.7 32.0 32.7 32.0 - Rp. 3,1 million - Rp. 4 million 22.0 23.5 23.0 22.9 21.6 19.5 21.5 22.9 20.4 21.3 22.6 21.4 20.9 21.4 21.3 21.6 21.6 22.0 22.7 23.6 21.9 22.5 23.6 21.3 22.8 23.7 - Rp. 4,1 million - Rp. 5 million 10.7 9.6 12.1 12.1 11.5 10.9 10.7 10.9 10.5 11.6 11.1 9.9 10.0 10.6 9.8 10.7 9.8 10.1 9.7 10.0 9.2 9.8 9.4 9.9 10.6 11.2 - Over than Rp. 5 million 8.1 9.4 12.2 11.6 10.1 12.0 11.4 12.4 11.7 11.9 11.2 12.3 11.9 12.2 10.4 11.8 12.3 10.6 10.7 9.1 10.8 9.6 9.4 10.7 10.6 10.4 Ages - 20-30 years 30.6 30.7 31.0 28.1 32.8 30.2 32.1 29.6 28.3 30.4 31.8 28.0 31.1 29.3 27.9 30.5 30.1 28.5 30.0 28.9 28.8 29.0 30.3 30.4 28.0 29.4-31-40 years 29.2 30.1 30.6 29.8 29.7 30.2 29.5 30.7 31.8 29.7 29.3 31.4 30.4 31.9 31.6 30.7 29.6 28.5 30.0 29.6 29.7 29.9 29.0 30.1 30.4 29.9-41-50 years 23.8 23.2 22.7 26.0 22.6 24.0 22.5 23.8 22.8 22.6 21.9 23.9 22.9 22.1 22.8 21.5 23.6 25.1 22.8 23.6 22.9 22.9 22.4 22.8 23.2 22.9-51-60 years 12.3 11.9 11.3 11.4 11.2 11.2 11.7 11.4 12.9 12.7 12.1 12.0 10.9 11.8 12.8 12.4 11.6 13.1 11.6 12.8 13.6 11.9 12.6 12.0 12.4 11.7-60 years above 4.1 4.0 4.3 4.7 3.7 4.3 4.2 4.5 4.2 4.6 5.0 4.7 4.7 4.9 4.9 4.9 5.1 4.8 5.5 5.1 5.1 6.3 5.7 4.6 5.9 6.1 Educational Level - High School 60.4 61.3 59.5 58.9 59.5 61.0 62.0 62.7 62.4 60.1 61.4 65.1 63.5 63.4 63.3 63.7 66.7 67.4 67.0 68.0 66.2 66.6 64.3 63.6 64.0 64.5 - Diploma 9.7 9.2 9.9 10.1 9.2 8.5 8.9 8.9 9.8 9.2 9.2 9.8 9.5 10.3 10.6 9.4 8.8 8.2 8.4 9.5 8.2 8.3 9.1 9.2 9.1 9.3 - University 28.1 27.4 28.0 28.7 29.2 27.8 26.7 26.5 25.2 28.0 27.6 22.2 24.4 23.7 23.3 24.3 22.0 22.1 22.6 20.2 22.6 23.0 24.2 25.1 24.6 23.8 - Graduate/Post Graduate 1.8 2.1 2.7 2.3 2.1 2.7 2.4 2.0 2.7 2.6 1.8 2.8 2.6 2.5 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.3 2.0 2.3 3.0 2.2 2.5 2.1 2.3 2.4 Real Sector Statistics Division 7
Table 3. CCI and CEI in 18 Cities Surveyed Descriptions 2015 2016 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Ags Sep Oct Nov Dec (Dec-Nov) 1. DKI Jakarta - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 109.1 105.6 105.8 104.7 101.4 95.6 97.2 98.2 101.0 97.0 90.1 93.6 96.6 100.6 110.1 102.1 103.2 103.3 105.0 101.1 104.5 105.6 97.6 107.5 105.8 105.0-0.8 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 102.1 99.8 96.8 95.1 93.2 88.3 88.3 88.1 91.3 87.1 78.1 81.2 85.5 86.5 94.3 90.9 92.5 91.7 92.4 91.3 94.1 90.1 87.0 96.7 96.5 93.7-2.8 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 116.1 111.3 114.9 114.2 109.7 103.0 106.1 108.3 110.7 106.9 102.1 105.9 107.7 114.7 125.8 113.3 113.9 114.8 117.5 111.0 115.0 121.1 108.3 118.3 115.2 116.3 1.1 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 187.6 158.0 133.2 122.2 167.0 178.2 166.6 139.2 115.6 137.4 151.6 129.2 133.8 147.8 152.8 160.2 172.6 178.4 169.4 151.0 133.2 143.2 168.4 165.2 160.4 157.2-3.2 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 183.7 163.4 178.4 158.0 161.6 165.2 163.2 164.2 147.6 150.0 144.2 138.4 147.2 169.4 167.0 166.4 152.8 149.8 159.2 167.2 152.4 151.2 154.2 150.2 159.2 173.0 13.8 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 182.9 171.8 163.4 161.2 170.2 171.0 173.0 166.6 162.2 161.6 153.6 149.4 160.2 172.6 162.6 170.8 167.2 162.6 164.0 167.2 163.4 158.8 171.4 169.6 162.2 164.6 2.4 2. Bandung - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 105.6 101.8 126.9 125.1 119.3 108.2 111.2 106.8 107.1 103.1 82.6 87.8 88.4 94.4 101.6 100.1 95.8 98.8 106.4 109.1 114.0 115.7 117.9 117.8 120.6 121.0 0.4 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 98.4 90.7 108.8 106.2 97.9 91.6 94.3 88.8 89.6 87.7 65.8 64.8 69.3 71.6 79.3 81.0 74.0 79.1 83.7 85.4 88.0 90.1 94.4 95.9 98.3 100.8 2.5 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 112.8 112.9 145.0 144.0 140.8 124.9 128.1 124.9 124.6 118.6 99.3 110.8 107.4 117.3 123.8 119.1 117.6 118.6 129.2 132.7 140.0 141.2 141.3 139.7 142.9 141.2-1.7 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 184.7 190.0 111.4 127.7 149.0 163.3 157.0 176.3 153.3 152.0 149.0 140.7 149.3 150.0 135.3 141.0 149.7 135.7 165.0 148.0 134.3 135.7 155.3 151.3 151.3 139.0-12.3 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 178.7 183.7 123.4 139.3 149.3 163.3 159.0 168.7 159.7 159.3 155.7 148.7 158.3 164.0 148.3 160.3 160.7 149.3 165.0 155.7 144.3 155.7 156.3 162.0 158.7 151.7-7.0 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 174.3 186.0 140.3 158.3 156.7 160.0 164.7 174.7 171.3 166.7 156.7 155.7 166.3 169.3 156.7 155.0 165.3 156.7 166.7 166.0 158.0 163.0 174.0 171.3 162.7 161.3-1.4 3. Semarang - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 131.6 128.4 126.2 128.1 125.8 123.6 115.6 121.8 123.1 115.0 105.8 111.1 113.2 124.2 123.3 112.8 122.1 123.8 126.6 126.0 129.3 125.6 123.7 128.8 131.1 126.7-4.4 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 124.3 119.9 119.0 122.6 119.7 118.9 107.7 107.8 107.8 102.8 93.3 100.8 100.7 111.3 108.2 96.7 106.8 107.6 110.6 108.9 119.8 106.4 108.1 120.4 122.9 112.2-10.7 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 138.8 136.9 133.3 133.7 131.9 128.2 123.4 135.8 138.4 127.2 118.3 121.4 125.8 137.0 138.3 128.9 137.4 140.0 142.6 143.1 138.9 144.8 139.3 137.2 139.3 141.1 1.8 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 181.7 186.3 171.1 166.0 167.7 177.3 181.0 190.7 182.7 166.3 177.0 166.3 147.3 163.3 147.3 160.7 170.3 176.3 170.7 164.0 130.3 158.7 160.7 158.0 168.3 173.3 5.0 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 187.3 185.3 186.0 177.7 181.0 183.3 171.7 186.3 182.0 175.0 179.3 167.3 152.7 164.0 161.7 169.0 184.0 176.3 175.3 171.7 145.3 167.0 168.0 154.7 167.0 177.0 10.0 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 187.0 183.9 188.6 182.0 182.3 188.7 171.7 189.3 180.0 168.0 181.0 156.7 161.0 165.3 175.3 179.7 188.7 183.3 162.7 170.0 158.0 163.7 165.0 161.0 169.7 166.7-3.0 4. Surabaya - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 127.7 122.6 116.7 120.9 114.8 96.3 115.3 114.8 106.7 126.8 99.7 104.0 114.9 112.4 118.1 115.6 116.2 107.8 110.2 114.2 117.1 113.9 101.0 122.6 114.6 115.7 1.1 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 124.4 120.2 104.9 113.7 109.6 90.2 107.6 106.4 98.5 112.5 95.1 96.8 106.7 100.8 111.3 111.9 105.2 94.8 97.3 103.1 106.1 101.3 89.1 110.0 103.6 105.4 1.8 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 131.0 125.0 128.5 128.1 120.0 102.3 123.0 123.1 114.8 141.2 104.4 111.1 123.2 123.9 124.9 119.3 127.3 120.7 123.2 125.2 128.0 126.5 112.8 135.2 125.7 126.0 0.3 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 194.0 187.1 166.6 162.3 173.9 193.5 194.3 169.5 149.4 169.2 185.6 181.6 181.3 180.2 172.5 176.4 188.0 186.7 180.4 180.3 155.7 169.9 178.4 184.9 179.3 187.0 7.7 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 188.1 167.4 172.3 177.8 173.5 192.5 186.3 183.6 184.7 181.4 187.4 185.4 184.6 189.0 191.5 187.8 176.2 180.0 187.6 178.1 161.4 173.5 169.9 179.6 170.7 183.2 12.5 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 193.7 180.5 178.1 182.7 176.9 196.9 194.3 191.3 193.3 192.5 193.5 194.1 193.8 196.1 194.1 196.5 184.1 192.0 190.8 186.6 186.5 185.3 187.0 188.3 183.9 192.9 9.0 5. Medan - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 109.3 110.6 111.4 113.0 111.3 98.5 111.7 106.3 107.4 108.1 95.2 100.3 94.4 94.8 111.4 97.1 106.5 104.1 106.0 101.9 105.8 107.2 108.1 106.1 104.5 110.2 5.7 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 104.4 106.4 106.2 106.3 107.9 94.8 102.9 103.2 102.8 103.8 92.9 91.0 94.1 87.5 106.7 94.4 104.4 101.5 99.9 96.4 101.2 98.9 104.0 104.0 98.5 104.8 6.3 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 114.1 114.8 116.6 119.7 114.7 102.2 120.6 109.5 112.0 112.4 97.5 109.6 94.8 102.0 116.2 99.8 108.6 106.8 112.1 107.4 110.5 115.4 112.3 108.1 110.5 115.6 5.1 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 153.3 169.8 160.5 149.8 169.5 181.3 160.6 152.4 151.1 149.8 161.9 156.8 161.0 148.6 147.9 154.6 156.2 152.1 131.4 134.6 148.3 140.0 156.5 144.1 146.3 152.1 5.8 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 151.4 171.1 158.2 146.0 154.3 168.9 156.8 156.5 146.0 154.6 153.7 153.7 144.8 153.0 156.2 151.4 135.7 131.4 127.6 112.7 148.9 140.0 143.3 124.4 135.2 154.0 18.8 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 150.2 161.6 162.4 156.8 156.5 167.9 161.3 158.4 149.8 156.2 155.2 156.5 149.2 148.6 136.8 153.3 138.1 136.2 131.4 129.8 146.7 145.7 146.7 127.9 133.0 138.1 5.1 6. Palembang - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 126.9 124.8 118.0 118.3 123.6 126.2 133.0 112.4 109.0 122.4 104.7 89.0 106.6 105.4 109.6 122.2 119.0 123.3 121.1 129.8 104.8 107.1 108.9 108.4 111.4 109.2-2.2 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 115.2 114.8 117.4 115.9 122.2 123.2 128.6 103.0 97.4 112.2 97.6 74.2 94.0 93.1 92.7 109.3 107.7 102.7 105.1 118.6 91.9 92.2 97.4 86.8 98.6 94.5-4.1 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 138.7 134.8 118.6 120.7 125.0 129.1 137.4 121.8 120.6 132.7 111.8 103.8 119.2 117.8 126.6 135.0 130.3 143.9 137.0 141.1 117.7 122.0 120.3 130.1 124.2 123.9-0.3 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 171.2 178.0 176.7 150.3 153.3 174.3 170.2 183.7 175.7 176.7 190.7 171.0 169.7 180.3 176.3 183.0 180.0 193.7 180.7 170.3 176.0 165.3 175.3 171.7 182.0 180.6-1.4 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 172.0 175.3 154.3 154.8 155.0 176.3 176.0 180.6 174.0 177.3 188.0 169.7 180.0 193.3 172.7 183.3 185.0 170.0 176.7 171.7 178.0 176.7 182.3 175.7 175.0 185.6 10.6 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 181.7 180.3 165.0 159.0 162.0 166.6 178.0 180.3 177.0 181.7 188.0 173.7 188.7 197.3 181.0 189.0 189.0 164.0 176.7 172.3 180.0 183.0 192.3 184.3 190.0 190.6 0.6 Real Sector Statistics Division 8
Descriptions 2015 2016 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Ags Sep Oct Nov Dec (Dec-Nov) 7. Banjarmasin - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 137.6 139.6 121.4 116.8 122.6 113.3 113.3 99.6 106.0 111.8 108.5 101.5 102.4 108.6 116.7 124.0 101.6 92.9 102.7 120.2 113.7 111.5 119.2 113.8 119.2 117.7-1.5 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 137.9 141.5 112.5 105.0 111.6 100.7 105.3 93.9 99.3 102.9 98.8 101.0 97.2 104.3 112.2 117.1 102.1 91.3 99.9 118.7 116.0 109.4 120.8 108.3 111.5 111.5 0.0 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 137.2 137.6 130.3 128.6 133.6 125.8 121.3 105.3 112.8 120.7 118.3 101.9 107.6 112.9 121.3 131.0 101.1 94.6 105.4 121.8 111.4 113.6 117.5 119.2 126.8 123.9-2.9 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 144.6 165.0 181.0 173.3 165.4 172.8 172.1 179.6 189.2 162.9 155.0 182.9 167.9 166.3 171.3 167.1 156.9 156.7 178.7 157.3 155.8 155.4 173.8 168.8 169.6 156.5-13.1 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 167.1 172.5 171.6 161.7 172.1 189.2 188.3 181.7 195.4 177.9 176.7 188.3 177.5 177.9 180.8 177.1 143.3 148.8 157.3 147.3 162.5 157.9 148.3 150.0 163.8 162.9-0.9 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 156.7 163.3 177.5 168.7 175.0 191.7 190.8 187.5 193.8 181.3 167.5 178.3 169.6 161.7 147.5 135.8 140.8 153.1 172.5 150.6 156.7 157.1 145.8 153.8 166.7 158.7-8.0 8. Bandar Lampung - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 135.2 127.7 127.5 133.8 115.9 111.1 104.8 110.5 124.1 122.0 112.3 93.4 96.7 115.8 124.7 125.8 123.8 116.5 113.9 105.8 113.7 110.8 114.6 118.6 120.6 121.6 1.0 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 123.5 118.0 113.3 121.0 110.5 100.7 91.2 97.5 111.5 106.0 98.5 74.0 80.3 94.8 107.8 112.0 110.2 101.5 93.3 90.3 99.5 99.0 108.3 104.0 105.2 107.2 2.0 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 146.8 137.3 141.7 146.5 121.3 121.5 118.3 123.5 136.7 138.0 126.2 112.8 113.0 136.8 141.5 139.5 137.3 131.5 134.5 121.3 127.8 122.5 120.8 133.2 136.0 136.0 0.0 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 197.0 190.5 181.5 152.0 172.5 196.0 196.0 195.0 164.0 176.0 181.5 163.5 162.5 168.0 166.0 182.5 184.0 188.0 196.5 128.0 143.5 149.5 150.5 160.0 159.0 159.5 0.5 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 198.0 195.5 172.0 178.5 189.0 194.0 198.5 196.5 155.5 182.0 184.0 157.0 160.0 176.5 178.5 190.5 194.5 161.5 178.0 149.5 151.5 144.0 163.5 168.5 168.5 169.5 1.0 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 198.5 197.0 186.0 187.0 188.5 197.0 197.5 200.0 172.9 191.5 189.5 172.5 161.5 174.0 187.5 193.5 189.5 178.5 182.5 174.0 181.5 166.5 183.5 176.0 178.0 180.0 2.0 9. Makassar - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 148.6 131.9 129.7 117.7 122.6 121.3 127.1 131.4 117.2 117.8 117.2 104.0 108.4 112.7 107.1 123.5 118.8 127.1 119.9 125.9 126.3 127.0 112.8 118.4 116.6 102.7-13.9 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 145.2 132.7 127.0 112.3 121.3 106.7 115.8 123.8 111.7 111.7 113.7 98.7 102.8 110.5 104.5 117.7 115.3 120.7 109.3 118.5 121.2 120.2 105.5 107.7 110.8 94.7-16.1 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 152.0 131.2 132.3 123.0 123.8 135.8 138.3 139.0 122.7 123.8 120.7 109.3 114.0 114.8 109.7 129.3 122.2 133.5 130.5 133.3 131.3 133.8 120.0 129.2 122.3 110.7-11.6 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 188.5 184.5 185.0 171.0 183.0 188.5 183.5 191.0 190.0 184.5 191.5 189.5 176.5 180.0 186.5 181.5 176.5 181.5 181.0 168.5 188.0 154.0 168.0 166.0 180.5 174.5-6.0 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 198.5 200.0 197.0 194.0 193.5 184.5 186.0 192.5 189.5 191.0 198.5 195.5 188.5 195.5 196.0 189.0 191.5 178.5 192.5 174.0 196.0 192.5 176.5 173.0 196.0 190.0-6.0 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 200.0 200.0 199.0 199.0 200.0 194.0 190.5 198.0 193.0 196.0 197.0 196.5 188.0 199.0 198.0 191.0 198.5 184.0 194.0 180.0 199.0 195.5 198.5 200.0 200.0 199.0-1.0 10. Samarinda - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 119.2 119.8 111.5 121.0 123.3 116.3 110.4 106.3 111.7 117.3 91.0 88.9 98.2 102.5 104.2 106.8 95.2 93.5 94.3 96.3 101.9 94.7 88.9 96.8 90.3 101.8 11.5 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 117.8 112.5 100.5 113.3 114.7 109.5 104.0 98.2 105.2 114.0 85.0 86.5 91.5 94.3 96.0 100.5 90.8 81.0 85.5 85.7 93.2 83.5 77.3 83.7 78.0 92.3 14.3 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 120.5 127.2 122.5 128.7 131.8 123.0 116.8 114.3 118.2 120.5 97.0 91.3 104.8 110.7 112.3 113.2 99.5 106.0 103.0 106.8 110.7 105.8 100.5 109.8 102.5 111.3 8.8 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 178.0 165.5 149.5 154.0 162.0 170.5 179.5 170.0 147.5 158.5 163.5 166.0 166.0 167.5 154.0 165.5 163.5 173.0 172.5 157.0 149.0 149.0 165.0 161.0 154.0 154.0 0.0 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 186.0 166.5 171.5 158.5 166.0 171.5 163.0 168.0 147.0 159.5 177.5 170.5 166.0 171.0 155.5 165.0 175.5 169.5 161.5 147.5 147.0 158.5 162.0 149.0 164.0 152.5-11.5 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 194.0 190.5 181.5 177.5 181.5 179.0 171.5 171.0 153.0 173.0 170.0 167.5 169.5 173.0 152.5 171.5 175.5 168.0 169.5 171.0 176.5 170.0 171.5 160.5 168.5 161.0-7.5 11. Denpasar - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 110.4 118.5 115.0 107.4 101.5 103.0 107.6 100.9 97.9 100.7 101.5 93.0 104.8 100.4 104.0 98.1 99.4 98.2 102.4 100.3 102.9 100.4 96.8 100.6 100.5 93.0-7.5 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 105.2 113.7 104.8 98.7 93.5 97.5 102.2 97.2 92.3 96.5 98.2 86.8 100.0 93.8 96.3 92.0 92.5 94.0 94.6 96.0 99.0 95.7 87.0 93.2 90.7 85.0-5.7 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 115.7 123.3 125.2 116.2 109.5 108.5 113.0 104.7 103.5 104.8 104.8 99.2 109.7 107.0 111.7 104.2 106.4 102.5 110.2 104.5 106.8 105.2 106.7 108.0 110.3 101.0-9.3 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 197.0 188.5 178.5 167.0 182.9 185.0 184.4 177.9 178.0 173.5 172.0 169.0 175.0 182.5 170.4 170.0 173.4 165.5 172.0 174.0 166.5 170.0 169.5 155.5 172.5 174.5 2.0 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 198.0 192.5 175.0 179.0 186.0 189.0 194.0 187.4 186.0 176.0 178.5 181.0 189.0 188.0 178.0 181.0 181.0 180.0 182.0 177.5 179.5 179.5 179.5 177.5 177.5 181.5 4.0 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 195.0 197.0 180.5 185.0 192.0 193.4 197.0 190.5 194.5 179.0 192.0 191.5 192.5 195.5 186.0 188.0 187.4 186.5 188.9 186.9 185.3 184.9 181.5 188.5 184.5 185.0 0.5 12. Padang - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 113.0 106.0 115.6 105.8 107.7 101.4 99.1 101.8 98.1 104.1 89.9 84.4 94.4 97.4 98.6 102.1 106.7 102.2 101.1 103.8 99.3 100.5 93.8 92.0 90.5 96.9 6.4 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 110.8 100.7 112.3 99.7 95.8 91.8 89.1 91.5 91.5 98.2 84.0 75.8 91.2 86.3 91.7 96.0 99.8 93.8 91.0 96.8 97.8 97.5 88.0 86.5 86.3 91.0 4.7 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 115.2 111.3 118.8 111.8 119.5 111.0 109.0 112.0 104.7 110.0 95.9 93.0 97.7 108.5 105.5 108.2 113.5 110.7 111.2 110.8 100.8 103.5 99.7 97.5 94.7 102.8 8.1 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 184.0 182.0 163.5 148.5 157.0 184.9 188.9 189.5 177.5 167.5 178.9 171.5 163.5 161.0 149.5 160.5 164.0 170.0 176.5 161.8 159.5 153.5 165.5 159.5 160.0 153.0-7.0 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 183.5 173.0 167.5 163.0 170.9 179.3 184.3 183.5 186.0 176.5 187.0 175.5 169.8 174.5 174.0 168.5 174.0 173.0 175.0 167.5 176.0 175.0 166.5 174.0 168.5 161.5-7.0 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 182.0 180.0 164.5 165.0 173.9 182.4 183.8 182.9 184.5 175.5 188.5 178.0 175.9 174.0 174.5 173.5 179.0 173.0 180.0 178.5 179.5 186.0 175.5 178.0 177.4 172.0-5.4 13. Pontianak - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 135.1 124.3 133.7 132.6 146.3 135.2 140.5 134.8 109.7 125.1 114.7 115.9 131.3 128.0 113.0 112.6 96.8 104.8 105.8 100.4 111.6 109.0 128.9 119.1 119.4 129.4 10.0 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 129.5 124.2 133.0 127.3 140.5 136.5 138.0 129.7 100.5 120.7 112.0 108.2 124.8 124.2 102.3 103.0 89.7 83.5 91.7 84.9 99.7 101.8 120.0 114.7 113.8 131.0 17.2 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 140.7 124.5 134.3 137.8 152.0 133.8 143.0 139.8 118.8 129.5 117.3 123.7 137.7 131.8 123.7 122.2 104.0 126.0 120.0 115.8 123.5 116.2 137.8 123.5 125.0 127.9 2.9 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 171.0 171.0 160.0 162.0 180.0 181.5 169.0 176.5 158.0 172.0 163.5 157.5 164.5 168.0 162.8 156.5 155.0 135.0 127.5 127.5 122.5 171.5 177.5 143.4 163.0 172.5 9.5 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 179.5 172.0 157.0 158.0 177.0 181.5 178.0 172.5 167.0 168.0 157.0 158.0 160.5 167.5 162.0 138.0 140.5 132.0 116.0 117.5 108.0 174.0 183.0 141.5 164.0 165.0 1.0 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 173.0 163.5 164.0 171.0 182.5 179.5 180.5 180.0 174.0 175.5 162.5 164.5 163.0 178.0 160.5 139.5 137.0 121.0 123.5 113.1 108.0 171.4 181.0 143.5 160.8 168.5 7.7 Real Sector Statistics Division 9
Descriptions 2015 2016 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Ags Sep Oct Nov Dec (Dec-Nov) 14. Manado - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 137.1 135.6 138.9 130.2 138.3 113.6 115.7 110.9 108.3 135.6 137.8 128.8 133.4 140.3 134.7 132.3 134.2 119.2 139.2 139.3 115.4 117.6 118.7 113.3 117.3 112.7-4.6 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 153.7 152.0 155.8 135.0 142.5 114.8 117.5 122.7 115.8 151.3 149.8 142.2 146.5 156.5 150.3 143.3 150.7 119.2 125.5 128.3 103.5 106.2 113.0 109.3 115.8 105.0-10.8 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 120.5 119.2 122.0 125.3 134.2 112.3 113.8 99.2 100.7 119.8 125.8 115.3 120.3 124.0 119.0 121.2 117.7 119.2 152.8 150.2 127.2 129.0 124.3 117.2 118.8 120.3 1.5 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 183.5 176.5 183.5 169.5 190.5 164.5 194.5 183.5 189.0 196.5 195.5 199.0 197.0 193.5 190.5 172.0 152.5 151.5 164.0 188.5 127.5 157.5 187.0 192.0 186.0 160.0-26.0 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 200.0 199.0 195.0 172.5 188.0 168.5 179.0 194.5 188.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 197.0 196.5 200.0 153.5 167.5 175.5 167.0 168.5 183.5 175.5 177.0 164.5-12.5 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 200.0 199.0 196.5 182.5 191.5 164.5 180.0 197.0 193.5 200.0 199.5 200.0 200.0 198.5 197.0 199.5 200.0 158.0 160.5 181.0 160.5 165.0 184.9 176.8 180.0 169.5-10.5 15. Mataram - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 121.1 128.3 128.8 123.5 118.9 114.3 118.2 121.1 124.1 112.1 106.3 113.2 107.3 112.6 122.2 123.8 118.8 112.3 114.0 118.5 118.1 118.6 111.7 115.3 110.4 117.3 6.9 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 108.4 116.0 112.3 109.5 101.0 105.5 104.2 108.2 112.0 102.7 96.7 105.8 99.2 103.0 110.3 114.5 103.7 99.5 102.3 106.8 108.2 104.7 99.3 100.7 93.5 106.0 12.5 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 133.9 140.5 145.2 137.5 136.8 123.0 132.2 134.0 136.2 121.5 115.8 120.5 115.5 122.2 134.0 133.0 134.0 125.0 125.7 130.1 128.0 132.5 124.0 129.8 127.4 128.5 1.1 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 192.0 185.5 165.5 154.3 162.5 173.0 175.5 187.5 146.5 167.5 159.5 166.0 153.0 161.5 155.5 155.8 170.0 168.0 180.0 167.0 163.0 170.5 173.5 170.9 167.0 172.5 5.5 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 196.5 196.5 175.0 163.3 189.5 187.5 181.5 185.5 170.0 179.5 170.5 168.0 163.0 168.5 154.0 166.0 175.0 164.5 162.5 164.5 169.0 167.0 156.5 157.0 174.5 175.5 1.0 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 196.5 199.0 182.5 164.5 192.5 183.5 187.5 188.0 175.0 187.0 171.5 168.0 171.0 176.5 164.5 166.0 176.0 166.0 173.5 164.5 169.5 173.5 179.0 171.5 181.5 179.0-2.5 16. Pangkal Pinang - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 120.8 117.4 110.4 103.3 116.6 91.0 71.2 80.7 101.3 91.2 81.6 91.1 92.8 101.4 103.6 112.9 113.2 121.3 111.3 118.8 89.8 105.7 106.8 103.7 105.8 99.7-6.1 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 116.3 111.7 97.7 88.3 105.8 81.7 59.3 70.5 90.7 82.2 71.7 79.2 78.2 85.0 95.5 99.8 96.8 104.7 102.2 110.8 77.3 89.0 93.7 98.7 97.2 94.3-2.9 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 125.2 123.2 123.2 118.2 127.3 100.3 83.0 90.8 111.8 100.2 91.5 103.1 107.5 117.8 111.7 126.0 129.5 137.8 120.3 126.8 102.2 122.3 119.8 108.7 114.5 105.0-9.5 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 200.0 194.5 188.0 162.5 172.4 178.0 175.5 183.0 181.5 187.5 184.5 162.5 159.5 165.0 158.0 184.5 181.5 163.0 169.2 162.0 159.0 140.5 142.0 138.5 148.5 144.0-4.5 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 199.0 195.5 188.5 175.5 180.4 180.5 176.5 175.5 177.5 185.0 184.5 158.0 156.5 157.5 170.5 183.0 183.5 164.0 163.0 148.0 159.5 141.5 134.0 135.5 147.0 146.0-1.0 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 199.0 199.0 188.5 186.5 189.9 178.0 176.0 174.5 178.0 189.0 164.5 166.8 155.0 164.5 170.0 179.5 185.0 175.5 169.5 165.0 151.5 124.5 130.5 129.0 134.0 140.5 6.5 17. Ambon - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 124.2 120.5 120.6 117.9 112.0 110.0 118.9 116.0 107.7 118.5 111.4 100.2 110.8 109.2 115.1 105.8 104.5 114.8 108.3 114.7 104.3 101.3 114.3 119.8 127.0 116.5-10.5 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 119.2 113.8 112.3 102.8 99.3 99.0 109.2 108.0 97.5 113.7 106.8 97.3 109.2 104.3 95.4 92.5 80.7 93.5 89.0 103.3 98.3 89.7 105.2 104.2 105.7 94.3-11.4 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 129.2 127.2 128.8 133.0 124.7 121.0 128.7 124.0 117.8 123.3 116.0 103.0 112.5 114.0 134.8 119.0 128.3 136.2 127.5 126.0 110.3 112.8 123.5 135.5 148.3 138.7-9.6 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 178.0 174.0 156.5 162.0 164.3 157.0 171.5 166.0 160.5 179.5 184.0 180.0 164.0 169.0 178.1 192.0 185.0 190.0 196.5 197.5 175.5 190.0 192.0 194.0 192.0 189.5-2.5 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 173.5 172.5 168.0 157.5 163.5 157.5 162.5 176.5 167.5 176.5 180.0 182.0 185.5 171.0 181.1 194.0 177.0 188.0 195.5 198.5 183.5 186.5 195.5 194.0 190.5 177.5-13.0 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 166.5 168.3 179.0 171.5 175.0 157.0 167.5 178.5 163.0 174.0 187.0 177.5 200.0 181.5 191.5 195.5 174.0 189.5 195.5 199.0 190.0 187.5 196.0 198.0 196.5 187.5-9.0 18. Banten - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) 113.1 112.1 126.5 124.6 118.2 111.3 122.6 117.2 119.3 111.0 105.7 112.9 109.5 114.8 114.4 125.0 116.2 124.4 132.7 143.1 110.1 108.3 114.6 120.7 123.8 117.0-6.8 - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) 101.8 103.0 112.7 110.2 107.5 101.0 108.8 104.8 110.0 99.3 91.3 103.5 92.2 99.2 102.3 99.3 84.3 98.7 98.8 127.2 93.7 80.0 85.2 87.3 89.7 105.7 16.0 - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) 124.3 121.2 140.3 139.0 128.8 121.5 136.3 129.5 128.5 122.7 120.0 122.3 126.8 130.5 126.6 150.8 148.0 150.2 166.5 159.0 126.5 136.5 144.0 154.0 157.8 128.3-29.5 - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead 196.0 191.0 175.0 174.4 191.5 192.0 195.0 188.0 168.5 175.5 180.5 172.0 169.5 189.5 172.5 180.4 182.5 193.0 195.0 162.0 147.0 166.0 185.5 186.0 182.0 178.5-3.5 - Price expectations index for 6 months ahead 193.0 186.5 171.0 177.0 188.0 185.0 188.0 181.0 174.0 174.0 176.0 177.0 175.5 186.5 167.5 177.5 181.9 162.5 169.0 148.5 141.0 156.5 179.9 177.5 166.5 174.5 8.0 - Price expectations index for 12 months ahead 191.5 186.5 182.0 185.5 178.0 187.0 180.5 179.5 174.0 181.5 182.5 180.5 180.0 182.0 171.9 172.5 173.0 155.5 170.5 133.7 125.5 153.5 177.5 169.0 157.0 166.5 9.5 Real Sector Statistics Division 10
Table 4. CCI, CECI and CEI Described by Respondents Expenditure Descriptions 2015 2016 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec (Dec-Nov) A. Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) - Rp. 1 million - Rp. 2 million 121.0 120.1 121.6 116.1 116.1 106.7 115.1 109.7 106.3 114.1 102.4 105.1 108.9 110.1 114.4 115.7 109.7 107.4 109.0 113.0 110.8 108.6 112.3 117.2 114.1 116.4 2.3 - Rp. 2,1 million - Rp. 3 million 121.9 118.7 117.5 117.3 118.3 108.0 108.3 105.8 109.5 113.6 102.7 97.8 104.8 108.2 111.6 108.6 110.9 111.0 111.9 115.8 110.2 110.5 107.8 113.1 114.2 110.4-3.8 - Rp. 3,1 million - Rp. 4 million 124.7 123.2 120.6 121.4 117.4 109.0 111.9 112.1 113.1 112.3 100.2 101.2 102.8 108.2 111.9 115.1 109.7 112.2 112.6 114.9 112.8 108.9 108.8 110.1 110.6 110.2-0.4 - Rp. 4,1 million - Rp. 5 million 122.4 116.2 120.9 118.5 117.9 112.6 118.2 113.7 110.2 115.9 100.6 100.7 107.0 110.9 113.8 115.2 112.0 107.9 113.2 112.5 109.6 116.0 106.6 111.7 113.0 113.8 0.8 - Over than Rp. 5 million 125.8 117.1 120.8 120.6 119.8 113.0 114.2 114.3 107.6 108.1 100.4 94.8 102.3 107.1 115.8 108.8 111.2 108.4 114.8 111.0 108.2 111.3 108.0 109.8 110.2 112.7 2.5 B. Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) - Rp. 1 million - Rp. 2 million 115.0 115.0 113.1 107.3 107.5 98.9 105.4 100.4 96.7 104.8 96.1 97.1 101.9 100.5 104.1 106.5 99.8 93.0 95.0 100.5 100.0 97.8 103.0 106.0 100.6 107.2 6.6 - Rp. 2,1 million - Rp. 3 million 116.6 113.9 110.3 108.9 110.8 99.9 100.0 96.5 101.3 104.9 95.3 88.9 97.2 99.6 102.0 98.7 98.4 98.0 97.1 105.4 99.9 96.6 96.2 100.9 103.1 100.5-2.6 - Rp. 3,1 million - Rp. 4 million 120.7 118.1 111.6 112.5 109.8 101.7 103.4 103.1 103.9 104.4 91.8 92.4 93.9 97.8 100.5 106.1 99.9 99.8 98.7 103.5 103.8 94.3 95.6 98.7 100.5 99.2-1.3 - Rp. 4,1 million - Rp. 5 million 118.7 113.0 114.4 109.7 109.9 108.4 110.3 107.3 100.6 109.4 93.2 93.3 99.6 99.2 104.9 105.6 103.2 96.9 102.4 102.7 100.3 102.6 98.2 102.5 102.6 101.1-1.5 - Over than Rp. 5 million 119.5 111.3 112.2 110.5 111.7 104.4 104.0 106.3 99.4 99.9 92.1 83.4 89.5 93.7 103.8 99.2 102.8 97.5 102.8 99.8 98.0 100.9 97.7 94.3 96.7 101.1 4.4 C. Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) - Rp. 1 million - Rp. 2 million 126.9 125.1 130.1 124.9 124.6 114.4 124.8 118.9 115.9 123.3 108.7 113.0 115.8 119.7 124.6 124.9 119.5 121.7 123.0 125.4 121.6 119.4 121.6 128.3 127.5 125.5-2.0 - Rp. 2,1 million - Rp. 3 million 127.1 123.5 124.7 125.7 125.7 116.0 116.5 115.1 117.6 122.3 110.1 106.6 112.4 116.8 121.1 118.5 123.4 123.9 126.6 126.2 120.4 124.4 119.3 125.2 125.3 120.2-5.1 - Rp. 3,1 million - Rp. 4 million 128.6 128.2 129.6 130.3 125.0 116.3 120.3 121.1 122.3 120.1 108.5 109.9 111.7 118.6 123.2 124.1 119.5 124.6 126.5 126.3 121.7 123.5 121.9 121.5 120.7 121.1 0.4 - Rp. 4,1 million - Rp. 5 million 126.1 119.3 127.3 127.3 125.8 116.8 126.0 120.1 119.7 122.4 108.0 108.0 114.4 122.5 122.7 124.7 120.7 118.9 123.9 122.2 118.9 129.4 115.0 120.9 123.3 126.4 3.1 - Over than Rp. 5 million 132.0 122.8 129.3 130.6 127.9 121.6 124.4 122.2 115.8 116.3 108.6 106.2 115.0 120.4 127.8 118.3 119.5 119.3 126.7 122.2 118.3 121.6 118.3 125.3 123.7 124.2 0.5 Real Sector Statistics Division 11
Table 5. Household Income Allocation Described by Respondents Expenditure Total IDR 1-2 million IDR 2-3 million IDR 3-4 million IDR 4-5 million > IDR 5 million DESCRIPTION 2015 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov (Nov-Oct) - Consumption 69.1 69.2 65.8 65.5 66.6 65.6 67.7 67.1 67.2 66.3 68.5 68.2 68.4 69.0 68.6 69.1 69.5 68.8 69.6 70.4 69.1 70.9 70.4 71.0 72.0-2.2 - Loan Repayments 13.0 13.0 14.2 14.3 13.5 14.5 13.0 13.2 13.6 13.5 12.7 13.0 13.1 12.9 12.1 11.8 12.0 12.2 11.9 11.3 12.4 12.4 11.9 11.6 11.5 1.5 - Savings 17.9 17.7 20.0 20.2 19.9 19.9 19.3 19.7 19.2 20.3 18.8 18.7 18.5 18.1 19.3 19.1 18.5 19.0 18.4 18.3 18.5 16.7 17.8 17.3 16.5 0.7 - Consumption 71.3 71.6 69.3 68.2 65.2 67.6 70.9 69.3 68.2 66.6 69.5 69.7 70.8 72.4 70.4 71.8 73.0 71.2 71.9 72.6 71.4 75.7 74.6 73.0 75.7-3.7 - Loan Repayments 11.4 10.1 11.0 12.8 14.6 12.1 10.8 10.2 11.5 12.4 10.7 9.6 11.6 10.2 9.8 10.1 9.6 9.4 11.0 9.9 11.0 10.4 10.3 10.7 9.2 2.3 - Savings 17.2 18.2 19.7 19.0 20.2 20.3 18.3 20.5 20.4 21.0 19.7 20.7 17.6 17.5 19.8 18.2 17.4 19.3 17.1 17.4 17.6 13.9 15.0 16.3 15.1 1.4 - Consumption 71.5 70.9 68.2 65.2 63.2 65.9 68.7 68.7 68.5 67.5 69.1 68.0 68.9 69.8 70.0 70.3 69.7 69.3 71.1 71.4 70.4 71.1 71.0 72.4 72.0 0.1 - Loan Repayments 11.8 12.2 12.8 14.6 16.6 14.0 12.5 12.5 12.6 12.9 12.0 13.1 12.7 12.1 11.5 11.1 11.4 11.6 11.5 10.1 11.2 12.3 11.3 11.0 11.5 1.1 - Savings 16.7 16.9 19.0 20.2 20.2 20.1 18.8 18.9 18.8 19.6 18.9 19.0 18.4 18.0 18.5 18.6 18.9 19.1 17.4 18.5 18.4 16.6 17.7 16.7 16.4-1.1 - Consumption 67.4 68.8 65.2 63.2 60.0 66.3 66.5 66.3 66.1 66.1 68.8 68.6 67.3 68.8 67.9 68.6 69.2 68.0 67.4 69.2 68.2 70.0 68.9 69.3 70.2-1.5 - Loan Repayments 14.3 14.1 14.6 16.6 19.5 13.6 13.7 13.6 14.1 13.5 13.4 13.4 13.5 13.5 12.6 12.4 12.0 12.7 13.3 12.6 13.7 13.2 12.9 13.4 13.0 0.4 - Savings 18.4 17.2 20.2 20.2 20.5 20.2 19.8 20.1 19.8 20.4 17.9 17.9 19.2 17.6 19.5 19.0 18.9 19.3 19.3 18.2 18.1 16.8 18.2 17.3 16.9 1.0 - Consumption 65.2 65.1 63.2 60.0 64.5 64.1 64.0 62.9 64.9 63.2 65.0 65.4 65.0 66.9 66.7 65.9 66.4 62.8 67.9 66.7 67.3 66.7 65.4 66.1 68.1-4.4 - Loan Repayments 15.6 16.0 16.6 19.5 13.2 15.8 14.9 16.9 14.3 16.2 15.4 14.8 15.9 14.5 12.6 14.8 14.0 15.0 13.7 13.2 14.5 14.8 14.0 14.6 13.3 3.6 - Savings 19.2 18.9 20.2 20.5 22.4 20.1 21.1 20.2 20.8 20.6 19.6 19.7 19.1 18.6 20.7 19.3 19.5 22.2 18.5 20.1 18.2 18.5 20.6 19.3 18.6 0.8 - Consumption 62.4 61.3 60.0 64.5 64.7 58.7 60.5 58.7 60.6 61.8 63.0 64.7 63.0 64.1 59.1 61.5 62.2 62.7 60.7 61.9 61.0 65.2 63.0 65.8 65.5-3.2 - Loan Repayments 17.9 20.1 19.5 13.2 15.8 20.9 17.2 18.1 17.9 16.4 16.8 18.1 18.4 16.9 18.5 16.6 18.0 17.3 18.7 18.7 19.9 17.1 17.5 15.8 15.0 1.8 - Savings 19.7 18.6 20.5 22.4 19.5 20.3 22.2 23.1 21.4 21.7 20.2 17.2 18.5 19.0 22.4 21.8 19.9 20.0 20.6 19.4 19.2 17.8 19.5 18.4 19.5 1.4 2016 Table 6. Saving and Debt Expectation Index for The Next 6 Months DESCRIPTIONS 2015 2016 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov (Nov-Oct) Saving Expectation Index for the next 6 months 137.6 131.4 137.3 134.4 136.9 127.5 129.0 126.9 123.6 129.7 121.3 120.7 126.8 129.2 132.8 131.8 130.5 122.8 126.2 123.3 123.4 128.3 123.0 127.5 126.5-0.3 Debt Expectation Index for the next 6 months 163.5 158.1 156.4 161.9 155.5 154.6 159.7 156.6 153.1 156.1 159.0 158.5 161.7 159.5 157.0 165.0 158.6 160.0 161.1 160.2 163.7 161.6 164.6 162.1 162.4-0.2 Real Sector Statistics Division 12