NKT I IR presentation I Interim Report Q May 2013 I 1 NKT. Interim Report Q Audiocast, 22 May 2013 at 10:00 am CET

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Transcription:

22 May 2013 I 1 NKT Interim Report Q1 2013 Audiocast, 22 May 2013 at 10:00 am CET

22 May 2013 I 2 Agenda NKT Highlights Q1 2013 Financial results Q1 2013 Companies NKT Cables Nilfisk-Advance Photonics Group Expectations 2013 Questions & Answers

22 May 2013 I 3 A global industrial conglomerate NKT NKT Cables North, Central and Eastern Europe, China, Australia Nilfisk-Advance Global presence Photonics Group Europe, North America, Asia

22 May 2013 I 4 NKT - Highlights Q1 2013 Q1 2013: Positive growth and earnings as expected Revenue growth primarily from NKT Cables' Electricity Infrastructure and Railway High utilisation of capacity in NKT Cables Cologne factory Offshore installation work up to a good start due to fine weather conditions at sea Transshipment and storage terminal in Rotterdam completed Nilfisk-Advance maintained organic growth in EMEA and the Americas, but saw a challenging market in APAC Gross profit % negatively influenced by market pressure on prices, change in sales mix as well as fewer working days than Q1 2012 Acquisition of Ericsson s power cable operation Unchanged expectations

22 May 2013 I 5 Q1 earnings as expected Operational EBITDA, LTM mdkk 1.200 900 600 300 0 907 915 952 895 869 808 775 878 914 955 980 1.039 1.027 2010 2011 2012 2013 13% 11% 9% 7% 5% 3% Negative organic growth of 2% for 2012 Organic EBITDA growth margin of 2% std. for LTM Q1 2013 2012 of 8,1% or 980 mdkk an increase EBITDA from margin 7,9% (955 std. mdkk) metal prices in 2011 LTM Q1 2013 of 8,4% or 1.027 mdkk a decrease from 8,6% (1.039 mdkk) in Q4 2012 Oper. EBITDA LTM, mdkk Oper. EBITDA LTM, std. metal prices, % Oper. EBITDA LTM, %

22 May 2013 I 6 Eurozone still in trough of economic cycle Manufacturing PMI 62 57 52 47 42 37 32 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 USA EURO zone China Expectation indicator: - Above the line indicates positive expectations for the manufacturing sector - Below the line indicates declining expectations for the manufacturing sector Recession indicator: - Below the line indicates expectations of recession

22 May 2013 I 7 Agenda NKT Highlights Q1 2013 Financial results Q1 2013 Companies NKT Cables Nilfisk-Advance Photonics Group Expectations 2013 Questions & Answers

22 May 2013 I 8 Financial highlights Q1 2013 Q1 Revenue 3.509 mdkk (Q1 2012: 3.531 mdkk) Organic growth 2% in Q1 2013 Organic growth Q1 2013 NKT Cables 4% Nilfisk-Advance 1% WC amounts to 3,1 bndkk (end 2012: 2,4 bndkk). LTM at 19,5% vs. 19,8% compared to sales NIBD increased to 2.776 mdkk, 2,7x operational EBITDA (end 2012: 1.909 MDKK, 1,8x operational EBITDA) Dividend of 191 DKK paid out in March Photonics Group -6% Q1 Operational EBITDA 217 mdkk, 7,6% std. metal prices (Q1 2012: 229 mdkk, 8,2% std. metal prices) Q1 Earnings before tax (EBT) amount to 40 mdkk (Q1 2012: 44 mdkk) Q1 Profit after tax amounts to 25 mdkk (Q1 2012: 31 mdkk) Unchanged expectations 2013 The expectations for 2013 covering the existing part of the Group are unchanged from the forecast in the 2012 Annual Report.

22 May 2013 I 9 Realised Q1 2013 vs. consensus mdkk Q1 2013 Q1 2012 Change Consensus Revenue 3.509 3.531-22 3.487 Revenue, std. metal prices 2.859 2.806 53 2.861 Operational EBITDA 217 229-12 252 One-off s - -1 1 - EBITDA 217 228-11 252 Depreciation/Amortisation -129-125 -4-136 EBIT 88 103-15 116 Financial items, net -48-59 11-36 EBT 40 44-4 80 Tax -15-13 -2-22 Profit 25 31-6 58 Oper. EBITDA margin std. 7,6% 8,2% 8,8% Tax % 38% 30% 28% Capex 103 127 24 Working capital 3.119 2.884-235 NIBD 2.776 4.491 1.715 Organic growth 2% NKT Cables 4% Nilfisk-Advance 1% Photonics Group -6% Revenue at market prices was negatively impacted by fluctuations in metal prices, however, the underlying trend was positive

22 May 2013 I 10 Changes Q1 2013 vs. Q1 2012 mdkk Q1 2013 Q1 2012 Change Revenue 3.509 3.531-22 Revenue, std. metal prices 2.859 2.806 53 Operational EBITDA 217 229-12 One-off s - -1 1 EBITDA 217 228-11 Depreciation/Amortisation -129-125 -4 EBIT 88 103-15 Financial items, net -48-59 11 EBT 40 44-4 Tax -15-13 -2 Profit 25 31-6 *01 *02 *03 01 02 mdkk Revenue decreased by -22 Metal prices -71 FX changes -5 Acquisitions 0 2% organic growth 54 - NKT Cables 4% - Nilfisk-Advance 1% - Photonics Group -6% mdkk Oper. EBITDA decreased by -12 NKT Cables Margin 3,8% (2012: 3,6%) 3 Nilfisk-Advance Margin 11,3% (2012: 12,0%) -8 Photonics Group and other -7 03 mdkk Financial items decreased by 11 Reduced net interest expenses 17 Increased exchange loss -6

22 May 2013 I 11 NKT Cables earnings up vs. last year NKT Cables trend Oper. EBITDA (mdkk) 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 8,9% 7,4% 7,4% 5,9% 5,2% 3,9% 2,7% 3,2% 3,5% 4,2% 4,8% 5,3% 5,4% 60 81 142 46 29 9 71 73 40 45 102 103 43 Q1-10 Q2-10 2010 2011 2012 2013 Q3-10 Q4-10 Q1-11 Q2-11 Q3-11 Q4-11 Oper. EBITDA mdkk Oper. EBITDA% LTM Oper. EBITDA% LTM, std. Q1-12 Q2-12 Q3-12 Q4-12 Q4-13 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% Realised 4% organic growth in Q1 2013 Electricity Infrastructure 11% (Q4: 4%) Construction -19% (Q4: -13%) Railway 19% (Q4: 15%) Automotive -8% (Q4: -30%) Organic growth peer is -6% in Q1 2013 Construction -10% (Q4: -3%) Infrastructure -5% (Q4: -10%) Industry -3% (Q4: 6%) Organic growth 2010 2011 2012 2013 - Quarterly (Y/Y) 1% 25% 25% 34% 20% 0% -4% -6% -13% -4% 0% 0% 4% - Annually 16% 1% -4% 4%

22 May 2013 I 12 Nilfisk-Advance earnings impacted negatively by timing of Easter Nilfisk-Advance trend Oper. EBITDA (mdkk) 250 200 150 100 50 0 10,2% 172 11,0% 10,9% 10,7% 10,6% 10,5% 10,8% 11,6% 11,7% 11,7% 11,7% 11,9% 11,8% 191 129 119 181 200 160 191 196 208 158 213 188 2010 2011 2012 2013 Oper. EBITDA mdkk Oper. EBITDA% LTM 14% 13% 12% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% Realised 1% organic growth in Q1 2013 (Q4: 1%) EMEA 2% (Q4: -4%) Americas 4% (Q4: 9%) APAC -10% (Q4: 8%) Organic growth peer -2% in Q1 2013 (Q4: -2%) EMEA -11% (Q4: -15%) Americas 3% (Q4: 3%) APAC -13% (Q4: -5%) Organic growth 2010 2011 2012 2013 - Quarterly (Y/Y) 6% 10% 5% 7% 5% 8% 9% 9% 4% 1% -4% 1% 1% - Annually 7% 8% 0% 1%

22 May 2013 I 13 Nilfisk-Advance Gross profit, LTM development Gross profit margin (%) 46% 45% 44% 43% 42% Q1 2011 41,8% Q1 2012 41,9% Q1 2013 41,7% Gross profit percentage, LTM, is declining due to competition in the market as well as product mix and higher raw materials and freight cost. 41% Full year expectations unchanged 40% 39% 38% 37% 36% 2010 2011 2012 2013

22 May 2013 I 14 Photonics Group able to maintain momentum Revenue, LTM 250 200 Q1 2012 was impacted positively by large project sales, hence satisfactory underlying revenue growth in Q1 2013 is present mdkk 150 100 50 Positive development in fiber lasers continues due to increasing interest from industrial customers Satisfactory underlying growth recorded for Distributed Temperature Sensing (DTS) 0 153 Q1-10 164 174 185 189 191 201 210 225 228 224 237 233 Q2-10 2010 2011 2012 2013 Q3-10 Q4-10 Q1-11 Q2-11 Q3-11 Q4-11 Q1-12 Q2-12 Q3-12 Q4-12 Q1-13 Sales of fiber processing equipment starting to pick up Organic growth 2010 2011 2012 2013 - Quarterly (Y/Y) -15% 23% 24% 26% 13% 6% 25% 19% 31% 3% -11% 20% -6% - Annually 14% 16% 10% -6%

22 May 2013 I 15 Continued focus enabling lower working capital Working Capital (in % of revenue) 24,0% 23,0% 22,0% 21,0% 20,0% 19,0% 18,0% 17,0% 16,0% Q1 2012 21,6% 2.884 mdkk Q1 2013 19,5% 3.119 mdkk WC decreased to 19,5% vs. 19,8% end Q4 (LTM) NKT Cables decreased to 19,5% vs. 19,7% end Q4 (LTM) Nilfisk-Advance decreased to 19,1% vs. 19,5% end Q4 (LTM) Targets remain 18% in Nilfisk-Advance and <17% in NKT Cables 15,0% jan-10 2010 2011 2012 2013 jan-11 WC 3MTH jan-12 LTM jan-13

22 May 2013 I 16 Net interest bearing debt Net interest bearing debt Q1 2012 4,3x 4.491 mdkk Q1 2013 2,7x 2.776 mdkk NIBD of 2.776 mdkk vs. 4.491 mdkk end Q1 2012 and 1.909 mdkk as per end 2012 mdkk 5.000 4.500 4.000 3.500 3.000 2.500 2.000 1.500 1.000 500 0 Q1-10 Q2-10 Q3-10 Q4-10 Q1-11 Q2-11 Q3-11 Q4-11 2010 2011 2012 2013 Q1-12 Q2-12 Q3-12 Q4-12 Q1-13 6,0x 5,0x 4,0x 3,0x 2,0x 1,0x End Q1 2013, NIBD amounts to 2,7x oper. EBITDA (end 2012: 1,8x) Max. NIBD of 2,5x operational EBITDA remains the target Gearing of 50% (end 2012: 33%) Max. ratio of 100% remains the target Solvency ratio of 41% (end 2012: 44%). Ratio >30% remains the target Net interest bearing debt, mdkk Net interest bearing debt relative to operational EBITDA

22 May 2013 I 17 Negative cash flow due to build up of inventory mdkk Q1 2013 Q1 2012 Earnings, EBITDA 217 228 Interest, net -48-59 Changes in working capital -666-116 Other -24-26 Cash flow from operating activities -521 27 Acquisition of subsidaries -1-7 Acq. of property, plant and equipment, net -60-88 Other investments, net -52-39 Cash flow from investing activities -113-134 Free cash flow -634-107 Changes in long- and short-term loans 825 134 Dividend paid -191 0 Cash from exercise of share-based options 7 21 Cash flow from financing activities 641 155 Net cash flow 7 48

22 May 2013 I 18 Cash conversion Q1 impacted by return to normal WC level Cash conversion mdkk 1.500 1.000 500 0-500 -1.000 200% 150% 100% 50% 0% -50% -100% -150% As at March 2013 cash conversion rate was 56%, LTM Cash conversion rate was particularly influenced by the changes in working capital -1.500 Q1-09 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Q2-09 Q3-09 Q4-09 Q1-10 Q2-10 Q3-10 Q4-10 Q1-11 Q2-11 Q3-11 Q4-11 Q1-12 Q2-12 Q3-12 Q4-12 Q1-13 -200% Cash flow, operations LTM Free cash flow Cash conversion % LTM Cash flow, investments LTM (excl. acquisitions) Operational EBITDA LTM

22 May 2013 I 19 Agenda NKT Highlights Q1 2013 Financial results Q1 2013 Companies NKT Cables Nilfisk-Advance Photonics Group Expectations 2013 Questions & Answers

22 May 2013 I 20 NKT Cables Vision NKT Cables is creating value for its customers by providing solutions with cables

22 May 2013 I 21 NKT Cables Sales entities Manufacturing companies and Sales companies 5% 4% 5% 24% 7% 25% 19% 67% 13% 26% 30% 28% 47% Sales by fields of application Electricity Infrastructure Construction Railway Automotives Other Measured in standard metal prices Sales by geography Denmark Germany Eastern Europe Asia Other, primarily Europe Measured in market prices Sales by customers Utilities Wholesalers Industry Measured in standard metal prices All data based on FY 2012

22 May 2013 I 22 NKT Cables highlights Financial Q1 2013 Q1 2012 2012 Revenue 1.799 1.837 8.526 Revenue, std. metal prices 1.149 1.112 5.421 - Org. growth 4% -13% -4% EBITDA 43 40 290 EBITDA margin, std. metal prices 3,7% 3,6% 5,3% Invested capital 4.795 4.550 4.346 # FTEs, ultimo 3.386 3.395 3.385 By area Q1 2013 Electricity Infrastructure +11% Railway +19% Construction -19% Automotive -8% Operational Q1 2013 High utilisation of capacity in Cologne factory More than expected installation works offshore Transshipment and storage terminal in Rotterdam complete Tender activity for submarine contracts remained at high level Additional HV projects won in Q1 Still price competition in China in HV and MV Railway - positive outlook in China Three new Railway contracts won in Q1 Railway tender activity higher Construction: Harsh winter in Europe, price competition

22 May 2013 I 23 Ericsson acquisition NKT Cables has signed a conditional purchase agreement with Ericsson concerning acquisition of Ericsson s power cable operations ("Energy Business") Revenue of approx. 1,3 bn. DKK in 2012 Expected to have neutral impact on NKT earnings in 2013. Affects revenue in std. prices with approx. 500 mdkk in 2013 The transaction is subject to relevant regulatory approval and is expected to be completed beginning of 3rd quarter 2013. The total consideration amounts to 250 msek, equivalent to approx. 220 mdkk (enterprise value) The acquisition is a central element in the growth strategy for NKT Cables Products business unit, focusing on strengthening the company s position in the medium and low voltage cables segment in selected markets

22 May 2013 I 24 Nilfisk-Advance Mission We enable sustainable cleaning worldwide to improve quality of life

22 May 2013 I 25 Nilfisk Advance Sales entities Manufacturing companies 8% 7% 13% 11% 18% 42% 62% 51% 25% 25% 38% Sales by products Floor care Vacuum cleaners High-pressure washers Service Other Sales by geography EMEA Americas Asia/Pacific Sales by customers Commercial market Industrial market Private consumer market All data based on FY 2012

22 May 2013 I 26 Nilfisk-Advance highlights Financials mdkk Q1 Q1 2013 2012 2012 Revenue 1.655 1.636 6.491 - Org. growth 1% 4% 0% Oper. EBITDA* 188 196 775 Oper. EBITDA margin 11,4% 12,0% 11,9% Invested capital 3.374 3.314 3.073 # FTEs, ultimo 5.327 5.326 5.224 By geography Q1 2013 EMEA +2% Americas +4% APAC -10% Operational Q1 2013 EMEA: backed by local sales representation, wellestablished sales companies and direct service Cost saving plan continues Growth in Central and South America and the US APAC: economic hesitation BRIC+MT: double-digit growth List prices raised by around 2% Profit negatively influenced by market pressure on prices, change in sales mix, from professional towards domestic consumers China: rising exchange rates and increasing costs Fixed costs reduced by 1.5% via tight cost control and savings

22 May 2013 I 27 Photonics Group Vision To lead the way in transforming the Photonics Industry

22 May 2013 I 28 Photonics Group Sales by products Imaging Sensing Fiber Processing 27% 35% 38% All data based on FY 2012 HQ NKT Photonics HQ Lios Technology HQ Vytran

22 May 2013 I 29 Photonics Group highlights Financials mdkk Q1 Q1 2013 2012 2012 Revenue 55 59 237 - Org. growth -6% 31% 10% EBITDA -5-1 9 Invested capital 204 185 210 # FTEs, ultimo 188 185 182 Operational Q1 2013 Imaging: Significant order intake and strong interest Ongoing expansion of production facilities Sensing: Strong growth Successful pilot installations for permanent reservoir monitoring of oil fields. Results will be of great importance to the future sales potential Now access to the Chinese market for fire detection Fiber Processing: the US market showed signs of recovery Strong order intake from industrial customers in med-tech

22 May 2013 I 30 Agenda NKT Highlights Q1 2013 Financial results Q1 2013 Companies NKT Cables Nilfisk-Advance Photonics Group Expectations 2013 Questions & Answers

22 May 2013 I 31 Unchanged expectations 2013 Revenue for 2013 measured in standard metal prices covering the existing part of the Group is expected to be on a par with 2012. This is unchanged from the forecast in the 2012 Annual Report. The same applies to operational EBITDA. These expectations remain dependent on project timetables being met by NKT Cables and on the development in NKT s main markets being in line with 2012. The expected acquisition of Ericsson s power cable operations at the beginning of Q3 2013 will increase revenue in standard metal prices however by appox. 500 mdkk, but is not expected to influence earnings in 2013. The transaction is expected to positively impact earnings for NKT Cables as from 2014.

22 May 2013 I 32 Agenda NKT Highlights 2012 Financial results 2012 Companies NKT Cables Nilfisk-Advance Photonics Group Acquisition Expectations 2013 Questions & Answers

22 May 2013 I 33 Forward looking statements This presentation and related comments contain forward-looking statements. Such statements are subject to many uncertainties and risks as various factors, of which several are beyond NKT Group s control, may cause that the actual development and results differ materially from the expectations.