Technical Assistance Consultant s Report

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Technical Assistance Consultant s Report Project Number: 49273 January 2017 Sri Lanka: Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises Line of Credit Project (Financed by the Japan Fund for Poverty Reduction) Prepared by KPMG Colombo, Sri Lanka For Ministry of Finance s Department of Development Finance This consultant s report does not necessarily reflect the views of ADB or the Government concerned, and ADB and the Government cannot be held liable for its contents. (For project preparatory technical assistance: All the views expressed herein may not be incorporated into the proposed project s design.

Performance Report January 2017 TA 9080 SRI: Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises Line of Credit Project 2016 KPMG, a Sri Lankan partnership, and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

Preface The SME Line of Credit is an initiative by the Ministry of Finance and the Asian Development Bank (ADB) where ADB will provide USD 100 million with the aim of channeling more funds to Sri Lankan firms that struggle to access the finance they need to grow. The ADB funds will be lent to participating financial institutions (PFIs) that will then lend the funds to small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). To access the funds, the PFIs have to bid successfully for the funds at eight semiannual auctions across four years. This auction mechanism was introduced to create a market price for bank borrowings that are targeted for on-lending to the least-well served SMEs, such as new or rural borrowers or those led by women. As PFIs are likely to bid below their estimated marginal borrowing costs, they will maintain a financial incentive to disburse the funds. It is expected that the auction mechanism will address previous credit lines difficulties in incentivizing PFIs to disburse the funds quickly and efficiently to SMEs. ii

Performance Analysis The first auction was concluded on the 27 th of April 2016 where 9 PFIs participated and one PFI, National Development Bank PLC (NDB), won the whole tranche of USD 12.5m at an interest rate of 6.01% (Annexure 1). Performance is tracked against two broad parameters. First, the PFIs need to disburse the funds; the project will have no development impact if the funds remain undisbursed. Second, the funds once disbursed need to reach the intended borrowers. Performance Analysis Disbursement On an absolute basis, disbursements have been strong, and almost the entire tranche was on-lent to SMEs in approximately a month s time (Table 1). Table 1: Disbursement Summary Fund Disbursement Disbursement Start Date 28 th July 2016 End of Reporting Period 11 th November 2016 Total Days 106 Days Fund Utilization Total Auctioned Funds LKR 1,821,832,500 (USD 12,500,000 equivalent) Funds On-Lent to SMEs LKR 1,821,832,500 (at exchange rate of 145.7466) Utilization 100% Disbursements are also strong on a relative basis. Compared to ADB s Small and Medium Enterprise Regional Development Project, which ran from 2008-2012, the auction mechanism s financial incentives are driving disbursements at a much faster rate (Table 2). Table 2: Comparison with Previous SME Credit Lines Small and Medium Enterprise Regional Development Project (2008-2012) SME Line of Credit (2016-2019) Loans disbursed $40,371,325 $12,500,000 Months 45.27 Months 3.14 Months Rate $0.89 million per month $3.98 million per month a a Given funds are disbursed only semiannually, this rate is expected to decline to an average of approximately $2 million per month over the project s lifespan. 1

Performance Analysis Development Indicators In designing the credit line, the Ministry of Finance and ADB selected development indicators against which the project would be measured. These indicators focused on borrowers that are often excluded from the banking sector such as first-time borrowers or women-led SMEs. Presently, the project is exceeding the development indicators. In particular, loans to first-time borrowers and women-led enterprises are well above their targets (Table 3). The one indicator that has performed poorly is working capital loans against which fixed or financial assets have not been pledged. This indicator aims to encourage cash flow lending. The underperformance could reflect the winner of the first auction s specific credit policies or the banking sector s general discomfort with cash flow lending. In any case, PFIs in subsequent auctions will only be allowed to extend working capital lines if fixed and financial assets are not pledged. Table 3: Development Indicators Criteria Target Actual Success The number of sub loans to SMEs borrowing from a commercial or specialized bank for the first time 10% 21.87% The number of sub loans is to SMEs that are led by women 5% 23.75% The amount of sub loans is lent cumulatively to targeted SMEs 50% 86.14% SMEs where funds are used for subprojects outside of Colombo District - 76.25% SMEs borrowing for working capital against which fixed or financial assets are not pledged - 0.00% SMEs led by women - 23.75% SMEs which had not previously borrowed from a licensed commercial or specialized bank. Performance of Sub-loans - 21.88% An analysis was carried out to evaluate the performance of the sub-loans as at 31 st December 2016. The outcomes of the analysis are as follows: Auction Total Portfolio Total Past Due Non-Performing Loans Write Downs No. Value LKR No. of Loans No. of Loans Amount LKR Avg No. of Days Outstanding No. of Loans Amount LKR Percent age (%) No. of Loans Value LKR Percent age (%) 1 1,522,345,354 160 42 402,480,287 26 0 0.00 0.00% 0 0 0.00% Additional information on the SMEs assisted under the program is included in Annexure 2. 2

Annexure 1: Summary of First Auction Bidding Bank Name Bid Rate Bid Amount Allocated Amount National Development Bank 6.01 12,500,000 12,500,000 Sampath Bank 5.03 12,500,000 0 Commercial Bank of Ceylon 5.01 5,000,000 0 Nation's Trust Bank 4.90 5,000,000 0 DFCC 4.50 4,000,000 0 Peoples Bank 4.01 3,000,000 0 Hatton National Bank 4.00 8,000,000 0 Seylan Bank 3.80 3,000,000 0 Bank of Ceylon 2.51 3,000,000 0 Annexure 2: Summary of SME Lending Bank Fund Disbursement NDB Bank PLC Total Value of Loans Disbursed (LKR) 1,821,832,500.00 Utilization of SME Credit Line (LKR) 1,821,832,500.00 Funds Unutilized (LKR) - Summary of SME Loans Total Number of Loans Disbursed 160 Average Upfront fee (LKR) 256,763 Average Interest Rate 11% Average Interest Rate vs. Average Weighted Prime Lending Rate (AWPLR) Average Margin over Funding Cost 5% Average Tenor (Months) 59 Average Equity Contribution of SMEs to Total Subproject Amount 0.21% points below 6-month AWPLR as of 30 th September 2016 32% SMEs Average Annual Turnover 220,585,009 SMEs Average Number of Employees 30 Interest Rate Rate Analysis 9% - 10% 4% 10% - 11% 88% 11% -12% 5% 12% - 13% 4% 13% - 14% 1% Margin Over Funding Cost 3% - 4% 3% 4% - 5% 85% 5% - 6% 8% 6% - 7% 3% 7% - 8% 1% Percentage of Total Loans Percentage of Total Loans 3

Previous Loan Taken from PFI (Percent of Disbursements) Collateral Type (Percent of Loans on Type of Collateral) 20% 80% Borrowing for the first time Previous Loan Taken 2% 0% 4% 35% 1% 58% Cash Real Estate Moveable Equipment Inventory Gold Other Financial Asset Chart 01 Chart 03 Out of 160 loans disbursed, only one was given without obtaining collateral, i.e. 99% of the loans were collateralized. First Time Borrowers (Percent of Disbursement) Legal Structure (Percent of Disbursements) 22% 1% Not a first time borrower First time borrower 28% Sole Trader 55% Partnership 78% 16% Private Limited Liability Co. PLC 4

Wholesale & retail Trade Transport & Communication Manufacturing Services Construction industry Agro Processing Hotels, Restaurant & Tourism Jewellery& Gem Livestock and Dairy Health care Fisheries Ornamental Fish Mining & Quarrying Leasing & Rental Educational Activities Carpentry, Furniture &Lathe work Agriculture Sector Activity 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% Percent of Disbursements District of Borrower's Project Colombo Gampaha Galle Kurunegala Kalutara Ratnapura Puttalam Kegalle Anuradhapura Polonnaruwa Hambantota Ampara Nuwara Eliya Kandy Badulla Monaragala Matara Jaffna Vavuniya, Trincomalee Matale Batticaloa 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% Percent of Disbursements 5