Natural Hazards Types of Natural Hazard: Bushfire Earthquake Flood Landslide Storm / Weather Tsunami Volcanic eruption Department Name 00 Month 2010 Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 2 Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 3 Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 4 Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 5 Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 6 1
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Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 13 Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 14 Earthquake Earthquake Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 15 Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 16 Earthquake Earthquake Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 17 Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 18 3
Earthquake Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 19 Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 20 Earthquakes in Australia Earthquakes in Australia Location Year Magnitude Meeberrie WA 1941 7.2 Adelaide 1954 5.5 Newcastle 1989 5.6 Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 21 Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 22 Earthquakes in Australia Earthquakes in Australia Location Year Magnitude Meeberrie WA 1941 7.2 Adelaide 1954 5.5 Newcastle 1989 5.6 Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 23 Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 24 4
Earthquakes in Australia Earthquakes in Australia Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 25 Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 26 Tsunami Construction for Earthquakes Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 27 Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 28 Tsunami Tsunami Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 29 Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 30 5
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Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 43 Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 44 Natural Context of Fire Natural Context of Fire Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 45 Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 46 Actual fire distribution Based on 10 years of satellite data Cultural Context of Fire Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 47 Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 48 8
Cultural Context of Fire Cultural Context of Fire Prior to 1788 fire was not a hazard: Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 49 The secret of fire in our traditional knowledge is that it is a thing that brings the land alive again. So we do not necessarily see fire as bad and destructive...but it is not a thing to play with unless people understand the nature of fire. Dean Yibarbuk and Peter Cooke, Savanna Burning Understanding and Using Fire in Northern Australia, Tropical Savannas CRC, 2001 Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 50 Political Context Political Context Number of Canberra Houses Destroyed by Bushfire per Year 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 51 Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 52 Fire management by RESPONSE Floods Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 53 Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 54 9
Floods Floods Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 55 Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 56 Cost of disasters in Australia Cost of disasters in Australia Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 57 Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 58 Cost of disasters in Australia Cost of disasters in Australia Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 59 Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 60 10
Cost of disasters in Australia Expenditure on disasters in Australia Anti-terror expenditure from 2001 to 2011 >$21 Billion (ASPI) Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 61 Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 62 Expenditure on disasters in Australia Disaster Decision Making Research in the last 15 20 years indicates that there is almost universal failure to make good decisions in the face of infrequent natural hazards. This is largely due to hard-wired elements of human cognition... Cognitive bias Kahneman, D 2011 Thinking, fast and Slow Framing Availability heuristic Unreasonable Optimism Outcome expectancy Shifting blame / responsibility Persistent failure to grasp probability Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 63 Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 64 Conclusions: Conclusions: Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 65 Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 66 11