Andrew Hood
When is debt a problem? Lots of attention on total size of unsecured household debt Now more than 200 billion on the Bank of England s measure Might be important for financial stability...... but poor guide to extent to which debt is a problem for households More than 60% of unsecured debt held by households with aboveaverage incomes More than half of households with unsecured debt have enough financial assets to pay them off
When is debt a problem for households? Use of consumer debt can raise household living standards... E.g. buying car on hire-purchase could allow an individual to take a higher-paid job E.g. maintaining spending during temporary fall in income...or have a significant negative impact E.g. household takes out debt to cover regular spending and then finds that repayments are taking up large share of income Important to try to distinguish when debt is a problem Using information on the wider economic circumstances of households
Data We use the Wealth and Assets Survey (WAS) 4 waves of data (2006-08 to 2012-14) on the same households Over 20,000 households in each wave Extensive information on debt holdings and repayments for a representative sample of households in Great Britain Size of debt repayments and how long they will be made for Captures all different types of unsecured household debt
Unsecured household debt in Great Britain Mail Order 1% Overdraft 5% Arrears 2% Hire Purchase 21% Formal Loans 43% Credit Cards 24% Store Cards 1% Informal Loans 3% Source: Figure 2.2 of report
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 73 76 79 82 85 88 91 94 97 100 How is debt distributed across households? 70% of unsecured debt 20% of unsecured debt Just over half of households have no unsecured debt 10% of unsecured debt Source: Figure 2.1 of report Less indebted More indebted
Percentage of individuals % of individuals in households with some debt, by age 80% 70% 60% 50% Any debts 40% 30% Debt of at least 1,000 20% 10% 0% Debt of at least 10,000 Source: Figure 2.3 of report Age
Percentage of individuals % of individuals in households with some debt, by income 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Any debts Debt of at least 1,000 Debt of at least 10,000 Age-adjusted equivalised income decile Source: Figure 2.4 of report
Percentage of individuals % of individuals in households in debt and net debt, by income 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Any debts Debt bigger than financial assets + net property wealth Debts bigger than financial assets Age-adjusted equivalised income decile Source: Figure 2.6 of report
Percentage of individuals Persistence of debt by age How many waves out of the last 4 were individuals in debt? 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Latest wave only 2 waves 3 waves All 4 waves Age Source: Figure 2.7 of report
Percentage of individuals Persistence of net debt by income How many waves out of the last 4 were individuals in net debt? 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Latest wave only 2 waves 3 waves All 4 waves Age-adjusted equivalised income decile Source: Figure 2.8 of report
Summary Unsecured household debt in GB significant 50% of households have some debt, 10% have more than 10,000 Crucial to try to distinguish when debt might be a problem E.g. low-income households less likely to hold some debt But much more likely to have more in debts than in financial assets Unsecured debt persistent over time More than half of those with debts in latest data had debts on all four occasions they were interviewed (spanning a period of six years)