Kraft Foods. Hitting Our Sweet Spot in Europe. Deutsche Bank Global Consumer Conference June 15, 2011

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Transcription:

Kraft Foods Hitting Our Sweet Spot in Europe Deutsche Bank Global Consumer Conference June 15, 2011

Forward-looking statements This presentation contains a number of forward-looking statements. The words believe, expect, anticipate, intend, plan, goals, may, aim, will and similar expressions are intended to identify our forward-looking statements. Examples of forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements we make regarding our portfolio; the virtuous cycle; top-tier growth; long-term targets; our strategies; delivering guidance; margin goals; well positioned to succeed; five key priorities in 2011; productivity growth; overheads; pricing; cost management; and top-tier performance. These forwardlooking statements involve risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond our control, and important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, increased competition, pricing actions, continued volatility in and increase in commodity costs, risks from operating globally and tax law changes. For additional information on these and other factors that could affect our forward-looking statements, see our risk factors, as they may be amended from time to time, set forth in our filings with the SEC, including our most recently filed Annual Report on Form 10-K and subsequent reports on Forms 10-Q and 8-K. We disclaim and do not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement in this presentation, except as required by applicable law or regulation.

Chris Jakubik Vice President, Investor Relations

Began our transformation in 2007 Geographic Mix (1) Convenient Meals 16% Sector Mix (1) Grocery 15% Snacks 29% European Union 20% Developing Markets, Oceania, North Asia 13% North America 67% Discounter/ Club/Mass/ Other ~25% Channel Mix ICC ~10% Grocery ~65% Cheese 19% Beverages 21% (1) As reported originally in Kraft Foods 2006 Form 10-K filed with the SEC on March 1, 2007. Amounts have not been revised to reflect the current Kraft Foods structure and accordingly are not in line with current presentation. 4

Today s portfolio positioned for sustainable, top-tier growth Geographic Mix (1) Convenient Meals 10% Sector Mix (1) Grocery 8% Confectionery (2) 29% KFDM 28% KFE 24% KFNA 48% Channel Mix (1) ICC ~20% Cheese 14% Beverages 18% Biscuits (2) 21% Discounter/ Club/Mass/ Other ~25% Grocery ~55% (1) 2010 Pro Forma amounts reflect the acquisition of Cadbury on a full-year basis. (2) Biscuits and Confectionery were previously reported combined and known as Snacks. With the Cadbury acquisition, the Biscuits and Confectionery sectors have been separately broken out. The Biscuits sector primarily includes cookies, crackers and nuts. The Confectionery sector includes chocolate, gum and candy. 5

Virtuous cycle will deliver sustainable top-tier growth Focus on Power Brands, Categories, Markets Reinvest in Growth Increase A&C, NPD % of Net Revenue Drive Top-Tier Growth Organic Net Revenue Growth Leverage Overheads ZOG, NOG, HOG Reduce Costs Drive Productivity Expand Gross Margins 6

Michael Clarke President, Kraft Foods Europe

Becoming Europe s favorite snacking company Kraft Foods Europe has transformed Strategies are working, building momentum Well positioned to deliver within guidance 8

Today s Kraft Foods Europe Kraft Foods Europe - 2007 (1) Kraft Foods Europe 2010 (1) Cheese 15% Convenient Meals 22% Grocery 19% Other (3) 10% Beverages 35% Cheese & Foodservice 21% Snacks 24% Snacks (2) 40% Beverages 14% Other (3) 5% Cheese 8% Beverages 22% Biscuits (2) 20% Confectionery (2) 45% Snacks ~65% Net Revenues $7.0 billion Net Revenues $11.6 billion (1) 2007 results are as reported in Kraft Foods 2009 Form 10-K filed with the SEC on February 25, 2010. 2010 results are as reported in Kraft Foods 2010 Form 10-K filed with the SEC on February 25, 2011. (2) Biscuits and Confectionery were previously reported combined and known as Snacks. With the Cadbury acquisition, the Biscuits and Confectionery sectors have been separately broken out. The Biscuits sector primarily includes cookies, crackers and nuts. The Confectionery sector includes chocolate, gum and candy. (3) Includes the Grocery and Convenient Meals sectors. 9

Today s Kraft Foods Europe Kraft Foods Europe 2007 Kraft Foods Europe - 2010 23% Other Germany 2 Markets >$1Bn Iberia Other Germany 5 Markets >$1Bn Iberia Italy 14% 14% France Italy France 11% Nordic* UK & Ireland Nordic* UK & Ireland 23% Net Revenues $7.0 billion Net Revenues $11.6 billion * Includes Norway, Sweden, Denmark and Finland. 10

Unrivaled portfolio with leadership positions Category Portfolio Position in market (1) Chocolate #1 Biscuits #1 #1 in Snacks Gum & Candy #1 Coffee #1 Cheese & Grocery #1 (1) Category positions based on 2010 Nielsen data and include countries in which Kraft Foods competes. Total Snacks position based on 2010 Euromonitor. 11

KFE good momentum resulting in consistent delivery of top line growth in 2010 Combined Organic Revenue Growth vs. PY (1) 3.9% Power Brands +6% 3.0% 2.3% 1.1% 1.6% Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10 FY 2010 (1) Reported net revenue growth for Q1 10, Q2 10, Q3 10, Q4 10 and Q1 11 was 40.5%, 34.1%, 29.0%, 28.6% and 11.3%, respectively. See GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliation at the end of this presentation. 12

Growth accelerated in Q1 2011 Organic Net Revenue Growth (1) 5 th consecutive quarter of top line growth +4.4% Pricing +2.4 pp Vol/Mix +2.0 pp Power Brands +6% Good balance of vol/mix, pricing Priced earlier than competitors Easter shift impact to vol/mix ~(2.5)pp, primarily in Chocolate Q1 11 (1) Reported Net Revenues increased 11.3%. See GAAP to Non-GAAP reconciliation at the end of this presentation. 13

Quality of results is reflected in sustainable margin/oi growth Segment Operating Income Margins (1)(2) 9 th consecutive quarter of bottom line growth 11.6% +4.0pp 10.7% (reported) 13.2% +3.2pp 12.0% (reported) 12.4% +2.2pp 11.1% +2.9pp 12.4% (reported) 11.9% +0.3pp 10.2% (reported) 4.6% (reported) Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Underlying OI Growth (3) 114.4% 76.9% 56.9% 73.6% 14.7% (1) Reflects underlying segment operating income margins, which is defined as segment operating income excluding costs related to: the Integration Program; and acquisition-related costs, including transaction advisory fees, UK stamp taxes and the impact of the Cadbury inventory revaluation. See GAAP to Non-GAAP reconciliation at the end of this presentation. (2) Percentage point variance vs. prior year, valid for all periods. (3) Reported OI growth for Q1 10, Q2 10, Q3 10, Q4 10 and FY 10 were 97.9%, 61.1%, 57.3%, (27.7)% and 42.0%, respectively. 14

Strategies are working Stepping-up top-line growth On-track to deliver margin goals LU and Cadbury integration progressing well 15

Well positioned to succeed in a challenging environment Economy Consumer Customer GDP back to growth ~+1.5% High unemployment ~+9% EU financial austerity measures Commodities at historic highs, Euro volatility Consumer confidence recovering, remaining fragile Consumer focus on: Snacking and Convenience Sustainability and Health & Wellness Retailer brands with ~ 31% share Discounter channel with ~17% share Retailer fighting for shoppers Need for greater differentiation Sourcing margin improvement from suppliers 16

Five key priorities in 2011 Power Brands driving sustainable growth Cross category sales leverage World-class Cost Management Pricing to cover cost inflation Building a winning organization 17

Focus resources on 15 Power Brands Chocolate Biscuits Choco-Bakery Gum & Candy Coffee Cheese & Grocery 18

Chocolate expanding into broader Snacking Power Brand focus Differentiate via innovation and integrated marketing communications Capture revenue synergies Lever snacking propositions 19

Biscuits and Coffee leverage snacking propositions Biscuits Power Brands focus Coffee Power Brands focus Choco-Bakery Differentiate heritage brands, leverage umbrella branding Spain Q1 Expand Tassimo in on-demand UK Q1 UK/ Port Q 2 Plain Sandwich Exploit snacking occasions, expand in white space markets Reframe Soluble 20

Cheese and Gum & Candy accelerate power brand growth Cheese & Grocery Focus on Philadelphia Gum & Candy Power Brands focus Drive versatility strategy and expand into Snacking Grow pan-eu Gum platform via NPD & 360% communication Expand usage of Halls via range re-launch and NPD 21

All Power Brands playing a role in Snacking Consumer Snacking Occasions* Morning Start Wholesome Munchies Routine Break Spontaneous Munching Social Sharing Personal Indulgence Other Chocolate Biscuits Choco-Bakery Gum & Candy Platform Coffee Gum Cheese * Snacking = everything consumed outside meals or as a meal replacement 22

Cross category sales leverage Leverage Kraftness Driving Pan-EU bets Leveraging cross-category scale Focused on shoppers & customers Drive availability Win at point of buying Own events, cross-category promotions Own Hot Zone, multi-touch points Effective customer collaboration Joint business planning Tailored initiatives 23

Continue with world class cost management End to End Productivity Growth Procurement Manufacturing Customer Service & Logistics Synergies Negative Overhead Growth Pan-EU Category Model Simplified processes Function transformation Integration synergies ~3% Productivity % of COGS ~3.5% ~4% 2009 2010 Run-Rate Overheads % of Net Revenue (1) 17.7% 15.7% < 14% Kraft Foods Europe Base Business Including Cadbury 2009 2010 2013E (1) Excludes acquisition-related and integration program costs. Reported Overheads as a % of Net Revenues for FY 2010 was 17.5%. See GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliation at the end of this presentation. 24

Countering input cost inflation 2010 Announced pricing actions on majority of portfolio Not fully recovering rising input costs Strong cost management 2011 Commodities spikes continuing Additional pricing to cover majority of cost inflation Accelerated cost management and Cadbury integration synergies to deliver margin expansion Equity building paying off 25

Building a winning organization Our organization: Fit to Win Category model in place Integration on-track Pan-EU initiatives Our people: Passion to Win Build performance-driven, value-led culture Pride in our brands, external orientation Invest in Marketers and Sales teams 26

Kraft Foods Europe will continue driving a virtuous cycle Focus on Power Brands ~80% of NR growth Drive Top-Tier OI Margins Mid-teens Drive Top-Tier Growth Organic Net Revenue +2-3% Reinvest in Growth A&C >8.5% of NR NPD ~12% of NR Reduce Costs/ Leverage Overheads Productivity 4% COGS Continued NOG (1) (1) NOG = Negative Overhead Growth 27

Europe s favorite Snacking company Unrivaled portfolio Strategies are working, building momentum Growth roadmap defined Top Tier Financial Performance Significant synergy potential 28

GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliation Net Revenues to Organic Net Revenues ($ in millions, except percentages) (Unaudited) Add back: % Change Q1 2010 As Reported (GAAP) Impact of Divestitures Impact of Acquisitions Impact of Currency Base Kraft Foods Organic (Non-GAAP) Impact of Acquisitions - Cadbury (1) Impact of Currency - Cadbury (1) Cadbury Organic (Non-GAAP) (1) Combined Organic (2) (Non-GAAP) As Reported (GAAP) Base Kraft Foods Organic (Non-GAAP) Cadbury Organic (Non-GAAP) (1) Combined Organic (2) (Non-GAAP) Kraft Foods Europe $ 2,709 $ - $ (589) $ (151) $ 1,969 $ 589 $ (37) $ 552 $ 2,521 40.5% 2.5% 4.9% 3.0% Q1 2009 Kraft Foods Europe $ 1,928 $ (7) $ - $ - $ 1,921 $ 526 $ - $ 526 $ 2,447 Q2 2010 Kraft Foods Europe $ 2,793 $ - $ (662) $ 52 $ 2,183 $ 662 $ 34 $ 696 $ 2,879 34.1% 5.2% 0.0% 3.9% Q2 2009 Kraft Foods Europe $ 2,083 $ (7) $ - $ - $ 2,076 $ 696 $ - $ 696 $ 2,772 Q3 2010 Kraft Foods Europe $ 2,670 $ - $ (746) $ 180 $ 2,104 $ 746 $ 52 $ 798 $ 2,902 29.0% 1.7% (0.4)% 1.1% Q3 2009 Kraft Foods Europe $ 2,070 $ (1) $ - $ - $ 2,069 $ 801 $ - $ 801 $ 2,870 Q4 2010 Kraft Foods Europe $ 3,456 $ - $ (895) $ 186 $ 2,747 $ 895 $ 42 $ 937 $ 3,684 28.6% 2.2% (0.1)% 1.6% Q4 2009 Kraft Foods Europe $ 2,687 $ - $ - $ - $ 2,687 $ 938 $ - $ 938 $ 3,625 Full Year 2010 Kraft Foods Europe $ 11,628 $ - $ (2,892) $ 267 $ 9,003 $ 2,892 $ 91 $ 2,983 $ 11,986 32.6% 2.9% 0.7% 2.3% Full Year 2009 Kraft Foods Europe $ 8,768 $ (15) $ - $ - $ 8,753 $ 2,961 $ - $ 2,961 $ 11,714 (1) Kraft Foods acquired Cadbury plc on February 2, 2010. Cadbury data, shown above, is for February through December 2010 and 2009, adjusted from IFRS to U.S. GAAP and translated to US$ from local countries' currencies. Cadbury 2009 data is presented on a combined company, pro forma basis. (2) Combined Organic Net Revenues and corresponding growth ratios includes the impact of significant acquisitions, and excludes the impact of other acquisitions, divestitures and currency. 30

GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliation Net Revenues to Organic Net Revenues For the Three Months Ended March 31, ($ in millions, except percentages) (Unaudited) % Change 2011 As Reported (GAAP) Impact of Divestitures (1) Impact of Acquisitions (2) Impact of Accounting Calendar Changes Impact of Currency Organic (Non- GAAP) (3) As Reported (GAAP) Organic (Non- GAAP) (3) Kraft Foods Europe $ 3,016 $ - $ (201) $ - $ 12 $ 2,827 11.3% 4.4% 2010 Kraft Foods Europe $ 2,709 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 2,709 (1) (2) (3) Impact of divestitures includes Starbucks CPG business. Impact of acquisitions reflects the incremental January 2011 operating results from our Cadbury acquisition. Organic net revenues and corresponding growth ratios exclude the impacts of acquisitions, divestitures (including the Starbucks CPG business), currency and and accounting calendar changes. 31

GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliation Segment Operating Income to Underlying Segment Operating Income ($ in millions, except percentages) (Unaudited) Kraft Foods Europe 2010 2009 Year over Year Change As Reported (GAAP) Integration Program Costs (1) Acquisition- Related Costs (2) Underlying (Non-GAAP) As Reported (GAAP) Integration Program Costs (1) Acquisition- Related Costs (2) Underlying (Non-GAAP) As Reported (GAAP) Underlying (Non-GAAP) For the Three Months Ended March 31, Segment Operating Income $ 289 $ 1 $ 23 $ 313 $ 146 $ - $ - $ 146 97.9% 114.4% Segment Operating Income Margin 10.7% 11.6% 7.6% 7.6% 3.1 pp 4.0 pp For the Three Months Ended June 30, Segment Operating Income $ 335 $ 33 $ - $ 368 $ 208 $ - $ - $ 208 61.1% 76.9% Segment Operating Income Margin 12.0% 13.2% 10.0% 10.0% 2.0 pp 3.2 pp For the Three Months Ended September 30, Segment Operating Income $ 332 $ (1) $ - $ 331 $ 211 $ - $ - $ 211 57.3% 56.9% Segment Operating Income Margin 12.4% 12.4% 10.2% 10.2% 2.2 pp 2.2 pp For the Three Months Ended December 31, Segment Operating Income $ 159 $ 223 $ - $ 382 $ 220 $ - $ - $ 220 (27.7)% 73.6% Segment Operating Income Margin 4.6% 11.1% 8.2% 8.2% (3.6)pp 2.9 pp For the Twelve Months Ended December 31, Segment Operating Income $ 1,115 $ 256 $ 23 $ 1,394 $ 785 $ - $ - $ 785 42.0% 77.6% Segment Operating Income Margin 9.6% 12.0% 9.0% 9.0% 0.6 pp 3.0 pp (1) Integration Program costs are defined as the costs associated with combining the Kraft Foods and Cadbury businesses, and are separate from those costs associated with the acquisition. (2) Acquisition-related costs include transaction advisory fees, U.K. stamp taxes and the impact of the Cadbury inventory revaluation. 32

GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliation Segment Operating Income to Underlying Segment Operating Income ($ in millions, except percentages) (Unaudited) As Reported (GAAP) Integration Program Costs (1) Acquisition- Related Costs (2) Underlying (Non-GAAP) Kraft Foods Europe 2011 2010 Year over Year Change As Reported (GAAP) Integration Program Costs (1) Acquisition- Related Costs (2) Underlying (Non-GAAP) As Reported (GAAP) Underlying (Non-GAAP) For the Three Months Ended March 31, Segment Operating Income $ 308 $ 51 $ - $ 359 $ 289 $ 1 $ 23 $ 313 6.6% 14.7% Segment Operating Income Margin 10.2% 11.9% 10.7% 11.6% (0.5)pp 0.3 pp (1) Integration Program costs are defined as the costs associated with combining the Kraft Foods and Cadbury businesses, and are separate from those costs associated with the acquisition. (2) Acquisition-related costs include transaction advisory fees, U.K. stamp taxes and the impact of the Cadbury inventory revaluation. 33

GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliation As Reported (GAAP) Overheads For the Twelve Months Ended December 31, ($ in millions, except percentages) (Unaudited) Integration Program Costs (1) 2010 2009 Increase/(Decrease) Base Kraft Base Kraft As Adjusted Foods As Reported As Reported Foods (Non- (Non-GAAP) Cadbury (Non-GAAP) (GAAP) (GAAP) GAAP) Kraft Foods Europe Net Revenues $ 11,628 $ - $ 11,628 $ (2,892) $ 8,736 $ 8,768 Overheads $ 2,031 $ (209) $ 1,822 $ (443) $ 1,379 $ 1,548 31.2% (10.9)% Overheads As % of Net Revenues 17.5% 15.7% 15.8% 17.7% (0.2)pp (1.9)pp (1) Integration Program costs are defined as the costs associated with combining the Kraft Foods and Cadbury businesses, and are separate from those costs associated with the acquisition. 34