November 7, U.S. Cellular Midwest Market Announcement TDS Third Quarter 2012 Results and Guidance

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Transcription:

November 7, 2012 U.S. Cellular Midwest Market Announcement TDS Third Quarter 2012 Results and Guidance

Safe Harbor Statement Under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 Safe Harbor Statement Under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995: All information set forth in this presentation, except historical and factual information, represents forward-looking statements. This includes all statements about the company s plans, beliefs, estimates and expectations. These statements are based on current estimates, projections and assumptions, which involve certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements. Important factors that may affect these forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to: Impacts of the Sprint Transaction including, but not limited to, the ability to obtain regulatory approval, successfully complete the transactions and the financial impacts of such transactions; the ability of the company to successfully manage and grow its markets; the overall economy; competition; the access to and pricing of unbundled network elements; the ability to obtain or maintain roaming arrangements with other carriers on acceptable terms; the state and federal telecommunications regulatory environment; the value of assets and investments; adverse changes in the ratings afforded TDS and U.S. Cellular debt securities by accredited ratings organizations; industry consolidation; advances in telecommunications technology; uncertainty of access to the capital markets; pending and future litigation; changes in income tax rates, laws, regulations or rulings; acquisitions/divestitures of properties and/or licenses; and changes in customer growth rates, average monthly revenue per user, churn rates, roaming revenue and terms, the availability of handset devices, or the mix of products and services offered by U.S. Cellular and TDS Telecom. Investors are encouraged to consider these and other risks and uncertainties that are discussed in documents furnished to the SEC. 2

Upcoming conferences 12/3/12 UBS 40 th Annual Global Media and Communications Conference, New York 1/8/13 Citi Global Internet, Media & Telecommunications Conference, Las Vegas 3

U.S. Cellular Midwest market announcement Taking action to improve U.S. Cellular s competitive position Continuing to evaluate opportunities to create shareholder value 4

Transaction improves competitive position Enables focus on stronger markets to increase growth and profitability Remain committed to our customer satisfaction strategy Transaction Markets not projected to earn adequate return Significant network investment necessary to remain competitive Attractive valuation $820/subscriber $1.74/MHz POP Retaining direct and indirect ownership interests in tower portfolio and other spectrum in Transaction Markets Call center transition increases efficiency, reduces costs U.S. Cellular headquarters remaining in Chicago 5

Terms of the transaction Price: Sprint to pay $480 million Markets: Chicago, St. Louis, Central Illinois, Indiana/Michigan/Ohio (see map) Spectrum: Most of the PCS licenses in these markets Customers: 585,000 total; approx. 10% of total customers Transition Services Agreements: Terms of up to 24 months from close Network: Sprint to pay U.S. Cellular to operate network, and reimburse decommissioning and other related costs up to a cap Stores/Service: Sprint to pay U.S. Cellular to operate certain stores and to provide billing and customer service 6

Transaction markets 7

Transaction approvals, conditions and timing Approvals TDS, U.S. Cellular, Sprint boards RECEIVED Federal Communications Commission Department of Justice Hart-Scott-Rodino Other typical consents from other government authorities and third parties Conditions Federal Communications Commission Department of Justice Hart-Scott-Rodino Other typical consents from other government authorities and third parties Completion and execution of Transition Services Agreements and other agreements Other customary and negotiated conditions Timing Closing expected by mid-2013 8

Selected pro forma information Information for the 9 months ending or at September 30, 2012: As Reported Transaction Markets Remaining Markets Postpaid 5,175,000 488,000 4,687,000 Prepaid 386,000 81,000 305,000 Reseller 247,000 16,000 231,000 Total 5,808,000 585,000 5,223,000 Penetration 12.4% 3.9% 16.2% Postpaid Churn 1.6% 2.8% 1.5% Service Revenues (1) $3,090m $340m $2,750m Total Revenues (1) $3,337m $350m $2,987m Capital Ex (1) $584m $50m $534m (1) The As Reported amounts represent GAAP financial measures and the Transaction Markets and Remaining Markets amounts represent non GAAP financial measures. TDS and U.S. Cellular believe that the amounts under Transaction Markets and Remaining Markets may be useful to investors and other users of its financial information in evaluating the pro forma amounts for the Remaining Markets excluding the Transaction Markets. 9

Long term strategic benefits of transaction Initially smaller, but stronger, more focused, more profitable Lowers capital intensity by avoiding significant investment necessary to upgrade network and acquire spectrum in these markets Transaction proceeds provide opportunities to strengthen competitive position, enhance shareholder value Retaining direct and indirect ownership interests in tower portfolio and other spectrum in Transaction Markets Committed to delivering the best customer experience in wireless! 10

Q3 2012 Financial Results

Q3 highlights: Attracting new customers, big box success and 4G LTE migration Increase in retail gross additions 7% increase in postpaid gross adds 71% increase in prepaid gross adds Net gain of 19,000 retail customers 57,000 prepaid net additions Success in Walmart Prepaid experience, launch of postpaid Migration to 4G LTE network ahead of schedule 267,000 4G LTE devices sold; 50% of smartphones sold 8% of data traffic on 4G network in September 12

Challenges: Postpaid churn, subsidies Postpaid churn remains elevated Continued iphone impact similar to prior launches Downward migration from postpaid to prepaid Targeting retention offers to high-value customers Device subsidies Higher costs of 4G LTE devices Success of Samsung Galaxy S III Strategically encourage adoption of 4G LTE devices to limit future investment in legacy networks Expected reduction in regulatory support (ETC revenues) 13

Building awareness of a better wireless experience Advertising awareness up 40% over prior campaign Exponential growth in social media reach and impressions Fully operational social customer service Localized social media and community-building efforts at the retail level 14

Driving customer growth through expanded distribution Offering U Prepaid product in 400+ Walmart stores Gross adds mostly incremental Postpaid launched on October 15 in 400+ Walmart stores Seeking more big box distribution opportunities Be where our customers want to shop 15

Improving the customer experience and network efficiency with 4G LTE speed and capacity 30% of customers covered in Wave 1 markets 58% of customers by year end with Wave 2 Sales of 4G LTE devices strong 50% of smartphones sold in Q3 Adding up to 5 more 4G LTE devices in Q4 2012 CapEx for additional 3G capacity expected to decrease in 2013 16

Increased gross and net retail additions Q3 12 Q3 11 Retail gross additions 350,000 284,000 Postpaid net additions (losses) (38,000) (34,000) Prepaid net additions 57,000 11,000 Retail net additions (losses) 19,000 (23,000) Total customers 5,808,000 5,932,000 17

Postpaid churn rate elevated 18

Continued growth in smartphone penetration 19

Financial performance ($ in millions) Q3 12 Q3 11 Service revenues $1,036.4 $1,036.6 Retail Service 884.2 871.2 Roaming 106.1 107.8 Other 46.1 57.6 System operations expense 249.2 241.9 Loss on equipment 144.0 122.4 SG&A expenses 438.5 438.7 Adjusted OIBDA (1) $204.7 $233.6 (1) Adjusted OIBDA is defined as operating income excluding the effects of: depreciation, amortization and accretion (OIBDA); the net gain or loss on asset disposals (if any); and the loss on impairment of assets (if any). Non GAAP reconciliation at end of presentation. 20

Financial performance continued ($ in millions, except per share amounts) Q3 12 Q3 11 Total investment and other income $16.5 $11.2 Net income attributable to U.S. Cellular shareholders 35.5 62.1 Diluted earnings per share attributable to U.S. Cellular shareholders $0.42 $0.73 Cash flow from operating activities 196.5 300.7 Less: Cash used for additions to property, plant & equipment 181.2 196.9 Free cash flow (1) $15.3 $103.8 (1) Free cash flow is defined as cash flows from operating activities less cash used for additions to property, plant and equipment. Free cash flow is a non GAAP financial measure. U.S. Cellular believes that free cash flow as reported by U.S. Cellular is useful to investors and other users of its financial information in evaluating the amount of cash generated by business operations, after consideration of capital expenditures. 21

2012 guidance as of 11/7/12 Before effects of Sprint Transaction (1) 2012 Estimate (1) Previous Estimate (2) Service revenues $4.075 $4.125 billion $4.05 $4.15 billion Operating income (3) $200 $250 million $200 $300 million Depreciation, amortization and accretion expenses, and asset gains and losses (3) Approx. $600 million Unchanged Adjusted OIBDA (3) (4) $800 $850 million $800 $900 million Capital expenditures $850 million Unchanged 1) These estimates are based on U.S. Cellular s current plans, which include a multi-year deployment of 4G LTE technology which commenced in 2011. New developments or changing conditions (such as customer net growth, customer demand for data services or possible acquisitions, dispositions or exchanges) could affect U.S. Cellular s plans and, therefore, its 2012 estimated results. These estimates are before the effects of the definitive agreement signed with Sprint, who will purchase U.S. Cellular customers and PCS Spectrum in certain Midwest markets. The Company expects to incur incremental operating expenses in the fourth quarter of 2012 in the range of $30 to $60 million for severance, incremental accelerated depreciation, asset write-downs and other costs related to this transaction, which will decrease Operating income, increase Depreciation, amortization and accretion expenses, and impairment of assets and net gain or loss on asset disposals and exchanges, and decrease OIBDA. 2) The 2012 Estimated Results as disclosed in U.S. Cellular s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the period ended June 30, 2012. 3) The 2012 Estimated Results do not include any estimate for unrecognized net gains or losses related to disposals and exchanges of assets or losses on impairment of assets (since such transactions and their effects are uncertain). 4) Adjusted OIBDA is defined as operating income excluding the effects of: depreciation, amortization and accretion (OIBDA); the loss on impairment of assets (if any); and the net gain of loss on asset disposals and exchanges (if any). See Non-GAAP reconciliation at end of presentation. 22

Q3 highlights: Focus on HMS, rolling out TDS TV Focus on sales execution for HMS segment Business environment difficult Regulatory impact as expected Steps to align costs with revenues Currently serving 7 IPTV markets Plan for an additional 3 markets in 2012 24

TDS TV : Attracting new subscribers St. Mary s Georgia, one of seven IPTV markets Launched in March 2012 900 customers 7.5% of enabled households 95% of customers selecting triple play New integrated sales and marketing programs Majority of customers purchasing the highest tiered packages for Internet and TV packages 25

TDS Telecom operating performance ($ in millions) Q3 12 Q3 11 Change ILEC $144.1 $151.2 (5%) CLEC 42.5 45.0 (6%) HMS 36.4 17.1 >100% Total operating revenues (1) 220.4 210.8 5% Cash expenses 161.5 139.6 16% Adjusted OIBDA (2) $58.9 $71.2 (17%) (1) Reflects intercompany eliminations (2) Adjusted OIBDA is defined as operating income excluding the effects of depreciation, amortization and accretion (OIBDA); the net gain or loss on asset disposals (if any); and the loss on impairment of assets (if any). Non GAAP reconciliation at end of presentation. 26

ILEC operating performance (in millions) 3Q 12 3Q 11 Change Residential $70.2 $70.4 Commercial 24.4 24.3 Wholesale 49.4 56.5 (12%) Total operating revenues 144.1 151.2 (5%) Cash expenses 89.4 89.2 Adjusted OIBDA (1) $54.7 $62.0 (12%) (1) Adjusted OIBDA is defined as operating income excluding the effects of depreciation, amortization and accretion (OIBDA); the net gain or loss on asset disposals (if any); and the loss on impairment of assets (if any). Non GAAP reconciliation at end of presentation. 27

Growth in broadband speeds and penetration Speeds Penetration > 5 Mbps 69% > 10 Mbps 24% 28

Continued growth in ILEC voice bundles, helps to moderate residential line loss

Importance of bundling to reduce residential churn Churn Bundle Q3 12 Q3 11 Single Play 1.94% 2.08% Double Play 1.48% 1.47% Broadband Double Play 1.10% 1.25% Video Triple Play 0.64% 0.58% Customers with more than one service are less likely to churn 30

CLEC operating performance (in millions) 3Q 12 3Q 11 Change Residential $ 4.2 $ 5.3 (20%) Commercial 34.5 34.7 (1%) Wholesale 3.8 5.1 (24%) Total operating revenues 42.5 45.0 (6%) Cash expenses 38.5 39.2 (2%) Adjusted OIBDA (1) $4.0 $5.8 (31%) (1) Adjusted OIBDA is defined as operating income excluding the effects of depreciation, amortization and accretion (OIBDA); the net gain or loss on asset disposals (if any); and the loss on impairment of assets (if any). Non GAAP reconciliation at end of presentation. 31

CLEC managedip connections increased 83% 32

HMS operating performance (in millions) 3Q 12 3Q 11 Change Operating revenues $ 36.4 $ 17.1 $ 19.4 Cash expenses 36.2 13.7 22.5 Adjusted OIBDA (1) $ 0.2 $ 3.3 ($ 3.1) (1) Adjusted OIBDA is defined as operating income excluding the effects of depreciation, amortization and accretion (OIBDA); the net gain or loss on asset disposals (if any); and the loss on impairment of assets (if any). Non GAAP reconciliation at end of presentation. 33

2012 guidance (1) as of 11/7/12 2012 Estimate Previous Estimate (2) Operating revenues $850 $860 million $850 $880 million Operating income $40 $50 million $50 $70 million Depreciation, amortization and accretion expenses, and losses on asset disposals and impairment of assets (3) Approx. $195 million Unchanged Adjusted OIBDA (4) $235 $245 million $245 $265 million Capital expenditures $175 $190 million $170 $190 million (1) These estimates are based on TDS Telecom s current plans, which include a multi year deployment of IPTV that commenced in 2011. New developments or changing conditions (such as costs to deploy, agreements for content or franchises, or possible acquisitions, dispositions or exchanges) could affect TDS Telecom s plans and therefore, its 2012 estimated results. (2) The 2012 Estimated Results as disclosed in TDS Quarterly Report on Form 10 Q for the period ended June 30, 2012. (3) The 2012 Estimated Results do not include any estimate for unrecognized net gains or losses related to disposals and exchanges of assets or losses on impairment of assets (since such transactions and their effects are uncertain.) (4) Adjusted OIBDA is defined as operating income excluding the effects of: depreciation, amortization and accretion (OIBDA(); the loss on impairment of assets (if any); and the net gain or loss on asset disposals and exchanges (if any). Non GAAP reconciliation at end of presentation. 34

OIBDA reconciliation Consolidated Three Months Ended September 30, 2012 U.S. Cellular TDS Telecom (1) All Other (2) Total Operating revenues $ 1,140,357 $ 220,417 $ 9,334 $ 1,370,108 Deduct: U.S. Cellular equipment sales revenue 103,987 Service revenues 1,036,370 Operating income (loss) 48,079 10,300 (2,873) 55,506 Add (Deduct): Depreciation, amortization and accretion 145,151 48,251 2,817 196,219 Loss on impairment of assets Loss on asset disposals and exchanges, net 11,327 351 29 11,707 Adjusted OIBDA (3) $ 204,557 $ 58,902 $ (27) $ 263,432 Consolidated Three Months Ended September 30, 2011 U.S. Cellular TDS Telecom (1) All Other (2) Total Operating revenues $ 1,110,439 $ 210,806 $ 4,178 $ 1,325,423 Deduct: U.S. Cellular equipment sales revenue 73,830 Service revenues 1,036,609 Operating income 101,620 25,186 118 126,924 Add (Deduct): Depreciation, amortization and accretion 141,664 45,682 2,693 190,039 Loss on impairment of assets (Gain) loss on asset disposals and exchanges, net (9,700) 337 12 (9,351) Adjusted OIBDA (3) $ 233,584 $ 71,205 $ 2,823 $ 307,612 35

OIBDA reconciliation continued (1) Includes ILEC, CLEC and HMS intercompany eliminations. (2) Consists of Suttle-Straus and Airadigm (as of September 23, 2011), which represents TDS Non-Reportable Segment, corporate operations and intercompany eliminations between U.S. Cellular, TDS Telecom and corporate operations. Amounts in this column are presented only to reconcile to consolidated totals and may not otherwise be meaningful. (3) Adjusted OIBDA is defined as operating income excluding the effects of: depreciation, amortization and accretion (OIBDA); the loss on impairment of assets (if any); and the net gain or loss on asset disposals and exchanges (if any). Adjusted OIBDA excludes the loss on impairment of assets (if any) and net gain or loss on asset disposals and exchanges (if any) in order to show operating results on a more comparable basis from period to period. TDS does not intend to imply that any of such amounts that are excluded are non-recurring, infrequent or unusual; such gains or losses may occur in the future. Adjusted OIBDA is a segment measure reported to the chief operating decision maker for purposes of making decisions about allocating resources to the segments and assessing their performance. This amount may also be commonly referred to by management as operating cash flow. TDS believes this measure provides useful information to investors regarding TDS financial condition and results of operations because it highlights certain key cash and non-cash items and their impacts on cash flows from operating activities. This amount should not be confused with Cash flows from operating activities, which is a component of the Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows. 36

November 7, 2012 U.S. Cellular Midwest Market Announcement TDS Third Quarter 2012 Results and Guidance