SAFE HARBOUR STATEMENT

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Transcription:

SAFE HARBOUR STATEMENT This document, and in particular the section entitled Financial targets, contains forward-looking statements. These statements may include terms such as may, will, expect, could, should, intend, estimate, anticipate, believe, remain, on track, successful, grow, design, target, objective, goal, forecast, projection, outlook, prospects, plan, or similar terms. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance. Rather, they are based on the Group s current expectations and projections about future events and, by their nature, are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties. They relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur or exist in the future and, as such, undue reliance should not be placed on them. Actual results may differ materially from those expressed in such statements as a result of a variety of factors, including: the Group s ability to preserve and enhance the value of the Ferrari brand; the success of Ferrari s Formula 1 racing team and the expenses the Group incurs for Formula 1 activities; the Group s ability to keep up with advances in high performance car technology and to make appealing designs for its new models; the challenges and costs of integrating hybrid technology more broadly into Group s car portfolio over time; the Group s ability to preserve its relationship with the automobile collector and enthusiast community; the Group s low volume strategy; the ability of Maserati, the Group s engine customer, to sell its planned volume of cars; changes in client preferences and automotive trends; changes in the general economic environment, including changes in some of the markets in which we operate, and changes in demand for luxury goods, including high performance luxury cars, which is highly volatile; the impact of increasingly stringent fuel economy, emission and safety standards, including the cost of compliance, and any required changes to its products; the Group s ability to successfully carry out its growth strategy and, particularly, the Group s ability to grow its presence in emerging market countries; the Group s ability to service and refinance its debt; competition in the luxury performance automobile industry; reliance upon a number of key members of executive management, employees and the ability of its current management team to operate and manage effectively; the performance of the Group s dealer network on which the Group depend for sales and services; increases in costs, disruptions of supply or shortages of components and raw materials; disruptions at the Group s manufacturing facilities in Maranello and Modena; the Group s ability to provide or arrange for adequate access to financing for its dealers and clients, and associated risks; the performance of the Group s licensees for Ferraribranded products; the Group s ability to protect its intellectual property rights and to avoid infringing on the intellectual property rights of others; product recalls, liability claims and product warranties; continued compliance with customs regulations of various jurisdictions; labor relations and collective bargaining agreements; exchange rate fluctuations, interest rate changes, credit risk and other market risks; changes in tax, tariff or fiscal policies and regulatory, political and labor conditions in the jurisdictions in which the Group operates, including possible future bans of combustion engine cars in cities and the potential advent of self-driving technology; ability to ensure that its employees, agents and representatives comply with applicable law and regulations; the adequacy of its insurance coverage to protect the Group against potential losses; potential conflicts of interest due to director and officer overlaps with the Group s largest shareholders; ability to maintain the functional and efficient operation of its information technology systems, including our ability to defend from the risk of cyberattacks on our in-vehicle technology, and other factors discussed elsewhere in this document. Any forward-looking statements contained in this document speak only as of the date of this document and the Company does not undertake any obligation to update or revise publicly forward-looking statements. Further information concerning the Group and its businesses, including factors that could materially affect the Company s financial results, is included in the Company s reports and filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, the AFM and CONSOB. 2

FINANCIAL TARGETS ANTONIO PICCA PICCON CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER

STRONG FINANCIAL HERITAGE NET REVENUES ( M) AND SHIPMENTS (K UNITS) ADJ. EBITDA ( M) AND ADJ. EBITDA MARGIN (%) (*) INDUSTRIAL FREE CASH FLOW ( M) AND CASH CONVERSION RATIO (%) (*) NET REVENUES CAGR 2013-17 ADJ. EBITDA CAGR 2013-17 CUMULATED INDUSTRIAL FREE CASH FLOW 2013-17 +10.0% +13.1% ~ 1.5 B (K units) ( M) 7.0 7.3 7.7 8.0 3,105 2,762 2,854 2,335 8.4 3,417 (%) ( M) 27.2% 634 25.1% 26.2% 693 748 28.3% 880 30.3% 1,036 (%) ( M) 38% 35% 244 245 57% 429 32% 32% 280 328 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Note: (*) Reconciliations to non-gaap financial measures are provided in the Appendix 4

2018 UPDATED GUIDANCE SHIPMENTS (*) NET REVENUES > 9,000 > 3.4 billion ADJ. EBITDA 1.1 billion NET INDUSTRIAL DEBT (**) CAPITAL EXPENDITURES < 350 million ~ 650 million Note: (*) Including hypercars (**) Including dividends already distributed to the holders of common shares and excluding shares buyback 5

PRODUCT PORTFOLIO BROADENING SHIPMENTS BREAKDOWN 2022E (Units) < 5% ICONA < 40% GT > 5% SPECIAL SERIES > 50% SPORT GT EXPANSION OFFERING UNTAPPED OPPORTUNITIES 6

REVENUES GROWTH DRIVEN BY STRONG PRODUCT LAUNCHES ( B) < 1.5 < 5.0 3.4 2017 NET REVENUES CARS AND SPARE PARTS OTHER REVENUES 2022E NET REVENUES CARS AND SPARE PARTS UP ~9% ANNUALLY 7

PRICE/MIX AND VOLUME DRIVING PROFITABILITY ( B) ~0.5 ~(0.2) ~0.5 ~(0.1) ~(0.2) >1.2 0.8 Margin 22.7% Margin >25% ADJ. EBIT 2017 VOLUME PRICE / MIX IND. COSTS / R&D SG&A FX & OTHER ADJ. EBIT 2022E ADJ. EBITDA ADJ. EBITDA 1.0 1.8-2.0 30.3% >38% NEARLY DOUBLING ADJ. EBITDA OVER THE NEXT FIVE YEARS 8

Until 2017 LEVERAGING CURRENT LINE-UP INVESTING TO FUEL FUTURE GROWTH 2018E-20E DEVELOPING NEW INITIATIVES 2021E and beyond FUELLING FUTURE GROWTH ~650 392 330 356 342 271 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.5 >2.0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E CAPEX ( M) CAPEX/D&A 9

CAPEX BREAKDOWN CUMULATED 2018E-22E SPENDING: 3.6 B INFRASTRUCTURE 16% OTHER 1% PRODUCT 83% PRODUCT INFRASTRUCTURE OTHER 10

GENERATING SIGNIFICANT INDUSTRIAL FREE CASH FLOW ( B) 6.8 7.0 (3.6) (0.8) (0.6) 2.4 2.8 CUMULATED ADJ. EBITDA 2018E-22E CAPEX 2018E-22E OTHER OPERATING CASH FLOW 2018E-22E CUMULATED INDUSTRIAL FREE CASH FLOW 2018E-22E NET INDUSTRIAL DEBT FREE BY 2020 (*) Note: (*) Excluding potential shares buyback on top of what already executed 11

KEY FINANCIAL TARGETS ( B, unless otherwise stated) 2017A 2020E 2022E NET REVENUES ADJ. EBIT (margin %) ADJ. EBITDA (margin %) 3.4 0.78 23% 1.0 30% >3.8 >0.9 ~24% >1.3 ~34% <5.0 >1.2 >25% 1.8-2.0 >38% ADJ. EPS DILUTED (*) ( ) 2.82 >3.40 >4.70 IND. FCF 0.33 >0.40 1.10-1.25 DELIVERING SOLID GROWTH Note: (*) 2020E and 2022E Adjusted EPS diluted calculated using the diluted number of shares at June 30, 2018, assuming no further shares buyback Capital Markets Day Key Financial Targets developed based on IFRS standards effective in 2018 September 18, 2018 12

USE OF CASH DIVIDENDS BUYBACK INCREASED TO 30% OF NET INCOME EURO 1.5 BILLION OVER THE NEXT 4 YEARS TO BE JUDICIOUSLY EXECUTED IN LINE WITH CASH GENERATION, TARGETING SOLID INVESTMENT GRADE METRICS 13

APPENDIX

NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES Non-GAAP financial measures Operations are monitored through the use of various Non- GAAP financial measures that may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures of other companies Accordingly, investors and analysts should exercise appropriate caution in comparing these supplemental financial measures to similarly titled financial measures reported by other companies We believe that these supplemental financial measures provide comparable measures of our financial performance which then facilitate management s ability to identify operational trends, as well as make decisions regarding future spending, resource allocations and other operational decisions Reconciliations are only provided to the most directly comparable IFRS financial statement line item for Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted EBIT and Adjusted EPS diluted for historical periods, as the income or expense excluded from these non-gaap financial measures in accordance with our policy are, by definition, not predictable and uncertain EBITDA is defined as net profit before income tax expense, net financial expenses and depreciation and amortization. Adjusted EBITDA is defined as EBITDA as adjusted for income and costs, which are significant in nature, but expected to occur infrequently. Adjusted Earnings Before Interest and Taxes ( Adjusted EBIT ) represents EBIT as adjusted for income and costs, which are significant in nature, but expected to occur infrequently Adjusted net profit represents net profit as adjusted for income and costs net of tax, which are significant in nature, but expected to occur infrequently Adjusted earnings per share diluted represents earnings per share as adjusted for income and costs net of tax, which are significant in nature, but expected to occur infrequently Net Industrial Debt defined as Net Debt excluding the funded portion of the selfliquidating financial receivables portfolio, is the primary measure to analyze our financial leverage and capital structure, and is one of the key indicators used to measure our financial position Free Cash Flow and Free Cash Flow from Industrial Activities are two of management s primary key performance indicators to measure the Group s performance. Free Cash flow is defined as net cash generated from operations less cash flows used in investing activities. Free Cash Flow from Industrial Activities is defined as Free Cash Flow adjusted for the change in the self-liquidating financial receivables portfolio. 15

RECONCILIATION OF NON-GAAP MEASURES: ADJUSTED EBIT ( M, unless otherwise stated) 2017 EBIT 775 ADJUSTMENTS - ADJUSTED EBIT 775 NET REVENUES 3,417 ADJUSTED EBIT MARGIN (%) 22.7% 16

RECONCILIATION OF NON-GAAP MEASURES: EBITDA ( M, unless otherwise stated) 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 NET PROFIT 537 400 290 265 246 INCOME TAX EXPENSE 209 167 144 133 120 NET FINANCIAL EXPENSES/(INCOME) 29 28 10 (9) (2) AMORTISATION AND DEPRECIATION 261 248 275 289 270 EBITDA 1,036 843 719 678 634 17

RECONCILIATION OF NON-GAAP MEASURES: ADJUSTED EBITDA ( M, unless otherwise stated) 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 EBITDA 1,036 843 719 678 634 EXPENSE RELATED TO THE RESIGNATION OF THE FORMER CHAIRMAN 15 INCOME AND EXPENSES INCURRED IN CONNECTION WITH OUR IPO AND SEPARATION AND EMPLOYEES EXTRA BONUS CHARGES FOR TAKATA AIRBAG INFLATOR RECALL 29 37 ADJUSTED EBITDA 1,036 880 748 693 634 NET REVENUES 3,417 3,105 2,854 2,762 2,335 ADJUSTED EBITDA MARGIN (%) 30.3% 28.3% 26.2% 25.1% 27.2% 18

RECONCILIATION OF NON-GAAP MEASURES: FREE CASH FLOW, FREE CASH FLOW FROM INDUSTRIAL ACTIVITIES AND CASH CONVERSION RATIO ( M, unless otherwise stated) 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 CASH FLOW FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES 671 1,005 707 426 454 CASH FLOWS USED IN INVESTING ACTIVITIES (*) (387) (320) (317) (290) (267) FREE CASH FLOW 284 685 390 136 187 CHANGE IN THE SELF-LIQUIDATING FINANCIAL RECEIVABLES PORTFOLIO 44 (405) 39 109 57 FREE CASH FLOW FROM INDUSTRIAL ACTIVITIES (**) 328 280 429 245 244 ADJUSTED EBITDA 1,036 880 748 693 634 CASH CONVERSION RATIO (%) (FREE CASH FLOW FROM INDUSTRIAL ACTIVITIES / ADJUSTED EBITDA) 32% 32% 57% 35% 38% Note: (*) Cash flow from investing activities for the twelve months ended December 31, 2016 includes 20 million proceeds from the disposal of a majority stake in FFS GmbH in November 2016. Cash flow used in investing activities for the twelve months ended December 31, 2017 excludes proceeds from exercising the Delta Topco option of Euro 8 million. (**) FY 2015 included one-time of 147 million related to the reimbursement by Maserati of its inventory in China and 37 million one-time cash inflow from the sale of investment properties to Maserati 19

RECONCILIATION OF NON-GAAP MEASURES: ADJUSTED EPS DILUTED ( M, unless otherwise stated) 2017 NET PROFIT ATTRIBUTABLE TO OWNERS OF THE COMPANY 535 WEIGHTED AVERAGE NUMBER OF COMMON SHARES (THOUSAND) 188,951 EPS BASIC ( ) 2.83 WEIGHTED AVERAGE NUMBER OF COMMON SHARES FOR DILUTED EARNINGS PER COMMON SHARE (THOUSAND) 189,759 EPS DILUTED ( ) 2.82 ADJUSTMENTS - ADJ. EPS DILUTED ( ) 2.82 20