Ooredoo Group 1H 2018 Results

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Transcription:

Ooredoo Group 1H 2018 July 2018

Disclaimer Ooredoo (parent company Ooredoo Q.P.S.C.) and the group of companies which it forms part of ( Ooredoo Group ) cautions investors that certain statements contained in this document state Ooredoo Group management's intentions, hopes, beliefs, expectations, or predictions of the future and, as such, are forward-looking statements Ooredoo Group management wishes to further caution the reader that forward-looking statements are not historical facts and are only estimates or predictions. Actual results may differ materially from those projected as a result of risks and uncertainties including, but not limited to: Our ability to manage domestic and international growth and maintain a high level of customer service Future sales growth Market acceptance of our product and service offerings Our ability to secure adequate financing or equity capital to fund our operations Network expansion Performance of our network and equipment Our ability to enter into strategic alliances or transactions Cooperation of incumbent local exchange carriers in provisioning lines and interconnecting our equipment Regulatory approval processes Changes in technology Price competition Other market conditions and associated risks This presentation does not constitute an offering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation or inducement to any person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire or dispose of securities in any company within the Ooredoo Group The Ooredoo Group undertakes no obligation to update publicly or otherwise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of future events, new information, or otherwise 2

Contents 1. review 2. update 3. review 4. information 3

Group Key Highlights Financial highlights H1 2018 Revenue was QAR 15.3 billion, driven by strong contributions from Qatar, Iraq, Oman, Kuwait, Tunisia and Myanmar offset by reductions in Indonesia and Algeria. Group Revenue decreased by 6% year-on-year Group EBITDA QAR 6.2 billion, EBITDA margin of 41%. Group EBITDA decreased by 10% yoy mainly due to lower revenue Group Net Profit to Ooredoo shareholders QAR 689 million. Positive performances in Iraq and Oman offset by market challenges and lower revenue in Indonesia and Algeria and a substantial Foreign Exchange (FX) loss in Myanmar. Pre FX NP decreased by 18% compared to the reported 37%. Group Customer number 130 million, negatively impacted by the new Indonesian SIM card registration requirement Increased monetization of data business, data revenue increasing to 45% of Group revenue Operational highlights Ooredoo Qatar was the first operator in the world to launch a live 5G network on the 3.5GHz spectrum band. Latest network technology (5G NR) with much higher speeds, capacity and better latency than existing cellular systems Cutting edge data services in its markets with 4G networks, now available in 8 of Ooredoo s 10 markets Enjoy the Internet campaign featuring Leo Messi, Ooredoo s global brand ambassador has been well received Ooredoo Myanmar, Oman and Algeria fastest mobile network in the country recognized by Ookla s Speedtest Intelligence In Palestine, Wataniya Mobile successful capital share increase of USD 35 million through a secondary offering In July, Ooredoo finalized a USD 200 million loan over a five year period with KFW IPEX Bank in Germany 4

Group Revenue and EBITDA Revenue (QARm) EBITDA (QARm) and EBITDA Margin -1% 16,042 15,914 +2% 16,259-6% 15,285 +0% 6,456 6,478 +7% 6,939-10% 6,212 43% 40% 41% 41% 1H-2015 1H-2016 1H-2015 1H-2016 Revenue growth in Iraq, Oman, Kuwait, Tunisia and Myanmar offset by challenging environment in Indonesia & Algeria Positive EBITDA performance in Oman, Iraq, Tunisia, Myanmar offset by Indonesia, Kuwait & Algeria 5

Group Net Profit Net Profit Attributable to Ooredoo shareholders (QARm) Total Net Profit Net Foreign Exchange Pre FX Net Profit +46% 1,462-25% 1,002 922 1,097-37% 689 1,301 1,022 839 540 (299) 75 (150) 1H'15 1H'16 1H'17 1H'18 Pre FX impact Net Profit decreased by 18%, substantial F/X loss of QAR 150 million mainly from Myanmar Market competition, regulatory (Indonesia) and weaker economies (Algeria) developments adversely impacted overall financial results 6

Group Capital Expenditure and Free Cash Flow CAPEX (QARm) & CAPEX/ Revenue (%) Free Cash Flow (QARm) +14% 3,847 +197% 3,840-18% -37% 3,383 3,138 24% 2,411 15% -32% 1,640 10% +9% 1,796 12% 1,138 1H-2015 1H-2016 1H-2015 1H-2016 FCF maintained at high level despite higher CAPEX and lower EBITDA Taking advantage of scale of Ooredoo Group and global sourcing strategy for efficient Capex Note: Free Cash Flow = Net Profit plus Depreciation & Amortization less CAPEX; CAPEX excludes license fee obligations; Net Profit adjusted for extraordinary items 7

Group Total Customers Total Customers (000) +14% 113,913 +14% -13% 149,216 130,424 130,148 1H-2015 1H-2016 Growing customer numbers in Iraq, Kuwait, Tunisia & Myanmar offset by a major drop due to the new SIM card registration requirements by the Indonesian regulator 8

Group Net Debt Net Debt (QARm) and Net Debt / EBITDA -0% 29,672 29,593-6% 27,858-12% 24,573 2.4 2.3 1.9 1.8 1H-2015 1H-2016 Positive trend of lower Group Net Debt continued, Net Debt to EBITDA ratio at 1.8x Lower half of the board guidance between 1.5 and 2.5x (bank covenant 4x) 9

Group 2018 1H performance summary Group Financials (QAR bn) 2018 Actual % Change 2018 / 2017 Original 2018 Full Year Guidance over 2017 New Guidance 2018 / 2017 Revenue 15.3-6% -1.5% to +1.5% -3.5% to -6.5% EBITDA 6.2-10% -1.5% to +1.5% -5.5% to -8.5% CAPEX 1.8 9% 5 bn to 6 bn 4.5 bn to 5.5 bn Slow first half of the year due to market challenges in Indonesia and Algeria as well as high negative FX impact Revising our guidance on revenue in line with current trend, further efficiencies for EBITDA & CAPEX expected 10

Contents 1. review 2. update 3. review 4. information 11

Ooredoo has a bold new vision and has embarked into a major transformation program OLD VISION Enriching people s lives as a leading international communications company NEW VISION Enriching people s digital lives We are embarking into a major Group digital transformation program: Get Digital! Source: Ooredoo Group 12

We updated LEAD for digital and diversification OLD LEAD Market Leader Performance Culture Efficient Models Leading network Better distribution Smart services People/Skills Organization Governance Asset light Optimized channels Group synergies 13

Digital is now integrated with our LEAD strategy NEW LEAD Market Leader Performance Culture Efficient Models Extend & Leverage Smarter distribution Leading data networks Culture transformation Lean & Agile Advanced analytics Re-engineered cost models Connectivity Consumer content B2B/ ICT Preferred digital partner Platform connectivity Partnership models Digital operations Systems Processes Mindset Digital interactions Marketing Sales Care 14

We are not actively looking to buy more Telco; our investment criteria remain unchanged Geographies Sub-Saharan Africa MENA Asia Latin America Globally dispersed Sector Core Selected adjacencies Full range of adjacencies Target size Small Large Investment model Minority (little control) Minority with operational influence Majority Market competitiveness >#5 #5 #4 #3 #2 #1 Target performance "Turn around" Substantial postdeal benefits Strong player Risk (Political, financial, etc.) High Medium Low 15

We aspire for our Operating Companies to become Digital Enablers 1. To make each OpCo relevant as a telco in the digital age 2. To find new levers of growth, across Group, adjacent to our connectivity heritage while minimizing risk Point Solution E2E Experience B2B(2C) Platforms Ecosystem Driver Protect Core Grow the Core Digital life provider Digital enabler Digital Connectivity Traditional Telco Ooredoo today Our target position to achieve our vision Digital Enabler of our customers to go beyond telco by enabling digital services through ICT/OTT partnerships Core Telecom Services Digital Services 16

Contents 1. review 2. update 3. review 4. information 17

Group Qatar QARm Revenue -4% 4,042 3,897 Ooredoo Qatar Ooredoo became the first operator in the world to launch a live 5G network (5G NR, 3.5 GHz spectrum) Market leading position maintained - Ooredoo s fixed line and mobile networks in Qatar ranked among fastest globally Lower handset sales led to lower revenue but improved EBITDA margin EBITDA & Margin -2% 2,025 1,977 50% 51% 3.3 million customers, down by 1% compared to previous quarter mainly due to seasonality and a shift from MBB to postpaid contracts FIFA World Cup was telecast in partnership with BeIn sports live on Ooredoo tv, Ooredoo was official telecom partner of the Emiri Cup 2018 Ooredoo s Fibre-to-the-Home network continued to grow; 384k customers connected 1 USD = 3.6415 Qatari Riyal (QAR) 18

Group Indonesia QARm Indosat Ooredoo Revenue 4,129-29% 2,929 Revenue -27% 15,112 11,066 EBITDA & Margin 1,939-46% 1,055 47% 36% IDRbn 1 EBITDA & Margin 7,096-44% 3,984 As anticipated another challenging quarter New SIM registration process and changed marketing strategy (from push to pull ) continued to impact revenue and customer numbers Decline in Voice/ SMS revenue not offset by data Declined revenue has not been fully compensated by lower expenses, impacted EBITDA and EBITDA margin Data price increased 10% -15% in early June and continued in July, cautiously optimistic for a return to growth in 3Q- 2018 75 million customers in Q2 compared to 96m in Q1, mainly due to new SIM verification policy 47% 36% 4G coverage further extended 1 USD = 13,766 Indonesia Rupiah (IDR) 1 Note: Average rate over the period (IDR) 19

Group Iraq QARm Revenue +3% 2,175 2,248 Asiacell Recovery continues with growth in revenue, EBITDA and customer numbers After liberation of occupied areas more sites are back on-air, stable security in Mosul, Sulaymaniyah and Erbil, still some issues in Kirkuk Opex control and higher revenue enable good EBITDA improvement EBITDA & Margin +10% 13.0 m customers representing an increase of 7%, mainly coming from Mosul and liberated areas New B2B product line launched 972 1,067 Government started consultation process with regards to fourth license, no short term result expected 45% 47% 20

Group Oman QARm Ooredoo Oman Revenue +3% Revenues growth is driven by increases in both mobile and fixed data revenue 1,318 1,351 EBITDA & Margin +3% 693 711 EBITDA growth due to higher revenues as well as efficient cost management Customer base stood at 2.9 million in H1 2018 compared to 3.1 million last year, the slight decrease was driven by new registration standards by the regulator 4G coverage further extended covering more than 90% of the population Ooredoo Oman network ranked as no.1 by Ookla No new information on third operator 53% 53% 1 USD = 0.38463 Omani Rial (OMR) 1 Note: (1) Constant pegged currency 21

Group Kuwait QARm Ooredoo Kuwait Revenue EBITDA & Margin Strong Revenue growth was driven by handset sales 1,258 +23% 1,545 322-9% 294 Intense competition continues 5% increase in customer numbers to 2.4 million, positive MNP (mobile number portability) trend 26% 19% Lower service revenue and higher handset sales led to a compression of margins and a decline of EBITDA Improved brand equity score Revenue KWDm EBITDA & Margin Soft economic environment and government related hike in 105.2 +21% 127.6 27.0-10% 24.3 fuel and electricity cost in the public sector had a negative impact on service business 26% 19% 1 USD = 0.3008 Kuwait Dinar (KWD) 1 Note: Average rate over the period (KWD) 22

Group Algeria QARm Ooredoo Algeria Revenue -19% 1,738 1,401 EBITDA & Margin 778-28% 557 45% 40% Algerian mobile market value dropped due to intense price competition, seasonality related to Ramadan, and ongoing consumer purchasing power difficulties Ooredoo Algeria maintains leading position in mobile data, but data does not offset the decline in Voice/ SMS revenue Continued growth in data users and record usage, however decreasing data ARPU and revenue per GB 52,281 Revenue -16% DZDm EBITDA & Margin 23,398-25% 13.6 million customers, a slight decrease due to cleaning of customer base per regulatory requirements 44,176 17,537 Ooredoo Algeria network ranked as no.1 by Ookla 45% 40% Ooredoo Algeria has been the first operator to offer 4G in all 48 Algerian wilayas (States) 1 USD = 114.9 Algerian Dinar (DZD)¹ Note: Average rate over the period (DZD) 23

Group Tunisia QARm Ooredoo Tunisia Revenue +4% 744 771 Revenue +8% 523 484 TNDm 278 EBITDA & Margin +6% 293 37% 38% 181 EBITDA & Margin +10 % 199 Displayed a solid performance yoy with growth in revenue, EBITDA and customer numbers YTD Revenue grew 8% in local currency terms overall with strong growth sustained in the mobile data and VAS, fixed line and handset sales OT is building its business model by rebalancing revenue mostly to data and VAS instead of voice and SMS to ensure margin protection Leadership in mobile market maintained Customer number 8.4 million, up by 5% 37% 38% 1 USD = 2.471 Tunisian Dinar (TND) 1 Note: Average rate over the period (TND) 24

Group Myanmar QARm Ooredoo Myanmar Revenue EBITDA & Margin +193% +19% 130 742 624 44 17% 7% Revenue MMKBn EBITDA +17% +189% 272 48 232 Strong performance yoy with growth in revenue, EBITDA and customer numbers Data and Digital revenue was a key growth engine Consistent growth in EBITDA margin underpinned by strong OPEX management, positive trend continues Customer base reached 9.4 million, increased by 1 million compared to last year 4G coverage was extended further to approximately 250 townships Fastest 3G/4G network in Myanmar from Ookla s Speedtest Intelligence 16 7% 17% Fourth operator Mytel started very aggressive pricing towards in June as temporary launch campaign 1 US$ = 1336 Myanmar Kyat (MMK) 25

Contents 1. review 2. update 3. review 4. information 26

Key Importance to Group Revenue (QARm) EBITDA (QARm) 16,042 15,914 16,259 15,285 6,456 6,478 6,939 6,212 1H'15 1H'16 1H'17 1H'18 Qatar 4,003 4,033 4,042 3,897 Indosat 3,543 3,787 4,129 2,929 Iraq 2,457 2,095 2,175 2,248 Oman 1,194 1,298 1,318 1,351 Myanmar 510 717 624 742 Kuwait 1,111 1,210 1,258 1,545 Tunisia 920 839 744 771 Algeria 2,055 1,846 1,738 1,401 1H'15 1H'16 1H'17 1H'18 Qatar 2,020 1,940 2,025 1,977 Indosat 1,598 1,740 1,939 1,055 Iraq 1,032 1,003 972 1,067 Oman 648 695 693 711 Myanmar (18) (3) 44 130 Kuwait 250 257 322 294 Tunisia 412 307 278 293 Algeria 736 693 778 557 27

Group Breakdown CAPEX & Customers CAPEX Breakdown (%) Customer Breakdown (%) Tunisia, 5% Algeria, 14% Kuwait, 6% Myanmar, 9% Oman, 10% Others, 2% Iraq1% Qatar, 15% Indonesia, 38% Algeria 10% Kuwait 2% Oman 2% OthersQatar Myanmar 1% 3% 7% Tunisia 6% Iraq 10% Indonesia 58% 1H 2018 CAPEX = QAR 1,796 million 1H 2018 Total Customers = 130 million 28

Group Total Group Debt Breakdown Total Group Debt (QARm) Long term Short term 43,989 45,863 4,756 7,656 41,107 3,191 38,416 7,804 Total Group Debt Breakdown (as at June 30, 2018) Others 8% Indonesia 13% 39,233 38,207 37,916 30,612 Qatar 79% 1H-2015 1H-2016 Total Group debt reduced, well balanced profile OpCo debt primarily in local currency Note: Qatar debt includes Ooredoo International Finance Ltd. and Ooredoo Tamweel Ltd. 29

Group Debt Profile Ooredoo Q.P.S.C. level 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 1,250 1,600 650 1,000 600 1,000 Loans 750 Bonds Sukuk 500 500 500 0 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2028 2043 Loan Type (in USD mn) Amount Usage Rate* Maturity Bonds/Sukuk (in USD mn) Issue Amount Interest/ Profit Rate Maturity Listed in QAR3bn RCF 824 0 QAR Money Market 31 Jan 2020 USD1bn RCF 1,000 1,000 Libor + 100bps 17 May 2019 USD 500mn RCF 500 500 Libor + 88bps 06 May 2020 USD150mn Term Loan 150 150 Libor + 90bps 31 Aug 2020 USD1bn RCF 1,000 600 Libor+ 130bps 07 Jun 2022 Fixed Rate Bonds due 2019 600 7.875% 10 Jun 2019 LSE Fixed Rate Bonds due 2021 1,000 4.75% 16 Feb 2021 LSE Fixed Rate Bonds due 2023 1,000 3.25% 21 Feb 2023 ISE Fixed Rate Bonds due 2025 750 5.00% 19 Oct 2025 LSE Fixed Rate Bonds due 2026 500 3.75% 22 Jun 2026 ISE Fixed Rate Bonds due 2028 500 3.875% 31 Jan 2028 ISE Fixed Rate Bonds due 2043 500 4.50% 31 Jan 2043 ISE Total Loans 3,474 m 2,250 m Total Bonds and Sukuk 6,100 m Sukukdue 2018 1,250 3.039% 03 Dec 2018 ISE Total outstanding debt as at 30 June 2018 at Ooredoo Q.P.S.C. level USD 8,350 million * Based on the rates applicable for the usage levels Long term debt profile is well balanced 30

Group Breakdown Blended ARPU Qatar (QAR) Iraq (QAR) Oman (QAR) Maldives (QAR) Palestine (QAR) 116.6115.7 108.1 112.8110.5 116.9 29.0 30.4 31.2 29.9 28.4 28.4 62.4 60.0 63.3 62.6 58.8 60.3 54.9 56.7 55.4 53.3 52.2 52.9 26.7 28.8 29.7 25.1 23.1 22.7 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 Indonesia (QAR) Kuwait (QAR) Tunisia (QAR) Algeria (QAR) Myanmar (QAR) 5.8 5.9 5.6 5.0 3.3 4.0 12.9 12.5 13.8 11.9 12.3 12.4 20.3 20.2 20.8 18.2 17.7 16.4 11.3 11.1 14.2 15.0 14.4 12.8 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 Indonesia (IDR) Kuwait (KWD) Tunisia (TND) Algeria (DZD) Myanmar (MMK) 21,233 21,457 20,499 18,514 15,151 12,478 5.3 5.5 5.5 6.0 5.7 5.3 8.1 8.4 9.3 8.2 8.2 8.5 612.0606.6626.7 574.1 555.4 520.6 4,218 4,129 5,280 5,573 5,183 4,699 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 63.6 65.3 66.7 72.7 69.5 64.0 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 31

Statutory Corporate Tax Rates Statutory Tax Rate Losses C/Fwd Allowed Notes Algeria 26% 4 years Indonesia 25% 5 years Iraq 15% 5 years Kuwait 15% 3 years GCC companies (including NMTC)are exempted and are subjected to 4.5% Zakat, KFAS & national Labour Support Tax on consolidated profits Maldives 15% 5 years Myanmar 25% 3 years Oman 15% 5 years Palestine 20% 5 years Qatar 10% 3 years Qatari/GCC owned companies and companies listed on Qatar Exchange are exempt Singapore 17% Indefinitely Tunisia 35% 5 years 1) 25% is the standard tax rate; 2) 35% tax rate applies to oil companies, banks, financial institutions including insurance companies and telecommunication companies

Next Quarterly (tbc) October 29 Thank You