Full Year Results 2014/15. Analysts Conference November 4, 2015

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Transcription:

Full Year Results 2014/15

Cautionary note Certain statements in this presentation regarding the business of Barry Callebaut are of a forwardlooking nature and are therefore based on management s current assumptions about future developments. Such forward-looking statements are intended to be identified by words such as believe, estimate, intend, may, will, expect, and project and similar expressions as they relate to the company. Forward-looking statements involve certain risks and uncertainties because they relate to future events. Actual results may vary materially from those targeted, expected or projected due to several factors. The factors that may affect Barry Callebaut s future financial results are discussed in the Letter to Investors as well as in the Annual Report 2014/15. Such factors are, among others, general economic conditions, foreign exchange fluctuations, competitive product and pricing pressures as well as changes in tax regimes and regulatory developments. The reader is cautioned to not unduly rely on these forward-looking statements that are accurate only as of today, Nov 4, 2015. Barry Callebaut does not undertake to publish any update or revision of any forward-looking statements. Page 2

FY Results 2014/15 Agenda First impressions & Highlights FY 2014/15 - CEO Antoine de Saint-Affrique Performance FY 2014/15 - CFO Victor Balli The way forward - CEO Antoine de Saint-Affrique Questions & Answers session -CEO & CFO Page 3

First impressions & Highlights FY 2014/15 - CEO Antoine de Saint-Affrique

My first impressions Unique focus and deep expertise Disciplined Innovative Entrepreneurial Balancing the short and long-term People Values Performance Page 5

FY results 2014/15 A view on the market The new normal: volatile & complex Currencies and economic growth Raw materials A world of new opportunities Consumer driven Premiumization, personalization, taste, clean/clear labels, snacking Sustainability & traceability Customer centric Innovate with& for customers New types of customers Page 6

2014/15: delivering the short term, building for the long term Expansion of Chocolate factory in Brazil and Poland Oct-Nov 2014 Start-up of operations in our first Chocolate factory in India Jan 2015 Inaguration new CHOCOLATE ACADEMY TM centers in Dubai, Cologne, Moscow and Tokyo Jan-March 2015 Optimized cocoa Fermentation process, for superior tasting chocolate March 2015 Acquisition of American Almond in North America June 2015 Inaguration of the first chocolate factory in Chile Signing of outsourcing agreement with WFC (USA) Launched new chocolate recipes with higher thermo tolerance Signing Long-term outsourcing agreement with GarudaFood in Indonesia Sustainability partnerships with Hershey and Mondelez and launch of the Cocoa Horizons Foundation Dec 2014 Feb 2015 March 2015 Jun 2015 Aug-Oct 2015 Page 7

FY results 2014/15 Barry Callebautcontinues to significantly outperform the global chocolate market Sales volume growth +4.5%, significantly outperforming the market 1 and accelerating in Q4 Broad-based growth mainly driven by developed markets, as well as outsourcing, Gourmet and emerging markets Continued focus on margins and cost in a challenging market environment Operating profit (EBIT) increased by 7.4% in local currencies, net profit down 2.7%. 1 Source Nielsen -2.7% volume growth in chocolate confectionery for 26 countries Page 8

Performance FY 2014/15 CFO Victor Balli

FY results 2014/15 Volume growth above global market with acceleration in Q4 (tonnes) +4.5% +10.7% +0.2% 1 050 +2.0% 16'090 +3.7% 15,208 45'668 1 794 782 1 716 766 Page 10 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Sales Volume FY 2014/15 Market Volume growth * -1.8% -1.7% -3.3% -3.9% -2.7% * Source: Nielsen chocolate confectionery in volume 26 countries

FY results 2014/15... and with positive contribution from our key growth drivers Emerging Markets Long-term outsourcing & Strategic Partnerships +5.1% vs prior year +6.6% vs prior year +17.3% +16.5% Gourmet & Specialties +6.0% vs prior year +6.5 % Volume growth FY 2014/15 CAGR 5 year Volume 33% 32% 10% % of total Group Sales Volume Page 11

FY results 2014/15 Solid volume growth gaining momentum, strong profit improvement in local currencies (In CHF mio.) SalesVolume Total (in tonnes) Group performance FY 2014/15 (in CHF) % vs prioryear (in CHF) % vsprior year in local currencies 1,794,782 +4.5% Sales Revenue 6,241.9 +6.4% +12.1% Gross Profit 846.8-1.7% +4.8% EBIT Total EBIT per tonne 414.8 231.1-0.3% -4.7% +7.4% +2.9% Net profit for the year 239.9-5.9% -2.7% Page 12

FY results 2014/15 Good performance in developed regions Europe Americas Asia Pacific Global Cocoa 4% 28% 28% 42% 25% 26% Volume growth +3.9% +4.7% +7.2% +5.1% EBIT growth in local currencies +19.7% -0.3% +5.9% -33.7% EBIT growth in CHF +8.1% +3.3% -0.4% -42.4% Page 13

Gross Profit FY 2014/15 Gross profit up +4.8% in local currencies, due to solid volume growth, strong focus on margins and despite a historically low cocoa combined ratio in CHF mio. 52.1 +4.8% -1.7% 861.1 28.4-24.5-14.5 902.6-55.8 846.8 Gross Profit 2013/14 Volume effects Product Mix Cocoa Processing Add. Direct costs due to growth and others Gross Profit 2014/15 before FX FX impact Gross Profit 2014/15 Page 14

Cocoa processing profitability Challenging cocoa market environment with negative impact from the cocoa combined ratio in FY 2014/15, strongly affecting current fiscal year European combined ratio - 6 months forward ratio 4.0 FY 2014/15 3.0 Combined ratio 2.9 2.0 Butter ratio 1.0 Powder ratio 0.0 Oct-07 Oct-08 Oct-09 Oct-10 Oct-11 Oct-12 Oct-13 Oct-14 Oct-15 For cocoa processors, profitability depends on the ratio between input costs (price of cocoa beans) and combined output prices (price of cocoa butter and powder). Page 15

Cocoa Leadership Project Assert our leadership in Cocoa, fully leverage our scale and improve profitability Commercial leadership Differentiating and repositioning the product offering Focus on commercial excellence Sustainability Centralized global steering Centralizing key strategic activities, such as cocoa combined ratio management Key accounts Make or buy decision Operations & Supply Chain leadership Optimizing our cocoa manufacturing footprint Capacity reduction in Asia: Closure of factory in Thailand Reduce cocoa processing capacity in Malaysia Establish most efficient global product flows Page 16

EBIT FY 2014/15 Operating profit improved 7.4% in local currencies, due to a good product & customer mix, as well as stricter fixed cost discipline in CHF mio. 41.5 +7.4% -10.1-0.3% -0.4 447.1 416.2-32.3 414.8 EBIT 2013/14 Additional Gross Profit Additional SG&A from business growth Add. Costs, other scope and nonrecurring items EBIT 2014/15 before FX FX impact EBIT 2014/15 Page 17

6-year EBIT per tonne development Improvement of the EBIT per tonne in constant currencies continued 312 282 286 290 256 251 223 274 242 279 231 EBIT per tonne in constant currencies EBIT per tonne in CHF (as reported) +8.2% 1 210 1 269 1 379 1 536 1 717 1 795 Volume in kmt 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 Page 18

From EBITDA to Net Profit Net Profit -2.7% in local currencies (-5.9% in CHF), due to higher average financing requirements, a foreign exchange loss, as well as higher taxes in CHF mio. 540.8-126.0 414.8-130.7-44.2 239.9-5.9% 255.0 EBITDA Depreciation and amortization EBIT Net Financial expenses Income taxes Net Profit for the year 2014/15 Net Profit for the year 2013/14 Page 19

Raw materials evolution Cocoa bean price still at relatively high levels, other raw materials below prior year 300% FY 14/15 FY vs. prior year 250% 200% 150% Cocoa beans +4% Sugar world -9% 100% 50% Sugar EU -21% Milk powder -23% 0% Sep.2007 Sep.2008 Sep.2009 Sep.2010 Sep.2011 Sep.2012 Sep.2013 Sep.2014 Sep.2015 Note: All figures are indexed to Sep 2007 Source: Cocoa beans London (2 nd position), Sugar world London n 5 (2nd position), Sugar EU Kingsmanestimates W-Europe DDP, skimmed milk powder average price Germany, Netherlands, France. Page 20

Net Working Capital Working Capital below prior year as a result of reduction in inventories and positive currencies effect in CHF mio. Receivables Stocks Payables +170 +80-8.7% 1 675 +35-111 -36-114 -170 1 530 Net Working Capital Aug 14 Growth impact Price and operational impact Growth impact Operational Improvement Growth impact Price impact and operational improvements Others and FX impacts Net Working Capital Aug 15 Page 21

Cash Flow Cash Flow improvement due to lower investment in working capital in CHF mio. 474-0.2% 473-101 (PY -279) -145 (PY- 142) -205 (PY -227) -85 (PY -80) +87 (PY +271) +24 (PY +17) Operating Cash Flow* FY 2013/14 Operating Cash Flow* FY 2014/15 Investment in Working Capital and others Interest paid and income taxes Cash flow from investing activities Dividend Cash flow from financing activities and FX Net increase in cash and cash equivalents * Before Working Capital changes Page 22

Balance Sheet & key ratios Deleveraging of the company and improvement of key financial ratios remain a high priority Aug 15 Aug 14 Total Assets [CHF m] 5'429.4 5'167.5 Net Working Capital [CHF m] 1'529.7 1'674.6 Non-Current Assets [CHF m] 2'185.5 2'175.6 Net Debt [CHF m] 1'728.0 1'803.5 Shareholders' Equity [CHF m] 1'772.8 1'790.7 Debt/Equity ratio 97.5% 100.7% Solvency ratio 32.7% 34.7% Net debt / EBITDA 3.2x 3.4x Interest cover ratio 4.1x 4.5x ROIC 9.8% 10.5% ROE 13.5% 14.7% Page 23

Dividend Proposed dividend of CHF 14.50, stable payout ratio of 33% Proposed dividend CHF 14.50 per share 1 Payout ratio Payout of 33%of Net Profit 31% 33% 35% 33% 33% Not subject to withholding tax 2 223 255 240 Timetable for dividend 177 143 Shareholder approval: Dec 9, 2015 (AGM) Expected ex-date: Feb 29, 2016 Expected payment date: March 2, 2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015* Net Profit in CHF mio. * As proposed by the Board to our Shareholders 1) From reserves from capital contributions 2) For individuals who are taxed in Switzerland and hold the shares privately also no income tax Page 24

5-year development Long-term and continued strong volume and EBIT growth in a capital intensive business Sales Volume CAGR +9.1% EBIT CAGR +7.9% Currency effects (cumulated) BC Group 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 CAPEX Net Working Capital CAGR +14.6% CAGR +14.6% 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 Page 25

The way forward CEO Antoine de Saint-Affrique

We have a clear and successful long-term strategy Vision Heart and engine of the chocolate and cocoa industry Expansion 4 strategic pillars Innovation Cost Leadership Sustainable, profitable growth Sustainable Cocoa Page 27

Strategy unchanged, execution adjusted We are entering the next phase of our journey Focus on consistent, above market-growth and enhanced profitability: SMART GROWTH Sustainable growth Margin accretive growth Accelerated growth in Gourmet, Specialties and emerging markets Return on Capital and greater focus on Free Cash Flow Talent & Team Page 28

Expansion: Accelerate Gourmet, Specialties and Emerging Markets Further drive Gourmet & Specialties Further expand in Emerging markets Further leverage Outsourcing & strategic partnerships Page 29

Innovation: Margin accretive growth, value added products & services Products Channels Be on trend Be ahead of the curve Added-value products Added-value services Clean label, free from Acticoa Decorations, Inclusions, fillings, Co-creation Thermo-tolerant Innovative concepts Fermentation 2 & 3 D printing Page 30

Cost Leadership: Returns from scale, leverage & operational excellence Leverage our global scale Operational excellence Leverage our footprint Cocoa Leadership Leverage our scale European shared service centre Continuous improvement One + Finance Excellence Quality Culture Western Europe & EEMEA Centralized combined ratio management Page 31

Sustainable Cocoa: innovation, implementation, impact Sustainable practices, prosperous communities, long term supply Leading sustainability A holistic approach Collaborating for impact Pre-competitive platforms Setting new benchmarks Cocoa Horizons Foundation Capability based On the ground Customer partnerships NGO partnerships & certification Fuelling consumer demand Page 32

Outlook Strive for smart balance between consistent, above-market volume growth and enhanced profitability Mid-term guidance (until 2017/18) We will strike a balance betweenvolume growth and enhanced profitability as well as free cash flow generation: smart growth Average volume growth 4-6% EBIT growthon averageabovevolumegrowth 1 Outlook Challenging fiscal year 2015/16 due to the current cocoa products market, which will temporarily affect our profitability Page 33 1 In local currencies and barring any major unforeseen events

Thank you Page 34