MORGAN STANLEY LAGUNA CONFERENCE Roger Fradin, Vice Chairman

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Transcription:

MORGAN STANLEY LAGUNA CONFERENCE Roger Fradin, Vice Chairman

2 Forward Looking Statements This report contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. All statements, other than statements of fact, that address activities, events or developments that we or our management intend, expect, project, believe or anticipate will or may occur in the future are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are based on management s assumptions and assessments in light of past experience and trends, current economic and industry conditions, expected future developments and other relevant factors. They are not guarantees of future performance, and actual results, developments and business decisions may differ from those envisaged by our forward-looking statements. Our forward-looking statements are also subject to risks and uncertainties, which can affect our performance in both the nearand long-term. We identify the principal risks and uncertainties that affect our performance in our Form 10-K and other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

3 Today s Discussion Honeywell Delivering In Challenging Macro Environment - Great Positions In Good Industries, HOS Gold Execution Helping Offset Macro Headwinds - Continued Strong Margin Expansion - Strong 1H 2015 Performance, EPS Up 10% Normalized For Tax (1) On Track To Achieve Long-Term Targets - Benefits From Growth Investments High ROI CapEx, HGR, New Products - Traction On Key Process Initiatives Delivering Significant Productivity Improvements - Conservative Planning Mitigates Top-Line Headwinds Elster Building On Our Acquisition Track Record - Differentiated Gas Technologies, Adds Attractive Metering Adjacencies - Creates New Platform For Organic And Inorganic Growth - Melrose Industries plc Shareholders Approved Sale (Aug 21 st ); Expected 1Q 2016 Close, Impact To 2016 EPS Minor 1) V% Adjusted to Expected Full Year 2015 Tax Rate of 26.5% Before Any Pension Mark-to-Market Adjustment Continuing To Outperform

4 First Half 2015 Financial Summary ($M except per share amounts) 1H14 1H15 Sales $19,932 $18,988 5% Decrease Core Organic Up 2% Segment Profit $3,305 $3,524 Margin % 16.6% 18.6% 7% Increase 200 bps Margin Expansion Net Income $2,116 $2,310 9% Increase Attributable to Honeywell EPS $2.66 $2.91 Tax Rate 26.3% 26.6% 9% Increase Up 10% Normalized For Tax (2) Free Cash Flow (1) $1,608 $1,421 ($187M) Decrease Payment Of 4Q14 OEM Incentives 1) Cash Flow from Operations Less Capital Expenditures 2) V% Adjusted to Expected Full Year 2015 Tax Rate of 26.5% Before Any Pension Mark-to-Market Adjustment Strong Margin Expansion And Earnings Growth

5 2015 Planning Update % HON Sales 2015 YoY Outlook - Neutral + What We re Seeing / Expecting Non- Residential 29% Continued Commercial Growth (Fire, Security) Good Growth In Americas, EMEA; Outperforming In China Second Derivative Impact On HIS From Oil & Gas Slowdown Slower Conversion in BSD, But Solid Backlog & Service Growth Commercial Aftermarket 12% 2H15 Growth In-Line With Utilization Continued R&O Growth BGA And ATR Lower BGA Spares As Planned (RMUs) Defense & Space Oil & Gas 11% 12% U.S. Stabilizing, Services Growth In 2H15 International Growth Continues But Tough Comp In 4Q Ongoing CapEx Cuts, Project Delays; China Still Slow UOP Order Declines; Active Int l Gas Processing Opportunities HPS Backlog Firm; Delays/Slowdown In Short & Long Cycle Orders Global Project Quoting And Licensing Order Activity Encouraging Aero OE, Turbo, Resi, Advanced Materials 36% Strong BGA Engine Shipments, ATR 4Q Pick-Up Steady Short-Cycle Growth Turbo, Residential Advanced Materials Continued Momentum, Solstice Ramp End Markets Intact, Managing Oil & Gas Weakness

6 Elster Acquisition - Strategic Rationale Good Industry Where We Have Strong Experience - Strong Global Market Forces Favorable To Natural Gas Including Legislation, Efficiency, Cost And Environmental Impact - Electronic And Connected Smart Metering Requirements In All Major Global Regions For All Major Resources (Gas, Electricity, Water) - Increasing Demands For Data Management And Energy Usage Analytics Adds ~$2B Sales Great Position, Cohesive Fit With HON Portfolio - Heating Assets Strengthen HON Gas Combustion Portfolio From Components To Solutions Provider - Differentiated, Last Mile Smart Metering Technology In $11B Segment, With Strong Gas And Electricity Positions - Gas Flow Control Technology Enhances Process Solutions Products Portfolio - Extensive Data And Analytics Requirements = Opportunities To Leverage HON Software Expertise Significant Value Creation Opportunities - Accretive Deployment Of Non-U.S. Cash - Confidence In Attaining Deal Returns, Driven By HON Disciplined M&A Approach - Strong Core Growth Boosted By HON R&D, Channel Pull-Through, HGR And Software Capabilities - HOS Gold Deployment Further Drives NPI And Significantly Strengthens Supply Chain, Operations And Back Office - New Platforms For Potential Inorganic Growth Great Fit For Honeywell ~20% Sales Operating Margin ~20% ~12.6x 2015E Sales Consensus EBITDA

7 Elster Portfolio GAS ELECTRICITY WATER Products and Solutions for Measurement, Regulation, Control, and Application of Gases Advanced Electricity Metering Products and Services Serving Utility Customers Globally Software and Data Analytics Metering and Communication Systems for Water Utilities and Industries *Assumes ~1.55 GBP/USD Attractive Gas Utility Meter Adjacency 2014 Sales* ~$1.1B ~$0.3B ~$0.2B 2014 OM % ~23% ~11% ~16% Shift From Basic To Smart Meters Opens Additional Avenue For Significant M&A Runway Strong Fit With Existing Gas Portfolio

8 Why HON M&A Works Tight Connection To Our Strategy - Constant Screening, Relentless Discipline - No Zeal For The Deal Mentality - HON Strengths Brand, Technology, Globalization, Channel Buy What We Know - Leverage Market Expertise - Acquisitions Close To The Core Or - Business We Know By Analogy - GM / Business Ownership Pipeline Building Process - Hundreds Of Targets - New Idea Generation From Added Resources - Long Term Relationship Building Discipline Acquisition Framework Intact - IRR>WACC; Double Digit ROI By 5th Year - Accretive All-in Year 2 Driving Significant Synergies - Targeting 8%+ Of Sales As Cost Synergies - Maximum Focus On Sales Synergies Experienced Due Diligence And Integration Teams - Cross-Functional Expertise - Best Of The Best Management Team Rigorous Internal Review Process - Kill Bad Deals Early - Do Not Overpay HON M&A Playbook Continues To Drive Results

9 Why Own HON Outperformance Continues Through New 5-Year Plan Businesses Well Positioned To Grow - Aero And PMT Inflection Points - ACS Strong And Steady - Seed Planting Effective HOS Gold Delivering Growth And Productivity Software An Increasing Driver Capital Deployment Upside Business Model Works

11 Appendix Reconciliation of non-gaap Measures to GAAP Measures

12 Reconciliation Of Segment Profit To Operating Income And Calculation Of Segment Profit And Operating Income Margins ($M ) 1H14 1H15 Segment Profit $3,305 $3,524 Stock Based Compensation (1) (102) (91) Repositioning and Other (1, 2) (348) (276) Pension Ongoing Income (1) 125 203 OPEB Expense (1) (25) (20) Operating Income $2,955 $3,340 Segment Profit $3,305 $3,524 Sales $19,932 $18,988 Segment Profit Margin % 16.6% 18.6% Operating Income $2,955 $3,340 Sales $19,932 $18,988 Operating Income Margin % 14.8% 17.6% (1) Included in cost of products and services sold and selling, general and administrative expenses. (2) Includes repositioning, asbestos, environmental expenses and equity income adjustment.

13 Calculation Of EPS At Tax Rate Of 26.5% ($M except per share amounts) 1H14 1H15 Income Before Taxes $2,934 $3,226 Taxes at 26.5% 778 855 Net Income at 26.5% Tax Rate $2,156 $2,371 Less: Net Income Attributable to the Noncontrolling Interest 46 58 Net Income Attributable to Honeywell at 26.5% Tax Rate $2,110 $2,313 Weighted Average Number of Shares Outstanding - Assuming Dilution 795.9 793.4 EPS at 26.5% Tax Rate $2.65 $2.92

14 Reconciliation Of Cash Provided By Operating Activities To Free Cash Flow ($M ) 1H14 1H15 Cash Provided by Operating Activities $2,029 $1,829 Expenditures for Property, Plant and Equipment (421) (408) Free Cash Flow $1,608 $1,421