FY11 Fourth Quarter E arnings Earnings Call

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Transcription:

FY11 Fourth Quarter Earnings Call November 17, 2011 November 2011

Agenda TransDigm Overview W. Nicholas Howley Chairman and CEO Highlights, Market Review, Operating W. Nicholas Howley Performance and Outlook Chairman and CEO Operations, New Business and Value Creation Raymond F. Laubenthal President and COO Financial Results Gregory Rufus Q&A Executive Vice President and CFO 1

Forward Looking Statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including information regarding our guidance for future periods. These forward-looking statements are based on management s current expectations and beliefs, as well as a number of assumptions concerning future events, many of which are outside of our control. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statement. These risks and uncertainties include but are not limited to: the sensitivity of our business to the number of flight hours that our customers planes spend aloft and our customers profitability, both of which are affected by general economic conditions; future terrorist attacks; our reliance on certain customers; the U.S. defense budget and risks associated with being a government supplier; failure to maintain government or industry approvals; failure to complete or successfully integrate acquisitions; our substantial indebtedness; potential environmental liabilities; and other factors. Further information regarding the important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from projected results can be found in TransDigm Group s Annual Report on Form 10-K and other reports that TransDigm Group or its subsidiaries have filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on our forward-looking statements. TransDigm Group Incorporated assumes no obligation to, and expressly disclaims any obligation to, update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. 2

Special Notice Regarding Pro Forma and Non-GAAP Information This presentation sets forth certain pro forma financial information, which is summarized in the appendix. This pro forma financial information gives effect to certain recently completed acquisitions and divestitures. Such pro forma information is based on certain assumptions and adjustments and does not purport to present TransDigm's actual results of operations or financial condition had the transactions reflected in such pro forma financial information occurred at the beginning of the relevant period, in the case of income statement information, or at the end of such period, in the case of balance sheet information, nor is it necessarily indicative of the results of operations that may be achieved in the future. This presentation also sets forth certain non-gaap financial measures. GAAP measures and a reconciliation to such measures are set forth in the appendix. A presentation of the most directly comparable 3

TransDigm Overview DISTINGUISHING CHARACTERISTICS Highly engineered aerospace components Proprietary and sole source products Significant ifi aftermarket t content t High free cash flow Proprietary Revenues Pro Forma Revenues(¹) Pro Forma EBITDA As Defined (1) Based on Management estimates for the LTM period 9/30/11. Please see the Special Notice Regarding Pro Forma and Non-GAAP Information. 4

Financial Performance by Market Channel Commercial OEM Highlights(¹) Airbus & Boeing production rate increases Biz Jet OEM full year revenue up 25% Commercial Aftermarket: Revenues sequentially flat FY 11 incoming Orders: running above shipments Defense: Q4 revenues modestly up Incoming Orders: Q4 running slightly above shipments Market Review Pro Forma Revenues(¹) Q4 vs. Prior Year YTD Commercial OEM: Up 22% Up 16% Commercial Aftermarket: Up 21% Up 23% Defense: Up 2% Down 2% (1) Information is on a pro forma basis versus the prior quarter and year. Please see the Special Notice Regarding Pro Forma and Non-GAAP Information. 5

Fiscal 2012 Outlook FY 2011 Pro forma Sales Mix(¹) Market FY 2012 Expected Growth(¹) 31% Commercial loem Up Mid Teen % 42% Commercial Aftermarket Up 10 % 27% Defense Down Low Single Digit % Assumptions Worldwide RPM growth 4 to 5% Commercial aftermarket returning to normal growth levels OEM production rate increases including 787 shipments of 15 in 2012 and 50 in 2013 Defense remain cautious Full year tax rate 35% ($ in millions) Guidance Summary Low High Revenues $ 1,430 $ 1,470 EBITDA As Defined $ 705 $ 725 Net Income $ 269 $ 287 GAAP EPS $ 4.95 $ 5.27 Adj. EPS $ 5.35 $ 5.67 (1) Information is on a pro forma basis versus the prior quarter and year. Please see the Special Notice Regarding Pro Forma and Non-GAAP Information. 6

Fourth Quarter 2011 Results ($ in millions) Q4 FY11 Q4 FY10 Revenue $343.0 $223.1 53.7% Increase Organic sales growth 13.7% Gross Profit $193.0 $132.4 3 Margin Point Decrease Margin % 56.3% 59.3% Dilutive acquisition mix of 3 margin points, about half due to acquisition-related costs. SG&A $38.5 $25.5 % to Sales 11.2% 11.4% Interest Exp. $48.7 $27.1 Increase from debt refinancing and McKechnie acquisition Weighted Avg. Interest Rate ~6% going forward Income from Continuing Ops. $64.3 $50.6 27% Increase % to Sales 18.8% 22.7% Adjusted EPS $1.45 $1.02 42.2% 2% Increase 7

Liquidity & Taxes ($ in millions) Cash FY 9/30/2011 FY 9/30/10 Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities $260.6 $197.3 Capital Expenditures ($18.0) ($12.9) Free Cash Flow $242.6 $184.44 Taxes FY11 ETR: 33.6% Cash on the Balance Sheet $376.2 $234.1 Cash $376.2 Liquidity EBITDA As Defined FY 9/30/2011 multiple Rate Maturity Revolver (1) L + 3.75% (2) December 2015 Term Loan 1,538.4 2.4x L + 3.00% February 2017 Total senior secured debt $1,538.4 2.4x (3) Senior Sub Notes 1,600.0 2.5x 7.75% December 2018 Total debt $3,138.4 4.9x Net Debt to Proforma EBITDA As Defined 4.3x Pro forma EBITDA As Defined $637.1 (1) $245 million Revolving Credit Facility. (2) This rate is calculated using the greater of 1.5% or actual Libor, plus 3.75%. (3) This rate is calculated using the greater of 1.0% or actual Libor, plus 3.00%. 8

Appendix 9

Reconciliation of EBITDA and EBITDA As Defined to Net Income Thirteen Week Periods Ended September 30, 2011 September 30, 2010 Fiscal Years Ended September September 30, 30, 2011 2010 Net income $ 67,395 $ 50,635 $ 172,134 $ 163,445 Less income (loss) from discontinued operations 3,082-19,909 - Income from continuing operations 64,313 50,635 152,225 163,445 Adjustments: Depreciation and amortization expense 17,601 7,631 60,460 30,165 Interest expense, net 48,703 27,085 185,256 112,234 Income tax provision 29,337 25,560 77,200 87,390 EBITDA, excluding discontinued operations 159,954 110,911 475,141 393,234 Adjustments: Acquisition related expenses (1) 6,168 3,062 29,711 11,682 Stock option expense (2) 5,736 1,667 12,568 6,693 (3) Refinancing i costs (3) 37-72,454 - Gross Adjustments to EBITDA 11,941 4,729 114,733 18,375 EBITDA As Defined $ 171,895 $ 115,640 $ 589,874 $ 411,609 EBITDA As Defined, Margin (4) 50.1% 51.8% 48.9% 49.7% (1) Represents accounting adjustments to inventory associated with acquisitions of businesses and product lines that were charged to cost of sales when the inventory was sold; costs incurred to integrate acquired businesses and product lines into TD Group's operations, facility relocation costs and other acquisition-related costs; transaction-related costs comprising deal fees; legal, financial and tax due diligence expenses; valuation costs that are required to be expensed as incurred; and reversal of a portion of the earn-out liability related to the Duke's Aerospace earn-out arrangement. (2) Represents the compensation expense recognized by TD Group under our stock option plans. (3) Represents ese s costs s incurred in connection o with the refinancing in December 2010, 0, including the premium paid to redeem our 7¾% senior subordinated notes due 2014, the write-off of debt issue costs and unamortized note premium and discount and settlement of the interest rate swap agreement and other expenses. (4) The EBITDA As Defined margin represents the amount of EBITDA As Defined as a percentage of sales. 10

Reconciliation of Reported EPS to Adjusted EPS Reported Earnings Per Share September 30, 2011 Thirteen Week Periods Ended September 30, 2010 Fiscal Years Ended September 30, 2011 September 30, 2010 Net income from continuing operations $ 64,313 $ 50,635 $ 152,225 $ 163,445 Less: dividends paid on participating securities - - (2,811) (30,313) 64,313 50,635 149,414 133,132 Net income from discontinued operations 3,082-19,909 - Net income applicable to common stock - basic and diluted $ 67,395 $ 50,635 $ 169,323 $ 133,132 Weighted-average shares outstanding under the two-class method: (1) Weighted average common shares outstanding 50,206 49,368 49,888 49,171 Vested options deemed participating securities 3,127 3,556 3,445 3,752 Total shares for basic and diluted earnings per share 53,333 52,924 53,333 52,923 Net earnings per share from continuing operations - basic and diluted $ 1.20 $ 0.96 $ 2.80 $ 2.52 Net earnings per share from discontinued operations - basic and diluted 0.06-0.37 - Net earnings per share $ 1.26 $ 0.96 $ 3.17 $ 2.52 Adjusted Earnings Per Share Net income from continuing operations $ 64,313 $ 50,635 $ 152,225 $ 163,445 Gross adjustments to EBITDA 11,941 4,729 114,733 18,375 Purchase accounting backlog amortization 5,360 478 15,858 2,977 Tax adjustment (4,402) (1,723) (43,943) (7,439) Adjusted net income $ 77,212 $ 54,119 $ 238,873 $ 177,358 Adjusted diluted earnings per share under the two-class method $ 1.45 $ 1.02 $ 4.48 $ 3.35 (1) Application of the two-class method as compared to the treasury stock method requires the inclusion of approximately two million additional shares outstanding for the quarter, which results in dilution of earnings per share by approximately 3% on a fully diluted basis. 11

Reconciliation of Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities to EBITDA and EBITDA As Defined Fiscal Years Ended September 30, September 30, 2011 2010 Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities $ 260,578 $ 197,304 Adjustments: Changes in assets and liabilities, net of effects from acquisitions o (31,066) (4,971) Interest expense - net (1) 175,414 104,656 Income tax provision - current 130,109 85,490 Non-cash equity compensation (2) (12,574) (6,704) Excess tax benefit from exercise of stock options 23,411 17,459 (3) Refinancing costs (3) (72,454) - EBITDA 473,418 393,234 Adjustments: Acquisition related expenses (4) 33,466 11,682 Stock option expense (5) 12,568 6,693 Refinancing costs (3) 72,454 - EBITDA from discontinued operations (2,032) - EBITDA As Defined $ 589,874 $ 411,609 (1) Represents interest expense excluding the amortization of debt issue costs and note premium and discount. (2) Represents the compensation expense recognized by TD Group under our stock plans. (3) 3/4% Represents costs incurred in connection with the refinancing in December 2010, including the premium paid to redeem our 7 senior subordinated notes due 2014, the write-off of debt issue costs and unamortized note premium and discount, and settlement of the interest rate swap agreement and other expenses. (4) Represents accounting adjustments to inventory associated with acquisitions of businesses and product lines that were charged to cost of sales when the inventory was sold; costs incurred to integrate acquired businesses and product lines into TD Group's operations, facility relocation costs and other acquisition-related costs; transaction-related costs comprising deal fees; legal, financial and taxdue diligence expenses; valuation costs that are required to be expensed as incurred; and reversal of a portion of the earn-out liability related to the Dukes Aerospace earn-out arrangement. (5) Represents the compensation expense recognized by TD Group under our stock option plans. 12

FY11 Fourth Quarter Earnings Call November 17, 2011 November 2011 13