Jefferies Internet and Media Conference

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Transcription:

Jefferies Internet and Media Conference Linda S. Huber EVP and Chief Financial Officer Investor Presentation New York City February 26, 2009

Disclaimer Certain of the statements contained in this presentation are forward-looking statements and are based on future expectations, plans and prospects for Moody s business and operations that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. The forward-looking statements and other information are made as of February 5, 2009 and the Company disclaims any duty to supplement, update or revise such statements on a going-forward basis, whether as a result of subsequent developments, changed expectations or otherwise. In connection with the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, the Company has identified certain factors that could cause actual results to differ, perhaps materially, from those indicated by these forward-looking statements. Those factors include, but are not limited to, the current world-wide credit market disruptions and economic slowdown, which are affecting and could continue to affect the volume of debt securities issued in domestic and/or global capital markets; other matters that could affect the volume of debt securities issued, including credit quality concerns, changes in interest rates and other volatility in the financial markets; the uncertain effectiveness and possible collateral consequences of U.S. and foreign government initiatives to respond to the economic slowdown; possible loss of market share through competition; and other risk factors as discussed in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007, the Company s quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2008, and in other filings made by the Company from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission. This presentation includes certain non-gaap financial measures as defined under SEC rules. As required by SEC rules, at the end of this slide presentation we have provided a reconciliation of those measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures. A copy of this presentation, including the relevant reconciliation slides, is available on Moody s investor relations website http://ir.moodys.com. Moody s Corporation Jefferies Internet and Media Conference 2009 1

Moody s Corporation Leading global provider of credit rating opinions and insight on credit risk measurement and management to capital markets Moody s Investors Service Independent provider of credit rating opinions and related information for over 100 years Moody s Analytics Research, data and tools for quantitative credit risk assessment and related risk management products 69% of MCO FY08 revenue: $1,205 Million* 31% of MCO FY08 revenue: $551mm* * Represents percentage of consolidated revenue and excludes intersegment royalty and eliminations Moody s Corporation Jefferies Internet and Media Conference 2009 2

Current Environment Business Conditions Recent government efforts attempt to restore confidence and establish stability Monetary policy measures Use of government balance sheets, including stimulus and debt guarantees Coordinated rate cuts Issuance activity remains limited Recent high-grade issuance activity not necessarily indicative of smooth operations within broader fixed income markets Spreads still remain high with a narrowing of high-yield spreads unlikely until the end of 2009 after default rate peaks Macroeconomic drivers will present continued challenges in 2009 Emerging market growth slowing; forex reserve concerns Unemployment rising while consumer spending weakens U.S. house price declines continue, though bottom may be foreseeable Moody s Corporation Jefferies Internet and Media Conference 2009 3

Key Cycles To Break Before Market Improvement Becomes Visible and Sustainable Business Conditions Unemployment insurance claims continue to rise, but fiscal stimulus should help Lenders more willing to make consumer loans, but need significant improvement in lending 600 550 Initial claims for unemployment insurance, Ths, 4 wk MA 80 60 Net % of lenders willing to make a consumer loan 500 450 400 350 40 20 0-20 -40 300-60 250 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 Source: Moody s Economy.com -80 66 70 74 78 82 86 90 94 98 02 06 Source: Moody s Economy.com, Federal Reserve s Senior Loan Officer Survey 3,000 2,500 First mortgage loan defaults increasing but may slow following policy actions First mortgage loan defaults, ths, SAAR 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 Source: Moody s Economy.com, Equifax Moody s Corporation Jefferies Internet and Media Conference 2009 4

Current Macroeconomic Indicators Signal a Challenging 2009 Business Conditions 25% Surge in U.S. Government Net Borrowing Compensates for Private-Sector Deleveraging 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% Mar-52 Mar-54 Mar-56 Mar-58 Mar-60 Mar-62 Mar-64 Mar-66 Mar-68 Mar-70 Mar-72 Mar-74 Mar-76 Mar-78 Mar-80 Mar-82 Mar-84 Mar-86 Mar-88 Mar-90 Mar-92 Mar-94 Mar-96 Mar-98 Mar-00 Mar-02 Mar-04 Mar-06 Mar-08-10% Source: Moody s Corporation Federal Government net borrowing as % GDP NonFederal nonfinancial net borrowing as % GDP 20 15 10 5 0 Lower Employment and Income Expectations Signal Weak Consumer Spending Outlook -5 0 Feb-95 Aug-96 Feb-98 Aug-99 Feb-01 Aug-02 Feb-04 Aug-05 Feb-07 Aug-08 Consumers' Income Expectations Index ( L ) Employment Income: YoY % change ( R ) 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Spreads signal depression-level default rates Default Rate 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 3/1/1989 3/1/1992 3/1/1995 3/1/1998 3/1/2001 3/1/2004 3/1/2007 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 Spread (bps) Source: Moody s Corporation Global Spec Grade Default Rate Source: Moody s Corporation High Yield Spread Moody s Corporation Jefferies Internet and Media Conference 2009 5

Business Conditions Is Recent High-Grade Issuance Activity Sustainable? High-Yield Issuance Activity Weak but Continues to Exist U.S. High-Grade Issuance Strengthens, But Count Continues to Be Weak U.S. High-Yield Issuance Continues to Be Weak $77 $72 $67 $62 $57 $52 $47 $42 $37 470 420 370 320 270 220 $16 $14 $12 $10 $8 $6 $4 $2 50 40 30 20 10 $32 Jun-00 Jun-01 Jun-02 Jun-03 Jun-04 Jun-05 Jun-06 Jun-07 Jun-08 170 $0 Jun-00 Mar-01 Dec-01 Sep-02 Jun-03 Mar-04 Dec-04 Sep-05 Jun-06 Mar-07 Dec-07 Sep-08 0 Amount in $ billions ( L ) Count ( R ) Amount in $ billions ( L ) Count ( R ) Source: Moody s Corporation Source: Moody s Corporation 21% Global High-Yield Default Rates Expected to Peak at 16% in 4Q09 18% Actual Baseline Forecast 15% 12% 9% 6% 3% 0% 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Source: Moody s Investors Service January Default Report Moody s Corporation Jefferies Internet and Media Conference 2009 6 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Business Conditions Uncertainty Remains on Ultimate Losses For Subprime, While ABS Losses Continue to Rise Within Historical Trends Moody's U.S. Prime Auto Loan Index Cumulative Losses by Vintage 7% US First Lien Subprime RMBS Cumulative Losses by Vintage Year Cmumulative Net Losses (%) 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 % of Original Balance 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% - 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 1 7 13 19 25 31 37 Months After Issuance 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Moody s Corporation Jefferies Internet and Media Conference 2009 7

Moody s Operating Environment Business Prospects Remain Solid Despite Market Conditions Moody s Operating Considerations Recurring revenue and its associated cash flow are source of ongoing stability 2009 recurring revenue expected to be flat with 2008 Rigorous cost and investment management through cyclical downturn and structural changes of credit markets Operating expenses expected to be flat excluding acquisitions Solid balance sheet and strong free cash flow conversion No major debt repayment due until 2012 Fermat acquisition positions Moody s in leading global position to deliver regulatory-driven software solutions Expect the business will generate good growth from 4Q09 with at least $70 million in incremental annual revenue by 2010 Moody s long-term growth prospects remain intact Moody s Corporation Jefferies Internet and Media Conference 2009 8

Good Growth Opportunities Remain Moody s Operating Environment Key near- and longer-term sources of growth: Moody s Investors Service Future capital demands will act to reverse extreme de-leveraging Eventual resumption of normal credit market conditions in the U.S. and Europe Disintermediation of government (and financial institution) financing Non-U.S. growth (developed and emerging markets) Infrastructure needs and market development Moody s Analytics Responding to need for enhanced risk management and measurement Tools for improved investment decisions and transparency through analytical and research services Moody s Corporation Jefferies Internet and Media Conference 2009 9

MCO Financial Performance International Markets Less Affected than U.S. Markets FY08 Revenue SFG CFG FIG PPIF MA -70% -50% -30% -10% 10% 30% International U.S. FY2008 U.S. revenue down 33% vs. prior year FY2008 international revenue down 6% vs. prior year Moody s Corporation Jefferies Internet and Media Conference 2009 10

MCO Revenue Attributes Revenue Attributes of Moody s Businesses Moody s Investors Service FY08 Revenue: $1,205 Million Moody s Corporation FY08 Revenue: $1,755 Million Moody s Analytics FY08 Revenue: $551 Million Transaction 49% Recurring 51% MIS 69% Analytics 31% Recurring 91% Transaction 9% MCO FY08 Revenue: Transaction: 36% Recurring: 64% MIS Ratings: Transaction revenue recognized when rating published Recurring revenue recognized ratably over the life of the security Analytics: Transaction revenue recognized when service rendered Recurring revenue recognized ratably over the contract period Historical data has been adjusted to conform with current information Represents percentage of consolidated revenue and excludes intersegment royalty and eliminations Moody s Corporation Jefferies Internet and Media Conference 2009 11

MCO Annual Revenue and Operating Margin MCO Financial Performance Revenue Operating Margin Revenue ($ Millions) $2,400 2,200 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 48% 50% 53% 53% 55% 54% 54% 52% 43% Guidance Range* 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% Operating Margin ** 600 400 10% 200 0 $602 $797 $1,023 $1,247 $1,438 $1,732 $2,037 $2,259 $1,755 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009F* 0% * Represents guidance provided on February 5, 2009 ** Operating margin excludes the gain on the sale of Moody s former NY headquarters building (2006); restructuring charge (2007); restructuring adjustments (2008) Moody s Corporation Jefferies Internet and Media Conference 2009 12

MCO Financial Performance Moody s Strong Capital Position Balance sheet items as of 12/31/2008: Cash and equivalents $ 246 million Debt $ 1,468 million Equity * $ (1,000) million * Negative equity position is primarily the result of Moody's share repurchase program. Treasury stock is classified as a reduction of shareholders' equity under GAAP. No major debt repayment due until 2012 Cash flow and related sources remain strong Approximately $1.4 billion share repurchase authorization remaining at 12/31/08 curtailing share repurchase activities in 2009 Share repurchases funded by free cash flow and borrowings. Average buyback price was $32.54 for FY08 At 12/31/08, $1.5 billion of outstanding debt with additional availability of approximately $300 million Moody s Corporation Jefferies Internet and Media Conference 2009 13

MCO Financial Performance MCO Non-GAAP Earnings Per Share 2003-2008 CAGR = 9% $2.50 $2.50 Pro Forma Earnings per Share 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 $1.16 $1.46 $1.79 $2.25 $1.82 Guidance Range* $1.40 - $1.50 0.00 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009F * Represents guidance provided on February 5, 2009 All figures adjusted to reflect 2-for-1 stock split effective May 2005 EPS is shown on pro forma basis see Appendix. Pro forma basis: 2008 excludes 2007 restructuring adjustments; 2007 and 2006 excludes the restructuring charge and the gain on sale of Moody s former NY headquarters building, respectively; in 2003 excludes the insurance recovery; in 2003-2005 reflects impact of stock compensation expense determined as if FAS123 was adopted on its effective date; and in 2003-2008 excludes legacy tax adjustments Moody s Corporation Jefferies Internet and Media Conference 2009 14

Full Year 2009 Guidance as of February 5, 2009 Moody s Corporation Revenue: To decrease in the low single-digit percent range Operating margin: Full-year operating margin in the mid- to high-thirties percent range Operating expenses: To increase in the mid single-digit percent range Excluding acquisitions, FY09 about flat to FY08 Earnings per share: In the range of $1.40 to $1.50 Moody s Corporation Jefferies Internet and Media Conference 2009 15

An updated slide presentation will be posted on our IR website after the 10-K is filed Q&A Session Website: Email: http://ir.moodys.com ir@moodys.com Moody s Corporation Jefferies Internet and Media Conference 2009 16

Appendix Moody s Corporation Jefferies Internet and Media Conference 2009 17

Business Overview Moody s Revenue Distribution and Growth by Product Revenue by Product MCO CAGR 2003-2008 = 7% Moody s Analytics 31% 23% Structured Finance 23% Public, Project & Infrastructure Finance 13% 15% 17% -3% 7% -2% 9% Financial Institutions Corporate Finance FY 2008 Total Revenue: $1,755 Million Structured Finance Corporate Finance Financial Institutions Public, Project & Infrastructure Finance Moody s Analytics Based on Moody s new segment reporting effective January 2008 and intrasegment alignments updated in 3Q08 see appendix for details Moody s Corporation Jefferies Internet and Media Conference 2009 18

Moody s Analytics Moody s Analytics Overview Products and services to support two primary segments: Capital Markets functions and customers Commercial Lending functions and customers Coverage is most prevalent where credit markets are well-developed 95% of business from top 25 countries Customers in 100+ countries Capital Markets Commercial Lending Investment Management Credit Valuation & Pricing Economic Forecasting Credit Risk Management Research, data and analytical models Software, consulting, training Moody s Corporation Jefferies Internet and Media Conference 2009 19

How Moody s Analytics Helps Clients Moody s Analytics Overview Investment Management Credit Valuation & Pricing Economic Forecasting Credit Risk Management Credit-related research Qualitative and quantitative credit ratings and analytics Relative value analysis Training and education in financial and credit analysis Dealer marks for structured securities Valuation tools for hard-to-value assets Discounted Cash Values data services Pricing data for corporate and municipal securities Loan-level pricing data and models Macro- and regional economic performance data, forecasts, and analyses Industry data and forecasting Consumer credit data, analytics and consulting Expertise in U.S. regional real estate markets Economic capital management Default data Global training on credit risk analysis Historical data to anticipate credit risk transition Regulatory capital compliance Asset/liability management Risk reporting, limits monitoring and compliance Moody s Corporation Jefferies Internet and Media Conference 2009 20

Moody s Analytics: Significant Opportunity to Better Penetrate Existing Customers and Acquire New Customers Penetration of Core Customer Segments Moody s Analytics Overview Banks Asset Managers Investment Banks Insurance 58% 44% 41% 65% 51% 53% 37% 30% Potential Customers* 5% 5% 6% 5% ~4,000 ~800 ~300 ~500 Unpenetrated accounts Existing customers with further opportunity Fully penetrated customers * Number of potential customers in each segment is estimated based on asset size, deal volume, and current customer profiles Moody s Corporation Jefferies Internet and Media Conference 2009 21

Performance Through Credit Crunches The current environment is more severe and recovery will be more protracted than past credit crunches MCO Financial Performance 60% Revenue Growth 7% MCO Rev. and Op. Income Growth (%) 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% -40% LTCM & Russia Worldcom 01 Recession & 9/11-50% -60% Subprime 98-1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 99-1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 00-1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 01-1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 02-1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 03-1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 04-1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 05-1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 06-1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 07-1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 08-1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q Op. Income Growth 10-Yr Treasury Yield 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 10-Year Treasury Yield (%) 0% Source, Treasury Yields: U.S. Department of Treasury Moody s Corporation Jefferies Internet and Media Conference 2009 22

Moody s International Growth MCO Financial Performance 2000-2008 Revenue CAGR = 22% International Revenue ($ Millions) $1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 29% 30% 34% 36% 37% 37% 37% 40% 48% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% International Revenue % of Total 100 0 $173 $236 $343 $451 $527 $646 $759 $897 $845 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 0% Int'l Revenue % of Total Revenue Moody s Corporation Jefferies Internet and Media Conference 2009 23

Moody s Price/Earnings Multiples MCO Financial Performance 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Forward P/E Multiples Historical Mean Moody s Corporation Jefferies Internet and Media Conference 2009 24

100% MIS * Revenue Mix % Total MIS Revenue MCO Revenue Attributes Moody s Investors Service Revenue Distribution by Line of Business 80% 60% 40% 53% 51% 22% 24% 48% 23% 43% 24% 49% 23% 35% 33% 33% 36% 34% 24% 27% 25% 22% 25% 22% 21% 22% 22% 22% Structured Finance Corporate Finance Financial Institutions Public, Project & Infra. Finance 20% 15 % 14 % 16 % 18 % 15 % 0% 19 % 19 % 20% 19 % 19 % 11% 11% 13 % 15 % 12 % 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 FY07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 FY08 Based on Moody s new segment reporting effective January 2008 and intrasegment alignments updated in 3Q08 see appendix for details * Represents revenue for MIS excluding intersegment royalty and eliminations Moody s Corporation Jefferies Internet and Media Conference 2009 25

MCO Revenue Attributes Moody s Analytics Revenue Distribution by Line Segment 100% Analytics * Revenue Mix % Total Analytics Revenue 80% 60% 90% 88% 89% 85% 88% 89% 89% 87% 81% 86% Subscription Software Consulting 40% 20% 0% 13% 10% 7% 8% 7% 8% 7% 7% 8% 9% 3% 3% 4% 5% 4% 4% 4% 5% 6% 5% 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 FY07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 FY08 Based on Moody s new segment reporting effective January 2008 see appendix for details * Represents revenue for Moody s Analytics excluding intersegment royalty and eliminations Moody s Corporation Jefferies Internet and Media Conference 2009 26

Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures to GAAP Non-GAAP Reconciliation Earnings Per Share (a) 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 GAAP diluted EPS as reported $1.40 $1.84 $2.58 $2.58 $1.87 Pro forma adjustments (b): Impact of expensing stock-based compensation (c) (0.04) (0.02) - - - Impact of restructuring - - - 0.11 (0.01) Impact of legacy tax items 0.10 (0.03) (0.01) (0.19) (0.04) Impact of gain on sale of building - - (0.32) - - Pro forma diluted EPS $1.46 $1.79 $2.25 $2.50 $1.82 Shares used in diluted EPS calculation (millions) 304.7 305.6 291.9 272.2 245.3 (a) Adjusted for May 2005 2-for-1 stock split (b) Pro forma EPS adjustments may differ from figures disclosed in earnings releases due to rounding (c) Represents the EPS impact of expensing stock-based compensation determined as if FAS123 was adopted on its effective date Moody s Corporation Jefferies Feb 09 Investor Presentation 27

2005 Revenue Reclassification for Segment Changes in $millions Reporting as per 2005 filings 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY05 Structured Finance $ 138.5 $ 192.4 $ 174.4 $ 210.1 $ 715.4 Corporate Finance 80.3 79.1 77.3 85.1 321.8 Financial Institutions and soverign risk 65.7 65.6 58.4 64.9 254.6 Public Finance 23.2 26.2 21.9 20.5 91.8 Total Ratings Revenue 307.7 363.3 332.0 380.6 1,383.6 Research Revenue 51.5 52.9 53.8 57.1 215.3 Total Moody's Investors Service 359.2 416.2 385.8 437.7 1,598.9 MKMV 31.3 30.6 35.3 35.5 132.7 Total Moody's Corporation $ 390.5 $ 446.8 $ 421.1 $ 473.2 $ 1,731.6 Revenue Reclassification Reclass for 2006, 2007 & 2008 Segment Changes: Including REITs, Sovereign, Subsovereign, Project Finance, Utilities & Managed Investments Structured Finance $ (2.7) $ (3.6) $ (5.3) $ (5.5) $ (17.1) Corporate Finance (9.3) (10.8) (12.6) (11.8) (44.5) Financial Institutions (8.3) (8.2) (6.5) (7.2) (30.2) Public, Project & Infrastructure Finance 21.0 23.1 24.9 24.1 93.1 Total Ratings Revenue 0.7 0.5 0.5 (0.4) 1.3 Research Revenue (51.5) (52.9) (53.8) (57.1) (215.3) Total Moody's Investors Service 0.7 0.5 0.5 (0.4) 1.3 MKMV (31.3) (30.6) (35.3) (35.5) (132.7) Moody's Analytics 82.1 83.0 88.6 93.0 346.7 Total Moody's Analytics (0.7) (0.5) (0.5) 0.4 (1.3) Total Moody's Corporation $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - 2008 (Current) Segment Reporting 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY05 Structured Finance $ 135.8 $ 188.8 $ 169.1 $ 204.6 $ 698.3 Corporate Finance 71.0 68.3 64.7 73.3 277.3 Financial Institutions 57.4 57.4 51.9 57.7 224.4 Public, Project & Infrastructure Finance 44.2 49.3 46.8 44.6 184.9 Total Moody's Investors Service* 308.4 363.8 332.5 380.2 1,384.9 Total Moody's Analytics 82.1 83.0 88.6 93.0 346.7 Total Moody's Corporation $ 390.5 $ 446.8 $ 421.1 $ 473.2 $ 1,731.6 * Excludes intersegment royalty 2005 revenue has been reclassified to reflect the following segment changes in 2008: 1) Project Finance, Sovereign and Subsovereign revenue were moved under Public, Project and Infrastructure Finance, 2) Real Estate Finance was moved to Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities within Structured Finance and 3) Research and MKMV were moved to Moody s Analytics. Furthermore, in August 2008, the global managed investments ratings group which was previously part of structured finance, was moved to the financial institutions business. Moody s Corporation Jefferies Feb 09 Investor Presentation 28

2006 Revenue Reclassification for Segment Changes in $millions Reporting as per 2006 filings 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY06 Structured Finance $ 175.5 $ 217.8 $ 217.7 $ 275.7 $ 886.7 Corporate Finance 86.1 107.8 91.2 111.1 396.2 Financial Institutions and soverign risk 65.9 66.9 64.1 69.9 266.8 Public Finance 19.6 21.1 21.0 24.2 85.9 Total Ratings Revenue 347.1 413.6 394.0 480.9 1,635.6 Research Revenue 60.8 62.9 65.6 69.4 258.7 Total Moody's Investors Service 407.9 476.5 459.6 550.3 1,894.3 MKMV 32.3 34.9 35.9 39.7 142.8 Total Moody's Corporation $ 440.2 $ 511.4 $ 495.5 $ 590.0 $ 2,037.1 Reclass for 2006, 2007 & 2008 Segment Changes: Including REITs, Sovereign, Subsovereign, Project Finance, Utilities & Managed Investments Structured Finance $ (3.1) $ (3.7) $ (3.8) $ (3.5) $ (14.1) Corporate Finance (14.9) (15.7) (11.0) (18.7) (60.3) Financial Institutions (9.3) (8.0) (8.0) (8.4) (33.7) Public, Project & Infrastructure Finance 27.9 28.4 23.7 32.3 112.3 Total Ratings Revenue 0.6 1.0 0.9 1.7 4.2 Research Revenue (60.8) (62.9) (65.6) (69.4) (258.7) Total Moody's Investors Service 0.6 1.0 0.9 1.7 4.2 MKMV (32.3) (34.9) (35.9) (39.7) (142.8) Moody's Analytics 92.5 96.8 100.6 107.4 397.3 Total Moody's Analytics (0.6) (1.0) (0.9) (1.7) (4.2) Total Moody's Corporation $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - Revenue Reclassification 2008 (Current) Segment Reporting 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY06 Structured Finance $ 172.4 $ 214.1 $ 213.9 $ 272.2 $ 872.6 Corporate Finance 71.2 92.1 80.2 92.4 335.9 Financial Institutions 56.6 58.9 56.1 61.5 233.1 Public, Project & Infrastructure Finance 47.5 49.5 44.7 56.5 198.2 Total Moody's Investors Service* 347.7 414.6 394.9 482.6 1,639.8 Total Moody's Analytics 92.5 96.8 100.6 107.4 397.3 Total Moody's Corporation $ 440.2 $ 511.4 $ 495.5 $ 590.0 $ 2,037.1 * Excludes intersegment royalty 2006 revenue has been reclassified to reflect the following segment changes in 2008: 1) Project Finance, Sovereign and Subsovereign revenue were moved under Public, Project and Infrastructure Finance, 2) Real Estate Finance was moved to Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities within Structured Finance and 3) Research and MKMV were moved to Moody s Analytics. Furthermore, in August 2008, the global managed investments ratings group which was previously part of structured finance, was moved to the financial institutions business. Moody s Corporation Jefferies Feb 09 Investor Presentation 29

2007 Revenue Reclassification for Segment Changes in $millions Reporting as per 2007 filings 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY07 Structured Finance $ 251.5 $ 273.4 $ 200.8 $ 164.9 $ 890.6 Corporate Finance 114.8 141.0 105.1 104.5 465.4 Financial Institutions and soverign risk 76.7 83.8 68.8 73.8 303.1 Public Finance 29.4 32.0 30.0 29.4 120.8 Total Ratings Revenue 472.4 530.2 404.7 372.6 1,779.9 Research Revenue 75.0 78.0 83.2 88.1 324.3 Total Moody's Investors Service 547.4 608.2 487.9 460.7 2,104.2 MKMV 35.6 37.9 37.1 44.2 154.8 Total Moody's Corporation $ 583.0 $ 646.1 $ 525.0 $ 504.9 $ 2,259.0 Reclass for 2007 and 2008 Segment Changes: Including REITs, Sovereign, Subsovereign, Project Finance, Utilities & Managed Investments Structured Finance $ (3.1) $ (2.4) $ (5.5) $ (6.3) $ (17.3) Corporate Finance (11.5) (15.1) (12.9) (14.4) (53.9) Financial Institutions (7.1) (8.9) (5.5) (7.3) (28.8) Public, Project & Infrastructure Finance 21.7 26.4 23.9 28.0 100.0 Total Ratings Revenue - - - - - Research Revenue (75.0) (78.0) (83.2) (88.1) (324.3) Total Moody's Investors Service - - - - - MKMV (35.6) (37.9) (37.1) (44.2) (154.8) Moody's Analytics 110.6 115.9 120.3 132.3 479.1 Total Moody's Analytics - - - - - Total Moody's Corporation $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - Revenue Reclassification 2008 (Current) Segment Reporting 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY07 Structured Finance $ 248.4 $ 271.0 $ 195.3 $ 158.6 $ 873.3 Corporate Finance 103.3 125.9 92.2 90.1 411.5 Financial Institutions 69.6 74.9 63.3 66.5 274.3 Public, Project & Infrastructure Finance 51.1 58.4 53.9 57.4 220.8 Total Moody's Investors Service* 472.4 530.2 404.7 372.6 1,779.9 Total Moody's Analytics 110.6 115.9 120.3 132.3 479.1 Total Moody's Corporation $ 583.0 $ 646.1 $ 525.0 $ 504.9 $ 2,259.0 * Excludes intersegment royalty 2007 revenue has been reclassified to reflect the following segment changes in 2008: 1) Project Finance, Sovereign and Subsovereign revenue were moved under Public, Project and Infrastructure Finance, 2) Real Estate Finance was moved to Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities within Structured Finance and 3) Research and MKMV were moved to Moody s Analytics. Furthermore, in August 2008, the global managed investments ratings group which was previously part of structured finance, was moved to the financial institutions business. Moody s Corporation Jefferies Feb 09 Investor Presentation 30

2008 Revenue Reclassification for Segment Changes in $millions Reporting as per 2008 filings 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY08** Structured Finance $ 107.2 $ 120.1 $ 97.7 $ 92.2 $ 417.2 Corporate Finance 71.5 97.4 75.0 56.6 300.5 Financial Institutions 64.0 72.1 64.4 56.5 257.0 Public, Project & Infrastructure Finance 55.5 66.2 59.7 48.6 230.0 Total Moody's Investors Service* 298.2 355.8 296.8 253.9 1,204.7 Total Moody's Analytics 132.5 131.8 136.6 149.8 550.7 Total Moody's Corporation $ 430.7 $ 487.6 $ 433.4 $ 403.7 $ 1,755.4 Revenue Reclassification Reclass for 2008 Segment Change: Managed Investments Structured Finance $ (3.0) $ (3.0) $ - $ - $ (6.0) Corporate Finance - - - - - Financial Institutions 3.0 3.0 - - 6.0 Public, Project & Infrastructure Finance - - - - - Total Moody's Investors Service - - - - - Total Moody's Analytics - - - - - Total Moody's Corporation $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - 2008 (Current) Segment Reporting 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY08 Structured Finance $ 104.2 $ 117.1 $ 97.7 $ 92.2 $ 411.2 Corporate Finance 71.5 97.4 75.0 56.6 300.5 Financial Institutions 67.0 75.1 64.4 56.5 263.0 Public, Project & Infrastructure Finance 55.5 66.2 59.7 48.6 230.0 Total Moody's Investors Service* 298.2 355.8 296.8 253.9 1,204.7 Total Moody's Analytics 132.5 131.8 136.6 149.8 550.7 Total Moody's Corporation $ 430.7 $ 487.6 $ 433.4 $ 403.7 $ 1,755.4 * Excludes intersegment royalty ** FY08 "Reporting as per 2008 filings" represents cumulative total of 10Q filings In August 2008, the global managed investments ratings group which was previously part of structured finance, was moved to the financial institutions business. Moody s Corporation Jefferies Feb 09 Investor Presentation 31

Website: Email: http://ir.moodys.com ir@moodys.com Moody s Corporation Jefferies Feb 09 Investor Presentation 32