Asia Pacific Management Review 18(1) (2013) xxxx Controlling Shareholders and Earnings Informativeness: Evidence from Taiwan JeiFang Lew a,*, ShingJen Wu b a Department of Accounting, National Kaohsiung University of Applied Sciences, Taiwan b Department of Accounting, Soochow University, Taiwan www.apmr.management.ncu.edu.tw Abstract Received 10 December 2010; Received in revised form 5 October 2011; Accepted 30 March 2012 Taiwanese listed corporations, characterized by a high degree of separation between control rights and cash flow rights, are empirically studied in this research. This study investigates how the separation of cash flow rights from board seat control rights, as distinct from voting rights, affects the informativeness of earnings, as measured by the relationship between returns and earnings. This study extends the extant research by investigating the extent to which the level of disparity between these two rights affects the magnitude of earnings informativeness. Based on an empirical sample of Taiwanese listed corporations, the results indicate that earnings are generally less informative when there is a divergence between board seat control rights and cash flow rights. Keywords: Earnings informativeness, ownership structure, board seat control rights. 1. Introduction * Ownership concentration and ineffective corporate governance were two factors that contributed to the Asian financial crisis in 1997 (hereafter referred to as the Crisis) (Prowse, 1998). In particular, areas of concern included concentrated ownership, the dominance of controlling shareholders, separation of control rights and cash flow rights, and the limited protection of minority rights. These problems were particularly acute in countries negatively affected by the Crisis (Claessens et al., 2000). Since the Crisis, there has been increasing investor demand requesting corporate governance reforms in emerging marets (Johnson et al., 2000; Gibson, 2003). Taiwan provides an ideal setting for examining the effectiveness of corporate governance due to the high ownership concentration, wea legal protection for shareholders, deficient law enforcement, and the abundance of family controlled firms (La Porta et al., 1999; Lemmon and Lins, 2003). However, according to Claessens et al. (2002), regarding their opinion in the Journal of Finance, 2002, the empirical data for Asian countries including Hong Kong, Indonesia, and South Korea all suggested that the divergence of ownership and control rights had a negative correlation with firm value, but this trend was not as evident in the empirical results on Taiwan. Moreover, the level of divergence demonstrated by Taiwanese corporations was generally lower than that shown by corporations in Singapore, Japan, and Indonesia. They stated: * Corresponding author: jeifang_lew@hotmail.com ** DOI: 10.6126/APMR.2013.18.1.06 233
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Initial Sample (Taiwanese listed firmyear observations) Year 20002009 Subtract: Baning and insurance industries Sales or boo value of equity are less zero Missing data Outliers Final sample 5,570 ( 6) ( ) (862) ( 6),59 Panel B: Sample distribution by year and industry Industry 2000 2001 2002 2003 200 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Total Number Percent 11 Cement 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 65 1.1 12 Food 9 9 11 1 1 15 20 20 20 19 151 3.29 13 Plastics 1 16 15 16 16 19 20 21 21 21 179 3.90 1 Textiles 18 20 2 25 26 27 39 1 38 36 29 6.0 15 Electric and machinery 11 10 16 17 23 2 32 32 33 31 229.98 16 Electrical appliance and cable 7 7 7 7 7 8 12 12 12 12 91 1.98 17 Chemical 12 13 1 19 21 23 27 29 30 33 221.81 18 Glass and ceramics 3 3 3 3 3 35 0.76 19 Paper and pulp 5 5 5 6 7 7 7 7 57 1.2 20 Steel and iron 10 8 9 11 12 15 22 22 21 20 150 3.27 21 Rubber 6 7 7 8 8 8 9 10 9 10 82 1.78 22 Automobile 2 5 5 5 5 2 0.91 23 Electronics 98 133 167 192 219 236 285 301 313 30 228 8.93 25 Construction 12 12 18 11 19 22 30 31 30 30 215.68 26 Transportation 10 11 11 12 1 1 16 17 17 17 139 3.03 27 Tourism 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 27 0.59 29 Department stores 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 8 9 9 83 1.81 99 Other 21 2 26 27 27 31 32 32 33 33 286 6.23 Total 252 297 352 387 36 75 579 603 613 600 59 100% Table 2. Descriptive statistics (60 firms, 59 firmyear observations) Variables Mean Std. dev. Q1 Median Q3 Min Max Panel A: Related corporate governance variables 251
DEV (Deviation) 7.28 20.70 1.855 3.0 5.76 0.8 57.25 Voting rights (%) 29.3 16.9 16.51 27.65 0.3 0.63 92.65 Board seat control rights (%) 6.8 21.72 50.00 62.50 81.82 9.09 100 Cash flow rights (%) 26.6 21.12 10.3 21.38 37.06 0 100 Panel B: Other variables in the models R (%) 13.95 0.513 2.50 5.3 2.6 8.91 199.51 Earn 1.70 3.07 0.21 1.23 2.86 9.38 33.26 Earn 0.15 2.02 0.90 0.0 0.68 12.51 16.11 Size 22.8 1.31 21.92 22.65 23.55 18.8 27.65 Growth 1.27 1.70 0.62 0.91 1.3 0.09 3.5 Loss 0.193 0.39 0 0 0 0 1 Lev 1.0 1.12 0.8 0.82 1.2 0.01 18.0 Net Worth (in millions) 13,09 9 36,912 1,826 3,665 8,303 27.78 509,138 Maret Value (in millions) 18,70 76,979 1,562 3,510 9,259 56.070 1,523,30 8 Total Assets (in millions) 25,3 0 6,516 3,318 6,80 16,89 9 0 152. 1,021,9 5 Variables definition: DEV is the calculated multiple of board seat control rights over cash flow rights. Voting rights is the procedure of identifying ultimate owners used in La Porta et al. (1999). Board seat control rights are the ratio of board members controlled by the ultimate owners to board size. Cash flow rights are the cash flow right held by the controlling shareholder. R is measured by the cumulative 12month raw stoc return until four months after the end of fiscal year t. Earn is earning per share (before extraordinary items) for fiscal year t. Earn is the change in Earn. Size is the size of firm which is measured as natural log of total assets at the end of year t1. Growth is M/B ratio computed as the maret value of equity/boo value of equity. Loss is loss incidence which equals 1 if firm s earnings before extraordinary items are less than 0, and 0 otherwise. Lev is measured as total liability divided by total equity at the end of year t. Table 3. Relationship between earnings and returns dependent on the level of Divergence between board seat control rights and cash flow rights Board seat control right/cash flow rights (DEV) Notes: # of firmyear observations Correlation between earnings and returns All 59 0.1822 0.000.96 231 0.2369 0.971.85 917 0.1989 1.863.0 11 0.15737 3.055.78 1152 0.1572 5.7920.08 920 0.12822 >20.09 230 0.12613 1. All correlations (Pearson) between annual accounting earnings per share (EPS) and stoc returns, and the earnings coefficients from the regression of stoc returns on accounting earnings per share, are significant at the 0.001 level or better. 2. The six divergence groups are categorized according to the percentile of 5%, 25%, 50%, 75% and 95% of DEV distribution. 252
Table. Pearson correlation analysis Variables 1 2 3 5 6 7 8 1. R 2. Earn 0.173 *** 3. Earn 0.35 *** 0.273 ***. DEV 0.06 *** 0.010 0.010 5. Size 0.018 0.19 *** 0.009 0.200 *** 6. Growth 0.053 *** 0.079 *** 0.016 0.057 *** 0.05 *** 7. Loss 0.178 *** 0.530 *** 0.21 *** 0.033 ** 0.062 *** 0.093 *** 8. Lev 0.025 * 0.205 *** 0.002 0.003 0.182 *** 0.209 *** 0.220 *** Notes: 1. Variables definition: R is measured by cumulative 12month raw stoc return until four months after the end of fiscal year t. Earn is earning per share (before extraordinary items) for fiscal year t. Earn is the change in Earn. DEV is the calculated multiple of board seat control rights over cash flow rights. Size is the size of firm which is measured as natural log of total assets at the end of year t1. Growth is M/B ratio computed as the maret value of equity/boo value of equity. Loss is loss incidence which equals 1 if firm s earnings before extraordinary items are less than 0, and 0 otherwise. Lev is measured as total liability divided by total equity at the end of year t. 2. ***, **, and * indicate significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels for the twotailed tests, respectively. Table 5. The Effect of Divergence between Board Seat Control Rights and Cash Flows Right on the Earnings Informativeness (n=59) Variables Pred. Sign Model (1) Model (2) Earn + 0.0689 *** 0.002 ( 2.68) (0.08) Earn DEV 0.021 ** 0.0171 * (2.00) (1.3) ΔEarn + 0.60 *** (17.3) ΔEarn DEV 0.0280 ** (1.73) Earn Size? 0.0180 0.0065 (1.15) (0.39) ΔEarn Size? (5.66) 0.0872 *** Earn Growth? 0.0088 0.0912 *** (0.1) ( 3.29 ) ΔEarn Growth? 0.162 *** (5.67) Earn Loss + 0.083 *** 0.069 *** (.13) ( 2.50 ) ΔEarn Loss + (.81) 0.1080 *** Earn Lev? 0.0701 *** 0.0611 * ( 3.21) ( 1.86 ) ΔEarn Lev? 0.0128 ( 0.8 ) COEF. Test (Ftest) Earn DEV+ΔEarn DEV Fvalue=6.08 ** Highest VIF 3.1093.01885 Adj. R 2 3.3% 15.27% 253
Model F 13.5 3.17 Notes:1. The HuberWhite heteroscedasticityconsistent robust standard errors (Rogers, 1993, generalizing White 1980) adjustment procedure is used to estimate the reported tstatistics (in parentheses). 2. Model specification: Rit, 0 1 Earnit, 2 Earnit, DEVit, Earnit, Xit, it, Model (1) 1 Model (2) Rit, 0 1 Earn it, 2 Earn it, DEVit, 3 Earn it, Earn it, DEVit, Earn it, Xit, Earn it, Xit, it, 1 1 3. Variables definition: R i, t = firm i s cumulative 12month raw stoc return until four months after the end of fiscal year t Earn i, t = firm i s earning per share (before extraordinary items) for fiscal year t DEV i, t = The ratio of board seat control rights over cash flows rights of the largest ultimate owner of firm i = vector of control variables, =1,2, 3, and 1 2 3 : Sizei,t = size of the firm, natural log of firm i s total assets at the end of year t1 : Growthi,t= M/B ratio computed as the maret value of equity/boo value of equity : Lossi,t = 1 if firm i s earnings before extraordinary items are less than 0, and 0 otherwise : Levi,t = firm i s total liability divided by total equity at the end of year t. ***, ** and * respectively indicate significance levels at the 1%, 5%, and 10% (onetailed for the coefficients with predicted sign, and twotailed otherwise). 25
Asia Pacific Management Review 18(1) (2013) xxxx 233
Asia Pacific Management Review 18(1) (2013) xxxx Table 6. Additional Test: Endogeneity Concern when Controlling Shareholders Control exceeds Ownership (2SLS) Panel A: The empirical results of Stage 2 (Model (1) and Model (2)) Panel B: The empirical results of the Stage 1 (Model (3)) Variables Pred. Sign Model (1) Model (2) Variables Pred. Sign vs. Model (1) vs. Model (2) Earn + 0.0228 *** 0.0197 *** 1.335 *** 6.328 *** Pyramid + ( 6.67) ( 3.91) (.63) ( 10.11) Earn DEV 0.001 *** 0.0036 *** 6.301 ** 2.2322 *** Cross + (3.9) (3.2) ( 2.19) ( 3.8) ΔEarn + 0.0688 *** 6.187 *** 2.5251 *** Size? (17.29) (5.72) (11.60) ΔEarn DEV 0.0001.5160 *** 0.838 *** Growth? (0.15) ( 5.28) ( 2.79) Earn Size? 0.0001 0.0001 0.5051 0.52 SE? ( 0.0) ( 0.11) ( 0.88) ( 0.11) ΔEarn Size? 0.0108 *** SE 2 0.0020 0.0008? (5.90) ( 0.17) (0.33) Earn Growth? 0.0015 ** 0.0001 (2.11) (0.10) ΔEarn Growth? (.1) 0.0037 *** Earn Loss + 0.070 *** 0.0391 *** (.88) (.5) ΔEarn Loss + (6.78) 0.057 *** Earn Lev? 0.0076 *** 0.0069 *** (.73) ( 3.76) ΔEarn Lev? 0.0001 (0.08) COEF. Test (Ftest) Earn DEV+ΔEarn DEV Fvalue=28.62 *** Adj. R 2 0.99% 50.12% 12.39% 1.12% Model F 35.76 137.26 2.8 95.91 233
Notes: 1. The variables of Model (1) and Model (2) are the same as for Table 5. The variables definition in Model (6) is as follows: Pyramid is equal to 1 if firm has stoc pyramids, and 0 otherwise. Cross is equal to 1 is firm has crossholding, and 0 otherwise. SE is measured as the standard deviation of monthly stoc return of lagged fiveyears. SE2 is measured as squared term of SE. 2. ***, ** and * respectively indicate significance levels at the 1%, 5%, and 10% (onetailed for the coefficients with predicted sign, and twotailed otherwise). Table 7. Additional Test: Tests for Subsample Depends on the Ultimate Control Type Variables Pred. Sign Earn + Earn DEV ΔEarn + ΔEarn DEV Earn Size? ΔEarn Size? Earn Growth? ΔEarn Growth? Earn Loss + ΔEarn Loss + Earn Lev? ΔEarn Lev? Group 1: Family Group 2: Mutual Group 3: Manager Group : Government Model (1) Model (2) Model (1) Model (2) Model (1) Model (2) Model (1) Model (2) 0.128 *** 0.0135 0.1215 * 0.08327 0.0195 0.0505 0.1158 0.2829 ( 2.97) ( 0.30) ( 1.51) ( 0.9) (0.35) (0.80) (0.2) (0.7) 0.0563 *** 0.03708 ** 0.7629 0.0585 0.00 ** 0.0598 ** 0.0533 0.0620 (3.1) (2.05) ( 0.37) ( 0.88) (1.97) (1.82) ( 0.21) ( 0.22) 0.52896 *** 0.619 *** 0.7536 *** 0.57739 (12.57) (.9) ( 9.70) ( 1.09) 0.05229 *** 0.0872 0.0536 * 0.30139 (2.55) (0.7) (1.9) (1.02) 0.0272 0.00627 0.3189 0.00639 0.0073 0.00691 0.2715 0.253 (1.31) (0.33) ( 1.08) ( 0.12) ( 0.22 ) ( 0.18) ( 0.99) ( 0.67) 0.06508 *** 0.037 0.15333 *** 0.21658 (3.7) ( 0.68) (.6) (0.50) 0.0312 0.08298 *** 0.8685 0.05663 0.0833 * 0.1591 *** 0.0839 0.36238 ** (0.9) ( 2.55) ( 0.16) (0.51) ( 1.58 ) ( 2.50) ( 0.50) ( 1.82) 0.12353 *** 0.11963 * 0.267 *** 0.088 (.2) (1.35) (5.07) (0.30) 0.0887 *** 0.05633 ** 0.1928 * 0.076 0.0629 * 0.0221 0.187 0.35 ( 3.53) ( 1.85) ( 1.33) ( 0.89) ( 1.0 ) ( 0.35) (0.69) ( 0.81) 0.1017 *** 0.2973 *** 0.0679 0.63101 (3.79) (3.32) (0.82) (1.28) 0.071 ** 0.06151 0.8706 0.1265 0.0169 0.03315 0.3581 * 0.5681 ( 2.56) ( 1.36) (0.15) ( 1.8) ( 0.35 ) ( 0.58) ( 1.81) (0.67) 0.02207 0.00158 0.0561 0.9152 (0.61) (0.02) ( 0.86) ( 1.23) COEF. Test (Ftest) Earn DEV+ΔEarn DEV (8.70) *** (0.15) (5.0) ** (0.80) 23
# of obs. 319 319 68 68 879 879 89 89 Highest VIF.99863 5.95657 2.6173 3.96761 2.73026.325 6.95587 7.2575 Adj. R 2.37% 16.33% 1.80% 12.91% 0.83% 13.9%.0%.22% Model F 12.21 32.90 1.66 (p=0.067).51 2.23 (p=0.039) 8.99 1.3 (p=0.221) 1.22 (p=0.2712) Notes: 1. The variables are the same as for Table 5. 2. ***, ** and * respectively indicate significance levels at the 1%, 5%, and 10% (onetailed for the coefficients with predicted sign, and twotailed otherwise). 235
Asia Pacific Management Review 18(1) (2013) xxxx Table 8. Agency Problem for Controlling Shareholders and Dividends Informativeness Variables Pred. Sign Model () Model (5) Div + 0.095 * 0.020 ( 1.39) (0.63) Div DEV 0.0180 ** 0.015 * (1.98) (1.9) ΔDiv + (11.21) 0.280 *** ΔDiv DEV 0.0220 ** (1.67) Div Size? 0.0573 *** 0.0188 (3.03) (1.1) ΔDiv Size? (.02) 0.0551 *** Div Growth + 0.023 0.0591 ** ( 0.66) ( 1.9) ΔDiv Growth + (6.69) 0.1227 *** Div Loss + 0.0010 0.018 *** ( 0.07) ( 1.2) ΔDiv Loss + 0.0017 (0.10) Div Lev? 0.103 *** 0.087 *** ( 5.08) ( 2.86) ΔDiv Lev? ( 6.15) 0.135 *** COEF. Test (Ftest) Earn DEV+ΔEarn DEV Fvalue=3.30 * Highest VIF.98273 6.52785 Adj. R 2 2.05% 11.21% Model F 8.7 31.50 Notes: 1. The HuberWhite heteroscedasticityconsistent robust standard errors (Rogers, 1993, generalizing White 1980) adjustment procedure is used to estimate the reported tstatistics (in parentheses). 2. Model specification: Rit, 0 1 Divit, 2 Divit, DEVit, Divit, X it, it, Model (1) 1 Model(2) Rit, 0 1 Divit, 2 Divit, DEV it, 3 Div it, Divit, DEV it, Divit, Xit, Div it, Xit, it, 1 1 3. Variables definition: R i, t = firm i s cumulative 12month raw stoc return until four months after the end of fiscal year t Div i, t = firm i s common stoc dividends in year t, scale by maret value of equity at the end of year t1 DEV i, t = The ratio of board seat control rights over cash flows rights of the largest ultimate owner of firm i = vector of control variables, =1,2, 3, and 233
1 2 3 : Sizei,t = size of the firm, natural log of firm i s total assets at the end of year t1 : Growthi,t= M/B ratio computed as the maret value of equity/boo value of equity : Lossi,t = 1 if firm i s earnings before extraordinary items are less than 0, and 0 otherwise : Levi,t = firm i s total liability divided by total equity at the end of year t. ***, ** and * respectively indicate significance levels at the 1%, 5%, and 10% (onetailed for the coefficients with predicted sign, and twotailed otherwise). 23
Asia Pacific Management Review 18(1) (2013) xxxx Table 9. Yearbyyear Regression with Interactions for Ownership Structure (for the Test of Model (1)) Variables 2000 (n=252) 2001 (n=297) 2002 (n=352) 2003 (n=387) 200 (n=36) 2005 (n=75) 233 2006 (n=579) 2007 (n=603) 2008 (n=613) 2009 (n=600) FamaMacBeth tstatistic Mean (tvalue) Earn 0.1795 0.11 * 0.297 *** 0.0112 0.886 *** 0.181 * 0.038 0.090 0.375 *** 0.0605 0.181 ** ( 1.03) (1.1) ( 5.01) (0.12) (.81) ( 1.62) (0.69) ( 0.67) ( 2.37) (0.63) ( 2.1) Earn DEV 0.062 * 0.1215 ** 0.0767 *** 0.0062 0.0312 ** 0.052 0.028 * 0.0333 ** 0.059 ** 0.077 *** 0.038 *** (1.36) (2.05) (3.08) ( 0.18) (2.12) ( 0.78) (1.56) (1.67) (1.87) (3.0) (2.99) Sign(+/ ) + + 8/10 Earn Size 0.035 0.091 0.0691 0.115 ** 0.018 0.1309 *** 0.055 ** 0.0172 0.055 0.0599 0.0239 (0.58) ( 1.61) (1.3) (2.39) (0.33) (2.91) (1.69) (0.39) ( 0.79) ( 1.23) (1.02) Earn Growth 0.0023 0.1082 * 0.2601 *** 0.0711 0.118 0.0989 0.0813 ** 0.0915 * 0.3657 ** 0.0681 0.073 * (0.02) (1.31) (3.58) ( 1.0) (1.10) ( 1.03) (2.10) ( 1.53) (2.07) (0.89) (1.55) Earn Loss 0.116 * 0.1076 0.2535 *** 0.02 0.0707 0.017 0.223 *** 0.035 0.0270 0.1856 *** 0.0731 ** ( 1.53) (1.10) ( 3.65) ( 0.77) (1.07) ( 0.30) ( 3.77) ( 1.13) ( 0.38) ( 3.27) ( 1.92) Earn Lev 0.1138 0.3996 *** 0.0280 0.061 0.1869 ** 0.0868 0.0868 0.0907 * 0.1213 ** 0.093 *** 0.1087 *** ( 1.02) ( 3.99) (0.3) (1.57) ( 2.38) ( 1.29) ( 1.37) ( 1.95) ( 2.38) ( 2.62) ( 2.75) Highest VIF 5.63152 3.8992 3.6551.21211.25317 5.79590 3.93910.7666.68588 8.06705 Adj.R 2 12.22% 9.57% 36.37% 7.7% 32.7% 17.25% 12.5% 25.66% 16.15% 8.59% Model F 3.69 3.1 16.8 3.0 17.20 8.66 7.1 17.17 10.17 5.38 Notes: 1. The HuberWhite heteroscedasticityconsistent robust standard errors (Rogers, 1993, generalizing White 1980) adjustment procedure is used to estimate the reported t statistics (in parentheses). 2. Model specification: Rit, 0 1 Earnit, 2 Earnit, DEVit, Earnit, Xit, it, Model (1) 1 3. Variables definition: R i, t = firm i s cumulative 12month raw stoc return until four months after the end of fiscal year t Earn i, t = firm i s earning per share (before extraordinary items) for fiscal year t DEV i, t = The ratio of board seat control rights over cash flows rights of the largest ultimate owner of firm i = vector of control variables, =1,2, 3, and
1 2 3 : Sizei,t = size of the firm, natural log of firm i s total assets at the end of year t1 : Growthi,t= M/B ratio computed as the maret value of equity/boo value of equity : Lossi,t = 1 if firm i s earnings before extraordinary items are less than 0, and 0 otherwise : Levi,t = firm i s total liability divided by total equity at the end of year t. ***, ** and * respectively indicate significance levels at the 1%, 5%, and 10% (onetailed for the coefficients with predicted sign, and twotailed otherwise). Table 10. Yearbyyear Regression with Interactions for Ownership Structure (for the Test of Model (2)) Variables 2000 (n=252) 2001 (n=297) 2002 (n=352) 2003 (n=387) 200 (n=36) 2005 (n=75) 2006 (n=579) 2007 (n=603) 2008 (n=613) 2009 (n=600) FamaMacBeth tstatistic Mean (tvalue) Earn 0.2996 ** 0.080 0.3273 *** 0.0578 0.370 *** 0.2370 ** 0.0053 0.0662 0.2115 ** 0.0019 0.137 *** ( 2.00) (0.89) ( 3.2) (0.66) ( 3.8) ( 2.26) (0.08) ( 0.81) ( 2.16) ( 0.02) ( 2.55) Earn DEV 0.0030 0.0920 *** 0.0810 *** 0.0289 0.0207 0.0887 ** 0.0817 *** 0.008 0.0367 ** 0.0055 0.0392 *** (0.03) (2.58) (2.61) (0.78) ( 0.5) (2.06) (2.70) ( 0.17) (1.91) (0.10) (2.86) Sign(+/ ) + + 8/10 ΔEarn 0.162 * 0.5568 *** 0.3970 *** 0.692 *** 0.3931 *** 0.5169 *** 0.652 *** 0.3177 *** 0.5173 *** 0.693 *** 0.5 *** ( 1.3) ( 5.0) ( 5.97) (.56) (.37) ( 6.05) ( 7.22) ( 3.76) ( 6.08) ( 6.81) (10.33) ΔEarn DEV 0.0817 0.1019 *** 0.0309 ** 0.0565 * 0.0860 ** 0.0585 * 0.0826 ** 0.0615 ** 0.0876 ** 0.1300 ** 0.0777 *** (0.9) (2.95) (1.73) (1.36) ( 1.79) (1.65) (1.8) (1.99) (2.13) (2.02) (8.95) Sign(+/ ) 10/10 Earn Size 0.0312 0.0189 0.062 0.081 0.0011 0.1200 ** 0.0286 0.023 0.0386 0.0530 0.0208 (0.3) ( 0.32) (0.82) (1.0) ( 0.03) (2.55) ( 0.88) (0.35) (0.98) ( 0.93) (1.35) ΔEarn Size 0.0125 0.0336 0.0903 * 0.105 ** 0.0027 0.087 0.173 *** 0.08 0.097 ** 0.1363 *** 0.0618 *** (0.16) (0.52) (1.86) (2.02) ( 0.06) ( 1.02) (2.80) (0.72) (2.39) (2.69) (3.10) Earn Growth 0.0338 0.0896 0.192 *** 0.1177 ** 0.0382 0.019 0.0379 0.1017 * 0.112 ** 0.0795 0.037 ( 0.6) (0.96) (2.6) ( 1.73) ( 0.3) (0.21) (0.2) ( 1.57) (1.86) (0.71) (1.11) ΔEarn Growth 0.1312 ** 0.0008 0.0926 * 0.052 0.0682 0.0151 0.107 0.0893 *** 0.1629 ** 0.298 *** 0.0970 *** (2.13) (0.01) (1.39) (0.7) ( 0.99) (0.16) (1.15) (2.59) (2.30) (3.27) (.21) Earn Loss 0.0672 0.1315 0.2969 *** 0.001 0.0338 0.08 0.2613 *** 0.0366 0.0611 0.1968 *** 0.0721 * ( 0.70) (1.05) (.32) ( 0.62) ( 0.6) ( 0.68) ( 3.56) ( 0.7) (0.80) ( 2.76) ( 1.63) ΔEarn Loss 0.0817 0.2011 * 0.2265 *** 0.0571 0.1066 ** 0.1308 ** 0.3218 *** 0.0655 ** 0.0027 0.1923 *** 0.1381 *** (0.72) (1.62) (.33) (1.05) ( 1.66) (2.0) (.71) (1.65) ( 0.0) (3.22) (.51) Earn Lev 0.0307 0.3873 *** 0.012 0.109 * 0.2030 ** 0.1011 0.031 0.0783 0.2028 ** 0.0366 0.0830 * (0.26) ( 3.59) (0.20) (1.81) ( 2.38) ( 1.53) (0.3) ( 1.61) ( 2.35) ( 0.1) ( 1.79) ΔEarn Lev 0.1752 0.1513 0.0037 0.0923 0.090 0.1853 ** 0.1937 * 0.061 0.076 0.0321 0.0219 23
( 1.9) (1.63) (0.09) (1.12) ( 1.17) (2.30) ( 1.83) (0.89) (0.6) ( 0.55) (0.55) Ftest:(Fvalue) Earn DEV+ 0.67 3.06 *.86 ** 1.3 2.1 3.83 **.59 ** 3.19 * 3.31 * 5.12 ** ΔEarn DEV Highest VIF 8.89508.9369.79312 5.12966 5.21192 7.52931 8.668.15235 6.83133 9.23708 Adj.R 2 17.55% 16.39% 3.9% 15.9% 37.21% 25.86% 25.82% 31.1% 2.83% 16.62% Model F 3.76 3.98 15.06.8 1.60 9.50 11.22 15. 11.69 6.90 Notes: 1.ΔEarni,t is the change in Earni,t between year t1 and t. The remaining variables in Table 8 are the same as Table 7. 2. ***, ** and * respectively indicate significance levels at 1%, 5%, and 10% (onetailed for the coefficients with predicted sign, and twotailed otherwise). 235
Asia Pacific Management Review 18(1) (2013) xxxx Table 11. Additional Test: Use of Alternative Measure of Cumulative Abnormal Returns (CARs) Variables Pred. Sign Earn + Earn DEV ΔEarn + ΔEarn DEV Earn Size? ΔEarn Size? Earn Growth? ΔEarn Growth? Earn Loss + ΔEarn Loss + Earn Lev? ΔEarn Lev? Model (1) Model (2) 0.0839 *** 0.031 ( 3.22 ) ( 1.01 ) 0.0267 ** 0.001 *** (1.76 ) (2.71 ) 0.237 *** ( 9.37 ) 0.019 *** (3.13 ) 0.053 *** 0.020 (3.20 ) (1.1 ) 0.0855 *** (.76 ) 0.0871 *** 0.0881 *** (.08 ) (3.02 ) 0.019 *** (0.59 ) 0.0689 *** 0.0712 *** ( 3.0 ) ( 2.86 ) 0.0757 *** (3.8 ) 0.0982 *** 0.1189 *** (.73 ) (.02 ) 0.0322 (1.35) COEF. Test (Ftest) Earn DEV+ΔEarn DEV Fvalue=21.1 *** Highest VIF 3.192.6202 Adj. R 2.60% 7.71% Model F 18.07 21.23 Notes: 1. The HuberWhite heteroscedasticityconsistent robust standard errors (Rogers, 1993, generalizing White 1980) adjustment procedure is used to estimate the reported tstatistics (in parentheses). 2. Model specification: CARit, 0 1 Earnit, 2 Earnit, DEVit, Earnit, X it, it, Model (1) 1 Model (2) CARit, 0 1 Earn it, 2 Earn it, DEVit, 3 Earnit, Earnit, DEV it, Earn it, Xit, Earnit, Xit, it, 1 1 3. Variables definition: CAR i, t =firm i s cumulative 12month abnormal stoc return until four months after the end of fiscal year t Earn i, t = firm i s earning per share (before extraordinary items) for fiscal year t DEV i, t = The ratio of board seat control rights over cash flows rights of the largest ultimate owner of firm i = vector of control variables, =1,2, 3, and 233
1 2 3 : Sizei,t = size of the firm, natural log of firm i s total assets at the end of year t1 : Growthi,t= M/B ratio computed as the maret value of equity/boo value of equity : Lossi,t = 1 if firm i s earnings before extraordinary items are less than 0, and 0 otherwise : Levi,t = firm i s total liability divided by total equity at the end of year t. ***, ** and * respectively indicate significance levels at 1%, 5%, and 10% (onetailed for the coefficients with predicted sign, and twotailed otherwise) Table 12. The Alternative Measures of BoardCash Divergence Panel A: Descriptive Statistics Variables of Divergence Mean Std. dev. Q1 Median Q3 Min Max BC 0.92 25.26 23.61 1.62 59.5 5.05 99.8 Natural log of B/C 1.261 0.969 0.615 1.11 1.75 0.73 5.85 Natural log of BC 3.577 0.785 3.293 3.77.10.61.60 Panel B: The Empirical Results Variables Pred. Sign Earn + Earn Divergence ΔEarn + ΔEarn Divergence Earn Size? ΔEarn Size? Earn Growth + ΔEarn Growth + Earn Loss + ΔEarn Loss + Earn Lev? ΔEarn Lev? COEF. Test (Ftest) Earn Divergence + ΔEarn Divergence Alternative Measures of Divergence Natural log of B/C BC Natural log of BC Model (1) Model (2) Model (1) Model (2) Model (1) Model (2) 0.0968 *** 0.0290 0.0769 *** 0.0233 0.193 *** 0.0030 ( 3.3) (0.9) ( 2.56) (0.72) ( 2.30 ) (0.05) 0.033 ** 0.036 ** 0.016 ** 0.035 ** 0.0811 * 0.050 (1.93) (1.97) (1.68) (1.79) (1.29) (0.88) 0.11 *** 0.283 *** 0.560 *** (1.1) (1.88) (11.69) 0.036 * 0.0539 ** 0.0780 ** (1.51) (2.27) (2.33) 0.0015 0.0278 ** 0.0019 0.0288 * 0.0005 0.0327 * (0.09) ( 1.65) (0.11) ( 1.70) ( 0.03 ) ( 1.83) 0.0853 *** 0.0882 *** 0.0966 *** (5.36) (5.65) (5.9) 0.0127 0.0877 *** 0.0089 0.0811 *** 0.0029 0.079 *** ( 0.59) ( 3.50) ( 0.1) ( 3.23) (0.13) ( 2.87) 0.1198 *** 0.1192 *** 0.1255 *** (5.78) (5.75) (5.86) 0.0772 *** 0.0787 *** 0.0763 *** 0.0765 *** 0.0869 *** 0.0831 *** ( 3.77) ( 3.3) ( 3.72) ( 3.2) (.09 ) ( 3.3) 0.080 *** 0.0838 *** 0.0839 *** (3.93) (3.95) (3.79) 0.0372 * 0.0130 * 0.002 * 0.0159 * 0.0327 0.0051 ( 1.7) ( 0.52) ( 1.89) ( 0.6) ( 1.8 ) ( 0.20) 0.0217 0.0235 0.0273 ( 0.95) ( 1.0) ( 1.15) Fvalue= Fvalue= Fvalue= 6.09 ** 9.72 *** 6.19 ** Highest VIF.0222.9905.8862 5.2007 2.21020 7.6181 Adj. R 2 2.81% 10.72% 2.78% 10.77% 2.69% 10.1% Model F 11.36 30.3 11.26 30.58 10.3 10.1 23
Notes: 1. The HuberWhite heteroscedasticityconsistent robust standard errors (Rogers, 1993, generalizing White 1980) adjustment procedure is used to estimate the reported tstatistics (in parentheses). 2. Model specification: Model (1) Rit, 0 1 Earnit, 2 Earnit, DEVit, Earnit, X it, it, 1 Model (2) R Earn Earn DEV Earn Earn DEV Earn X Earn X it, 0 1 it, 2 it, it, 3 it, it, it, it, it, it, it, it, 1 1 3. Variables definition: R i, t = firm i s cumulative 12month raw stoc return until four months after the end of fiscal year t Earn i, t = firm i s earning per share (before extraordinary items) for fiscal year t DEV i, t = The ratio of board seat control rights over cash flows rights of the largest ultimate owner of firm i = vector of control variables, =1, 2, 3, and 1 2 3 : Size i, t = size of the firm, natural log of firm i s total assets at the end of year t1 : Growth i,t= M/B ratio computed as the maret value of equity/boo value of equity : Loss i,t = 1 if firm i s earnings before extraordinary items are less than 0, and 0 otherwise : Lev i,t = firm i s total liability divided by total equity at the end of year t B = firm i s board seat control rights for fiscal year t C = firm i s cash flows rights for fiscal year t. ***, ** and * respectively indicate significance levels at 1%, 5%, and 10% (onetailed for the coefficients with predicted sign, and twotailed otherwise). 235