Madhya Pradesh Poorv Kshetra Vidyut Vitaran Company Limited Block No. 7, Shakti Bhawan, Vidyut Nagar, Jabalpur

ANNUAL REVENUE REQUIREMENT AND TARIFF PROPOSAL PETITION FOR FY 2015-16 Submitted By: Madhya Pradesh Power Management Company Limited Shakti Bhawan, Vidyut Nagar, Jabalpur Madhya Pradesh Poorv Kshetra Vidyut Vitaran Company Limited Block No. 7, Shakti Bhawan, Vidyut Nagar, Jabalpur Madhya Pradesh Paschim Kshetra Vidyut Vitaran Company Limited GPH Compound, Pologround, Indore Madhya Pradesh Madhya Kshetra Vidyut Vitaran Company Limited Bijlee Nagar Colony, Nishtha Parisar, Govindpura, Bhopal

BEFORE THE HON BLE MADHYA PRADESH ELECTRICITY REGULATORY COMMISSION, BHOPAL Petition No. of 2014 (1) Madhya Pradesh Power Management Company Limited (MPPMCL) Shakti Bhawan, Vidyut Nagar, Jabalpur (MP) --------- Petitioner (2) Madhya Pradesh Poorv Kshetra Vidyut Vitaran Company Limited (MPPoKVVCL) Shakti Bhawan, Vidyut Nagar, Jabalpur (MP) --------- Petitioner (3) Madhya Pradesh Paschim Kshetra Vidyut Vitaran Company Limited (MPPaKVVCL) GPH, Polo Ground, Indore (MP) --------- Petitioner (4) Madhya Pradesh Madhya Kshetra Vidyut Vitaran Company Limited (MPMKVVCL) Nishtha Parisar, Bijlee Nagar, Govindpura, Bhopal (MP) --------- Petitioner IN THE MATTER OF: Filing of ARR application for the distribution and retail supply business for the FY 2015-16 under tariff principles laid down in "The Madhya Pradesh Electricity Regulatory Commission (Terms and Conditions for Determination of Tariff for supply and wheeling of Electricity and Methods and Principles of Fixation of Charges) Regulations, 2012 (RG -35 (I) of 2012)" by MPPMCL and MPPoKVVCL, MPPaKVVCL & MPMKVVCL as the Distribution Licensees. The Petitioners above respectfully submit as under:- 1. Madhya Pradesh Power Management Company Ltd., (hereinafter referred to as the 'Petitioner', MPPMCL, 'the Company' or 'the Licensee'), is a Company incorporated under the Companies Act, 1956 and having its registered office at Block No.11, Shakti Bhawan, Vidyut Nagar, Jabalpur. 2. Madhya Pradesh Poorv Kshetra Vidyut Vitaran Company Ltd., (hereinafter referred to as the 'Petitioner', MPPKVVCL, 'the Company' or 'the Licensee' or East Discom ), is a Company incorporated under the Companies Act, 1956 and having its registered office at Block No.7, Shakti Bhawan, Vidyut Nagar, Jabalpur. The Petitioner is a deemed licensee under the Fifth Proviso to Section 14 of the Electricity Act, 2003. The area of supply of the Petitioner comprises Jabalpur, Rewa, Sagar and Shahdol Commissionary within the State of Madhya Pradesh ('MP'). 3. Madhya Pradesh Paschim Kshetra Vidyut Vitaran Company Ltd., (hereinafter referred to as the 'Petitioner', MPPaKVVCL, 'the Company' or 'the Licensee' or West Discom ), is a Company incorporated under the Companies Act, 1956 and having its registered office at GPH, Polo Ground, Indore. The Petitioner is a deemed licensee under the Fifth Proviso to Section 14 of the Electricity Act, 2003. The area of supply of the Petitioner comprises Indore and Ujjain Commissionary within the State of Madhya Pradesh ('MP'). 4. Madhya Pradesh Madhya Kshetra Vidyut Vitaran Company Ltd. (MPMKVVCL), (hereinafter referred to as the 'Petitioner', MPMKVVCL, 'the Company' or 'the Licensee' or Central Discom ), is a Company incorporated under the Companies Act, 1956 and having its registered office at Nishtha Parisar, Bijlee Nagar Colony, Govindpura, Bhopal. The Petitioner is a deemed licensee under the Fifth Proviso to Section 14 of the Electricity

Act, 2003. The area of supply of the Petitioner comprises Bhopal, Gwalior, Hoshangabad and Chambal Commissionary within the State of Madhya Pradesh ('MP'). 5. The Government of Madhya Pradesh ('GoMP' or 'State Government'), vide an Order No. 3679-FRS-18-13-2002 dated 31st May, 2005, published in the gazette of Madhya Pradesh dated 31st May 2005, have restructured the functions and undertakings of Generation, Transmission, Distribution and Retail Supply of electricity earlier carried out by the Madhya Pradesh State Electricity Board ('MPSEB' or the 'Board') and transferred the same to five Companies to function independently. The five Companies are as under: - a) M.P. Power Generating Company Ltd., Jabalpur (MPPGCL) b) M.P. Power Transmission Company Ltd., Jabalpur (MPPTCL) c) M.P. Poorv Kshetra Vidyut Vitaran Company Ltd., Jabalpur (MPPoKVVCL) d) M.P. Paschim Kshetra Vidyut Vitaran Company Ltd., Indore (MPPaKVVCL) e) M.P.Madhya Kshetra Vidyut Vitaran Company Ltd. Bhopal (MPMKVVCL) 6. With effect from 1st June 2005, the Operation and Management Agreement that existed between Madhya Pradesh State Electricity Board and the Five Companies came to end with the issue of the said Order dated 31-05-2005. The three Discoms viz. MPPoKVVCL, Jabalpur, MPPaKVVCL, Indore and MPMKVVCL, Bhopal started functioning independently as Distribution Licensees in their respective area of license and from the said date, they are no longer operating as an agent of or on behalf of the Board, subject to Cash Flow Mechanism (CFM) provided in the said Order. 7. On June 3, 2006 GoMP, in exercise of its powers under Section 23 (Sub-section (1), (2) and (3)) and Section 56 (Subsection (2)) of Madhya Pradesh Vidyut Sudhar Adhiniyam, 2000 read with Section 131 (Sub-sections (1), (2), (5), (6) and (7) of Electricity Act, 2003, effected the transfer of and vesting of the functions, properties, interests, rights and obligations of MPSEB relating to the Bulk Purchase and Bulk Supply of Electricity in the State Government and simultaneously re-transferred and re-vested the same to MP Power Trading Company Ltd. ('Tradeco' or 'MP Tradeco'). Since then, MP Tradeco is discharging the responsibilities of procurement of power in bulk and supplying to the three Electricity Distribution Companies (DISCOMs), including the Petitioner herein. The transfer was affected through "M.P. Electricity Reforms Transfer Scheme Rules 2006 (Transfer Scheme Rules) vide Notification No.3474 /FRS/17/XIII/2002 dtd 3rd June 2006 (Transfer Scheme Rules). 8. In accordance with GoMP decision, the name of MP Power Trading Company Ltd has been changed to MP Power Management Company Ltd. MPPMCL is the holding Company of the three electricity distribution companies (Discoms) of MP State, viz., M. P. Poorv Kshetra Vidyut Vitaran Company Ltd., M. P. Paschim Kshetra Vidyut Vitaran Company Ltd. and M. P. Madhya Kshetra Vidyut Vitaran Company Ltd. The Petitioner has been vested with several of functions and powers that were earlier vested with the erstwhile Madhya Pradesh State Electricity Board. The Registrar of Companies MP has issued the Certificate of Incorporation Consequent upon Change of Name on 10.04.2012. 9. GoMP has entrusted the MPPMCL with the responsibility inter alia of representing the Discoms before the Commission with regard to filing the tariff petition and facilitating all proceedings thereon. The Management and Corporate functions agreement signed by the MPPMCL with the three Discoms of MP also provide for the same. 10. MPPMCL has signed Management and Corporate Functions Agreement on 5th June 2012, with the three Discoms of the State, wherein it has been agreed that the Petitioner shall perform inter alia the following functions of common nature for the Discoms: In consultation with Discoms, undertake long-term/ medium-term/short-term planning and assessment of the power purchase requirements for the three Discoms and explore opportunities for power procurement as per the regulations of MPERC; Allocation of power among the Discoms from the forthcoming projects as per retail tariff order and as per the GoMP notification and further instructions in this regard; Economic, reliable and cost effective power procurement of Short-term, Medium-term and Long-term and sale of surplus power, if any, for the purpose of Banking / maximization of revenue; Exploring opportunities for procurement of power on long-term and medium-term basis, procure power and 3

finalizing Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs); The expenses of MPPMCL have been to be included as part of power purchase cost of the Discoms. 11. In the backdrop of the above facts and circumstances, the present application is being made by the MPPMCL along with the three Distribution Companies of MP State under Section 61 and Section 62 (1) (d) of the Electricity Act 2003 for determination of the tariff for distribution and Retail Supply Business for the period FY 2015-16 following the regulations laid down by the Hon ble Commission. 12. While filing the present ARR under the prevailing Regulation, MPPMCL along with the Discoms has endeavored to comply with the various legal and regulatory directions and stipulations applicable, including the directions given by the Hon'ble Commission in the Business Rules of the Commission, the Guidelines, previous ARR and Tariff Orders and the Madhya Pradesh Electricity Regulatory Commission (Terms & Conditions for determination of Tariff) Regulation 2012 (hereinafter referred to as the Regulations ). 13. It is submitted that as soon as the retail tariff order becomes applicable, the voltage level and consumer categorywise cross subsidy surcharge, additional surcharge, wheeling charges and transmission charges in respect of open access customers should also be notified and made effective from the tariff application date. It is therefore, prayed to kindly issue the approach paper for determination of the voltage level and consumer categorywise cross subsidy surcharge, additional surcharge, wheeling charges and transmission charges also along with the retail tariff order for open access customers. 14. It is also submitted that the Petitioners have not separated the consumers, connected load, energy units sold and projected revenue in the Franchisee areas of Sagar, Ujjain and Gwalior from their sales and revenue model. The projections of these parameters have been done on the basis of most feasible growth rate out of Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) for the last 3,2,1 years and corresponding period growth up to September 2014 as the consumers in the franchisee area remain to be the consumers of the Distribution Licensee and not the Franchisee. The franchisee is only a collection agent working on behalf of the Distribution Licensee and recovers charges from consumers at the tariff determined by the Hon ble MPERC. The revenue realized by the Distribution Licensee is completely in accordance with the tariff determined by the Hon ble MPERC. It is pertinent to mention here that this methodology of considering the consumers of franchisee area as discoms consumer has a precedence in Case no. 63 of 2009 of Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission dated 7 th January 2010. 15. This petition is filed on the basis of normative parameters as provided by Hon ble MPERC in Regulation No. 3296/MPERC/2012 dated 29.11.2012 i.e MPERC (Terms and Conditions for Determination of Tariff for Supply and Wheeling of Electricity and Methods and Principles for Fixation of Charges) Regulations 2012. The Regulation does not provide segregation of normative losses for the Distribution Licensees into voltage wise normative losses in respect of technical and commercial losses. Therefore, the Petitioners face difficulty in segregation of normative losses in voltage level wise technical and commercial losses. The Hon ble MPERC in the previous year s filing has referred to an Appellate Tribunal for Electricity (APTEL) judgment to determine the voltage level wise Cost of Supply in the state of MP. However, this judgment is to determine the voltage level wise cross subsidy surcharge and not consumer tariff. In the present petition, the Petitioners have proposed consumer category wise tariff on the basis of Average Cost of Supply, which is in line with the National Tariff Policy 2006. The Hon ble Commission is requested to determine the voltage level and consumer category wise cross subsidy surcharge on the basis of the available data with the Distribution Licensees in accordance with the methodology suggested by the APTEL and also approved by Hon ble Commission in its Retail Supply Tariff Order for FY 2014-15. 16. Based on the information available, the Petitioners have made sincere efforts to comply with the Regulations of the Hon'ble Commission and discharge its obligations to the best of its ability and resources at its command. However, should any further information of material significance become available during the process of determination, the petitioner may be permitted to reserve the right to file such additional information and consequently amend/ revise the petition. 4

17. MPERC has approved the true- up orders for all the three discoms for the years FY 2009-10, FY 2010-11 and FY 2011-12; true up order for MP Transco for FY 2012-13 and true-up order for MPGenco for FY 2011-12. These approved true up amounts have also been while filing the total ARR for FY 2015-16. 18. The salient features of the ARR are as under:- S.No. ARR Items East Central West Total- State 1 Total ARR (excluding True Up) Rs Crores 8,054 8,993 10,081 27,128 2 Revenue at current tariffs Rs Crores 7,448 7,901 8,263 23,612 3 Gap (excluding true-up) Rs Crores 606 1,092 1,818 3,516 4 Average Cost of Supply (excluding true-up) Rs/kWh 5.07 5.44 5.66 5.40 Impact of True-Up Amounts of Past Years a Impact of True Up for Discoms for FY 2009-10 Rs Crores 353 81 60 494 b Impact of True Up for Discoms for FY 2010-11 Rs Crores 164 293-139 318 c Impact of True Up for Discoms for FY 2011-12 Rs Crores 545 309 78 932 d Impact of True up for MP Transco for FY 2012-13 Rs Crores 52 67 55 174 e Impact of True Up for MPGenco for FY 2011-12 Rs Crores -38-113 -37-188 5 Total ARR (Including True Up) Rs Crores 9,130 9,630 10,098 28,858 6 Total Revenue Gap (including True-up) Rs Crores 1,682 1,729 1,835 5,246 7 Average Cost of Supply (including true-up) Rs/kWh 5.74 5.82 5.67 5.74 19. However, despite the various measures taken to improve commercial and technical efficiencies, DISCOMs are unable to recover the costs incurred, which are compelling the DISCOMs to propose for an increase in the existing tariff. 20. The petitioners would like to reiterate their proposal to alter the mechanism for deriving Fuel Cost Adjustment (FCA) for recovery/adjustment of uncontrollable costs due to increase or decrease in the cost of fuel in case of coal, oil and gas based generating stations. The petitioners would like to resubmit that the existing mechanism to calculate FCA does not have any provision to recover the incremental power purchase. The petitioners also urge that the average power purchase cost should be in the formula instead of only variable costs, thus passing on the complete fixed costs on to the consumers as a legitimate cost. 21. Shri F.K. Meshram, Chief General Manager (Revenue Management) of MPPMCL; Shri P.K. Singh, Executive Director (Commercial) of MPPoKVVCL; Shri Kailash Shiva, Chief Engineer (Commercial) of MPPaKVVCL and Shri A.R. Verma, General Manager & Superintending Engineer (Commercial) of MPMKVVCL have been authorized to execute and file all the documents on behalf of the respective petitioners in this regard. Accordingly, the current filing is signed and verified by, and backed by the affidavit of respective authorized signatories. 5

PRAYER In view of the aforesaid facts and circumstances, the Applicant requests that the Hon'ble Commission may be pleased to: (a) (b) (c) (d) (e) (f) (g) Take the accompanying ARR/Tariff petition of the above petitioners on record and treat it as complete; Consider and approve petitioner's ARR (including true-up amounts of all companies previous years) amounting to Rs. 9,130 Cr for East Discom, Rs. 10,098 Cr for West Discom and Rs. 9,630 Cr for Central Discom for the year FY 2015-16; Considering the aforesaid facts and circumstances the Hon ble Commission may be pleased to allow expenses of MPPMCL as stated to be allowed and include them as a part of power purchase cost of three Discoms, to meet the ends of justice; Consider and approve Petitioner s tariff proposal for FY 2015-16 to recover the costs for the ensuing year; Consider and determine the wheeling charges, voltage level and consumer category wise cross subsidy surcharge, additional surcharge and transmission charges for open access customers on the basis of ARR petition for FY 2015-16 and make applicable w.e.f the application date of the revised tariff; Condone any inadvertent omissions/ errors/ shortcomings and permit the petitioner to add/ change/ modify/ alter portion(s) of this filing and make further submissions as may be required at a later stage; and Pass such an order as the Hon'ble Commission deems fit and proper as per the facts and circumstances of the case. Date: - 02 nd February 2015 Shri F.K. Meshram, Chief General Manager (Revenue Management) MPPMCL, JABALPUR Shri P.K. Singh, Executive Director (Commercial) MP Poorv Kshetra Vidyut Vitaran Co. Ltd., Jabalpur. Shri Kailash Shiva, Chief Engineer (Commercial) MP Paschim Kshetra Vidyut Vitaran Co. Ltd., Indore. Shri A.R. Verma, GM & SE (Commercial) MP Madhya Kshetra Vidyut Vitaran Co. Ltd., Bhopal. 6

Table of Contents 1. Estimation of sales 11 1.1 Method adopted for Estimation of Sales 11 1.2 Category-wise sales projection 13 2. Energy Requirement at Discom Boundary and Ex-Bus Energy purchased 43 2.1. Conversion of annual sales to monthly sales 43 2.2. MPPTCL Losses 43 2.3. Distribution Losses 43 3. Assessment of Availability 48 3.1. Details of Generation Capacities allocated to Discoms 48 3.2. Details of Generation Capacities allocated to MPPMCL Existing and Capacity Addition till FY 16 50 3.3. Overall availability 52 3.4. Inter-State Transmission Losses 53 3.5. Management of Surplus Energy 53 3.6. MoD and BackDown 53 3.7. Energy Balance 55 4.1. Details of Costs for Stations allocated to MP Discoms 57 4.2. RPO Cost 63 4.3. Estimation of Other Power Purchase Costs 64 5. O&M Expenses - Discoms 71 5.1. Employee Costs 71 5.2. Administrative & General Expenses 72 5.3. Repair and Maintenance Expenses 72 5.4. Gist of O&M Expenses 73 6. Investment Plan Discoms 74 7. Other Costs/ Income Discoms 77 7.1. Depreciation 77 7.2. Interest and Finance Charges 77 7.3. Other Income 82 7.4. Return on Equity 82 7.5. Bad and Doubtful Debts 84 8. Income/Expenses of MPPMCL 85 8.1. Income 85 8.1.1. Revenue from operations (including Revenue Subsidy) 85 8.2. Expenses 85 9. Annual Revenue Requirement 89 7

9.1. Annual Revenue Requirement of MPPMCL 89 9.2. Annual Revenue Requirement of Discoms 89 10. Terminal Benefits (Pension, Gratuity and Leave Encashment) Provision 92 11. Power Purchase Cost Adjustment (PPCA) 95 12. Tariff Proposal for FY 2015-16 98 12.1. Salient Features of the Tariff Proposal 100 13. Voltage-Wise Cost of Supply 102 13.1. Commission Directives 102 13.2. Voltage-wise Losses 103 13.2.1. Methodology 103 13.3. Calculation 104 13.4. Determination of Cross-Subsidy Surcharge 106 14. Compliance on Tariff Order FY 2014-15 107 15. TARIFF SCHEDULES 127 8

List of tables Table 1: Sales for the MYT Period FY 2013-14 to FY 2015-16... 12 Table 2: LV-1 Domestic Unit Projection... 13 Table 3: LV-2 Non-Domestic Unit Projection... 16 Table 4: LV-3.1 PWW Unit Projection... 18 Table 5: LV-3.2 Street Light Unit Projection... 20 Table 6: LV-4.1 Non-Seasonal Industrial Unit Projection... 22 Table 7: LV-4.2 Seasonal Industrial Unit Projection... 24 Table 8: HV-1 Railway Traction Projection... 32 Table 9: HV-2 Coal Mines Projection... 33 Table 10: HV-3 Industrial and Non-Industrial Projection... 34 Table 11: HV-4 Seasonal Projections... 37 Table 12: HV-5 Projections... 39 Table 13: HV-6 Bulk Residential user Projections... 42 Table 14: Month-Wise Sales Profiles of Discoms... 43 Table 15: MPPTCL Losses: Past Data from MP-SLDC... 43 Table 16: Loss level targets (%) for Discoms (as per MPERC regulations)... 43 Table 17: Monthly energy requirement at Sate Boundary (MU) for FY'15- FY 16... 44 Table 18 Ex-bus energy purchases to be done in FY 16... 47 Table 19: Stations with MP Share which are allocated to MP Discoms... 48 Table 20: Past and Projected ex-bus availability of Stations with MP Share which are allocated to MP Discoms (MU)... 49 Table 21: Stations allocated to MPPMCL Existing and Capacity Addition till FY 16... 50 Table 22: Stations allocated to MPPMCL Projected-Ex Bus Availability till FY 16 (MU)... 52 Table 23: Overall availability till FY 16 (MU)... 52 Table 24: Management of Surplus Energy with Discoms for FY'15 and FY'16... 53 Table 25 Ex-bus availability after backdown (MU)... 54 Table 26: Ex-Bus Purchases by Discoms from Various Sources... 55 Table 27 Tariff orders of MPPMCL allocated stations... 57 Table 28: Fixed and Variable Costs of Discom Allocated Stations for FY 2015-16... 57 Table 29: Fixed and Variable Costs of MPPMCL allocated stations... 59 Table 30 Total Fixed Costs and Variable Costs of Discom Allocated Stations... 60 Table 31 Total Fixed and Variable Costs of fixed and variable costs of MPPMCL allocated stations... 61 Table 32: RPO Obligation for FY 16... 63 Table 33: Inter-State Transmission Charges... 64 Table 34: Intra-state Costs excluding Terminal Benefits... 64 Table 35: Actual Cash Outflow towards Terminal Benefits for all State Power Sector Utilities... 65 Table 36: Total Intra-State Transmission Costs and Allocation to Discoms (Rs Cr)... 66 Table 37: MPPMCL Costs: Details and Discoms Allocation (Rs Cr)... 67 Table 38: Total Power Purchase Costs - FY'15 to FY'16... 68 Table 39: Employee Cost... 71 Table 40: Administrative and General Expenses-As per Regulation (Rs. Cr.)... 72 Table 41: MPERC fees... 72 Table 42: Repair and Maintenance Expenses-As per Regulation (Rs. Cr.)... 72 Table 43: Gist of O&M expenses-as per Regulation (Rs. Crores)... 73 Table 44: Capital expenditure Plan (Rs. Crores)... 74 Table 45: Scheme Wise Capitalization (Rs. Crores)... 75 Table 46: CWIP (Rs. Cr.)... 76 Table 47: Fixed Assets Addition (Rs. Cr.)... 76 Table 48: Depreciation -> as per regulation (Rs. Cr.)... 77 Table 49: Interest on Project Loans (Rs. Cr.)... 77 Table 50: Interest on Working Capital (Rs. Cr.)... 79 Table 51: Interest on consumer security deposit as per regulation (Rs. Crores)... 81 Table 52: Other Income (Rs. Cr.)... 82 9

Table 53: Return on equity as per regulation (Rs. Crores)... 82 It is submitted that the Commission as per its Tariff Regulations has allowed bad and doubtful debts to the extent of 1% of revenue from sale of power. However, the Commission may observe that the discoms have actually been writing off bad debts of amount more than the prescribed 1% of revenue. Considering the facts presented here, the Hon ble Commission is prayed to allow the complete 1% amount of revenue as bad debts as per the provisions of its Tariff Regulations.Table 54: Bad Debts - As per regulation (Rs. Crores)... 84 Table 55: Summary of ARR for MPPMCL (Rs. Cr.)... 89 Table 56: Summary of ARR of Discoms as per the Regulation (Rs. Crores)... 90 Table 57: Future Contribution rate of liability on account of Actuary... 92 Table 58: Calculation of Terminal Benefits Provisions (Rs. Crores)... 92 Table 59: Terminal Benefits Provisions Liability for Discoms (Rs. Cr.)... 93 Table 60: Terminal Benefits Provisions Liability for Discoms (Rs. Cr.)... 94 Table 61: Summary of proposed Tariff for FY 2015-16... 98 Table 62: Category-wise proposed revenue for FY 2015-16... 99 Table 63: Cost of Supply Calculation for East Discom for FY16... 104 Table 64: Cost of Supply Calculation for Central Discom for FY16... 104 Table 65: Cost of Supply Calculation for West Discom for FY16... 105 Table 66: Cost of Supply Calculation for MP State for FY16... 105 10

1. Estimation of sales 1.1 Method adopted for Estimation of Sales For the purpose of projection of sales, the distribution licensees have category wise and slab wise actual data of the sale of electricity, number of consumers, connected / contracted load, etc. of the preceding four years i.e. FY 2010-11, FY 2011-12, FY 2012-13, FY 2013-14 and available data of the FY 2014-15 i.e. up to the month of September 2014. The licensees, in the previous year s filing for FY 2014-15, had projected the Sales based on the actual data of FY 2012-13. Since the actual data of FY 2013-14 is now available and it has been observed that the actual sales during FY 2013-14 have deviated significantly from the sales forecasted by the Licensee and those allowed by the Hon ble Commission during the previous filings and considering the increase in supply hours particularly in the rural areas during the current year, the licensees feel that it will be appropriate to revise the sales forecast for FY 2014-15 and thereafter project the sales for FY 2015-16. The sales for FY 2015-16 have been projected on the basis of the actual data of Number of Consumers, Connected Load and Consumption during the last 4 years and on the basis of revised estimate for FY 2014-15. The approach being followed is to analyze 3 year and 2 year Compound Annual Growth Rates (CAGRs) and year on year growth rate of each category and its sub-categories in respect of urban & rural consumers separately. After analysis of the data, appropriate / reasonable growth rates have been assumed for future consumer forecasts from the past CAGRs of the Category/Sub-category by the three Discoms. The past CAGR on sales per consumer / sales per kw and connected load has been applied while forecasting the connected load and sales in each category/sub-category. The use of specific consumption i.e. consumption per consumer and / or consumption per unit load is the basic forecasting variable and is widely used in load and energy sales forecasting. The basic intent in using this model is that, the specific consumption per consumer and / or consumption per unit load captures the trends and variations in the usage of electricity over a growth cycle more precisely. This method has been recommended by the C.E.A. also. The forecast also considers the impact of schemes / plans of licensee such as the RGGVY (Rajiv Gandhi Grameen Vidyutikaran Yojana), future Meterization Plan of urban domestic consumers and separation of feeders of Agricultural and other categories of consumers and increase in supply hours in rural areas. The projections for each tariff category and the relevant assumptions of the three Discoms have been discussed in the following sections. The overall sales forecast is as follows: 11

Table 1: Sales for the MYT Period FY 2013-14 to FY 2015-16 East Discom Central Discom West Discom MP State TC Category FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 LV 1 Domestic 2,901 3,338 4,234 2,683 3,457 4,318 3,149 3,520 3,966 8,734 10,315 12,518 LV 2 Non-Domestic 599 789 1,001 640 749 901 763 822 897 2,002 2,361 2,799 LV 3.1 Public Water Works 674 477 537 176 205 241 165 191 219 1,015 873 997 LV 3.2 Street Lights 328 201 207 95 102 122 118 134 155 540 437 484 LV 4 LT Industrial 258 308 345 221 255 285 497 529 549 976 1,092 1,179 LV 5.1 Agriculture Irrigation Pumps 2,770 4,502 5,483 4,407 5,305 6,727 5,418 6,820 7,981 12,596 16,627 20,192 LV 5.3 Agriculture related Use 4 6 6 13 16 19 2 2 2 19 24 28 Total (LT) 7,534 9,621 11,814 8,235 10,090 12,613 10,112 12,018 13,769 25,881 31,729 38,196 HV 1 Railway Traction 512 560 612 847 936 1,019 418 485 562 1,777 1,980 2,193 HV 2 Coal Mines 474 474 474 38 38 39 0 0 0 513 513 513 HV 3.1 Industrial 1,962 2,055 2,199 1,796 1,832 2,008 2,070 2,070 2,070 6,478 5,957 6,277 HV 3.2 Non-Industrial 217 225 240 341 363 396 371 371 371 929 958 1,007 HV 3.3 Shopping Mall 0 7 7 0 10 11 62 62 62 0 79 81 HV 3.4 Power Intensive industries 0 62 66 0 130 139 587 587 587 0 780 792 HV 4 Seasonal 6 13 15 2 2 2 4 5 5 12 20 22 HV 5.1 Public Water Works and Irrigation 68 80 94 145 148 151 332 339 344 544 566 589 HV 5.2 Other Agricultural 11 13 13 4 5 5 5 5 5 21 22 24 HV 6 Bulk Residential Users 302 302 363 148 149 151 9 20 21 459 471 535 Total (HT) 3,552 3,790 4,083 3,322 3,614 3,922 3,866 3,951 4,035** 10,740 11,355 12,041** TOTAL LT+HT 11,086 13,411 15,897 11,557 13,704 16,535 13,978 15,969 17,805** 36,622 43,083 50,237** ** 8MUs for the purpose of Synchronization and Start-up power under category HV-7 has been for West Discom only. Hence, the difference in total. 12

1.2 Category-wise sales projection 1.2.1. LV -1: Domestic 1.2.1.1. Assumptions for Projecting Unmetered Domestic Sales In the tariff order for FY 2014-15, Hon ble Commission has petitioner s proposal to revise the benchmark of billing to unmetered domestic connections in rural areas to 75 units per month per connection. The petitioners have the same for projecting consumption of unmetered domestic connections. The projections of consumption of un-metered domestic connections in this petition have been as NIL for urban areas (since all domestic consumers in urban areas have been metered). 1.2.1.2. RGGVY In addition to the growth rate assumed for domestic category, the impact of implementation of RGGVY has also been taken into account for future consumer/load/consumption projections for Central Discom. The implementation roadmap of the RGGVY forms the basis of future projections by the Central Discom. While no consumers and consumption has been estimated for East and West Discoms separately for RGGVY. However, the same has not been projected separately, but has been included in the overall projection for Domestic category. For Central Discom 2 lakh consumers and corresponding sales of 22.94 MUs for FY 2015-16 have been projected. After factoring the growth in consumers the following projections has been arrived at for LV-1 category. Table 2: LV-1 Domestic Unit Projection Area Sub Category East Discom Central Discom West Discom FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 Urban Metered 1,411 1,791 2,330 1,857 2,180 2,560 1,878 2,085 2,315 Urban Un-metered 1 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 0 Urban Temporary 15 17 17 12 13 15 17 20 20 Urban Total 1,427 1,808 2,347 1,870 2,195 2,575 1,895 2,105 2,335 Rural Metered 891 1,186 1,713 611 1,070 1,647 1,105 1,291 1,568 Rural Un-metered 581 341 171 201 192 96 148 122 61 Rural Temporary 2 2 2 0 1 1 2 2 2 Rural Total 1,474 1,530 1,886 813 1,262 1,744 1,254 1,415 1,631 Total Metered 2,302 2,977 4,044 2,468 3,250 4,207 2,983 3,376 3,883 Total Un-metered 583 341 171 203 194 96 148 122 61 Total Temporary 17 19 19 12 14 15 19 22 22 Total Total 2,901 3,338 4,234 2,683 3,457 4,318 3,149 3,520 3,966 1.2.1.3. East Discom The growth percentages assumed for the category for FY 2015-16 are as shown below: Area Category Urban Rural FY 16 (Projection) Description (FY 16) FY 16 (Projection) Description (FY 16) Consumer Current year growth Current year growth 5.99% rate has been 6.60% rate has been Metered Average Load (kw) No growth rate has No growth rate has per Consumer been been Average consumption 2 year CAGR has Nominal growth rate per consumer per 8.40% 1 been has been month Un-metered Consumer All unmetered All unmetered Average Load per consumers are consumers are 13

Temporary Consumer (in kw) Average consumption expected to be metered by the FY16 per consumer per month Consumer Average Load per Consumer (in kw) No growth rate has Average consumption been per consumer per month expected to be metered by the FY16 No growth rate has been 1.2.1.4 Central Discom The growth percentages assumed for the category are as shown below Area Category Urban Rural FY 16 (Projection) Description (FY 16) FY 16 (Projection) Description (FY 16) Metered Consumer Current year growth YoY growth rate and rate and growth rate growth rate due to 7.23% due to meterization 15.09% meterization of of unmetered unmetered consumers consumers Average Load (kw) No growth rate has No growth rate has 0% 0% per Consumer been been Average consumption per 9.48% consumer per month Un-metered Consumer Average Load per Consumer (in kw) Average consumption per consumer per month Temporary Consumer 10.94% Average Load per Consumer (in kw) Average consumption per consumer per month Current year growth rate has been 26.67% All unmetered consumers are expected to be metered by the FY16 Current year growth rate has been 11.63% No growth rate has been Current year growth rate has been All unmetered consumers are expected to be metered by the FY16 3 year CAGR is No growth rate has been 1.2.1.5 West Discom The growth percentages assumed for the category are as shown below: Area Category Urban Rural FY 16 (Projection) Description (FY 16) FY 16 (Projection) Description (FY 16) Consumer YoY growth rate has 3 year CAGR is 4.38% 9.37% been Average Load (kw) No growth rate has No growth rate has Metered per Consumer been been Average Current year growth 2 year CAGR is consumption per 7.03% rate has been 6.88% consumer per month Consumer Un-metered Temporary Average Load per Consumer (in kw) Average consumption per consumer per month Consumer No growth rate has been 0.93% 2 year CAGR has been No growth rate has been No growth rate has been 14

Area Category Urban Rural FY 16 (Projection) Description (FY 16) FY 16 (Projection) Description (FY 16) Average Load per Consumer (in kw) Average consumption per consumer per month No growth rate has been No growth rate has been 15

1.2.2. LV -2: Non-Domestic The future projections are as below Table 3: LV-2 Non-Domestic Unit Projection Sub Category East Discom Central Discom West Discom FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 Metered 580 748 960 606 706 856 722 781 857 Temporary 19 41 41 35 45 45 40 40 40 Total 599 789 1,001 640 749 901 763 822 897 1.2.2.1. East Discom The growth percentages assumed for the category are as shown below: Area Metered Temporary Consumer Category Average Load (kw) per Consumer Average consumption per consumer per month Consumer Average Load per Consumer (in kw) Average consumption per consumer per month Urban Rural FY 16 (Projection) Description (FY 16) FY 16 (Projection) Description (FY 16) 4.49% Current year growth YoY growth rate has rate has been 9.38% been 9.39% 3 year CAGR is YoY growth rate has 0.97% been 15.00% Nominal growth rate has been No growth rate has been 5.00% Nominal growth rate has been No growth rate has been 1.2.2.2. Central Discom The growth percentages assumed for the category are as shown below: Area Metered Temporary Consumer Category FY 16 (Projection) 4.42% Average Load (kw) per Consumer 11.08% Average consumption per consumer per month 5.00% Consumer Average Load (kw) per Consumer Average consumption per consumer per month Urban Description (FY 16) Current year growth rate has been Current year growth rate has been Nominal growth rate of 5% has been FY 16 (Projection) 5.81% 7.67% 4.33% 5.00% No growth rate has been Rural Description (FY 16) YoY growth rate has been Current year growth rate has been Current year growth rate has been Nominal growth rate has been No growth rate has been 16

1.2.2.3. West Discom The growth percentages assumed for the category are as shown below: Area Category Urban Rural FY 16 FY 16 Description (FY Description (FY 16) (Projection) (Projection) 16) Metered Consumer 2.28% YoY growth rate has been 3.32% 2 year CAGR has been Average Load (kw) per Consumer 7.80% 2 year CAGR has been No growth rate has been Average consumption per consumer per month No growth rate has been 3.13% YoY growth rate has been Temporary Consumer Average Load per No growth rate has No growth rate has Consumer (in kw) been been Average consumption per consumer per month 17

1.2.3. LV -3.1: Public Water Works Considering the anticipated increase in supply hours, the future projections are as follows: Table 4: LV-3.1 PWW Unit Projection Sub Category East Discom Central Discom West Discom FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 Municipal Corp. 49 51 51 73 78 84 35 39 40 Nagar Panchayat 77 65 68 66 76 88 47 51 56 Gram Panchayat 543 356 413 32 44 62 77 95 117 Temporary 5 5 5 6 6 7 5 5 5 Total 674 477 537 176 205 241 165 191 219 1.2.3.1. East Discom The growth percentages assumed for the category are as shown below: Area Municipal Corporation Nagar Panchayat Gram Panchayat Temporary Consumer Category Average Load (kw) per Consumer Average consumption per consumer per month Consumer Average Load per Consumer (in kw) Average consumption per consumer per month Consumer Average Load per Consumer (in kw) Average consumption per consumer per month Consumer Average Load (kw) per Consumer Average consumption per consumer per month FY 16 (Projection) 0.87% Urban Description (FY 16) 2 year CAGR has been FY 16 (Projection) No growth rate has been 3.02% 1.95% 8.24% 0.61% 2 year CAGR has been YoY growth rate has been No growth rate has been 2 year CAGR has been 3 year CAGR has been No growth rate has been No growth rate has been 14.71% 16.27% Rural Description (FY 16) No growth rate has been Current year growth rate has been No growth rate has been Current year growth rate has been No growth rate has been No growth rate has been 1.2.3.2. Central Discom The growth percentages assumed for the category are as shown below: Area Municipal Corporation Category FY 16 (Projection) Urban Description (FY 16) FY 16 (Projection) Rural Description (FY 16) Consumer No growth rate has No growth rate has been been Average Load (kw) per Consumer 1.11% Current year growth rate has been 2.24% Current year growth rate has been Average consumption 5.99% Current year growth 13.26% Current year growth 18

Area Nagar Panchayat Gram Panchayat Temporary Category per consumer per month Consumer FY 16 (Projection) 3.53% Average Load per Consumer (in kw) 0.85% Average consumption per consumer per month Consumer Average Load per Consumer (in kw) Average consumption per consumer per month Consumer 10.98% 12.95% 11.32% Average Load (kw) per Consumer 5.45% Average consumption per consumer per month 3.56% Urban Description (FY 16) rate has been 2 year CAGR has been 3 year CAGR has been YoY growth rate has been 3 year CAGR has been No growth rate has been YoY growth rate has been No growth rate has been Current year growth rate has been 3 year CAGR has been FY 16 (Projection) 7.96% 11.75% 12.92% 25.46% 3.03% 6.21% Rural Description (FY 16) rate has been No growth rate has been Current year growth rate has been 3 year CAGR has been 3 year CAGR has been No growth rate has been YoY growth rate has been Current year growth rate has been Current year growth rate has been No growth rate has been 1.2.3.3. West Discom The growth percentages assumed for the category are as shown below: Area Category FY 16 (Projection) Urban Description (FY 16) FY 16 (Projection) Consumer 2 year CAGR has 2.46% been Average Load (kw) per Current year growth Municipal Consumer 1.08% rate has been Corporation 2.35% Average consumption No growth has been per consumer per month 1.64% Consumer 2 year CAGR has 6.28% been Average Load per Current year growth Nagar Consumer (in kw) 4.50% rate has been Panchayat Average consumption No growth rate has per consumer per month been Consumer 5.44% 21.60% Current year growth Gram Average Load per rate has been Panchayat 3.68% 1.68% Consumer (in kw) Average consumption per consumer per month 5.78% Temporary Consumer Average Load (kw) per No growth rate has Consumer been Average consumption per consumer per month Rural Description (FY 16) No growth has been 3 year CAGR has been YoY growth rate has been No growth has been No growth rate has been No growth rate has been Current year growth rate has been YoY growth rate has been No growth rate has been No growth rate has been 19

1.2.4. V -3.2: Street Light Considering the anticipated increase in supply hours, the future projections are as below: Table 5: LV-3.2 Street Light Unit Projection Sub Category East Discom Central Discom West Discom FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 Municipal Corp. 50 62 65 51 47 53 51 59 69 Nagar Panchayat 61 49 52 42 51 64 35 39 46 Gram Panchayat 217 90 90 3 4 6 31 36 40 Total 328 201 207 95 102 122 118 134 155 1.2.4.1. East Discom The growth percentages assumed for the category are as shown below. Municipal Corporation Area Category Urban Rural Nagar Panchayat Gram Panchayat Consumer Average Load (kw) per Consumer Average consumption per consumer per month Consumer Average Load per Consumer (in kw) Average consumption per consumer per month Consumer Average Load per Consumer (in kw) Average consumption per consumer per month FY 16 (Projection) 5.24% Description (FY 16) Current year growth rate has been FY 16 (Projection) No growth rate has been 5.98% Current year growth rate has been No growth rate has been 6.47% Current year growth rate has been No growth rate has been Description (FY 16) No growth rate has been 1.2.4.2. Central Discom The growth percentages assumed for the category are as shown below: Area Municipal Corporation Nagar Panchayat Gram Panchayat Urban Category FY 16 FY 16 Description (FY 16) (Projection) (Projection) Consumer 5.88% Current year has been Average Load (kw) per 5.05% Consumer Average consumption 2 year CAGR has been 1.76% per consumer per month Consumer Current year growth rate 5.97% has been Average Load per YoY growth rate has been 3.56% Consumer (in kw) 12.46% Average consumption 13.94% per consumer per month Current year growth rate 34.96% Consumer 78.95% has been Rural Description (FY 16) No growth has been No growth has been 3 year CAGR has been No growth rate has been Average Load per 9.53% YoY growth rate has been 10.55% Current year growth 20

Consumer (in kw) rate has been Average consumption No growth rate has been Nominal growth rate 1 per consumer per month has been 1.2.4.3. West Discom The growth percentages assumed for the category are as shown below: Area Municipal Corporation Nagar Panchayat Gram Panchayat Consumer Category Average Load (kw) per Consumer Average consumption per consumer per month Consumer FY 16 (Projection) 17.85% Urban Description (FY 16) Current year growth rate has been FY 16 (Projection) No growth rate has been 7.93% Average Load per Consumer (in kw) 7.09% 3 year CAGR has been YoY growth rate has been 17.35% Average consumption No growth rate has been per consumer per month Consumer Current year growth rate 3.83% has been Average Load per Consumer (in kw) No growth rate has been Average consumption per consumer per month 1 Rural Description (FY 16) No growth rate has been No growth rate has been Current year growth rate has been No growth rate has been No growth rate has been Nominal growth rate of 10% has been 21

1.2.5. LV -4.1: Non- Seasonal Industrial The future projections are as below: Table 6: LV-4.1 Non-Seasonal Industrial Unit Projection Sub Category East Discom Central Discom West Discom FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 Upto 25HP 152 167 180 129 148 164 234 246 260 Above 25HP to 100HP 82 102 122 72 88 99 217 227 228 Above 100HP 8 13 16 5 6 7 31 41 46 Temporary LT Ind. 4 11 11 1 3 3 2 2 2 Total 245 293 330 207 245 272 484 516 536 1.2.5.1. East Discom The assumptions for sales forecast for the category are given below: Area Upto 25HP Above 25HP to 100HP Above 100HP Temporary Category FY 16 (Projection) Urban Description (FY 16) FY 16 (Projection) Consumer 3 year CAGR has been 2.22% 4.64% Average Load (kw) per 3 year CAGR has been 0.54% Consumer 1.09% Average consumption per 2 year CAGR has been 1.29% consumer per month 5.31% Consumer 3 year CAGR has been 10.61% 9.15% Average Load per Current year growth Consumer (in kw) 6.74% rate has been 3.35% Average consumption per No growth rate has consumer per month been 1 Consumer 25.03% 3 year CAGR has been 21.64% Average Load per 0.47% Consumer (in kw) 2.04% Average consumption per No growth rate has consumer per month been Consumer Average Load (kw) per No growth rate has Consumer been Average consumption per consumer per month Rural Description (FY 16) 3 year CAGR has been Current year growth rate has been 3 year CAGR has been 2 year CAGR has been Nominal growth rate has been 3 year CAGR has been 2 year CAGR has been No growth rate has been No growth rate has been 1.2.5.2. Central Discom The growth percentages assumed are as follows Area Upto 25HP Consumer Category Average Load (kw) per Consumer Average consumption per consumer per month FY 16 (Projection) 5.19% 1.52% 1.64% Urban Description (FY 16) Current year growth rate has been 3 year CAGR has been Current year growth rate has been FY 16 (Projection) 4.28% Rural Description (FY 16) 3 year CAGR has been 0.53% YoY growth has been 9.73% 22

Area Above 25HP to 100 HP Above 100HP Temporary Consumer Category Average Load per Consumer (in kw) Average consumption per consumer per month Consumer FY 16 (Projection) 9.45% 0.29% 2.17% 13.19% Average Load per 2.09% Consumer (in kw) Average consumption per consumer per month Consumer Average Load (kw) per Consumer Average consumption per consumer per month 11.11% Urban Description (FY 16) Current year growth rate has been 3 year CAGR has been YoY growth rate has been 3 year CAGR has been 2 year CAGR has been No growth rate has been FY 16 (Projection) 4.48% 2.38% 3.86% 1 No growth has been 1.63% 1.49% 3 year CAGR has been 1 Rural Description (FY 16) 3 year CAGR has been YoY growth rate has been 2 year CAGR has been No growth has been Nominal growth rate of 10% has been 2 year CAGR has been 3 year CAGR has been Nominal growth rate of 10% has been 1.2.5.3. West Discom The growth percentages assumed are as follows: Area Up to 25HP Above 25HP to 100 HP Above 100HP Temporary Consumer Category FY 16 (Projection) 1.43% Average Load (kw) per Consumer 2.74% Average consumption per consumer per month Consumer Average Load per Consumer (in kw) Average consumption per consumer per month Consumer 0.28% Urban Description (FY 16) YoY growth rate has been Current year growth rate has been No growth rate has been Current year growth rate has been FY 16 (Projection) 5.61% 0.25% 2.43% 5.83% No growth has been 2.31% 1 Average Load per Consumer (in kw) 3.17% Nominal growth rate of 10% has been Current year growth rate has been No growth rate has been 1.00% Average consumption per consumer per month Consumer Average Load (kw) per No growth rate has Consumer been Average consumption per consumer per month Rural Description (FY 16) 2 year CAGR has been YoY growth rate has been 3 year CAGR has been YoY growth rate has been No growth has been Nominal growth rate of 1% has been No growth rate has been No growth rate has been 23

1.2.6. LV -4.2: Seasonal Industrial The future projections are as follows: Table 7: LV-4.2 Seasonal Industrial Unit Projection Sub Category East Discom Central Discom West Discom FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 Upto 25HP 6 7 8 7 6 7 3 3 3 Above 25HP to 100HP 6 6 7 6 4 4 8 8 8 Above 100HP 0 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 Total 13 15 15 14 11 12 13 13 13 1.2.6.1. East Discom The growth percentages assumed are as follows: Area Upto 25HP Above 25HP to 100HP Above 100HP Consumer Category Urban Rural FY 16 (Projection) Description (FY 16) FY 16 (Projection) Description (FY 16) Average Load (kw) per Consumer Average consumption per consumer per month 7.77% Consumer Average Load per Consumer (in kw) 1.91% 3 year CAGR has been No growth rate has been 0.16% Current year growth rate has been 3 year CAGR has been Current year growth rate has been 8.85% 1.99% Average consumption per consumer per month 0.07% 1 Consumer Average Load per Consumer (in kw) Average consumption per consumer per month 3 year CAGR has been No growth rate has been 3 year CAGR has been Current year growth rate has been 3 year CAGR has been 3 year CAGR has been 2 year CAGR has been Nominal growth rate has been 3 year CAGR has been No growth rate has been 1.2.6.2. Central Discom The growth percentages assumed are as follows Area Upto 25HP Above 25HP to 100 HP Consumer Category Average Load (kw) per Consumer Average consumption per consumer per month Consumer Average Load per Consumer (in kw) Average consumption per Urban Rural FY 16 (Projection) Description (FY 16) FY 16 (Projection) Description (FY 16) No growth rate No growth rate 2.51% Current year growth YoY growth rate 1.01% rate has been has been 11.93% 2 year CAGR has 9.54% been 0.59% 1 No growth rate has been 2 year CAGR has been Nominal growth rate of 10% has been 3.97% No growth rate has been YoY growth rate has been 24

Area Above 100HP Category consumer per month Consumer Average Load per Consumer (in kw) Average consumption per consumer per month Urban FY 16 (Projection) Description (FY 16) FY 16 (Projection) 0.13% No growth rate has been 2 year CAGR has been No growth rate has been Rural Description (FY 16) No growth rate has been 1.2.6.3. West Discom The growth percentages are assumed as follows: Area Category Urban Rural Description (FY FY 16 (Projection) Description (FY 16) FY 16 (Projection) 16) Consumer 5.00% Nominal growth Upto 25HP rate of 5% has been Average Load (kw) per Consumer No growth rate has been Above 25HP to 100 HP Above 100HP Average consumption per consumer per month Consumer Average Load per Consumer (in kw) No growth has been Average consumption per consumer per month Consumer Average Load per Consumer (in kw) Average consumption per consumer per month No growth rate has been 25

1.2.7. LV -5.1: Agricultural The projections for LV 5.1 Agricultural category are as follows Area Sub Category East Discom Central Discom West Discom FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 Urban Metered General 4 4 5 2 2 2 4 4 4 Urban Metered Temporary 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 Urban Unmetered General 212 339 405 231 231 287 202 274 345 Urban Unmetered Temporary 23 26 26 24 21 21 34 42 42 Urban Total 242 372 439 258 255 312 241 321 391 Rural Metered General 33 4 5 24 30 38 0 0 0 Rural Metered Temporary 27 87 87 0 0 0 0 0 0 Rural Unmetered General 1,896 3,518 4,433 3,488 4,495 5,852 4,340 5,587 6,676 Rural Unmetered Temporary 573 521 518 636 525 525 837 912 914 Rural Total 2,528 4,131 5,044 4,149 5,050 6,416 5,177 6,499 7,590 Total Metered General 37 8 10 26 32 40 4 4 4 Total Metered Temporary 29 90 90 2 2 2 1 1 1 Total Unmetered General 2,108 3,857 4,839 3,719 4,725 6,140 4,542 5,862 7,021 Total Unmetered Temporary 596 547 544 660 546 546 871 953 956 Total Total 2,770 4,502 5,483 4,407 5,305 6,727 5,418 6,820 7,981 For unmetered temporary agriculture consumers under this category, the assessed consumption is as per the norms stipulated by Hon ble Commission in the tariff order for FY 2014-15. The same is shown as below: Urban Urban Rural Rural 2014-15 2015-16 2014-15 2015-16 Three Phase 220 220 195 195 Single Phase 230 230 205 205 1.2.7.1. East Discom The growth rates assumed for future projections and revised estimates for this category by east discom are as follows: Area Metered General Consumer Load Category Urban Rural FY 16 (Projection) Description (FY 16) FY 16 (Projection) Description (FY 16) 2 No growth rate has been Nominal growth rate of 20% has been 5.00% 2 Nominal growth rate has been Consumption per HP No growth rate has been No growth rate has been Unmetered Permanent Consumer Load 6.00% 1 Nominal growth rate of 6% has been Nominal growth rate of 10% has been 6.00% 1 Nominal growth rate of 6% has been Nominal growth rate of 10% has been 26