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Transcription:

Credit investor introduction 207 September 9, 207 Christian Carl, Group Head of Treasury & Capital Management Zurich Insurance Group

GROUP Our proposition to investors HIGHLY CASH GENERATIVE BUSINESS MODEL SUPPORTING AN ATTRACTIVE AND GROWING DIVIDEND, UNDERLINED BY: A balanced and diverse global business Industry leading capital levels Stable, consistent and conservatively managed balance sheet Opportunities to enhance returns through improved efficiency and capital allocation UBS Paris Insurance Day 207 - credit investor introduction 2

GROUP One of few genuinely global insurers KEY FACTS BOP BY BUSINESS AND REGION 3 USD 67bn total revenues USD 382bn total group and unit linked investments USD 4.5bn business operating profit (BOP) 46% 2% Property & Casualty Life Farmers 4 USD 3.2bn net income attributable to shareholders (NIAS) 33% 25% Zurich Economic Capital (Z-ECM) ratio calibrated to AA rating ( in 2000 year event) 227% SST regulatory solvency ratio 2 USD 30.7bn shareholders equity USD 43.0bn market cap 35% 8% 6% 5% Europe North America (incl. Farmers 4 ) Asia Pacific Latin America Values are for the full year 206 unless otherwise noted. Investments, Shareholders equity and market cap are as of December 3, 206. 2 The Swiss Solvency Test (SST) ratio is calculated based on the Group s internal model, which is subject to the review and approval of the Group s regulator, the Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority (FINMA). The ratio is filed with FINMA at the full year and is subject to its approval. 3 BOP splits per business and region exclude Group Reinsurance, Group Functions and Operations and Non-Core Businesses. 4 Zurich Insurance Group has no ownership interest in the Farmers Exchanges. Farmers Group, Inc., a wholly owned subsidiary of the Group, provides administrative and management services to the Farmers Exchanges as its attorney-in-fact and receives fees for its services. Farmers BOP consists of Farmers Management Services and Farmers Re. UBS Paris Insurance Day 207 - credit investor introduction 3

GROUP Genuinely global franchise with distinct capabilities Top 0 general insurer 3 Top 3 4% commercial lines market share #2 crop insurance provider 5% US personal lines market share through the Farmers Exchanges 6% general insurance 5% life insurance market share 3 #2 general insurance provider 3 #3 life insurance provider 3 3% general insurance market share 3 5% life insurance market share 3 cross-border insurer to multinational corporations 4 >5% general insurance market share 2 4% general insurance market share 3 8% life insurance market share in Latin America through Bank Distribution JV with Santander 2 >4% general insurance market share 2 4% market share in life in-force protection 3 4% market share in commercial lines 3 #3 global travel insurer Source: 205 SNL Data. 2 Source: 205 AXCO data, Zurich internal data and estimates. 3 Source: National Statistics 205 or latest available, Zurich internal data. 4 Estimated based on annual reports and investor presentations. UBS Paris Insurance Day 207 - credit investor introduction 4

GROUP Strong capital position and cash generation VERY STRONG FINANCIAL STRENGTH STRONG CAPITAL POSITION AA- / outlook stable Aa3 / outlook stable Z-ECM 40% 20% 00% 80% 9% 03% 4% 27% 22% 2% 25% 34% Target Range A+ (Superior) / outlook negative 60% FY-0 FY- FY-2 FY-3 FY-4 FY-5 FY-6 Q2-7e HIGHLY CASH GENERATIVE Cash remittance in USDbn 2. 2.9.4 2.4 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.9 0.0 -. -. FY-2 FY-3 3.7 2.4.7 0.9.2 0. -.0 FY-4 3.9 0.9.5 0.5-0.6 FY-5 2.8 2.0 0.4. 0. -0.8 FY-6 Property & Casualty Life Farmers Group Functions Non-Core Business DIVIDEND A KEY PART OF TSR Total shareholder return in USD 200% 50% 00% 50% 0% 2008 2009 200 STOXX Europe 600 Insurance 20 202 203 204 205 206 207 Zurich Insurance Group Q2-7 Zurich Economic Capital Model (Z-ECM) reflects midpoint estimate with an error margin of +/-5ppts. UBS Paris Insurance Day 207 - credit investor introduction 5

GROUP 207-209 Financial targets BOPAT ROE in excess of 2% and increasing, despite higher equity base USD.5bn in net savings by 209 compared to the 205 baseline Z-ECM target ratio of 00-20% Cash remittances in excess of USD 9.5bn over 207-209 period Business Operating Profit after tax return on equity, excluding unrealized gains and losses. UBS Paris Insurance Day 207 - credit investor introduction 6

GROUP Continued delivery across all businesses P&C LIFE FARMERS EXCHANGES 2 COMBINED RATIO (%) BOP GROWTH IN LOCAL CURRENCY (%) COMBINED RATIO (%) 98.% 2.6% 3.7% 97.8% 2.9% 32.4% +8% 06.4% 0.4% 04.9% 0.5% 65.7% 65.% 96.0% 94.4% -.8% FY-6-2.6% HY-7 HY-6 HY-7 HY-6 HY-7 Cat ER AY LR ex-cat PYD Cat CR ex-cat LIKE-FOR-LIKE GWP GROWTH (%) HY-7 APE SHARE OF NON-TRADITIONAL PRODUCTS GWP GROWTH (USDm) 3 FY-5 FY-6-3% 3% 9,520 +4% 9,872 HY-7 % Non-Traditional 89% HY-6 HY-7 HY-7 excludes the impact from the change in the Ogden discount rate, booked in Q-7. 2 Provided for informational purposes only. Zurich Insurance Group has no ownership interest in the Farmers Exchanges. Farmers Group, Inc., a wholly owned subsidiary of the Group, provides certain non-claims administrative and management services to the Farmers Exchanges as its attorney-in-fact and receives fees for its services. 3 Continuing operations only, excludes discontinued operations (2st Century business outside of California and Hawaii mainly). UBS Paris Insurance Day 207 - credit investor introduction 7

Investment and Capital Management

INVESTMENT AND CAPITAL MANAGEMENT ALM-focused strategy delivering consistent and sustainable excess returns PROFILE ~70% of group investments are managed by third parties ALM focused investment strategy Generally lower risk investment portfolio than peers, with clear focus on avoiding pro-cyclical actions Emerged well from credit crisis CONSERVATIVE APROACH 00% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 200 20 202 203 204 205 206 207 Minimum Risk Return Total Investment Return 89.% 67.2% ASSET ALLOCATION FY-6 total Group investments of USD 90bn ASSET QUALITY FY-6 Group debt investments of USD 40bn 3% 6% 2% 4% 6% Fixed income Mortgages Real estate Equities % 4% 2% 25% AAA AA A BBB 79% Hedge funds, Private equity Cash 6% 33% Non-rated Non-investment grade Through December 3, 206. UBS Paris Insurance Day 207 - credit investor introduction 9

INVESTMENT AND CAPITAL MANAGEMENT Managing our risks conservatively to AA financial strength GROUP SOLVENCY Z-ECM RBC BY RISK TYPE AND BUSINESS Z-ECM 40% 9% 20% 03% 00% 80% 60% FY-0 FY- 4% FY-2 27% FY-3 22% FY-4 2% FY-5 25% FY-6 34% 2 Q2-7e Target Range 0% 6% 2% 6% Market risk Re-ins credit risk P&R risk 3 49% Natural cat risk 23% Life insurance risk 3% Operational risk Business risk SST 250% 225% 200% 75% 50% 223% 83% 85% 27% 96% 89% 227% 40% 4% 8% 49% General Insurance Global Life Farmers Other 4 25% 00% FY-0 FY- FY-2 FY-3 FY-4 FY-5 FY-6 The Swiss Solvency Test (SST) ratio is calculated based on the Group s internal model, which is subject to the review and approval of the Group s regulator, the Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority (FINMA). Only the full year ratio is filed with FINMA and is subject to its approval. 2 Q2-7 Zurich Economic Capital Model (Z-ECM) reflects midpoint estimate with an error margin of +/-5ppts. 3 Premium & reserving risk. 4 Includes Other Operating Businesses and Non-Core Businesses. UBS Paris Insurance Day 207 - credit investor introduction 0

INVESTMENT AND CAPITAL MANAGEMENT Proven balance sheet flexibility through leverage and coverage at AA levels GROUP CAPITAL STRUCTURE MOODY S LEVERAGE & COVERAGE Financial leverage = Aa at 5-30% 3% 4% 2% 3% % 4% 9% 9% 26.9% 24.3% 24.% 26.4% Earnings coverage = Aa at 8-2x 72% 76% 76% 73% 9. 9.5 6.7 9.2 203 204 205 206 203 204 205 206 Senior debt Subordinated Debt Shareholders Equity Capital Structure shown using accounting view. UBS Paris Insurance Day 207 - credit investor introduction

INVESTMENT AND CAPITAL MANAGEMENT Low cost of risk, strong ratings and balanced maturity profile CDS SPREAD AMONG BEST OF PEERS (bps) BALANCED REFINANCING NEEDS (USDbn) 2 800 600 400 200 0 Jan-0 Jan- Jan-2 Jan-3 Jan-4 Jan-5 Jan-6 Jan-7 Jan-8 Allianz Axa Generali Zurich 2.5 2.0.5.0 0.5 0.0.5 0.5.0 208.3 0.8 0.4 209 0.3 2020 0.7 0.2 0.4 202 Senior 2. 0.6.5 2022.2 0..0 2023 Subordinated 0.5 2024 0.3 2025.9 0.2.8 2026 0.0 >2026 CONSISTENT FINANCIAL STRENGTH EUR SUBORDINATED CREDIT SPREADS (bps) AA 4 AA- 3 A+ 2 A A- 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 200 20 202 203 204 205 206 207 S&P (lhs) Moody's (rhs) Aa2 Aa3 A A2 A3 350 250 50 50 Jan-6 Apr-6 Jul-6 Oct-6 Jan-7 Apr-7 Jul-7 ZURNVX EURbn 4.25% 2043 NC 2023 ZURNVX EUR750m 3.5% 2046 NC 2026 5yEUR sub CDS. 2 Maturity profile based on first call date for subordinated debt and maturity date for senior debt. UBS Paris Insurance Day 207 - credit investor introduction 2

Interest / Principal Pass-through Interest / Principal INVESTMENT AND CAPITAL MANAGEMENT Repackaging structure BACKGROUND Under Swiss tax legislation securities issued by a borrower resident in Switzerland would carry 35% Swiss withholding tax which may not be recoverable by international investors. Using a repackaging vehicle allows a Swiss borrower to tap international capital markets without negative tax consequences. Many Swiss issuers make use of this repackaging structure when issuing internationally. Zurich has so far raised senior and subordinated debt via four different repackaging vehicles (Acquarius, Cloverie, Willow and Demeter). STRUCTURAL OVERVIEW The Zurich Notes are held by the Repack Vehicle Zurich Investors hold Secured Notes issued by the Repack Vehicle, which are secured over the Zurich Notes Zurich Notes Proceeds The Secured Notes pass through the risk and returns on the underlying Zurich Notes Using such a Repack Vehicle structure allows Zurich to pay the gross coupon on the Zurich Notes Repack Vehicle Secured Notes Proceeds Investors UBS Paris Insurance Day 207 - credit investor introduction 3

INVESTMENT AND CAPITAL MANAGEMENT Z-ECM and SST are more conservative than SII PRIMARY DIFFERENCES REQUIRED CAPITAL Most onerous impact on ratio Z-ECM SST SII (PILLAR ) RISK MEASURE VaR 99.95% (~AA) ES 99% (~BBB) VaR 99.5% (~BBB), usually < ES 99% RISK-TYPES COVERED Market Risk (including investment credit) Premium and Reserve Risk NatCat Risk Life Liability Risk Business Risk Operational Risk Reinsurance Credit Risk Market Risk Investment Credit Risk Premium, Reserve and UPR Risk NatCat Risk Life Liability Risk Life Business Risk Reinsurance Credit Risk Farmers Management Services Internal model (ZIP): Market Risk (including investment credit) Premium, Reserve and UPR Risk NatCat Risk Business Risk Operational Risk Reinsurance Credit Risk Receivables Credit Risk Scenarios Standard Formula (all other entities): Market risk Counterparty default risk Life underwriting risk Health underwriting risk Non-life underwriting risk (including premium, reserve and NatCat) Intangible asset risk Operational risk EQUIVALENCE No concept of equivalence, ZECM applied to the entire Group No concept of equivalence, SST applied to the entire Group Possibility to use local regimes for subsidiaries in equivalent third countries. Not applicable for Zurich Regarding Swiss Solvency Test (SST) ratio see footnote on slide 3. UBS Paris Insurance Day 207 - credit investor introduction 4

INVESTMENT AND CAPITAL MANAGEMENT Z-ECM and SST are more conservative than SII PRIMARY DIFFERENCES YIELD CURVES AND TRANSITIONALS Most onerous impact on ratio Z-ECM SST SII (PILLAR ) BASE RISK-FREE YIELD-CURVE Swaps Swaps for USD, EUR, GBP Government bonds for CHF, other Swaps ENTRY-POINT TO EXTRAPOLATION OF YIELD-CURVE Use all available market data CHF: 30 years EUR, USD, GBP: 50 years CHF: 5 years (Zurich uses 30) EUR: 30 years USD, GBP: 50 years CHF: 25 years EUR: 20 years USD, GBP: 50 years ULTIMATE FORWARD RATE Flat extrapolation from last observable data point CHF: 2.7% EUR, USD, GBP: 4.0% CHF: 3.2% EUR, USD, GBP: 4.2% None (no liquidity premium) -30bps for swap based curves (credit) -0bps (credit) ADJUSTMENTS TO YIELD-CURVE + volatility adjustment (between 9 bps (CHF) and 78bps (USD) at Q4-6) + matching adjustment (currently not used by Zurich) TRANSITIONAL REQUIREMENTS n/a Various transitional measures, especially for yield-curves and technical provisions, lasting until 2032. Zurich does not make use of these. Regarding Swiss Solvency Test (SST) ratio see footnote on slide 3. UBS Paris Insurance Day 207 - credit investor introduction 5

INVESTMENT AND CAPITAL MANAGEMENT Z-ECM and SST are more conservative than SII PRIMARY DIFFERENCES OTHER KEY ELEMENTS Most onerous impact on ratio Z-ECM SST SII (PILLAR ) SENIOR DEBT Available Capital Liability Liability TAX Pre-tax Pre-tax Post-tax GRANULARITY Management view Internal reinsurance not relevant Full Group diversification taken into account and allocated back to business units Legal entity view Internal reinsurance considered Only legal entity diversification taken into account Risk of subsidiaries included (with limited liability) Legal entity view Internal reinsurance considered Only legal entity diversification taken into account RISK MARGIN Cost of residual non hedgeable risk (CRNHR) considered in AFR for Life Risk Margin as part of insurance liabilities Risk Margin as part of insurance liabilities Regarding Swiss Solvency Test (SST) ratio see footnote on slide 3. UBS Paris Insurance Day 207 - credit investor introduction 6

INVESTMENT AND CAPITAL MANAGEMENT We have a strongly cash generative business reflected in high cash remittance NET INCOME AND REMITTANCES 202-206 (USD) P&C LIFE FARMERS NON-CORE GFO 2 GROUP NIAS 202-6 0.6bn 5.2bn 4.8bn 0.2bn -3.9bn 6.9bn REMITTED 202-6 0.0bn 3.3bn 5.4bn.2bn Ø PAYOUT 94% 64% 2% nm 9% 207 209 ~90% ~70% ~90% ~90% ~85% Based on 202-6 reporting structure. 2 Group Functions and Operations. UBS Paris Insurance Day 207 - credit investor introduction 7

INVESTMENT AND CAPITAL MANAGEMENT We are focused on continuing to reward our shareholders ZURICH S DIVIDEND POLICY DIVIDEND PER SHARE (CHF) NIAS payout ratio of approximately 75% Dividend increases based on sustainable earnings growth 5 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 Target minimum CHF 7 per share dividend 2007 2008 2009 200 20 202 203 204 205 206 Dividend USD/CHF EUR/CHF Based on exchange rates around respective dividend payment dates. UBS Paris Insurance Day 207 - credit investor introduction 8

Annual results 206

Property & Casualty

PROPERTY & CASUALTY Leading commercial insurer, and one of the few genuinely global players PROFILE Top three insurer to multi-nationals, with proven differentiated capabilities and global scale Strong positions in many commercial insurance markets, notably US, UK and Switzerland CUSTOMER UNITS FY-6 Gross Written Premiums, total of USD 33.bn 54% 46% Commercial insurance Retail insurance Good positions in a number of developed retail markets Growing presence in Latin America DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS FY-6 Gross Written Premiums, total of USD 33.bn 4% 7% 2% 3% 53% Brokers Agents Partnerships Programs Direct LINES OF BUSINESS FY-6 Gross Written Premiums, total of USD 33.bn 23% 0% 8% 24% 26% Motor Property Liability Special lines Worker Injury UBS Paris Insurance Day 207 - credit investor introduction 2

PROPERTY & CASUALTY Balanced footprint, stable and positive rates P&C REGIONAL SPLIT FY-6 Gross Written Premiums, total of USD 33.bn FY-6 RATE CHANGE (%) -4% 7% Total 2% 7% 44% EMEA 2% North America % APAC % 46% Latin America 0% Other 2 Latin America APAC North America EMEA GWP development due to premium rate change as a percentage of the renewed portfolio against the comparable prior year period. 2 Includes Group Reinsurance and Eliminations. UBS Paris Insurance Day 207 - credit investor introduction 22

PROPERTY & CASUALTY BOP significantly improved in 206 COMBINED RATIO SPLIT (%) BOP SPLIT (USDm) 96.8% 30.5% 2.3% 03.6% 3.7% 3.5% -5.5% 98.% 3.7% 2.6% 2,979 89 2,49 864 0 +82% 2,437 67 27,89 2,002 65.2% 68.3% 65.7% -2 947-95 -29-08 485-33 -.% 0.% -.8% -,002 FY-4 FY-5 FY-6 FY-4 FY-5 FY-6 Non-controlling interest Realized capital gains Underwriting result Expense Ratio Catastrophes 2 AY LR (excl. catastrophes) 3 PYD Non-technical result Investment income FY-4 and FY-5 have not been restated. 2 Catastrophes include major and mid-sized catastrophes, including significant weather related events. 3 Accident year combined ratio (AY CR) excludes prior year reserve development (PYD). UBS Paris Insurance Day 207 - credit investor introduction 23

Life

LIFE Lower risk life business, focused on protection and Corporate Life & Pensions PROFILE Consistent BOP contributor for the Group with focus on capital-light protection and unit-linked products Strong partnership capabilities as illustrated by our differentiated and growing bank distribution franchises CUSTOMER SEGMENTS FY-6 New Business Value of USD 782m 4% Individual Corporate Continued focus on our Corporate Life & Pensions business with leading positions in Corporate Risk 59% Leading positions in many retail markets while unlocking value from our back books, incl. Farmers New World Life (reported under Farmers) CHANNELS AND PILLARS FY-6 New Business Value of USD 782m LINES OF BUSINESS FY-6 New Business Value of USD 782m 2% 30% 4% 2% 25% Banks IFAs / brokers Tied Agents Corporate Life & Pensions Others 69% -5% 0% 26% Savings & Annuity Unit Linked Corporate Pensions Protection UBS Paris Insurance Day 207 - credit investor introduction 25

LIFE Revenue streams have low market dependency DRIVERS OF OUR IFRS PROFITABILITY (USDm) REVENUES Loadings & fees 2,537 733 3,270 Policy charges and fees mainly designed to cover distribution costs Inv. margin 545 Returns on our assets, plus share of returns on policyholder assets Technical margin 842 Revenues on mortality and other risk products, after allowing for claims costs EXPENSES Operating costs -,42 The costs we incur running the business Acquisition costs -2,345 What we pay to distributors Deferral impacts 239 Accounting adjustment to spread distribution costs over policy terms OPERATING PROFIT FY-6 BOP,30 UL fund based fees UBS Paris Insurance Day 207 - credit investor introduction 26

LIFE Focus on translating new business growth into tangible measures of value NEW BUSINESS VALUE (USDm) GLOBAL LIFE BOP (USDm) -5% (+% in local currency) (+% in local currency) +3% 92 866 49 40 25 26 2 88 00 0 782 40 26 88 25,300 95 43 78,344 250 92 8,30 249 76 526 50 50 892 9 889 FY-5 FY-6 FY-6 restated -8 FY-5-26 FY-6-85 FY-6 restated Other Latin America APAC North America EMEA Other Latin America APAC North America EMEA Strong value creation in recent years in Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA) and Asia Pacific (APAC) FX headwinds mask local currency growth Lower yields and investment in start up businesses has impacted operating profits But lower risk profile vs. peers given limited product mix Aim to significantly improve profitability through in-force management activities With the full year 206, Farmers New World Life (FNWL) new business value of USD 85m and BOP of USD 202m were moved from Life to Farmers, to reflect new management structure. UBS Paris Insurance Day 207 - credit investor introduction 27

Farmers

FARMERS A unique structure MAINLY A FEE BUSINESS TO ZURICH FARMERS UNIQUE STRUCTURE The Farmers Exchanges are a group of US insurance companies, which are owned by their policyholders Zurich owns Farmers Management Services (FMS), which manages the Farmers Exchanges on behalf of the policyholders in an arrangement known as an attorney-in-fact Farmers Group, Inc. Provides administration and management Services Fees as % of Premiums Farmers Exchanges Bear underwriting risk and handle claims Own distribution assets FMS receives fees from Farmers Exchanges for the services it provides The fee based nature of the business model allows FMS to generate stable earnings and high cash remittances Farmers New World Life manufactures life products sold through the Farmers distribution channels Zurich also provides capital support to the Farmers Exchanges through Farmers Re Zurich owned FARMERS BOP HISTORY (USDm),402,428-26 FY-2,56 25,573 90,42 6,722 42 202,390,383,360,478 FY-3 FY-4 FY-5 Policyholder owned FY-6 FNWL FRe FMS With the full year 206, Farmers New World Life (FNWL) business was moved from Life to Farmers, to reflect new management structure. UBS Paris Insurance Day 207 - credit investor introduction 29

FARMERS Leading player in US personal lines insurance PROFILE Farmers Exchanges is the #3 personal lines insurer in 29 core states in the Western US Split of business is predominantly personal lines, but also offer commercial lines products for small businesses US PERSONAL LINES MARKET 206 Personal Lines Direct Premiums of USD 306bn 28% 30% Homeowners Auto Liability Auto Physical Damage Primary distribution through ~3,700+ Exclusive Agents, under Farmers brand Growing business in Eastern US 42% PERSONAL LINES MARKET SHARE (%) Based on 206 Personal Lines Direct Premiums of USD 306bn 8.6 9.4 8.4 6.7 5.6 5.5 5.2 3.6 FARMERS PREMIUM SPLIT FY-6 Gross Written Premiums of USD 9.7bn 2% 3% 0% 27% 48% Auto Homeowners Business Insurance Specialty Discontinued / Other State Farm Allstate Geico Progressive USAA Liberty Farmers Nationwide Mutual UBS Paris Insurance Day 207 - credit investor introduction 30

FARMERS Back to growth, industry-wide unfavorable claims trends in Auto GWP GROWTH (%) COMBINED RATIO (%) SURPLUS (USDbn) 3.6% 5.% 3.3% 99.4% 5.2% 0.9% 6.0% 03.9% 7.% 38.5% 5.4 36.6% 5.5 37.0% 5.5 2.4% 94.2% 95.9% 96.8% 0.0% FY-4 FY-5 FY-6 FY-4 FY-5 FY-6 FY-4 FY-5 FY-6 Continuing Operations 2 Total Catastrophe losses CR (excl. catastrophe losses) Surplus ratio Farmers Exchanges surplus Provided for informational purposes only. Zurich Insurance Group has no ownership interest in the Farmers Exchanges. Farmers Group, Inc., a wholly owned subsidiary of the Group, provides certain non-claims administrative and management services to the Farmers Exchanges as its attorney-in-fact and receives fees for its services. 2 Excludes 2 st Century business outside of California and Hawaii reflecting the decision made in October 205 to retire the 2 st Century brand from all states excluding California and Hawaii and other discontinued operations. UBS Paris Insurance Day 207 - credit investor introduction 3

Disclaimer and cautionary statement Certain statements in this document are forward-looking statements, including, but not limited to, statements that are predictions of or indicate future events, trends, plans or objectives of Zurich Insurance Group Ltd or the Zurich Insurance Group (the Group ). Forward-looking statements include statements regarding the Group s targeted profit, return on equity targets, expenses, pricing conditions, dividend policy and underwriting and claims results, as well as statements regarding the Group s understanding of general economic, financial and insurance market conditions and expected developments. Undue reliance should not be placed on such statements because, by their nature, they are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties and can be affected by other factors that could cause actual results and plans and objectives of Zurich Insurance Group Ltd or the Group to differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward looking statements (or from past results). Factors such as (i) general economic conditions and competitive factors, particularly in key markets; (ii) the risk of a global economic downturn; (iii) performance of financial markets; (iv) levels of interest rates and currency exchange rates; (v) frequency, severity and development of insured claims events; (vi) mortality and morbidity experience; (vii) policy renewal and lapse rates; and (viii) changes in laws and regulations and in the policies of regulators may have a direct bearing on the results of operations of Zurich Insurance Group Ltd and its Group and on whether the targets will be achieved. Zurich Insurance Group Ltd undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any of these forward-looking statements, whether to reflect new information, future events or circumstances or otherwise. All references to Farmers Exchanges mean Farmers Insurance Exchange, Fire Insurance Exchange, Truck Insurance Exchange and their subsidiaries and affiliates. The three Exchanges are California domiciled interinsurance exchanges owned by their policyholders with governance oversight by their Boards of Governors. Farmers Group, Inc. and its subsidiaries are appointed as the attorneys-in-fact for the Farmers Exchanges and in that capacity provide certain non-claims administrative and management services to the Farmers Exchanges. Neither Farmers Group, Inc., nor its parent companies, Zurich Insurance Company Ltd and Zurich Insurance Group Ltd, have any ownership interest in the Farmers Exchanges. Financial information about the Farmers Exchanges is proprietary to the Farmers Exchanges, but is provided to support an understanding of the performance of Farmers Group, Inc. and Farmers Reinsurance Company. It should be noted that past performance is not a guide to future performance. Persons requiring advice should consult an independent adviser. This communication does not constitute an offer or an invitation for the sale or purchase of securities in any jurisdiction. THIS COMMUNICATION DOES NOT CONTAIN AN OFFER OF SECURITIES FOR SALE IN THE UNITED STATES; SECURITIES MAY NOT BE OFFERED OR SOLD IN THE UNITED STATES ABSENT REGISTRATION OR EXEMPTION FROM REGISTRATION, AND ANY PUBLIC OFFERING OF SECURITIES TO BE MADE IN THE UNITED STATES WILL BE MADE BY MEANS OF A PROSPECTUS THAT MAY BE OBTAINED FROM THE ISSUER AND THAT WILL CONTAIN DETAILED INFORMATION ABOUT THE COMPANY AND MANAGEMENT, AS WELL AS FINANCIAL STATEMENTS UBS Paris Insurance Day 207 - credit investor introduction 32

For further information CALL US VISIT OR FOLLOW US INVESTOR RELATIONS Richard Burden +4 44 628 96 40 Aaron Beharelle +4 44 625 25 50 Gianni Vitale +4 44 625 48 26 RATING AGENCY MANAGEMENT Michèle Matlock +4 44 625 28 50 EVENTS Patricia Heina +4 44 625 38 44 Investor Relations website Financial results and reports Follow us UBS Paris Insurance Day 207 - credit investor introduction 33

CALENDAR: November 9, 207, Update for the nine months ended September 30, 207 November 5, 207, Investor Day, London Zurich Insurance Company Ltd UBS Paris Insurance Day 207 - credit investor introduction 34